Beyond Technical Analysis
Swing Trading - Pullback and Volume contraction setup - PROA pullback entry with volume contraction is a powerful setup used by swing traders and position traders to enter strong trends at low-risk points. Here's how you can identify and trade this setup:
✅ Concept:
• A pullback is a temporary decline in price within an established uptrend.
• Volume contraction during this pullback shows reduced selling pressure, indicating that the correction is healthy and likely to resume upward.
📊 Technical Setup:
1. Trend Filter
• Uptrend confirmation using:
• Monthly RSI > 60
• Weekly RSI > 60
• 50 EMA above 200 EMA on Daily chart (optional confirmation)
2. Price Action
• Stock is making higher highs and higher lows
• After a sharp rally, price pulls back 3–5 candles on the Daily chart
• Pullback should be orderly (no panic selling or wide candles)
3. Volume Contraction
• Volume decreases gradually during the pullback
• Look for lowest volume near the end of the pullback
• Indicates sellers are drying up and big players are not exiting
4. Entry Trigger
• Entry when price breaks above previous day's high with:
• Spike in volume on breakout
• Optional: bullish candlestick (Marubozu, Bullish Engulfing, or Hammer)
5. Stop Loss
• Just below the pullback low or
• Below the 10 EMA on daily chart
6. Target
• First target = previous swing high
• Trail SL using ATR or 20 EMA if trend extends
📘 Example:
Let’s say you’re watching Tata Motors:
• Monthly RSI = 68
• Weekly RSI = 65
• Daily chart: Stock rallied from ₹800 to ₹860, then pulls back to ₹840 with 3 red candles
• Volume during pullback: 12M → 10M → 7M → 5M
• On Day 4, price forms a bullish hammer and breaks ₹845 on higher volume
📈 Entry = ₹845
🛑 Stop Loss = ₹835
🎯 Target = ₹865+ (prior high), trail after that
🔍 Bonus Filters (Optional):
• Inside bar formation
• Fibonacci retracement (38.2%–50% zone)
• Near support from moving averages (20 EMA / 50 EMA)
Check my previous post in understanding full concept in detail. Support and follow for PRO level understanding. Share with as many retail traders as possible.
God Bless you All!
Faraaz T
Sr. Equity Research Analyst
Stockholm Securities - UK
Swing Trading - Stock Options - Setup CE/PE🔥 Stock Options Trading Strategy – Built on Core Swing/Positional Principles (85% Win Rate Setup)
As a continuation of my last post on Swing and Positional Trading Setup with 85% Win Rate, I’m now sharing a Stock Options Trading Concept that follows the same core principles but is tailored specifically for liquid stock options.
You’ve already been provided with a list of 100+ high-beta, liquid stocks. For this strategy, you will strictly focus only on those stocks.
✅ Strategy Setup
🔹 Timeframe Filters:
• Monthly RSI > 60 (RSI has crossed and is holding above 60)
• Weekly RSI > 60 (same condition as above)
• Daily RSI: RSI must be crossing 60 or on the verge of crossing
Now, on the Daily Chart, mark the current swing high and swing low.
📌 Two Entry Approaches:
Approach 1: Breakout Entry
• Entry: When swing high is broken.
• Stop Loss (SL): Swing low or previous week’s low.
Approach 2: Pullback Entry
• Wait for a retracement from swing high (should not exceed 50% retracement).
• Confirmation of pullback weakness: Volume bars should be shrinking/decreasing.
• Entry: On breakout of the last candle high of the pullback.
• Stop Loss: Swing low or previous week’s low.
Once in the trade, trail your stop loss to cost after 3 consecutive bullish candles.
📤 Exit Rules
• Exit the Stock Options position only if the Daily RSI drops below 60.
⚠️ Important Guidelines for Stock Options
• 💡 Trade with only 1 lot. Never exceed your lot size.
• 📅 Enter after 2 days of the monthly expiry and exit before 2 days of next monthly expiry to avoid smart money manipulation.
• 🎯 Choose strike prices in multiples of 25, 50, 75, or 100 for better liquidity.
• Example: If stock is at 1564, choose 1550 ITM or 1575 ATM.
• ⏱️ For quick exits, always place exit orders at round numbers like 5 or 10 levels.
• Example: If you entered at ₹70 and the option is at ₹144, place an exit at ₹140 or ₹145—not any random price.
For PE buying-
Monthly RSI < 40
Weekly RSI < 40
Daily RSi crossing 40 or below
Same process for PE with 2 approach as you like but in reverse form.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Stick to this simple, structured setup. Don’t complicate it.
