Cyber MondayUp to 80% OFF

Beyond Technical Analysis

Transrail Light - An analysis Transrail Light - An analysis Fundamental Outlook Market Cap : INR 8400 cr D/E ratio is 0.34, down from 0.59 in previous quarter Manageable ICR 3.36, up from 2.3 in previous quarter PE of 25.6, IND PE is 55.68, ~0.5X of Industry PE, inexpensive stock amongst Industry peers PEG of 0.96, Excellent ROE = 21.63% ROCE = 30.58% , ROCE 5yrs = 28.82% Sales growth = 30.2%, Sales Growth 5 yrs =23.06% Profit growth = 41.95%, Profit Growth 5 yrs = 26.71% Promoter holding at 71.12%, stable since IPO in Dec 24 Cumulative FII/DII holding above 14% Public holding < 15% Sales and Profits have increased QoQ for the last 3 quarters Sales and profits have increased on YoY for last 3 years too Technical Outlook CMP : 623 On daily charts , Stock has experienced a significant downtrend and has bounced back to Near ATH level of 675-680. It has fallen down in this past week and is available attractively near EMA 21 levels RSI(weekly)=57 RSI(daily) =55 On daily charts LTP > EMA21 > EMA63 RSI(daily) =55 Chart Patterns On weekly charts , Stock seems to have formed a rounding bottom pattern. Industry Outlook Sector/Industry - Capital Goods/Heavy Electrical Equipment Transrail has been on of the best performance amongst its peers in this category and has significantly outperformed bigger (by MCAP) peers like ABB, CGPOWER and BHEL Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is weakening. RS = 116, relatively strong strength compared to Nifty 500 Momentum = 98, relatively less momentum compared to Nifty 500 Starting to weaken, dips will be good investing opportunity Management Guidance and Things to look forward to in next quarter - Management guided 23-25% revenue growth over its FY25 performance. 40% in H1 and remaining 60% in H2. - EBITDA margin of 12-12.25% in FY26, PAT margin around 6% - Continued debt reduction - Capex progression and completion in FY26 Future Outlook - PE at 35-36x from current 25x levels Disclosure 1 - Not Invested Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
NSE:TRANSRAILLLong
by harishnarayan2579
CNXFINANCE - Bullish setup CNXFINANCE CMP 26724 Has formed an inverted head and shoulder pattern with key resistance sloping down. In this last week, CNX finance has decisively broken above this resistance and today this was tested and CNX Finance did well to hold above 26550-26575 levels and closed at 26724. Confirmations : Price action in the last week has reinforced this bullish notion with all LTP trading above all EMAs. LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 Daily MACD Line > MACD Signal > 0 and trending up , Weekly MACD Line is slightly below MACD signal , however its trending up and above 0 I expect CNXFINANCE to continue doing well and reach 28000 levels by the end of this year. Leading stocks include : CHOLAFIN,MCX,SBICARD,BAJFINANCE Improving stocks include : SBILIFE Weakening stocks include : AXISBANK,PFC,ICICIGI,SHRIRAMFIN,KOTAKBANK,MUTHOOTFIN Lagging stocks include : RECLTD,HDFCAMC,ICICIPRULI,BAJAJFINSV,HDFCLIFE,ICICIBANK,HDFCBANK Do your own research before acting on this view. This is not investment advice. Disclosure 1 - Invested in select stocks Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
NSE:CNXFINANCELong
by harishnarayan2579
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 10th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Sensex is firmly in a bullish recovery phase, trading within a clear ascending channel. The correction seen on Wednesday was quickly absorbed and bought up on Thursday, confirming the strength of the bullish institutional buying. The price is now right below the major supply zone. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 82,300 - 82,500. This area is the critical overhead supply zone and a strong Order Block (OB). A decisive breakout here is needed to target 83,000. Major Demand (Support): 81,600 - 81,800. This area is the key immediate support, aligned with the lower trendline of the ascending channel and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap). Outlook: The short-term bias is strongly bullish. The market is poised to challenge the 82,300 - 82,500 resistance band. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market successfully defending the 81,600 support and resuming the upward trajectory. The strong closing candle confirms the short-term bullish momentum. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 82,200 (Recent swing high). Immediate Support: 81,900 (Prior consolidation support, now a flip zone). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows clear consolidation in a bullish flag/pennant pattern (ascending channel). The index closed at the upper end of the range, after briefly sweeping liquidity on the downside, which suggests a continuation is likely. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 82,300. Intraday Demand: 81,800 - 81,900. Outlook: Strongly Bullish. 📈 Trade Plan (Friday, 10th October) Market Outlook: The Sensex is showing strong underlying strength and is poised to challenge the major resistance. The primary strategy will be to buy on continuation. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The market has confirmed a strong reversal, and the structure is now clearly bullish. Positive IT earnings (if reported) could provide the catalyst for a strong breakout. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 82,300. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 81,900 (below the immediate support). Targets: T1: 82,500 (Major supply zone). T2: 82,800 (Extension target). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan) Justification: Only valid if TCS results are negative or global cues cause a sharp rejection/gap down. Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 81,600. Entry: Short entry below 81,600. Stop Loss (SL): Above 81,900. Targets: T1: 81,300 (Lower channel trendline). T2: 81,000 (Psychological support). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 82,000 - 82,300 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 82,300. Bearish Warning: A move below 81,800 suggests the bounce has failed. Line in the Sand: 81,600. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by BhardwajVipin
1
