EURUSD – 15M | Liquidity Sweep → Demand Reaction →Mean ReversionPrice delivered a clean sell-side liquidity sweep into a higher-timeframe demand zone.
Displacement down exhausted, followed by acceptance and stabilization inside value.
Current structure suggests:
Sell-side taken ✔️
Price reacting from HTF demand ✔️
Expectation: mean reversion toward premium / EQ highs
Plan:
Longs favored only after confirmation on LTF
Ideal entry: sweep + reclaim of intraday lows
Targets aligned toward prior supply / liquidity resting above
Invalidation: clean breakdown and acceptance below demand
Bias stays bullish as long as demand holds.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Fresh Food, Fresh EPS: FRPT Surprises Wall StreetThe Redoubling is my own research project on TradingView, which is designed to answer the following question: How long will it take me to double my capital? Each article will focus on a different company that I'll try to add to my model portfolio. I'll use the close price of the last daily candle on the day the article is published as the initial buy limit price. I'll make all my decisions based on fundamental analysis. Furthermore, I'm not going to use leverage in my calculations, but I'll reduce my capital by the amount of commissions (0.1% per trade) and taxes (20% capital gains and 25% dividend). To find out the current price of the company's shares, just click the Play button on the chart. But please use this stuff only for educational purposes. Just so you know, this isn't investment advice.
Here’s a detailed, structured company overview for NASDAQ:FRPT (Freshpet, Inc.) based on its financial state:
1. Main areas of activity Freshpet, Inc. is a U.S.–based pet food manufacturer focused on producing and marketing fresh, refrigerated meals and treats for dogs and cats. Its core business spans the development, manufacturing, and distribution of natural, minimally processed pet foods under its own brand names, leveraging a proprietary refrigerated distribution network in grocery, pet‑specialty, and other retail channels across North America and Europe.
2. Business model Freshpet generates revenue by selling pet food products directly to retail partners, including grocery chains, pet stores, mass merchants, club stores, and e‑commerce platforms. Its business model is B2B2C: it manufactures products and sells them through retailers who then sell to pet owners. The company emphasizes brand loyalty and repeat purchases via its high‑quality, fresh food offerings, which require refrigeration and are positioned at a premium compared to traditional dry or canned pet food.
3. Flagship products or services Freshpet’s principal offerings include refrigerated dog food, cat food, and pet treats. Products are marketed under the Freshpet brand, with additional treat lines like DogNation and Dog Joy. These items are designed around fresh meat, vegetables, and fruits without preservatives or artificial additives, and are sold in forms such as meals, rolls, and tubs.
4. Key countries for business The company is primarily active in the United States and Canada, where it has the largest retail presence. It also distributes products in Europe, expanding its footprint beyond North America. Retail availability spans multiple channels, including mass, club, grocery, and specialty pet outlets.
5. Main competitors Key competitors stem from both traditional pet food and fresh/natural brands:
Blue Buffalo (General Mills) and Hill’s Pet Nutrition (Colgate‑Palmolive) in premium pet food.
Smaller fresh/natural pet food brands like The Farmer’s Dog, Ollie, and Nom Nom, which often sell direct‑to‑consumer.
Broader food companies like Vital Farms, Utz Brands, Lamb Weston, etc., operate in the wider consumer food sector but overlap competitively in specific product categories.
6. External and internal factors contributing to profit growth External factors:
Strong consumer trend toward pet humanization and premium quality pet food, which supports demand for fresh, healthy options.
Expanding pet ownership and rising pet care spending, especially in North America.
These trends create opportunities for Freshpet to grow its market share and expand retail presence.
Internal factors: Unique refrigerated product positioning and brand loyalty, differentiating it from conventional pet food.
Strategic retailer partnerships and proprietary refrigerated distribution units, enhancing product visibility and repeat purchases.
Operational expansion and marketing focused on health‑conscious pet owners, enabling scalable growth in existing and new markets.
7. External and internal factors contributing to profit decline External factors: Economic pressures and shifts in consumer behavior, with tighter household budgets potentially reducing premium purchases.
Growing competition from major food companies entering the fresh pet food space, e.g., General Mills expanding Blue Buffalo into fresh offerings.
