08 Jan ’24 — BankNifty breaks the 47539 support - stance bearishBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
The chart of BankNifty was more dramatic and powerful. The total swing range was 765pts ~ 1.59%. The support of 47539 was broken only at 14.31 and there was not much time left for the next leg of fall today.
4mts chart link
What BankNifty and Nifty have done in January was to take out the stop loss twice. Last week we saw some strong fight back and they managed to get the stance changed from bearish to neutral. And today the tables have turned and the chart looks bearish. BankNifty has walked ahead of Nifty because it has already broken the ascending channel - so the break of support today should give it some more thrust.
63mts chart link
The support is only broken on the lower TF, we ran out of time for further action today. This means that the forenoon session will be quite critical tomorrow. If the bears can hold the banks below the 47539 levels - we could see some action picking up. The options flow also indicated an immense short buildup for the CALLS - which may be indicating tiredness in the uptrend. Our stance for tomorrow is bearish.
Bankniftytrend
Bank Nifty Trade Levels Setup - The Indian Indexes are looking stretched now.
- It's better to be a little patient first and then take trades impulsively
- Do not long or short based on anyone else's idea.
- It's very important to wait for a retracement which will give you a better confirmation for swings
#Banknifty directions and levels for JAN 8th"Here are the directions for January 8th: The global market sentiment is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment shows a similar trend. It might open with a neutral to gap-down start, as indicated by Giftnifty showing -5.
I've mentioned a range market structure, so if it undergoes correction, we can expect a minimum of a 78% minor swing correction. On the other hand, if it experiences a pullback initially, it will likely reach the supply zone to swing high. These are basic range market targets. Range market trades are crucial for option buyers, so take your position if the structure is convenient for you. If there are any changes during the mid-market session, I will provide an update."
05 Jan ’24 — BankNifty gets a sharp reversal at 14.19 & pulls UPBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty opened inline and was looking quite decent till 10.07. The fall that came after that took out 559pts ~ 1.16%. Not quite sure what triggered that fall. Due to this, the impact was felt even on Nifty50. NiftyIT was roaring green at one end and then BankNifty underperforming at the other.
4mts chart link
Remember, we changed our stance from bearish to neutral yesterday and this fall started creating conflicting thoughts in our mind. What if the price action we had yesterday was a blip? But we got the right answers between 14.15 to 14.31 when Nifty50 managed to pull back. This also lifted BankNifty to ensure a flat closing for today.
63mts chart link
The neutral stance continues. On the downside, we have protection at 47539, and on the upside, the channel bottom line will prove as a minor resistance. As long as BN stays between these two, we will be glad to look out for non-directional option strategies.
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 8th Jan 24Last, we discussed Bank Nifty on the 3rd of January. It took very nice support from there and gave a very nice target, as expected. For tomorrow, as we can see from the charts, it has prepared an inverted HNS pattern. If that breaks to the upside, it's going to give us a very good target of 49000.
But on the other hand, it might also take resistance from here and again test the 200 EMA to the downside. But by looking at the trend strength, there are more chances to break to the upside.
If it breaks to the upside, we can go bullish; else, play neutral unless some sign of bearishness is there.
Key Points:
It's making an Inverted HNS pattern. If it breaks to the upside, it will give a nice target of 49000. (Bullish)
Price > EMA(13,50,200) which shows price have strength. The bulls are in control. (Bullish)
EMA(13,50) crossover shows bullishness in the Market.
RSI ~ 50 increasing continuously; if it breaks 60 to the upside, it will enter into the bullish zone, and good momentum can be expected.
OI data PCR = 0.7 raises some concerns about the bullish momentum; wait for it to go more than 0.85. Then you can enter the bull side.
upper trendline can provide rejection as it activated sellers in the last 30 min. It may provide resistance.
Verdict:
If it Breaks the HNS neckline (Trendline) to the upside, go Bullish.
Plan of Action:
If break successful Sell 48200 PE + Buy 46900 PE (For protection + Hedge in worst case) + Buy 48100 CE (To capture Bull momentum)
#Banknifty directions and levels for Jan 5thBanknifty also opens neutrally based on Giftnifty's indication. Should it experience a pullback, it might reach 48391, entering the supply zone. Structurally, this marks a sub-wave 3rd continuation. If it rejects either 48391 or the supply zone, a minor 4th correctional wave might occur, ranging from 23% to 38% Fibonacci correction. Once the 4th wave completes (with support around 38%, displaying a three-wave structure), we can expect the 5th impulsive wave (pullback wave).