✅ Backtest thoroughly
✅ Understand each setup
✅ Plan your trades BEFORE entering, never after.
Let the market come to you—don’t chase it.
Disclaimer -
These posts are only to educate you all. You are responsible for the actions you take. Consult your advisor if you need. I am a Sr. Research Analyst in Equity Firm BUT not yet SEBI reg.
High Beta Stock List for Options-
🚗 Auto
• Bajaj Auto
• Bosch Ltd
• Eicher Motors
• Hero Motocorp
• Maruti Suzuki
• TVS Motors
• Tata Motors
🏦 Banking & Financial Services
• Bank of Baroda
• Kotak Mahindra Bank
• Axis Bank
• ICICI Bank
• HDFC Bank
• IndusInd Bank
• Bajaj Finserv
• Bajaj Finance
• SBI
🧪 Chemicals
• Aarti Industries
• Atul Ltd
• Navin Fluorine
• UPL
• Tata Chemicals
🍫 FMCG
• Britannia Industries
• Godrej Consumer
• Tata Consumer
• DMart
• Hindustan Unilever
• Dabur
💊 Pharma & Healthcare
• Apollo Hospitals
• Alkem Labs
• Biocon
• Divis Labs
• Dr. Reddy’s
• IPCA Labs
• Laurus Labs
• Lupin
• Aurobindo Pharma
• Sun Pharma
• Cipla
💻 IT Sector
• HCL Technologies
• Infosys
• LTIMindtree
• TCS
• Tech Mahindra
• Wipro
⛓️ Steel & Metals
• APL Apollo Tubes
• JSW Steel
• Jindal Steel
• Tata Steel
• Hindalco
• L&T
🛢️ Oil & Gas
• Reliance Industries
• Gujarat Gas
• Indraprastha Gas (IGL)
• Mahanagar Gas (MGL)
• Tata Power
🏢 Realty
• DLF Ltd
• Godrej Properties
• Lodha (Macrotech Developers)
• Oberoi Realty
• Phoenix Mills
🛋️ Durables & Others
• Sona BLW (Sona Comstar)
• Amber Enterprises
• Bata India
• Crompton Greaves
• Dixon Technologies
• Titan Company
• ACC Cement
• Ambuja Cement
• Ultratech Cement
• Voltas Ltd
• Polycab India
• Mazagon Dock (Mazdock)
• Asian Paints
• Berger Paints
Cummins
recovery 3352, signal SELL gold trendline todayPlan XAU day: 16 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintain a firm tone during the early European session on Wednesday, currently trading just below the $3,340 level. Investor sentiment remains cautious amid concerns over the potential economic repercussions of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, coupled with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. This risk-averse mood—reflected in the generally weaker performance of equity markets—is helping to revive demand for the safe-haven precious metal following two consecutive days of losses.
Additionally, a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD) from its highest level since June 23—reached in response to slightly stronger-than-expected inflation data for June—provides further support to gold prices. Nevertheless, the growing consensus that the Fed is likely to postpone rate cuts amid persistent inflationary pressures should limit significant USD depreciation and cap upside potential for the non-yielding yellow metal. Consequently, a cautious approach remains advisable for XAU/USD bulls as market participants await the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) later in the North American session
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovers to gain liquidity in Asian and European trading sessions, inflation indicators increase, DXY recovers, gold price continues to be under selling pressure
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3352 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Swing Trading Stock Options - High Momentum Strategy🔥 Stock Options Trading Strategy – Built on Core Swing/Positional Principles (85% Win Rate Setup) -
As a continuation of my last post on Swing and Positional Trading Setup with 85% Win Rate, I’m now sharing a Stock Options Trading Concept that follows the same core principles but is tailored specifically for liquid stock options.
You’ve already been provided with a list of 100+ high-beta, liquid stocks. For this strategy, you will strictly focus only on those stocks.
✅ Strategy Setup
🔹 Timeframe Filters:
• Monthly RSI > 60 (RSI has crossed and is holding above 60)
• Weekly RSI > 60 (same condition as above)
• Daily RSI: RSI must be crossing 60 or on the verge of crossing
Now, on the Daily Chart, mark the current swing high and swing low.
📌 Two Entry Approaches:
Approach 1: Breakout Entry
• Entry: When swing high is broken.
• Stop Loss (SL): Swing low or previous week’s low.
Approach 2: Pullback Entry
• Wait for a retracement from swing high (should not exceed 50% retracement).
