BTCUSDT: Short term buying and selling strategy.Based on the BTCUSDT chart you provided, here’s a concise trading strategy:
Resistance Area: The price range between $64,000 and $68,000 is acting as strong resistance. The price has previously been rejected at this level, signaling a potential sell opportunity.
Sell Plan: If the price moves up and tests this resistance zone again ($64,000 - $68,000), consider entering a sell position upon seeing a bearish reversal signal. Set a stop-loss just above $68,000.
Take-Profit Target: Aim for a take-profit target around the $53,800 - $54,000 area, which is a significant support zone.
Risk/Reward: This strategy offers a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio, particularly as the price continues to move within a downtrend channel.
If the price breaks below the $53,800 support level, there could be further downside potential.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
SUI/USDT Bearish Mode Alert#SUI/USDT Chart Analysis:
NYSE:SUI has broken down from the support trendline and shifted into bearish mode. Expecting a 20-30% retracement from current levels.
Trade Setup:
- Best Short Entry: $1.70 - $1.80
- Targets: $1.42 / $1.00
- Stop Loss: $1.90 (Manage risk accordingly)
⚠️ If Stop Loss hits, we may see a new all-time high.
Bitcoin Testing Key Support at 64,000 USDTBitcoin is trading at 64,454 USDT, facing resistance at 65,461 USDT and showing potential for a bearish move. If it breaks below 64,000 USDT, it could drop to the support zone between 63,198 USDT and 63,500 USDT.
Key Scenarios:
Bearish: A break below 64,000 USDT could target 63,200 USDT.
Bullish: A rebound from support may lead to a retest of 65,461 USDT, aiming for 66,000 USDT.
Traders should watch the support zone for potential buy or sell signals.
ETH/BTC Macro AnalysisSince May 2021, ETH/BTC has been forming a falling wedge pattern, which mirrors the setup seen during the previous bull cycle. Based on the current technical structure, the 0.040 to 0.036 range appears to offer a favorable entry point for converting Bitcoin into Ethereum, providing an opportunity to increase Satoshi holdings.
While a worst-case scenario could push the pair to the 0.031 region, the probability of this outcome remains low. Should we witness a breakout from the wedge, there is potential for a significant move, with targets around the 0.075 level, representing a potential 100% increase.
Additionally, the Money Flow Index (MFI) is showing a positive upward curve, indicating increasing buying pressure.
Please note: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own research and trade responsibly
IMPORTANT Macroeconomics: What is the trade balance?IMPORTANT Macroeconomics: What is the trade balance?
The trade balance is an important economic indicator that can have a significant influence on the stock markets.
Here is a simple explanation of this concept and its potential impact:
What is the trade balance?
The trade balance represents the difference between the value of a country's exports and imports over a given period.
In other words:
- If a country exports more than it imports, its trade balance is in surplus (positive).
- If a country imports more than it exports, its trade balance is in deficit (negative).
Impact on the stock markets
The influence of the trade balance on the stock markets can vary depending on whether it is in surplus or deficit:
Trade balance surplus
A trade surplus can generally have a positive impact on the stock markets:
- It indicates strong competitiveness of domestic companies in international markets.
- It can strengthen the value of the national currency, which can attract foreign investors.
-Exporting companies may see their shares increase in value.
Trade deficit
A trade deficit can have a negative impact on stock markets:
-It can indicate a weakness in the domestic economy or a loss of competitiveness.
-It can weaken the domestic currency, which can discourage foreign investors.
-The shares of companies dependent on imports may be negatively affected.
Important nuances
It is crucial to note that the impact of the trade balance on stock markets is not always direct or predictable:
-Overall economic context: Other economic factors can attenuate or amplify the effect of the trade balance.
-Investor perception: The reaction of the markets often depends on how investors interpret the trade balance figures in relation to their expectations.
-Specific sectors: Some sectors may be more affected than others by changes in the trade balance.