Bearish perspective: Even if it opens with a gap-down, considering it as a 4th correctional wave, we can follow the previous statement. The crucial aspect here is if it breaches the 38% Fibonacci level, it might enter a range market between yesterday's high and the previous low.
Banknifty weekly expiry levels for 03/01/24.Banknifty has given a fall in daily charts, closing below the round number figure of 48k.
It is sitting around 50% fibonacci levels. Either it will retest 38.2% level or come to test 61.8% levels.
Major Support levels :- 47675, 47460
Tomorrow is weekly expiry and today itself has given a 470 points fall. If the market remain bearish the lower levels can be tested.
Resistance:- 48070-150, 48460
Market has given a retracement. There can be a chance of market reversing but will take a halt candle before reversing.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#Banknifty directions and levels for JAN 4thBanknifty might also open with a gap-up, supported by Giftnifty. If it breaks the immediate resistance of 38% convincingly, we can anticipate a continuation of the pullback.
Conversely, if it fails to sustain above this level, there might be consolidation between the 38% and the demand zone. In such a scenario, we could wait for a breakout. Should it break the consolidation pattern, we can consider a breakout entry.
03 Jan ’24 — BankNifty holds the line today, Bears still around.BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
BN just fell 742pts ~ 1.53% between the last expiry and today, logically it got only 4 working days as the last expiry was on a Thursday. A 742pts move is nothing considering the shape BN is currently in. Since the stance is now bearish, we are hoping for a build-up in the momentum soon.
63mts chart link
BankNifty Today Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
So both BN and N50 have the same stance of “bearish” now. Usually, when the directional bias is the same for both these indices, we expect the markets to cover some ground quickly.
4mts chart link
Except for the opening candle, BN had a pretty boring day otherwise. BN was keeping the losses under control on Nifty. And the banks ICICIBANK, AXISBANK & KOTAKBANK were trending in the opposite direction of HDFCBANK. Yesterday it was the real opposite - HDFC was staying cool while the others were dropping.
The expiry was meaningful today with frequent surges of volatility swinging the strike premiums. Even though BN managed to tread above water for some time, there were no visible signs of a bullish recovery.
16mts chart link
We are quite safely away from the channel now. To renter it, BN will have to rise to 48600+ tomorrow. If it doesn't, then it's in the bear’s control. We continue to look for shorting opportunities with the first target as 47006.
Bank Nifty - 04/01/2024 - LevelsHello Traders, Welcome to SriTrader5121
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Bank Nifty - 04/01/2024 - Levels
IMPORTENT ZONE FOR THE DAY: 47675 – 47690
Important Support and Resistance for the Day...
Support - Resistance -
Support-1: 47675 Resistance-1: 47878
Support-2: 47500 Resistance-2: 48110
Support-3: 47407 Resistance-3: 48216
Big-Support: 47200 Big- Resistance: 48450
____________________________________________
Happy Learning and Trading – TST5121
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Take entries after your own analysis.
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SHORT FORM &FULL FORM
0.5 -> 0.5% Swing
PDH -> Previous Day High
PDL -> Previous Day Low
PDC -> Previous Day Close
PDO -> Previous Day Open
PWH -> Previous Week High
PWO -> Previous Week Open
PWC -> Previous Week Close
PWL -> Previous Week Low
D_S -> Day Support
D_R -> Day Resistance
W_S -> Week Support
W_R -> Week Resistance
W_O -> Week Open
W_C -> Week Close
LW_O -> Last Week Open
LW_C -> Last Week Close
IMP -> Important
R@1, R@2, R@3... -> Resistance-Zones
S@1, S@2, S@3... -> Support-Zones
MS -> Major Support
SH -> Swing-High
SL -> Swing-Low
DT -> Double Top
DB -> Double Bottom
TT -> Triple Top
TB -> Triple Bottom
TF -> Time Frame
BO -> Break-Out
RR -> Risk-Reward
SL -> Stop-Loss
GAP -> The area b/w Previous Day Close and Today Open
Blue Color Text (S@*, R@*) -> Act as Major Support or Resistance-Zones (Be Alert, Chances to Market take Reversals)
If market open as a FLAT and moves to UP - SIDE then BUY with the Support of R-1 and SELL with the Rejection of R-1.
(Or)
If market open as a FLAT and moves to DOWN - Side then BUY with the Support of S-1 and SELL with the Rejection of PDL.
