Market Phases with Rolling VWAP📘Overview
Rolling VWAP helps define market structure by identifying different phases of price behavior.
Instead of using VWAP as just a single line, combining it with expanding and contracting bands allows us to understand whether the market is trending or consolidating.
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📉 Key Price Action
• Price below VWAP with expanding bands indicates bearish pressure
• Narrow bands with flat VWAP signal consolidation
• Price above VWAP with expanding bands confirms bullish momentum
• Band contraction followed by expansion often leads to a strong directional move
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📊 Chart Explanation
🔴 Bearish Phase
Price remains below VWAP, and bands expand downward.
VWAP acts as dynamic resistance, showing selling pressure.
🟡 Consolidation Phase
Bands contract and VWAP flattens.
This indicates low volatility and market indecision before the next move.
🟢 Bullish Phase
Price moves above VWAP with expanding bands.
VWAP acts as dynamic support, confirming upward momentum.
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📌 Summary
Rolling VWAP provides a structured way to read market phases.
By observing price position relative to VWAP and the behavior of bands, traders can identify transitions between bearish, neutral, and bullish conditions.
🔮 Future Outlook
As long as price holds above VWAP, the bias remains bullish.
A shift below VWAP may indicate a transition back into consolidation or bearish conditions.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Bearishbias
NIFTY-27-07-2022-Profit Booking to Continue ?As discussed in our study yesterday, the market witnessed further profit booking which forced the index to close below 16500. The next support levels for the index are near 16300/16200 levels. The market can move higher only if the index sustains above 16500 . However given the FnO data and price action we maintain a mild negative bias and expect further profit booking. Given that tomorrow is monthly expiry we may see some sharp moves in the 16500-16200 range. Important levels for the day are given below
Bullish Above 16560
Possible Upside targets - 16600/16660/16710
Bearish Below- 16520
Possible Downside targets - 16460/16400/16380/16340/16280
Disclaimer:
The analysis provided is for educational purpose and the author does not assume any responsibility for the trades initiated based on the analysis. Consult your financial advisor before making any trades.

