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Moving Averages

Nifty Reversal Watch: Key Demand Zones & Moving Average in FocusAs a pure technical analyst, I rely solely on what the charts reveal, ignoring the noise of news and fundamentals. Charts tell the story in advance. As a demand and supply zone trader, my primary focus is on identifying key areas where institutional activity is likely to drive price action. Today, we’ll analyze the Nifty 50 through the lens of demand zones and then complement it with traditional technical analysis using moving averages. This analysis aims to provide clarity on potential reversal zones and market behavior. 📊 Demand Zones: The Foundation of Analysis Monthly & Quarterly Demand Zones : On the monthly timeframe, I’ve identified a critical demand zone. When we zoom into the quarterly timeframe, this zone aligns perfectly, creating a high-confluence area. These zones represent institutional footprints (Banks, mutual funds, etc. ), indicating where smart money is likely to step in. These are not just traditional lines or boxes on the chart; they are the footprints of institutions that control the market. Significance of Demand Zones : Demand zones are areas where buyers are expected to dominate, often leading to price reversals. The confluence of monthly and quarterly demand zones increases the probability of a strong support level. Current Price Action : Nifty is currently hovering near these demand zones, suggesting a potential bottom formation. 📊 Traditional Technical Analysis: Moving Averages Now, let’s analyze the market through the lens of traditional technical analysts who rely on moving averages. EMA 20 on Monthly Timeframe : The 20-period EMA on the monthly chart acts as a reliable support level historically. Since 2004, price reversals have consistently occurred near this moving average, marked by green circles on the chart. EMA 20 as a Magnet : The EMA 20 on the monthly timeframe is equivalent to the 400-period EMA on the daily timeframe, representing the average price of almost 400 days. In trending markets, price always reverts to its average, making this a critical level to watch. Historical Exceptions : While there are rare instances (marked by red circles) where Nifty has broken below the monthly EMA 20, the presence of demand zones adds an extra layer of support, reducing the likelihood of a significant breakdown. Current Price Action : Nifty is currently near the monthly EMA 20, which coincides with the monthly and quarterly demand zones. 📊 Combining Both Approaches High-Confluence Area : The alignment of monthly and quarterly demand zones with the monthly EMA 20 creates a high-confluence area. This increases the likelihood of a strong support level and a potential Bottom. Risk Management : While the setup appears promising, it’s crucial to manage risk effectively. Always use strict stop-loss orders and avoid over-leveraging. Even high-probability setups can fail, especially when market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative. 📊 Conclusion The Nifty 50 is at a critical juncture, with multiple technical indicators pointing towards a potential reversal or consolidation. The confluence of demand zones and the monthly EMA 20 provides a high-probability setup. However, always remember that no setup is foolproof, and risk management is crucial, it’s essential to remain cautious as markets can sometimes defy all technical setups. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as trading or investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Lastly, thank you for your support. "The market is a master of patience; trade with discipline, not emotion." 🚀📊
NSE:NIFTYLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
2
LTIM Trades Sideways After Market Correction Topic Statement: LTIM has corrected along with the broad market correction and is currently trading in a sideways range, with key support and resistance levels defining its movement. Key points: - The stock is moving in a sideways range between 4000 and 6000. - Price has received heavy support at the 50% retracement level previously and is currently at this level. - The stock is trading below the 180-day exponential moving average, making it oversold. - The weekly MFI is at 17.8, indicating that the stock is highly oversold.
NSE:LTIMLong
by yogeshwar
KOTAK BANK NEAR FLAG BReakoutKotakBank is nearly Flag Breakout on Monthly Candle (Wait more 7 days to Finish MOnthly Candle with Big Bull Breakout) Wait for Proper Breakout beacuse its 4 time where Chart is going to test same Trendline. Flag Pattern Start from 2020- After 5 years its will going to break If we see fulll chart Stock taking support over 2013 Trendline before two months so there is more more possibility to give breakout if we see RSI chart its also show Breakout over MOnthly RSI trendline.. ## THis is my Just View, take position after all confromations and research by yourself## also see weekly chart - weekly showing strong big bull canle ( 1more Weekly Candle Require for final conformations)
NSE:KOTAKBANKLong
by StockviewPari
IndusInd Bank Plunges on Accounting ConcernsTopic Statement: IndusInd Bank has faced a massive selloff following accounting discrepancies in its derivatives portfolio, pushing the stock into oversold territory. Key points: - Stock has broken the 61.8% retracement level, indicating the selling pressure may continue until a full 100% retracement towards Rs 243. - Price has overextended below the 180-day EMA, making the stock oversold. - MFI on the weekly chart is at 20, denoting highly oversold conditions.
