Bitcoin: The 2026 Grind – Rejection Zones vs. The $130k TargetChart Analysis
Bitcoin has successfully completed a SL hunt to the downside, sweeping liquidity and finding local support. With this liquidity grab finished, the immediate bias shifts upward as price begins the "2026 Grind" toward higher structural resistance.
Using a Trend-Based Fib Extension ($55K Low - $106K High - $76.5K Retracement), we are monitoring the reaction at key overhead levels.
1. The Current Move: Testing Resistance
Following the stop hunt, price is grinding upward to test the strength of the recovery. The bulls face two critical hurdles:
Rejection Zone 1 ($95K - $97K): The 0.382 Fib level. This is the first major test for the bounce.
Rejection Zone 2 ($100K - $103K): The 0.5 Fib level. This is the "line in the sand" for the bearish case.
2. The Bearish Scenario (Rejection)
If the rally stalls and gets rejected at either of these zones, it suggests the bounce was merely corrective.
Downside Target: A failure here opens the path to $69K - $70K to fully reset the market structure.
3. The Bullish Breakout
If the momentum from the recent stop hunt is strong enough to pierce through the resistance zones:
Confirmation: A break above the $110K level flips the structure back to bullish.
Target: This opens the door for a run to the 1.0 Fib extension at $127K - $130K .
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Bitcoinprediction
BTC Bullish Outlook: Riding the Wave to $170K in 2026CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Asset: BTC/USD
Timeframe: Weekly
Hey traders! 🚀 With Bitcoin kicking off December on a softer note around $85K, the market's digesting some Q4 turbulence, but we're eyeing a major reversal. Drawing from JPMorgan's fresh take, BTC could mirror gold's trajectory and surge to $170K within the next 6-12 months. That's an 84% upside from here—don't sleep on this!
Key Analysis:
Macro Tailwinds: BTC's negative correlation with the USD is flashing green as the dollar weakens. Pair that with its risk-on dance with stocks (watch Nasdaq for cues), and we're primed for a breakout.
Technical Setup: We've got support holding firm at the $80K psychological level—classic round-number magnet for BTC. RSI is oversold on the daily, MACD showing divergence, and options data screams "range-bound now, explosive later." Break above $90K, and it's game on toward the next roundie at $100K.
Risks: Short-term chop if stocks wobble further, but long-dated option builds suggest stability before the boom.
Trade Signal:
Entry: Long BTC/USD at $82,000 (confirmation above $80K support).
Target 1: $100,000 (short-term, ~20% gain).
Target 2: $170,000 (JPM moonshot by mid-2026).
Stop Loss: $75,000 (below key support to protect downside).
Risk/Reward: 1:3+ on the primary target. Position size: 1-2% of portfolio.
Chart snapshot: Imagine a weekly candlestick with a bullish engulfing at $80K, Fibonacci extensions pointing to $170K, and gold overlay for that JPM vibe. (Pro tip: Overlay GLD on your BTC chart for visual confirmation!)
Idea by Signal Squad
Published: December 8, 2025
What do you think, squad? Bullish breakout or more consolidation? Drop your thoughts below—let's discuss! #BTC #CryptoSignals #SignalSquad
Wave 4 Trap Complete as Bitcoin Prepares for Final Flush6 Days Ago
3 Days Ago
1 December 2025 :
BTC moved into the expected corrective zone last week but stayed inside the falling channel, showing that wave 4 was only a temporary bounce. Buyers failed to break any key resistance, and momentum kept fading. This kept the broader outlook bearish and hinted that wave 5 was still pending.
BTC has now broken below the short-term rising structure, confirming that wave 4 topped out near the 0.786 retracement. The rejection from that zone triggered a clean shift back into the main downtrend, with price sliding toward the key 86,280 support. As long as BTC holds below the upper channel boundary, the market remains positioned for further downside, with the 1.618 extension around 79,650 emerging as the next probable target for wave 5 completion.
Note:
The rejection from the 0.786–resistance zone shows buyers failed to take control.
Wave B at 86,280 is the immediate pivot level; staying below it keeps downside pressure intact.
The next major target for wave 5 sits near the 1.618 extension around 79,650.
Stay Tuned :)
@Money_Dictators
BTCUSD - Wave 5 Decline Still Likely AheadPrevious Analysis:
BTC is approaching a critical reaction zone where the current rise looks more like a corrective push than the start of a new trend. Price is moving toward the highlighted supply region, which aligns with a potential wave 4 completion inside the descending channel. The structure from the recent low shows an internal a–b–c formation, suggesting this bounce could run into exhaustion as it enters the red zone. Unless BTC breaks out of the channel with conviction, the broader momentum still leans bearish. A rejection from this region would likely trigger the final wave 5 leg, driving price toward deeper Fibonacci levels and completing the corrective cycle before any meaningful recovery attempt can begin.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
If you ignore this than it's your choice INDEX:BTCUSD
I am also shocked
every November closed in green in Year on year based than november near to end then it means v shape bounce is ready to in 6 days
please do your own research before taking any trade.
i am not financial advisor
risk is real stay practical
please feel free to ask any questions
Bitcoin Monthly Support Test — Next Target $58,419 ?Key support sits at $81,933. A clean break and close below this zone could expose Bitcoin to a deeper retracement toward the next major support around $58,419.