Internal factors:
Dependency on refrigerated logistics increases cost and complexity relative to shelf‑stable pet foods.
Slower growth in certain segments (e.g., cat food) might limit broader adoption as consumer preferences shift.
8. Stability of management Executive changes over past 5 years:
Freshpet’s executive leadership includes CEO Billy Cyr, with recent activity in board and senior management roles, reflecting focused leadership continuity in executing growth strategies.
Impact on corporate strategy and culture:
Management continuity has supported a consistent focus on premium product innovation, refrigerated distribution infrastructure, and brand expansion, contributing to long‑term strategic consistency and strengthening market positioning.
An analysis of business conditions indicates that earnings per share are currently growing above analysts' consensus forecasts amid steady long-term revenue growth, while performance and financial stability indicators such as accounts receivable turnover and debt-to-revenue ratio appear strong, confirming high-quality operational management and a healthy balance sheet structure. Cash flows from operating, investing, and financing activities are assessed as stable, indicating the company's balanced ability to generate and allocate capital. Among the indicators of medium priority, the steady long-term growth in return on capital and gross margin supports the picture of stable profitability, the achieved growth in the operating expense ratio reflects improved cost control, and strong values for supplier payment terms, inventory-to-revenue ratio, and current liquidity confirm reliable working capital management; at the same time, the lack of progress in interest coverage remains the only limiting factor that does not change the overall positive assessment. With a P/E ratio of 27, which is considered acceptable, the current valuation appears reasonable given the moderately stable growth profile. No critical news has been identified that could jeopardize the stability of the business or lead to a risk of insolvency. Considering a diversification coefficient of 20 and a deviation of the current share price from its average annual value of more than 4 EPS, a decision was made to invest 5% of capital in this company at the closing price of the last daily bar, reflecting a balanced and conservative approach to the position within a diversified portfolio.
NAUKRI – Tight Range, Clear Structure, Price Under CompressionPrice has been moving inside a well-defined converging range, with lower highs pressing from the top and higher lows holding from the bottom.
Each rejection from the upper line and each response from the lower line shows that both buyers and sellers are active, but volatility is gradually compressing.
This kind of structure usually forms when the market is digesting the previous move and deciding the next direction.
No indicators, no assumptions — just pure price respecting structure.
At this stage, the focus is not on guessing, but on observing how price behaves as it approaches the edge of the range.
Clarity always comes from price itself.
XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 07th - 08th JAN2026(3.30 am)XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels for 07th - 08th JAN2026(3.30 am)
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
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❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
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💡 If You LOOKING any CHART, You want me to ANALYZE?
Share your desired stock names in the comments below! I will try to analyze the chart patterns and share my technical view (so far my Knowledge).
If Viewers think It can identify meaningful setups. Looking forward to hearing from all of you — let's keep this discussion going and help each other make better trading decisions.
Price Action Trading: Understanding the Language of the MarketWhat Is Price Action?
Price action refers to the analysis of a market’s price movement using historical price data, primarily through candlestick charts, bar charts, or line charts. Instead of depending on indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, price action traders observe how price behaves at key levels, how candles form, and how buyers and sellers interact.
Price action trading is not about predicting the future with certainty; it is about understanding probabilities and making informed decisions based on how price reacts in specific situations.
Why Price Action Is Important
Price action is important because it is raw and direct. Indicators are derived from price, which means they are often lagging. Price action, on the other hand, gives real-time insight into market behavior.
Key advantages of price action include:
It works in all markets (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto).
It is effective across all timeframes, from intraday to long-term.
It helps traders understand market psychology.
It reduces chart clutter and over-analysis.
It adapts well to changing market conditions.
Because of these qualities, price action is widely used by professional traders, institutional desks, and experienced retail traders.
The Foundation of Price Action
To understand price action, one must first understand market structure. Market structure describes how price moves in trends and ranges.
Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows
Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows
Range: Price moves sideways between support and resistance
Recognizing the market structure helps traders decide whether to look for buying opportunities, selling opportunities, or range-based trades.
Support and Resistance in Price Action
Support and resistance are the backbone of price action trading.
Support is a price level where buying interest is strong enough to stop price from falling further.
