Get started

Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Raoul Pal’s Investment Edge: The Art of Predicting Market ShiftHello Traders! First of all, no, this is not about me! 😆 I am Rahul Pal , and this is about Raoul Pal , the legendary macro investor! But don’t worry— my time will come too! Until then, let’s take this opportunity to learn from one of the best in the game and explore his key investment principles and strategies that have made him a market icon. Raoul Pal is not just another investor—he is a master of macro trends who has successfully predicted major shifts in financial markets, global liquidity cycles, and the rise of digital assets. From his early bets on Bitcoin and Ethereum to his deep understanding of monetary policies and their impact on financial markets , his approach has helped thousands of traders and investors navigate volatile conditions and stay ahead of the curve. So, let’s break down his top investing lessons and see how we can apply them to build wealth, manage risks, and seize big market opportunities! Raoul Pal’s Key Investment Strategies Macro Investing Approach – Pal focuses on big-picture economic trends, analyzing global debt cycles, interest rates, and monetary policies to predict major market movements. Early Crypto Adoption – He was one of the early institutional investors to bet big on Bitcoin and Ethereum, predicting their rise as alternative financial systems. Liquidity Matters More Than Fundamentals – Pal believes that liquidity in financial markets drives asset prices more than just company fundamentals. Bet on Big Trends Early – He identified major shifts in technology, crypto, and decentralized finance (DeFi) before mainstream adoption. Understanding Market Cycles – He studies boom-and-bust cycles to anticipate major economic shifts and position himself accordingly. Diversification with a Focus on Asymmetry – Pal emphasizes investments with high potential upside and limited downside risks, such as Bitcoin and tech stocks. Raoul Pal’s Bold Market Predictions Bitcoin to Reach $1M? – Pal has predicted massive upside potential for Bitcoin, citing global money printing and institutional adoption. The Rise of Digital Assets – He believes that crypto, NFTs, and tokenized assets will be a major part of the financial future. US Dollar Liquidity Crisis – Pal has warned about potential economic instability caused by excessive debt and monetary easing. What Traders Can Learn from Raoul Pal Follow the Macro Trends – Pay attention to global interest rates, central bank policies, and economic cycles to position yourself ahead of big moves. Be Open to New Asset Classes – Consider crypto, technology, and emerging financial innovations for long-term wealth creation. Risk Management is Key – Even with bold predictions, Pal manages risk and focuses on asymmetrical returns. Adopt a Long-Term Perspective – Major trends don’t happen overnight, so patience is crucial when investing in macro shifts. Conclusion Raoul Pal’s macro investing strategies provide valuable insights into navigating global markets, identifying emerging trends, and managing risk effectively. His focus on big-picture thinking has helped him stay ahead of market shifts, making him a legend in the world of investing. Do you follow macro trends in your trading? Let me know in the comments! 👇
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
BTC#20: BTC Analysis: Price SW In Triangle – Next Direction?💎 💎 💎As analyzed in the previous article, BINANCE:BTCUSDT gave a bad price reaction when touching the old resistance area of ​​95~96x. The current price is SW in the triangle. Let's analyze the next plan BINANCE:BTCUSD : 💎 💎 💎 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Cryptocurrency Reserve that includes 200,000 BTC seized in criminal or civil cases. It will be held as a reserve asset and not sold. In addition, the Government will not purchase additional assets for the reserve. 🚀The Treasury and Commerce Departments may consider budget-neutral Bitcoin purchases. Agencies must provide full accounting books of digital assets to the Ministry of Finance. Regulatory crackdowns on crypto assets are ended 📌 From the above information, it can be seen that BTC and the top 5 coins in the market have been officially recognized as an asset. The legal framework will take time to complete. However, BTC will receive more attention and attention when the US government makes any purchase moves to hoard. This will lead to a huge demand for BTC in the near future. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: The price structure is still bearish, we have had a recovery phase to retest the resistance area and give a bad price reaction. It is entirely possible that BTC will go down to the support zone below 🔹 **H4 Frame**: We can see the price reaction more clearly. The continuous reaction of lower peaks in this area shows that the market sentiment is still dominated by the bears even though BTC has been recognized as a reserve asset. 🔹 **H1 frame**: The price is still SW in the triangle area in recent days. The price range is gradually narrowing as shown on the chart 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔ At the present time, it is no longer suitable to wait for a BUY position. The price has tested the resistance area and reacted badly, so there is a high possibility that there will be a correction below the support area below at any time. ✅ The top priority is to trade in accordance with the main trend in the SELL direction. Although the information about the Reserve Fund has given a positive response, the government not buying more assets for the reserve is also a sign that short-term cash flow will be difficult to push into BTC, especially when tariff policies are giving negative reactions to the economy. 💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
