Finnifty weekly expiry and Budget day intraday levels (23/07/24)Tomorrow it the budget day and the markets today closed in a neutral scenario, forming doji on the daily charts.
Option premiums are inflated and the VIX closed gaining 4%.
On 15 minutes time frame, the market has given a lower low formation and retraced back to 61.8% fib levels.
If the market starts trading below 23500, good crack down can be seen upto 23410 and can travel to hit lower support zone around 23320.
In case of a break out of today's high (23720), bulish trade can be entered with a strict stop loss and target of 23840.
Major support zone :- 23590, 23410, 23320
Resistance levels :- 23720, 23840
Wait for the price action and a good momentum for buying the options, as there will be a good time decay in the premiums.
Candlestick Analysis
Bullish break out in the stocks for this week 08/07/2024..
ONGC is a government sector company is trading around the resistance zone. If there is a break out of the consolidation zone good returns can be captured in the stock.
The stock has taken a good support from 20 ema which also gives a confidence to hold the stock for a swing trading.
Even on the daily charts, the stock has test the 200 ema and chance of it clearing the resistance level is high.
A round number figure of 300 can be seen as the next resistance as the stock will be trading in an uncharted zone after the break out.
Kotak bank has been trading in a range and the upper resistance zone is around 2050 levels. The stock is currently trading around 1850 levels and has taken support from both the moving averages on the weekly charts.
If the stock sustain the break out there are chance of it hitting the resistance level soon. The target for trading are there on the chart.
Long term stock positions can also be created in the stock as it seems to show some bullishness.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Banknifty analysis for 19/07/24.Banknifty on the weekly time frame is still forming an inside candle. If it crosses the previous weekl high of 52800, a bullish trade can be made.
The hourly time frame, there is a inverted Head and Shoulder pattern and the high probability trade can be initiated as Nifty is trading around Life time high of 24800.
There is chances of BN catching up with other index.
Major Break out level :- 52800
Targets :- 53080, 53250
In case the market starts break down, trade only once it break the support zone of 52150-52200.
Wait for the price action around the levels before entering the market.
Gold July 16 2024Technical:
1. W - Strong uptrend.
2. D - Strong uptrend. There is rejection at resistance yesterday and closed below resistance.
3. 4H - Strong uptrend. Structure is very steep.
4. It is at all time high resistance.
5. It reached resistance with fundamental support also.
Fundamental:
1. USD negative so far..
2. Powell speech was not much impact. It helped to retest the break.
3. USD has red data at 6PM IST - mostly negative
Game plan:
1. Based on 4H structure, it may come down to 2397.695 to give retest.
2. Observe at this level what it doing.
3. If it rejects and made candle confirmation at 2433.302 at 1H timeframe, go for sell
4. If not getting chance to entry at 2433.302, wait for break of 2420 and take entry at retest.
5. Sell - Max target 2397.700.
6. Based upcoming economic data, we can expect it to go up and break resistance.
7. Buy - if market sustains above above 2433.300 - 2439.880 zone after break and retest to same zone.
8. Look for candle rejections before going for buy entry.
9. If you take entry , exit before the USD economic data release. or look for entry after the data release.
If get time to update anything, will update here.
GBPUSD - July 16 2024Technical:
1. Strong uptrend in all timeframes.
2. Strong momentum.
3. It is at resistance.
4. 1H - Consolidation and no momentum either side.
5. So far no confirmation to go any side in both 4H and 1H.
Fundamental:
1. USD data very negative so far.
2. Powell gave few good words about US economy but that won't help to go down.
3. GBP - No economic data for today.
4. USD - Red data at 6Pm.
Game plan:
1. both buy and sell.
2. Sell - Double top, Rejections, 4h/1H candle confirmation, Medium risk
Trail SL.
3. Buy - Go at marked levels. Based on confluence and confirmation, choose risk.
4. If it breaks resistance with strong bullish candle, go for trade.
5. Conservative sell - Wait for break and retest at 1.29612, then go for sell
based on rejections candles.
6. US economic data may help to break above and go.
Note: If you are in trade, exit before US economic data release. or after the data out, take entry based on situation.
Hint: Mostly it would go up ;P
GBPJPY - July 16 2024Technical Analysis:
1. Even though some weird selling pressure was there last week, it is still in uptrend.
2. W - Uptrend and last week rejected resistance and closed below resistance.
3. D - Uptrend and given fake out and closed below resistance.
4. 4H - There was buying pressure at support.
5. 4H - Made double bottom at support and candle stick confirmations.
Fundamental:
1. No use of having GDP data coming out.=, the same day market dropped much.
2. No economic data for today.
Game Plan:
1. Above 205.339 - Buy. 4H candle confirmation can be good at 204.726.
2. Below 204.500 - Sell. Break and retest and sustain below that level.
3. Be a buyer and take entry on marked support levels.
Is BANKNIFTY forming FLAG-POLE pattern..?As we can see BANKNIFTY is forming more like a flag-pole pattern which is also a bullish continuation pattern if the structure breaks but we can also see a trendline resistance which had been resisting BANKNIFTY for quite sometime now. Hence we can expect a trap if BANKNIFTY breaks but couldn’t sustain itself above the structure which could lead a to a bigger fall so plan your trades accordingly.
GBPUSD - Weekly AnalysisIt may give a pullback to 1.28951 and go up.
If it is not giving pullback, it may break 1.29946 and continue to go up.
Do not expect to give pullback because of strong uptrend.
If pullback / sell - These confirmation required to go for sell - double top, Candle confirmation and rejections - Trail SL.
Based on economic data also we have to decide the bias.