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 10th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Bank Nifty is still in a bullish uptrend, having rebounded sharply from the 54,250 base. However, the price has failed to sustain a move above 56,400. The current consolidation is taking place just below the major supply zone of 56,400 - 56,600, forming a symmetric triangle or pennant pattern. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 56,400 - 56,600. This is the critical overhead hurdle. Major Demand (Support): 55,400 - 55,600. This area is the key immediate support, aligning with the prior swing low and FVG (Fair Value Gap) on the downside. Outlook: The short-term bias is neutral-to-bullish. The consolidation is healthy but requires a strong catalyst to break the overhead resistance. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market is moving sideways after being rejected from the 56,400 high on Wednesday. It is trading between the lower boundary of the previous ascending channel and the upper boundary of a descending trendline, effectively squeezing the price. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 56,200 (The upper trendline of the corrective channel). Immediate Support: 56,000 (The psychological level and the bottom of the current tight range). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows a very tight consolidation, with the price oscillating in a small range between 56,000 and 56,200. This suggests a period of accumulation/distribution is occurring, likely ahead of the open and in reaction to the TCS results. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 56,200. Intraday Demand: 56,000. Outlook: Neutral. The market is waiting for a clear break of the 56,000 - 56,200 range. 📈 Trade Plan (Friday, 10th October) Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty is in a tight consolidation, indicating a coil-up before a potentially sharp directional move. The market is influenced by the IT earnings season. The strategy is to trade the breakout. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: A continuation of the bullish recovery after a period of consolidation. A positive reaction to IT earnings or strong bank buying could fuel this. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 56,200. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 56,000 (below the immediate support). Targets: T1: 56,400 (Major supply zone). T2: 56,600 (Extension target/Upper Order Block). Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Plan) Justification: The continuation of the correction due to global weakness or failure to break the supply zone. Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 56,000. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 56,200. Targets: T1: 55,750 - 55,850 (Recent swing low/FVG). T2: 55,400 (Major FVG support). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: The 56,000 - 56,200 consolidation zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 56,200. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 56,000. Line in the Sand: 55,700. A break below this would confirm a return to the broader correction. The video offers analysis on the Bank Nifty trend and key trading levels which aligns with the current consolidation phase.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 10th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is firmly in a bullish recovery phase. The selling pressure seen on Wednesday was a brief correction, which was quickly bought up. The price has reclaimed the 25,100 level and is moving strongly within a new, steep ascending channel. The rally is aggressive, suggesting large institutional buying (DIIs) is still active. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 25,250 - 25,350. This area is a critical supply zone and a short-term Order Block (OB). A clean breakout here would confirm the continuation towards the September high (25,450). Major Demand (Support): 25,000 - 25,050. This area, which includes the psychological 25,000 mark and the lower boundary of the ascending channel, is the key support. Outlook: The short-term bias is strongly bullish. The market is poised to challenge the 25,250 resistance. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market successfully defending the 25,000 support and resuming the upward trajectory. The strong closing candle (part of a bullish continuation pattern) confirms the end of Wednesday's short-term correction. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 25,250. Immediate Support: 25,100 (Prior breakout level and a strong short-term support). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the upside on Thursday. The index closed at the upper end of a consolidation range, setting up for a bullish opening. The strong close suggests momentum is favorable for continuation. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 25,250. Intraday Demand: 25,100 - 25,150. Outlook: Strongly Bullish. 📈 Trade Plan (Friday, 10th October) Market Outlook: The Nifty is showing strong underlying strength and is poised to challenge the next major resistance. TCS results were announced after market hours on Thursday and will be the main driver for IT stocks and the index at the open. The primary strategy will be to buy on continuation. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The confirmed bullish reversal from 25,000 and the strong close near the highs suggest a continuation toward the next major supply zone. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 25,250. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 25,100 (below the immediate swing low/breakout level). Targets: T1: 25,350 (Major Order Block/Supply). T2: 25,450 (Previous swing high). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan) Justification: Only valid if TCS results are strongly negative or global cues cause a sharp rejection/gap down. Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 25,000. Entry: Short entry below 25,000. Stop Loss (SL): Above 25,150. Targets: T1: 24,900 (Lower channel trendline). T2: 24,800 (Major FVG support). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 25,100 - 25,250 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 25,250. Bearish Warning: A move below 25,000 would suggest the bounce has failed. Line in the Sand: 25,000. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Sensex is showing a clear rejection from the major supply zone of 82,300 - 82,500. The large red candle on the 4H chart indicates profit-booking and a likely retreat back into the consolidation range. The price broke below the lower trendline of the very steep short-term ascending channel. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 82,300 - 82,500. This remains the critical overhead hurdle and a short-term Order Block (OB). Major Demand (Support): 81,400 - 81,600. This area, which includes the rising trendline and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold zone for the bulls. Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 81,400 - 81,600 support zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low and the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming the shift to a corrective short-term trend. The market is now trading within a small descending channel. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 82,000 (The psychological level and the middle of the recent bullish candle). Immediate Support: 81,600 (The major support zone). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms a clean descending channel since the 82,300 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed right at the 81,774 level, indicating bears are in control for the start of the session. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 81,900 - 82,000. This area is the immediate swing high. Intraday Demand: 81,600. Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 81,900 - 82,000. 📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October) Market Outlook: The Sensex has initiated a short-term correction after hitting major resistance. The plan focuses on capitalizing on the continuation of the correction. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the rejection from 82,300 favor continuation toward the next major support. Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 81,900 - 82,000 zone (upper channel resistance/prior support). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 81,600. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 82,200 (above the immediate swing high). Targets: T1: 81,400 (Major FVG support). T2: 81,000 (Psychological support). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: Only valid if TCS results are exceptionally strong, leading to a gap-up or sharp reversal that negates the current selling pressure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 82,300. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 82,300. Stop Loss (SL): Below 82,000. Targets: T1: 82,600 (Upper resistance). T2: 83,000 (Psychological target). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 81,600 - 82,000 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 81,600. Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 82,200. Major Event: TCS Q2 Results. Volatility is expected to be high. Line in the Sand: 81,400. A break below this would accelerate the correction.
BSE:SENSEXShort
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Bank Nifty is still in a bullish uptrend, having rebounded sharply from the 54,250 base. However, the price has failed to break the key supply zone of 56,400 - 56,600. The large red candle on Wednesday signals a clear rejection from this zone. The price has dropped below the lower trendline of the very steep short-term ascending channel. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 56,400 - 56,600. This remains the critical overhead hurdle. Major Demand (Support): 55,400 - 55,600. This area, which includes a short-term FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the next major support. Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish for the short term. The market is expected to consolidate or correct towards 55,600. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low and the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming the corrective trend. The market is now moving within a newly formed descending channel. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: The upper trendline of the descending channel, near 56,200. Immediate Support: 55,750 (The recent consolidation base). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms a clear descending channel since the 56,400 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed below the blue EMA, indicating strong bearish momentum. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 56,050 - 56,150. This area is the recent swing high and aligns with the descending channel's upper boundary. Intraday Demand: 55,750. Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 56,050 - 56,150. 📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October) Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty has initiated a short-term correction after hitting major resistance. The plan focuses on capitalizing on the continuation of the short-term downtrend. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the rejection from 56,400 favor continuation toward the next major support. Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 56,050 - 56,150 zone (upper channel resistance). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 55,700. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 56,300. Targets: T1: 55,400 (Major FVG support). T2: 55,100 (Psychological support). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: Only valid if strong buying emerges to reclaim the entire breakdown structure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 56,400. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 56,400. Stop Loss (SL): Below 56,200. Targets: T1: 56,600 (Major supply zone). T2: 56,800 (Extension target). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 55,700 - 56,150 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 55,700. Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 56,200. Major Event: TCS Q2 Results (will heavily influence the market open). Line in the Sand: 55,600. Below this level, the sellers gain control of the intermediate trend.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is showing a clear rejection from the major supply zone of 25,150 - 25,250. The strong red candle on the 4H chart (a potential Shooting Star/Bearish Engulfing pattern) indicates that the bounce phase is likely over, and the market is now retreating back into the consolidation range. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 25,150 - 25,250. This area remains the critical overhead hurdle. Major Demand (Support): 24,800 - 24,900. This area includes a FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the lower boundary of the recent ascending channel. This is the must-hold zone for the bulls. Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 24,800 - 24,900 support zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low after being rejected from the 25,200 level. The index has now broken the lower trendline of the recent ascending channel, confirming the shift to a corrective short-term trend. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 25,100 (Prior consolidation support, now resistance). Immediate Support: 24,980 - 25,000 (The psychological level and Friday's close area). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows a clean descending pattern since the 25,200 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed below the 25,050 mark, indicating bears are in control. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 25,080 (Immediate swing high). Intraday Demand: 24,900 - 24,950. Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 25,080 - 25,100. 📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October) Market Outlook: The Nifty has shifted to a bearish bias after hitting major resistance. TCS Q2 results are due today, which will heavily influence Nifty IT and potentially the entire index. The plan should be reactive to the continuation of the correction. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The breakdown of the ascending channel and the rejection from the major 25,200 supply zone favors a continuation of the correction, especially if TCS results disappoint. Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 24,980 (breaking the psychological and swing support). Alternatively, short a retest and rejection of the 25,080 level. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 25,150 (above the immediate swing high). Targets: T1: 24,880 (Major FVG support). T2: 24,800 (Lower boundary of macro support). T3: 24,700 (Extension target). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: Only valid if TCS results are exceptionally strong, leading to a gap-up or sharp reversal. Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 25,250. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 25,250. Stop Loss (SL): Below 25,150. Targets: T1: 25,350 (Upper resistance). T2: 25,450 (Previous high). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 25,080 - 25,100 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 24,980. Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 25,150. Line in the Sand: 24,800. A break below this would accelerate the correction.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
BRITANNIA Price Action 2 probable entriesBritannia Industries Ltd is currently trading around ₹5,849 after opening at ₹5,882, slightly down from the previous close with a minor loss on the day. The stock’s recent 52-week high stands at ₹6,337, while the low is ₹4,506, reflecting a broad trading band throughout the year. With an annualized volatility of about 25%, the scrip has seen moderate market fluctuations. Market capitalization is robust, totaling approximately ₹1.41 trillion. From a technical perspective, Britannia’s chart structure indicates mild downward momentum in the short term, with prices trending below the 20-day moving average but holding above the larger 50- and 200-day averages. The daily ranges have narrowed, and the price closed near the day’s low at ₹5,839, suggesting mild intraday bearish sentiment. Key support appears at ₹5,800, while resistance lies at ₹5,900 and then at the recent swing high. RSI and momentum indicators remain neutral, and trend-following tools show sideways movement, reflecting cautious accumulation. Fundamentally, Britannia continues to deliver stable earnings even with moderate price declines. The trailing P/E is elevated at about 64, indicating a premium valuation, and the stock is currently trading at roughly 33% above its estimated fair value. The quarterly results for June 2025 showed an 8.8% year-on-year revenue increase with operating profit and net profit also marginally growing. Debt levels are moderate and promoter pledging is low, with no major concerns visible in the shareholding pattern. Overall, Britannia holds long-term structural strength, but its short-term trend is weak. Investors are advised to wait for clear momentum signals before considering fresh positions, and any breakout above ₹5,900 may trigger a retest of annual highs, while downside risks are limited by strong support near ₹5,800.
NSE:BRITANNIALong
by KamalKJoshi
Only You can make you ProfitableThose who have been in the trading world for some time must have realized by now that Profitable trading isn’t just about charts and indicators, it’s mostly about Yourself. We may have the cleanest setup, perfect RSI levels, and all your EMAs aligned like planets, and still lose money😢 Because charts do not control your hand on the mouse or keyboard buttons, only you do. The real problem usually is not the entry or the indicators. It’s Impatience, Overconfidence, Revengeful trading, Need more confirmation before hitting the buy button. These habits grow over time if not realized and controlled at the very beginning, lead to more and more losses. Indicators can give you an edge. But they can’t stop you from cutting winners too soon or holding losers too long. You need to first plan and then execute it religiously. Trading doesn’t test your strategy; it tests your discipline. And honestly, that’s what makes it both frustrating and fascinating. What do you think?
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Bravetotrade
21
JAICORPLTD Price ActionJai Corp Ltd traded with a neutral to mildly bearish tone, hovering near 144 in the latest session after seeing notable weakness over the past year. The stock has underperformed most of its industry peers, witnessing a year-to-date drop of around 58%. Despite this steep decline, recent sessions have shown stabilization as prices consolidate within a broad range between 140 and 173. From a technical perspective, major indicators point to a lack of clear momentum. Moving averages for short and medium terms highlight sideways price action. Oscillators signal a neutral trend with neither buyers nor sellers in clear control. The stock faced strong selling pressure after hitting its 52-week high near 401 and has since formed a prolonged downtrend, but the recent bounce from 81.5 signals possible value-based interest emerging at lower levels. On the fundamental side, the price-to-earnings ratio remains moderate at 16 and the price-to-book ratio is approximately 2.4, with market capitalization near 2,590 crore. Earnings per share improved sharply in the latest quarter, reflecting some operational recovery. Net profit growth and revenue acceleration on a quarterly basis signal that fundamentals may be turning around, but the long-term trend still requires confirmation via fresh price breakouts or sector tailwinds. Support is visible at 140, with short-term resistance near 173. Until a sustained close above resistance or a breakdown below support, expect continued consolidation. Current positioning suggests cautious accumulation but not aggressive buying unless technical momentum improves.
