Seeing a Bitcoin Range so different from previous Using Fib extFor me, this could start ringing an alarm bell.
I am still Bullish long term but his could be an early warning of an upcoming deeper Dip that th-20% we getting used to - There again, it may not.
We will only find out as and when it happens, as always
BUT.
The pervious 2 main ranges we have had this cycle have been in a Range between the 1 and 2 Fib extensions being the upper Trend line of range and the 618 just below them as ultimate support.
This is very clear on the chart
But this time, we are being rejected by the 618, the 2.618 to be exact.
PA did not have enough moemntum to reach the 3 Fib extension. As I have mentioned a number of times, We are Overbought on the MACD.
So, is this a problem ?
Not if we range enough and that weekly MACD cools down
Otherwise, a sharper Drop could happen, we need to watch this
BUT what I find interesting, is that GOLD is currently Also being rejected by its own 2.618 Fib extension.
Interesting to see how Gold has also used those Key fib extensions.
The Heavyweight has moved fast recently
Teh question is, Which is following Which.
We reached the 2.618 first, Months ago in fact.
Watch Gold, it DOES give us Views on the Market
Btcusdtanalysis
BITCOIN IS HEADED TO 90K?Symbol - BTCUSD
BTCUSD is reflecting a shift in market sentiment, with its current price action indicating a potential continuation of the ongoing correction. BTCUSD is currently trading within a falling channel pattern, with global market consolidation providing the broader context. There is a possibility of another retest of the 90,000 risk zone. On the medium-term timeframe, Bitcoin has failed to maintain its position near its all-time high, entering the local selling zone below the 99,800 level, and is now within the upper consolidation range. This shift is accompanied by a noticeable negative sentiment within the cryptocurrency market. Altcoins continue to experience persistent declines without any signs of recovery, further highlighting the lack of positive prospects. At this stage, Bitcoin appears to be reacting to the lack of fulfillment of promises from President Trump, as well as ongoing market manipulation and geopolitical tensions. These factors are contributing to the market’s protracted correction phase. New coins created ahead of the U.S. election have siphoned liquidity from the market, adding to the bearish sentiment. This situation, combined with a global trade conflict, has led to a significant market downturn.
Support levels: 95,800, - 91,300, - 90,000
Resistance levels: 1,00,300 - 1,02,670
Technically, Bitcoin may continue its downward movement, potentially testing the 90,000 support level again. As the price approaches this level, the risks surrounding it will increase. Currently, the asset is in a consolidation phase between 95,800 and 1,00,300 which could precede a breakdown and further decline towards 90,000. However, considering Bitcoin’s sensitivity to U.S. political actions, there may be a temporary rise towards the 1,00,300 level before the asset resumes its decline. The likelihood of the price testing the 95,800 level for a breakdown and subsequent fall remains high. However, on a broader scale, the asset still maintains a bullish outlook, with strong support placed in the 90K-91K zone.
BTC#13: Market Shaking! Where is BTCUSDT Price? 💎 💎 💎 As predicted in the previous article, the price touched the H1 trendline zone and then had a correction back to the 96K support zone. Now we will continue to plan for BTC 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Maryland, the United States plans to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve fund
🔹US non-farm payrolls increased by 143,000 in January, lower than expected;
🔹Trump plans to announce retaliatory tariffs as early as Friday
🚀 Interest rate futures traders expect the Fed to make another rate cut in May
📌 Overall, the current fundamentals are still supporting BTC's upside potential. However, market liquidity is still being affected by Trump's tariff policies and potential future trade wars from these policies
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: A long-tailed pinbar appeared when the price reached the 99K resistance zone. However, the 96K support zone is still doing its job well. For a clearer view, we will evaluate the smaller time frames
🔹 **H4 frame**: The bearish price structure is still intact with no signs of change.
🔹 **H1 frame**: Although the bearish price structure was broken, it immediately turned down. The price reaction at the current support area is weak.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ Looking at the multi-frame price structure, it can be seen that this is not a suitable time to establish a BUY position. Basic information from the market is also showing concern about the upcoming tariff policy. If there is a change in the price structure from H1, then this possibility should be considered.
✅ Trading with the trend is still the top priority, 2 pinbars in time frame D also show that the market sentiment is leaning towards the bears.
💪 **Good luck trading!**
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto currency BTC USDT. Crypto traders last time post signals 🚀 hit sucksfully My target 🎯. Now post new analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT still holding it up 💪 trend 📉📈 now if close below and close above technical analysis BTC USDT close below 👇 97k next support strong 🪨💪 level of 89k. Don't close this level pullback up closed above 102k Next target 109. Wait for closing any said it take entry
Key Resistance level 102k + 106k + 109k
Key Support level 97k - 91k 89k
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Bitcoin push-Could it be "Buy the New, Sell the Event" ? Maybe..Using the fractel chart again as it is the most Bullish chart I have and yet, in the back of my head, in all the Euphoria of the latest crypto rush, I am feeling a warning bell in my head.
I do like to consider Both Bullish and Bearish AT ALL TIMES - that way, I am ready for all events, nearly.