• Confirmation of pullback weakness: Volume bars should be shrinking/decreasing.
• Entry: On breakout of the last candle high of the pullback.
• Stop Loss: Swing low or previous week’s low.
Once in the trade, trail your stop loss to cost after 3 consecutive bullish candles.
📤 Exit Rules
• Exit the Stock Options position only if the Daily RSI drops below 60.
⚠️ Important Guidelines for Stock Options
• 💡 Trade with only 1 lot. Never exceed your lot size.
• 📅 Enter after 2 days of the monthly expiry and exit before 2 days of next monthly expiry to avoid smart money manipulation.
• 🎯 Choose strike prices in multiples of 25, 50, 75, or 100 for better liquidity.
• Example: If stock is at 1564, choose 1550 ITM or 1575 ATM.
• ⏱️ For quick exits, always place exit orders at round numbers like 5 or 10 levels.
• Example: If you entered at ₹70 and the option is at ₹144, place an exit at ₹140 or ₹145—not any random price.
For PE buying-
Monthly RSI < 40
Weekly RSI < 40
Daily RSi crossing 40 or below
Same process for PE with 2 approach as you like but in reverse form.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Stick to this simple, structured setup. Don’t complicate it.
✅ Backtest thoroughly
✅ Understand each setup
✅ Plan your trades BEFORE entering, never after.
Let the market come to you—don’t chase it.
Disclaimer -
These posts are only to educate you all. You are responsible for the actions you take. Consult your advisor if you need. I am a Sr. Research Analyst in Equity Firm BUT not yet SEBI reg.
100+ Stocks List - High Beta -
🚗 Auto
• Bajaj Auto
• Bosch Ltd
• Eicher Motors
• Hero Motocorp
• Maruti Suzuki
• TVS Motors
• Tata Motors
🏦 Banking & Financial Services
• Bank of Baroda
• Kotak Mahindra Bank
• Axis Bank
• ICICI Bank
• HDFC Bank
• IndusInd Bank
• Bajaj Finserv
• Bajaj Finance
• SBI
🧪 Chemicals
• Aarti Industries
• Atul Ltd
• Navin Fluorine
• UPL
• Tata Chemicals
🍫 FMCG
• Britannia Industries
• Godrej Consumer
• Tata Consumer
• DMart
• Hindustan Unilever
• Dabur
💊 Pharma & Healthcare
• Apollo Hospitals
• Alkem Labs
• Biocon
• Divis Labs
• Dr. Reddy’s
• IPCA Labs
• Laurus Labs
• Lupin
• Aurobindo Pharma
• Sun Pharma
• Cipla
💻 IT Sector
• HCL Technologies
• Infosys
• LTIMindtree
• TCS
• Tech Mahindra
• Wipro
⛓️ Steel & Metals
• APL Apollo Tubes
• JSW Steel
• Jindal Steel
• Tata Steel
• Hindalco
• L&T
🛢️ Oil & Gas
• Reliance Industries
• Gujarat Gas
• Indraprastha Gas (IGL)
• Mahanagar Gas (MGL)
• Tata Power
🏢 Realty
• DLF Ltd
• Godrej Properties
• Lodha (Macrotech Developers)
• Oberoi Realty
• Phoenix Mills
🛋️ Durables & Others
• Sona BLW (Sona Comstar)
• Amber Enterprises
• Bata India
• Crompton Greaves
• Dixon Technologies
• Titan Company
• ACC Cement
• Ambuja Cement
• Ultratech Cement
• Voltas Ltd
• Polycab India
• Mazagon Dock (Mazdock)
• Asian Paints
• Berger Paints
Cummins
Best of luck. Comments if you have any doubts. God bless you all, be happy!
Faraaz T
Sr. Equity Research Analyst
Stockholm Securities - UK
This Isn’t a Range It’s a Distribution Before Collapse.~ H4Gold is on the verge of a breakdown this isn’t speculation, it’s unfolding in real time. Price has failed repeatedly to reclaim the HVZ zone between $3370 and $3400 making it abundantly clear that this is not accumulation this is distribution. Every push into that zone has been systematically sold into, with no follow-through. The order flow confirms it: smart money is offloading, not positioning for upside. Unless we see a complete reclaim and hold above $3430 which looks increasingly improbable this remains a high-conviction sell zone.
