23 May 2024 - BankNifty stance is bullish now, but 48947 crucialBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Yesterday we changed the stance from bullish to neutral as 48115 resistance was not breached, but that break came by 09.51 today. Hope you got my email when we revised the stance back to bullish via trading view.
The intraday rally was a whopping 957pts ~ 2.00% and we took out 2 resistances today viz - 48115 and 48661. The next one is at 48947. On a higher time frame, BN will receive more momentum once this resistance is taken out. The reason was the rejection of this level on 10th April and that may have a bearing.
Bankniftyview
BankNifty levels - May 24, 2024Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 23.05.2024Yesterday, BankNifty reacted from the supply zone (48,213 - 48,458) mentioned in our previous post and dropped approximately 800 points from 48,200. It found support in the 47,346 - 47,542 zone and rebounded nearly 500 points from a low of 47,435. The daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways, but the 75-minute and hourly trends are negative.
An important level to watch is 47,877, which is the 61.8% retracement of the last swing. Any significant move with volume in either direction will likely determine the next trend in BankNifty.
Support Levels:
Near Support: 47,160 - 47,293
Previous Support: 47,346 - 47,542
Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance Zone: 48,213 - 48,458 (remains the same)
More Distant Resistance: 48,784 - 49,011
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 23.BankNifty presents a different scenario from Nifty, with its structure indicating a range-bound market. If the gap-down sustains, we can expect a minimum level of 47,547. If it then faces a sharp rejection, the range is likely to continue. However, if it breaks 47547, it could reach47340 to 47256.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and the market pulls back initially, we can expect a minimum level of 48,083. Following this, if it faces a sharp rejection, the range is likely to continue. If it breaks 48,083, it could move up to 48,166 to 48,259.
22 May 2024 - BankNifty stance revised to neutral, not bullishThe trades on banknifty were going on perfectly till 14.30. The final hour took out all the profits from the intraday straddles, not just that the algos ended the day in RED. The moves that came in the 2 16mts candles 14.51 and 15.07 were not normal.
Yes, we have seen even wilder moves from BN earlier, but today was just stop loss hunting by the HFTs - how else would you explain a 500pts swing in 32mts??
We are not bearish as 47465 support was held, and the reason we are not bullish is that 48115 resistance was not taken out. Between these 2 levels, we would like to maintain a neutral stance.
Also decided against running nifty50 algos on Thursdays as the stakes are too high. It is better to sit the day out than risk my capital, effort, and time for the manipulative games by the HFTs.
NIFTY : The tentative stage of a market melt-up stage PROB#2.1This analysis represents a modified view of the chart analysis initially published on TradingView on March 1, building upon the insights provided in my previous assessment labeled "NIFTY : The tentative stage of a market melt-up stage in PROB#2". The modifications take into account evolving market conditions and additional data, and it is important to recognize that market dynamics can change rapidly.
Please be advised that this updated analysis is subject to inherent uncertainties and should not be considered a standalone recommendation. It is highly recommended to refer to the original assessment labeled PROB#2 for a comprehensive understanding of the initial insights. Users are encouraged to exercise caution and conduct their own research before making any trading or investment decisions based on this modified view.
Remember that trading and investing involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always stay informed and consider your individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance.
NIFTY and other market charts were analyzed in their raw form: THE CURRENT STAGE
In October-November 2023, NIFTY exhibited a broadening pattern. Typically, such formations, following coiling, break either upward or downward. When formed at the top, it is generally considered a reversal pattern. However, in November 2023, it broke upwards and precisely reached the target measured to the R point (maximum width between 4 and 5 in the broadening formation) in January 2024. Subsequently, I evaluated whether, after reaching target R, NIFTY would experience a significant drawdown similar to BANKNIFTY, as depicted in the chart below. This outcome is a probable result after reaching the target.
Currently, NIFTY has moved out of the pennant coil, a continuation pattern. It is expected to make a move towards the 25200 levels (measured from 4 to R pole length), approximately 14% from the breaking point of the continuation pattern. This is anticipated to be achieved within the current year.
