Nifty: Market Structure under LensClassic definition of a bull market is the market having a structure representing higher lows and higher highs . But when the market breaches a significant swing low, it also breaks the bull market structure.
Why are Swing Lows important?
While most of the long to medium term smart bulls enter at swing lows, many swing traders and medium to long term investors put their stops under these swing lows. The breach of a significant swing low not only takes the prices down sharply but also diminishes the bullish sentiment.
The NiftyIndex has not breached any of the immediately preceding significant swing low made since December2016. Only in April and May 2017 these swing points came under risk but were not broken. So far, this bull market structure has kept the bullish sentiment intact for the bulls to buy the lows.
But the current price action of the market has put the bullish structure under scanner.
Market decisively broke a long term trend line, made a significant swing low at 9560, kept the swings intact and reversed. It then failed to cross the trend line and fell sharply. The bearish candles at these levels are pointing towards further weakness. BUT the swing at 9560 is still not breached and the bullish structure is intact. There could be a possibility that we enter into range bound market OR we may breach 9560.
What if 9560 is breached? Then bull market structure would be broken. Many long to medium term stops would be hit, volatility will increase with wider spreads. The bullish sentiment would be faded, and perhaps we may face a deeper correction.
Lets see how the price action unfolds.
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Trade Safe, Stay Healthy.
Best Regards
Afraidtotrade