Possibility 2: GAP-UP
If market open as a GAP - UP and moves to UP - Side then BUY with the Support of PDH and SELL with the Rejection of PDH.
(Or)
If market open as a GAP - UP and moves to DOWN - Side then BUY with the Support of IMP and SELL with the Rejection of IMP.
Possibility 3: GAP-DOWN
If market open as a GAP - DOWN and moves to UP - Side then BUY with the Support of IMP and SELL with the Rejection of IMP.
(Or)
If market open as a GAP - DOWN and moves to DOWN - Side then BUY with the Support of W-R and SELL with the Rejection of W-R.
Banknifty live prediction for today 3 Jan 24As we discussed Banknifty, Banknifty gave a nice momentum yesterday and continues to go bearish today. But as we see the chart structure, it has been preparing for the rising wedge pattern. And right now, it is on the verge of breaking down to the downside. But it can also support 200 EMA and support zones. Here right now, two possible decisions can totally depend on how it reacts to the support zone. Looking at the pressure, it might break to the downside.
Reasons:
Price < EMAs that means bears are in control.
200 EMA might provide a good support. Also, it coincides with the Trend Support Zone, which might provide the support.
The RSI value is very low, which shows that bulls are weak at this point. But at the same time, the market is oversold.
if we see the OI data PCR = 0.71 which is bearish side. the market has more chances to go down.
it has given EMA(13,50) crossover that means market is having bearish tendency.
Verdict:
Bearish unless you take support at zone.
Plan of action:
wait for the market to act to this level.
02 Jan ’24 — BankNifty below the channel, Bears taking control?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish
All checkboxes ticked for a bearish trend reversal. Firstly, we got confirmation when we breached the ascending channel bottom line. Secondly, there was no attempt to retrace once we started falling. The low of the day was hit towards the end of session.
4mts chart link - click here
BankNifty has been the torchbearer for the trend reversals. Of late we were worried that the baton may be passed on to NiftyIT. The leader earlier and now is still BankNifty - today’s move was quite indicative of that. If it goes as per the script, we should be seeing further followthrough by Nifty & FinNifty tomorrow.
63mts chart link - click here
The last time we tried to breach the channel bottom line was on 21st Dec. It ended up as a trap for the bears. This time around, we have 6 candles created below the bottom line, and 5 of them in RED. Hope is not a keyword, but the bears have to cling to something to create momentum. We have anyway revised the stance to bearish with the first target being 47462 followed by 46939.
Banknifty prediction for today 2nd jan 24As we discussed in our last analysis, it has been in the up-channel. Yesterday, it did give a very lazy sideways move and then tried to go higher, but in the last 30 minutes, bearish sold like anything. and took control of the market. But if we look at the OI data, PCR is 0.82, which is neutral. And the chart channel has broken to the downside. I am expecting a bearish move today.
Reasons:
PRICE < EMA(13,50) (Bearish), meanwhile almost equal to EMA 200. That means it might take support at 200 EMA.
RSI < 40 sharp falls, shows control is in the bear's Hands. (Bearish)
channel has been broken to the downside. (Bearish)
OI data PCR 0.82 is neutral, but if there is a CE selling, then bears will be in total control of the market.
If it starts the bearish move, there is next support at 47450. it could be a nice day with good bearish momentum.
Verdict:
Bearish
Plan of action:
Sell 48100 CE + Buy 48900 CE
#Banknifty directions and levels for JAN 2ndBanknifty is undergoing a 4th correctional wave, with its sub-wave labeled 'C.' So, the C correction might continue in the initial market. Once the 'C' leg finds support around the demand zone, we can anticipate the 5th impulse wave. This is the basic structure. However, if it consolidates or decisively breaks the demand zone, then the correction is likely to continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for January 1st.Here are the directions for January 1st: The global market sentiment is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment shows a similar trend. It might open with a neutral to gap-down start, as indicated by Giftnifty showing -40.
Structurally, both Nifty and BankNifty indicate a range market, so we can expect significant movement after the immediate levels are broken. On the other hand, if they reject around the immediate level, then the range is likely to continue."
Banknifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for 02nd Jan 2024Happy New Year 2024 to everyone.. New beginnings are just around the corner.
Banknifty Prediction for Tomorrow
BEARISH Reversal from trend line resistance 48530, any breakout of trend line and resistance zone of 48610-48640 levels we can expect BULLISH Rally.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
Banknifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for 29 Dec 2023Banknifty Prediction for Tomorrow
BEARISH Reversal from All time high.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 29/12/2023The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 29-12-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.