Buying Opportunity in NIFTY Price has fallen almost 220 points today in an hour.
17635 level is the 0.5 Fib ratio of recent up trend
Expecting price to reverse from here at least for today
With small SL of 40 points we can go long on nifty 17660 with a SL of 17620-30
With an ATM option this will be Approximately with a risk of 750 to 1000 rs per lot
Target will be in execution.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
I will be updating
Bnf
Buying Opportunity in BNF BNF just took support from PDH.
With a SL of Just 60 points we can go long at cmp 46733
SL levels:40670
If we buy ATM option approximately 15 rs SL i.e, 375 rs per lot.
Target will be in execution.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
Bank Nifty Weekly Harmonic chartBank Nifty has had an amazing bull run since July. At present, it is at an important PRZ level (around 40350). Further upside will open up on two consecutive weekly candles closing above this level. If it does then it may well rally till around 42350 level where it is very likely to at least pause, if not reverse for a while.
Bank Nifty seems to be consolidating in a wave 4 triangleBank Nifty Future seems to be consolidating in wave 4 of a triangle after the high of 39794 made on August 19. It looks like wave (A) have completed at 37991 on August 23 and wave (B) has either completed at 39490 on August 25 or is still in progress. 39400 is 78.6% retracement of fall from the high so that should be a good area for wave (B) to end. Once wave (B) completes, we would see a wave (C), (D) and (E) before the market move to break above 39800.
There are 3 main reasons why the current wave looks like a triangle
1. The fall from 39794 is a 3 wave and contained well in a parallel channel.
2. The rise from 37991 is also a 3 wave and contained well in a parallel channel.
3. The kind of volatility we are seeing is typical in a triangle.
The view will be invalidated if it goes above 39794 or goes below 37991.
If the market keeps moving both sides that will further strengthen the case for a triangular formation.
The first alternate count is that current rally is corrective ABC where wave (B) is completed and market is ripe for fall below 38000 in wave (C). The second alternative count, least probable, would be that current rally is impulsive and market has completed wave (1) and we are in wave (2), once it is complete we would break 39794.
Probably, this could be a good time for an option seller to sell far strike prices and sit tight.
BANKNIFTY - May monthly expiry and June 1st Expiry May Monthly expiry on 26th
Top three months with max FII selling in cash in recent times
March 2020 - 65k crores
Feb 2022 - 45k crores
March 2022 - 43k crores
It is already 44k crores in May - so it's a no-brainer that May would come in the top three. big question is - can it match Feb 2020 sell figures? I doubt but Time will tell
BNF interesting observation -
the first leg fall starting 25 Oct 2021 - 18 % , the second leg fall starting on 3rd Feb again 18 % .. third leg fall started on 5 April - will it again fall 18 % - Time will tell but point worth noting is 18 % from 5th April comes at 31500 levels
Every time BNF reaches 20 DMA in recent times - it shows some consolidation before breakout or breakdown .it is approaching 20 DMA , will it consolidate next week?
Hypothesis
BNF have a high probability to consolidate on Monday / Tuesday & Wednesday as the price would be converging with 20 DMA, trendline resistance, and pitchfork median line. It would give some nice unidirectional move after that
Analysis and Trading are different ball games - Analysis is all about imagination and trading is all about discipline. So Trade Safe
Banknifty NiftyBank | Intraday | Swing|We can see noticeable RSI divergence on a higher timeframe 1 HR, Momentum is picking up but Banknifty is going down, this can be a good long trade, Good bullish RSI divergence is seen on charts,
And Banknifty is at a good support level and also at a previous breakout level as well, and Banking stocks if we see and analyze then banking stocks haven't really performed well so this can be a good trade if the global market and other overall aspects support.
Bank Nifty Multi-Month Head & Shoulder Neckline Re-test
A Head and Shoulders pattern is used in technical analysis which occurs when a massive reversal in the ongoing trend in the market happens occurs. The chart pattern of Head and Shoulders is marked by three successive peaks:
Original Trend of BNF - bullish
The Left Peak or the left shoulder
The Centre Peak or the head
The Right peak or the right shoulder
Reversal - when breakdown from Neckline happen - last week of Feb 2022
Re-Test of Neckline - 17 March
Breakdown continuation - 24 March
Higher the duration of formation - Higher is the probability of aggressive breakdown
the SL and Target both in the case of BNF are gap zones - Let's see what gets filled first
Happy Trading
NIFTY SUPPORT LEVEL BASED ON TREND LINEIf Nifty opens above purple line
NIFTY can buy when it touch purple line 16420 with target of 1:2 ratio, SL is when 1hour candle closes below purple line.
if Nifty opens below purple line 16420
Then go for PE with target of 1:2, SL -1hr candle should close above purple line.
Bank Niftytoday bank nifty touched 61.8 fib level and closed we may expect bearish opening and start bullish again after mitigating breaker block.. It may go ranging also considering SMS in both sides..i have given several options here but all are probablities anything can happen.... Look for LTF BOS before taking any trades
SBI IS RETESTING ITS 0.618 FIB RETRACEMNT LEVELS Like you can see the chart sbi break its day high and now retesting on its fib retrecemnt level so we can expext 1st target on1.2 retracement level,second at 1.14 retracement level and third at 1.618 level prefer to book profit and of you want to ride bnf rally you should puut your sl ctc and trail.
we can play in options
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
BankNifty Future Intraday support and resistances 24/01/2022Expecting good gap up in BNF as ICICIBANK has given wonderful results. If BNF sustains above 37960/38000, we can see more upside in Intraday
If support level of 37480 breaks we can see good downfall in BNF Future, supports are mentioned in the chart
Bank niftyMarket Closed with semi formation for H&S / Quasimodo in H1, we can expect the GAP down opening considering H&S in H1. to add, bnf broken the daily swing high recently we yet to have proper retracement , so my expectation is price will either tap the H1 BB or H1 Demand level then shoots up..
Disclaimer : this is the one side of viewing market based on past price action, live market can be different... always be flexible, change your strategy according to market condition and movement of price. Do not take my analysis as financial advise, do your own research before entering trade