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CCL

BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Consolidated Breakout in CCL BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:CCL
by Kapil-Mittal
2
CCL: Post Q2FY26 Broke Flag Pattern on Weekly, Chart of the WeekThis Coffee Stock Just Broke Out With 80% Volume Surge - Should You Track CCL Products Above ₹1000? Post Strong Q2 FY26 Numbers, Let's Analyze in our Chart of the week below. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis - Multi-Timeframe Perspective: Long-Term Price Structure (2022-2025): Phase 1: The Accumulation Zone (2022): Base Building Period: January 2022 to July 2022 Price Range: ₹350-500 zone Character: Sideways consolidation with multiple retests of ₹400 level Volume Profile: Declining volume suggesting washing out of weak hands Market Psychology: Post-pandemic recovery phase with sector uncertainty Key Observation: Formation of a strong demand zone between ₹380-420 that acted as launchpad Phase 2: The Initial Markup (Late 2022 - Mid 2023): Duration: August 2022 to June 2023 Price Movement: ₹450 to ₹700 (55% rally) Character: Steady, systematic rise with higher highs and higher lows Pullback Behavior: Shallow retracements of 8-12%, indicating strong underlying demand Volume Pattern: Gradual volume expansion on up-moves, contraction on pullbacks Breakout Moment: Cleared ₹600 psychological barrier in April 2023 with authority Key Observation: Classic stage 2 uptrend with disciplined profit-taking zones Phase 3: The Distribution and Correction (Mid 2023 - Early 2024): Duration: July 2023 to March 2024 Peak Price: ₹720-730 zone Correction Depth: Fell to ₹550 (24% decline) Character: Sharp vertical rise followed by sideways-to-down correction Volume Profile: High volume selling near peaks, panic selling at lows Market Context: Broader market correction, FMCG sector underperformance Key Observation: The stock failed to sustain momentum above ₹700, creating a resistance zone Phase 4: The Recovery and Retest (Q2-Q3 2024): Duration: April 2024 to September 2024 Price Movement: ₹550 to ₹900 (64% recovery rally) Character: V-shaped recovery with strong momentum Resistance Encounter: Multiple attempts to cross ₹800-850 zone failed Volume Profile: Increasing volume on rallies but selling pressure near ₹800 Key Observation: Stock was building energy for next major move, testing resolve of bulls Phase 5: The Consolidation (Q4 2024 - October 2025): Duration: October 2024 to October 2025 Price Range: ₹750-900 (tight 20% range) Character: Sideways consolidation forming a rectangular base/flag pattern Lower Boundary: ₹750-780 (tested multiple times, held strongly) Upper Boundary: ₹880-900 (consistent resistance) Duration: Nearly 12 months of consolidation Volume Profile: Compression throughout consolidation with periodic spikes Key Observation: Longer the base, higher the potential breakout - this extended consolidation is bullish Current Price Action (November 2025): The Breakout Session (November 6-7, 2025): Previous Close: ₹867.60 Opening: Gap-up opening (likely around ₹950-970 zone based on chart) Intraday High: ₹1,034.50 Intraday Low: ₹910 (estimated from chart wicks) Closing: ₹1,025.15 Day's Gain: ₹165.40 (+19.24%) Trading Range: ₹124.50 (12% intraday volatility) Breakout Candle Characteristics: Candle Type: Large bullish marubozu-style candle (minimal wicks) Body-to-Wick Ratio: Approximately 85:15 (highly bullish) Upper Shadow: Very small (₹9.35), indicating no significant selling pressure at highs Lower Shadow: Minimal, showing buyers were in complete control from open Closing Strength: Closed near day's high (99.1% of high), demonstrating conviction Gap Behavior: No attempt to fill the opening gap throughout the session Price Action Interpretation: The stock has broken through a consolidation zone with explosive momentum Previous resistance at ₹900 was obliterated, not just crossed The lack of upper wick suggests no supply even at elevated prices Price discovery mode is active - buyers willing to chase at any price The closing near highs indicates strong hands holding positions overnight The stock has entered uncharted territory, creating new all-time highs Price Action Quality Assessment: Breakout Authenticity Score: 9/10 Gap-up opening: +2 points (shows conviction) High volume: +2 points (validates breakout) Close near