However, $81,933 is also a strong monthly support level, so the market’s reaction here is critical.
Keep an eye on whether this level holds or fails — it will likely dictate the next major move.
Share your view in the comments: Do you think BTC will defend this monthly support, or are we heading lower?
BTC out of box and retest done.. going upBitcoin long position is on the way. Btc is now out of critical box expected now to get reward same like range of box. So as marked it can go upto trendline to test it and completes the range on buying side in short term then after trendline hits we need to see for next move.
If This Is Just Beginning Than End Is Danger.CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Weekly Closing Is Importance For Confirmation And If We Get Confirmation Than Follow Through Is Another Confirmation.
Channel breaking started. if we calculate channel target then around $45000 USD 💀
Please Do Your Own Research Before Talking Any Trade.
I am not finical advisor.
If you have any questions, please feel free to ask me.
Bitcoin Turn Bearish In Monthly Time frameWhat’s going on
Bitcoin slipped significantly this week, dropping into the US$90,000–96,000 range, marking roughly a 10% decline for the week.
The decline has pushed BTC to trade around 20-25% below its all-time high of US$126,200.
On-chain data shows that long-term holders (those who typically hold and not sell) have sold ~815,000 BTC in the past 30 days—the highest such volume since Jan 2024. That suggests weakening conviction among “Holders”.
What’s working against Bitcoin
Recently, Bitcoin dropped below ~US$90k marking its lowest levels in months.
The monthly technical structure shows signs of weakness.
Macro risks are elevated: policy uncertainty (e.g., interest rates) could dampen demand for risk assets.
Key Levels & Scenario
Support Level 1: ~$85,250–$80,704 marked on the chart in weekly time frame, there could be a sharper drop. till Support -1 in monthly time frame ~$70,825–$57,750
Close below $85,000 in weekly and monthly time frames opens up more downside risk.
Given the mixed signals, I'm slightly cautious/bearish for next week, expecting consolidation in the weekly time frame and downside rather than a strong rally.
If the macro/risk environment improves, upside is possible, but as of now, the risk of further decline is stronger than upside.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
BTC - Turned Bearish ?This unexpected longer US shutdown followed by another un expected temporary solution till Jan 2026 is causing panic in US market. These days Trump and his network moving the market as they want. And anything are possible these days by him. BTC has very strong Buyer network including ETFs, Strategy and other non stop accumulators. Its Golden time to buy Bitcoin at every dips since they have non stop flow of funds. But price drop un stoppable since margin issues cause weak hands to get liquidated. when 25X group gets liquidated then its huge sell off and it will take time to buy back the liquidity so SL kills all weak hands. But where is the Bottom. Cant predict because US shutdown has not got solution atleast for a year. Upcoming US data all expected to be slightly negative putting pressure on markets to be on sell side. Its all in the hands of Trump and his network or other banks who planned all these. I never seen a temporary solution for US shutdown in the past. At sending markets to the levels they want first big players will accumulate and then make policy move to move markets to up again.... Its sure bad news for Bitcoin Bulls planning for 130+ levels... It will come in 2026 but need to be loving and money management in SIP into Bitcoin will give rich returns in 2026
Bitcoin – Breakdown from the Ascending TriangleBitcoin just slipped below the ascending triangle support on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. The structure had been forming higher lows toward the $115K resistance zone, but sellers stepped in hard near the top, breaking the trendline that’s been guiding the uptrend since mid-October.
The move comes amid broader weakness across the crypto market — BTC has shed about 3.7% this month, while altcoins like XRP and ETH are also struggling. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin still holds an impressive 18% gain for the year, so the bigger picture remains constructive.
Macro pressure seems to be weighing on sentiment — investor caution around interest rates, inflation, and the Fed’s next move is keeping volatility elevated. If upcoming data tilts toward another rate cut, we could see renewed upside momentum. But for now, price action suggests a possible retest of lower zones before bulls can re-establish control.
Overall, a clean technical breakdown in the near term, but the broader trend isn’t broken yet. Let’s see if bulls can reclaim that triangle support in the next few sessions.
