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GBPUSD sellers attack 1.2540 key support ahead of UK/US dataGBPUSD fades bounce off the yearly low, marked the previous day, following its failure to cross the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ahead of top-tier UK/US data on Friday. Apart from the failure to cross the key EMA hurdle, the bearish MACD signals and lackluster RSI (14) line also suggest a continuation of the Cable pair’s south-run. However, a daily closing beneath an upward-sloping support line stretched from December 2023, close to 1.2540 at the latest, becomes necessary for the bears to tighten the grip. Even so, February’s low of 1.2520 and late 2023 trough surrounding the 1.2500 threshold could challenge the Pound Sterling’s further downside. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past 1.2500 will make it vulnerable to plunge toward mid-November 2023’s low of near 1.2375. Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s recovery needs a daily closing beyond the 200-EMA level of 1.2567 to convince short-term buyers. Even so, a five-week-old descending resistance line and the monthly high will challenge the Pound Sterling’s further upside around 1.2645 and 1.2710 in that order. It’s worth noting that the pair’s upside beyond 1.2710 enables it to confront a four-month-long horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.2790-2805. Following that, the Cable buyer’s ability to renew the yearly high, currently around 1.2900, can’t be ruled out. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is on the way to bear’s platter as a slew of monthly UK data dump and the US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index occupy Friday’s economic calendar.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD rebound remains unconvincing below 1.2700Wednesday’s broadband US Dollar weakness allowed GBPUSD bulls to extend the week-start rebound from an upward-sloping support line stretched from December 2023. The Cable pair’s recovery also gained support from the upbeat RSI (14) line and bullish MACD signals. However, the 100 and 200-bar Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), respectively around 1.2650 and 1.2665, guard the immediate upside of the pair. Following that, a one-month-old descending resistance line surrounding 1.2700 will be the last defense of the sellers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2700, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the late March swing high of 1.2800 and then to the yearly peak of 1.2893 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, a slew of technical levels stands ready to challenge the GBPUSD bears beyond the 1.2600 threshold. Even if the Pound Sterling drops beneath the 1.2600 support, the aforementioned multi-day-old support line, near 1.2540 as we write, will restrict the quote’s further downside. It’s worth noting that the 2024 low and December 2023 trough could act as the last hurdles for the sellers around 1.2520 and 1.2500 in that order, a break of which could make the prices vulnerable to slump toward the 1.2400 mark. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to witness further upside but the reversal of a month-long bearish trend needs validation from the 1.2700 breakout, as well as the downbeat US data.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD sellers need validation from 1.2565 and UK/US GDPGBPUSD prints mild losses around 1.2630 while paring the first weekly gains in three, so far, as traders await Thursday’s final prints of the UK and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024. In doing so, the Pound Sterling struggles to defend the previous week’s rebound from the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) amid downbeat RSI (14) line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the Cable pair’s sustained trading beneath the convergence of 50-EMA and previous support line stretched from early February, around 1.2680 at the latest, keep the sellers hopeful. That said, the quote needs to provide a daily closing beneath the 200-EMA level of 1.2565 to confirm the further downside. Following that, the yearly low of 1.2518 and December 2023 bottom surrounding 1.2500 will act as the final defense of the bulls. On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the 1.2680 resistance confluence comprising the 50-EMA and the previous support line could recall the GBPUSD pair buyers. Should the quote remain firmer past 1.2680, the 15-week-old horizontal resistance zone will challenge the bulls around 1.2795-2805. In a case where the Pound Sterling rises beyond 1.2805, the yearly peak of 1.2893 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains bearish ahead of the key UK/US GDP data but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls keep eyes on 1.2900 and BoEGBPUSD bulls take a breather at a weekly high, after rising the most in a fortnight the previous day, as traders await the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy announcements on Thursday. Also important will be the preliminary UK S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for March. That said, the quote’s successful break of a two-week-old descending resistance line, now support, as well as the 50-SMA, joins the bullish MACD signals to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a horizontal resistance area comprising tops marked since March 08, close to 1.2820-25, will join the overbought RSI line to challenge the Pound Sterling’s further upside. In a case where the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2825, the odds of witnessing a quick run-up toward the monthly high surrounding 1.2900 can’t be ruled out. On the flip side, the 50-SMA and the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line could restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair to around 1.2760 and 1.2740 respectively. