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Bitcoin: BTCUSD extends recovery from 200-SMA to trim lossesBitcoin (BTCUSD) rises to a week’s high, continuing its rebound from the 200-SMA and breaking through the 100-bar simple moving average (SMA). BTCUSD bulls aim for a new three-month high! Along with a solid bounce from the 200-SMA, a positive RSI (14) and bullish MACD signals support BTCUSD’s push past the 100-SMA. This indicates potential for more gains, even though the RSI is nearing overbought territory, suggesting limited upward movement soon. Key technical levels to watch… With Bitcoin’s strong recovery from the 200-SMA and a successful run-up beyond the 100-SMA, buyers are ready to challenge a six-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $64,700. However, they may face hurdles at the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement of July-August downside near $65,700 and an upward trendline from late August around $66,900 afterward. On the downside, the 100-SMA around $63,300 is holding BTCUSD up, while the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support is near $62,200. That said, another key support is found at the 200-day moving average of around $60,700, with the psychological level of $60,000 serving as buyers' last line of defense. Recovery remains preferable… With Bitcoin bouncing back from key moving averages and a potential pullback in the US Dollar due to upcoming US inflation data and FOMC minutes, BTCUSD looks set for further upside.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
1
Bitcoin Swing Long Update - Bitcoin is currently trading at 62,777$ - Bitcoin followed my path and filled the Fair Value Gap - Bitcoin didn't shift its Market Structure as well and we are still Bullish unless we see a weekly close below 57,500$ - Bitcoin can easily shoot up to 64,000$ first and then we might see a small retracement that can induce BTC a little and post that we might see Bitcoin mitigating 69,000$ soon - On the other side, we have a War ongoing and the Economic Data also came in good for the US so the flows into USD increased and this also led to the DXY pumping hard - However, at the same time US Indexes jumped as well so this week will be very important for the overall market and how the war unfolds.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VKtradesimbalance
Bitcoin Swing Long Update & Levels- Bitcoin is currently trading at 61,739$ - Bitcoin has filled my Fair Value Gap, I want to see the reaction and its behavior after this - We can see a Market Structure shift below 57,500 if we witness a weekly candle below that and the structure is going to turn bearish - Watch out for Spot Accumulation around 58,000-60,000$ - Bitcoin can move impulsively from here as well if the War news gets digested and we see markets bouncing back by next week - The first 2 weeks have always been bearish for the overall crypto market so we need to factor in the same.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VKtradesimbalance
Bitcoin: BTCUSD tests 7-Week uptrend as September wraps upAfter three weeks of gains, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) kicks off the NFP week on a down note. It’s testing the 50-SMA support and approaching the lower end of its seven-week uptrend. Along with the US employment report for September, including the key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Monday's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be crucial for market watchers. Stay tuned! Buyers are struggling to gain traction, while sellers are still holding back Whether it's pre-event nerves or month-end consolidation, Bitcoin buyers are struggling to gain market acceptance as the key week begins. Bearish MACD signals and the price's inability to hold above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from July to August are tempting short-term sellers. However, a quick drop in the RSI (14) and strong support levels below make it tough for bears to regain control. Technical levels to watch In the short term, the bottom of the bullish channel around $64,050 is a key support level for potential sellers. Below that, the 200-SMA near the $60,000 mark acts as the last line of defense for buyers. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) falls below $60,000, a gradual decline toward the monthly low around $52,500 could be on the horizon. For a rebound, Bitcoin needs to break past the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at about $65,650. If successful, the monthly high of $66,500 and the upper boundary of the bullish channel around $68,900 will attract buyers. If Bitcoin moves past $68,900, it could quickly surpass $70,000 and aim for the yearly high of around $73,800 set in March. Pullback in prices expected Looking ahead, a potential bounce in the US Dollar and some price consolidation could lead to a pullback in BTCUSD. However, the overall bullish trend is likely to continue.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Bitcoin: BTCUSD pierces 200-SMA, but buyers face challengesBitcoin (BTC) has climbed to its highest level in a month, crossing the important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Monday. This rise continues a two-week upward trend, supported by a weaker US Dollar. However, traders are feeling cautious as they prepare for a big week ahead, which includes the preliminary PMIs for September, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Bulls gain acceptance Despite hesitance due to upcoming data, Bitcoin buyers are gaining confidence after crossing the key moving average. Positive MACD signals, a strong RSI, and a successful rebound from a two-week rising support line are pushing back against bearish sentiment for the cryptocurrency pair. Key technical levels to watch As Bitcoin buyers gain strength, they