Brent oil sellers look for $68.00 retestEscalating covid woes weigh on commodities while downbeat China data exerts additional pressure on the Brent oil prices during early Monday. Also favoring the oil sellers could be the quote’s U-turn from 50% Fibonacci retracement of early August upside, followed by a break of the one-week-old rising trend line. Hence, the Brent oil prices are all set for further weakness towards a horizontal area near $68.00, comprising lows marked in the last one month. However, oversold RSI conditions may challenge the bears afterward, if not then 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the current month’s drop and pullback around $67.15 will act as an extra filter to the south.
Meanwhile, corrective pullback needs to cross the support-turned-resistance line near $71.65, a break of which should direct oil buyers towards the 100-SMA level of $72.90 and then to the $73.00 round figure. In a case where the Brent bulls stay dominant past $73.00, $74.20 and the monthly peak surrounding $76.60 should return to the chart.
Brentoil
Brent oil buyers need to defend $70.30 breakout to aim for $72.0Brent oil holds onto a weekly uptrend despite the previous day’s pullback moves. The British oil benchmark keeps the upside break of double-tops marked in May amid bullish MACD. As a result, the commodity buyers should stay hopeful to refresh the multi-month top, marked the previous day around $71.50. However, the following run-up needs validation from $72.30 comprising an early 2020 high.
On the contrary, a confluence of May’s double-tops and a short-term support line near $70.30, followed by the $70.00 threshold, restrict the immediate downside of the black gold. In a case where the quote drops below $70.00, 100-SMA near $68.50 adds to the downside filters ahead of confirming a bearish trajectory towards the mid-May bottom surrounding $66.70.
MCX Crude Oil In-depth Analysis & TipsMCX Crude oil can go down for a retracement value of 0.236 in the upcoming days. So, intraday traders can set the following targets to make some money: 4560 - 4500 - 4460 - 4400
But, if brent oil breaks $66.60 upside, then change your position for the following targets: 4800 - 4880+
Refer to the recently published NYMEX Brent Oil Futures article:
NYMEX Brent Oil Futures - Simple Trading StrategyHere, I have used MA , RSI , VOL , & DMI to identify the next move of Brent Oil. According to those indicators, it seems bullish ahead. We may see the following targets soon: $68.8 - $69.8 - $71+
But, if brent crude oil breaks the hurdle ( $66.60 ) and shows a closing price below it, we will see a heavy downfall. Targets: $64.6 - $62.8 and below
Brent oil consolidates gains from 13-month top around $61.00Following its run-up to a fresh high since January 2020, Brent Oil wavers around $61.25 amid overbought RSI and sluggish markets. Given the fresh headlines suggesting US-China tension, coupled with the US stimulus gridlock, the commodity has reasons to look for a pullback. However, the yearly peak surrounding $60.26, followed by the $60.00 threshold, can test the sellers. Also acting as a downside filter is the 21-day SMA level around $57.30. If at all Brent sellers conquer the $57.30 support, the lower line of the three-month-old rising channel, currently around $56.70, becomes crucial.
On the upside, the latest high near $61.80 and the stated channel’s upper line close to $63.00 will lure oil buyers during the fresh rise. Although overbought RSI conditions and strong resistance of the channel may trigger pullback around $63.00, any further will risk a late-January 2020 high of $66.40 and the previous year’s peak surrounding $72.30. Overall, Brent oil buyers seem to overdo their duties amid hopes of economic recovery and supply outage, which in turn hints at the need for a pullback to keep the trading smooth.
Brent oil buyers can ignore short-term support breakDespite breaking an ascending trend line from early November, Brent oil remains beyond 21-day SMA. However, a clear break beyond the previous support line, now resistance, around $51.30 becomes necessary to renew optimism. Following that, $52.50 and the recent high close to $53.30 can lure energy buyers ahead of making them confront February lows near $53.65. It should, however, be noted that the oil bulls will not refrain from challenging the $60.00 threshold in a case where the quote remains positive past-$53.65.