In conclusion, although the trade balance is an important indicator, its influence on stock markets must be seen in the broader context of the economy and investor sentiment.
Will Bitcoin Hit $45000 Next ?Bitcoin Rejected from Resistance
BTC has once again been rejected from the Bull Flag Resistance Line. I'm now expecting a significant correction, with BTC/USDT potentially testing the $45,000-$50,000 level before the next leg up.
Caution:
Avoid buying until the market stabilizes. Global uncertainty with war news is adding to the volatility.
Key Levels:
Support: $48,000
Resistance: $66,000
Bull market resumes if BTC breaks above $66,000.
BTC Start Retracing to reach 57432 - 58291 area 2 Week TimeFrameBtc gave a good mobing averages and hit the level 66.5K and a retracement was very much expected. so how deep this retracement can go, with fibbonacci in 1D time frame suggesting a retracement till 61.2k to 61.6k area. but after consolidating on this zone, it can continue to retrace till 59.5k with a wick to 57432 - 58291 zone.
so all these points will act as point of support
61.2k to 61.6k
59.5k
57432 - 58291k
please trade carefully.
Happy trading.
CRYPTO: How it works and how it is explained for beginners.CRYPTO: How it works and how it is explained for beginners.
Here is a detailed explanation of the key concepts related to cryptocurrencies:
Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrencies are decentralized digital currencies that use cryptography to secure transactions. Unlike traditional currencies, they are not issued by a central authority such as a bank.
The main characteristics of cryptocurrencies are:
-They exist only in electronic form
-Transactions are made directly between users (peer-to-peer)
-They use blockchain technology to record transactions
-Their value fluctuates according to supply and demand
Blockchain
Blockchain is the underlying technology that allows cryptocurrencies to work.
Its main features are:
-It is a distributed and decentralized ledger that records all transactions
-Each transaction forms a "block" that is added to the existing chain
-The data is encrypted and impossible to modify once recorded
-It works without a central authority thanks to a network of computers
The halving
The halving is a scheduled event that concerns certain cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.
Its main characteristics are:
- It halves the reward given to miners for creating new blocks
- It usually occurs approximately every 4 years (every 210,000 blocks for Bitcoin)
- Its purpose is to control inflation by gradually reducing the issuance of new units
- It can have an impact on the price of the cryptocurrency by reducing the supply
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The different types of coins
There are several categories of cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin: The first and best known cryptocurrency
Altcoins: All cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin (e.g. Ethereum, Litecoin)
Tokens: Tokens created on existing blockchains, often linked to specific projects
Stablecoins: Cryptocurrencies whose value is indexed to a fiat currency or a stable asset
Memecoins: a cryptocurrency that comes from an Internet meme or that has a humorous, ironic characteristic, a joke as its origin.
Each type of coin has its own characteristics and uses, but all rely on blockchain technology to operate in a decentralized manner. 10 minutes ago
Comment
Here is a list of the top altcoins, memecoins, and stablecoins to know in 2024:
Major Altcoins:
-Ethereum (ETH)
-Cardano (ADA)
-Solana (SOL)
-Polkadot (DOT)
-Ripple (XRP)
-Litecoin (LTC)
-Chainlink (LINK)
-Polygon (MATIC)
-Avalanche (AVAX)
-Tron (TRX)
Popular Memecoins:
-Dogecoin (DOGE)
-Shiba Inu (SHIB)
-Pepe (PEPE)
-Bonk (BONK)
-Book of Meme (BOME)
Top Stablecoins:
-Tether (USDT)
-USD Coin (USDC)
-Frax (FRAX)
-Dai (DAI)
-TrueUSD (TUSD)
-First Digital USD (FDUSD)
-Decentralized USD (USDD)
Altcoins are alternative cryptocurrencies to Bitcoin, often offering specific features or use cases.
Memecoins are cryptocurrencies that were initially created as jokes but have sometimes gained popularity.
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, usually pegged to a fiat currency like the US dollar.
