Nifty view on 6/8/2025Case 1: if market open flat or slight gap up, price tests 24726.90 & gets rejection then plan for sell side
Case 2 : if market gap up and breaks 24726.90. After Retracement plan for buy side.
Case 3: if market open flat or slight gap down, price tests 24611.65 & gets rejection then plan for buy side.
Case 4: if market open flat or moves down side and gives fake out @24590.30 and start reversal then plan for buy side
Disclaimer : I am not SEBI registered analyst. This is only my view shared. Technicals analysis are probability only. Please do own research before initate a trade.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Part5 Institutional Trading Why Traders Use Options
Options are not just for speculation—they serve many purposes:
🎯 Speculation
Traders can take directional bets with limited capital.
🛡️ Hedging
Protect your portfolio or a specific stock against adverse movements.
💰 Income Generation
By selling options (covered calls or puts), you can earn premium income.
🎯 Leverage
Control larger exposure with less capital, but with higher risk.
Real-World Example: Call Option
Imagine Reliance stock is at ₹2500.
You buy a Call Option with strike ₹2600, premium ₹50, expiry in 2 weeks.
Scenario A – Price goes to ₹2700:
Profit = (2700 – 2600 – 50) = ₹50 profit per share
ROI = ₹50 / ₹50 = 100%
Scenario B – Price remains ₹2500:
Loss = Full premium = ₹50 (option expires worthless)
Profitable Consistent Trader - Concluding partOnce a novice trader becomes an experienced trader with knowledge, why is he still struggling in the trading market? With effective trading strategies, sound trade setups, and a solid understanding of technical indicators, he will trade with confidence. But why does he not have confidence?
I will explain two important factors here. The first one is the expectation of a holy grail strategy or trade setup. This type of expectation comes when a person is not ready to understand that 100% success trades are not possible. People who have this type of expectation will follow one strategy for some time, then switch to another one when they get a few losing trades. They spend their money, time, and energy in finding new strategies & testing them for some time before finding another new strategy.
The next factor is not having sufficient understanding of the strategy or trade setup. It makes a trader lose interest in his strategy once he encounters a few losing trades.
The solution to trade confidently lies in back testing. Usually, professional traders back-test their strategy at least for the past 4 years. This makes them understand how their strategy works in different market situations and to know the trading edge. Have you back-tested your strategy? If not, now is the time for back testing... I am concluding this series, The Profitable Consistent Trader, here. If you want to read such an article, comment below, and I will write about different topics every week.
Nifty Plan 5th August 2025Our today's plan was perfect and captured 100 points in nifty. So we can plan long trade for tomorrow also continue the same plan. Only caution in huge gap up and gap down ( avoid ).
Also tomorrow is sensex expiry day so we will stay cautious and take limited qty.
Idea is only for educational purpose not a recommendation/ tip or call.
Trade plan - long biased.
Caution - huge gap up or gap down.
If you are enjoying or learning through my ideas drop a comment or give a boost.
Golden EMA Setup – Catch Medium-Term Trends with 50 & 200 EMA!Hello Traders!
One of the simplest yet most powerful ways to identify long-lasting trends is by using moving averages. And among all combinations, there’s one that stands out for swing and positional trades, the Golden EMA Setup .
It uses just two tools: the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA. When used correctly, this setup helps you ride big trends and avoid choppy zones.
Let’s understand how this works and how you can apply it.
What is the Golden EMA Setup?
It’s a trend-following strategy based on the crossover of two EMAs:
50 EMA (Fast Average): Reacts quicker to price changes
200 EMA (Slow Average): Represents the long-term trend
When 50 EMA crosses above 200 EMA, it’s considered a Golden Crossover , a bullish signal.
When 50 EMA crosses below 200 EMA, it’s a Death Crossover , a bearish signal.
How to Trade This Setup:
Entry:
Buy when 50 EMA crosses above 200 EMA and price is above both.
Stop Loss:
Just below the 200 EMA or recent swing low.
Target:
Trail the stop loss and ride the trend till the crossover reverses or price weakens.
Timeframe:
Works best on daily or 1-hour chart for positional/swing trades.
Rahul Tip:
Golden EMA setup works great during trending phases, but avoid using it in sideways markets — you may get trapped in whipsaws. Always confirm with volume or RSI divergence before entering.
Did you ever used this strategy before, let me know in comment box.
