Gold sellers brace for a bumpy drive on NFP dayThe heaviest fall since late February couldn’t beat gold buyers as the metal stays above the key support line from March 31, near $1,851, on the key US NFP release day. Additionally important are the speeches of US President Joe Biden and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. It should be noted that while MACD and RSI flash contrasting signals, bears will have a bumpy road even if they manage to break the $1,851 support. The reason could be traced to the monthly horizontal line and multiple tops marked from late April, respectively around $1,843 and $1,800 threshold.
Meanwhile, a corrective pullback will have to cross the 100-SMA level of $1,878 before targeting the $1,889-90 resistance area. It should, however, be noted that the $1,900 round figure and the latest high near $1,916 will act as extra filters to the north-run targeting the yearly top close to $1,960. Overall, gold’s uptrend is challenged but bulls aren’t out of the woods.
BIDEN
EURUSD stays offered ahead of Biden’s infrastructure spendingWith the bond rout at its peak since early 2020, EURUSD drops to the lowest in five months as traders await US President Joe Biden’s infrastructure bill details. However, a sustained downside break of a three-month-old falling trend line favors the pair bears. As a result, a horizontal area established from September 25, 2020, around 1.1610-1600, gains market attention. Following that, a 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.1530 and June 2020 peak surrounding 1.1420 should lure the EURUSD sellers.
It should, however, be noted that Biden’s ability to please investors can trigger the much-awaited corrective pullback beyond the support-turned-resistance near 1.1740. Even so, EURUSD bulls are less likely to get convinced until the quote rallies beyond the 200-day SMA level of 1.1865. Overall, EURUSD has some room to the south but the key event may disappoint the bears and hence traders should be cautious ahead of the 20:20 GMT speech.
BTCUSD Chart estimations on previous Low and HighI'm just attempting to see where the BTCUSD may head next. So far, I have been able to deduce these scenarios where BTC might drop, reason being availability of both Hidden Divergence and Trump VS Biden uproar. Only one scenario is valid for BTCUSD pump and that is just a small possibility. However, the Support and Resistance levels at these Fib levels are way too strong for Market to ignore them. I suspect that the bear market is accumulating and thus we might see some massive drops in coming days.
How would you play these?