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and a five-week-old rising trend line, near 1.2670 by the press time, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable sellers. Should the quote remain bearish past 1.2670, the monthly low of around 1.2600 and the previous monthly bottom surrounding 1.2520 will be in the spotlight. To sum up, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt allowed GBPUSD to cross the short-term upside hurdle and lure the buyers ahead of the key UK PMIs and the BoE monetary policy decisions. It’s worth noting that the BoE isn’t expected to offer any change in the current monetary policy but can push back the rate cut bias toward late 2024 and help the British Pound (GBP) to defend the latest run-up.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD hovers above 1.2770 resistance-turned-support on key dayGBPUSD regains 1.2800 after snapping a six-day losing streak, making rounds to 1.2820 heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the Cable pair portrays the market’s cautious mood ahead of the all-important UK employment data and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. That said, the overbought RSI (14) line joins the pre-data anxiety to test the Pound Sterling buyers. However, a seven-month-old resistance line, now support around 1.2770, challenges the immediate downside of the quote. Even if the pair drops beneath the resistance-turned-support of 1.2770, the 50-SMA level of 1.2690 and convergence of the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 1.2585, will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears. Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair’s sustained run-up needs strong UK data, as well as softer US inflation to entertain the keep the Pound Sterling buyers on board. Even so, the yearly high marked on last Friday, around 1.2895, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2895, backed by the positive fundamentals, the quote could aim for the tops marked in July 2023 near 1.2995 and 1.3140 in that order. To sum up, the GBPUSD pair buyers keep the reins on the day of releases of the key employment and inflation data from the UK and the US.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls jostle with multi-month-old resistance lineGBPUSD rose to the highest level in a month the previous day but failed to offer a daily closing beyond a downward-sloping resistance line from July 2023. In addition to the inability to cross the key trend line resistance, softer prints of the UK PMIs and sluggish MACD signals also challenged the Cable pair buyers. However, the quote’s capacity to remain firmer past the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the firmer RSI (14) line push back the bears. Hence, the Pound Sterling bulls are likely to keep the reins and can overcome the immediate resistance line, close to 1.2700 by the press time, but its further advances need validation from the late 2023 swing high of around 1.2830 and the MACD signals to confirm the bullish trend. In that case, tops marked on July 23 and 13, respectively around 1.3000 and 1.3140, will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair’s pullback moves remain elusive beyond a one-month-old rising support line, close to 1.2600. Following that, the Cable bears will need confirmation from the 200-EMA level of 1.2530 on a daily closing basis to retake control. Should that happen, the quote’s gradual downward trajectory toward highs marked in November and October of 2023, around 1.2430 and 1.2335 in that order, can’t be ruled out. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains on the bull’s radar despite the latest struggle with the key resistance line. Apart from the technical details, the cautious mood ahead of the US ADP Employment Change and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Testimony also appear crucial to determine near-term moves of the Pound Sterling.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bears keep 1.2500 on radar, UK inflation eyedGBPUSD licks its wounds around 1.2600 early Wednesday as traders await the UK inflation clues for January. That said, the Cable pair marked a stellar move the previous day, initially rising to a seven-day high before posting the biggest daily loss in a week while reversing from the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA). It should be noted that Tuesday’s reversal from 50-EMA also defends the Pound Sterling’s early month break of a 12-week-old rising support line, now resistance around 1.2685. Additionally, the bearish MACD signals and an absence of the oversold RSI (14) also keep the pair sellers hopeful. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and multiple levels marked since early December 2023, close to 1.2520-2500, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair bears. In a case where the prices drop below 1.2500, the mid-November 2023 swing low of around 1.2375 will be in the spotlight. Alternatively, the strong UK inflation numbers could allow the GBPUSD pair to have another battle with the 50-EMA and the aforementioned support-turned-resistance, respectively near 1.2635 and 1.2675. If at all the Cable bulls manage to keep the reins past 1.2675, a downward-sloping resistance line from January 12, close to 1.2770 by the press time, will be the final defense of the pair sellers. Following that, the late 2023 peak of near 1.2830 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will lure the Pound Sterling buyers. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains bearish unless staying below 1.2675, especially when the US inflation data appears more lucrative to the Fed hawks. Even so, the Bank of England (BoE) officials have been optimistic of late and hence today’s UK inflation clues will be closely observed for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD struggles with support-turned-resistanceGBPUSD snapped a two-day winning streak on Thursday while retreating from a previous support line stretched from November 22. It’s worth noting, however, that late Thursday’s corrective bounce in the Cable pair renewed bullish bias about the quote, especially amid the upbeat RSI conditions. With this, the support-turned-resistance line surrounding 1.2650 challenges the Pound Sterling buyers. Apart from that, a convergence of the 100 and 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 1.2660 by the press time, also acts as a tough nut to crack for the bulls. In a case where the prices remain firmer past 1.2660, a quick run-up toward a one-month-old resistance line, close to 1.2770 at the latest, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair sellers need validation from the previous day’s low of near 1.2570 to take fresh positions. Even so, a two-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding 1.2520–2500 will challenge the quote’s downside momentum. Following that, the mid-November 2023 swing low of around 1.2370 will act as the final defense of the Cable buyers before giving control to the bears. Overall, the GBPUSD pair buyers flex muscles ahead of the key week comprising a slew of UK and US data.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD keeps Fed-inflicted bearish consolidation ahead of BoEGBPUSD remains pressured within a six-week-old descending triangle as market players await the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy announcements. In doing so, the Cable pair justifies the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish halt, as well as expectations suggesting the BoE’s rate cut in 2024. It’s worth noting, however, that the 50-SMA level of 1.2670 and an ascending support line from late November, close to 1.2650 at the latest, offer intermediate supports to the Cable pair within the aforementioned triangle, currently between 1.2600 and 1.2750. Apart from the triangle in play, the 200-SMA surrounding 1.2560 acts as an extra filter toward the south. Meanwhile, an upside clearance of the stated triangle’s top line, near 1.2750 by the press time, will quickly propel the Pound Sterling toward the previous monthly high of around 1.2830. Following that, the late July peak of 1.3000 will act as the final defense of the GBPUSD bears, a break that won’t hesitate to fuel the prices toward the year 2023 high of near 1.3145. Overall, the BoE is likely to keep the interest rate unchanged but the tone of the British central bank isn’t expected to maintain the optimism like the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which in turn will weigh on the GBPUSD pair unless witnessing a surprise.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bears approach key supports as UK, US data loomGBPUSD remains pressured at the lowest level in eight days after breaking a five-week-long trend line support the previous day. Apart from the support break, bearish MACD signals and an absence of oversold RSI also keep the Cable sellers hopeful. With this, the quote’s further downside toward the 1.2600 support confluence, comprising a 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-October downside and 50-SMA, appears imminent. However, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2545 appears a tough nut to crack for the Pound Sterling sellers, a break of which will make the pair vulnerable to slump toward the 1.2330-20 support zone comprising multiple levels marked since late May 2023. Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s corrective bounce needs validation from the aforementioned previous support line, close to 1.2665 at the latest, to convince the short-term buyers. Following that, a 5.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 1.2790, quickly followed by the 1.2800 threshold, will test the quote’s further upside. In a case where the Cable buyers manage to keep the reins past 1.2800, the 11-week-long support-turned-resistance near 1.2890 and the 1.2900 round figure will be the last defense of the Pound Sterling sellers. Apart from the bearish technical signals, the comparative economic pessimism surrounding the UK and recent hawkish bias about the Federal Reserve (Fed) also keeps the GBPUSD sellers hopeful as the UK inflation and the US Retail Sales loom.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD fades bounce off 200-SMA after three-week uptrendGBPUSD prints mild losses around 1.2700 early Monday, after snapping a three-week uptrend in the last. In doing so, the Cable pair justifies the previous week’s downside break of a two-month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance around 1.2765, as well as fades the bounce off a 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2635. However, the upbeat conditions of the RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals keep the buyers hopeful unless the quote slips beneath the stated key SMA, a break of which could quickly drag the quote toward December’s low of 1.2500. It should be noted that the Pound Sterling’s weakness past 1.2500 will have the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of near 1.2375 as the last defense of the buyers. On the flip side, the GBPUSD pair buyers can regain control by crossing the support-turned-resistance line of around 1.2765. Following that, the recent peak surrounding 1.2830 and an ascending trend line from late November, close to 1.2860 at the latest, could check the Pound Sterling’s upside momentum ahead of directing the bulls toward the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Should the quote remain firmer past the 1.3000 threshold, the previous yearly high of nearly 1.3145 will be in the spotlight. To sum up, the GBPUSD pair buyers are likely losing control the sellers need validation from the 200-SMA breakdown to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD retreat appears elusive beyond 1.2650GBPUSD extends the late 2023 pullback from a five-month-old horizontal resistance area towards 1.2700 during