Resistance is a level where selling pressure prevents price from moving higher.
Price action traders focus on how price reacts at these levels rather than assuming the level will always hold. Strong reactions, rejections, or consolidations near support and resistance provide valuable clues about market intent.
Candlestick Behavior and Storytelling
Candlesticks are the language of price action. Each candle tells a story about the battle between buyers and sellers during a specific time period.
Some important candlestick concepts in price action include:
Large candles: Indicate strong momentum.
Small candles: Suggest indecision or consolidation.
Long wicks: Show rejection of a price level.
Strong closes: Reveal who is in control—buyers or sellers.
Rather than memorizing candle patterns mechanically, effective price action traders focus on context—where the candle forms, at what level, and in which market condition.
Price Action Patterns
Price action patterns emerge from repeated human behavior in markets. Some commonly observed patterns include:
Breakouts and false breakouts
Pullbacks in trends
Reversal formations
Consolidation ranges
However, price action is not about trading patterns blindly. A pattern has meaning only when it aligns with market structure, trend direction, and key price levels.
Trends and Pullbacks
One of the most reliable price action concepts is trading with the trend. In a strong trend, price does not move in a straight line—it advances, pulls back, and then continues.
Price action traders look for:
Shallow pullbacks in strong trends.
Clear rejection signals at trend-support levels.
Continuation moves after consolidation.
This approach allows traders to enter trades with the dominant market force rather than fighting against it.
Breakouts and False Breakouts
Breakouts occur when price moves beyond a well-defined support or resistance level. While breakouts can lead to strong moves, many fail and turn into false breakouts, trapping traders.
Price action helps identify the difference by observing:
Strength of the breakout candle.
Volume and momentum (if available).
Follow-through after the breakout.
Immediate rejection back into the range.
False breakouts are especially valuable because they often lead to sharp moves in the opposite direction.
Market Psychology and Price Action
At its heart, price action is a study of human psychology. Fear, greed, hesitation, and confidence are reflected directly in price movements.
For example:
Rapid price movement shows urgency.
Slow grinding price indicates uncertainty.
Sharp rejections reveal emotional extremes.
Consolidation suggests balance between buyers and sellers.
By understanding these behaviors, traders learn to anticipate where others may panic or become overconfident, creating trading opportunities.
Risk Management in Price Action Trading
Price action is not complete without disciplined risk management. Even the best setups fail. Successful traders focus not on winning every trade but on managing losses and maximizing winners.
Key risk principles include:
Predefined stop-loss levels based on price structure.
Risking a small percentage of capital per trade.
Favorable risk-to-reward ratios.
Avoiding emotional decision-making.
Price action provides logical stop placements because it is based on real price levels rather than arbitrary indicator values.
Simplicity and Mastery
One of the greatest strengths of price action is its simplicity. However, simplicity does not mean easy. Mastery requires:
Screen time and observation.
Patience to wait for high-quality setups.
Emotional control and discipline.
Continuous learning and review.
Price action traders develop confidence not from prediction, but from consistency and clarity.
Conclusion
Price action trading is the art and science of reading the market directly through price movement. It strips away unnecessary complexity and brings the trader closer to the true source of market information. By understanding market structure, support and resistance, candlestick behavior, and market psychology, traders gain a deeper and more reliable framework for decision-making.
Discipline Wins: The Foundation of Consistent Profits for TraderUnderstanding Discipline in Trading
Discipline in trading means the ability to follow a predefined plan regardless of emotions, market noise, or short-term outcomes. It involves executing trades according to rules, managing risk consistently, and accepting losses as a normal part of the process. A disciplined trader does not trade based on excitement, fear, greed, or social influence. Instead, every decision is intentional, measured, and aligned with long-term objectives.
Most traders fail not because their strategy is bad, but because they lack the discipline to execute it properly. They enter early, exit late, increase position size impulsively, or abandon their system after a few losses. Discipline keeps the trader aligned with probability, patience, and process.
Discipline vs. Strategy: Why Discipline Matters More
A common misconception is that success comes from finding the best strategy. In reality, an average strategy executed with strong discipline often outperforms an excellent strategy executed without discipline. Even the most profitable trading systems experience drawdowns. Without discipline, traders interfere with the system during losing phases, destroying its long-term edge.
