BTC USD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CAPTAIN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
BTC USD Traders SMC-Trading Point Crypto trade. Technical fundamental analysis update
BTC USD Traders looking for a support level 93469 Big support level I think 💬 test diamond zone back 💪 up trand 😜 99k wait for confirm 🙂 💯 if breakout that support level Next target Short 90k now still see Long bullish trade BTC New year 🎊 I think we'll buying it ☺️ crypto trader Old 100k again back 🔙
Mr SMC Trading point
Support 💫 My hard analysis Setup like And Following 🤝 me that star ✨ game 🎯
BTCUSDT
Have you ever seen a Bitcoin YEAR chart ?Have you ever looked a t a Bitcoin YEAR chart ?
No > Here it is, from the start
So easy to see why people have finally realised it is worth holding on to.
For one year in every Four, it is in Loss.
The ONLY time that Loss retraced back Below the year before was in 2021 / 22 while the american TradFi and institutions despicably tried to destroy Bitcoin, and FAILED
Looking at the 2 ATH trendlines, if we continue this, we can expect a possible 400K next year
We will just have to wait and see
But I will settle for 400K ;-)
How about you ? I certainly Will NOT Sell all my BTC
Where next and When for this Bitcoin Cycle- is it Over ?
It is Far from over.
In fact, in many way, Bitcoin has Just begun its new life.
It was born in 2008, it has just gone through its childhood and now, as it becomes accepyted across Finacial Markets worldwide, it is maturing into adulthood.
And so, by concequence, everything I am about to say may be completely wring as we have no real idea of how high Bitcoin will go.
As the chart shows, It has been in a Rising channel since Nov 2022 and really took off in January 2023.
There are many founded expectations for a High in Spring and in Late summer to winter 2025
If we follow the Upper trend line of this channel, I would expect PA to "top out" on the Fib extensions marked with a circle at 134K in April / May and anoither ATH, THE ATH of the cycle towards the end of the year.
It is this one, the Last ATH oi the Cycle that is the hardest to pin point. On this chart, we see an area of around 170K. There are projections that see high of nearer 800K though this is optimistic..Not impossible..But optimistic.
In the shorter term, we can see how Pa has ranged along the upper trend line
Rejection from here is highly likely though on lower Timeframes, there is abil;ity to continue.
If wer get rejected, a Srop to 87K is likely to be th eMax Drop in my viewl the the 2.618 fib line,
You can see it was tested as support as we crossed over it.
So, inconclusion, I think we will see a pull back, most likely in January but then, Pa wil recover well to reach a New ATH in spring. From there, liekly for a cool summer and an end of year grand finale to New ATH
NONE of this is FACT. It is My opinion and could be wrong.. But I am working on these assumptions
Lets see if they come out or not.
Happy New Year everyone
DXY $ since 1972, FED Pivots and What now for ALTS coins ?DXY $ since 1972 and Rate Cuts
When the FED cuts rates, the $ Drops in value most of the time as can be seen here on the chart below
( I have not "Boxed" the current FED Rate cuts to make it easier to see the PA )
This time it has continued to Rise for a number of reasons.
In Fact, ever since that Banking "Accident" in 2008, the DXY has gained in value, on average, but thats another story.
FED has said that Cuts may not occur in 2025. This Could once again make the $ a more attractive buy if other markets are falling. Then the $ could Stop being propped up !
Normally, as $ rises, Crypto struggles - again, we have seen BTC rise at the same time as the $ since July this year.
It is ALTS that have struggled and this may very well continue.
Normally, we wait for BTC/D to drop and then the Money flows into ALTS.. but if the money remains in Bitcoin, the ALT market requires an alternative source of income.
Could we see the DXY $ loose that money ?
But the pause in Rate Cuts may stop that
That War in Finance continues.
TradFi Lost round 1 and now Bitcoin is accepted, used, alllowed and is King. This is why the $ Will remain in Bitcoin, ETF's etc. We may see outflows every now and then but certainly Not the amount that drives the ALT market normally.
Will we even see a bear market again ?
