Brentcrudeoil
BCOUSD : Bullish Momentum Signals Potential Surge to $104-$124 Brent Crude Oil charting its potential trajectory amidst current market dynamics. Through a meticulous examination of technical indicators and chart patterns, a compelling case emerges for an imminent bullish surge within the $104-$124 range.
Based on the comprehensive analysis of these factors, it is anticipated that Brent Crude Oil to embark on a significant upward trajectory, targeting a price range between $104 and $124. This projection aligns with the prevailing bullish momentum and anticipated price appreciation.
NYMEX Brent Oil Futures - Simple Trading StrategyHere, I have used MA , RSI , VOL , & DMI to identify the next move of Brent Oil. According to those indicators, it seems bullish ahead. We may see the following targets soon: $68.8 - $69.8 - $71+
But, if brent crude oil breaks the hurdle ( $66.60 ) and shows a closing price below it, we will see a heavy downfall. Targets: $64.6 - $62.8 and below
💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 64.83 on 02/18/2021, so more losses to support(s) 58.65 and minimum to Major Support (54.40) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 66.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 54.40 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 62.30, 66.05, 70.35 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 73.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
52.45 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 57.25 on 01/13/2021, so more losses minimum to Major Support (52.45) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 61.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 52.38 on 12/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 48.95 and minimum to Major Support (46.50) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 64.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 42.70 on 11/13/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 54.40, 58.65, 62.30 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 68.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of continuation of uptrend is increased.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 42.70 on 11/13/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 48.95, 54.40, 58.65 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 69.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 45.44 on 11/11/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 54.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
41.70 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 41.70 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the resistance #1 at 55 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.65 on 10/15/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 44.15 on 09/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 34.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 40.00 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 39.56 on 09/14/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70 and minimum to Major Support (40.00) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 52.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 40.00 breaks.
. If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 46.525 on 2020-08-26, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. The RSI support #1 at 55 is broken, so the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 46.50 on 08/25/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70 and minimum to Major Support (40.00) is expected.
. Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 35.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.30, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.30 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 46.32 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
While the RSI support #1 at 55 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 46.30 on 08/04/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 54.
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Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 45.00, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 45.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 45 on 2020-07-21, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 55 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 45.00 on 07/21/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 56.
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Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 44.55, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 44.55 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.93 on 2020-06-23, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 50 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.80 on 07/06/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.20, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 62.
BRENT CRUDE quick scramble to $40/BBLTechnically a quick move towards 40 & resistance is seen around 47
Inverse Head and Shoulders in BrentOn 60 min time frame, there is an inverse head and shoulders pattern that has formed in Brent oil. Use dips till 56 and stop loss at 55 for a move to 60.
#BRENT #CRUDEOIL - Breaking out of the Down Channel .. $BCOUSD After a clear Impulsive down move, Brent is breaking out of the channel and looks set to retrace a bit and bounce till 60-65 zone.
Brent Crude OilBrent Crude Oil:
BR1: CMP: 68.66
Bullish above 69.70
Targets: 73.30, 75.65, 80.70, 86
SL: 60 close base
Risk is yours and Reward is too yours
Crude | Inventory levels driving the Price -Watch EIA data todayOn the back of Crude inventories data released by American Petroleum Institute(API), according to which inventories fell less than expected, the commodity declined sharply citing lower demand. For further confirmation of the same one can watch crude inventories data about to be released by US government's Energy Information Administration (EIA) at 20:00 Hrs IST. Since the expectation is already set on a lower than expected fall in inventory, possibility of further fall in price is minimal as the information is already priced in, unless the data is unexpectedly skewed.
Technically, price drop has dragged Brent to the lower end of the Rising channel pattern and as we could observe, it still holds valid. Evaluating previous price movements we could detect a demand area around 63.60. Besides notice that 64.70 is also an influential level to which the price could react. Interestingly, the range i.e. 63.60-64.70 is also defined by 38% and 50% of Fibonacci levels thus making the space an essential level to be broken for a decisive trend.
Summing up, assuming that EIA does not throw any surprise Brent could undergo a short period of consolidation between the above mentioned range. Subsequent trend will be established in the direction of the breakout.
Trade Plan:
1. Until either of 63.60 or 64.70 is breached, Sell @ 64.70 and Buy @ 63.60 (typical range trading)
2. A close above 64.70: Buy with stop below 63.50 with targets @ 65.70, 66.70 and 67.40 (trail stop loss as we traverse through these levels)
3. A close below 63.60: Short with stop above 65 with targets @ 62.50 and 60 (trail stop loss as we traverse through these levels)
(Note: Expect higher volatility when EIA releases the data at 20:00 Hrs IST. Similar level of fall as per API is not expected to have an impact on price; a comparatively lower drop in inventories could weaken Crude further and alternatively, a comparatively higher drop in inventories will lead Crude to higher levels erasing its losses)
(Disclaimer: Our charts and contents are just for the purpose of analysis, learning and general discussion. Do not consider these as trading tips or investment ideas. Trading in Stocks, Futures and Options carry risk and is not suitable for every investor. Hence it is important to do your own analysis before making any investment or trading decisions based on you personal circumstances and it is always better to take advice from professionals)
