Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC Breakout Retest – High Probability Long SetupBitcoin has broken above the recent resistance zone and is now pulling back for a potential retest.
The structure remains bullish on the 30-minute timeframe, with higher highs and higher lows forming consistently.
My Plan:
Waiting for price to tap the retest/demand zone around $91,300 – $92,200
Looking for bullish confirmation (rejection wick / bullish engulfing / BOS)
Long entry on confirmation
Stop-loss: Below the demand zone near $89,000
Targets:
TP1: $95,000
TP2: $98,200 (major supply zone)
Reasoning:
Strong bullish momentum leading into the breakout
Clean inefficiency below that price may fill before continuation
Higher timeframe structure also supports upside targets
Risk-reward is favorable as long as price respects demand zone
Invalidation:
If BTC breaks below the demand zone with strong bearish candles, the long idea becomes invalid.
Crude Oil Resistance Breakout – Retest & Buy OpportunityCrude Oil has broken above a key resistance zone, which had previously acted as a strong supply area multiple times. After the breakout, the price is now approaching the same zone for a potential retest.
If the retest holds as support and bullish candles appear, it can confirm buyer strength and provide a high-probability long setup.
📌 Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: On retest of the breakout level
Confirmation: Bullish rejection candle / strong bounce from support
Targets:
TP1: Recent swing high
TP2: Next resistance level for extended move
Stop Loss: Below the retest support zone
📈 Idea Logic:
The resistance has flipped into support, indicating shift in market structure from range to bullish momentum. A successful retest offers a safer and more reliable entry.
Part 2 Support and Resistance Factors That Affect Option Premium
(A) Underlying Price Movement
Bigger moves → bigger premium.
(B) Time Value
Longer time to expiry → higher premium.
(C) Volatility (IV)
Higher IV = expensive options
Lower IV = cheaper options
(D) Demand & Supply
High activity in a strike increases premium.
(E) Market Events
Events like:
RBI Policy
Budget
Elections
Earnings
Cause volatility spikes.
Gold may continue rising — Trading around 4,150–4,200 range📊 Market outlook:
• Spot gold is currently around 4,150 USD/oz.
• It is up roughly +0.20% (≈ +8 USD) over the past 24 hours.
• The rise is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates soon, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
📉 Technical view (short-term):
• Support zone: ~ 4,130 – 4,140 USD/oz — watch for a retracement bounce.
• Resistance zone: ~ 4,180 – 4,200 USD/oz — a breakout could trigger further gains.
• In a low-interest environment and with ongoing macro uncertainties, gold remains a safe-haven asset — bullish bias continues.
📌 Interpretation:
• In the short term, gold is likely to rise further if expectations of rate cuts remain strong.
• If U.S. economic data comes in stronger and the Fed turns hawkish → a minor correction is possible.
• Current bias: upside, but sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed signals.
💡 Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,135 – 4,132
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,129
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,185 – 4,188
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,192
IndiaMArt - Reversal based on RSI CDIndiaMART (NSE) - Technical Analysis & Trade Setup
Current Price: 2,376.70
Trade Setup Overview
This trade setup is based on RSI Classic Divergence combined with Price Action analysis. The stock has shown a bullish divergence pattern on the RSI indicator while forming a potential bottom around the 2,243-2,377 zone.
Entry Strategy
Entry Type: Aggressive Entry (Current levels)
Confirmation Entry: Only initiate trades after candle closing above **2,437** on a 1:2 risk-reward ratio basis.
