GOLD Retracement faling can continueHello everyone,
MCX GOLD After registering lifetime high of 79775 fallen by more than 5% now trading at 75200 daily 200EMA still 5000 points away and if going to make 61% retracement then another 4000-6000 points fall can expect with supported volume for selling its overall bearish view.
Bullion
Gold buyers take a breather above 100-SMA, focus on $2,450Gold's recent strong performance suggests a positive sentiment among buyers, especially with its breakout above the 100-SMA and supportive RSI and MACD indicators. This technical strength points to a potential push towards the $2,450 resistance level, with further challenges anticipated at around $2,470 from a mid-July trend line, and additional resistance at $2,495 and $2,500.
On the downside, sellers will need a break below the 100-SMA, currently around $2,411, to gain momentum. Such a move could test the $2,400 mark, with further support levels at $2,383 and $2,350.
In summary, while Gold is currently on the buyers' radar, the upcoming resistance levels may cap the upside potential.
XAUUSD - SMALL RISK FOR HUGE REWARD ?XAUUSD currently trading at 2292
Shorting XAUUSD at CMP with 2320 SL.
Target would be 2230 - 2200 - 2180
Expecting a fall soon!
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Gold price recovery remains elusive below $1,880Gold recovers from a seven-month-old amid an oversold RSI (14) and failure to break the weekly horizontal support surrounding $1,815. However, the 21-SMA upside hurdle surrounding $1,830 and the one-week-long descending resistance line of around $1,840 restrict the short-term upside of the Gold price. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD remains on the bear’s radar unless it breaks a downward-sloping support-turned-resistance line from late June, close to $1,880 by the press time. Following that, a quick run-up to the $1,900 round figure can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the weekly support of around $1,815 will have to confront a slew of technical supports and oversold RSI (14) before allowing the Gold bears to visit the $1,800 round figure. Should the XAUUSD remain bearish past $1,800, a one-week-old descending support line of near $1,782 and the late November 2022 low of around $1,730 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, Gold bears take a breather after the previous day’s disappointing US data, as well as consolidate the latest losses ahead of Friday’s key US jobs report. However, the XAUUSD is not out of the woods yet, at least below $1,880. Hence, the latest bounce can be considered as a selling opportunity.
Gold price consolidates within symmetrical triangle above $1,900Gold price bounces off a one-week-old rising support line, as well as the 200-SMA, within a symmetrical triangle comprising levels marked since late July. Given the near-50.0 levels of the RSI and the impending bull cross on the MACD, the XAUUSD is likely to extend the latest rebound. The same highlights the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its July-August downside, near $1,937, ahead of shifting the market’s attention to the stated triangle’s top line, close to $1,947 at the latest. In a case where the bullion price remains firmer past $1,947, the monthly high of around $1,953 will act as the final defense of the bears.
On the flip side, the 200-SMA and an ascending support line from the previous week limit the immediate downside of the Gold price near $1,918 and $1,916 respectively. Following that, the triangle’s lower line surrounding $1,906 and the $1,900 will be crucial to watch for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the metal remains bearish past $1,900, the odds of witnessing a slump toward July’s low of $1,885 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, the Gold Price is likely to remain sidelined within the aforementioned triangle but advocates more volatility ahead.
Gold has limited downside room unless it breaks $1,900Gold price appears well set to print the first weekly loss in three as it defends the previous Friday’s U-turn from a key resistance line below the important Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). However, the 50-EMA pierces the 200-EMA from below and prints a “Golden Cross” bullish moving average crossover suggesting a corrective bounce in prices. Additionally, the RSI (14) also rebounds from the oversold territory and hence increases the odds of witnessing a corrective bounce towards the EMA convergence surrounding $1,930. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-August downturn, near $1,937, may please the XAUUSD buyers before testing them with a seven-week-old descending resistance line surrounding $1,950. Adding strength to the stated trend line resistance is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the “Golden Fibonacci Ratio”.
Meanwhile, the Gold buyer’s failure to defend Thursday’s corrective bounce needs to break $1,915 support to recall the sellers. Even so, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since late June, close to $1,900, appears a tough nut to crack for the XAUUSD bears afterward. It should be observed, though, that a clear downside break of $1,900 won’t hesitate to challenge the previous monthly low of around $1,884 while targeting the early March swing high of around $1,858 and then to the yearly bottom of $1,804, quickly followed by the $1,800 round figure.
To sum up, the Gold price remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest recovery.
