Breakdown
Breakdown strategy on spot niftyStatement (1) : As per "No trading activities", the price is not going to cross above the Control Price which drew by blue color.
Statement (2) : Presently, Nifty is again going to high volatile as show by Remarkable box .
Statement (3) : From the timeCycle, approximately move projected by (A),(B) and (C) .
As per channel, the main support is 10525 below where investors think for the long side. The price can consolidate between 11300 and 10600 range for 2-3months. Breaking this range will create a new spike.
Nifty AnalysisNifty had a small upthrust above 11760 resistance before it started its downtrend. It held 11550 level for some time and then broke down. My hypothesis is that It may hold 11200 for a week or so and then go for the retest of potential support zone (10900-11100). As the volatility is high, smooth price action should not be expected.
Historically speaking, we had a fall of 1700-1800 points, which started from the same region in September 2018, but with a difference. If you look at the rectangular area, the buyers had some conviction which can be noticed from the tails below the red bars. But this time in 2019 correction, there is no such tail. It maybe because of political uncertainty which has been keeping buyers on the sidelines.
In future, I expect some bounce or hold at the support zone. Nifty's inability to hold at support may open the door for 10200 targets. Although this target looks overextended yet nothing is impossible in this market.
So in short either we can have the breakdown of the same order as we had in 2018 or we just hold at the mentioned support zone and resume the uptrend, which is highly likely if we have any stable government.
I hope this brief analysis makes sense to most traders.
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Nifty view for Next WeekNifty view for Next Week
Breakdown of Short term Support Line,
shows First Sign of Bear Pullback & Price Rejection from Higher Ranges
11800 Become heavy Resistance
Closing Near Support Line 11700
In this week, Breakdown below 11700
will lead sharp fall till Range Support 11600-11550
11550 is crucial level to be Decisive for next Trend
RSI: Still maintains Negative Divergence on Daily Chart
OI Data: shows Strong Support at 11500 and Resistance at 11800






