Target Levels
- Target 1: 2,459.70 (Fibonacci 0.382 level)
- Target 2: 2,593.00 (Fibonacci 0.618 level)
- Target 3: 2,676.65 (Fibonacci 1.0 extension)
**Potential Upside:** 8.5% to 12.6% from current levels
Risk Management
Stop Loss: 2,252.50 (on candle closing basis)
Risk from Current Price: ~5.2%
Technical Indicators
RSI Analysis
- RSI showing classic bullish divergence
- Price made lower lows while RSI made higher lows
- Current RSI around 62.25, indicating bullish momentum
- RSI breaking above previous resistance zones
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
- 0 (2,243.15) - Recent Low
- 0.382 (2,377.00) - Current Support Zone
- 0.618 (2,518.60) - Key Resistance
- 1.0 (2,676.25) - Extension Target
Key Observations
1. Stock has recovered from the October low of 2,243 levels
2. RSI divergence suggests potential trend reversal
3. Price action forming higher lows, indicating accumulation
4. Multiple Fibonacci resistance levels ahead that may act as profit-booking zones
Important Notes
- This is an **aggressive entry** setup for risk-tolerant traders
- Conservative traders should wait for confirmation above 2,437
- **Strictly maintain stop loss** on closing basis below 2,252.50
- Book partial profits at each target level
- Trail stop loss as price moves in your favor
- Monitor RSI for any bearish divergence at higher levels
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
**Follow for more technical analysis and trade setups!**
#IndiaMART #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #Trading #RSIDivergence #FibonacciTrading #NSE
Interesting EURUSD Rebounce w/ chance of BPR and FVG respectedIdea create from FVG 1H respected through US High Impact News. Market interesting with chance of BPR 15m short term and rebounce with OB 5M look like strong effective. Lets risk a bit for SHORT position to see if price can be back at BPR 15m, if right then we looking for BUY position when market effective with OB 5M. If not any condition above, lossed the risk and cancel the BUY position.
Sensex Gap Down 70% or Gap Up 30%Sir/Mam,
Sensex will trade in zone
High - 85800 - 85900
Low- 85200 - 85100
Will close around 85500 - 85550
Movement will happen in between - 9.15 to 10 am
More fluctuation is in between - 1.30 PM to 3 PM
Both CE and PE will get profits - Please do not worry :)
85800 CE - Target - 165 to 250
85200 PE - Target - 150 > 225 > 350
Giving PE three targets because bears are still to book profits and PE sellers already booked profits today.
Momentum of price value of PE will be higher than CE for tomorrow.
Have a nice day.
Let's have 500 points movement tomorrow.
Gold 1 Day Time Frame 🔎 Current Context
1. Gold currently trades around US $4,160–4,165/oz.
2. Many technical-analysis services show daily momentum as bullish: moving averages, RSI/MACD and other indicators point toward a positive bias.
3. But macro factors (strong USD, Fed policy, global risk sentiment) remain important and may cause sharp swings.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Volatility: Gold remains sensitive to macro events — USD strength, rate expectations, major economic data — so price can easily break support/resistance zones.
False Breakouts: Even if price crosses a level, it may revert quickly. Combine with other indicators (volume, price action, confirmations) before acting.
Trend Shifts: A major change in global risk sentiment or central-bank moves can rapidly change trend direction, invalidating technical levels.
UNIONBANK 1 Week Time Frame 🔎 Current snapshot
Share price recently around ₹152.85–₹156.94.
52-week trading range: ~₹100.81 (low) to ~₹158.65 (high).
Fundamentals wise: low P/E vs peers, reasonable book value / dividend yield.
📈 Short-term (1-week) “Levels to watch”
Based on technical-forecast projections from providers:
Level type Price
Support (down-side) ~ ₹149.7
Alternate lower support ~ ₹140.0 (on a deeper dip)
Base / near-term target (if stable / slightly bullish) ~ ₹157-₹159
Upside breakout target ~ ₹162–₹165 (if momentum picks up)
Interpretation:
If price dips, ₹149–150 may act as immediate support.
On bounce or flat consolidation, ₹157-₹159 is plausible.
A clean breakout could take price toward ₹162–₹165 within a week — though that likely requires favourable macro / market mood.
LUMAXIND - continue to rise with rising strength -Positional BuyLUMAXIND
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
good for positional buy
at its all time high
rising strength on strength meter
passes daily and weekly mark minervini trend template criteria
SCORING
Core Fundamentals (Sales + Profit + Margins + ROE/ROCE) – 20% weight
EPS Trend & Consistency – 20% weight
Multi-year EPS breakout & new highs: ~85/100
Institutional Trend (Promoter, FII, DII) – 20% weight
Stable 75% promoter, strong DII build-up, small but rising FII: ~80/100
Technicals / Momentum (Price vs MAs, 1Y performance, RSI) – 40% weight
Strong uptrend, above key MAs, 1Y 142% but some overextension risk: ~80/100
Weighted together, this gives around:
Overall ≈ 81 / 100
Quick Take
Positives
Strong, consistent topline growth (20–25%+).