by TonyL0ng
Will Ethereum Fall below $1500 or Ready to $8000 ?#Ethereum Fresh Weekly Analysis 🔹 Current Trend: CRYPTOCAP:ETH has dropped -51% in the last 3 months, signaling a major retracement. 🔹 Key Support Zone: Trading above $2000-$1900, a crucial accumulation zone for this bull market. 🔹 Upside Targets: If #ETH holds this support, we could see $6000 / $8000 / $10,000 in the coming months. 🔹 Risk Factor: If ETH fails to hold $2000, expect a potential dip towards $1500—a key level for long-term accumulation. Smart Strategy: ✅ Accumulate ETH on dips instead of chasing tops. ✅ Wealth is built by buying in bear markets and selling in bull cycles. ✅ Long-term holders should focus on accumulation, not panic selling. IMO ETH/USDT has strong potential in this bull cycle—buy smart, hold strong! Note: Not Financial Advice so DYOR
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by CryptoPatel
BTCUSD: Trendline Support vs. Key Resistance - What's Next ?Previous Support Turned Resistance: The 91,000-93,000 range that previously acted as support has now flipped to resistance, confirming a classic price action principle. Diagonal Trendline Support: Currently, price is respecting an upward diagonal trendline (marked by the red lines on the chart), providing short-term support. Market Structure: Bitcoin experienced a sharp drop from the 96,000 level in late February Price found a bottom around the 80,000 mark before forming the current ascending trendline Recent price action shows a series of higher lows along this trendline, suggesting potential bullish momentum building Trading Outlook: As long as price remains above the diagonal trendline support, we can expect a continued move higher Immediate target would be a retest of the 91,000-93,000 resistance zone and if price sustain above this then more upisde possible. A successful break above this resistance could signal a resumption of the larger bullish trend However, a break below (Close on daily) the trendline support would invalidate this bullish scenario
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Bitcoin Fresh Technical Analysis and Price Prediction AnalysisBTC/USDT – Technical Analysis Update 📊 Current Price: ~$93,000 📈 Recent Move: Strong bounce from $79,000, surging $17,000 in just a few hours. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure 🔸 Resistance Zone: $95,000 – This level acts as a critical supply zone. A strong rejection here may trigger short-term corrections. 🔸 Breakout Confirmation (BOS - Break of Structure): A decisive close above $99,600 with volume could confirm bullish continuation towards new highs. 🔸 Support & Downside Risk: If BTC fails to hold above $95,000, a pullback towards $75,000-$70,000 remains a possibility. EMAs & Trendline Support: Watch for dynamic support from 50 EMA & ascending trendline in case of retracement. Market Outlook: - BTC remains in a bullish structure, but volatility is high. - RSI & Volume Analysis: Overbought conditions on lower timeframes suggest possible consolidation before the next leg up. ⚠️ Risk Management: Always trade with stop-loss and avoid overleveraging in this volatile market. 📡 Stay tuned for real-time insights! Note: NFA & DYOR
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoPatel
BTC#19: “Cryptocurrency Reserves” and trading plants💎 💎 💎 After Trump posted about his plan to put BTC into the national cryptocurrency reserve, BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD had a meteoric rise back to 93~95x. Let's plan to trade BTC: 💎 💎 💎 1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:** 📊 The current market is dominated by “US crypto assets”. 🚀 Trump: Will put BTC into the national reserve, this will help the crypto sector break out. However, it is also important to note that the US lacks budget support and crypto reserves are just empty words at present. 📌 The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 93%. It can be seen that the current cash flow injected into the market is not really significant because interest rates have not yet decreased and the US tariff policy is still waiting to cause an economic war. Current news plays a role in restraining the downward momentum and fear in the recent past. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **Frame D**: it can be seen that the price is looking for an important resistance area. Note that the current price structure is decreasing, so the price can still turn around at any time when it touches the diagonal resistance zone. 🔹 **Frame H4**: It is clear that yesterday's increase has not yet had any technical recovery to be able to break through the current resistance zone. 🔹 **Frame H1**: Temporarily, the price is still in an upward trend influenced by yesterday's positive news. The previously broken trendline will act as an important support for the price to break out in the near future 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔ The current area is no longer ideal for establishing a trading position, if the price still has no recovery, we can consider looking for a SELL position when the price reaches the diagonal resistance area when a price structure appears on a smaller time frame. BUY should only be made if the price recovers and accumulates in the old resistance area and an increasing price structure appears on a smaller time frame. ✅ On the D and H4 time frames, the price structure is still bearish, besides, H1 has increased strongly without any technical recovery due to the influence of positive news. So we can completely wait for a trading opportunity when the price finds an important resistance and support zone. 💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
by TonyL0ng
