GOLD’S NEXT MOVE WILL SHOCK THE ENTIRE MARKETLast week in gold was extremely interesting. At the start of the week, we saw a strong sell-off in the market. But as soon as the key support level around **$4100** broke down, gold delivered a sharp and aggressive reversal.
To be honest, this reversal was necessary. Gold had been in continuous selling pressure for several weeks, and in such conditions, when an important support level breaks, many traders start selling randomly. They assume that a major crash will follow just because a key level has been broken.
However, markets don’t work that way. Instead, what usually happens is a **liquidity sweep and reversal**, where those late sellers get trapped — and that is exactly the move we witnessed toward the end of last week.
Now the most important question is:
Is this reversal sustainable, or is the market still strongly bearish?
Should we start buying aggressively, or does selling pressure still dominate?
Let’s break this down through market psychology and build a plan for the upcoming week using key institutional levels.
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The move after the **$4100 breakdown** was clearly strong. If you look at last Thursday’s 4H candle, it shows powerful bullish volume entering the market. Because of this, I strongly believe that gold will continue upward after the market opens.
My expectation is that on Monday, the market will move higher and invite buyers at elevated levels. Once price breaks the **$4270 zone (around $4270–$4300)**, we could see another selling move from that area.
This move will likely be designed to trap those traders who entered buying positions at higher levels. After trapping them, I expect gold to move down toward the **$4130–$4160 zone**.
This will create a scenario where:
* Buyers from Friday get trapped
* New buyers from Monday get trapped
* Market sentiment turns bearish again
At that point, many traders will believe that the downtrend is strong and will shift back to selling.
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But here’s where things get interesting.
I expect a **fake Change of Character (ChoCh)** this week.
For the past several weeks, gold has consistently broken previous weekly lows. So naturally, if the market moves up first and then drops again, traders will expect another breakdown of the previous week’s low and will jump into selling.
But I believe the market will deceive traders this time.
Around the **$4134 level**, I expect a strong upside move. From there, gold could push toward **$4225, $4271, and $4304**, and eventually even break **$4366**.
Now, if you observe carefully, the **$4366 level** acted as resistance last week and triggered a sell-off. Previously, it was also a strong buying zone that failed.
While it’s true that strong trends respect resistance, I do not trust publicly visible resistance levels — because they often turn into traps.
That’s why I believe gold will eventually break **$4366**. But after that breakout, a bigger game could begin.
Below this level, sellers will continue trying to catch the top. But once price moves above **$4366**, market sentiment will shift, and traders will start buying aggressively at higher levels. That’s when the market could reveal its real intention.
For now, above **$4134**, I see a large upside range available — potentially up to **$4410** in the coming weeks.
Why? Because:
* There are many random sellers in the market
* They need to be trapped
* Fresh sellers also need to be hunted
Only after a proper sentiment shift will the market make its real move.
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Coming back to the recent recovery from **$4100**, I still consider it a **liquidity sweep and reversal**, not a confirmed trend shift or a strong base.
This year, we’ve seen multiple strong bullish moves in gold, but the market has repeatedly returned to selling. The reason is simple psychology:
For years, gold moved in a one-sided uptrend, and many traders missed that rally. Now, after the recent crash, those same traders are trying to find buying opportunities — and the market is continuously trapping them.
Until weak hands are fully liquidated and traders lose confidence in buying, I don’t expect a clean trend reversal.
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Now, the most important level for me is **$4410**.
This is my key decision-making zone.
* If gold sustains above **$4410**, it could signal a long-term bullish continuation
* But if we see a sharp rejection from that level, it will confirm that the market is still in a trap phase
In that case, gold could eventually break the **$4025 low** and even drop below **$4000**.
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### My Trading Plan for the Upcoming Week:
* If gold breaks **$4225**, I will look for buying opportunities
* Targets: **$4247–$4268**
* I will close my buying positions in that zone
* The **$4270–$4300 zone** looks choppy to me
* From there, I expect a reversal
* I will look for selling opportunities with confirmation
* Targets: **$4150–$4130**
* Around **$4134**, I consider it a strong institutional buying level
* From there, I expect a strong buying move for bigger targets
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### Why I Expect an Upside Move at Market Open:
If we analyze Friday’s price action, it clearly favored buyers. That’s why I expect bullish pressure at the start of the week.
Also, if the market moves up directly:
* Traders will jump into buying at higher levels
* These buyers can later be trapped easily
At the same time, I don’t expect the market to drop immediately, because many traders were holding selling positions at the close. Trapping those sellers is important.
If the market drops first toward **$4134** and then rises:
* It will give traders a comfortable buying opportunity
* They will believe the liquidity sweep is real
But I believe that assumption would be wrong.
The market should not give easy entries at the bottom early in the week. Instead, it will likely move up first, then drop sharply — creating fear among buyers and confidence among sellers.
That’s where market makers take advantage.
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That’s my complete view for the week.
I hope this detailed psychological analysis along with key levels helps you understand the market better and gives you something valuable to learn from.
Volatility is increasing, and volume is strong — which means there are good opportunities ahead. The goal now is to capture clean moves and aim for bigger targets.
Let me know your market view as well — I’d like to hear your perspective.