NSE:JAICORPLTDLong
by KamalKJoshi
Intraday Trading vs Swing TradingIntroduction Brief overview of trading in financial markets. Importance of choosing the right trading style for profitability and risk management. Statement of purpose: Compare intraday trading and swing trading across multiple dimensions such as time horizon, risk, capital requirements, strategy, and psychology. 1. Understanding Intraday Trading 1.1 Definition Buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day. Positions are squared off before the market closes. 1.2 Characteristics Short-term focus (minutes to hours). High trade frequency. Requires constant market monitoring. 1.3 Tools & Techniques Technical indicators: RSI, MACD, moving averages, Bollinger Bands. Chart patterns: Flags, triangles, head & shoulders. Level 2 data, real-time market depth. 1.4 Advantages Potential for high profits in a single day. No overnight risk exposure. Quick capital turnover. 1.5 Disadvantages High stress due to rapid decision-making. Significant brokerage and transaction costs. Requires advanced knowledge and quick reflexes. 2. Understanding Swing Trading 2.1 Definition Holding positions for several days to weeks to capture medium-term price movements. 2.2 Characteristics Medium-term focus. Fewer trades but larger profit potential per trade. Less time-intensive compared to intraday trading. 2.3 Tools & Techniques Technical analysis: Trendlines, support/resistance, moving averages. Fundamental analysis: Earnings reports, sector trends, macroeconomic indicators. Swing patterns: Breakouts, pullbacks, reversals. 2.4 Advantages Less stressful than intraday trading. More time to analyze and make informed decisions. Lower transaction costs due to fewer trades. 2.5 Disadvantages Exposure to overnight and weekend risks. Capital is tied up longer. Requires patience and disciplined risk management. 3. Time Horizon and Trading Frequency Intraday: Trades last minutes to hours; multiple trades daily. Swing: Trades last days to weeks; limited trades but larger exposure. Impact on lifestyle: Intraday requires active screen time; swing allows more flexibility. 4. Capital Requirements Intraday: Leverage is often used; margin requirements are smaller but risk is higher. Swing: Requires more capital per trade due to longer holding periods and lower leverage. Risk of capital erosion: Intraday mistakes can wipe out a day’s gains; swing mistakes can impact several days of profit potential. 5. Risk and Reward Dynamics Intraday: High volatility can yield high rewards but also steep losses. Swing: Moderate volatility, potential for larger cumulative gains, but exposure to overnight gaps. Risk management strategies: Stop-loss orders, position sizing, diversification. 6. Trading Psychology Intraday: Requires quick decision-making and mental resilience. Emotional discipline is crucial; fear and greed can destroy profits quickly. Swing: Patience is essential to ride trends. Ability to handle temporary drawdowns without panic-selling. 7. Strategy and Analysis Intraday Trading Strategies: Scalping: Quick small gains. Momentum trading: Riding strong price trends within the day. Swing Trading Strategies: Trend-following: Entering trades along prevailing trends. Reversal trading: Buying dips and selling rallies. Technical vs fundamental analysis balance: Swing trading often incorporates both; intraday is heavily technical. 8. Costs and Tax Implications Intraday: Higher brokerage and STT due to frequent trades. Short-term gains taxed differently depending on jurisdiction. Swing: Lower trading costs. Gains may qualify for medium/long-term capital gains benefits. 9. Suitability for Different Traders Intraday: Best for active, risk-tolerant, experienced traders with fast decision-making skills. Swing: Suitable for part-time traders, working professionals, and those seeking less stressful trading. 10. Technology and Tools Intraday: Real-time charts, high-speed internet, advanced trading platforms. Swing: Standard charting tools, technical analysis software, news alerts. Algorithmic trading: Both can benefit but intraday relies more heavily on automated systems. 11. Performance Metrics Intraday: Profit per trade is smaller but cumulative daily gains can be significant. Key metrics: Win rate, risk-reward ratio, drawdown percentage. Swing: Profit per trade larger due to capturing trends. Key metrics: Holding period returns, average gain/loss, volatility capture. 12. Case Studies Example of successful intraday trades: High-volume stocks, news-based spikes. Example of successful swing trades: Trend-following in indices or sectoral stocks. Comparison of returns, drawdowns, and effort required. 13. Hybrid Approaches Combining intraday scalping with swing trading to diversify income streams. Portfolio allocation between short-term and medium-term trades. Pros and cons of hybrid trading. 14. Choosing Your Style Assess your risk tolerance, time availability, capital, and psychological comfort. Test both styles using paper trading before committing real capital. Flexibility and adaptation to changing market conditions. 15. Conclusion Recap of key differences: time horizon, risk, rewards, strategies, tools. Emphasis on personal suitability over “best style.” Encouragement to practice disciplined trading, regardless of style.