Anyway, I have been going on about a pull back for ages and if we are following this Fractel from 2013-2017 ATH, then we are due one. And we aRE LATE for it.
But, apart from the Bitcoin Weekly MACD which maybe turning Bearish, PA has strength to continue pushing higher
The Fractal has a -30% pull back in it, a sharp fall that was bought back up., which we are already late for.
Now, I also have been talking about a date that is coming up in a number of charts as a date of interest. that date is 23rd January. Given a tolerence of error, that could point towards 20th - the day Trump gets appointed President.
As the media will have us understand, He is a Crypto friendly Man But who is to say that will avoid the "Buy the News, Sell the Event" type moment.
The most bullish Crypto coins have suffered sharp pull backs after "events", including BTC in the past.
So, Maybe just have this in mind and have a plan in place.
There is NO guarantee that if BTC pulls back, that ALTS will run.
I doubt I will get many Boosts on this...
But, It is a possible outcome and you are well advised to have precautions...because, at some point, BTC will begin to pull back
Get that plan ready now, it may happen on Monday
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Bitcoin PA still in channel but is it ready to break out ?We can see that PA is still in channel and seemingly getting rejected off resistance mid channel.
Is this Terrible News ?
I do not think so. If we go back and look at the 2013 - 2017 run, we can also see PA was tame in the 2 years of mid cycle. held down by a rising trend line and, for me, I can see that this cycle also but on a bigger scale.
We wait for PA to break over that line and then the upper trendline, to reach for New ATH
This may happen Late spring or Early Autumn.
I can wait
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Colour Close and patterns since 2011First of All HAPPY NEW YEAR TO YOU ALL
And I think we will see an excellent year for Bitcoin.
But, for now, we walk into slightly uncharted territory
Previous JANUARY candle colours are 7 GREEN and 6 RED.
The previous DECEMBER was the same score but now, As December closed RED, it is now 7 all.
Of the previous 7 Red Decembers, only 3 were followed by a Green January.
the 1 st was the month after the 2013 ATH but the other 2 were in 2020 and 2023, both of which were en-route to ATH, so the odds are that we Could be in a good place.
But do understand that in 2020, Feb and March were Bloody and Frb 2023 was a close call but just managed to remain Green.Given how overbought the weekly MACD is , this may happen again.
We have had a RED January after a RED december on 3 occasions also and PA levelled out after that with a GREEN February on each occasion. 2 of those eventually led to rises over all and one, in 2022, we went into the bear market after an attempt in Spring to climb higher.
For me, I think we are still following that 2013 - 2017 ATH Fractel and this is , to some extent, backed up by the inverted Red Hammer Candle ( only just )
This is technically a ~BEARISH sign and if we follow the Fractel, we are expecting a Drop in Janaury down to around 88K - 72K
If this happens and I repeat, IF this happens, it is an excellent buying opportunity and possibly the last one below 100 K ever.
It has to be said that Nothing is set in stone and "patterns" can be broken and we are certainly in times were things can change and quickly, so, Have an idea of what you will do in any situation and stick to that idea.
If we are continuing to follow previous cycles, 2025 is the year we attain a new End of Cycle ATH and there are a wide variety of ideas of that will be.
But in the back of my head, I am wondering if we have accelerated the PA. We reached a New ATH in the 3rd year of 4 year cycle.
Only Time will tell whats nexrt but lets be ready for it
Stay Safe and healthy
Where next and When for this Bitcoin Cycle- is it Over ?
It is Far from over.
In fact, in many way, Bitcoin has Just begun its new life.
It was born in 2008, it has just gone through its childhood and now, as it becomes accepyted across Finacial Markets worldwide, it is maturing into adulthood.
And so, by concequence, everything I am about to say may be completely wring as we have no real idea of how high Bitcoin will go.
As the chart shows, It has been in a Rising channel since Nov 2022 and really took off in January 2023.
There are many founded expectations for a High in Spring and in Late summer to winter 2025
If we follow the Upper trend line of this channel, I would expect PA to "top out" on the Fib extensions marked with a circle at 134K in April / May and anoither ATH, THE ATH of the cycle towards the end of the year.
It is this one, the Last ATH oi the Cycle that is the hardest to pin point. On this chart, we see an area of around 170K. There are projections that see high of nearer 800K though this is optimistic..Not impossible..But optimistic.
In the shorter term, we can see how Pa has ranged along the upper trend line
Rejection from here is highly likely though on lower Timeframes, there is abil;ity to continue.
If wer get rejected, a Srop to 87K is likely to be th eMax Drop in my viewl the the 2.618 fib line,
You can see it was tested as support as we crossed over it.
So, inconclusion, I think we will see a pull back, most likely in January but then, Pa wil recover well to reach a New ATH in spring. From there, liekly for a cool summer and an end of year grand finale to New ATH
NONE of this is FACT. It is My opinion and could be wrong.. But I am working on these assumptions
Lets see if they come out or not.
Happy New Year everyone
UPDATE to "Did BTC Crash or Bullish Move"On the longer Term timelines, Bitcoin is still strong and recovering from its push higher but sadly for us, It lost that support line mentioned in the previous post witht he title above
The Chart Below shows this clearly
This is the 4 hour chart
We can see how PA kept testing and retesting that line of support but eventualy fell through but what is still Bullish is how PA broke through that descending line of resistance.