Banknifty Market Structure & Trade Plan : 5th August📊 Bank Nifty Market Structure
🔵 4H Timeframe
Trend: Bearish to consolidating. Price still below key supply zones.
Key Supply Zones:
56,350 – 56,400 (strong resistance; previous OB zone)
56,000 – 56,050 (intermediate supply)
Demand Zone:
55,500 – 55,600 (holding multiple rejections, current short-term support)
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish; sellers strong below 56,000.
🔵 1H Timeframe
Price is consolidating above 55,600, showing a base formation.
Liquidity sweep seen around 55,500 with quick bounce.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) visible near 55,900 – 56,050; could act as a magnet if price retraces.
Market still below supply zone → upside capped unless 56,050+ breaks.
🔵 15M Timeframe
Micro-structure:
Sideways chop between 55,550 – 55,700.
Weak bullish attempts, but sellers entering near 55,900.
Intraday Liquidity Levels:
Buyside liquidity: above 55,900.
Sellside liquidity: under 55,500.
🗺️ Trade Plan for 5th August (Bank Nifty)
📍 Scenario 1: Sell on Pullback (Preferred)
Entry: Around 55,900 – 56,000 if retest happens.
Stop Loss: Above 56,150.
Target 1: 55,500
Target 2: 55,200 (major liquidity zone)
➡️ Bias: Higher probability as price is below HTF supply & FVG lies above.
📍 Scenario 2: Break & Retest of 55,500
Entry: On clean 15M close below 55,500.
Stop Loss: Above 55,650.
Target 1: 55,200
Target 2: 54,950 – 55,000
➡️ Watch for strong momentum candles + volume for confirmation.
📍 Scenario 3: Long only if 56,050 breaks convincingly
Entry: After 1H close above 56,050.
Stop Loss: Below 55,900.
Target 1: 56,350 – 56,400
Target 2: 56,650
➡️ Low probability — only valid if bulls regain control.
🚫 No-Trade Zone
Between 55,550 – 55,750 → current chop zone with indecision.
Avoid entering here; wait for breakout or retest of levels.
⚡ Quick Take: Short setups look stronger unless Bank Nifty breaks above 56,050 with conviction.
Nifty market structure & Trade Plan 5th August🔍 Market Structure Analysis
4H Chart
Price currently trading around 24,726 after rejecting lower levels.
Supply Zones:
24,900 – 24,960 (fresh supply, previous rejection area).
25,200 – 25,250 (strong supply).
Demand Zones:
24,460 – 24,500 (major demand).
Below that, 24,370 – 24,400 (swing demand).
Bias: Short-term recovery within a larger bearish structure (as long as it stays below 24,960).
1H Chart
Market has shown bullish reaction from demand (24,460–24,500).
Currently retesting mid-level supply at 24,760–24,800.
If it fails to break above this, likely a pullback before another downside move.
15m Chart
Price consolidating near 24,720–24,760 zone.
Possible liquidity grab near 24,760–24,800 before continuation move.
FVG visible above → potential inducement for shorts.
🎯 Trade Plan for 5th August
Scenario 1 – Short Setup (Preferred Bias)
Entry Zone: 24,760–24,800 (retest of supply).
Stop Loss: Above 24,880 (safe above supply).
Targets:
T1: 24,600
T2: 24,500
T3: 24,370 (if strong momentum).
Reasoning: Market structure remains bearish; supply likely to reject price.
Scenario 2 – Bullish Trap to Short
I f price spikes towards 24,900 (liquidity hunt), look for rejection candles (MSS/BOS) to short.
Stop Loss: Above 24,960
Targets: Same as above.
Invalidation (No-Trade Zone)
Avoid trades if price consolidates between 24,680–24,760 without clean direction.
This is a liquidity build-up zone → high chance of fakeouts.
✅ Bias: Short on rejection from 24,760–24,900 supply zones.
⚠️ Risk Note: If 24,960 breaks and sustains, trend may flip bullish towards 25,100+.
Dow Theory Update and Nifty AnalysisIn this video, we have explained the following points -
* A new Dow Top "A1" has been created by Nifty50.
* The significance of the new Dow Top has been explained.
* The current structure of Nifty has been discussed.
* The importance of waiting for the next candle and the current key support level has been highlighted.
maintain uptrend, buy gold 3350Plan XAU day: 04 August 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) retain a subdued tone during the first half of the European session on Monday, although the absence of sustained selling pressure keeps the metal within reach of the one-week high recorded earlier in the day. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week with a modest recovery, partially retracing Friday’s decline triggered by softer-than-expected US employment data, supported in part by a rebound in US Treasury yields. This recovery exerts downward pressure on demand for the precious metal.