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Ideathis is for educational purpose only it clearly explains how to handle 2-point stop-loss and retry logic (max 3–4 times) for automation or manual trading Wait for a green candle close above the 4088 level before entering. Confirm the breakout with strong volume support. The green line acts as your entry trigger zone. Entry Level: 4088 (Green Line) Exit Level: 4151 (Red Line) Stop-Loss: 2 points Max Attempts: 3–4 times per setup The red line (4151) is the final exit target. Keep a tight 2-point stop loss for controlled risk. Rejection may happen 2–3 times near the entry zone — stay patient. Avoid early entries before confirmation. Watch for volume expansion during breakout candles. Use 30-minute time frame for accuracy and clarity. Once confirmed, ride the move toward the 100% level at 4117. Partial profit booking is advised near 4117 zone. Move SL to cost after price closes above 4100. Avoid trading if candle closes below 4088 again. The momentum remains bullish as long as price stays above 4088. Red candle rejection below entry zone means wait again for setup. Don’t chase enter only after a confirmed breakout. Keep your chart clean and focus on price + volume behavior. Plan your trade before execution , no impulsive entries. Respect SL — discipline ensures long-term success. Always analyze candle behavior near major levels before deciding. Enter on candle close above 4088 with volume confirmation. SL: 2 points below entry. Targets: 4117 (first), 4151 (final). Expect 2–3 rejections — wait for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Powerniftypro
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 8th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Sensex is in a strong bullish trend and has confirmed a powerful reversal from the 80,200 base. The price is trading within a clear ascending channel, but the close was marked by a bearish candle that rejected the upper trendline and the 82,300 resistance zone. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 82,300 - 82,500. This area is a key overhead supply zone (Order Block) and the high of the recent swing. A decisive breakout here is needed to target 83,000. Major Demand (Support): 81,500 - 81,750. This area is the key immediate support, aligning with the lower trendline of the ascending channel and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap). Outlook: The short-term bias is sideways-to-bullish. The market is expected to consolidate or correct shallowly before attempting another break of the 82,300 supply zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market hitting the 82,300 resistance and facing a sharp rejection in the last hours of trading. The index is still within its ascending channel, but the recent price action suggests selling pressure is active at the current high. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 82,300. Immediate Support: 81,800 (Lower boundary of the ascending channel and a prior flip zone). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside in the last hour of trading, as the price sold off sharply from the 82,300 high. This suggests an intraday profit-booking/correction phase is set to continue. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 82,200. Intraday Demand: 81,800 - 81,900. Outlook: Slightly Bearish (Correction/Consolidation). 📈 Trade Plan (Wednesday, 8th October) Market Outlook: Sensex is facing strong resistance at 82,300 and is due for a healthy consolidation. The strategy should be to buy on dips to the channel support or short a failure at the overhead resistance. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan: Buy on Dips) Justification: The overall structure is bullish. The next move is likely a higher low. Entry: Look for a long entry on a retest of the 81,600 - 81,800 support zone (lower channel trendline/FVG support) that shows a bullish reversal candle. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 81,500. Targets: T1: 82,200 (Retest of Tuesday's high). T2: 82,400 (Breakout target/Major supply zone). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend: Short at Resistance/Breakdown) Justification: Profit-booking at the 82,300 supply zone is strong. Trigger 1 (Failure to Break): Short entry if 82,300 is tested and rejected with a bearish candle. Trigger 2 (Breakdown): Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 81,750. Stop Loss (SL): Above 82,450. Targets: T1: 81,500 (Major FVG support). T2: 81,200 (Lower channel line/FVG zone). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 81,800 - 82,300 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 82,400. Bearish Warning: A move below 81,500 would suggest the correction is deepening. Line in the Sand: 81,500. Below this level, the short-term uptrend is vulnerable.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 8th October The Bank Nifty closed on Tuesday, October 7, by sustaining its strong bullish momentum, but faced a rejection near the upper end of its current ascending channel. This suggests bulls are struggling to break the supply zone quickly. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Bank Nifty is in a strong, aggressive bullish trend and has confirmed a powerful reversal from the 54,250 base. The price is now trading within a clear ascending channel, with Monday and Tuesday's action pushing it right up to the major supply zone. The strong rejection wick on the 4H chart confirms seller activity near 56,400. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 56,400 - 56,600. This area is a significant Order Block (OB) and will be the major hurdle for bulls. A decisive breakout here is needed for the rally to extend toward 57,000. Major Demand (Support): 55,400 - 55,600. This area, which includes the lower trendline of the ascending channel and a prior resistance flip, is the new, crucial support. Outlook: The short-term bias is sideways-to-bullish. The market is expected to consolidate or correct shallowly before attempting another break of the supply zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market briefly hit the 56,400 resistance and faced a sharp rejection, causing the price to retreat. The index is still well within its ascending channel, and the close suggests a temporary pause is likely. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 56,400 (The high of Tuesday's session). Immediate Support: 56,000 (The psychological level and the middle of the recent bullish move). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside in the last few hours of trading, as the price sold off sharply from the 56,400 high. This suggests an intraday profit-booking/correction phase is set to continue. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 56,300. Intraday Demand: 56,000 - 56,050. Outlook: Slightly Bearish (Correction/Consolidation). 📈 Trade Plan (Wednesday, 8th October) Market Outlook: Bank Nifty is nearing a major supply zone and is due for a healthy consolidation. The strategy should be to buy on dips to the channel support or short a failure at the overhead resistance. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan: Buy on Dips) Justification: The overall structure is bullish. The next move is likely a higher low before a breakout attempt. Entry: Look for a long entry on a retest of the 55,700 - 55,800 support zone (lower channel trendline) that shows a bullish reversal candle. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 55,600. Targets: T1: 56,400 (Retest of Tuesday's high). T2: 56,600 (Breakout target/Major supply zone). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend: Short at Resistance/Breakdown) Justification: Profit-booking at the 56,400 supply zone is strong. Trigger 1 (Failure to Break): Short entry if 56,400 is tested and rejected with a bearish candle. Trigger 2 (Breakdown): Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 55,600. Stop Loss (SL): Above 56,450. Targets: T1: 55,400 (Lower channel trendline). T2: 55,200 (Major FVG support). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 55,800 - 56,400 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 56,400. Bearish Warning: A move below 55,600 would suggest the correction is deepening. Line in the Sand: 55,400. Below this level, the short-term uptrend is vulnerable.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 8th OctoberThe Nifty closed on Tuesday, October 7, by sustaining its positive momentum, but faced strong resistance at the 25,200 level. This suggests bulls are struggling to break the supply zone quickly. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is firmly in a bullish bounce phase, having established a strong reversal from the 24,600 base. The price is now trading within a clear ascending channel, and the strong upper wick on the recent 4H candle shows profit-booking and strong overhead supply from 25,150 - 25,250. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 25,150 - 25,250. This area is a significant FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a short-term Order Block (OB), making it a major hurdle. A breakout here is needed for the rally to extend toward 25,400. Major Demand (Support): 24,900. This area is the first strong support, aligning with the rising trendline and a prior breakout level. Outlook: The short-term bias is sideways-to-bullish. The market is expected to consolidate or correct shallowly before attempting another break of the supply zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows the market hitting the 25,200 resistance and facing a sharp rejection (indicated by the large upper wick and subsequent red candles). This confirms that sellers are active at the top of the range. The index is still in its ascending channel. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 25,200 (The high of Tuesday's session). Immediate Support: 25,050 (Lower boundary of the ascending channel and a high-volume node). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows a short-term Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside in the last hour of trading, as the price broke a small swing low after failing to break 25,200. This suggests a minor intraday correction is likely for the start of Wednesday. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 25,150 - 25,200. Intraday Demand: 25,050. Outlook: Slightly Bearish (Correction/Consolidation). 📈 Trade Plan (Wednesday, 8th October) Market Outlook: Nifty is facing strong resistance at 25,200 and is due for a healthy consolidation or shallow correction. The strategy should be to buy on dips to the channel support or short a failure at the overhead resistance. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan: Buy on Dips) Justification: The overall structure is bullish. The next move is likely a higher low. Entry: Look for a long entry on a retest of the 25,000 - 25,050 support zone (lower channel trendline/FVG support) that shows a bullish reversal candle. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 24,950 (below the key Order Block). Targets: T1: 25,150 (Retest of supply zone). T2: 25,250 (Breakout target). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend: Short at Resistance/Breakdown) Justification: Profit-booking at the 25,200 supply zone is strong. Trigger 1 (Failure to Break): Short entry if 25,200 is tested and rejected with a bearish candle. Trigger 2 (Breakdown): Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 25,050. Stop Loss (SL): Above 25,250. Targets: T1: 24,950 (Immediate support). T2: 24,850 (Major FVG support). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 25,050 - 25,200 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 25,250. Bearish Warning: A move below 25,000 would suggest the correction is deepening. Line in the Sand: 24,900. Below this level, the short-term uptrend is vulnerable.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
