How to categorize trends?In times like these when markets are moving down so much from the high point, it is important to understand this chart.
In a Bull market, the market consistently makes higher highs and higher lows. When the market starts moving lower, people start fearing an incoming bear market or a crash. But it is important to note that, if the market is down <10% from all time high, it is not enough to be considered a correction.
A correction is when the market is trading between 10% and 20% lower from the all time high. Currently Nifty 50 is only down 7.5% from the high point. Hence, it cannot really be termed as a correction yet either.
A bear market is defined when the prices are trading more than 20% from the all time high. This point is very very far away for Nifty and it would have to go down below 12,350 for it to be considered a bear market.
In my opinion, if one is a long term investor, all dips on the market are good opportunities to start buying more shares. It is not possible for any one predict and buy right at the bottom of the dip. Hence, I consider the current market situation to as a time to accumulate small quantities of stocks which you can keep adding to if the market dips further.
Bullmarket2020
Double Confirmation Trade on Nifty50There were 2 strong indications to go short on Nifty:
1. M pattern (Double top) forming around 15,230.
2. TrendLine break and last kiss was also seen.
The target logically was the last region of consolidation where I expected Nifty to find support, which was around 15,100.
The market has been range bound since the post budget rally and is finding it difficult to break significant levels to move higher. This means that trading the boundaries is more logical and will yield more profits.
The market bounced back very sharply from 15,000 and moved to the other extreme of 15,200.