UPDATE: $BTC Breakdown Playing OutUPDATE: CRYPTOCAP:BTC Breakdown Playing Out
Bitcoin dumped below $85k, now trading near $84.4k.
We called shorts at $95k–$98k, and price rejected from ~$98k, delivering nearly 12% downside already.
The bear flag breakdown remains active, downside continuation favored.
Targets: $75k → $70k
Invalidation: HTF close above $90,600
Until then: sell rallies, respect the trend.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
BTCUSDT
BTCUSDT LONG Trade Of The YEARLonging BTC here for a swing isn’t a bad idea.
TP: ~100k
SL: 78k
BTC is underperforming GOLD and Retail is FOMO’ing into gold & traditional assets.
Narrative shifting to crypto is dead this cycle
Fear & Greed shows crypto traders are scared.
that’s exactly the signal.
that’s when smart money steps in.
I’m taking the long.
— Ommeva
Bitcoin Is Reacting, Not Breaking, Patience Before the Next MoveWhen I look at this chart, I don’t see panic or trend failure. I see price pulling back into a clearly defined demand area within a rising structure and responding from it. That matters. If sellers were truly in control, price wouldn’t pause here, it would slice through demand without hesitation. Instead, Bitcoin is holding above structure, absorbing selling pressure, and stabilising.
The repeated rejections from the upper supply zone show that resistance exists, but the key point is this: sellers are unable to push price into a breakdown. Momentum has cooled, volatility has compressed, and RSI has reset without price collapsing, all signs of balance, not weakness.
This phase feels slow and uncomfortable, especially for traders who expect constant movement, but historically this is where the market builds the base for its next decision. I’m not interested in chasing price near resistance, and I’m not interested in panic selling into demand. I want to observe how price behaves here, because reactions at structure tell the real story. As long as Bitcoin continues to respect this rising demand and doesn’t accept below it, the broader structure remains intact and upside expansion stays on the table. A clean break below structure would force me to rethink, until then, patience is the position. Sometimes the best trades don’t come from predicting the next candle. They come from waiting while price proves who is actually in control.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and trade according to your own plan.
Weekly Long Setup | Jan 20th 2026 | Valid Until Weekly ClosePrice might retrace to a strong pivot zone (marked by the red box).
Structure remains bullish on HTF with potential for continuation after pullback.
The green box represents a high-probability long opportunity with tight risk control.
Watch for price reaction within the red zone. Entry only if confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, strong wick rejections) appears.
The setup expires at end of the weekly candle close.
Intraday Long Setup | Jan 28th 2026 | Valid Until Daily ClosePrice might retrace to a strong pivot zone.
Structure remains bullish with potential for continuation after pullback.
Tight risk control.
Watch for price reaction within the red zone. Entry only if confirmation appears
The setup expires at end of the daily candle close.
BTC Confirms Bearish Structure After Neckline RejectionBTC Confirms Bearish Structure After Neckline Rejection
#Bitcoin has rejected the 94k–98k neckline resistance, confirming a bearish market structure.
➡️ Resistance: 94k–98k
➡️ Supports: 80k → 75k → 70k
Structure shows a confirmed Head & Shoulders Pattern Failed, Followed by a bear flag breakdown, trend remains decisively bearish.
Outlook:
Below 90k, downside continuation is favored.
Measured move points to 75k–70k (~22% downside).
Bullish bias only returns on a strong reclaim and acceptance above 92k.
Until then: sell the rallies, respect the trend.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
BTCUSD (45-Min) — Bearish Structure With Weak Momentum, WatchingMarket Structure
Price is forming lower highs, respecting a descending trendline (red dashed line).
This indicates a short-term bearish trend.
Current price is around 95,090, struggling to break above recent minor highs.
2. Price Action
Recent candles show small-bodied candles → lack of strong buying pressure.
Rejections near 95,200–95,300 suggest this area is acting as near-term resistance.
Downside pressure remains dominant unless the trendline is clearly broken.
3. RSI (14)
RSI is around 46, below the neutral 50 level.
This confirms bearish momentum, but not oversold.
