Nifty 50 Breakout & Market Breadth Trend (Sep 2025) This chart highlights a Nifty 50 near-term breakout following a completed ABCD harmonic structure and rising market breadth levels into mid-September 2025. Key Fibonacci resistance zones are mapped, with price targets up to 25,500 based on the 0.786 and 0.886 extension levels. The market breadth indicator signals an emerging bullish momentum, reinforcing potential continuation above recent highs if index breadth sustains above 60.
This format provides clarity, technical reference, and aligns with TradingView’s audience expectations for actionable trading insights.
Beyond Technical Analysis
BTCUSD - Fakeout Trap & Master Order Block Setup
BTCUSD – Fakeout Trap & Master Order Block Setup
Price executed a clean **fakeout above liquidity** before dropping back into the **master order block zone**. This setup shows how liquidity hunts trap late buyers before respecting key OB demand. Watching for reaction from the **115.3k zone** to decide next directional move.
Nifty Index (Research for 16 Sep Expiry)NIFTY is running from supportive trendline. ..PCR has also come in favour of CE( ie indicating that CE buyers/ Put sellers are showing their strength. Coming expiry will probably closes in green
Nifty CMP-25114
expecting Targets- 1) 25220 ,
2) 25330 ,
3) 25420
Intraday Support- 25025, 25980
Major support (I think we won't need it in this expiry) - 24750
Nifty 50 – Bearish Engulfing at 25,150, Eyes on FedNifty rallied into the 25,150 zone and immediately met resistance. The daily chart printed a bearish engulfing candle , a textbook reversal signal after a short-term rally. From a pure price-action perspective, this suggests caution as bulls lose momentum at a key supply zone.
However, context matters. The Fed interest rate decision on 17th Sep night is the big catalyst ahead. Until then, markets may prefer to stay rangebound rather than commit to a direction.
Derivatives data backs this:
Heavy Call OI at 25,100–25,200 creates resistance.
Strong Put OI at 25,000 provides support.
With PCR near 1.0, the bias leans neutral-to-cautious.
In short: the bearish engulfing is valid, but expiry flows (16th Sep) and the Fed decision (17th Sep night) will decide whether this turns into a deeper pullback or gets invalidated by a breakout.
Sensex Structure Analysis and Trade Plan: 16th September4-Hour Chart (Swing Context)
Trend: Ascending channel formation after a prior downtrend.
Key Zone: Approaching the 81,900-82,100 supply zone.
Previous Break: Impulsive leg broke above 81,200, now acting as potential demand.
Bias: Bullish momentum, but within a significant resistance zone.
1-Hour Chart (Intraday Context)
Structure: Clear higher highs & higher lows (bullish structure).
Support: 81,200 level (former resistance turned demand) showing strong bounces.
Current Action: Consolidating below the 81,900-82,100 supply.
BOS: Confirms buyer dominance, but upside liquidity appears to be thinning.
15-Minute Chart (Execution View)
Action: Sideways consolidation below 81,800.
OB: Order block around 81,100-81,200 acts as support buffer.
FVG: Minor FVGs in 81,300-81,350 zone may offer intraday support.
Channel: Price respecting the ascending channel boundaries.
Trade Plan (16th September)
Bullish Scenario
Entry: Buy on retracement near 81,100-81,200 demand zone (OB + structure support).
Targets:
TP1: 81,500 (intraday liquidity)
TP2: 81,900-82,000 (supply zone top & channel resistance)
Stop Loss: Below 81,000 (channel bottom & invalidation).
Bearish Scenario
Entry: Short on rejection of 81,900-82,100 zone with strong bearish signal (e.g., engulfing).
Targets:
TP1: 81,300 (potential FVG fill)
TP2: 81,100-81,200 (major demand zone/OB)
Stop Loss: Above 82,100.
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish. Expecting a potential pullback to 81,100-81,200 before a move towards the 81,900-82,100 resistance.
Caution: If 81,100-81,200 fails, expect downside acceleration towards 80,800-80,600.
BankNifty Structure Analysis and Trade Plan: 16th September4-Hour Chart (Swing Context)
Trend: Ascending channel formation after a prior downtrend.
Key Zone: Approaching the 54,900-55,100 supply zone.
Previous Break: Impulsive leg broke above 54,600, now acting as potential demand. Bias: Bullish momentum, but within a significant resistance zone.
1-Hour Chart (Intraday Context)
Structure: Clear higher highs & higher lows (bullish structure).
Support: 54,600 level (former resistance turned demand) showing strong bounces.
Current Action: Consolidating below the 54,900-55,100 supply.
BOS: Confirms buyer dominance, but upside liquidity appears to be thinning.
15-Minute Chart (Execution View)
Action: Sideways consolidation below 54,950.
OB: Order block around 54,550-54,600 acts as support buffer.
FVG: Minor FVGs in 54,700-54,750 zone may offer intraday support.