DONT FORGET TO CHECK MY PROFILE BELOW 👇👇👇
BTCUSD - RESISTANCE RETEST IN PROGRESSSymbol - BTCUSD
Bitcoin continues to consolidate beneath the previously breached ascending trendline, with no distinct signs indicating the end of the corrective phase or the emergence of strong bullish momentum. A retest of the resistance zone is currently forming.
Bitcoin is trading within a defined range between 1,11,650 & 1,06,250 At present, there are no clear bullish reversal signals, and price action suggests a corrective move toward resistance before a potential decline into the liquidity pool near 1,06,250, shaped by prior consolidation and retesting activity.
Two critical resistance zones lie ahead — 1,11,650 and 1,13,600 Resistance at 1,11,650 has been validated. However, failure to sustain rejection here may lead to a test of the upper boundary. A false breakout in that area could trigger a subsequent pullback. Overall, the cryptocurrency market remains relatively subdued, reflecting ongoing uncertainty and caution surrounding broader macro and policy factors.
Resistance levels: 1,11,650 - 1,13,600
Support levels: 1,08,650 - 1,07,375 - 1,06,250
Current price action indicates a developing consolidation phase within a localized downtrend. A confirmed breakout above 1,13,000 and subsequent consolidation above 1,13,500 would strengthen the case for a potential trend reversal. Until such confirmation emerges, a pullback from resistance into the zone of interest remains the primary expectation.
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD
UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
BTC - Long1. The colored horizontal areas show Fibonacci retracement levels, which traders use to spot possible support and resistance zones where the price might reverse or continue its move.
2. The 0% level is at the top (115,943) and the 100% level is at the bottom (109,523).
3. The price is currently near 113,207 and close to the 50% (112,732) and 61.8% (111,975) retracement levels.
4. Volume bars at the bottom show how much Bitcoin is being traded at each time.
5. If price bounces from the 50% or 61.8% levels (these are green and blue zones), traders can consider buying (long entry), hoping the price will go up. Always watch for a reversal candle or increased volume at these levels before entering.
6. Place your stop-loss just below the 61.8% level. For example, below 111,975.
7. Set your first target near the 38.2% level (113,490) and second target near the 23.6% level (114,428).
8. If price breaks below the 61.8% level with strong volume, avoid buying and look for a sell setup instead.
9. This setup uses common trading concepts like Fibonacci, support and resistance, and volume confirmation. Remember to wait for confirmation signals and manage risk with stop-loss orders.
Bitcoin H1 Analysis: Shorting the Retracement After Major BrKDWNLet’s analyze your **BTCUSD H1 chart** carefully 👇
---
🧠 Chart Summary
* **Symbol:** BTCUSD
* **Timeframe:** H1
* **Current Price:** ~112,309
* **Sell Limit:** 113,041.61
* **Stop Loss (SL):** just above 113,041.61 (roughly near 113,300–113,400)
* **Take Profit (TP):** not explicitly shown but likely near 109,000–108,000 based on structure.
---
📊 **Technical Breakdown**
1️⃣ Trend Direction
* The pair is **in a clear short-term downtrend** after failing to hold above the **Previous Daily High (≈122,900)**.
* Price broke **below 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels**, confirming bearish momentum.
* **Moving averages (Red = short-term EMA, Yellow = long-term EMA)** are both sloping **downward**, showing strong bearish momentum.
2️⃣ Key Structure Levels
* **Previous Daily High:** ~122,900 (Major resistance zone)
* **Previous Daily Low:** ~114,700 (Broken → retest expected)
* **Sell Limit Level (113,041.61):** Perfectly placed near the **Fibonacci 23.6%–38.2% retracement zone** of the last swing leg.
* This is an **ideal “lower-high” retracement entry** in a downtrend.
#### 3️⃣ Support Zones Below
Immediate support:** 111,800
Next key support:** 109,250 (around your possible TP zone)
Weekly low zone:** 108,350 – if that breaks, we could see a deeper push to 106,000.
---
⚙️ **Trade Plan Analysis (Sell Limit 113041.61)
| Aspect | Analysis |
| --------------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Setup Type** | Pullback Sell / Lower-High Entry |
| **Bias** | Strongly Bearish |
| **Entry Level** | 113,041.61 (Good retracement zone) |
| **Stop Loss** | Above 113,400–113,600 (just beyond structure) |
| **Take Profit** | 109,200–108,300 (previous support and 100% Fibonacci extension) |
| **Risk/Reward Ratio** | ~1:3 or better depending on TP placement |
| **Probability** | High – provided retracement completes to your Sell Limit |
---
🔥Confirmation Points Before Entry Triggers
If price retraces upward:
* Watch for **bearish engulfing** or **rejection candle** near 113,000 zone.
* If price fails to break above 113,400, your entry is valid.
* If it closes **above 113,600 on H1**, consider canceling the order — it would mean short-term momentum shifted bullish temporarily.