No strong bullish divergence visible yet → sellers still have control.
4. AO (Awesome Oscillator)
AO is negative (-65) and flattening.
Indicates weak bearish momentum, not aggressive selling.
Often precedes either consolidation or a continuation move.
5. MACD
MACD lines are below zero and moving sideways.
Histogram is weak → momentum is bearish but slowing.
No bullish crossover yet, so trend reversal is not confirmed.
6. Key Levels
Resistance:
95,200 – 95,300
Trendline resistance above current price
Support:
94,650
94,400 (next major downside target if support breaks)
7. Bias & Scenarios
Bearish Bias: While below the descending trendline.
Bearish Continuation:
Break below 94,650 → possible move toward 94,400 or lower.
Bullish Invalidation:
Strong close above 95,300 + trendline break → shift toward 95,600–95,800.
BTCUSDAs price has rejected from green dashed line, so we will take it as a resistance
So If any 15 min candle close above that green dashed line, then chances are high it could test above dashed line resistance at 91320 and even beyond that level.
Disclaimer :
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
BTC | 8H Technical Structure UpdateBTC | 8H Technical Structure Update
Price Is Printing A Clear Ascending Triangle With Consistent Higher Lows Pressing Into A Well-Defined Horizontal Supply Zone At $94,500
Key Technical Levels:
🔹 Range High / Supply: $94,500 → $107,000
🔹 Ascending Trendline (Dynamic Demand): ~$88,000
🔹 HTF Demand / Structural Support: $78,000
Market Structure Read:
🔹 Compression Phase Ongoing
🔹 Volatility Expansion Imminent
🔹 Trendline Continues To Act As Acceptance Support
🔹 Liquidity Resting Above Range High
Scenarios:
✔️ 8H Close Above $94500 → Range Expansion Toward $106K+
❌ Loss Of Ascending Trendline → Structural Rotation To $78K
Market Is At Decision Point. Wait For Acceptance, Not Anticipation.
BTCUSDT – London Session Long (Intraday)BTC is holding above a key intraday demand zone after a sharp sell-off, followed by a strong reaction and higher low. Price is consolidating, and the London session often provides expansion from such structures.
Trade Plan
🔺 Entry Zone: 92,500 – 92,650
🛑 Stop Loss: 91,750 (below demand)
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 93,200
• TP2: 94,000
Entry Confirmation
15m close above 92,600 (preferred)
OR 5m break & retest holding above the entry zone
Invalidation
15m close below 92,300
📌 Trade management: partials at TP1, trail rest toward TP2.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
BTCUSDT Perpetual – Short Idea (FVG + Supply Rejection)BTC price faced rejection from a higher timeframe resistance zone and left a visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) above. Current structure shows consolidation below supply, increasing the probability of a downside continuation if the zone holds.
Trade Plan
🔻 Short Entry Zone: 93,300 – 93,500
🛑 Stop Loss: 94,000 (above resistance)
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 92,400
• TP2: 90,500,
Confluence
HTF resistance rejection
FVG acting as supply
Weak follow-through after bounce
Range low liquidity resting below
📌 Risk Management :
Wait for confirmation on lower timeframe. Invalidation only above the marked supply.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
BITCOIN BACK TO 109K..... Bell is ringing....Through my analysis, weekly shows firm bullish.
Geo political uncertainty all over the world because venezuela president capture.
Join this with weekly bias leads to lot of upward momentum.
Bos happened in daily timeframe with good price momentum.
So the next resistance is 97k and then to 109k.
Mark my words it will reach in one or two weeks .
The ball and bat is in perfect place , SWING is guys.....
No regrets......
BTCUSD 1H Market Structure and Important Price LevelsBTCUSD on the 1H timeframe is showing a stable price structure after a completed correction. The recent pullback found support near the 86,500 area, where selling pressure reduced and price stabilised. From this level, the market recovered and moved back above 90,000, indicating renewed bullish control.
Price above this level is forming higher highs and higher lows, showing improving short-term structure and trend strength. The 90,000–89,800 zone is acting as an important support, which previously worked as resistance. As long as price holds above this area, the structure remains valid.