Each category has its own characteristics:
-Major altcoins often aim to solve specific problems or provide platforms for the development of decentralized applications.
-Memecoins are generally driven by their community and can experience high volatility.
-Stablecoins seek to offer the stability of traditional currencies while retaining the benefits of cryptocurrencies.
It is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is very dynamic and the popularity and value of these tokens can fluctuate rapidly
BTCUSDT : The uptrend channel is still in place.BTCUSDT has experienced a decline as it approached the resistance level of 64,500 USD. However, looking at the technical picture, the uptrend remains steady, with the parallel price channel still intact and no signs of reversal from the 34 and 89 EMA.
With these carefully analyzed factors, we should consider re-entering buy positions when the price hits the lower boundary of the channel.
That said, this is merely a trading idea, so exercise caution. If the price breaks the channel, it’s time to shift your strategy to sell with the trend.
Wishing you successful trades! And don’t forget to share your thoughts on this analysis below!
BTCUSDT: Buy in the short term.BTCUSDT is continuing its strong uptrend, currently trading around $63,590.
In the short term, the bullish momentum is clear, with the trendline, EMA, and other technical factors all supporting the buyers. Personally, I favor a buy strategy with a take-profit target at $65,000.
You can consider buying now or waiting for a price pullback to the trendline for a better entry.
Wishing you all successful trades and plenty of profits!
Ethereum Ready to $6000 ?CRYPTOCAP:ETH Chart Update
Next Target: $5500-$6000
Best Accumulation Zone: $2500-$2100
Long Term Target: $8000-$10,000
#Ethereum bounced strongly from the $2100 level (channel support), and with the next resistance at $5500-$6000, I’m expecting the next stop for #ETH to be $6000
Bitcoin and Gold Price Action: Key InsightsIn this video, we analyze the latest price movements of Bitcoin and Gold. Discover key trends, factors driving the market, and practical trading tips. Stay informed and make smarter investment decisions!
#Bitcoin #Gold #Crypto #Investing #PriceTrends #MarketUpdate #TradingInsights #BTC #GoldPrices #FinancialNews #CryptoTrends #MarketAnalysis #InvestSmart #WealthManagement #AssetTrends
The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.
Inverted Head and Shoulders: WATCH volumes when the neckline breaks!!
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the inverted head and shoulders pattern in trading:
- The inverted head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns to anticipate a bullish reversal.
- According to some sources, the success rate of this pattern would be very high, with approximately 98% of cases resulting in a bullish exit.
- More precisely, in 63% of cases, the price would reach the price target calculated from the pattern when the neckline is broken.
- A pull-back (return to the neckline after the break) would occur in 45% of cases.
- However, it should be noted that these very optimistic figures must be qualified. Other sources indicate more modest success rates, around 60%.
-The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the break of the neckline, volumes, etc. A rigorous analysis is necessary.
-It is recommended to use this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, although the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a very reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60-70% than the 98% sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but must be used with caution and in addition to other analyses.
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Head and Shoulders:
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns, but its exact success rate is debated among technical analysts. Here are the key takeaways:
- Some sources claim very high success rates, up to 93% or 96%. However, these figures are likely exaggerated and do not reflect the reality of trading.
- In reality, the success rate is likely more modest. One cited study indicates that the price target is reached in about 60% of cases for a classic head and shoulders pattern.
- It is important to note that the head and shoulders pattern is not an infallible pattern. Its presence alone is not enough to guarantee a trend reversal.
- The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the breakout of the neckline, volumes, etc. Rigorous analysis is necessary.
- Many experienced traders recommend using this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, while the head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60% than the 90%+ sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analyses.
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NB: In comparison, the classic (bearish) head and shoulders pattern would have a slightly lower success rate, with around 60% of cases where the price target is reached.
Analysis of BTC Response to Previous FED Rate CutsToday's analysis focuses on the impact of past Federal Reserve rate cuts on Bitcoin (BTC) price action. In 2020, following a rate cut, BTC initially experienced a modest increase, followed by a significant decline of approximately -63%. The price found support around the 200-day moving average.