Discipline ensures consistency in execution. Markets operate on probabilities, not certainties. Only disciplined repetition allows the statistical edge of a strategy to play out over time. Without discipline, randomness dominates results.
Emotional Control: The Core of Discipline
Trading is a psychological game disguised as a financial one. Fear and greed are the two dominant emotions that disrupt discipline. Fear causes traders to exit winning trades too early or avoid valid setups. Greed pushes traders to overtrade, overleverage, or hold positions beyond their logical exit points.
Discipline acts as a shield against emotional decision-making. When traders follow rules instead of emotions, they reduce impulsive behavior. Emotional control does not mean eliminating emotions; it means not acting on them. A disciplined trader feels fear and excitement but still follows the plan.
Risk Management: Discipline in Action
Risk management is where discipline becomes tangible. Consistent traders define their risk before entering a trade and never violate it. This includes setting stop losses, position sizing correctly, and limiting overall exposure.
A disciplined trader understands that capital preservation is more important than profit maximization. One undisciplined trade with excessive risk can wipe out weeks or months of steady gains. By respecting risk limits every time, traders ensure longevity in the market.
Discipline in risk management also means accepting small losses without hesitation. Traders who refuse to take losses often turn small mistakes into catastrophic ones. Discipline turns losses into controlled business expenses rather than emotional failures.
Discipline Creates Consistency, Not Perfection
Consistency in trading does not mean winning every trade. It means producing repeatable behavior and stable performance over time. Discipline ensures that the trader shows up every day with the same mindset, the same rules, and the same respect for the process.
Markets are unpredictable in the short term, but disciplined actions produce predictable results over the long term. This is why professional traders focus more on daily execution quality than on daily profit and loss.
Avoiding Overtrading Through Discipline
Overtrading is one of the biggest account killers. Many traders feel the need to be constantly active, believing that more trades equal more profits. Discipline teaches patience—waiting only for high-quality setups that match predefined criteria.
A disciplined trader understands that not trading is also a trading decision. Sitting out during unclear market conditions protects capital and mental energy. Fewer, well-planned trades often outperform frequent impulsive ones.
Discipline Builds Trust in Yourself
When traders follow their rules consistently, they begin to trust their own process. This self-trust is critical for long-term success. Without it, traders constantly second-guess themselves, jump between strategies, and remain emotionally unstable.
Discipline creates confidence not from winning trades, but from knowing that every action taken was correct according to the plan. Even losing trades feel manageable when they are the result of disciplined execution.
Discipline and Long-Term Thinking
Short-term thinking destroys traders. Focusing on daily profits leads to emotional decisions and unnecessary pressure. Discipline shifts focus toward long-term growth, equity curves, and performance metrics.
Consistent traders treat trading as a business, not a lottery. They measure success in months and years, not hours and days. Discipline aligns actions with long-term sustainability rather than short-term excitement.
Developing Trading Discipline
Discipline is not a talent; it is a skill developed through structure and repetition. Creating a written trading plan, maintaining a trading journal, setting daily rules, and reviewing performance regularly all contribute to stronger discipline.
Routine is a powerful tool. Trading the same markets, at the same time, with the same rules reduces randomness and emotional stress. Discipline grows when actions become habitual rather than reactive.
Discipline Wins in Every Market Condition
Markets change—trending, ranging, volatile, or quiet—but discipline remains constant. Strategies may need adjustment, but disciplined behavior never goes out of style. Traders who rely on discipline adapt calmly, while undisciplined traders panic and overreact.
In volatile markets, discipline prevents emotional blowups. In slow markets, it prevents boredom-driven trades. In winning streaks, it prevents overconfidence. In losing streaks, it prevents revenge trading.
Conclusion: Discipline Is the Real Edge
At its core, discipline is the true competitive advantage in trading. It allows traders to survive uncertainty, manage risk, control emotions, and execute consistently. While indicators, tools, and strategies can be learned by anyone, discipline must be earned through effort and self-awareness.
Consistent profits do not come from predicting the market, but from mastering oneself. Traders who embrace discipline accept that success is built one well-executed decision at a time. In the long run, discipline always wins—because markets reward those who respect process over impulse.
