Brent oil bounces off 100-SMA inside short-term falling triangleAlthough coronavirus (COVID-19) strains probe the commodities off-late, Brent oil’s latest U-turn from 100-SMA favors the energy bulls. Also keeping the oil buyers hopeful is a short-term descending triangle formation on the four-hour chart. However, a falling trend line from last Wednesday around $55.70 can offer immediate resistance to the quote ahead of highlighting the triangle’s upper line. It should be noted that the commodity’s ability to defy the triangle with an upside break of $56.25 will not only challenge the monthly high of $57.37 but will also raise challenges for the $60.00 threshold and February top near $60.25.
In a case, Brent oil drops below 100-SMA, at $54.70 now, triangle support of $54.40 and an ascending trend line from December 23, currently around $53.50, will add filters to the downside momentum. However, the oil bears’ reluctance to respect the $53.50 support will be tested by the $53.00 round-figure before highlighting the monthly low close to $50.00.
Brent
💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
52.45 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 57.25 on 01/13/2021, so more losses minimum to Major Support (52.45) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 61.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 52.38 on 12/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 48.95 and minimum to Major Support (46.50) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 64.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 42.70 on 11/13/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 54.40, 58.65, 62.30 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 68.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of continuation of uptrend is increased.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 42.70 on 11/13/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 48.95, 54.40, 58.65 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 69.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 45.44 on 11/11/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 54.
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BRENT Short Hello colleagues. Double top pattern for oil. If price will break through the nearest resistance zone by Wednesday next week, then the target for oil is 36. but I advise using trailing stop loss as oil goes oversold and the countries of OPEC may announce additional cuts to normalize the situation. Fundamentally the previous growth was associated with hurricane Delta and rumors of increased demand for oil in China and India. But in fact, China bought at good prices in spring and summer and is full of oil. In Asia, flights are only local, international will open no earlier than March 2021. There are no preconditions for a sharp increase in demand. In addition to this news, I want to note the increase in covid diseases around the world.
Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
41.70 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 41.70 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the resistance #1 at 55 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.65 on 10/15/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, resumption of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 38.90 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 38.90 on 10/02/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 44.15 and maximum to Major Resistance (46.50) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 53.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 44.15 on 09/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 34.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 40.00 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 39.56 on 09/14/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70 and minimum to Major Support (40.00) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 52.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 40.00 breaks.
. If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 46.525 on 2020-08-26, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. The RSI support #1 at 55 is broken, so the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 46.50 on 08/25/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70 and minimum to Major Support (40.00) is expected.
. Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 35.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.30, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.30 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 46.32 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
While the RSI support #1 at 55 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 46.30 on 08/04/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 54.
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Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 45.00, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 45.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 45 on 2020-07-21, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 55 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 45.00 on 07/21/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 56.
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Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 44.55, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 44.55 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.93 on 2020-06-23, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 50 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.80 on 07/06/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.20, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 62.
Don't miss the great sell opportunity in BrentTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (42.80). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. Brent is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 48.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 39.70
TP2= @ 38.65
TP3= @ 37.10
TP4= @ 34.10
TP5= @ 32.30
SL: Break Above R3
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