Bitcoin - Targets 116K 126K 148KIn chart i have shown why price is holding at 83K and may not fall further now. Price height from Point of Control to ATH is all most equal to the price range from POC to low of 83 K . IT could have been taken support at 87 or above 83 but due to fear it has seen 83. True some selling came from various sources and little frauds too. But still price is acting technically now. And in wave theory its completion of 4th wave and once support seems to be taking at 83K and move in 5th wave then targets are coming as 116, 126 and 148 K. Serious. These are 5th wave levels as per wave theory. BTC is sure Bullish and soon +ve news are expected and price will follow the Bullish trend. Time duration is not sure up price will march up and up only
by venkatfx
Bitcoin : Easy to follow hype, Hard to hodl through dropsThe recent price action shows a sharp spike followed by a pullback, with a notable gap between approximately 81XXX and 84XXX. This gap suggests a rapid move that wasn’t fully filled, which could act as support in current correction phase. The overall trajectory from 2023 to early 2025 shows that Bitcoin is in a strong bull market, potentially driven by macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation concerns, institutional adoption, Trump Government) or halving cycles (the last one was in 2024). The break above 100K validate this sentiment. Potential Scenarios: Continuation: If the pullback holds above the 81XXX–85XXX (Daily or weekly TF) gap or around 73XXX-74XXX support(A test to last breakout zone ,considering worst case scenario), Bitcoin could retest 110,000 and push toward 120,000–150,000 in the mid-to-long term (2025–2026), assuming bullish momentum persists. I lean toward a optimistic view/Bullish View when everyone is fear right now, expecting a low very soon within current to next week (Early March) which can provide buying opportunities (As marked on chart) and considering my target around 120K to 150K for long term.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
BTC#18: BTC plunges, destination and trading opportunities at th🔥 So BTC has corrected. However, how much it has decreased, we will analyze it right away: 🔥 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 Widespread Pessimism, Cryptocurrency Market Plunges Sharply ———— ⚫Bitcoin and altcoins plunge: Bitcoin drops nearly 5% to $90,000, Ethereum loses more than 10% in two days, Solana drops 15%, Dogecoin drops 13%. ⚫The market is still affected by the $1.4 billion hack last week. Bybit announces compensation but Ethereum is still under pressure. ⚫Weak market sentiment: Many meme coins collapse, limited capital flows cause altcoins to lose value sharply. Solana under selling pressure as it prepares to unlock $1.72 billion in tokens on March 1. ⚫Crypto-related stocks also plunge: Coinbase down for six consecutive sessions, MicroStrategy down 5.7%, BTC mining stocks fall sharply. 🚀 MicroStrategy continues to buy BTC: The company bought another 20,356 BTC worth $1.99 billion, bringing its total BTC holdings to 499,096 VND (~$33.1 billion). 🛫Forecast: The downtrend may continue if market sentiment does not improve and cash flow does not return to altcoins. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **Frame D**: the bullish structure has been broken and turned bearish. Pessimistic sentiment covers the entire market so it will be difficult to see an immediate recovery 🔹 **H4 frame**: the bearish price structure is more clearly shown. The nearest resistance zone is 93x 🔹 **H1 frame**: the price line is still quite far from the horizontal or diagonal resistance zone, the current price has recovered a bit but the market sentiment is still hesitant about the Fibo 23.6 area as you can see on the chart 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔The current time is not suitable to catch the bottom of BTC, not only the market sentiment is pessimistic but the basic information has not seen any positive news for BTC. We will need to patiently wait for confirmation from the price line ✅ Priority at the moment. Currently is looking for a SELL position following the main trend. The sharp price drop will have a recovery adjustment but pay attention to stick to the price structure and do not be greedy. 💪 **Good luck trading!**
by TonyL0ng
BTC#17: How Does Bybit Affect BTC? Traders Need to Know This!💎 💎 💎After a long time, BINANCE:BTCUSDT has not escaped the SW zone. So what is the market reflecting? Let's analyze the price reaction of BINANCE:BTCUSD in this area: 💎 💎 💎 1️⃣ **Notable news:** 📊 Coinbase co-founder: A settlement has been reached with the US SEC, the related lawsuit is expected to be officially approved and withdrawn next week. The dismissal of the lawsuit is said to bring many positive signals to the cryptocurrency market in general. 🚀 The security incident on Bybit caused a recent decline, recording the outflow of money from Bybit including hackers' money of 2,235 billion USD. However, liquidity during this time was still maintained stable. 📌 This incident shows the solidarity of the crypto industry community, not the fragmentation of previous attacks. It can be seen that the future potential of the industry will develop even better. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **Frame D**: The price structure is still bullish, but yesterday's closing candle completely destroyed BTC's previous attempt to increase in price. A bearish engulfing candle shows that it will take more time to accumulate to break out of this SW area or the price will have to find a better support zone to break out. 🔹 **Frame H4**: The price line is still in the SW area, however, the recent increase gives us a signal about the possibility of BTC increasing in price. Let's look at H1 to see this signal more clearly 🔹 **Frame H1**: The temporary price structure is an upward price structure. Although it cannot be immediately, this is an ideal area to wait for a position whether it is BUY or SELL 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔ The current price area tests the patience of traders. Trading in the SW price zone always erodes trading psychology due to greed and expectation. FOMO every time the price signals a break through the SW zone will erode the account and trading psychology. Wait for a clearer signal from the price reaction. ✅ As you can see the plan in the H1 frame. Waiting for a clearer price structure to establish a position is the top priority. We do not predict where the price will go but look at reality to decide what to wait for. "Trade what you see, not you think" 💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