As we approach the potential rate cut on September 18, 2024, we should consider the possibility of a similar market reaction. Key levels to monitor include $28,000 (300-day MA) and $37,000 (200-day MA).
While historical patterns suggest caution, a strong rally to levels around $65,000 to $68,000 could occur. However, if BTC breaks its previous all-time high of $73,000, we might see a structural shift towards a more parabolic trend.
Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Proceed with caution and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term market movements.
Bitcoin to $100k+?The price of BINANCE:BTCUSDT at the moment is around $56,000, in a short term bearish momentum. If it'll break the $55000 mark, I think the Bitcoin can fall further till it reaches the $52,000 mark, and can take a reversal from that price zone and come back in a bullish momentum and would definitely cross the $100k in the long run.
Some of the reasons why I'm thinking like that:
- We can see it forming a Cup & Handle pattern from the Monthly Time Frame, currently falling to make a handle if it'll bounce back from the $52,000 mark.
- From the Weekly Time Frame, the Fibonacci's golden level (0.618) is exactly around the $52,000 mark.
- From the Monthly Time Frame, the Fibonacci's 0.318 level is also around the $52,000 mark.
This is just a perspective of mine, the previous liquidation grab have filled several gaps already, if it'll fall further I belief there will be a strong momentum and many buyers waiting on the 0.618 level or the $52000 mark to give it a healthy bounce back to $100k+.
BITCOIN: Bearish - Double TOP + Rising WedgeBITCOIN: Bearish – Double TOP + Rising Wedge
The market could go back down to around $58 000.
In addition, detection of a possible double top on Bitcoin which would bring the price down to around $48 000
Watch for the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, as well as the Ichimoku levels, and RSI.
be careful
$STX Looks Strong: Could It Rally to $7?NASDAQ:STX Looks Strong: Could It Rally to $7?
➡️ Current Trend: Bullish on the higher time frame (HTF).
➡️ Key Support Level: $1.20
If $1.20 holds as support, it’s a very positive sign for STX holders.
➡️ Bull Flag Formation:
- Breakout zone: $1.60 - $1.70
- If STX breaks out of this zone, it could push the price toward $5 - $7.
➡️ Accumulation Zone:
- Above $1 is a good area to accumulate STX.
- Below $1 could be bearish.
Stay sharp and watch these levels.
Arbitrum $5 Potential in Current Bull Market?ARBITRUM (ARB/USDT) Chart Analysis:
➡️ Liquidation Sweep: ARB has recently hit a high liquidation zone, wiping out all longs that were opened near the top. Even those with lower leverage positions have been liquidated, pushing the price into a very deep dip.
➡️ Accumulation Zone: This dip presents a strong accumulation opportunity in the spot market. I'm starting to accumulate ARB between the $0.58-$0.4 range. This area is ideal for long-term investors looking to capitalize on the current market conditions.
➡️ Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance 1: $0.8
Major Resistance 2: $2
Should ARB break through these two key resistance levels, we could potentially see the price rally to $5-$8.
➡️ Investment Strategy: I've initiated my buy orders, and my target is set at $5. After losing the $1.84 support, ARB has dropped by 77%, which marks an 82% decline from its all-time high (ATH).
➡️ Bull Run Expectation: In the current bull run, I am aiming for a potential 10x return on ARB. This could be a prime opportunity to position for significant gains.
$BTC | Daily: August Plan:This month looks like we’re heading for some sideways. While many were hoping for a pump to 80k after the monthly close, but, we've seen a dip down to 50k instead.
Both weekly and monthly charts are currently bearish. BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bears in control until bulls break $65k. Don’t expect a quick pump or dump; patience is key!
Key levels to watch:
60k - HTF Resistance +0.5 Fib
53k - July Low & 50EMA support (weekly)
49k - Current Low