On the upside, the 91,000 level is a short-term resistance where reactions may be seen. Acceptance above this zone would indicate continuation, while rejection may keep price moving within the current range. Pullbacks should be assessed within the broader structure.
Market attention remains on price reaction near key levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
Coiled Spring Bitcoin is holding structure on the high time frames, currently reclaiming the $90k level after testing the lows. I’ve got my weighted average bands on the chart and price is respecting them so far. You can see on the daily chart how we’ve just poked back above the latest FOMC anchor (the blue line) and are squeezing between that and the breakdown AVWAP overhead. I try not to preempt levels though, I only really care about them once price actually reacts there.
Macro wise, things look decent. Yield curves like the 5y-03m and 10y-03m are positive. We’re seeing a bull steepening, not the textbook version since the 2y is still lower than the 3m, but not a cause for concern.
Other signals I’m tracking:
VIX is stable.
USDJPY is trending up but getting close to resistance, so that’s one to watch.
MOVE index is chilling, down at 63% which is historically a good zone for us.
DXY is high at 98 but trending down.
Credit spreads are super low at 2.84, so no stress there.
TGA is pivoting down now too.
Real yields aren’t doing much since nominals and breakevens are falling together.
Current pricing suggests no cut at the next FOMC, which is fine. But if a cut comes as a surprise that would be very interesting to say the least.
Will Bitcoin Hit $50,000 or $500K In Next Cycle ?Most People Still Don’t Understand What This #Bitcoin Chart Is Saying.
This Is The 12-Month CRYPTOCAP:BTC Structure.
It Has Been Respected For 15 Years.
Every Cycle:
Excess → Reset → Higher Floor → Expansion.
All Called “The End.”
All Were Structural Resets.
Here’s The Part Retail Misses:
Bitcoin Is Now Holding Above Its Previous Cycle High, Historically The Most Bullish Phase Of The Cycle.
That’s Not Optimism.
That’s Market Memory.
No Price Targets.
No Narratives.
Just Structure Doing What It Always Does.
If You’re Waiting For Certainty, You’ll Buy Late.
If You Understand Cycles, You Already Know What Comes Next.
🟠 Bitcoin Doesn’t Need Belief. It Needs Time.
IMO:
2026 For Bitcoin Will Likely Be Bearish, And We Could See Bitcoin Under $50K Based On Previous Fractals And Cycle Analysis.
However, 2027–2028 Could Be Massive For Bitcoin, And We May See $500K Within The Next 4 Years, In My Opinion.
This Is Just My Personal View, Not Financial Advice.
Always DYOR Before Any Investment Decisions.
Litecoin Super potential toward $300?Real Silver is Up +180% YTD 2025 & Digital Silver ( CRYPTOCAP:LTC ) is Down -44% YTD 2025
That Gap is Getting Impossible to Ignore.
When Real Silver is Pumping Hard but Digital Silver is Sleeping, it Usually Doesn’t Last Forever.
If the Rotation Happens in 2026, CRYPTOCAP:LTC at $250–$300 is Very Realistic.
Now Litecoin has One Job: Prove it Truly is Digital Silver.
NFA & DYOR
Bitcoin bearish scenario updateCRYPTOCAP:BTC Update
#Bitcoin is still trading below the key $93K–$94K resistance, so my bearish bias remains unchanged.
As long as price stays below this HTF bearish OB, I’m expecting continuation toward $75,000.
❌ This Bearish scenario only invalidates if we get a strong HTF close above $94,000.
Until then: rallies = selling pressure. Stay disciplined & manage risk.
NFA & DYOR
Shiba inu prediction today As of **December 18, 2025**, **Shiba Inu (SHIB)** trades at approximately **$0.0000075–$0.0000078 USD**, reflecting a **downward trend** with a roughly **4–5% decline** over the past 24 hours and broader weekly losses around **7–9%**.
### Current Market Status
- Live prices from major trackers (e.g., CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, and recent updates) hover around **$0.0000075–$0.0000078**, with a market cap near **$4.4 billion**.
- Trading volume remains active but in a bearish broader crypto market context, with sentiment indicators showing **extreme fear**.
