Nifty 50 │ 14-12-2021Nifty-50 Is on Bearish Trend
Date:- 14-12-2021
BEARISH :- SHORT-SELLING { NEGATIVE }
Nifty-50 Movement :- ( 284 ~ ) Points ( Negative Closing )
Nifty-50 { 3:30 PM } T.C.A :- ( 17096 ~ )
STOP-LOSS :- Uses Your Own Stop-Loss
Quantum Physics Researcher :- Jeevan Singh
Nifty-50 T.C.A Created Using With HPC ( High performance Computing )
Guys This is R&D ( Research And Development ) Purpose Only.
I am Not Responsible If your Stop-Loss Hit And! I am Also Not Responsible If Regulator Call Me Manipulator.
Thank You For Making Trust And Don't Forget To Support Me!
Bearish Patterns
HDFC (Daily) - Head & Shoulders Chart Pattern HDFC (Daily) - Head & Shoulders Chart Pattern
Possible top fishing of the right shoulder
Seems to be the start of C wave
MACD downtick in daily and weekly timeframes (wave and tide)
Stochastic 14,3,3 is in negative crossover
-DI is above +DI and the ADX is above 15 in the Directional Movement Index (DMI)
Fake breakout of the 50 ema as well
Target 1 - 2668
Target 2 - 2364
Seems to be a good case for shorting
Ethereum: Bearish view for this monthThis is not an investment advise!!!
Head and shoulders pattern formation on ethereum on a Daily timeframe
Target should be around 3400 levels.
* I'm not an expert analyst. This is something is just learnt, so I'm sharing this with public.
If you guys find anything wrong with this post, you can tell me about that in comments.
Have a nice day!😄
NIFTY... THE BOTTOM IS SOMEWHERE NEAR...The 16700 which was a resistance level during August should be a strong support to Nifty now.
This line also corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement in Nifty.
Once Nifty reaches 17700 to 17600 I'll close my short positions in Nifty as a quick short covering rally might occur.
If nifty breaks and closes below 17600, then we can short again for 0.618 retracement which is at around 17200 levels.
Indices defy FTSE cues, break key levels to end in Red,NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 06-12-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17209.05
H 17216.75
L 16891.70
C 16912.25
EOD -284.45 points / -1.65%
India VIX 20.08/+8.05%
SGX Nifty 06-12-21 @ 1940h = +22 points
FII DII = -1660 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a mild gap up and immediately sold off as FIIs were net sellers on 3-12.
It then never looked back and kept drifting downwards. It made failed attempts to stay above 17120.
Once 17100 was also broken, it made a few attempts to retest 17100 but it had become very weak by then and followed the path of least resistance and fell another 100+ points.
Nifty has thus made a lower high and a much lower low which is aot a good indication.
In comparison to Nifty, Bank Nifty was somewhat better off.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 1
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 116
Net = -115
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 0
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 265
Net = -265
POSITIVES
The only positive that I can think of is that the markets had to end at 1530h which was the EOD time. The indices would have kept leaking as there was no buying seen at any of the ;evels.
NEGATIVES
Please refer to Insights 1 and 2 as that is where the negativity gets explained.
Nifty and Bank Nifty have ended very close to their respective day low despite the close price being worked out on a weighted average basis for the last half an hour.
This is not a good sign at all.
FII DII net negative.
TRADING RANGE FOR 07 Dec 21
The way the indices have behaved today, I feel it is best not to make a false attempt to draw the lines. I would wait for a couple of days - post RBI policy to start finding the supports and resistances. Every small rise is sold into - this indicates a bearish market.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
There was only 1 Lifter for Nifty and that UPL and its contribution when rounded off to the higher round number came to 1!! This was the sense of negativity prevailing in the market. I have not seen such a situation in the last 2.5 months since I have started tracking EOD numbers.
What a strange and unfortunate incident - none of the Bank Nifty members was able to contribute in the positive today. I started tracking Lifters & Draggers of Bank Nifty recently so not sure if such a situation was encountered yesterday.
Now that the respective ATHs of the indices are far and away, this is surely not a bull market and I am not sure whether this is the beginning of the bear market.
FTSE at the open and long thereafter was up almost 1% and yet our indices ignored the positive cue. I do not know whether FIIs want to empty their portfolio by this weekend or the market is seeing something that is not yet visible or on the horizon about Omicron.
What do you feel about this?
Here is the video link --
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
6-12-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
SHORT BELOW 17142 LEVELWhy this Trade..??
1.Head & Shoulders Pattern(Depth is still Pending)
2.Market Sentiment
3.Trading in a Falling Path
4.Next Support 16690 is yet to reach
Buy or Sell based on the Support Break with Volume
This Analysis works for sure!!!
Disclaimer:This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.We're not responsible for any loss or profits.
SHORT BELOW 17142 LEVELWhy this Trade..??
1.Head & Shoulders Pattern(Depth is still Pending)
2.Market Sentiment
3.Trading in a Falling Path
4.Next Support 16690 is yet to reach
Buy or Sell based on the Support Break with Volume
This Analysis works for sure!!!
Disclaimer:This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.We're not responsible for any loss or profits.
CADILAHC-Falling ChannelWhy this Trade..??
1. Trading in a falling Channel
Buy or Sell based on the Support Break with Volume
This Analysis works for sure!!!
Disclaimer:This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.We're not responsible for any loss or profits.
GLENMARK - Triangle and Flag Why this Trade..??
1.Broadening Triangle Pattern
2.Bearish Flag
Buy or Sell based on the Support Break with Volume
Disclaimer:This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.We're not responsible for any loss or profits.
BATA INDIA - Triangle PatternWhy this Trade..??
1. Triangle Pattern
Buy or Sell based on the Support Break with Volume
Disclaimer:This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.We're not responsible for any loss or profits.
ETHUSDT Bear Flag?
On daily time frame, RSI is making lower highs but the price is making higher highs. That in my experience is a bear divergence with clear rising wedge pattern. Keep an eye on all the price levels when ETH breaks down the triangle. The only thing that can keep this from happening is announcement of L2 or ETH2 merge on ETH mainnet
WHICH WAY COULD THE MARKETS GO FROM HERE? (BANKNIFTY)The global cues lately have not been the best and markets are correcting quite aggressively lately. BankNifty has corrected a little over 15% and Nifty close to 10%
The pattern I am observing now is a triangle pattern, with both an upside possibility as well as downside.
The trade plan:
Bullish:
Entry upon breakout above higher trendline (36,650)
SL: 36,050
Target: 37,850
Risk-Reward: 1:2
Bearish:
Entry upon breakdown below lower trendline (35,900)
SL: 36,500
Target: 34,700
Risk-Reward: 1:2
I know that the SL and Target are quite large, hence, this would be a good opportunity to practice position sizing. Generally for smaller targets I could trade full quantities, but for this my risk is only about 100-200 points and targets around 400 points max. But considering the VIX is trading around 20, the volatility is high and larger targets can be achieved. So, if the SL and target are upto 3x my normal trades, this where I will cut down my positioning by 1/3. Example, if my full quantity is 150 (6 lots), I will only trade 50 (2 lots) which is exactly 1/3. This will ensure that larger SL does not mean more risk in absolute terms.