That takes away one problem but we have at least 2 strong lines of resistance above now AND RSI is overbought and so, I think we can expect further Dips and at the very least, a Longer Term range, as we did from March to September this year.
The Weekly MACD is in a very simialr position as it was back then, OVERBOUGHT but lower timeframes are neutral or below and so some strength is found.
We are , on average, still in ACCUMULATION with small pockets of Distribution as we have seen over the last couple of days. But Accumulation is certainly the trend that continues
I am beginning to doubt a New December ATH and I am expecting January to be RED and so, now I am looking to that MARCH ATH as more realistic possibility
But, this is BITCOIN.........Anything can happen
Did BTC really Crash or just a Bullish move ? IT IS BULLISH MOVESo many people, including some "Experts" have called this Dip by BTC as a Crash, caused by inflation and / or the Fed
But it is NOT that at all, it is a perfect retest of resistance and here is why
I have posted this chart a number of times here and it still stands, when PA crosses over that lower Bold line. PA is en-route to ATH.
PA has been bouncing along this line for a number fo weeks, failing to break over and stay above
This chart, daily, was taken just a little while ago
And here we can clearly see that PA broke over that line of resistance and is now returning and tested it as support.
So far, we are holding above it
Should PA just range along this, we can see that Red 50 SMA coming in as support but this line we just crossed, if we can hold above...well.....It could be a Very nice christmas presant..
25 Dec....... You heard it here ;-)
Have a good one.
IF we loose support, there is plenty of support below...but have aplan incase.....always have a plan
Bitcoin's Recent Surge and Potential OutlookBitcoin has experienced a significant surge in recent days, breaking through the $100,000 mark. This bullish momentum is evident on the daily chart, with the price forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic sign of an uptrend.
Potential Scenarios:
Continued Upward Momentum: If the current bullish trend persists, Bitcoin could continue to rally towards new all-time highs. Key resistance levels to watch include the psychological $110,000 and $120,000 levels.
Short-Term Correction: Given the overbought conditions, a short-term pullback to retest is possible. However, this could provide a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Trading Strategies:
Long-Term Investors: Continue to hold Bitcoin and consider buying additional positions on any dips.
Short-Term Traders: Be cautious and consider taking profits on existing positions. If a pullback occurs, look for buying opportunities near key support levels.
Important Considerations:
Volatility: Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and price swings can be significant.
Market Sentiment: Positive news and developments in the cryptocurrency industry can fuel further price increases.
Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations can impact the price of Bitcoin.
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD
UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Bitcoin Trading Strategy for 18th November 2024Bitcoin Trading Strategy: Buy Above 91,500 / Sell Below 88,700
Current Price: 90,706.00 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 91,500 on the one-hour candle, it indicates an upward momentum, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 88,700 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a downward momentum, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is around 90,706.00 USD, indicating potential for both bullish and bearish activity based on the key levels.
Pay close attention to the range between 88,700 to 91,500 for support and resistance levels.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 91,500 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions. Book partial profits at 91,300 levels or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 91,800 and 92,500.
Sell: If the price breaks below 88,700 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions. Book partial profits at 88,900 levels or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 88,000 and 87,500.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin Trading Strategy for 15th November 2024 IST 1630 HRSBitcoin Trading Strategy: Buy Above 89,800 / Sell Below 86,600
Current Price: 89,506.00 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 89,800 on the one-hour candle, it indicates an upward momentum, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 86,600 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a downward momentum, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is around 89,506.00 USD, indicating potential bullish activity.
Pay close attention to the range between 86,600 to 89,800 for support and resistance levels.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 89,800 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions. Book partial profits at 89,700 levels or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 90,000 and 90,500.
Sell: If the price breaks below 86,600 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions. Book partial profits at 86,700 levels or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 86,000 and 85,500.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
SWING TRADE IN BITCOIN - TRADE ON SHORT SIDE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - BTCUSDT
BTCUSDT is currently trading at 68200
My reversal setup has formed in BTCUSDT & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting BTCUSDT Futures at CMP 68200
I will add more position if 69000 comes & will hold with SL 70300
Targets I'm expecting are 65920 - 63300 - 60875
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
A decending triangle patterns showing on BITCOIN A decending triangle patterns showing on BITCOIN
A short term 15m tradeing setup showing on BITCOIN
Selling setup
With a risk reward ratio of 1:10
The setup giving clarity to selling because in longterm it's a Down TREND
Also in a pick top lable
And forming a DOWN setup
So according to the combine results of
15minit 1hour and daily chat
And the short term setup
All are of them indicating the same SELLING SETUP
Also cryptocurrencies are follows priseaction in a good way
Follow for more please don't use more than one percentage of your capital
Follows risk reward
Tradeing rules
And be deceplened
Try to be a better trader
Love you all❤️
BITCOIN SHOWING A GOOD UPWARD MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD BITCOIN SHOWING A GOOD UPWARD MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:6 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD D
UP MOVE WITH 1:6 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD
UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you