BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto currency BTC USDT. Crypto traders last time post signals 🚀 hit sucksfully My target 🎯. Now post new analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT still holding it up 💪 trend 📉📈 now if close below and close above technical analysis BTC USDT close below 👇 97k next support strong 🪨💪 level of 89k. Don't close this level pullback up closed above 102k Next target 109. Wait for closing any said it take entry
Key Resistance level 102k + 106k + 109k
Key Support level 97k - 91k 89k
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTCUSDT
BTC#10: BTC Adjusts as Analyzed. What's Next!!!
💎 💎 💎 Did you make a profit in the previous post #9? Like and Follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan. 💎 💎 💎
🔥So BINANCE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT adjusted as analyzed in the previous post. Although there is no information, you can see that the price line reflects many signs, right? :)) . Now let's plan the next step:🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Trump's tax hike causes traders to seek safety, the crypto market plummets
🔴The US dollar skyrocketed after Donald Trump's tax announcement, pushing many currencies to multi-year lows. This point is believed to be the main reason for the market's lack of liquidity, causing the recent sharp decline
🚀Utah could become the first US state to establish a Bitcoin reserve fund, as the state only has 45 days to decide. The recently passed bill would allow public money to be invested in Bitcoin and other approved cryptocurrencies.
📌 Over $2 billion was liquidated, including $1.8 billion in long positions, as Bitcoin fell from $101,000 to below $92,000.
2️⃣ **Technical Analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Price is still supported at the 91K area, however today's candle close will determine whether this support zone is broken or not
🔹 **H4 Frame**: The bearish structure is easy to recognize. However, the candle pattern is still very bad and there is no positive signal yet.
🔹 **H1 Frame**: The price structure is bearish and there is no reversal signal yet. We will have to wait a long time for the price structure to form before there is a change in trend
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔The current price structure is absolutely supportive of the bears, so we should not rush to catch the bottom of the support zone. The signs from previous tests are not very positive. We will have to wait for today's D candle to end to see the value of this support zone.
✅ Prioritize finding selling positions in the current area. Tax policy information is not something that can be changed. In the short term, there is no information strong enough to support the cryptocurrency market in general and bitcoin in particular. The lack of liquidity due to tax policy will keep BTC in a correction wave in the near future.
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer you for free
BTCUSD - HEADED LOWER?Symbol - BTCUSD
BTCUSD is currently encountering substantial resistance, with the price being significantly repelled from the 105-107K zone, establishing a strong resistance area. However, this resistance does not yet negate the broader bullish outlook in the market. A complex market structure is unfolding, characterized by both a descending channel and a symmetrical triangle pattern. The interpretation of these formations will depend largely on how market participants perceive them. A potential reaction to the support of the symmetrical triangle could result in a brief rebound; however, considering the prevailing resistance levels, it is anticipated that this rebound will be shallow, with the price likely attempting to move lower.
Looking at the descending channel, the price is currently supported by a key level at 1,01,600 which is crucial in preventing further declines. This level will play a decisive role in determining the near-term price action. The primary uncertainty lies in whether this support will hold or be breached.
On a fundamental level, the situation remains uncertain and largely dependent on developments in the United States, particularly regarding how political figures, including former President Trump, address cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in various ways: as a bubble, a strategy to influence elections, or simply as rhetorical posturing. Alternatively, it could reflect a genuine, coherent policy direction.
Resistance levels: 1,03,500 - 1,05,800
Support levels: 1,01,600 - 99,600
The 1,01,600 level remains the focal point. In the short term, a potential breakdown below this level followed by price consolidation could lead to a decline to the 100-97K range. However, given the presence of the symmetrical triangle, a false breakdown of 101.6K could trigger a brief upward bounce before a subsequent decline towards the 100K level.
BTC#11: Will BTC rise or fall?. Market structure perspective
💎 💎 💎 Did you make a profit in post #10? Please share and comment your thoughts 💎 💎 💎
🔥After the Monday morning dump, we witnessed an amazing recovery of BINANCE:BTCUSD . Market sentiment has improved significantly. We continue to plan for BINANCE:BTCUSDT as follows:🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Data: Stablecoin on-chain trading volume decreased by 10.5% in January and legal CEX spot trading volume decreased by 18.2%
🔴According to Bybit CEO Ben Zhou, the total value of actual crypto liquidations is higher than $2 billion, he estimates this figure at around $8-10 billion.