Understanding Market Structure Through Traded VolumeVolume Profile Analysis is a powerful market analysis technique that focuses not on time, but on price and volume interaction. Unlike traditional volume indicators that show how much volume was traded during a specific time period, volume profile reveals where trading activity was concentrated across different price levels. This makes it an essential tool for traders and investors who want to understand market structure, identify high-probability trade zones, and align themselves with institutional activity.
At its core, volume profile answers one crucial question: At which prices did the market accept value, and at which prices did it reject value? Understanding this distinction helps traders make better decisions about entries, exits, and risk management.
1. What Is Volume Profile?
Volume Profile is an advanced charting tool that displays a horizontal histogram on the price axis. This histogram shows the amount of volume traded at each price level over a selected period. Instead of vertical bars representing volume over time, volume profile shifts the focus horizontally, offering a clearer picture of price acceptance and rejection.
This tool is widely used by professional traders, proprietary desks, and institutions because it reflects real participation, not just price movement. Markets can move rapidly with low volume, but such moves are often unreliable. Volume profile helps traders identify where strong participation occurred and where moves lack conviction.
2. Key Components of Volume Profile
Volume profile is built around a few critical concepts that every trader must understand:
Point of Control (POC)
The POC is the price level where the highest volume was traded during the selected period. It represents the fairest price where buyers and sellers agreed most. Markets tend to gravitate toward the POC because it reflects balance and consensus.
Value Area (VA)
The value area is the price range where approximately 70% of total traded volume occurred. It is divided into:
Value Area High (VAH)
Value Area Low (VAL)
Prices inside the value area represent acceptance, while prices outside it indicate rejection or imbalance.
High Volume Nodes (HVN)
HVNs are price levels with heavy trading activity. They act as strong support or resistance zones because many positions are built there.
Low Volume Nodes (LVN)
LVNs are price levels with little trading activity. Price moves quickly through these areas, making them ideal for breakouts or fast directional moves.
3. Why Volume Profile Is Important
Volume profile gives traders a three-dimensional view of the market. While price shows direction and indicators show momentum, volume profile shows market intent.
Its importance lies in:
Identifying institutional accumulation and distribution
Filtering false breakouts
Understanding true support and resistance
Improving trade timing and accuracy
Enhancing risk-reward ratios
Markets are driven by large participants. Volume profile helps retail traders align with these larger forces instead of trading blindly based on indicators.
4. Market Phases Through Volume Profile
Volume profile clearly reveals different market phases:
Balanced Market (Range-Bound)
In balanced conditions, the profile is wide and bell-shaped. The POC remains stable, and price oscillates within the value area. Range trading strategies work best here.
Imbalanced Market (Trending)
In trending conditions, the profile shifts upward or downward, forming elongated shapes. The POC migrates in the direction of the trend, confirming strength.
Transition Phase
When price moves outside the value area and builds volume at new levels, the market transitions into a new balance. This phase often offers the best trading opportunities.
5. Using Volume Profile for Support and Resistance
Traditional support and resistance lines are subjective. Volume profile offers objective levels based on actual traded volume.
HVNs act as strong support/resistance zones.
VAH and VAL often behave like dynamic resistance and support.
POC works as a magnet price, pulling price back during consolidation.
These levels are more reliable than trendlines because they reflect real market participation.
6. Breakout and Rejection Analysis
Volume profile is highly effective in distinguishing real breakouts from fake ones.
A breakout above VAH with strong volume acceptance indicates trend continuation.
A move above VAH followed by quick rejection back into the value area signals a false breakout.
LVNs above or below value areas often become breakout targets.
This ability to read acceptance versus rejection makes volume profile invaluable for intraday, swing, and positional traders.
7. Entry and Exit Strategy Using Volume Profile
Traders can use volume profile to refine entries and exits:
Entries
Buy near VAL in an uptrend
Sell near VAH in a downtrend
Enter breakouts from LVNs with confirmation
Exits
Partial profits near POC or HVNs
Full exits near opposite value area boundaries
Trail stops beyond low-volume zones
This structured approach improves consistency and reduces emotional trading.