Meanwhile, a daily closing below the 21-day SMA level of $50.48 needs validation from the $50.00 round-figure to recall the sellers targeting November tops near $49.00. Though, any further weakness below $49.00 can make the commodity vulnerable to retest August month’s high of $46.08. Overall, Brent oil remains in an uptrend but the covid woes are likely to test the bulls.
BRENT Short Hello colleagues. Double top pattern for oil. If price will break through the nearest resistance zone by Wednesday next week, then the target for oil is 36. but I advise using trailing stop loss as oil goes oversold and the countries of OPEC may announce additional cuts to normalize the situation. Fundamentally the previous growth was associated with hurricane Delta and rumors of increased demand for oil in China and India. But in fact, China bought at good prices in spring and summer and is full of oil. In Asia, flights are only local, international will open no earlier than March 2021. There are no preconditions for a sharp increase in demand. In addition to this news, I want to note the increase in covid diseases around the world.
Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 40.00 breaks.
. If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 46.525 on 2020-08-26, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. The RSI support #1 at 55 is broken, so the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 46.50 on 08/25/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70 and minimum to Major Support (40.00) is expected.
. Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 35.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.30, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.30 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 46.32 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
While the RSI support #1 at 55 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 46.30 on 08/04/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 54.
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Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 45.00, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 45.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 45 on 2020-07-21, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 55 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 45.00 on 07/21/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 56.
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Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 44.55, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 44.55 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.93 on 2020-06-23, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 50 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.80 on 07/06/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.20, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 62.
Don't miss the great sell opportunity in BrentTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (42.80). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. Brent is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 48.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 39.70
TP2= @ 38.65
TP3= @ 37.10
TP4= @ 34.10
TP5= @ 32.30
SL: Break Above R3
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Crude Oil Downtrend & Trade Setup !!TREND ANALYSIS
Follow Chart Instruction.
Do not be Hurry for entry.
Wait for Proper Entry Setup.
Buy/Sell with Best Risk Reward.
Educational Chart Only.
You can Comment and ask the TREND ANALYSIS of any STOCK/SCRIPT/INDEX/FOREX.
Wait for 2nd entry setup, if available then short.
R:R is 8 to 15 times.
Crude | Inventory levels driving the Price -Watch EIA data todayOn the back of Crude inventories data released by American Petroleum Institute(API), according to which inventories fell less than expected, the commodity declined sharply citing lower demand. For further confirmation of the same one can watch crude inventories data about to be released by US government's Energy Information Administration (EIA) at 20:00 Hrs IST. Since the expectation is already set on a lower than expected fall in inventory, possibility of further fall in price is minimal as the information is already priced in, unless the data is unexpectedly skewed.
Technically, price drop has dragged Brent to the lower end of the Rising channel pattern and as we could observe, it still holds valid. Evaluating previous price movements we could detect a demand area around 63.60. Besides notice that 64.70 is also an influential level to which the price could react. Interestingly, the range i.e. 63.60-64.70 is also defined by 38% and 50% of Fibonacci levels thus making the space an essential level to be broken for a decisive trend.
Summing up, assuming that EIA does not throw any surprise Brent could undergo a short period of consolidation between the above mentioned range. Subsequent trend will be established in the direction of the breakout.
Trade Plan:
1. Until either of 63.60 or 64.70 is breached, Sell @ 64.70 and Buy @ 63.60 (typical range trading)
2. A close above 64.70: Buy with stop below 63.50 with targets @ 65.70, 66.70 and 67.40 (trail stop loss as we traverse through these levels)
3. A close below 63.60: Short with stop above 65 with targets @ 62.50 and 60 (trail stop loss as we traverse through these levels)
(Note: Expect higher volatility when EIA releases the data at 20:00 Hrs IST. Similar level of fall as per API is not expected to have an impact on price; a comparatively lower drop in inventories could weaken Crude further and alternatively, a comparatively higher drop in inventories will lead Crude to higher levels erasing its losses)
(Disclaimer: Our charts and contents are just for the purpose of analysis, learning and general discussion. Do not consider these as trading tips or investment ideas. Trading in Stocks, Futures and Options carry risk and is not suitable for every investor. Hence it is important to do your own analysis before making any investment or trading decisions based on you personal circumstances and it is always better to take advice from professionals)