Gold buyers seek re-entry but road towards north is long and bumGold braces for the first weekly gain in five while bouncing off the multi-month low marked earlier in the week, piercing the 200-DMA of late. The upside bias gains credence from a looming bull-cross on the MACD, as well as a recovery in the RSI (14) line from the oversold territory. However, a nine-month-old previous support line, close to $1,950, precedes a downward-sloping resistance line from early May, around $1,955 at the latest, to restrict the short-term upside of the XAUUSD. Also acting as a barrier towards the north is a three-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding the $1,985 and the $2,000 psychological magnet. In a case where the metal remains firmer past $2,000, the yearly high of around $2,067 will be in the spotlight.
On the flip side, the recent low of around $1,885 holds the key to the Gold seller’s entry. Following that, the early-March swing high of near $1,858 and the YTD bottom around $1,804, quickly followed by the $1,800 threshold, will challenge the XAUUSD bears. Should there be a sustained downtrend of the bullion past $1,800, the November 2022 peak of around $1,767 will act as the final defense of the buyers.
Overall, the Gold Price is likely to recover but the reversal of the multi-day-old bearish trend is still unclear to predict.
Gold stays bearish despite corrective bouncesGold braces for the fourth weekly losses even as a one-month-old falling support line defends intraday buyers. That said, the recovery appears elusive unless crossing the 200-SMA level of around $1,940. Even so, multiple tops marked since late May, surrounding $1,985, constitute a strong resistance for the bulls to cross before taking control. Following that, a run-up toward crossing the $2,000 round figure will be a cakewalk for the XAUUSD buyers while $2,050 and May’s peak of around $2,066 could gain the market’s attention afterward.
On the flip side, the aforementioned support line, around $1,887 by the press time, could keep poking the Gold sellers. However, a break of which could quickly drag the XAUUSD to the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the metal’s May-July moves, near $1,863. It’s worth noting that the bullion’s weakness past $1,863 will make it vulnerable to testing the yearly low of around $1,804, quickly followed by the $1,800 threshold.
Overall, Gold sellers keep the reins unless the prices remain below $1,985 but the downside room appears limited, which in turn suggests intermediate bounces in the price.
Gold sellers need to break $1,925 support for further downsideGold Price fades bounce off an upward-sloping support line from late February by retreating from the 50-DMA hurdle, around $1,945 by the press time. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals and a downward-sloping RSI (14), not oversold. With this, the XAUUSD is likely to break the stated support line, around $1,925 by the press time. Following that, a quick fall toward the $1,900 round figure can’t be ruled out. However, a six-month-long horizontal support zone around $1,890 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of February-May upside, near $1,860 may test the metal’s further downside before challenging the yearly low marked in March around $1,804.
On the contrary, a daily closing beyond the 50-DMA hurdle of around $1,945 may allow the Gold buyers to aim for the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of around $1,967. However, an area comprising multiple levels marked since May 19, close to $1,985, will challenge the XAUUSD bulls afterward. In a case where the bullion price rally crosses the $1,985 resistance, the $2,000 round figure may give a final fight to the optimists before giving them control.
Overall, the Gold Price remains on the back foot but a clear downside break of $1,925 becomes necessary for the bears to take control.
Gold and Silver forming bullish patterns Gold and Silver have both rallied strongly last week, they are now above the key resistance levels. Silver especially looks much better placed to rally compared to Gold. With the supports close by now there is a good chance that we see a good rally in the bullion.
Gold buyers appear well-set to visit $1,985 hurdleGold price rises to the highest level in a month after crossing a convergence of the 200-SMA and a six-week-old descending trend line, around $1,940 by the press time. The breakout joins bullish MACD signals to keep XAUUSD buyers hopeful. However, the overbought RSI (14) conditions suggest limited upside room, which in turn highlights a horizontal resistance area comprising multiple tops marked since May 18, close to $1,985. It’s worth noting that the metal’s upside past $1,985 appears difficult as the $2,000 psychological magnet and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-June downside, near $2,030, could challenge the bulls before directing them to the yearly top marked in May around $2,067.
On the contrary, Gold price pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond the $1,940 resistance-turned-support comprising the 200-SMA and a 1.5-month-long falling trend line. Following that, the early-month swing high of around $1,934 and the previous resistance line stretched from May 04, close to 1,916, at the latest, will challenge the XAUUSD sellers. In a case where the bullion bears keep the reins past $1,916, the $1,900 will act as the last defense of the bulls.
Overall, Gold Price is likely to rise further towards the short-term key resistance as the US Dollar drops heavily.