NSE:INDUSINDBK
by yogeshwar
Nifty weekly analysis for 17/03/2025Nifty is trading between 100 EMA (weekly) and 20 EMA (daily). A good support from the weekly moving average is there and resistance on the daily charts. A continuous support from 22300 level is there as the market has remained in a range whole week. If the market tried to breach the support level, the support of weekly 100 EMA can be the other support around 22030 else it will take support around 21800. In case the market starts to recover from the bottom and creates a higher high higher low formation it has to take out the resistance of 22650 and 22758. Major levels are plotted in the charts. Just wait for the price action to confirm the entry into a trade else another sideways market can be seen. Inside candle formation on the daily charts is also there and break out/down can be traded accordingly. Different trading approaches can help in capturing a good trade. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Death Crossover Strategy Explained with 50-EMA & 200-EMA line.Hello Traders! In today's post, we’ll explore the Death Crossover Strategy , a highly effective technique used by traders to identify potential trend reversals. This strategy involves the 50-EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crossing below the 200-EMA , which is considered a bearish signal. In this chart of IndusInd Bank Ltd., we can clearly see the Death Crossover in action. The 50-EMA (green line) has crossed below the 200-EMA (red line), signaling a potential downtrend. Key Insights: Death Crossover : Occurs when the short-term moving average ( 50-EMA ) crosses below the long-term moving average ( 200-EMA ), suggesting the beginning of a downtrend. Volume Confirmation : A sudden increase in volume after the crossover confirms the strength of the signal. In this case, the volume spike at the crossover indicates a strong bearish momentum. Target Areas : After a Death Crossover , look for potential support levels to target as the price moves lower. In the chart, we can see how the price retraced and then continued its downward journey. Price Action Post-Crossover: In this example, the stock dropped by approximately -38.12% after the Death Crossover , highlighting how powerful this signal can be in catching major trend reversals. Risk Management : Stop Loss : To protect your capital, always use a stop-loss order just above the 50-EMA (green line) when entering a short trade after the crossover. Position Sizing : Keep your position sizes small in trending markets to manage risk and ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Note: We have used this chart just for teaching the strategy and its potential impact. This is a great strategy to catch long-term downtrends, but as always, remember to use it alongside other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to increase your chances of success. Happy Trading!
NSE:INDUSINDBKEducation
by TraderRahulPal
5
MRF Finds Strong Support After Severe Correction Topic statement: MRF has experienced a sharp correction in recent months, with the stock finding strong support at the retracement level and indicators are giving an oversold opportunity. Key points: - Stock has corrected to the 61.8% retracement level at 1,08,000, providing strong support - Strong support is also seen at the emotional level of 1,00,000 - Price is on the 180-day moving average - Weekly MFI is at 28, indicating the stock is very oversold
NSE:MRFLong
by yogeshwar
1
LTIM: Sideways Consolidation Continues After Strong 2021 RallyLTIM has been trading in a well-defined range since its 2021 bull run, with strong support and resistance levels dictating its movement, between 4000 and 7000. Key points: 1. The stock faces heavy resistance at 6800, as the 23.6% retracement level acts as a strong barrier. 2. Price consistently finds support at the 50% retracement level and has bounced back from this level multiple times. 3. The stock is currently near the 50% retracement level and trading below the 180-day exponential moving average, making it oversold.
NSE:LTIMLong
by yogeshwar
SBIN: Holding Strong Amid Market Weakness but Facing Further DowTopic Statement: SBIN has experienced a relatively minor correction compared to the broader market, but technical indicators suggest the possibility of further downside. Key points: 1. The stock has corrected to the 23.6% retracement level and attempted to break below but has reverted to this level. 2. Price is near the 180-day moving average, signaling a crucial support zone. 3. Weekly RSI is at 38, indicating persistent selling pressure, with a potential decline to the 38.2% retracement level at 612.