BANKNIFTY, upon reaching the minimum range target R in the broadening formation (attained by measuring the minimum width between 1 and 2), experienced a significant pullback back into the broadening pattern, as indicated by the orange trajectory line. This is a typical outcome of broadening formations, where reaching the target forms a strong resistance (R) and encounters substantial rejection.
As of now, BANKNIFTY has formed a W pattern (dotted orange trajectory line), and the W target, approximately 4.8% towards the previous resistance, is currently in progress.
NIFTY CHART LINK:
BANKNIFTY CHART LINK:
BankNifty levels - May 23, 2024Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
#BankNifty directions and levels for May 22nd.BankNifty is forming a gramophone structure, which is a consolidation pattern. We can expect a rally only if it breaks the immediate resistance at 48,195 with minor consolidation. If this happens, the next target should be a minimum of 48,360, up to the 50% Fibonacci level.
Alternatively, if the market rejects around 48,195 or if there are sharp declines initially, we can expect a correction to a minimum of the 38% Fibonacci level.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 22.05.2024Yesterday, BankNifty reacted from the supply zone mentioned in our previous post and closed below the previous day's low, indicating selling pressure in banking stocks.
Support Levels:
Nearest Small Support: 47,770 - 47,840
Far Support: 47,346 - 47,542
Resistance Levels:
Small Resistance: 48,210 - 48,260
Major Resistance Zone: 48,213 - 48,458 (remains the same)
More Distant Resistance: 48,784 - 49,011
21 May 2024 - BankNifty has a candle below Banknifty had a more flattish tone today compared to Nifty. The hesitance to get past the 48115 resistance was clearly visible. Even though Nifty closed the day flat, BN gave up some points ~ 151, -0.31%.
We wish to start the 22nd with a bullish view but switch back to neutral if the 48115 resistance is not getting taken out.
Since 22nd is the expiry day, the actual moves may not be conclusive. Will wait for the 3pm move to guess the direction with a higher confidence level
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow Expiry 22 MayAs we discussed, Banknifty was sideways today.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at 200 EMA, breaking off, which might lead to a double top neck break to the downside. The market is making a rising wedge pattern after a huge fall, which might be a preparation for next fall to the downside if it beaks to the downside. Important support levels will be 47800, 47387, and 47000. on the other hand, 48231, 48445, and 48587 are going to provide a good price action resistance.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.73, which has fallen from 0.98, which shows huge CE writing on the upper side, indicating a bearish structure in the market. 48000 is maxPain. On the higher side, there is a huge amount of resistance at each level. However, on the lower side, PE writing is less effective, which indicates that the market might fall in the upcoming session.
I am expecting a sideways market inside a rising wedge pattern. If it breaks down, I expect a good bearish move to the 47387 level.
Reason:
RSI is 40-60 shows the market is going to be sideways.
Price < EMA(13,200), which indicates weak bulls.
The market is making a rising wedge pattern. If it breaks to the downside, it's going to give a nice fall.
The market is making double the top if the price breaks the downside of 200 EMA. There is a high probability of market bearishness.
price < VWAP shows weak market structure.
Verdict: Sideways inside rising wedge. if breaks to downside Bearish.
Plan of action:
Sell 48200 CE and 48800 PE (Hedge it with 15/- premium)
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 21st.BankNifty has been consolidating after the sharp correction, which is totally different from Nifty. Anyway, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect the next target to be the 50% Fibonacci level.
An alternate scenario, similar to Nifty, suggests the possibility of a long correction if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. However, if it doesn’t break 38%, then the pullback will continue with some consolidation
17, 18th May - BankNifty is above 48115, bullish tone continuesOn 16th, we bounced from 47465 and that really helped BN to reach upto 48115 on 17th. But it was unable to get past those levels.
Om 18th, BN got past 48115 resistance showing further bullish intent. Our next target would be 48661 and to go neutral we need to break 47465.
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 20 May 24As we discussed Banknifty sideways or Bullish; it ended-up sideways with high volatility on upper side.
If we look at the chart:
The market is trading at support (Price action + 200 EMA support) right now. the important levels for tomorrow are 200 EMA, 48000, 47400 will be working as very good support. while 48445, and 49125 will be working as nice resistance.