ALTS however, they are the Minions that may yet suffer
The War continues and DeFi, for example, needs to step up and REALLY make it self a Lot more user friendly, attractive and bigger gains in use, stake cases.
2025 is going to be very interesting and Volatile
Don't Get Burnt. Be Cautious, the gains could be huge....as could the losses
A plan SHORT for BTC
1. I saw a "Break Down cloud" - follow trend signal on the chart in Time Frame M15
2. I saw Main Trend on M15 timeframe showed that : main trend = DownTrend
3. I saw Main trend on H1 - M30 - M15 also : Downtrend
Conclusion:
Setup a SHORT plan with RR= 3 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Entry Zone : From 97300 to 97900
Target : 92699
Stoploss = trailing SL with the Cloud trending system SL on M15 TF.
UPDATE to "Did BTC Crash or Bullish Move"On the longer Term timelines, Bitcoin is still strong and recovering from its push higher but sadly for us, It lost that support line mentioned in the previous post witht he title above
The Chart Below shows this clearly
This is the 4 hour chart
We can see how PA kept testing and retesting that line of support but eventualy fell through but what is still Bullish is how PA broke through that descending line of resistance.
That takes away one problem but we have at least 2 strong lines of resistance above now AND RSI is overbought and so, I think we can expect further Dips and at the very least, a Longer Term range, as we did from March to September this year.
The Weekly MACD is in a very simialr position as it was back then, OVERBOUGHT but lower timeframes are neutral or below and so some strength is found.
We are , on average, still in ACCUMULATION with small pockets of Distribution as we have seen over the last couple of days. But Accumulation is certainly the trend that continues
I am beginning to doubt a New December ATH and I am expecting January to be RED and so, now I am looking to that MARCH ATH as more realistic possibility
But, this is BITCOIN.........Anything can happen
Bitcoin Analysis: Testing Support LevelsAfter breaking down the critical support level at 95k, Bitcoin is showing strong downward momentum, heading toward the 89k zone. There’s significant buy volume building around the 89k level, indicating potential interest for a reversal or at least a temporary bounce.
Key areas to watch:
• If 89k holds, we could see a reversal or consolidation before another move.
• A break below 89k with sustained sell volume might open the door to lower levels.
I’ll monitor price action and volume closely to confirm any reversal signals or further downside continuation. Trade cautiously and always stick to your risk management strategy.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
$BTC READY TO BOINCEBitcoin is currently bouncing off the $95,000 support level. It has entered the oversold zone and formed a bullish divergence. Based on this, there are three possible scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario: Bitcoin could retest the $100,000 resistance level. If it successfully breaks this level, there's a strong possibility of further movement toward the $104,000 resistance.
2. Bearish Scenario: Bitcoin may retrace to test the major support at $94,000 or potentially form a double bottom at this level.
Did BTC really Crash or just a Bullish move ? IT IS BULLISH MOVESo many people, including some "Experts" have called this Dip by BTC as a Crash, caused by inflation and / or the Fed
But it is NOT that at all, it is a perfect retest of resistance and here is why
I have posted this chart a number of times here and it still stands, when PA crosses over that lower Bold line. PA is en-route to ATH.
PA has been bouncing along this line for a number fo weeks, failing to break over and stay above
This chart, daily, was taken just a little while ago
And here we can clearly see that PA broke over that line of resistance and is now returning and tested it as support.
So far, we are holding above it
Should PA just range along this, we can see that Red 50 SMA coming in as support but this line we just crossed, if we can hold above...well.....It could be a Very nice christmas presant..
25 Dec....... You heard it here ;-)
Have a good one.
IF we loose support, there is plenty of support below...but have aplan incase.....always have a plan
UPDATE - Rates Rises and Cuts since 2021 and effect on BTC PAThere it is, the entire effect of FED Rate Cuts, Effects on influential companies and banks and the unstoppable RISE of Bitcoin to Corporate recognition and Adoption and the arrival of ETF's
And now, with a more Global acceptance of Crypto, whats next ?
what is certain is how BTC is gaining on GOLD's previous title as the Safe haven and Stor of Value
The BTCXAUT ( Gold) chart shows this rise as it has begun, ready to take over >
Currently, ONE BTC = 39 ounces of Gold, down slightly from the 42
Over 100 is expected by 2030 at the very latest
It is simply Bad financial advice to suggest people SELL Bitcoin.