8. Volume Profile Across Timeframes
Volume profile works across all timeframes:
Intraday traders use session volume profiles
Swing traders use weekly or monthly profiles
Investors analyze long-term composite profiles
Higher timeframe volume levels always carry more weight and should be respected even when trading lower timeframes.
9. Combining Volume Profile with Other Tools
Volume profile is most effective when combined with:
Price action
Market structure
VWAP
Trend analysis
Candlestick patterns
It should not be used in isolation. Instead, it acts as a context tool, helping traders understand where trades make sense and where they do not.
10. Common Mistakes in Volume Profile Analysis
Many traders misuse volume profile by:
Ignoring market context
Overloading charts with multiple profiles
Trading every LVN without confirmation
Treating POC as a guaranteed reversal level
Discipline and proper interpretation are essential to extract its full potential.
11. Psychological Edge of Volume Profile
Volume profile enhances trading psychology by:
Providing clear reference levels
Reducing guesswork
Increasing confidence in trade decisions
Encouraging patience and discipline
When traders understand where value lies, they stop chasing price and start trading with logic.
12. Conclusion
Volume Profile Analysis is one of the most insightful tools for understanding market behavior. By focusing on where volume is traded rather than when, it reveals the true structure of the market. It helps traders identify value, spot institutional activity, and distinguish between genuine moves and false signals.
For traders seeking consistency, clarity, and a deeper understanding of price action, volume profile is not just an indicator—it is a framework for thinking about markets. Mastery of volume profile can significantly elevate trading performance when combined with sound risk management and disciplined execution.
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 07th JAN 2026GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 07th JAN 2026
🚀Follow & Compare NIFTY spot Post for Taking Trade
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
NATIONALUM: 17-Year Breakout-Retest-Breakout🚨 CONFIRMED BREAKOUT: National Aluminium completes textbook Breakout-Retest-Breakout on 17-year monthly chart
This is one of the strongest technical patterns - a multi-year base breakout that retested and held, now breaking out again. But before you rush in with market orders, understand the hidden cost that could destroy your edge.
📊 The Technical Setup:
National Aluminium (NATIONALUM) monthly chart pattern:
1️⃣ Initial breakout from 17-year consolidation
2️⃣ Retest of breakout level (held perfectly)
3️⃣ Confirmed breakout with strength
This Breakout-Retest-Breakout pattern typically attracts:
• Large institutional accumulation
• Retail FOMO entries after confirmation
• Significant position sizing (high conviction setup)
⚠️ The Hidden Risk: Impact Cost
On a mid-cap PSU stock like NATIONALUM (₹348), market orders during confirmed breakouts face SEVERE slippage:
• Moderate liquidity vs Nifty 50 stocks
• Sudden surge in buying after retest confirmation
• Order book getting "walked up" during high volume
Real Example During This Breakout:
You see the confirmed pattern and want 500 shares immediately (market order).
What actually happens:
• 150 shares @ ₹348
• 200 shares @ ₹350
• 150 shares @ ₹353
You just paid ₹1,250 EXTRA (0.72% slippage) before the stock even moves.
If your target is 5% on this breakout = ₹17.40/share = ₹8,700 total profit
But you lost ₹1,250 (14% of expected profit) just to poor execution!
💡 The Solution: Market Protection
Modern brokers (Zerodha, etc.) have "Market Protection" features:
• Auto-convert market orders → limit orders
• Execute only within 0.5-2% price band
• Protect from extreme slippage while maintaining speed
On confirmed multi-year breakouts like this Breakout-Retest-Breakout pattern, execution discipline is CRITICAL.
🎯 Systematic Trading Principle:
"The best technical setup in the world - even a confirmed Breakout-Retest-Breakout - is worthless if you lose your edge to execution costs."
This is educational content about execution risk management during high-probability technical setups. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
#NATIONALUM #NationalAluminium #Breakout #RetestBreakout #RiskManagement #TradingEducation #ImpactCost #PSUStocks #MonthlyChart #PriceAction
SRF LTD: Price Compression at Key Resistance|Clean Breakout Play📌 Structure: Daily Timeframe
SRF has been consolidating inside a clean descending channel, printing lower highs while demand holds near the channel base.
Price is now pressing against well-tested channel resistance — a clear decision zone.