must overcome a horizontal resistance zone around $65,100–$65,400. If they succeed, the next challenge will be a downward trend line from mid-March, currently near $68,500, before they can aim for the yearly high of about $73,800. Notably, the $70,000 and $72,000 levels will serve as additional hurdles. Conversely, sellers need to break below the 200-day moving average at around $63,900 to take control. However, they will face challenges at the rising support line near $61,000 and the psychological level of $60,000. If they manage to push lower, they might target $57,000 initially, followed by a monthly low of around $52,550. Poised for short-term strength With strong technical signals and a generally weaker US Dollar boosting trader confidence, Bitcoin (BTC) prices are expected to stay solid in the short term. However, a series of resistance levels may challenge the bulls along the way.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Bitcoin 4H Swing Update Bitcoin is currently trading at 62,836 - Bitcoin needs to flip and close above 65,213$ to flip bullish and discover new prices - On the downside, we can soon see 61,300$ getting tested before we move further impulsively - Bitcoin followed my old path exactly the way I had predicted it to follow - Majorly Twitter and a lot of social media outlets were bullish when BTC was trading below 58,000 and that's where accumulation was witnessed and shorts got trapped - Learning: In order to make money in Spot from the crypto market you need to stop doing what the 99% does in order to succeed and then only you will make extravagant money, Q4 & Q1 has always been bullish for crypto according to Seasonality
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by VKtradesimbalance
2
Bitcoin Worst Case Scenario Setup Update - Bitcoin is currently trading at 53,442$ - Bitcoin followed my 1st path and the second path might be followed too - Bitcoin has only been making lower lows and higher lows which signifies a bearish trend - Overall Price trend is bearish we need a Market Structure shift above 62,000$ to flip the trend and get bullish again - Be cautious and avoid leverage and adding longs and short for now before you see a clear trend - Spot buying is fine but at the same time prefer to sit on hands
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VKtradesimbalance
BITCOIN: Elliott Wave & ChannelGreetings, everyone.😉 I would like to present a scenario for your consideration, grounded in "Elliott Wave Theory" . ✔️ Wave initiated from the 15K level: Classified as a "Double Zigzag" ✔️ Current wave in development: Y-c-3 ✔️ Projected upward range: 93K ~ 101K The rationale behind this analysis is as follows: Zigzag patterns typically move within a parallel channel. The first zigzag wave, which started from the 15K level, adhered precisely to this parallel channel. As a result, the likelihood of a complex correction occurring is considerably high. Based on these observations, I have constructed this particular scenario. It is an illustrative representation of potential market behavior, grounded in established technical principles. Wishing you all the best of luck🍀 This is not a buy or sell recommendation. It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only. All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
Long
by Killer_Whales
Bitcoin Bull Run Setup - Bitcoin has been chopping in a range for 3 months now where we saw this Bitcoin Volatility slaughtering alts to the base - Bitcoin is quite near to closing its monthly candle close now and it will be very important to see how Bitcoin closes its August candle - September will make the end of the 3rd quarter and the start of the first FED rate cut too. - Rate cut reaction from global markets and all asset classes except crypto was quite impulsive and bullish but we saw crypto moving down more due to some FUD or the other - Now before the US elections I am expecting Crypto to rally hard, especially in October we can expect the whole market to outperform and especially some cryptos to breach ALL TIME HIGHS - I am anticipating Bitcoin above 75,000$ in the month of October so if you are already holding Bitcoin its better you hold it - If you are planning to add BTC to your spot wallet then add 50% size here 62-64k and the rest 50% below 58k
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VKtradesimbalance
Fintechzoom Bitcoin Price and Forecast AnalysisThe current price of Bitcoin is influenced by a specific market structure characterized by key technical indicators: Blue Lines : Representing a fan-like pattern diverging to the right, these lines serve as dynamic levels of support and resistance. Their role can shift depending on market momentum, influencing the price direction of Bitcoin. Red Arcs : These arcs exert downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. However, historically, once these arcs are breached, Bitcoin tends to experience a rally. Since late July, the far-right red arc has been exerting significant downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. On the other hand, the blue line, located around the $55,000 mark, may offer substantial support from below. The key to Bitcoin’s price trajectory in early autumn lies in the battle between this red arc’s downward force and the support from the blue line. Should Bitcoin manage to break above the red arc, we could witness a strong upward movement. Given the significant trading volumes observed on August 5th, which I interpret as a shakeout of weak market participants, my primary forecast suggests that Bitcoin is likely to break through the red arc and rise in value. My Wave Analysis also supports this bullish outlook, indicating a potential rise within the framework of the fifth wave. FAQ What price will Bitcoin reach in 2030? While it's difficult to pinpoint an exact figure, various expert predictions suggest Bitcoin could reach anywhere from $500,000 to $1,000,000 by 2030, depending on adoption rates and macroeconomic factors. How much is $100 Bitcoin worth right now? To determine the current value, multiply $100 by the current Bitcoin price, which fluctuates constantly. For example, at a Bitcoin price of $30,000, $100 worth of Bitcoin would be approximately 0.0033 BTC. How much is Bitcoin selling today? Bitcoin’s price is dynamic, but as of today, it is trading around $58k. Will Bitcoin rise again? Yes, most analysts believe Bitcoin will rise again, driven by increasing institutional adoption, macroeconomic trends, and technological advancements within the blockchain space.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fintechzoom
