Brent oil has retaken the 4H 200MA of $70.47, having bounced up from the confluence of the 50-day and 200-day MAs near $69.11.
On the 4-hour chart, I see a falling wedge breakout. THe probability of a rise to $72.00 would rise if the 4H RSI breaks above 48.00. As of now, it is hovering at 45.68.
Even if it rallies to $72.00, the outlook as per the daily chart...
As you can clearly see in the chart, Brent is entering into the resistance area and also retraced 61.8 percent. it might fall from here after consolidating for some time. wait till it comes out from the area and short when it comes back to retest.
good Risk reward from here in the downside.
Not a financial advice.
Although current trend is uptrend but we forecast a downtrend wave would begin in Midterm.
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 70.35 on 2018-01-15 and the peak at 80.5 on 2018-05-22, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.