JSW STEEL IS NEAR THE BREAKOUT LEVEL. JSW price rose with good volume participation in today's session. The setup is based on the XABCD bearish butterfly pattern.
Go long if the price sustains above the breakout level.
The stop loss, breakout, and target levels are mentioned on the chart.
Happy trading :)
This is just for educational purposes.
Butterfly
HOW THE HARMONIC PATTERNS HELP IN OPTION TRADING AND VOLATILITYThe underlying chart gives us the data but it is important to look into the options chart for the trade.
We normally wait for the breakouts to happen in the underlying chart but they happen way ahead in the options chart. By the time we take a trade in the options, it would have been late in options pricing.
Below is the bank nifty options chart
You can see that the breakouts are happening in both charts.
Normally, the terminal bar price for a XACBD bearish butterfly pattern will be at the 1.618 fib ratio. However, for the shorts who enter at this level, the stop loss will be the next fib ratio i.e., 2 in this case.
Shorts who entered at 1.618 would have exited in a loss at 2 level, then the price reversed drastically. The long traders who thought there would be a short-covering are trapped mercilessly.
This pattern would have benefitted the traders who entered at point B (164.5) and trailed until 1.618 level ( D=197). The price pushed above until 2 (212) but hasn't closed above it and came down quickly. This trade would have given at least 20% for the longs.
What I've learned from the harmonics in the volatile and fast-moving scripts is that always mark stop-loss levels also and wait for the price action to proceed.
This post is just to show the importance of harmonics in options trading and for educational purposes. Give a like and leave a comment if this helps you.
Happy trading :)
NIFTY INTRADAY BUY LEVELCurrently, in this choppy market like today, buying at supports and exit at resistance is preferred.
Here, in my opinion, the best level to go long again in nifty is 17780, where put writers will support as well as XABCD reversal level will support.
Be patient and do not jump in option buy positions as today is Friday. You shouldn't be stuck until Monday to exit.
17780 level may not come today but it will have a better risk-reward ratio and is good for positional trade as well.
Happy trading :)
This is just for educational purposes.
NAVIN FLUORINE INT. PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS. TARGETS FOR LONGSToday Navin Flourine broke out its previous all-time high with high volumes. Wait for the pullback if the price starts falling, can go long above 3890 and place stop loss at 3890.
If the price sustains above 4015 then go long and targets are given by the XABCD bearish butterfly pattern's 1.27,1.414 and 1.618 extensions.
Place the stop loss below 3890.
Happy trading :)
This is just for educational purposes. Trade responsibly.
BPCL PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS. PRICE TARGETSBPCL is trying to break the resistance at 481, which has not been sustained since last year. If BPCL manages to stay above 481, then we can see momentum to the upside.
Go long above 481 and place a stop loss below 440. This is a monthly timeframe analysis, so we can provide some time for the price to adjust in case of a fall. Add more quantity when the price comes to test the trendline on the chart.
The targets are given by the XABCD bearish butterfly pattern. This is a very good risk-reward trade setup.
Happy trading :)
This is just for educational purposes.
ETH IN A CRITICAL ZONEETHEREUM is in a critical area from where it could likely breakdown. But the confirmation comes if it breaks the demand zone as well. Breaking the consolidation zone in the upper side with good volumes could give upward rally as well but that doesn't seem to be a likely case currently.
Buy Marico above 554Marico's price closed with good volumes and RSI above 60. That's a bullish closure. This momentum could continue in the next trading session also.
After falling off of the uptrend line. the price got corrected. Here we can see a bullish butterfly pattern on the chart, the demand zone is formed by the 1.414 and 1.618 fib retracements of the pattern.
The price bounced off of the demand zone and closed above point B with high volumes. This tells there's momentum in Marico. As per the butterfly pattern, traders often trail their profits until point A of the pattern. It makes it necessary to ensure the price sustains above 554 for a new upward rally.
Stop loss is mentioned on the chart and for targets use fib ratios on the chart for trailing profits. If there's any development in the targets or pattern, I will update here.
Happy trading, :)
This is not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
BANK NIFTY TARGET PRICE LEVELSBank nifty showed a fantastic rally after breaking the 36100 price level. If it continues to sustain above 36300, then go long. Target 1 is given by AB=CD pattern with 2 as fib extension.
If bank nifty manages above target 1 then trail stop loss until target 3. Targets 2 and 3 are in the PRZ, so book your profits timely. Above this PRZ, there will be another rally with shorts covering but considering today's rally, the index may undergo consolidation or correction.
Place stop loss at 36134 price level. The logic for the stop loss is simple, 36100 was a strong resistance level. Now it became a support level.
Happy trading :)
This is not an investment idea. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Bearish Butterfly - Potential Short TradeThis is the first time I am trying Harmonic Patterns, and since we are betting against a very bullish market, I have by doubts.
However, the price fell from a well tested Resistance Trend Line, and the RSI is also slowly falling down from the Overbought region. I have kept a close stop loss just above the recent high. Fingers Crossed.
Reliance may breakdown furtherHead and shoulders patterns observed in Reliance Industries with a slanted neckline. The neckline got broken and can be tested at 2100 level. If it fails to rise above 2100 and sustain, we could see a short opportunity with targets mentioned in the chart.
The logic has been explained in the chart. Being a Nifty heavyweight, it could drag nifty further down below 15700 levels. As markets are waiting for IT heavyweights results, Nifty seems neutral to bullish. Anyways this could be a short trap. So, please maintain a strict SL of 15 points.