EPS has broken out post-COVID and is hitting new highs.
ROE/ROCE in high-teens – healthy quality.
DIIs have aggressively accumulated over the last 2 years.
Stock is in a clear technical uptrend, outperforming the market sharply.
Watch-outs
Valuation is rich vs. historical and vs. typical auto-ancillary.
Debt has increased meaningfully to fund growth – fine if cycle stays strong, a risk if it doesn’t.
1-year move (142%) means any small disappointment in future quarters can trigger sharp corrections.
Daily Macro, Market Mood Swings, and the Stories Behind the NoisGlobal Markets: Three’s a Trend
Global stocks pushed higher for a third straight session on Tuesday, fueled by growing confidence that the Federal Reserve will slip in a December rate cut like an early holiday present. U.S. Treasury yields eased as well, giving investors one more reason to feel optimistic — or at least less grumpy.
Wall Street’s Tech Glow-Up
Over on Wall Street, stocks climbed with the help of Silicon Valley’s usual superheroes — Alphabet and Meta. Google’s parent company surged 1.53% to a record close of $323.44, inching closer to the absolutely casual milestone of $4 trillion in market cap.
The Dollar Takes a Tumble
The dollar index dropped 0.44% as weaker-than-expected U.S. data — including September retail sales, core PPI, and ADP employment — boosted bets on a December Fed cut. Add in falling bond yields (with the 10-year sliding to a 3.5-week low of 3.987%), plus consumer confidence hitting a 7-month low, and the dollar had all the reasons it needed to slump politely into a corner. Retail sales rose just 0.2% versus the expected 0.4%, reminding everyone that the American consumer may finally be getting tired of carrying the global economy on their back.
The Fed Repricing Whiplash & Consumer Mood Swings
Markets have repriced December rate-cut expectations with the grace of a roller coaster: from the low 30% range to 90% an hour ago, now cooling at 87%. A month ago? Also 90% — before collapsing and then bouncing back. The main culprit: nonstop Fed commentary, proving once again that “forward guidance” is more of a suggestion than a plan. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. sentiment data didn’t help the mood. The headline index missed badly at 88.7 (vs 93.3 expected), current conditions hit the lowest since 2021, and future expectations slid to their April 2025 low — courtesy of stubborn inflation worries and rising job-income anxiety.
Global Highlights: Gold Glitters, Rupee Stutters & Data Storm Ahead
Germany delivered a flat Q3 GDP print, which, considering last quarter’s contraction, counts as… stability. Gold edged up 0.3% to $4,150.09 as weak retail sales strengthened the case for a December cut. Global equities mostly turned green, shrugging off AI-overinvestment and debt concerns as if the Fed’s 25-bps cut-in-waiting is a magic eraser. India, however, bucked the trend: the Sensex fell 314 points and the Nifty slipped 75. The rupee ended nearly unchanged at 89.22 as importer demand offset regional currency strength.
Today’s data docket is a global buffet — Australia CPI, New Zealand rate decision, Japan’s BoJ core CPI, a heavy U.S. lineup (GDP, durables, core PCE, spending, home sales, jobless claims), plus ECB’s Lagarde and Lane holding the mic in the Eurozone.
Sensex - 84700 CE and PE for expirySir/Mam,
Please buy CE and PE of strike price 84700. For best price wait for the value (-75% of both)
The best time for buying is after 1 PM or breakout points.
Today, it is closed at 84587.01 - It will go upside up to 84700 and then down till 84500 - 84400.
I am bearish if it is below 84800 levels.
Hope you have booked profits in Nifty as I suggested in my previous Idea chart.
Stay safe and keep smiling.
Thank you for taking time to read my ideas and your support really helps me a lot.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum,Watching for Breakout Above 4150📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around 4140. Market sentiment remains tilted toward buying due to expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut, while the USD shows mild weakening during the session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: 4150 – 4162
• Nearest support: 4125 – 4130
• EMA: Price is above the EMA-09, indicating the bullish trend is still intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum:
– The 4150 zone is forming a strong resistance; H1 candles show upper wicks → short-term profit-taking pressure.
