msk_analysis

BANKNIFTY - May monthly expiry and June 1st Expiry

Short
NSE:BANKNIFTY   Nifty Bank Index
May Monthly expiry on 26th

Top three months with max FII selling in cash in recent times

March 2020 - 65k crores
Feb 2022 - 45k crores
March 2022 - 43k crores

It is already 44k crores in May - so it's a no-brainer that May would come in the top three. big question is - can it match Feb 2020 sell figures? I doubt but Time will tell

BNF interesting observation -

  • the first leg fall starting 25 Oct 2021 - 18% , the second leg fall starting on 3rd Feb again 18% .. third leg fall started on 5 April - will it again fall 18% - Time will tell but point worth noting is 18% from 5th April comes at 31500 levels

  • Every time BNF reaches 20 DMA in recent times - it shows some consolidation before breakout or breakdown .it is approaching 20 DMA , will it consolidate next week?

Hypothesis

BNF have a high probability to consolidate on Monday / Tuesday & Wednesday as the price would be converging with 20 DMA, trendline resistance, and pitchfork median line. It would give some nice unidirectional move after that

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