NSE:SBIN
by yogeshwar
Reliance: Leading the Market Correction & Nearing Strong SupportTopic Statement: Reliance has undergone a sharp correction in recent months, significantly influencing the broader market downturn, but key technical levels suggest a potential stabilization. Key points: 1. The stock has corrected to the 38.2% retracement level, receiving strong support. 2. Price is now below the 180-day exponential moving average, indicating oversold conditions. 3. Weekly RSI stands at 34, marking an oversold zone from a long-term perspective.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by yogeshwar
Monthly Breakout On RSI & TrendlinePlease check Monthly Trendline over RSI - From 2018 to 2025 RSI Trendline Breakout done Last month & Sustain in crusial month also Second thing if we check Trendlines over Chart - Stock is taking regular support from 2014 to till date if we check from 2021 to till date consolidation zone - Stock is going to breakout this zone (final conformation above 2080, for Safest Entry) But as per current scenario and situation i thing kotakbank will be a good choice if market start upward direction
NSE:KOTAKBANK
by StockviewPari
Havells: Testing Key Support Levels Amid Market CorrectionTopic Statement: Havells has corrected along with the broader market and is now approaching critical support levels that may determine its next move. Key points: 1. The price is taking heavy support at the 38.2% retracement level at 1,476. 2. The stock is trading close to the 180-day moving average. 3. Weekly RSI is at 40, indicating the stock is nearing oversold territory. 4. If the support at 1,476 fails, the price may decline further to the 50% retracement level at 1,280.
NSE:HAVELLS
by yogeshwar
MAX HEALTHCARE - Bearish after breaking down from Double Top DOUBLE TOP PATTERN - market has broken down from perfect double top pattern indicating potential downward fall for the stock VOLUME SURGE - market has shown sudden volume surge recently indicating downward fall is coupled with strong volume NEARING 100D SMA - market is hovering above 100D sma. In past, it had touched the 100D sma whenever it has come close to it indicating market may soon fall to touch this moving average TARGET - price may fall till the target of 1008
NSE:MAXHEALTHShort
by peace_lover
Angel One: Finding Support Amid Market Correction Topic Statement: Angel One has declined along with the broad market correction but is receiving strong support at key technical levels, suggesting a potential stabilization. Key points: 1. The price is receiving crucial support at the 50% retracement level, as it had previously. 2. The 2000 level aligns with the 50% retracement level, acting as a strong support zone. 3. The stock is currently trading below the 45-day moving average making the price oversold.
NSE:ANGELONELong
by yogeshwar
Deepak Fertilizers - Bullish Setup with EMA 200 Crossover📈 Stock: Deepak Fertilisers (NSE:DEEPAKFERT) 🔍 Closing Price: ₹1034.25 📊 Pattern: Bullish Engulfing 📉 Technical Signal: EMA 200 Crossover Key Observations: ✅ Bullish Engulfing pattern on the daily chart suggests buying interest. ✅ EMA 200 Crossover, indicating potential trend reversal or continuation. ✅ Strong volumes supporting the breakout. Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Support Zones: ₹981 – ₹928 – ₹897 🔹 Resistance Zones: ₹1065 – ₹1096 – ₹1148 Trading Plan: 📌 Above ₹1065, potential momentum towards ₹1096 and ₹1148. 📌 Below ₹981, caution is advised, as weakness may extend toward ₹928.
NSE:DEEPAKFERTLong
by simpletradewithpatience
MindaCorp - Strong Bullish Momentum with EMA 200 & RSI Breakout📈 Stock: Minda Corporation (NSE:MINDACORP) 🔍 Closing Price: ₹548.05 📊 Technical Signals: ✅ EMA 200 Crossover – Indicating trend strength. ✅ RSI Breakout – Suggests increasing buying momentum. ✅ 5x Volume & Price Change – Strong participation from buyers. Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Support Zones: ₹506 – ₹464 – ₹436 🔹 Resistance Zones: ₹576 – ₹604 – ₹645 Trading Plan: 📌 Above ₹576, price may move towards ₹604 and ₹645 if momentum sustains. 📌 Below ₹506, watch for weakness and possible retracement to ₹464.
NSE:MINDACORP
by simpletradewithpatience