🚀Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a US national investment fund.
📌 In general, market liquidity is falling sharply, the loss after the recent correction has brought a cautious mentality to the majority of investors in the cryptocurrency market.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's D candle marked the amazing recovery of BTC. Currently, the price structure of frame D is still maintained as an increasing price structure.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: Gives us a different perspective. Although BTC has recovered, the price structure of frame H4 has not been broken. We will have to wait a while before seeing a more positive signal
🔹 **H1 Frame**: As you can see, BTC is still running in the downtrend channel. The KEY 977xx zone will play an important role in predicting the next direction
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔At the present time. Although the D candle is a positive sign, in the smaller time frame we still do not have a price structure confirming the recovery of the main trend. Whether placing a BUY or SELL order in this area is very dangerous because there is no confirmed price structure. You should wait to get the best trading position
✅ Based on my personal experience, I will wait for the price reaction in this 97K area. If a supportive price structure appears, we can have a good position following the main trend in the D frame.
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact us directly. I am ready to answer you for free
BTCUSDT TRDAING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT crypto currency 💲 crypto Traders BTC
USD ready for. A New. ATH that month Technical patterns support and Resistance level 🎚️ Look good bullish trend 📈 114k don't dare qt Hit but soon 🔜😁
Key Resistance level 106k + 107k + 109k + 114k
Key Support level 97222 - 94219 - 92105 - 89219
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis: Bearish Breakdown or Rebound?📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis
🔴 Overview:
Bitcoin is trading at $101,847 (-0.22%) on the 4-hour timeframe.
The price is moving within a descending wedge/pennant pattern.
Key EMA (200): Currently at $100,781, acting as dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels & Analysis:
Resistance Zone (~$102,000 - $103,000): Price is struggling to break above this level.
Support Zone (~$97,500 - $98,500): A key demand zone where buyers may step in.
⚠️ Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Breakdown ⬇️
If BTC loses the $100,800 EMA support, a drop towards $98,000-$97,500 is likely.
The marked arrow suggests this bearish move.
Bullish Rebound ⬆️
If BTC holds above EMA 200 and reclaims $102,000, a breakout towards $104,000-$106,000 could follow.
🧐 Final Thoughts:
Short-term trend: Bearish bias unless price reclaims resistance.
Watch for a break below $100,800 for further downside.
RSI & Volume Confirmation Needed for stronger signals.
BTC#9: BTC is likely to have a correction and here's why
💎 💎 💎 Did you make a profit in the previous post #8? Like and follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan. 💎 💎 💎
🔥 Let's plan for the next BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊US consumer price inflation accelerated late last year, supporting the Fed's decision to pause interest rate cuts
🔴 Trump announces 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, "Trade war" begins again
🔴Trump threatens that tariffs will take effect on February 1! Influenced by Trump's tariff policy, the market's risk-off sentiment has increased significantly.
🚀 15 US states are pushing for strategic Bitcoin reserves, with Arizona and Utah temporarily leading
📌 In the past hours, the entire network has liquidated $204 million, mostly buy orders
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Although the price structure is still increasing, the reaction of the resistance area shows that we will have a correction.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: So the resistance area has been confirmed. The price continues to SW this area without a breakthrough, we will have an official correction. The price will find the support area below
🔹 **H1 Frame**: As you can see, the current price structure is bearish. Currently, I do not see any signs of price reversal.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔In the previous article, you can see that this scenario was predicted. The current price reaction is very weak for the BUY side. We will have to wait at the support zone below.
✅If anyone has a good position at the resistance zone of 104k~105K, there is a basis to wait for a better profit. If anyone does not have a position, they can wait for the price structure if there is a slight recovery to the resistance zone above. Both the fundamental information and the price line support the option that there will be a deeper correction for BTC
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer you for free
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Symmetrical Triangle Analysis: Next Move?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis
Key Observations:
1. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, characterized by converging trendlines.
This pattern typically signals a breakout, but the direction (up or down) depends on market momentum.
2. Current Price Action:
BTC is trading around $102,979.98 at the time of the chart.
It is above the 200 EMA ($100,003.64), indicating bullish strength.