BTCUSD - Channel BO - WKLYThe chart displays Bitcoin's price action (BTC/USD) over a weekly timeframe, suggesting a large channel BO.
Key insights:
1. **Resistance Zone**: Around ~$65,000, which acted as a historical peak during earlier bull runs.
2. **Breakout Target**:
- The measured move of ~$54,840.25 (approximately a 72.17% rise post-breakout) suggests a price target near **$131,176.66**.
3. **Volume**: Noticeable increase in volume during the breakout, signaling strong buying momentum.
4. **Current Price**: Bitcoin is trading near ~$107,367.64, consolidating above the breakout resistance.
The chart anticipates a bullish continuation toward the projected target (~$131,000) if the breakout holds, in line with historical price structure.
Bitcoin's Recent Surge and Potential OutlookBitcoin has experienced a significant surge in recent days, breaking through the $100,000 mark. This bullish momentum is evident on the daily chart, with the price forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic sign of an uptrend.
Potential Scenarios:
Continued Upward Momentum: If the current bullish trend persists, Bitcoin could continue to rally towards new all-time highs. Key resistance levels to watch include the psychological $110,000 and $120,000 levels.
Short-Term Correction: Given the overbought conditions, a short-term pullback to retest is possible. However, this could provide a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Trading Strategies:
Long-Term Investors: Continue to hold Bitcoin and consider buying additional positions on any dips.
Short-Term Traders: Be cautious and consider taking profits on existing positions. If a pullback occurs, look for buying opportunities near key support levels.
Important Considerations:
Volatility: Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and price swings can be significant.
Market Sentiment: Positive news and developments in the cryptocurrency industry can fuel further price increases.
Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations can impact the price of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin going to complete this head and shoulder pattern in Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture: Support or Head and Shoulders Formation?
Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal level, testing the neckline of a potential head and shoulders pattern. Here’s what traders should watch for:
Scenario 1: Bounce from the Neckline (Bullish Case)
If Bitcoin holds support at the neckline, we could see a strong rebound.
A successful bounce might lead BTC to retest resistance levels, potentially paving the way for a rally.
Key levels to watch:
Support: $96800 (neckline)
Resistance: $98100
Scenario 2: Breakdown and Completion of the Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish to Bullish Case)
If Bitcoin breaks below the neckline with strong volume, the head and shoulders pattern will likely play out.
This could trigger a further decline to the measured move target, offering a possible buy-the-dip opportunity at lower levels.
After completing the pattern, Bitcoin may regain momentum and resume its uptrend.
Key levels to watch:
Support : 94800
"ORDI/USDT Long Setup - Triangle Breakout with Clear Risk-RewardORDI is displaying a bullish breakout pattern from a descending triangle, indicating potential for upward momentum. After breaking out of the resistance zone near $41.6, it appears to be consolidating for another leg up.
Descending triangle broke upwards, signaling bullish sentiment.
A smaller symmetrical triangle is forming near the breakout zone, suggesting accumulation.
Keylevels-
Resistance: $41.6 (previous breakout level).
Support: $37.6 (key level for risk management).
Technical indicators
Bullish momentum evident as price makes higher lows.
Volume analysis suggests increased interest on breakout candles.
Trade plan
Entry: Buy near $39.6, at the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle.
Profit Target: $48, based on the measured move of the descending triangle breakout.
Stop Loss: $37.6, below the recent swing low.
$BTC Bearish Divergence Signals Potential Correction to $77K GAP#Bitcoin is showing clear bearish divergence, suggesting a potential correction ahead.
The price may drop to the $77,000 level to fill the CME gap, with major support around $74,000.
Traders should monitor these key levels for potential opportunities and confirmation of a reversal.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $100,000
Potential Gap Fill: $77,000
Major Support Zone: $74,000
📉 Plan: Look for bearish confirmation and assess risk at key support areas.
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC reclaims support, it could trigger a rebound.