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action Analysis Introduction Hold on to your digital wallets, fellow traders! We're diving into the latest price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USD), where the recent breakout has left us all on the edge of our seats. Let's dissect this chart and see what the crypto king is up to. 🚀💰 Price Action Overview Chart Analysis Current Price: $55,992.52 24-Hour High: $57,027.91 24-Hour Low: $55,909.09 Volume: 111.36 BTC (yup, that's a lot of virtual coins moving around!) Key Technical Indicators Rising Wedge Pattern: A bearish pattern indicating a potential reversal. Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken below the lower trendline of the rising wedge. Volume Analysis: Noticeable increase in volume during the breakout, hinting at strong market participation. Detailed Analysis Rising Wedge Pattern Pattern Description: A rising wedge typically forms during a downtrend and is considered a bearish continuation pattern. Implications: The breakout below the lower trendline suggests that bears are taking control. The support might be a bit weak here, like a soggy cardboard box trying to hold up your crypto dreams. Breakout Confirmation Breakout Level: Around $55,992.52 Implications: The bearish breakout indicates that the price might continue to decline. Time to buckle up, this ride could get bumpy! Volume Analysis Volume Trend: Volume has spiked during the breakout, adding credibility to the move. Significance: High volume during a breakout is often a strong indicator of the move's validity. In simpler terms, the crowd is chanting, and it doesn't look good for the bulls. Support and Resistance Levels Immediate Support: $54,600.00 - Keep an eye on this level; it might just be Bitcoin's life raft. Immediate Resistance: $57,864.53 - The bulls need to conquer this to regain any lost ground. Conclusion Bitcoin has shown a bearish breakout from a rising wedge pattern with substantial volume, indicating potential for further downside. Traders should monitor the immediate support level at $54,600.00 and resistance at $57,864.53 for potential bounce or continuation points. Stay vigilant, and may your trades be as fruitful as a bull market in full swing! Disclaimer This analysis is based on historical data and chart patterns. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TRADING-NASA
Bitcoin 4H Swing Setup - Bitcoin is now down 15% from its recent swing high - I have drawn 2 Price Paths for Bitcoin - The first price path describes how Bitcoin can soon run up clear the Fair Value Gap and then pierce 60k and bounce from 56-58,000$ - The second price path describes how Bitcoin can soon run down grab liquidity from 56-58k and then move up towards 64k - Bitcoin is currently sitting in a no-trade zone even if you are looking for longs or shorts make sure your leveraged positions are carrying a calculated risk
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by VKtradesimbalance
Bitcoin in Lots of Problems - Stay ALERT!Non- Market factors affecting the BTC price US Govt has a holding of around 200,000 BTC worth $12 Billion. Yesterday (20-07-2024), they moved 29K btcs worth $2.02 Billion to another wallet and this was the major reason for this dip along with the highest resistance at around $70,000. There are speculations that the US govt. might sell these transfered BTCs just like Germany. This is a huge fear factor. On the other hand MT gox is also repaying its creditors, this is another bearish thing, because people will sell what they will receive. Chart Analysis On the chart you can see 4 circled areas, these are all bearish movements, near range MAs crossing down long range MAs - we have discussed these multiple times in the past, these are death crosses. At present, btc price is holding and consolidating at the support level 2. Under this we have small support zones - 1-> $65,990 - Fibonacci level 0.786- Helped us in the past. 2-> $65,520 - A past support zone 3-> $64,900- $65,000 -> A liquidity support zone. 4-> A major support zone between $63,200 - $64,000 (also backed by fib level 0.618 at $63,140) This level has supported the last fall that can when Mt gox made first payment and Germany sold their btc. This is the biggest support we have at the nearest point. Since last night, bears were in high power and it is easy to create bearish fall than creating a rise, we have discussed this many times as well. As of now, the support level 2 is holding the price, all the MAs are anti rise this time and will act as resistance. There are major chances we will go down and see the major support level at $64,000. Always keep in mind the Market Maker (MM) game. When traders go bullish, they shift the market to bearish mode to liquidate them and when traders are bearish, you would see a sudden rise. Traders are always fighting against the Market. So when you feel the market is going into blood, get ready to see a sudden spike. This might bring price up bypassing the MAs but will get rejected by the support level 1. Plan accordingly.