The key structural pivot now sits at $3290. Once that level cracks, we gonna see an aggressive move lower, especially with the weak bounce zones exhausted. The medium-strength support between $3310 –$3315 is the final shelf before a sharp drop. Don’t expect it to hold this level is soft and already tested. A breakdown from here activates the next major liquidity zone around $3188, which is where the real target lies. That level aligns with prior unmitigated demand, and price is magnetized toward it.
This isn’t a market in balance it’s a trap. Gold is coiling for a clean flush. The structure, momentum, and broader flow all signal the same outcome: downside continuation. Until $3430 is reclaimed and held on a closing basis, all rallies into HVZ are shorting opportunities.
LUXIND Price Analysis## Current Price & Recent Performance
- The latest share price is around ₹1,468.
- Over the past year, the stock is down nearly 25%, showing underperformance.
- In the last five years, returns are positive but modest, with periods of pronounced volatility.
- The 52-week range spans from a low near ₹1,211 to a high close to ₹2,493, highlighting large swings in price.
- Short-term momentum remains soft, with one-month and three-month returns relatively flat.
## Valuation & Financial Metrics
- LUXIND is currently valued at a price-to-earnings ratio close to 27, which is above broader market averages but not extreme for its sector.
- The price-to-book ratio sits at about 2.5, marking a premium to historical levels for textile manufacturers.
- Debt is low, and the latest dividend yield is minimal, suggesting the company retains most profits for growth.
- Price-to-sales and enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratios point to average to modestly expensive relative valuation.
- Discounted cash flow analysis and fair value models indicate the stock is somewhat overvalued at current prices.
## Growth, Profitability & Fundamentals
- Revenue growth has averaged approximately 10% annually in recent years with some acceleration recently observed.
- Earnings trends have been inconsistent, with a decline over the past five years but a robust rebound in the latest reporting periods.
- Net profit margins remain steady, roughly 6%, and operating expense control is demonstrated by low interest and employee cost ratios.
- Return on equity is below 10%, which is modest and signals room for efficiency improvement.
## Market Sentiment & Analyst View
- Most short- and medium-term forecasts suggest neutral to mildly positive technical momentum, with occasional buy signals from technical models.
- Longer-term analyst price targets vary, but consensus expects limited upside in the near future given current valuation levels.
- Projected earnings per share and revenue growth remain solid, with the company expected to improve performance metrics over the next few years.
- Intrinsic value estimates based on fundamental analysis suggest the stock trades above its calculated fair value, raising some caution for new investors.
## Key Takeaways
- LUXIND stands out for disciplined cost management and stable margins, but faces pressure from subdued industry growth and relatively high valuation metrics.
- While the business remains fundamentally sound and growth is projected to continue, the stock may be fully priced at current levels.
- Short-term price action could stay range-bound unless there is a significant change in sector sentiment or a positive surprise in earnings.
- Investors may consider waiting for a more attractive entry point if focusing on value, while growth-oriented investors might monitor for signals of a sustained earnings recovery.
Natco Pharma - Gap filling setup Natco Pharma - Gap filling setup
Technical Outlook
CMP : 1011
Chart Pattern
Stock had gapped down from 1189 to 1051 in Feb'25.
Since then, the stock seems to have settled down in a upward parallel channel as pointed out in the chart.
On weekly charts ,
EMA 9 is poised to crossover EMA 21, which itself is trying to cross above EMA 63.
EMA 200 is supporting the setup and is at 930 levels.
RSI(weekly)=53-54 , MACD line > MACD Signal and in upward trajectory.
For safer entry , wait for MACD Signal to turn positive
On daily charts
LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63 . All of them are trying to break above EMA200, which is at 1014
RSI(daily) =64, not overbought and MACD line > MACD Signal
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - HEALTHCARE/PHARMA
In the past 20 days, compared to other sectoral indices, NiftyPharma is one of the leading sectoral indices with high relative strength and momentum. In fact, Nifty pharma has given the best normalised returns compared to the rest of Indian sectoral indices.
Amongst Pharma stocks,
Natco's Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is leading.
RS = 113.xx, relatively strong strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 103, relatively Strong momentum compared to Nifty 500
Future outlook
Marked in chart. Trade as per risk appetite.
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
VOLTAS 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
VOLTAS Looking good for upside..
When it break level 1376 and sustain.. it will go upside...
BUY@ 1376
Target
1st 1394
2nd 1409
FNO
VOLTAS JUL FUT – LOT 9 (Qty-3375)
VOLTAS JUL 1360 CE – LOT 9 (Qty-3375)
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome to join the ride ..