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 0.98 shows bullish structure. if we notice most of the time today there was only position wind off. 48200 seems to be working as max-pain. while major shpport zone is 48000. on the higher side 48500 is going to provide a heavy resistance.
As market is in breakout phase I am expecting market yet to go higher.
Reasons:
RSI crossing 60 to upside that might be a starting of new bullish trend.
Price > EMA (13, 200), which shows the market can take support at 200 EMA and go bullish.
PCR = 0.98 shows a bullish sign.
Price > VWAP means bulls are getting strength.
The market has already given a breakout it was a good accumulation today; soon, it will shoot to the upside soon. unless there is some political news effect.
Verdict:
Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 48000 PE and 48400CE (Hedge with 20/- Premium)
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 18.05.2024BankNifty traded sideways yesterday after breaking the psychological level of 48000. The nearest support zone is identified between 47770 and 47840, with a farther support zone extending from 47482 to 47542. On the resistance side, the nearest level is between 48213 and 48458, while a more distant resistance level is seen at 48784 to 49011.
BankNifty levels - May 21, 2024Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 17th.Bank Nifty has a range-bound structure after the huge swing. If the market breaks the range, we can expect a rally continuation with minor consolidations. However, if the market faces rejection around the immediate resistance level, it may continue within the range further.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 17.05.2024BankNifty has entered the supply zone mentioned yesterday, ranging from 48051 to 48146. If BankNifty breaks above 48150, the nearest resistance zone remains at 48222 to 48457. On the downside, the nearest support zone is identified between 47160 and 47293, with a further support zone extending from 46870 to 47015.
16 May 2024 - BankNifty goes bullish, strong intraday rallyBankNifty Analysis — Stance Bullish ⬆️
The stance on BN also revised to bullish not because we took out the resistance, but due to the 707pts ~ 1.5% intraday rally that came right from the support level. Usually, powerful moves like this will have extended legs that could start appearing in days to follow.
We only need to know whether the move came out from a news event or not because if it did, then no amount of technical analysis can codify it. BN has also formed a W pattern showing bullishness.
On the 63mts TF, the final candle of the day almost fills the gap between the support and resistance. Hoping to see follow through tomorrow.
The algos were at a loss today, understandably so because of the wild swings we got today.
Bank Nifty closed near imp 48k level amid high Volatility Bank Nifty remained volatile throughout the session after opening on a positive note today
A Small body Bullish candle is formed on daily chart with long lower wick.
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 48200/300
whereas downside support is around 47200 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show quick swings during the last phase of elections
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 17 May 24As we discussed Banknifty sideways or Bullish; it ended-up sideways with high volatility.
If we look at the chart:
The market is trading at resistance (Price action + 200 EMA resistance) right now. the important levels for tomorrow are 47401, 47000 will be working as very good support. while 200 EMA, 47970, and 48332 will be working as nice resistance.
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 0.88 shows bullish structure. if we notice today after 11 AM they is a very heavy CE winding up in the market. 48000 CE was removed approx 33% that shows big players are winding up CE positions in heavy quantity. which might push the market to upside.
FII and DII not yet available.
I nam expecting market to go Higher in uppcoming sessions.
Reasons:
RSI crossing 60 to upside that might be a starting of new bullish trend.
Price > EMA (13) but less than 200 EMA(resistance), which shows the market still has to break 200 EMA to go bullish.
PCR = 0.88 shows a bullish sign.
Price > VWAP means bulls are getting strength.
The market has already given a breakout it was a good accumulation today; soon, it will shoot to the upside.
Verdict:
Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 48000 CE and 47600 PE (Hedge with 20/- Premium)
BankNifty levels - May 17, 2024Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 16.05.2024BankNifty maintains stability with no changes in the support and resistance levels outlined in the previous post. The near support zone persists between 47160 and 47293, accompanied by a far support zone ranging from 46870 to 47015. Similarly, the nearest resistance zone for BankNifty remains unchanged, positioned at 48051 to 48146, with a more distant resistance observed between 48222 and 48457.