Nevertheless, the USD's upside remains limited amid increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume interest rate cuts as early as September. This anticipation continues to provide support for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, a broadly cautious market mood—driven by persistent trade uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions—reinforces the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset and advises restraint among bearish market participants
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulated price zone around 3350 - 3364, buying power maintained. Gold buying point following the uptrend line today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Support zone point: 3350 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
JSW Energy Ltd. - Set for Triangle Breakout with Record Q1 gains🔍Technical Analysis
JSW Energy remained range-bound below ₹120–₹130 from 2010–2020, briefly dipping to ₹40 post-COVID. It surged to ₹400 by October 2021, pulled back to ₹200 during the second COVID wave, then rallied past ₹400 in September 2023 and reached ₹800 by September 2024. A crash back to ₹400 followed.
In 2025, the stock formed a symmetrical triangle — a consolidation pattern featuring higher lows and lower highs. Recently, it reported solid Q1 FY26 results, boosting bullish sentiment. A breakout above the triangle signals a fresh move upward.
Entry Strategy: Only enter on a confirmed breakout above the pattern.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹600
Target 2: ₹650
Target 3: ₹700
Stop Losses:
Minor Stop: ₹480 (just below triangle)
Major Stop: ₹400 (strong demand zone)
Breach of these zones would invalidate the bullish thesis.
💰Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹5,143 Cr (↑ +61% QoQ vs ₹3,189 Cr; ↑ +79% YoY vs ₹2,879 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹2,355 Cr (↑ +19% QoQ vs ₹1,985 Cr; ↑ +61% YoY vs ₹1,462 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹2,789 Cr (↑ +132% QoQ vs ₹1,204 Cr; ↑ +97% YoY vs ₹1,418 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹1,015 Cr (↑ +181% QoQ vs ₹361 Cr; ↑ +45% YoY vs ₹698 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹836 Cr (↑ +101% QoQ vs ₹415 Cr; ↑ +57% YoY vs ₹534 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹4.25 (↑ +82% QoQ vs ₹2.33; ↑ +42% YoY vs ₹2.99)
🧠Fundamental Highlights
Q1 PAT surged ~102% QoQ and ~57% YoY owing to better generation mix and favorable power tariffs.
Capable of handling ~215 GW of power generation capacity; demand remains stable.
Reported ₹4,833 Cr in cash flows and reduced debt/equity from 1.9× to 1.5×.
Interim dividend declared — ₹0.50/share.
Expansion pipeline includes EV charging infra and solar capacities under JV.
✅Conclusion
JSW Energy shows a clear technical breakout opportunity, backed by robust Q1 results and performance momentum. A confirmed breakout above ₹500 can set the stage toward ₹700. Stay alert to stops at ₹480 and ₹400 to manage risk.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
MUTHOOTFIN Structure Breakdown- 2277- Step Towards a Fall 🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown:
🟡 Caution label printed after extended distribution — often a signal for upcoming directional shift.
🔴 Price rejected strongly from the upper red supply zone near ₹2,656, confirming resistance from prior SELL cluster.
⚪ Structure broke below a multi-session accumulation zone, flipping the bias to bearish.
🟢 Current rebound is testing the underside of broken structure — often a key area for rejection or continuation.
📉 Target: ₹2,277, aligning with a major historical reaction zone and potential liquidity pocket.
This setup reflects a classic breakdown-retest structure where price may revisit lower order blocks if it fails to reclaim the broken support zone.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd – ATH Breached on Robust Q1 Numbers📈Technical Analysis
The stock listed in 2021 and was in a downtrend until 2023. From ₹250, it rallied to reach ₹950 in September 2024, forming its all-time high. Since then, the ₹950 zone acted as resistance multiple times, during which a Cup & Handle pattern emerged.
This week, the stock decisively broke that resistance on the back of positive Q1 FY26 results. Trading around ₹978 now, it gained momentum.
Take position only once the stock crosses ₹1,000, targeting:
🎯₹1,050 (Target 1)
🎯₹1,100 (Target 2)
🎯₹1,150 (Target 3)
Keep your stop loss at ₹930. A breach below that invalidates the bullish pattern.