Channel: Price respecting the ascending channel boundaries.
Trade Plan (16th September)
Bullish Scenario
Entry: Buy on retracement near 54,550-54,600 demand zone (OB + structure support).
Targets:
TP1: 54,850 (intraday liquidity)
TP2: 54,900-55,000 (supply zone top & channel resistance)
Stop Loss: Below 54,450 (channel bottom & invalidation).
Bearish Scenario
Entry: Short on rejection of 54,900-55,100 zone with strong bearish signal (e.g., engulfing).
Targets:
TP1: 54,700 (potential FVG fill)
TP2: 54,550-54,600 (major demand zone/OB)
Stop Loss: Above 55,100.
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish. Expecting a potential pullback to 54,550-54,600 before a move towards the 54,900-55,100 resistance.
Caution: If 54,550-54,600 fails, expect downside acceleration towards 54,300-54,100.
Nifty Structure Analysis and Trade Plan: 16th September 4-Hour Chart:
Trend Context: The market has been in a strong uptrend, but recent action shows consolidation. Price is nearing a significant overhead resistance.
Key Resistance: The zone around 25,150 - 25,250 has been a strong area of selling pressure.
Key Support: The area between 25,000 - 25,070 is crucial. This was previously resistance broken to the upside and is now being tested as support, also coinciding with the lower boundary of an ascending channel.
Observation: Price is consolidating within this range, indicating a potential decision point.
1-Hour Chart:
Intraday Structure: The 1-hour chart confirms the sideways consolidation. Bullish momentum appears to be waning as price struggles to push higher.
EMA (20): Currently hovering around 25,051, acting as a dynamic intraday pivot. Price has recently been trading around or below it.
Liquidity: Expect buy-side liquidity above the resistance zone (25,150 - 25,250) and sell-side liquidity below the support zone (25,000).
Summary of Key Dynamics:
Nifty is at a critical juncture, squeezed between strong resistance and a support zone that also forms the lower edge of an ascending channel. The coming session will likely dictate the short-term direction.
Trade Plan - Nifty 50 (16th September 2025)
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Triggers:
A confirmed hold and bounce from the 25,000 - 25,070 support zone, showing bullish strength.
A decisive, sustained break and close above 25,150.
Target Levels:
25,100 (immediate target on bounce)
25,150 - 25,250 (major resistance zone)
25,300+ (potential extension if resistance breaks cleanly)
Stop Loss:
For entries around support: Below 25,000.
For breakout entries: Below 25,100 or the low of the breakout candle.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry Triggers:
A clear breakdown and sustained trade below the 25,000 - 25,070 support and the ascending channel.
A strong bearish rejection at the 25,150 - 25,250 resistance zone.
Target Levels:
24,950 (psychological level)
24,900 (previous key support)
24,800 - 24,850 (lower demand zone)
Stop Loss:
For breakdown entries: Above 25,050 or the recent high formed before the breakdown.
For rejection entries: Above the high of the bearish rejection candle at resistance.
🎯 Bias for 16th September 2025
Neutral to Cautiously Bearish in the Short Term. The market is consolidating at a key resistance. A breakdown below 25,000 would signal immediate weakness.
Conversely, a firm break and hold above 25,150 would rekindle bullish sentiment. The reaction at the 25,000 - 25,070 support will be the primary determinant of intraday direction.
What is Buyback & Why Companies Do It?Hello Traders!
Every now and then, you’ll hear the news, “XYZ company announces share buyback.”
But what exactly is a buyback, and why do companies spend so much money to purchase their own shares? Let’s break it down in simple terms.
1. What is a Buyback?
A buyback (also called share repurchase) happens when a company buys its own shares from the stock market.
This reduces the number of shares available in the market, which can increase the value of the remaining shares.
2. Why Do Companies Do Buybacks?
To Increase Shareholder Value: With fewer shares in circulation, earnings per share (EPS) goes up, often supporting a higher stock price.
Utilize Excess Cash: Instead of keeping large cash reserves idle, companies return value to shareholders by buying back shares.
Signal of Confidence: A buyback is often seen as management’s confidence that the stock is undervalued.
Better Than Dividends (Sometimes): Unlike dividends, buybacks can be more tax-efficient for both the company and investors.
3. Does Buyback Always Mean Positive?
Not necessarily, Sometimes companies use buybacks to artificially boost EPS without real growth. If the business fundamentals are weak, a buyback is just a short-term push and doesn’t solve deeper issues.
Rahul’s Tip:
Don’t buy a stock just because of a buyback announcement. Always check if the company has strong fundamentals, healthy cash flows, and a genuine reason behind the buyback.
Conclusion:
A buyback is a powerful tool, but only when backed by strong business performance.
It can reward long-term shareholders and show management’s faith in the company.
But as smart investors, we should look beyond the headline and judge the real financial health.
By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile!
If this post made buybacks clear for you, like it, share your view in comments, and follow for more simple investing insights!