### Short-Term Prediction for Today
Analysts and technical indicators suggest **continued downward pressure or sideways consolidation** in the very short term (today/intraday).
- Many forecasts point to potential further dips before any rebound, with resistance levels around **$0.000008** and support near **$0.000007**.
- Short-term models (e.g., from CoinCodex and others) predict minor declines or flat movement today, potentially testing lower supports if broader market weakness persists.
- No major catalysts (like significant burns or announcements) appear imminent based on recent news, though whale movements (e.g., large transfers to exchanges) could add selling pressure.
### Key Influences
- **Bearish factors** — Declining trends in moving averages and low burn rates recently.
- **Potential upside** — Ecosystem developments like Shibarium milestones or accumulation signals could spark a bounce, but nothing definitive for today.
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile and influenced by overall market conditions (e.g., Bitcoin's performance). This is not financial advice—always DYOR and consider the risks. For real-time updates, check platforms like CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko. 🐕
$BTC: Technical Breakdown (High-Probability Bearish Setup)CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Technical Breakdown (High-Probability Bearish Setup)
Market Structure Shift
Bitcoin has Already lost $107000 major bullish support and is sustaining below it, confirming a bearish market phase.
The Head & Shoulders distribution pattern is fully validated.
Head & Shoulders Measurement
As per classical H&S rules, the 162% extension target of the pattern has already been achieved on the downside, indicating:
🔹 Pattern completion
🔹 Cycle top likely formed
🔹 Transition from bull to bear phase
Fibonacci Retracement (Macro Bear Framework)
Measured from bear-market low → cycle top, Fibonacci levels project:
0.382 Fib: ~$56,700
0.5 Fib: ~$44,000 → key bear market acceptance zone
0.618 Fib: ~$35,000 → strongest macro support / worst-case scenario
Current price action still reflects a healthy macro retracement, not capitulation.
Liquidity & Imbalance
Despite the bearish structure, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unmitigated in the $98,000–$100,000 range.
This level may act as a liquidity magnet before the next impulsive leg down.
Bias & Scenarios
Primary bias: Bearish
Relief rally possibility: $98K–$100K (FVG fill)
Next downside leg: $70K–$60K, then deeper Fib supports
Conclusion
With H&S 162% target completed and structure broken, BTC remains bearish by technical definition.
Trade only with confirmation, manage risk, and respect all valid scenarios.
NFa & DYOR
BTCUSDT Price Action Analysis: Buy/Sell Zones, SL/TP, and Market1. Overall Trend
Your chart shows short-term bullish momentum inside a larger descending structure
(you have drawn a falling wedge / descending channel top).
👉 Short-term: bullish – strong impulsive green candle breaking through multiple intraday levels.
👉 Higher timeframe: bearish resistance overhead – price is approaching the major trendline.
🟢 2. Buy Zones (Bullish Setups)
BUY AREA #1 – Retest of 0.382 / 0.50 Fib Zone (~$90,000–$91,200)
Your strong bullish candle started from this zone.
A pullback back into this demand area = ideal entry.
Why Buy:
Bullish impulse → correction → continuation
Clear demand zone (multiple rejections)
Confluence with your ascending black trendline
Previous consolidation + liquidity grab
Entry:
→ $90,500–$91,200
SL:
→ Below $89,800 (last swing low)
TP1: $92,400
TP2: $93,700
TP3: $94,500 (1.0 Fib + supply zone)
BUY AREA #2 – Break & Retest of $92,465
If price breaks above $92,465 and retests, bullish continuation likely.
Why Buy:
Break of structure (BOS)
Retest of resistance turned support
Strong bullish pressure in previous candle
Entry: After retest & bullish candle confirmation.
SL: Below $92,000
TP: $93,800 / $94,500
🔴 3. Sell Zones (Bearish Setups)
SELL AREA #1 – Major Resistance $93,700–$94,550
Price is currently inside this zone (your dotted blue horizontal line + Fib 1.0).