by TonyL0ng
Adverse excursion: a key concept for risk managementAs a professional trader, I can tell you about the adverse excursion and its crucial importance in the world of trading. Adverse excursion: a key concept for risk management Adverse excursion refers to the unfavorable movement of the price of an asset after a position is opened. More precisely, it is the difference between the entry price and the worst point the price reaches before the position becomes profitable again or is closed. Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) The concept of Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE), developed by John Sweeney, is particularly useful. It measures the maximum floating loss suffered by a position before it turns in your favor or is closed. The MAE is a powerful statistical tool for analyzing drawdowns in an open position. Trading Efficiency Using MAE has several benefits for traders: Optimizing Stop-Loss: By analyzing MAE over a series of trades, the optimal level for placing stop-loss orders can be statistically determined. Evaluating Trading Systems: MAE helps evaluate the performance of trading systems and identify areas for improvement. Refining Risk Management Strategies: By understanding the maximum adverse moves, traders can refine their strategies to better preserve their capital. Improving Trading Efficiency: MAE analysis can help improve decision-making and execute trades with greater accuracy and confidence. Practical Application To effectively use the concept of adverse excursion, it is crucial to collect data on a large number of trades. For example, if you observe a series of MAEs like this: 15, 23, 18, 16, 0, 11, 31, 17, 8, 0, 19, 26, 0, 38, 22, you can deduce valuable information about the behavior of your trades and adjust your stop-loss levels accordingly. In conclusion, the adverse excursion and especially the MAE are powerful tools for any serious trader. They allow to optimize risk management, improve the performance of strategies and make more informed decisions. As they say in the trade, "who controls his risks, controls his profits". _______ Using the Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) has several significant advantages over traditional stop-loss placement methods: Data-driven optimization The MAE allows for a more precise and data-driven approach to stop-loss placement: Statistical analysis: By examining the distribution of the MAE over a large number of trades, the optimal level for placing stop-loss orders can be statistically determined. Performance visualization: The graphical representation of the MAE provides a clear overview of trade performance, allowing the most effective stop-loss levels to be visually identified. Balancing protection and performance The MAE helps to find an optimal balance between capital protection and trading performance: Retention of winning trades: The stop-loss can be placed to retain 75-85% of winning trades, thus avoiding prematurely cutting potentially profitable positions. Elimination of large losses: At the same time, this approach eliminates trades that suffer large losses, thus protecting capital. Adaptation to the specific strategy The MAE adapts to the unique characteristics of each trading strategy: Customization: Unlike generic methods, the MAE takes into account the specific behavior of the trades of a given strategy. Flexibility: This approach can be applied to a variety of strategies, whether short-term trading, swing trading, or long-term positions3. Improved risk management Using the MAE contributes to better overall risk management: Deep understanding: The MAE provides a more nuanced understanding of how trades evolve, allowing for better risk assessment. Reduced stress: By having a solid basis for placing stop-losses, traders can reduce the stress associated with real-time decision-making. Complementarity with other tools The MAE can be used in conjunction with other techniques: Combination with the MFE: The analysis of the Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE) in parallel can help to optimize not only the stop-losses, but also the profit-taking. Cross-validation: The results obtained by the MAE analysis can be compared with those of traditional parameter optimization methods for greater confidence in the strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
Bitcoin - Bullish and strong Buy - Target 104KMultiple times in my previous charts i have said price below 97K is seeing buying by big players. Which is very very clear in chart with multi month and week support visible in chart. Any price below 97K is being bought by big players in US and these days outside US as well. Multiple people clearly pointed out the money flow into Bitcoin which is visible in other indicators. only because of long weekend price is sideways to bearish in short term which is cleverly accumulated by big players. I am expecting price above 100K in coming days to test the previous strong resistance above 104K for now.
by venkatfx
3