early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair justifies the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought region, as well as the sluggish MACD signals. However, the bull cross on the SMA joins the quote’s sustained trading beyond an ascending trend line from November 01, close to 1.2650 at the latest, to keep the buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting that a clear downside break of 1.2650 will quickly drag prices to the 50-SMA support of 1.2490, a break of which will allow the 100-SMA level of 1.2450 to test the bears. On the flip side, GBPUSD buyers should remain cautious unless they witness a clear upside break of the aforementioned horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.2800-2820. Following that, the Pound Sterling buyers could aim for a late July swing high of near the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Although the RSI conditions are likely to test the bulls around the stated round figure, the pair’s successful trading beyond the same will easily surpass the year 2023 peak near 1.3145. Overall, the GBPUSD pair may witness further downside but the bears are less likely to retake control beyond 1.2650.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD retreats within bullish pennant amid dicey marketsGBPUSD struggles to defend the previous weekly gains as bulls lack incentive amid Christmas and Boxing Day holidays in the UK. As a result, the Cable pair eases within a two-week-old bullish pennant. However, the upbeat RSI (14), not overbought, joins the bullish MACD signals to highlight the 1.2630 support confluence comprising 100-SMA and the stated pennant’s bottom line. Even if the quote defies the bullish chart pattern by breaking the 1.2630 key support, an ascending trend line from early November, around the 1.2600 threshold, precedes the 200-SMA surrounding 1.2545 to restrict the Pound Sterling pair’s further downside. Following that, the monthly low of around 1.2500 will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears. Meanwhile, GBPUSD pair’s further upside needs validation from the bullish pennant formation, by successfully crossing the 1.2740 resistance. Also likely to challenge the Cable pair buyers is the latest peak of near 1.2800, as well as an ascending resistance line stretched from late November, close to 1.2830 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the quote’s sustained trading beyond 1.2830 allows the buyers to aim for the 1.3000 psychological magnet and then the yearly peak of near 1.3145. Overall, the GBPUSD bulls can ignore the latest pullback in the quote unless the price slips beneath 1.2500.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls struggle to keep reins as UK inflation loomGBPUSD retreats toward 1.2700 ahead of the UK inflation release on Wednesday, after snapping a two-day losing streak the previous day. Even so, a two-month-old rising trend channel joins the upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, to keep the Cable buyers hopeful unless the quote stays beyond 1.2620. Even if the pair defies the bullish chart formation by sliding beneath the 1.2620 support, the 200-SMA surrounding 1.2510 will act as the last defense of the bull before directing prices toward the early October swing high of around 1.2335. Meanwhile, an upward sloping resistance line stretched from early September, close to 1.2785 by the press time, guards immediate run-up of the GBPUSD pair. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of the pair’s March-July upside and the aforementioned channel’s upper line, respectively near 1.2830 and 1.2920, will test the Pound Sterling buyers. In a case where the quote stays firmer past 1.2920, the late July peak of around 1.3000 and the yearly peak of 1.3142 will lure the bulls. Overall, the GBPUSD bulls are in the driver’s seat as markets await the UK inflation and the US CB Consumer Confidence.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls flex muscles ahead of UK employment, US inflationGBPUSD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from a six-week-old rising support line as traders prepare for the UK jobs report and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair also justifies a recovery in the RSI (14) line. However, a fortnight-old descending trend channel joins the sluggish MACD signals to challenge buyers. Should the quote manage to cross the 1.2580 immediate hurdle, its run-up toward a downward-sloping resistance line from late November, near 1.2690, will be imminent. Following that, the previous monthly high of near 1.2735 and a seven-week-long rising resistance line, close to 1.2870, will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, a downside break of the aforementioned support line, around 1.2540 by the press time, isn’t an open invitation to the GBPUSD sellers as the bottom line of the previously stated channel and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.2470 and 1.2420, will challenge the fall. Also acting as the downside filter is the mid-November swing low surrounding 1.2370, a break of which will make the Pound Sterling vulnerable to dropping toward the November 10 trough near 1.2185. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to reverse the previous week’s losses unless the UK/US data recall the pair sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD portrays bullish consolidation above 1.2600GBPUSD struggles to extend the previous three-week uptrend as it seesaws around a three-week high after retreating from an ascending resistance line stretched from late October. The pullback also takes clues from the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought territory, as well as an impending bear cross on the MACD. With this, the Cable pair appears vulnerable to extending the latest weakness towards the 1.2480-70 support confluence comprising 100-SMA, 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-July upside. However, the 1.2600 and 1.2500 round figures are likely to test the bears before allowing them to confront with strong support. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.2470, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward October’s peak of 1.2337 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, GBPUSD recovery needs validation from the recent top surrounding 1.2735. Even so, the aforementioned resistance line, close to 1.2800 at the latest, and the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of nearly 1.2830 will challenge the Pound Sterling’s upside targeting the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Following that, the yearly high of 1.3142 will be in the spotlight. Above all, fears of the UK’s economic slowdown unearth as traders shift attention from dovish Fed concerns and brace for this week’s US jobs report, which in turn tests the GBPUSD pair buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD pullback appears overdue, 1.2560 eyedGBPUSD seesaws at the highest level in 12 weeks, printing mild intraday gains during a four-day uptrend, amid early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable buyers jostle with a one-month-old bullish channel’s top line amid an overbought RSI (14) line. As a result, the quote’s pullback appears imminent. However, an ascending trend line from early November, close to 1.2560 at the latest, puts a floor under the Pound Sterling. In a case where the pair breaks the 1.2560 support, it becomes capable of challenging the short-term bullish channel formation, as well as the 200-EMA, by poking the 1.2370-65 support confluence. It’s worth noting, however, that the bear’s dominance past 1.2365 won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly low of around 1.2100. Alternatively, GBPUSD bulls need to cross the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 1.2645-50 at the latest, to defy the odds of witnessing a pullback. In that case, the early August swing high of around 1.2820 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will lure the Cable buyers. However, the run-up will need validation from the US Q3 GDP, PCE Core Price Index and Fed Chair Powell’s speech, not to forget the concerns surrounding the UK’s economic growth and BoE’s hawkish move. Hence, the odds of witnessing the GBPUSD pair’s further upside appear thin but the pullback needs to break 1.2560 to convince sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bounces off 200-SMA ahead of UK PMIsGBPUSD snapped a three-day winning streak the previous day as the UK’s Autumn Statement failed to impress Cable buyers despite offering tax cuts and higher wages. The reason could be linked to the mixed economic outlook for Britain and a corrective bounce in the US Treasury bond yields. However, the 200-SMA defends the Pound Sterling buyers so far on the Thanksgiving Holiday in the US, as well as ahead of the UK’s release of preliminary S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for November. It’s worth noting, that the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals enable the pair buyers to keep the reins within a one-month-old rising channel, currently between 1.2330 and 1.2620. However, the RSI conditions are nearly overbought and hence the late June’s low and May’s peak, close to 1.2590 and 1.2680 in that order, appear tough nuts to crack for the bulls past 1.2620. Meanwhile, a daily closing beneath the 200-SMA level of 1.2450 needs validation from the downbeat prints of the UK PMIs to lure the GBPUSD sellers. Even if the quote slides beneath the 1.2450 key SMA support, the aforementioned bullish channel’s bottom line of around 1.2330 will challenge the Cable bears. It’s worth noting, however, that the Pound Sterling’s rejection of the bullish chart pattern, by a daily closing below 1.2330, will make it vulnerable to drop towards the previous monthly low of around 1.2035 and then to the 1.2000 psychological magnet, before targeting the yearly low of around 1.1800.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD fades bounce off 21-SMA, UK inflation, US inflation eyedGBPUSD snaps a two-day winning streak with mild losses around 1.2270 as traders await the UK employment and the US inflation data on early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair fades bounce off the 21-day SMA. However, the absence of an overbought RSI (14) line, bullish MACD signals and the quote’s defense of the early-month resistance breakout keeps the buyers hopeful. With this, the tops marked in October around 1.2290 and the monthly high of near 1.2340 could lure the Pound Sterling bulls during a fresh run-up. However, the 200-day SMA level surrounding 1.2440 appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls, a break of which won’t hesitate to direct the prices toward the August month’s swing low of around 1.2550. It’s worth noting, however, that the fundamentals are against the bullish technical signals considering the UK’s economic weakness vis-à-vis the US. Even so, the 21-day SMA and the previous resistance line, respectively near 1.2200 and 2120, restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair. In a case where the Pound Sterling bears dominate past 1.2120, a five-week-old horizontal support near 1.2070, the previous monthly low of near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet could test the sellers before giving them full control. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to edge higher unless the scheduled data posts too disappointing numbers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD drops towards 1.2200-2190 support confluenceGBPUSD remains on the way to posting a weekly loss after declining in the last four consecutive days, pressured around 1.2220 during early Friday. The Cable pair’s U-turn from the seven-week-old horizontal resistance area and the broadly firmer US Dollar join bearish MACD signals to underpin the downside bias. However, the cautious mood ahead of the key UK GDP and the US consumer sentiment details join a convergence of the 100-SMA, SMA and a fortnight-long rising trend line to challenge the pair bears around 1.2200-2190. In a case where the Pound Sterling drops below 1.2190, the monthly low of around 1.2095 and the late October bottom surrounding 1.2070 could lure the bears before probing them with the previous monthly trough near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet. On the flip side, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the GBPUSD pair’s September-October downside, respectively near 1.2300 and 1.2355, guard near-term recovery. Following that, the aforementioned horizontal resistance surrounding 1.2425-30 will be a tough nut to crack for the Pound buyers. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s ability to stay firmer past 1.2430 enables the bulls to challenge the late September swing high of around 1.2550. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains on the bear’s radar unless it stays below 1.2430. Hence, any data-driven rebound will be elusive below the stated upside hurdle and needs to be traded with caution.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD rebound approaches key upside hurdle on BoE DayGBPUSD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from an eight-month-old ascending support line as the Cable traders await the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decision on Thursday. While recovering from the stated support line, the Pound Sterling respects the upward-sloping RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggests the quote’s further upside. However, a falling resistance line from mid-July, close to 1.2220 by the press time, guards the immediate upside of the pair. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of 1.2220 will allow the bulls to challenge the previous monthly high of around 1.2340 but a convergence of the 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently near 1.2400, will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers afterward. On the contrary, the GBPUSD pullback needs validation from the aforementioned support line and 78.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, close to 1.2080. Following that, October’s bottom of around 1.2035 and the 1.2000 threshold will test the Cable bears before giving them control. In that case, the yearly low marked in March around 1.1800 will be in the spotlight. To sum up, a GBPUSD rebound appears imminent but the BoE’s likely dovish halt and stated EMA confluence prod the bullish bias.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD stays pressured on UK inflation dayGBPUSD prints mild losses below 1.2200 during early Wednesday as market players await the UK inflation data while consolidating the week-start gains of the Cable pair. That said, a likely easing inflation pressure in Britain joins the downbeat RSI (14) and the impending bear cross on the MACD keeps the pair sellers hopeful. With this, the quote’s fall toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.2090, becomes imminent. However, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding 1.2070 appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers afterward. In a case where the bears manage to conquer the 1.2070 support, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and March’s bottom of around 1.1800 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, GBPUSD recovery needs validation from the strong UK inflation data and the US Dollar’s weakness to convince intraday buyers. Additionally, a three-month-long descending trend line, close to 1.2280 at the latest, holds the key to the bull’s conviction. Following that, the Cable pair’s run-up toward the 200-day SMA level of around 1.2445 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth observing that the Pound Sterling’s successful trading above 1.2445 will aim for August month’s low of around 1.2550 while May’s high of 1.2680 could lure the optimists after. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to witness further downside but the road toward the south is long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD rebound appears elusive below 1.2510GBPUSD seesaws at a three-week high ahead of the UK data dump, probing a six-day winning streak. However, the RSI (14) line steadies near the overbought region and joins a looming bear cross on the MACD to suggest that the bulls are running out of steam. With this, a pullback towards the late September swing high of around 1.2270 becomes imminent but a convergence of the 100-SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s August-October downturn, near 1.2215, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable bears afterward. Even if the quote drops below 1.2215, the previous resistance line stretched from late August, close to 1.2090 by the press time, will precede the monthly low of around 1.2035 and the 1.2000 threshold to act as final defenses of the Pound Sterling buyers. Meanwhile, the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio of nearly 1.2320 guards the immediate recovery of the GBPUSD pair ahead of the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2375. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement surrounding 1.2415 can lure the Cable bulls. Above all, the 1.2510 resistance confluence comprising a convergence of the seven-week-long descending trend line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the Golden Ratio, will challenge the Pound Sterling buyers before giving them control. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2510, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards the August 30 peak of around 1.2750 can’t be ruled out. To sum up, the bullish momentum fades but the road toward the south is long and bumpy while the upside needs validation from 1.2510.
by MTradingGlobal