Budget
Nifty India Consumption IndexNifty India Consumption had witnessed a 50% reversal from a Bearish AB=CD. Post which it is now getting very close to a Bearish Harmonic Alt Shark near 5240, the outer limit of this pattern tallies with the outer limit of the previous bearish pattern at 5270. If this pattern works out as expected then this last leg of rally could see some profit booking and retest of 5100-5000
Levels of 560 – 545 may provide support to the stock and it moveThe stock registered a breakout this week and have managed a close above the clouds. The RSI has moved into the bullish zones with MACD above zero. The stock has become a long candidate an pullbacks. Levels of 560 – 545 may provide support to the stock and it may move up to 580, 590 & 620 levels. If the stock fails to hold itself at 545 levels then it may further correct down to 535 & 510 levels.
Don't Short Nifty tomorrow! Renko charts says so!Pre & Post Budget movements are most rewarding if captured correctly. Since the last two budgets, we are seeing a sharp fall post budget. This time it seems, this may not repeat. Renko charts says so! The market may either continue its upward journey or may trade in a narrow range. So I will either suggest going long on NSE:NIFTY or just SELL PUT options of Nifty with a strike price of 11900 of 11th, 18th or 25th expiry!
Intraday + complete view on NIFTY A " Spike " can generate after breaking-out area between Value High to Contro Price . The " control price " always attract value toward it.
The intraday Resistance 12003 nearby and Support 11936.
There is actually two channel, One is a " major channel" which is still exist because its an excess. If the price starts to fall then, we can more and more fall.
Suppose, the current market price is at an excess, then we can spike downward at 11750 below.
Nifty 50 - Short term correctionNifty 50 is in a upward trend. To sustain it a correction is necessary. Between feb and march Nifty 50 might retrace to 0.618 fib levels. That would be around 10500. RSI shows a down trend and MACD is also moving towards a cross over.
However we need to keep a close look as budget on Feb 1 might influence the direction of Nifty 50.
Do your own research before getting into any trade!
NIFTY - BUDGET DAY IDEA | Must ReadAttention please ...
tomorrow is budget day and lot of movement is expected.
You'll get a lot of calls/ideas saying this will happen, that will happen, go long, go short, etc.
But, as professional traders, we know that predicting is not our job, our job is to make money.
Believe me, whoever tells you that he knows what all will be announced in budget and how the stocks and index will react, he is lying. Nobody knows, not even Jaitley, that at what level will Nifty go. Hence, don't decide pehle se hi ki main to long hi jaunga, nifty badhega ya main to short karunga, nifty girega. That's a beginner's approach. Not ours :p
Crazy movement is seen on budget day. So trade with caution and save yourself from swift movements against you. SL is must.
So, how do we do make money?
Here's my strategy,
( you can trade with other strategies too, but whatever I have written above is true for everything, that's why I titled it as a Must Read )
According to my analysis, I have marked levels on Nifty.
You can see R1 which is the Resistance, so if Nifty stays above today's CMP, there's no real resistance.
You can buy as long as it stays above it, Nifty is strong.
You can see S1 and S2, they are Support points, but they might be breached if the market is unhappy with the budget. You can go short when it goes below these lines, with the line as SL.
And then you can see S*1, S*2, S*3 which are stronger support lines which shouldn't be easy to go through, and which should act as your take profit points. ( targets ) when you go short below S1,S2.
If it goes below S*1, Nifty is too weak then.
Additionally, you can see a special blue trendline, if it stays above it, then Nifty is ultra strong, below it, not so much...
Final words : Stay calm, follow your plan, don't rush, take quick action, be prepared for reversals. Thanks and best of luck :)
ITC strong shorting candidateITC always suffers due to budget. Increased taxation on cigarettes is expected this budget, as every other budget.
ITC also has tested resistance again. And a powerful bearish piercing pattern with above average volume.
Short futures or buy cheaply ppriced OTM puts for quick profits after budget.
Budget opportunities NiftyThis time around the budget is more special than usual years, it is the budget after demonetisation and is coming one month earlier than usual. As seen in the chart and the green boxes the volatility usually peaks during the budget, this time we should expect no different. Another point is the strong negative correlation between the India Vix and Nifty. So good opportunity to write options around this time for Nifty Feb. Given the expectations ahead of this budget would expect a good rise in the market till end of the month.