by imvijaygir
Bitcoin Needs More Bull Power to Cross $69,800I am sorry I could not publish charts for 2 days, however in my last update I had shared the zones to come. If you have read my last chart idea, you would knew what was going to happen. When I published my last chart we were at mark X, and I told you that there are chances BTC would move up and try to break the upper resistance and on failure it will retest the support at 1, that is exactly what happened. A tip : Always keep in mind, when you are trading, you are against the market of pros - The Market Makers. They are not normal traders, they have deep knowledge of the mindset of a normal trader. So when market gains too much green, in market language it is called Trader greed, and when market is too much red, its Trader fear. So when there is too much green they will drop the asset price and will earn from it, and when the traders are in red (shorting an asset), they will pump the price to liquidate people. You would have seen multiple times. Since I started writing charts, I am always awaring you of zones where this can happen. Let's talk about the current situation. At this moment MA20 is holding the price, however this is not the strongest of all MAs. There is a chance that we fall from this zone, and btc try to retest the lastest zone (the light orange zone with red border). The last time this zone was tested it failed, meaning this is not a solid support and hence the responsibility to hold btc price fall goes to MA50. There are very light chances this particular zone has become a good zone, but data does not show enough power here. As we know, the area of $69,800 is an old ATH of btc, and hence it has a high resistance. It will take atleast 5 attempts in normal cases or multiple hits with a good volume to cross it. Or if super charged bulls enter the market, this can be crossed within a day. I have told you before multiple times, it is easy to go red and very very difficult to go green. You can understand it like gravity, its easy to drop a thing than to make it fly. The MACD as of now shows that Bulls have reduced power and Bears are slowly gaining the control. There are huge chances we might retest the support level 1 with MA 100 hovering over it. When even market is green, MMs will dump it and when market is red and every one starts to short, MMs will do a sudden pump. Stay ALert!
Long
by imvijaygir
BTC looks Ready to get a raise towards $68,000With all the obstacles crossed, it looks like BTC is now ready to move towards $68,000 resistance. We have seen btc moving up taking the necessary correction with every step. For this final step under zone 1, btc has almost done taking the correction and soon will start to penetrate this level to move up now. It has already tried doing that multiple times in the last few hours and failed. It will not be called a fail because these hits help in losening the resistance. Now it should be able to cross the zone 1 and reclaim the support above it. take some time off there before started the next journey which we will cover in the our morning session. In case, btc moves up we should keep in mind that there is a heavy resistance at $68,700 zone, a past ath zone. So this can and should work as a heavy resistance, pushing the price back to retest the upper level of Zone 1. or if btc kept moving with the same pattern of making steps, it should create such a mini support between the zone 1 and the resistance $68,700. There seems no chances of BTC retracting back under zone 1 as the market sentiment looks bullish and most of the liquidity is around zone 1 for as of now. So even if BTC fails to rise up, it should not fall from current level. One very important thing, that I almost forgot to cover, the MAs. We have seen multiple golden crossovers, I have covered in my past chart. One cross over that we are waiting is 100 MA crossing over 200 MA, and this will bring all the MAs in the perfect order they should be. The order from top to down should be 20,50,100,200. This shows the price is in perfect health and good to move up.