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Patience Pays: Spotting the Next Big MoveAs swing traders, these are the type of fascinating chart patterns we live for: a powerful 100%+ move over two months, followed by a beautiful tight price action with declining volume. While predicting the exact direction is never certain, I'm maintaining my discipline and preparing to act when the market reveals its hand. It's all about strategic waiting , sizing your winners well and actively managing risks !
Never forget despite your best assessment , you can still go wrong !!
#SwingTrading #PriceAction #LearnToTrade #riskmanagement
Disclaimer : Please Note, all charts and market views shared by me are presented strictly for educational purposes only. They are intended to illustrate market concepts and personal insights, not to provide financial advice.
EDUCATIONAL | NIFTY FUTURE POSSIBILITIESNifty has formed a double correction with second part being a Diametric formation
Possibility 1: The current fall which started around 30th June could be another Wave X and we will then continue to move up in a corrective rise.
This Wave X would be confirmed if Nifty doesn't break the level of 25,000 and confirm the upward bias from here, which is more likely
Possibility 2: The next possibility is that Nifty has completed a double correction and we'll continue the downward journey from here which will be more likely if Nifty break 25,000.
Will keep you guys updated as the wave progresses.
Happy Trading!!
Market Analysis and Nifty AnalysisIn this video, I have provided an overall market analysis. :
Although the market is green today, it's important to stay cautious.
Small caps are forming range-bound bullish engulfing candles, but we need to wait for the closing.
Nifty continues to form lower lows on the lower time frame. A reversal can be confirmed once strength appears on the lower time frame and is reflected in the daily chart.
Range Bound Intraday (Nifty)Nifty seems to be rangebound for the intraday with range of 25200 and 25000.
One can use option selling strategy to earn by selling the CE of the range high and PE of range low and earn with premium decay.
Untill, the range is broken and sustained the option decay must be the best strategy.
Note: This analysis is for Educational Purpose Only. Please invest or trade after consulting a professional financial advisor.
EMA Pullback Entry – The Cleanest Setup for Trend Followers!Hello Traders!
In today’s post, let’s explore one of the most reliable and beginner-friendly setups — the EMA Pullback Entry . If you’re a trend follower looking for clear, rule-based entries , this strategy will become a go-to in your toolkit. It helps you avoid chasing breakouts and instead ride strong trends with precision entries during pullbacks .
What is EMA Pullback Entry?
It’s a trend continuation strategy where traders use Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) — typically the 21 EMA and 50 EMA — to identify the trend and wait for the price to retrace (pull back) into the moving average zone before continuing in the direction of the trend.
How to Trade the EMA Pullback Setup
Identify the Trend: Use a 21 EMA and 50 EMA on your chart. A bullish trend is confirmed when 21 EMA is above 50 EMA and price stays above both. Opposite for bearish.
Wait for a Pullback: Let the price retrace toward the EMAs without breaking below/above them significantly.
Look for Confirmation Candle: Wait for a bullish (or bearish) confirmation candle near EMAs — like a Pin Bar, Engulfing, or Doji rejection.
Entry & Stop Loss: Enter after confirmation. Place a stop-loss just below the pullback low (for long) or high (for short).
Target: Aim for previous swing high/low or use 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Why It Works
Trend Is Your Friend: You’re trading with the trend, not against it.
Clear Visual Clarity: EMAs help you spot dynamic support/resistance zones.
Disciplined Entry: You wait for price to come to you, not chase it.
Rahul’s Tip
“The best trades often come to those who wait.” Don’t jump on every candle — let the price respect your EMAs, then strike.
Conclusion
The EMA Pullback Entry is a simple yet powerful setup that can give you high-probability trades in trending markets. Whether you trade intraday or swing, this strategy can help you time entries better and stay disciplined.
Have you tried this setup? Share your experience or ask questions in the comments – let’s grow together!
Gokul agro swing trade📈 GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES | Swing Trade Alert 🚀
Stock breaking out after a strong base formation and retest!
Eyes on the next target zone: ₹375+ 🟢
Entry: ₹312 | SL: ₹303 | Target: ₹375+
Risk-Reward looking solid! 🔥
#SwingTrade #BreakoutStocks #NSEStocks #GokulAgro #StockMarketIndia #TradingView #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendlineBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis
price increase, gold price towards 3385Plan XAU day: 14 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
An already fragile global risk sentiment has deteriorated further in response to renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump targeting two of the country’s major trade partners—Mexico and the European Union. In separate letters sent on Saturday to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, President Trump announced the potential for new tariffs, adding to more than 20 similar notices issued since last Monday.