The price recently bounced off support and is moving towards resistance.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: Around $97,785.55 (blue line).
Resistance: Around $109,636.60 (blue line).
4. Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If BTC breaks above the upper trendline, it may rally towards $109,636.60 or higher.
A confirmed breakout could push BTC to $112,500+.
Bearish Breakdown:
If BTC rejects at resistance and breaks downward, it could retest the $100,000 level or lower.
A breakdown could target $97,785.55 or even $95,000.
Final Thoughts:
Watch for a breakout or breakdown from the triangle pattern.
Volume is crucial—a high-volume breakout confirms strength, while low volume can indicate a fakeout.
If BTC stays above $100,000 (200 EMA support), the bullish bias remains intact.
BTC#7: Will the price continue to break the peak? Trading plan💎 💎 💎 Did you make a profit in the previous post #6? Leave a comment and tag your friends to share. 💎 💎 💎
🔥Let's plan for the next BTC 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The US CFTC Chairman has launched a series of public roundtables, including topics such as digital assets. This predicts unforeseen fluctuations in the future.
🚀The BTC futures contract expiration date is approaching, plus the market's increasing demand to buy more BTC since Trump took office is the main driving force for the current uptrend
📌 The market is currently very sensitive to information related to BTC and government policies.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: Yesterday ended with a pinbar that brought excitement to the market sentiment
🔹 **H4 frame**: Keylever has been broken, showing signs of a correction, but we still need confirmation at the resistance area above
🔹 **H1 frame**: The price has broken out of the triangle and is currently looking for important resistance zones. However, the current price structure is bullish.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔As you can see, the main trend is important, even though the price has decreased, it still recovers quickly. At this time, absolutely do not FOMO when the price breaks the top and bottom because the price line needs confirmation. Wrong orders not only erode capital but also distort trading psychology, leading to wrong judgments
✅ In my personal opinion, the structural breakdown in the H4 frame shows signs that the market is likely to have a correction. In addition, because the price line has been increasing for a long time, adjustments to gain momentum to move to a higher price range are common
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact us directly. I am ready to answer you for free
👉 Follow to be updated with the earliest plans.
Bitcoin Outlook: Bullish Momentum with the New YearWith Donald Trump now back as President in America, the success of initiatives like Trump Coin serves as an example of what’s possible. Similarly, Bitcoin appears poised to attempt a new high as we enter the new year.
However, before that, we’re seeing some bearish retests and market pullbacks. These corrections are part of the process before Bitcoin pushes toward a new high.
I’ve explained the analysis in detail on the chart for better understanding.
Don’t forget to like, comment, and follow for more updates!
BTC#6: SW is uncomfortable but coming to the breakthrough.💎 💎 💎 Plan #5 first helps you make a profit. Please leave a comment and tag your friends' names to share. 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ ** Basic analysis: **
📊 Trump signed the executive command on cryptocurrencies: Clarifying the framework of management and discovery of national cryptocurrency reserves
Buffett of Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway is gradually grasping cryptocurrencies.
🚀 Ohio state proposes a Bitcoin reserve bill
📌 A series of information that brings optimistic psychology to the cryptocurrency market in general and BTC in particular.
2️⃣ ** Technical analysis: **
🔹 ** Frame D **: The price is still swing in the past few days
🔹 ** H4 **: Price structure is still increasing and has not changed.
🔹 ** Frame H1 **: The price is still swing in the triangle and progresses to the breakthrough
3️⃣ ** Transaction plan: **
⛔ This is the SW area that is not suitable for the command. It is difficult to predict the price line in the current area. Control greed.
✅ My personal opinion that about the structure of large and small frame prices is increasing. If there is a structure, we can confirm about a adjustment beat. The current trend should wait for Buy when the price is important.
💪 ** Wish you successful transactions! **
📌 Any questions please contact directly. I am ready to answer for free
#trading #trade #tradeindia #newtrader #newbie #Blockchain #Forex #tradingView #plants #trader #tradingforex #btcusd #bitcoin
BITCOIN EYES ON A BULLISH BREAKOUT (READ_CAPTION) !!💹 #BTCUSDT Analysis
📈 Bitcoin is showing signs of a bullish continuation pattern and is heading towards its support trendline. 🟢 If the price holds strong at this level, we could see price growth and a potential upward breakout. 🚀
🔥 Key Level: Support Trendline
🛑 Watch closely for confirmation before entering the market. Patience is key! 🧘♂️
Let’s see if Bitcoin is ready to take off! 🌟📊
BTCUSD updated viewA resistance zone was created on BTCUSD at the 99113 - 99944 level.