🔴 Key Reads
Descending resistance respected multiple times
Tight price compression near supply → volatility contraction
Buying interest visible near demand
Muted volume during consolidation → pre-expansion behaviour
This is structure-led, not momentum-driven.
🟢 Breakout Rules (Strict)
Trade triggers only if:
Strong green Marubozu / near-Marubozu
Daily close above descending resistance
Clear volume expansion
No close above resistance = no trade.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Breakout close
SL: Low of breakout candle
Target 1: ₹3300, then trail
Management: Trail via higher lows / structure
Defined risk. Reward from range expansion, not prediction.
🧠 Why It Works
- Long consolidation builds energy
- Repeated rejections weaken supply
- Channel breakouts often expand fast
Clean price + volume = institutional participation
⚠️ Invalidation
Weak breakout
Low volume
Rejection wick with close back inside channel
→ No trade
📊 Final Word
SRF is coiled, not weak.
Patience first. Execution only on confirmation.
➡️ Let price prove strength. 👍 Appreciate if this helps.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a technical study for educational purposes only, based purely on price action and volume.
Not financial advice. Please manage risk as per your own trading plan.
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Mars has begun its journey from Sagittarius to Aries. (POLYCAB)Last week we discussed that Mars has begun its journey from Sagittarius to Aries, and this transit through these five zodiac signs is very auspicious for Mars. Jupiter's sign is considered a friendly place for Mars, and Mars is exalted in Capricorn. Aries is also its own sign. Therefore, this journey of Mars through these five signs is very favorable for stocks related to Mars.
Yes, it is true that when Mars is conjunct with Rahu in Aquarius, profit booking will be seen in these stocks. Whenever any planet comes into the Rahu-Ketu axis, some trouble is observed in the sector, and since it is associated with a fire sign,( ketu in Leo) a little caution is advised.
In astrology, Mars is known as the "God of War" and the "Red Planet." Because it represents energy, heat, drive, and physical force, it rules over industries that involve fire, metal, cutting, and high-intensity action.
If an industry requires boldness, mechanical skill, or physical risk, it usually falls under the "rulership" of Mars
In the world of financial astrology, KEI Industries, Finolex Cables, and RR Cable are often considered "cousin stocks" of Polycab. Because they share the same raw material DNA—copper and aluminum—they tend to move together like a "Martian pack."
The Astrological Connection (Why Mars?)
The Medium: Mars rules metals like Copper and Aluminum, which are the primary conductors in POLYCAB’s wires and cables.
The Energy: Electricity itself is considered a form of "Agni" (fire/energy), which falls under Mars's domain.
The Industry: POLYCAB is a leader in Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) and Extra High Voltage (EHV) cables—industries that require the technical precision and "force" of Mars.
And last week, it was also mentioned that Jupiter is currently in retrograde , which is why the index hit a new high, and the subsequent market reversal is normal. There is no big correction and crash in the market during Jupiter's retrograde, but the market tends to move sideways most of the time while still trending upwards.(November 11, 2025, to March 6, 2026)
Financial astrology assigns specific industries to Mars. These sectors are believed to see increased momentum or volatility during significant Mars transits:
Metals & Mining : Iron, steel, copper & Aluminium .
Defense & Machinery : Military equipment and heavy engineering.
Energy & Power : Oil, gas, and electricity.
Real Estate & Construction : Building materials and infrastructure.
Healthcare : Medical equipment and hospitals.
The W.D. Gann Connection
One of history's most famous traders, W.D. Gann, reportedly used planetary cycles, including Mars, to predict market turns.
The "War Planet" & Commodity Spikes
Because Mars rules steel, iron, coper and energy, major Mars transits (especially those involving Pluto or Uranus) have historically coincided with spikes in the CRB Index (Commodities).
What’s happening right now?
Since we are currently in January 2026, we are seeing a Sun-Mars conjunction. In Vedic astrology, this is the Mangaladitya Yoga,which is traditionally seen as a boost for "The Commander" (Mars) and "The King" (Sun). Historically, this can signal a period of strong, decisive leadership in the markets.