JKLAKSHMI Price ActionJK Lakshmi Cement Ltd is trading at ₹902.20 as of September 14, 2025. The stock opened at ₹906.60 and touched a high of ₹918 and a low of ₹900.10 during the session. The company’s 52-week range is ₹660.50 to ₹1,021.20. Total market capitalization stands at about ₹10,616 crore, with sustained trading volumes and turnover indicating active investor participation.
For FY25, JK Lakshmi Cement reported consolidated revenue of ₹6,193 crore, reflecting a 9% year-on-year decline due to lower blended realizations, which averaged ₹5,100 per tonne, down 10% compared to last year. EBITDA margins contracted by 150 basis points to 14%, directly impacted by lower cement prices, though the overall cost of cement production fell 8% to ₹4,393 per tonne, mainly driven by a 20% drop in power and fuel costs. Net profit for the last four quarters stood at ₹387.42 crore, while operating profit for the year reached ₹864 crore, and trailing twelve-month earnings per share is ₹31.55. Sales volume growth in Smart Building Solutions (SBS) increased by 13% to ₹620 crore, aided by the commissioning of new putty and white cement plants, and additional readymix concrete (RMC) plants.
The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is about 28.6, price-to-book is 3, and the return on capital employed is 10.5%. Dividend yield remains solid at 0.72%, with a healthy payout ratio. On the balance sheet, equity capital is ₹59 crore with reserves of about ₹3,495 crore, and total assets as of March 2025 are ₹8,445 crore. Debt is under control, and the company continues to invest in capacity and technological upgrades.
Technical indicators show JK Lakshmi trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming strong momentum. The one-year stock price return is about 13%, and compounded annual growth rate for five years is 27%. The RSI and MACD are in moderate zones, indicating sustained positive sentiment without immediate overbought risk. Institutional and promoter holdings remain steady, and the outlook is constructive, backed by efficient cost management, sector demand, Smart Building Solution expansions, and new product initiatives.
The Secret of Liquidity Grab – Why Price Hunts Highs Before FallHello Traders!
Have you ever noticed how the market first breaks a recent high, traps breakout traders, and then suddenly reverses? This is not random, it’s called a liquidity grab .
Understanding this concept can completely change how you see price action.
1. What is a Liquidity Grab?
Liquidity means orders in the market, stop losses, buy orders, sell orders.
When price hunts a previous high or low, it triggers stop losses and pending orders. This creates a sudden burst of liquidity.
Institutions use this liquidity to enter or exit large positions without causing slippage.
2. Why Price Hunts Highs Before Falling
At previous swing highs, many breakout traders place buy orders and short sellers place stop losses.
When the price spikes above that level:
Breakout traders enter long positions.
Short sellers’ stop losses get triggered (buy orders).
This creates a pool of buying liquidity. Once institutions have sold into this buying pressure, price often reverses sharply.
3. Why This Matters for Retail Traders
Most retail traders get trapped during these liquidity grabs.
They either chase breakouts too late or panic exit at the wrong time.
By recognizing this pattern, you can avoid being the liquidity and instead trade with the smart money.
4. How to Use This in Trading
Wait for the Grab: Don’t rush into a breakout. Wait to see if price quickly reverses after taking out a high/low.
Confirm With Volume: A liquidity grab often shows a sudden spike in volume followed by an opposite move.
Look for Rejection Candles: Pin bars, engulfing candles, or sharp wicks at highs/lows confirm the trap.
Rahul’s Tip:
Next time you see price breaking a high, don’t get excited. Ask yourself, is this a real breakout or just a liquidity grab? Waiting a little longer often saves you from being trapped.
Conclusion:
Liquidity grabs are the hidden traps of the market. Price doesn’t move randomly, it seeks liquidity first.
By understanding this, you can avoid becoming the victim and instead align yourself with the institutions.
If this post gave you clarity on liquidity grabs, like it, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more smart price action insights!
RELIANCE 1D Time frameCurrent Price & Trend
Price: ₹1,395.00
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading approximately 10.1% below its 52-week high of ₹1,551.00, achieved on July 9, 2025.
Momentum: Indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
Bullish Scenario
Breakout Above ₹1,396: A sustained move above ₹1,396 could target ₹1,400 – ₹1,420 in the short term.
HDFCBANK 1D Time frame📉 Current Market Snapshot
Closing Price: ₹967.80
Day's Range: ₹962.25 – ₹970.75
52-Week High: ₹1,018.85
52-Week Low: ₹806.50
Market Cap: ₹14,85,200 crore
P/E Ratio (TTM): 21.44
P/B Ratio: 3.38
Dividend Yield: 1.13%
EPS (TTM): ₹45.97
Book Value: ₹339.84
Face Value: ₹1.00
Volume: 14,363,519 shares
VWAP: ₹966.64






