Also at the same level from top to bottom one resistance trend line shows strong resistance in that area. while looking at the HNS pattern in RSI on a closing basis and both the resistance zone and trendline we need a strong closing above the zone with the trendline breaking, then we can see the bigger target in BTCUSD.
otherwise, BTCUSD will take the resistance from the trendline and zone and can see the support level again.
I already shared what-if support level breaks.
BTCUSD is at support level of previous monthly lowBTCUSD is currently at support level which is at 91232.
if it breaks below on a closing basis then their a high chance of seeing the targets of 87287, and 85037, and if 85037 breaks on a closing basis then very soon 80510.
If the previous month's support is taken by BTCUSD then we will see a rally towards at 100000 and 103000.
*This view is for educational purposes only.
Bitcoin push-Could it be "Buy the New, Sell the Event" ? Maybe..Using the fractel chart again as it is the most Bullish chart I have and yet, in the back of my head, in all the Euphoria of the latest crypto rush, I am feeling a warning bell in my head.
I do like to consider Both Bullish and Bearish AT ALL TIMES - that way, I am ready for all events, nearly.
Anyway, I have been going on about a pull back for ages and if we are following this Fractel from 2013-2017 ATH, then we are due one. And we aRE LATE for it.
But, apart from the Bitcoin Weekly MACD which maybe turning Bearish, PA has strength to continue pushing higher
The Fractal has a -30% pull back in it, a sharp fall that was bought back up., which we are already late for.
Now, I also have been talking about a date that is coming up in a number of charts as a date of interest. that date is 23rd January. Given a tolerence of error, that could point towards 20th - the day Trump gets appointed President.
As the media will have us understand, He is a Crypto friendly Man But who is to say that will avoid the "Buy the News, Sell the Event" type moment.
The most bullish Crypto coins have suffered sharp pull backs after "events", including BTC in the past.
So, Maybe just have this in mind and have a plan in place.
There is NO guarantee that if BTC pulls back, that ALTS will run.
I doubt I will get many Boosts on this...
But, It is a possible outcome and you are well advised to have precautions...because, at some point, BTC will begin to pull back
Get that plan ready now, it may happen on Monday
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Zones to Watch on the 4-Hour ChartWhat is Happening in the Chart?
1. Resistance and Supply Zone (Order Block): Bitcoin is approaching a significant bearish order block (red zone) near the $100,000 mark. This area represents resistance where sellers may take control, pushing the price downward.
2. Potential Retracement: Before continuing its upward trend, Bitcoin may retrace to fill the fair value gap (FVG) and test the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. These zones are historically strong areas for buyers to re-enter the market.
3. Support and Demand Zone: The bullish order block (green zone) near $92,000 aligns with the retracement zone. This is where Bitcoin might find strong support before resuming its upward trajectory.
Outlook for BTC/USDT
The chart predicts a potential pullback to $92,000-$95,000, followed by a bullish rally aiming to break through resistance at $100,000. If Bitcoin clears the bearish OB, the price could target new highs, potentially surpassing $105,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $100,000 (Bearish OB)
Support: $92,000-$95,000 (Bullish OB and Fibonacci zone)
---
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and trading involves significant risks. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 ATH Fractal UPDATE
Welcome to the latest update
I have been posting this idea for a long time now and it is still playing out and I am so pleased to see some respected Crypto people now saying the same.
To recap
Bitcoin Fractal anchored at the 2021 Nov ATH - some people do not like to use that ATH as a real one as there are many reason why they consider it a False one...But I use it as most BTC ATH are in End of year months and it was very simply THE ATH of that cycle. It was the highest point.
And as you can see, Current PA has followed it (all be it with a certain tolerance of error)
The 2022 period was hard for BTC as we know and so the PA was driven lower but Still survived.
We can also see how it took some time for confidence to return fully but.. Here we are now, since Q3 2023, following it again Spot on.
And if we are going to continue to do this, we need that -30% Pull back as seen on the Fractel. And we do need it.