💰Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹4,419 Cr (↑ +6.8% QoQ vs ₹4,139 Cr; ↑ +22.4% YoY vs ₹3,612 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹3,839 Cr (↑ +5.6% QoQ vs ₹3,624 Cr; ↑ +22.9% YoY vs ₹3,124 Cr)
Operating Profits (EBITDA): ₹580 Cr (↑ +12.5% QoQ vs ₹515 Cr; ↑ +18.8% YoY vs ₹488 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹389 Cr (↑ +31% QoQ vs ₹297 Cr; ↑ +4% YoY vs ₹374 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹291 Cr (↑ +32% QoQ vs ₹220 Cr; ↑ +6% YoY vs ₹276 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹10.47 (↑ QoQ vs ₹7.84; ↑ YoY vs ₹9.89)
🧠Fundamentals & Dividend Insights
Q1 PAT rose 33.6% QoQ to ₹292 Cr, led by improved margins and revenue growth (Revenue ₹4,419 Cr)
EBITDA margin expanded to 13.1% (vs 12.4% QoQ), reflecting cost efficiencies
Management approved fundraising up to ₹4,500 Cr via equity/debt/NCDs, indicating growth capital in pipeline
Interim dividend announced of ₹1.80/share for FY26 — shareholders rewarded amid momentum
Low debt (Debt/Equity ~0.07), strong ROCE (~12%), and high asset turnover reflect financial discipline
✅Summary
Shyam Metalics has displayed a textbook breakout from a notable resistance zone, confirmed by strong Q1 fundamentals and margin expansion. Key inputs:
💵 Revenue up 22% YoY; PAT up 33% QoQ
➕ Fresh strength above ₹950 resistance
🎯 Clear upside targets: ₹1,050 → ₹1,100 → ₹1,150
⚠️ Strict stop-loss level: ₹930
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
HDFC Life Insurance – Breakout with Q1 Props & Growth Momentum📊Technical Analysis
The stock had faced resistance in the ₹750–₹775 range since its all-time high in August 2021. In May 2025, this zone was decisively broken on expectations of a strong Q1 FY26—and Q1 results (announced 15 July) were indeed positive.
Now trading around ₹741, the breakout suggests renewed bullish momentum.
✅Bullish Setup: If the breakout level sustains and acts as support with confirmation from bullish candlestick patterns, we may see moves to:
🎯Target 1: ₹800
🎯Target 2: ₹900
🎯Target 3: ₹1,000
🚨Caution Levels:
Minor stop‑loss: ₹650
Major demand zone: ₹580
A drop below ₹700 undermines the bullish thesis, especially if ₹650 fails to hold and the major demand level is 580
💰Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹29,463 Cr (↑+22% vs ₹24,191 Cr; ↑+9.5% vs ₹26,934 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹29,024 Cr (↑+22% vs ₹23,814 Cr; ↑+9% vs ₹26,623 Cr)
Operating Profits: ₹439 Cr (↑+16% vs ₹377 Cr; ↑+41% vs ₹311 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹604 Cr (↑+21% vs ₹500 Cr; ↑+51% vs ₹401 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹548 Cr (↑+15% vs ₹475 Cr; ↑+14% vs ₹479 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹2.54 (↑+15% vs ₹2.21; ↑+14% vs ₹2.23)
🧠Fundamental Highlights
Profit Growth: Q1 PAT rose ~14.4% YoY to ₹546 Cr on strong generation from back-book profits and expanded net premiums
Premium Momentum: Individual Annual Premium Equivalent (APE) grew ~12.5–16% YoY, signaling robust retail mix
New Business Value (VNB) estimate around ₹718–834 Cr, growing ~18% YoY
Balance Sheet Health: ROE steady at ~11.2%, D/E ratio approx. 0.18 — reflecting healthy capital structure
🎯Conclusion
HDFC Life has delivered a solid technical breakout, supported by encouraging Q1 financials and strong margin metrics. If the ₹750–₹775 zone now flips to support and holds, the stock could scale toward ₹1,000. However, under ₹650, caution is advised.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Nifty Plan 4th August 2025I have a plan to go long in Nifty 50 because it is showing signs of support after a recent fall. There is good buying and volume at lower levels, which means the market may go up from here. I will avoid the trade only if there is a big gap down at the opening. Otherwise, I will look to buy and hold as long as the price stays above support. My goal is to follow the trend if it turns positive and manage risk properly. This plan is based on a good setup for a possible upward move.