---
🧩 Summary Plan
✅ **Entry:** Sell limit at 113,041.61
✅ **SL:** 113,400–113,600
✅ **TP1:** 111,900
✅ **TP2:** 109,200
✅ **TP3:** 108,350
📉 **Bias:** Bearish continuation after pullback
---
⚠️Extra Notes
* Momentum is strong; if the retracement doesn’t reach 113,000, you might miss the entry — don’t chase.
* A secondary entry could form near **112,700** if a fresh rejection candle appears there.
* News events or BTC volatility spikes can create fake pullbacks — always watch the **H1 close** for confirmation.
-
ETHFIUSDT - BULLS ARE NOT DONE YET?Symbol - ETHFIUSDT
ETHFIUSDT is undergoing a corrective phase after updating its local high at 1.938 The breakout above the 1.677 zone appears to be an attempt to initiate a distribution phase following an extended period of consolidation. The key question now is whether the bulls can sustain control above this area.
Bitcoin is also in correction mode following a false breakout of its resistance level. In this context, the broader cryptocurrency market is experiencing a temporary decline. Nevertheless, the prevailing trend remains bullish, supported by a favorable fundamental outlook. Once the current correction concludes, market growth may resume.
On the daily timeframe, ETHFIUSDT is attempting to transition into a distribution phase after approximately five to six months of consolidation. The overall trend remains upward, and following the breakout of resistance, a corrective movement toward the liquidity zone at 1.677 is developing. A false breakdown, accompanied by a shift in market imbalance and subsequent consolidation above 1.678, could stimulate renewed buyer interest - potentially leading to further price appreciation.
Resistance levels: 1.898, 1.938
Support levels: 1.677, 1.534
The chart highlights two critical support zones - 1.677 and 1.534, Sustained bullish activity above the 1.677 level may result in a rebound and continued upward movement, confirming the ongoing distribution phase. Conversely, failure to maintain this level could prompt a retest of the zone at 1.534, where a liquidity sweep may subsequently trigger a new wave of buying pressure.
BTC LONG SETUPBTC/USDT – 1H Long Setup Analysis
🔹 Current Price: 111,653 USDT (Bitget Perpetual)
🔹 Trend: After a sharp drop from recent highs, BTC is showing signs of forming a base with a possible rebound setup.
⸻
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone:
• Strong support is visible around 110,744 – 110,747 USDT, marked by previous demand and horizontal structure.
• Below that, deeper support lies near 109,383 – 108,534 USDT.
2. Resistance Levels / Targets:
• TP1: ~115,078 – 115,980 USDT
• TP2: ~117,340 – 118,165 USDT
• Higher extension target: ~119,810 USDT
3. Trend Structure:
• Price broke a rising channel but has bounced back after a correction.
• Current pullback is retesting demand, indicating potential continuation to the upside if bulls defend the base.
4. Indicators:
• EMA 9 (blue) is currently under pressure, suggesting short-term weakness, but if reclaimed, momentum could shift bullish.
• Volume shows increased activity at recent lows, hinting at accumulation.
⸻
Long Trade Plan (Swing Bias):
✅ Entry Zone: Between 111,000 – 111,700 USDT (current price zone, near support)
✅ Stop-Loss: Below 110,744 USDT (to avoid fakeouts)
✅ Take Profit Targets:
• TP1 → 115,078 – 115,980 USDT
• TP2 → 117,340 – 118,165 USDT
• Extended TP → 119,810 USDT
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (approx. 1:3+ if targeting TP2).
⸻
Summary:
BTC is consolidating above a strong support base. If bulls hold the 111K–110.7K zone, upside targets remain valid towards 115K–118K. A break below 110.7K would invalidate this setup and could push price toward 109K or lower.
BitCoin? a bit down or big downBitcoin is loosing it fizz now and rally may be about to end.
as per chart reading i can see that it is on the resistance levels
and as now world economies are also settling it should be possible that crypto frenzy get no hype and for that Bitcoin may see a down pludge
Possibly for next 2-2.5 Years Bitcoin won't cross the recent highs and may be retesting 72K level or more downside.
Up move will only continue after breaking and closing above this trendline.
BTCUSD – Short Opportunity Building 30m Chart1. Price rejected from the supply zone near 115,700–115,800, showing resistance.
2. Current structure has shifted bearish with lower highs after rejection.
3. Key intraday support stands at 115,100–115,000; a sustained break below could accelerate downside.
4. Next demand levels to watch: 114,280 and 114,116, aligning with liquidity zones.
📉 Plan:
Short entries remain valid below 115,300.
First target: 114,280
Extended target: 114,116
Invalidation above 115,800.
Recommendation: Monitor for clean bearish continuation; keep risk tight due to BTC volatility.






