This is a strong sell zone because:
Why Sell:
Major resistance + 1.0 Fibonacci
Intersection with descending trendline
Previous supply zone
Impulsive move → likely to retrace
Entry:
→ Bearish rejection candle on resistance
(HR wick + small body)
SL:
→ Above $94,800
TP1: $92,400
TP2: $91,200
TP3: $89,800
SELL AREA #2 – Break Below $89,800
If price breaks this key support, we will see strong downside.
Why Sell:
Break of structure
Loss of bullish demand
Below trendline
Entry: Retest of $89,800 from below
SL: Above $90,200
TP: $88,000 / $87,700 liquidity zone
⚠️ 4. No-Trade Zones
Avoid trading in these areas:
NO TRADE ZONE #1 – Between $91,200 and $92,400
Why?
Choppy range
No clear direction
Middle of structure
Poor risk-reward
NO TRADE ZONE #2 – Inside the triangle squeeze before breakout
Price often becomes unpredictable inside a wedge apex.
Wait for break → retest → trade.
📝 5. Summary (Quick Guide)
🟢 BUY
✔ Retest of $90,500–$91,200
✔ Break & retest of $92,465
🔴 SELL
✔ Rejection from $93,700–$94,550
✔ Break & retest of $89,800
🛑 NO TRADE
⚠ Between $91,200–$92,400
⚠ Inside wedge compression area
PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS OF YOUR CHART (BTCUSDT)PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS OF YOUR CHART (BTCUSDT)
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
1️⃣ BUY ENTRY #1 — Break & Retest of 92,240 – 92,500 Zone
This zone is a major resistance.
A breakout above it confirms strong bullish momentum.
📌 ENTRY
Buy: 92,300 – 92,450
(After a breakout + retest candle, not inside consolidation)
📌 STOP LOSS (SL)
SL below retest zone: 91,700
📌 TAKE PROFIT (TP)
TP1 → 94,000 – 94,200
TP2 → 95,800
TP3 → 97,100
📌 PRICE ACTION REASON
Structure break above major resistance
Trendline break confirmation
Higher-high formation
Large liquidity zone above (clean traffic)
2️⃣ BUY ENTRY #2 — Pullback Into 90,300 Support
Your chart shows a horizontal blue line near 90,300–90,130.
📌 ENTRY
Buy at: 90,300 – 90,150
(Wait for bullish rejection wick)
📌 STOP LOSS
SL below structure: 89,800
📌 TAKE PROFIT
TP1 → 91,200
TP2 → 92,300
TP3 → 94,000
📌 PRICE ACTION REASON
Support formed around previous accumulation zone
Fake-out followed by impulse up (bullish sign)
Price respecting trendline + horizontal support
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
The red arrows on your chart highlight bearish continuation levels.
1️⃣ SELL ENTRY #1 — Break & Retest of 89,200 Zone (Major Level)
Price repeatedly reacts to this purple level → strong liquidity.
📌 ENTRY
Sell at: 89,200 – 89,100
(After bearish retest rejection)
📌 STOP LOSS
SL above level: 89,500
📌 TAKE PROFIT
TP1 → 88,200
TP2 → 87,000
TP3 → 86,700 (trendline bottom)
📌 PRICE ACTION REASON
Loss of support → becoming resistance
Bearish market structure (lower highs)
Clean traffic to downside (no strong support until next purple line)
2️⃣ SELL ENTRY #2 — Pullback to 90,300 Becomes Resistance
If the 90,300 level breaks DOWN, it becomes a good sell zone on retest.
📌 ENTRY
Sell at: 90,200–90,350
(Only if retested as resistance)
📌 STOP LOSS
SL: 90,700
📌 TAKE PROFIT
TP1 → 89,200
TP2 → 88,200
TP3 → 87,000
📌 PRICE ACTION REASON
Role reversal: support → resistance
Continuation in bearish channel
Lower-high formation
🟡 NO-TRADE ZONE
Avoid trading inside the black descending channel mid-area, especially around:
❌ 90,800 – 91,400
Because:
Price is choppy
Weak volume area
No clean structure
High chance of fake breakouts
Wait for clear breakout or breakdown.






