ANANTRAJ Price Action ## Current Price & Performance - Last close was ₹607.20. - Over the past week, the stock is up more than 10%, showing strong short-term momentum. - Over the past year, it has gained nearly 25%, but suffered a sharp 32% drawdown over six months. - The 52-week price ranged from ₹376.15 to ₹947.90, reflecting high volatility. ## Valuation and Metrics - ANANTRAJ trades at a high valuation, with price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios above typical industry averages. - Its market capitalization puts it among the stronger players in the real estate sector. - Key valuation multiples such as PE and EV/EBITDA are elevated, indicating investors are paying a premium for expected growth. - The stock’s PEG ratio suggests its growth is reasonably in line with its price. ## Analyst Sentiment and Targets - Most analysts rate the stock as a strong buy, highlighting strong upside potential with target prices higher than the current market price. - The consensus one-year price targets suggest potential returns ranging between 24% and 49% from current levels. ## Technical & Fundamental Observations - Compared to sector peers, its PE is lower than certain high-flyers but remains above the overall industry average, making it expensive by historical standards. - Return on equity has hovered around 8.5% recently, with efficient operating and employee costs supporting margins. - A modest dividend has recently been declared. - A slight increase in promoter holding indicates management confidence. ## Risk Factors - Substantial volatility in recent months may raise concerns for risk-averse investors. - Both intrinsic value models and relative measures suggest the shares may be overvalued by over 20% at current prices. - While momentum and sentiment are positive, valuation risk remains a key factor for new investors. ## Conclusion ANANTRAJ is benefiting from strong momentum and positive sentiment, with analysts forecasting further upside. However, current valuation levels are high, and investors should carefully weigh the potential for price appreciation against the risk of overvaluation and ongoing volatility. Consider both the fundamental strengths and the elevated price multiples before making an investment decision.
NSE:ANANTRAJLong
by KamalKJoshi
2
CDSL Price ActionCDSL opened the session with strong buying interest and surged nearly 3% in early trade, reflecting robust momentum and outperforming broader sector trends. The stock is currently trading around 1,570, after touching an intraday high near 1,592 and respecting support at 1,520. Volumes are significantly above the recent average, indicating active participation from both institutional and retail traders. On the technical front, CDSL continues to trade above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, maintaining a mildly bullish trend as confirmed by momentum oscillators. The daily charts exhibit a series of higher lows, and the stock has rebounded from its recent base near 1,450. Key resistance is seen at 1,625; a breakout above this zone could trigger a further rally toward 1,800. Immediate support for short-term traders lies at 1,535, and any dip toward this zone may see strong buying interest. Technically, mixed longer-term indicators suggest some caution—while the RSI remains bullish and the overall trend is favorable, weekly signals like MACD show mild bearishness, indicating some volatility. Still, the overall bias remains positive as long as the price sustains above key support levels, making CDSL a favored pick in the capital market sector for the near term.
NSE:CDSLLong
by KamalKJoshi
3
TDPOWERSYS Price Action## TDPOWERSYS Price Details (as of August 8, 2025) ### Market Metrics - Current share price is ₹472.85. - Market capitalization is ₹7,385crore. - The 52-week price range is ₹293 to ₹552.75. - Its all-time low was ₹14 in March 2020; all-time high is ₹552.75 in June 2025. ### Returns & Volatility - 1-month return: -1.48%. - 1-year return: about 18%-20%. - 3-year return: over 300%. - 5-year return: over 1,900%. - Weekly volatility is 6%, which is above average. - Beta is 2.04, indicating higher risk and volatility versus the overall market. ### Valuation - Price/Earnings Ratio: 42.31, higher than sector average. - Price/Book Ratio: 8.58, above sector average. - Dividend yield is 0.25%. ### Company Fundamentals - Trailing 12-month revenue: ₹13.77billion. - Net Profit Margin: 13.75%. - EPS: ₹12.12. - Gross margin: 34.13%. - Debt to equity: 1.4%, showing low leverage. ### Valuation Analysis - Estimated intrinsic value is ₹258.02. - Current price is about 45% over this value, meaning the stock is overvalued. ### Qualitative Notes - Strong profitability and cash flow, but price reflects high growth expectations. - High volatility, especially in the short term. - Dividend policy: small but regular. - Recent technical signals showed buy recommendations, but the stock has been correcting lately. **Overall:** The stock is highly priced relative to its value and historical norms, with impressive growth but also increased volatility and a potential for continued price correction.
NSE:TDPOWERSYSLong
by KamalKJoshi