If you are looking to trade the Mars Exaltation across the cable industry, watch for this sequence:
The Leader (Jan 16): Polycab sets the tone. If it breaks out sustain, the "Mars energy" is confirmed.
The Follower (Jan 17-20): KEI and RR Kabel usually begin their "catch-up" rally here.
The Peak (Early Feb): As Mars reaches the middle degrees of Capricorn, the entire "Wires & Cables" sector often moves in unison .
Why Gold Loves Trapping Both Buyers and Sellers!Hello Traders!
If you have traded Gold for some time, you’ve probably felt this frustration more than once. You take a clean buy, price stops you out and reverses. You flip to sell, and the same thing happens again. It starts feeling personal, like Gold is hunting you specifically.
The truth is, Gold doesn’t hate buyers or sellers.
Gold loves liquidity, and liquidity comes from trapped traders on both sides.
This is not manipulation in the emotional sense. This is how a highly liquid, institution-driven market functions.
Why Gold Rarely Moves in a Straight Line
Gold is one of the most actively traded instruments in the world. Because of this, it cannot afford to move cleanly for long. Straight moves don’t provide enough participation.
Clean trends attract late buyers at the worst possible prices
Obvious breakdowns invite emotional sellers too early
Both sides place stops at similar, predictable levels
Before Gold commits to direction, it usually clears both sides first.
How Buyers Get Trapped in Gold
Buy side traps often appear after a strong bullish candle or breakout. The structure looks convincing, momentum feels strong, and buyers feel safe.
Price breaks a visible resistance and attracts breakout buyers
Stops get placed just below the breakout level
Gold pulls back sharply to test liquidity below
Buyers aren’t wrong on direction.
They’re early, and early entries are expensive in Gold.
How Sellers Fall Into the Same Trap
Sell-side traps usually form after a sharp rejection or false breakdown. Fear builds quickly, and sellers assume the move is done.
Price dips below support and invites aggressive shorts
Stops cluster just above the rejected level
Gold spikes upward to clear those stops
Again, direction is not the issue.
Timing is.
Why Gold Needs Both Traps
Gold doesn’t choose a side until enough liquidity is collected. Buyers provide one side of liquidity. Sellers provide the other.
Trapped buyers fuel downside liquidity
Trapped sellers fuel upside liquidity
Only after both sides react does structure become clean
This is why Gold feels chaotic to emotional traders and logical to patient ones.
How This Changed My View on Gold
Once I understood that traps are part of the process, not mistakes, my trading became calmer.
I stopped reacting to the first breakout
I waited for both sides to show their hand
I focused more on reactions than predictions
Gold didn’t change.
My expectations did.
Rahul’s Tip
If Gold traps you once, learn from it.
If it traps you repeatedly, it’s not the market, it’s impatience. The real opportunity usually appears after frustration peaks on both sides.
Buyers get trapped.
Sellers get trapped.
Patient traders get paid.
If this post matches your Gold trading experience, drop a like or share your thoughts in the comments.
More real, experience-based lessons coming.
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 06th-07th Jan 2026 (2:30 amDowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 06th-07th Jan 2026 (2:30 am)
👇🏼Screen shot of "DJI Future Levels for 06th - 07 th Jan 2026 (2.30 am)" - Till now
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
BTCUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 06th - 07th JAN '26(3.30 am)BTCUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 06th - 07th JAN '26(3.30 am)
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 06th - 07th JAN2026(3.30 am)XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 06th - 07th JAN2026(3.30 am)
Yesterday's Level Post link
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
NIFTY Analysis for 07th JAN 2026: IntraSwing Spot levels
🚀Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels
👇🏼Screen shot of Todays (6th Jan 2026) trade
Formed Descending Triangle & Pattern Breaks last 30 mins of trade👇🏼
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
Wheels India Limited LONGHi fellow traders, Vcp trader is back with a stock which people crave for. A money multiplier. Wheels india has been consolidating in a wide range of 5 years. We can also see the stock has formed three legs. The range is becoming narrower and the stock is trading at the top of the base with some visible contraction. We would be attempting a long position on WHEELS INDIA with our stops around 700-710 zones. Yes an 18 percent risk for a 760-70 percent gain. These are the trades which actually compounds your money.






