Trade Plan - Long trade ( Avoid if huge gap down occurs )
HESTERBIO – A Pattern Inside a Pattern Inside a Pattern!🔍 Here’s what stands out on the Weekly Chart:
1️⃣ Broadening Pattern – Larger structure with higher highs and lower lows, indicating expanding volatility.
2️⃣ Counter Trendline Break – A smaller, random pattern within the broadening formation showing V-shape recoveries and trend shifts.
3️⃣ Bullish Pennant – A compact consolidation pattern just before a strong breakout leg.
This is a great example of how multiple time-frame structures and nested patterns can co-exist—each adding another layer to market behavior.
XAUUSD - Intraday Eyes Short 📌 XAUUSD 45-min — Sell Signal at Supply After Aggressive Impulse Rally
Technical Structure Notes (45m):
🔺 A strong impulsive leg lifted price from sub-3320 zones toward 3360 — completing a breakout from accumulation.
🔴 SELL Signal triggered near prior rejection zone after signs of exhaustion.
🔻 Price is currently reacting to short-term supply, with the red moving average acting as a dynamic decision point.
🟫 Supply zone aligns with previous resistance, suggesting potential rejection unless price reclaims 3362.
📍 If price fails to hold above 3353, a pullback toward 3315–3320 becomes technically plausible.
Disclaimer: This chart is shared strictly for educational purposes and is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and manage risk before taking any trading decisions.
EURUSD Eyes Short Structure Break📌 EURUSD 15-min — Structure Breakdown After Consolidation Near Resistance
Technical Chart Breakdown (15m):
🔴 SELL Signal triggered after price rejected upper boundary of a tight consolidation box.
🟠 Multiple rejections formed just below 1.158 — suggesting local supply absorption.
🔻 Price broke below the red moving average and consolidation low, confirming momentum shift.
🟡 Leola Lens caution structure (box cluster) marked a potential pause before breakdown.
📉 Downside focus remains valid as long as price stays below 1.158.
🔍 Structural target zone extends toward 1.15, with intermediate reaction levels visible.
Disclaimer: This chart is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk appropriately.
VWAP Flip Strategy–Most Accurate Setup for Intraday Trend Shift!Hello Traders!
One of the cleanest signs of intraday trend shift happens right at the VWAP — the volume-weighted average price. Most traders use VWAP as a trend guide, but they miss one powerful signal called the VWAP Flip .
When price flips from staying below VWAP to breaking above and holding — or vice versa — it often marks the start of a fresh trend. And if volume supports the move, the accuracy becomes even stronger.
What is the VWAP Flip?
It’s when price has been consistently staying on one side of VWAP, and then crosses over with conviction and starts respecting the other side.
For example, if price was trading below VWAP all morning and then breaks above with a solid candle, retests, and holds — that’s a bullish VWAP flip.
Why This Strategy Works
VWAP reflects average trader sentiment: When price flips above, it shows buyers are gaining strength
It filters false breakouts: Flip + retest helps avoid fake moves during sideways markets
Volume confirms conviction: A flip with increasing volume shows strong intent behind the shift
How to Trade the VWAP Flip
Step 1: Identify whether price is respecting VWAP from one side
Step 2: Wait for price to flip — clean break and candle close on opposite side
Step 3: Look for a retest of VWAP. Entry should be near VWAP with small stop loss
Step 4: Exit at previous day’s high/low or next support/resistance zone
Entry + SL + Target (Example Setup):
Entry: On candle close and retest above VWAP
Stop Loss: Below retest candle low
Targets: 1:2 RR minimum or trail till trend continues
Note:
This setup has been identified using the 5-minute timeframe, as it offers better intraday structure for the VWAP Flip strategy. However, since TradingView does not allow drawings below 15-minute timeframe for sharing or publishing, I initially marked the levels and structure on the 5-minute chart, took a screenshot, and then placed it over the 30-minute chart for visual representation.
Rahul Tip:
Use VWAP Flip only in trending environments. Avoid it in flat days. Combine it with 5 EMA or volume spikes for extra confirmation. Also, mark high-impact news times to avoid random flips.
Conclusion:
VWAP Flip is one of the cleanest, low-risk, high-reward intraday setups when used with proper structure and confirmation. Practice spotting it in real time — and it might become your new favorite setup.
Have you used VWAP Flip before? Let me know your win rate or drop a chart example in comments.