– If H1 closes above 4150 → gold may extend to 4175 – 4190.
– If it fails, price may retest 4130.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue rising if it breaks above 4150 with a confirmed candle.
Otherwise, if it cannot break 4150 in the next 2–3 H1 candles, the market could retrace to 4130 before rising again.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4128 – 4132
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4125
Warren Buffett Core Rules for Building Wealth!Hello Traders!
Warren Buffett is known as the “Oracle of Omaha” not because he picks magical stocks, but because he follows timeless principles that build wealth slowly and safely.
His rules are simple, but powerful, and every trader or investor can learn from them.
1. Rule No. 1: Never Lose Money
Buffett’s first rule is all about capital protection.
Before entering any investment, ask one question: “What is my real downside here?”
Building wealth starts with protecting what you already have.
2. Rule No. 2: Never Forget Rule No. 1
Most people break this rule because emotions take over.
They underestimate risk and overestimate their confidence.
A smart investor never lets their guard down.
3. Invest Only in What You Understand
Buffett only invests in businesses he clearly understands.
If you don’t understand how a company makes money, you shouldn’t invest in it.
Confusion always adds risk.
4. Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy, and Greedy When Others Are Fearful
When the crowd is celebrating, assets are usually overpriced.
When the market is in panic, opportunities quietly appear.
A contrarian mindset creates long-term winners.
5. Focus on Long-Term, Not Short-Term Noise
Short-term ups and downs are temporary.
Long-term business growth is what builds real wealth.
Buffett thinks in decades, not months.
6. Buy Great Businesses at a Fair Price
Don’t chase cheap stocks, chase quality.
A great business may look expensive today, but it can reward you for years.
Price is what you pay; value is what you get.
7. Do Not Rely on Market Predictions
Buffett ignores forecasts, experts, and predictions.
He studies the business, not opinions.
You don’t need to predict the market, you need to understand what you own.
8. Build an “Inner Scorecard”
Your decisions should follow your own principles, not public opinion.
Integrity and independence are at the core of Buffett’s philosophy.
Winning long-term requires your own standards.
9. Keep Emotions Out of Money Decisions
Emotional investing leads to guaranteed mistakes.
Patience, discipline, and consistency create long-term winners.
A calm mind makes better decisions.
10. Your Best Investment Is in Yourself
The strongest returns come from your skills, knowledge, and mindset.
Books, learning, and personal development give lifelong compounding.
A smarter you creates better financial choices.
Rahul’s Tip:
Wealth-building is not complicated, staying disciplined is.
Once you start thinking long-term, the market automatically starts rewarding you.
Conclusion:
Buffett’s rules are not just investing rules, they are life rules.
Protect your capital, stay patient, stay disciplined, and invest in becoming better every day.
Wealth grows slowly… until the day it grows suddenly.
If this post helped you understand Buffett’s principles better, like it, share your thoughts in comments, and follow for more timeless wisdom!
Bear - Bulls Fight Nifty ExpirySir/Mam,
Last published Idea worked perfectly to all my viewers/followers.
For tomorrow, if Nifty opens below 25900 < then the levels opens for 25700. For safe Trading buy 26150 PE and CE now it is 200.65 + 15.45 = 216.1
That's it !
Tomorrow expiry, Volume timing as follows -
9.15 - 10.00 am - Price flow
10.00 - 1.45 PM - No Trade zone, watch the market support and resistance.
1.45 - 2.00 PM - Choose best strike price (both CE and PE should be -80 to 85% negative)
2.00 PM - 3.00 PM - Buy CE and PE of same strike price and sell with one side profit.
3.00 PM - 3.30 PM - Just watch the Profit !
Hope you have nice trading day tomorrow.
Stay safe and Take care.
Unlocking the True Secrets of DivergenceRisks in Option Trading
1. Time Decay (Theta)
Premium drops every minute—bad for buyers.
2. Sudden Market Moves
Can destroy option sellers if unhedged.
3. Wrong Strike Selection
Most beginners fail due to improper strike selection.
4. Overtrading
Fast premium movement makes traders impatient.
5. Emotional Trading
Fear and greed amplify mistakes.






