Long
by imvijaygir
WILL BUY THE DIP SUPPORT BULLS & CAN BTC RECOVER TO 71K ?Earlier I discussed about double top pattern in making & captured the great free fall of more than 7,000 points. Now, Bitcoin can be seen taking support at important levels. Bitcoin is experiencing times of high fear, high volatility and negative sentiment among the traders. From a psychological point of view, this could end in a bullish momentum as I have seen in the past that such high volatility usually lead to trend reversal. For now, big buyers are actively holding back a possible fall amid transfers of the previously hacked crypto exchange to its debtors and BTC sell-offs by German authorities. In April, the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $53,000, technically, the level of average cost of BTC mining plays the role of an intermediate bottom. Judging by the growth of volumes and price entry into the area of the lower boundary of the "Flag or Megaphone" pattern, buyers appear on the market and at the moment stop the price fall, forming a sideways range of 53500-58500. Accordingly, a breakdown of one of the boundaries may trigger an impulse to one side or the other, based on the technical nuances there is a probability that there will be an attempt to break the resistance. Fundamentally, the environment is difficult due to news flow, but investors are waiting for the approval of ETH-ETF, which may bring back the bullish mood to the market (indirect impact on BTC). Technically, the emphasis is on the range. A break of 58500 will give bullish momentum, a break of 53500 may allow the price to decline to the 50500-51000 risk zone We can only analyze and make a trading decision but only the time will tell whether is it headed to 71K or below 50K.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by akshit_official
3
MACD giving signal for trend reversal, waiting for Golden Cross-The market has been playing the same since the last chart. MA 200 has been a major support, did not let BTC price to cross it. Also sent pushed it up however as discussed in the previous charts " once a support is broken it becomes a resistance ", hence our level 2 which was previously a strond support has now become a strong resistance. MACD shows a loss in Bulls potential, as the market has been in a bear sentiment for the past few days. {Always keep in mind, before taking a long jump, the price has to take a correction. This way, new buyers get the chance to get into the market and paper hands are removed.} Coming back to the chart, because MA 100, and 50 were present below the zone 2, it was hard zone due to multiple resistances and all the bull power exsausted there and because of that, the price was not able to break the upper wall of zone 2 and faced rejection (this is where we are right now). What to Expenct now? The 200 MA is continuosly providing support however, everything in this world has a breaking point. With multiple hits, even the strongest MA like 200 can be broken and psychologically setting a bearish trend is far easier than creating a bullish sentiment in the market. Most of the traders are fearful and the red in chart makes them panic and they sell causing more panic. This is dominos effect. There is a chance of a Golden cross over at the mark X , this will give a bullish push to the price. This will happen when MA 20 will cross over the MA100. This should happen near about the base of zone 2, so that the bullish power helps in breaking the resistance of zone 2 and other MAs. For the support at this point, we have 0.786 Fib level and MA 200, but they can't handle more pressure as well. The doji green candles & heavy red candles shows that bulls are finding it hard to keep up with the bears. Still the cross over in MACD is a good signal (marked). When ever the blue line in MACD crosses the orange line (signal line) from botton to up, it is a bullish signal. It should not come under orange, if that happens, we should get ready to see the $65,000 zone.
by imvijaygir
2
200 MA being the last supportSo the market has liquidated both sides players and still going downwards even when it took support from the lower zone of point 2. The intersaction of MA 20 and 50 became its enemy and send it back to the 0.786 level of Fib just like we discussed in the last chart. The fib sent it back, and this time the level 1 acted as a resistance and btc failed to hold the position. At the current movement, btc is getting a support from MA 200 and is buring under MA 100, 50 and 20. now the level 2 is also the enemy. So btc is in such a position that it has only one friend nearby i.e. MA 200 and if it wants to go up, if has to face multiple enemies which means it require lots of positive volume. When you swim against the stream you need too much power. It would be easy for btc to fall further down and reach the $65,000 which is a light support zone, but if it goes further down, it will get the major support suzone of $63,000. The price will get some time to gather enough energy to pass all the resistances at once and reach the $69,000 once again. But this should not happen. The MA 200 should provide enough support to let the price go back and try to break the level 2 resistance once again. one major thing to keep an eye. If the cyan line (MA20) crossed the red line (MA 100) and went down, we definetly going to $63,000 zone. Too much short pressure on the market, and hence the MAAs might take advantage of it and push the price up to liquidate the short traders. Let's see in teh morning, what happens.
by imvijaygir
4
Looks like BTC is clear to MOVE UPThe chart is showing a lot of positive strength today. -On a 4 hours chart we can see the price has retested the support multiple time and has accepted it well. -100 MA is going to cross 200MA to upside which is also a positive sign. Small MA crossing a bigger MA and going up is always a good sign of momentum. - MACD showing decreasing bear power and should create a divert, meaning the MACD line (Blue) should cross over the Signal line (orange). - 20 MA is sitting at the bottom of current 4 hour candle -> That is a support. - 50 Ma is lying between $63,000 & $61,000 creating another zone for support in case the price goes south for any reason. Over sentiment is positive. The price should test and try to break the resistance at $66,000. And when it happens, another barrier at $68,000 is waiting. If the market receives some good momentum there are chances, the price directly goes to $69,000 before another cooloff. Just a precaution which we should always have in our minds before taking any decision, watch out for any news with a negative sentiment, which can cause to retest the latest support.
Long
by imvijaygir