Weekly MACD is currently turning Bearish and if we want to get to a new ATH in 2025, that MACD needs to be coming off Neutral at best.
Should PA Avoid that pullback, and Range for 6 months again, it will begin to fall under the fractel. I am not sure if that is OK or not but given that we have been Above it since Jan 2023, It is not something that would give me confidence.
So, for me, I am cautious, waiting / hoping for a Drop that would be swiftly bought back up
BUY THE DIP
But then, there will come a day where we no longer follow that Fractel because, as Fantastic as it would be to follow to the top and Get a $1.3 Million BTC, I do not think it is something we should expect just yet
But then, This IS Bitcoin
Anything can happen
Be safe
Bitcoin near Cycle Top ? Or is it really different this time ?I am a man that likes to look at Both sides of a Story, even more so when it involves trading with with large or small amounts of money
And I am even more carious with Bitcoin this Cycle.
The Adoption of Corporations that can Buy and amass large amounts of Bitcoin is Highly likely to change how Bitcoin works. So many "Experts" deny this.
And the proof that this is or not happening, is simply by looking at the Price Action, past and present.
That is what I do almost everyday since 2015 and charting it here on TV for the last 6 years.
And I have found THIS last night.
And I have to show you and explain this.
** The Figures in the Logarithmic chart below are approximate and yet near enough to accurately reflect the idea I am about to present.
This chart is Bitcoin PA since The LOW of November 2009
From that Low to cycle ATH is A and the same principle is applied to the following Cycle Low to ATH.
The Data shown is the % difference between a cycle Low to Cycle High as compared to the previous cycle.
For example. Cycle B was 95.8% smaller than Cycle A
As we can easily see, as BTC increases in price, it becomes harder to make PA move higher. More money is required and so that "ATH point" Arc becomes Flatter each cycle.
As a result, the Negative % difference is reduced each time.
And we are near that ball park now in 2025 at - 73.2%
The average of the previous 3 cycles is - 84.7 % - the first was an exceptional year and so if we remove that, we have an average of - 79,1 %
But I am looking at the simple fact that we went from - 80.1 % to - 78.2 % in 2 cycles, that are in a channel that PA has been in ever since 2014 ATH. ( I have explained this channel in other posts )
That is a - 2.1 % change and so if we apply that to the previous -78.2 %, we may expect a final figure of - 76.1 %
This still Gives PA some room to move before a final ATH - POSSIBLY
Some are Expecting a 200K figure for this cycle ATH.
If that happens, it would destroy this pattern and be a -40% difference to the previous cycle.
What is VERY important to understand here is that, if we do make it over 120K, it does begin to make things Different.
And the higher we go, the Bigger that difference to the Pattern we all now accept as the default 4 year cycle.
So, in conclusion, there is a very real possibility that we have reached cycle Top, or very near, in 3 years.
We did this in 2021 with a March ATH but we all now know, we went to November 2021 before the final ATH was reached, sticking to the 4 cycle and Keeping that % Different model explained above.
If that happens again, we will not see another ATH till later in 2025 and even then, it will not be a lot greater than the last, repeating what happened in 2021.
BUT - we do not know the impact of Corporate usage yet.
Should this drive us over and beyond the 120K Mark,Things Will be different and then, referring to the past could be prone to error.
THAT would be True Price discovery.
This is all numerical FACT as can be seen on the chart
My personnel opinion is that we do have more to come this cycle but maybe not till later in the year. It depends on market sentiment and that is likely to be Cool if the USA FED refuses to lower interest rates further this year,
The First FED meeting of the year is 28 29 Jan
We may be near a "Classic" cycle Top, and we may well be on the edge of creating a New Cycle pattern
We may not.
Only Time will tell and YOU need to make plans for Either reality
Trade Safe, be cautious and LOVE LIFE
One reason why I am Still VERY bullish on Bitcoin
This chart is very simple and it explains itself very well
The upper trend line is formed by going through January candles only ( I have used a Line Chart here for Visibility but rtust me, that line goes through January Candles )
And, as you can see, when PA is above this trend line, it is en-route to ATH
It also helps us see where we are in realtion to previous Januaries.
And, If I am honest, we are Lower than we should be,.
If we look in the channel, the Jan before PA crossed the trend line,going to the 2017 ATH, PA was 114% above the lower Trendline.
