Candlestick Analysis
BANKNIFTY in better shape than NIFTY As we can see BANKNIFTY has not yet breached the lower trendline despite NIFTY’s weakness which has breached the lower channel. Though BANKNIFTY is yet to take support at lower trend line, we may expect BANKNIFTY to show REVERSAL from given zones hence any signs of REVERSAL at the trendline could be a good buy keeping SL closing basis below the trendline so plan your trades accordingly guys.
Nifty montly chart analysis for Month of April 2024.Nifty is around the ATH and there is profit booking at the higher levels.
The market is spending time near the high and last week too it has test the ATH. Seller are there in the higher levels and closing of the weekly candel is dicey.
Higher time frame is showing some RSI bearish divergence and market is forming grave stone doji on the daily charts.
Monthly charts has not formed a red candle still and is forming doji after doji which still shows no clear bearish indication. But the price is trading on the higher levels of the bollinger band.
Market participants be cautious as there seems to be a bearish month ahead.
This being the election year may remain volatile till the election results. Spike may be seen in this month or the next one either side.
Trend is still bullish and doji on the higher levels may indicate a reversal after a price action formation.
This month was a volatile one and market didn't settle either side. There was days when market has moved more than 400 points.
Last day move, is the only trending move in last 2 weeks, closing 180 points lower from the day high.
Price action is needed to be formed around the higher levels on higher time frame to confirm the trend.
LT Weekly follow up and track Since the channel has been broken wave iii is complete and we are in a wave iv . It has reached wave 4 of one lesser degree . Since wave iii is a 5 wave move with and extended wave 1 , we can expect correction till wave 2 of one lesser degree ie the blue patch shown . Note we can initiate buying only when reversal with support occurs eg Hammer , Morning star , Moribozu , Engulfing green etc . buying then will be considered established only when the highest high of these formations are traded with support . Regards
NIFTY failed to REVERSE! What’s next? As we can see NIFTY broke down our channel and fell unidirectionally despite our view being on the buy side as we expected a strong REVERSAL from given levels. Now we can see it has formed more like a marabozu candle in daily time frame showing weakness hence if NIFTY opens weak to flat then we may see another strong downfall else if opens strong and inside the structure then we may see a strong REVERSAL so must be ready for both side tomorrow so plan your trades accordingly.
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in MothersonGo Long above 93.95 for Targets of 105.65, and 125.15 with SL 90.05
Reasons to go Long:
1. On a weekly timeframe if we draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the swing low (point A) to the swing high (point B) then we see stock took support from the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
2. Also a bullish candlestick pattern Bullish Engulfing (marked with orange color) is formed around 0.5 Fibonacci level.
3. In addition to this there is a strong demand zone (marked with purple color), from which the stock initially faced resistance but now is taking support and moving up.
Positional or Long term Opportunity in Craftsman AutomationGo Long @ 4160.1 for Targets of 4456.75, 4753.4, 5050.05 and 5346.7 with SL 3863.45
Reasons to go Long :
1. On a Weekly timeframe if we draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the recent swing low (point A) to the recent swing high (point B) then we see stock took support from the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this a bullish candlestick pattern Bullish Hammer (marked with orange color) is formed around the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong Trendline (marked with green color), from which the stock is taking support and moving up.
Positional or Longterm opportunity in RatnamaniGo Long @ 2915.1 for Targets of 3110.2, 3305.3, and 3500.4 with SL 2720
Reasons to go Long :
1. On a Weekly timeframe if we draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the recent swing low (point A) to the recent swing high (point B) then we see stock took support from the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this a bullish candlestick pattern Bullish Harami (marked with orange color) is formed around the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong Trendline (marked with green color), from which the stock is taking support and moving up.