This latest development has dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, as reflected in the broadly weaker tone across global equity markets, and may continue to provide support for safe-haven assets such as gold. However, mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s near-term interest rate trajectory are preventing XAU/USD bulls from making aggressive moves or extending the recent rally to multi-week highs
personal opinion:!!!
Trade tensions between two major regions: the US and the EU, have made gold prices positive again, and market concerns that DXY and EURO will restrain each other's value.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3385 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
IFCI Price Action## Trend Overview
IFCI has shown significant volatility in recent months. After a strong rally earlier in the year, the stock has entered a corrective phase, with the price currently hovering around ₹60.58–₹64.50 as of July 14, 2025. The broader trend over the past year has been negative, but the last quarter displayed a sharp upward move, followed by some consolidation and profit booking.
## Price Action & Momentum
- **Short-Term:** The stock is consolidating after a steep rise in the last three months, where it gained nearly 49%. The recent pullback reflects profit-taking and market caution.
- **Medium-Term:** Despite the recent correction, the price remains above major moving averages, indicating that the medium-term uptrend is still intact.
- **Long-Term:** IFCI is down about 12% over the past year, but up over 534% in three years, highlighting its high volatility and cyclical nature.
## Technical Indicators
- **Moving Averages:** The daily price is above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, supporting a positive medium-term outlook. Shorter-term averages are converging, suggesting a pause or consolidation.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating potential for further cooling or sideways movement before the next trend emerges.
- **MACD:** The MACD indicator is positive, but momentum has slowed, suggesting the rally may be losing steam.
- **Volatility:** The stock displays high volatility, with a beta above 2, indicating larger swings compared to the broader market.
## Support and Resistance
- **Immediate Support:** Around ₹60, where recent buying interest has emerged.
- **Major Support:** Near ₹55, which aligns with the 50-day moving average and a previous breakout zone.
- **Immediate Resistance:** Near ₹65, which coincides with recent swing highs.
- **Major Resistance:** The 52-week high at ₹91.40.
## Volume and Sentiment
- Recent sessions have seen increased volume on down days, reflecting profit booking and cautious sentiment.
- Long-term sentiment remains speculative, with traders reacting quickly to momentum shifts and news.
## Summary
IFCI remains a high-beta, volatile stock with a history of sharp rallies and deep corrections. The current daily chart shows consolidation after a strong uptrend, with the price holding above key supports. As long as the stock remains above its 50-day moving average, the medium-term bullish structure is intact. However, the overbought technical indicators and recent profit-taking suggest that short-term movements may remain range-bound or slightly negative until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Risk management is crucial given the elevated volatility.
Bank Nifty Price Action# BANKNIFTY Hourly Chart Price Analysis
## Overview
On the hourly chart, BANKNIFTY is exhibiting a cautious and volatile structure, with technical indicators suggesting a mix of short-term weakness and potential for intraday momentum. The index is trading near key support and resistance levels, and traders are closely watching for breakouts or breakdowns to determine the next directional move.
- **Above 57,070:** Intraday bullish momentum is likely.
- **Below 56,900:** Weakness and potential downside may emerge.
- **Holding above 55,750:** Maintains a positive undertone for the broader trend.
## Technical Indicators
- **Moving Averages:** Most short-term and medium-term moving averages are signaling a bearish bias, with prices trading below the 5, 10, 20, and 50-period averages.
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** Hovering in the neutral to slightly bearish zone, indicating lack of strong momentum but not yet oversold.
- **MACD:** Shows bearish crossover, supporting the short-term negative bias.
- **Stochastic Oscillator:** Indicates overbought conditions on some timeframes, cautioning against aggressive long positions.
- **ATR (Average True Range):** High, reflecting elevated volatility and potential for sharp intraday swings.
## Price Action Insights
- The index recently broke below a short-term ascending pattern, increasing the risk of further declines if support levels are breached.
- Intraday trading is expected to remain volatile, with sharp moves likely around key pivot levels.
- Sentiment is cautious due to global factors and domestic flows, but the downside is cushioned by institutional buying on dips.
## Trading Outlook
- **Bullish Scenario:** Sustained move above 57,070 with strong volume could open up targets towards 57,300 and 57,500.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Failure to hold above 56,900 may see the index test 56,500 and lower supports.
- **Neutral/Bounce Play:** Sideways consolidation is possible if the index holds between 56,900 and 57,070, with traders advised to wait for a clear breakout.
**Note:** High volatility and mixed signals call for disciplined risk management and quick decision-making on intraday trades.