The January before crossing the trendline en-route to 2021 ATH, PA was 214% above the Lower trendline - It has to be said, this cycle was blown out of proportion by excessive Leverage etc and, for me, this led to a premature ATH in March. The Real ATH are Late in the year, Nov or December.
This January, 2025, PA is only 87% above that Lower trendline.
But despite the Low level, we do seem to be entering a Much more friendly Crypto Finacial world now and I do expect PA to pick up. If we were to remain under the rising line of resistance, coming off the initial Wave higher in 2023, we hit the upper trendline around 2nd Half of summer. 2025 and at a price around 256K usdt
The ATH will be above this line and we will have to wait to see how much higher it goes.
This is the GREEN YEAR in Bitcoin Cycles.
Lets go
Please Note, I do expect the first quarter to be possibly not so friendly.
We have to wait an see but by this time next year, I am hoping we will have had the ATH
Time will tell
Concerns about interest rates put pressure on BitcoinThe world's largest cryptocurrency once surpassed the $100,000 mark thanks to a prolonged recovery from the late December drop. However, losses on Tuesday and Wednesday wiped out this recovery entirely, bringing Bitcoin back near its late December lows.
Bitcoin fell 0.3% to $96,607.7 at 12:49 AM ET (5:49 AM GMT), after losing more than 5% on Tuesday.
Bitcoin also faced profit-taking pressure after an impressive 2024. Most of Bitcoin's gains followed Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election, as he promised to implement pro-cryptocurrency policies.
However, the cryptocurrency market is now awaiting further signals on Trump’s policy plans as he assumes office on January 20.
December’s Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, while painting a brighter picture of the U.S. economy, also raised concerns that inflation may persist in the coming months, giving the Fed more reason to reduce interest rates gradually.
The central bank downgraded its rate-cut forecasts for 2025 in its December meeting, citing concerns about persistent inflation and confidence in the labor market.
Fed officials reiterated this message earlier this week.
Prolonged high interest rates are unfavorable for speculative assets like cryptocurrencies, as they limit the liquidity flowing into this sector. This trend hurt the cryptocurrency market throughout 2022 and much of 2023.
CFD Trading Strategy with BTC
The larger trend on the H4 timeframe is showing the formation of a parallel descending channel, with strong bearish candlestick closures on both H4 and D1. The analyst's view remains to wait for price retracements to key resistance levels and main FIBO levels to look for SELL opportunities.
SELL ZONE: 96,750 - 97,250
SL: 99,000
TP: 94,000 - 92,500 - 90,000 - ????
Strictly adhere to the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels to ensure account safety.
GOOD LUCK!
BTC has fallen sharply since returning to $100,000Bitcoin funds experienced a strong net outflow of approximately $543 million after two consecutive days of inflows amounting to nearly $1 billion daily. This withdrawal coincided with Bitcoin's continued testing of the $100,000 resistance level, indicating that profit-taking demand at this price zone remains high.
The inability to sustain capital inflows and maintain the price above $100,000 poses a significant challenge for the funds. Based on my observations, capital outflows at this price level are not a new phenomenon. This time, most funds experienced net withdrawals.
This could reinforce the likelihood that Bitcoin may continue a consolidation phase around the $100,000 mark. Buy orders are scattered across rounded price zones like $94,000, $93,000, $92,000, and $90,000, which remain long-standing and heavily anticipated levels. The low trading volume at these levels suggests investor uncertainty, with many avoiding holding positions over multiple days, reflecting a lack of confidence.
The BTC strategy remains in a strong upward trend on larger time frames, so wait for corrections to the noted support zones to consider potential BUY opportunities. On shorter time frames (H1-H2), the trend is showing a downward wave, so in the short term, wait for prices to retrace to the lower support zones before entering BUY positions.
Trading Strategy
SELL ZONE: 97,370 - 97,570
SL: 98,000
TP: 95,450 - 94,750 - 93,250 - 92,000
BUY ZONE: 92,200 - 92,050
SL: 91,500
TP: 93,000 - 93,750 - 94,500 - 96,000 - ????
Stick to proper volume and manage your positions carefully. Always adhere to the set TP/SL levels. Be cautious today as significant USD news (ADP Nonfarm data) is expected—ensure the safety of your account.