SILVER- Inverted Head and Shoulders Breakout BUY!Attached: XAGUSD Daily Chart as of 17th March 2023
Price closed up 4.20% on Friday with a Bullish Marubozu Candle
At the same time also triggering a Bullish Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern Breakout
Action Plan as follows:
Buy triggered with Friday's Closing✅
Stop Loss⚠️ below 21.25
Upside Target🎯= 25 + (which is also the measured move of the IHNS Pattern)
Silver has to catch up📈 with Gold as the Precious Metals Bull Run unfolds amidst a Banking Crisis, High Inflation and Rising Interest Rates
SILVER- Relative Strength says Buy!XAGUSD
Another Bullish Signal for Silver🥈
Attached: XAGUSD/ Nifty 50 Weekly Chart as of 31st March 2023
- This Relative Strength Chart indicates that the Outperformance of Silver over Equity (Nifty 50) has started 📈
-It is similar to the Signal on Gold🥇 that I had shared on New Year's Day and you can see how fabulously well that Gold Buy Signal played out for us ‼️
- Expect the same for Silver as I have been saying that Silver has to catch up with Gold
So if Not Already in Silver,
Get In As Soon As Possible or you will miss the Move 🚀!
Note:
In my previous post on Silver, I highlighted an Inverted Head & Shoulder Breakout BUY SIGNAL
Since that post, Silver is up 6.60% and counting....
GOLD MCX GOLD FORMING 5-0 HARMONIC PATTERN AND GARTLEY ON DAILY CHART
Sell gold below 56980 add more 57170 two days closing stop loss 57463 above target 56000-55200-54400-53500
taking two days closing just bcoz 2 big event upcoming first one is indian union budget second one is fed int rate
import duty should cut in budget expected already last 2 time hiked with high %
{{{{{ last posted not active Sell below 56466 with closing stop loss of 57200 above target 55200-54400-53500}}}}}
last idea attached below
Silver lost 2700 Rupee from top Silver prices corrected after prices rallied on the news that India raised total taxes on silver imports 15% and on silver dore to 14.35%, the government said in a statement on Wednesday, in an effort to align the duty structure of the metal with gold. - The euro dipped against the dollar on Thursday after the European Central Bank (ECB) hiked interest rates by a widely expected 50 basis points and offered no new hawkish surprises, while the Bank of England (BofE) adopted a more dovish tone on inflation.
Gold Elliott Wave CountsGold had made triple bottom around 1620 & has made a leading Diagonal in Wave ((1)) of new Impulse so a break down from this leading pattern could result a pullback in Wave ((2)) & in same time DXY should rise in Wave B the larger trend for Gold for this year should remain bullish until we breach 1620 a commodity boom in second half 2023 can push prices to new all time highs.
Gold stays on the way to $2,075Despite the recent pullback from a 19-month high, gold remains above a fortnight-long ascending support line to keep buyers hopeful. The bullish bias also gains support from an upward sloping RSI, not overbought. That said, the metal currently eyes 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late January-February moves, around $2,030. However, the metal’s further upside will be hindered by the $2,071-75 zone comprising the 100% FE and tops marked during August 2020. Should the gold bulls manage to cross the $2,075, a quick rally beyond $2,100 will be imminent.
On the contrary, a downside break of the aforementioned support line, near $1,978 at the latest, will have an additional filter to the south around $1,975, comprising February’s high. Following that, a five-week-old rising trend line and the 100-SMA, close to $1,935-30, will be a tough nut to crack for the gold bears. It’s worth noting, however, that a clear break of $1,930 will push back bullish hopes by directing the metal prices towards late February’s bottom around $1,878.
Overall, gold remains in a bullish trend and is well-set to refresh the previous record high.
Silver Analysis !! #Silver #Bullions Description : Silver is forming a beautiful triangle as lower supports are getting tested whereas upper resistance levels are getting lower as you can see with trendline zone.
Support Area : Break of Support at 21-22$ downside will lead to immediate support at 19$. Although Support are has been tested several time it breaks might see free fall.
Resistance Area : Break of resistance on upside 25-25.5$ on upside will lead to 28$ and then followed by 30$
Silver - Correction about to complete, will resume uptrend soonSilver has completed 1-2-3-4-5 and A-B-C
C is unfolding in 5 waves and looks like 1-2-3-4 is done, any dip from here should be looked as an opportunity to buy.
Entry can be based on bullish candlestick pattern or violation of wave 4 of C high (64450)
Silver - Pullback done, will resume upward journey soonSilver is bullish in all time frame
about to complete a pullback and formed triangle.
In this counter we should be on a look out to create a fresh long entry for marked target.
Any bullish reversal candle in 15 min tf, should be used to make entry
R:R is a good 1:3