high: +2 points (bullish control) Minimal retracement: +1 point (strong hands) Breaking all-time high: +2 points (new territory) What Makes This Breakout Special? It's not just breaking ₹900 resistance - it's jumping 15% above it The consolidation was long (time creates energy) Multiple failed attempts at ₹800-900 in past means trapped shorts The volume explosion (112x average) shows institutional involvement Closing near day's high indicates no distribution at top Volume Spread Analysis - The Institutional Footprint: Volume Quality Indicators: Indicator 1: Volume Price Trend (VPT) Status: Sharply positive Interpretation: Volume flowing into rising prices (bullish confirmation) Historical Context: Highest VPT reading since 2023 peak Indicator 2: On-Balance Volume (OBV) Movement: Massive upward spike Previous OBV: Sideways for 12 months Current OBV: Breaking out to new highs Interpretation: Accumulation confirmed, distribution phase over Indicator 3: Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) Intraday VWAP: Estimated around ₹980-1,000 Price vs VWAP: Closed 2.5-4.5% above VWAP Interpretation: Late buyers chasing, but sustainable given context Indicator 4: Accumulation/Distribution Line Trend: Sharply higher Reading: Strong accumulation Historical Context: Confirms institutional buying after 12-month consolidation Volume Characteristics Breakdown: What the Volume is Telling Us? Institutional Participation Evidence Retail traders cannot generate 1.72M share volume alone Block deals likely executed (need to check bulk/block deal data) Systematic buying throughout session suggests algos/institutions No single spike and fade pattern - sustained buying Average trade size likely higher than typical (sign of institutional activity) Short Covering Component Previous resistance at ₹900 trapped many short sellers Volume spike partially driven by forced short covering Estimated short covering contribution: 20-30% of total volume Remaining 70-80%: Fresh long positions and institutional buying Market Maker Activity Wide bid-ask spread likely during initial surge Liquidity providers would have facilitated large orders Options market likely saw heavy call buying (increases delta hedging volume) Delivery percentage will confirm genuine buying (expect 60-70%+) Volume Comparison with Historical Breakouts Previous Breakout Attempts (Failed) August 2024 attempt at ₹880: 0.8M shares (failed, price rejected) October 2024 attempt at ₹900: 1.0M shares (failed, closed below) March 2025 attempt at ₹870: 0.6M shares (failed, weak volume) Current Breakout (Successful) November 2025: 1.72M shares (72% higher than previous best attempt) Success Factors: Volume 2-3x higher than failed attempts + fundamental catalyst Historical Successful Breakouts for Comparison June 2023 breakout at ₹600: 1.2M shares (led to ₹700, 17% rally) Current volume is 43% higher than that successful breakout Expectation: Similar or larger percentage move Volume Red Flags and Cautions What to Watch For? If volume drops below 0.5M shares in next 3-5 sessions: Concerning (shows lack of follow-through) If price retraces 50%+ on volume higher than breakout: Major warning (distribution) If next up-day has volume less than today: Momentum weakening If stock gaps down on high volume: Breakout failure scenario Positive Confirmations Needed: Next 3 days should have volume above 0.4-0.6M shares (sustained interest) Any pullback should be on volume below 0.8M shares (healthy profit-taking) Weekly close above ₹950 on cumulative volume of 3-4M shares (confirms breakout) Volume-Based Risk Assessment Risk Level: Moderate-to-High High volume can sometimes indicate exhaustion (climactic buying) However, context matters: breakout after 12-month base is different from parabolic move The consolidation duration justifies the volume explosion Risk is elevated for chasing here, but pullbacks offer lower-risk entries Volume-Validated Support Levels: ₹950-980: Light volume zone (may not hold on first test) ₹900-920: High volume breakout zone (should provide strong support) ₹850-880: High volume consolidation zone (major support) Volume Action Quality Score: 8.5/10 Scoring Breakdown: Volume Expansion: 10/10 (112x is exceptional) Volume-Price Relationship: 9/10 (perfectly correlated) Distribution Pattern: 8/10 (well distributed, not spike-and-fade) Historical Context: 9/10 (highest in 6+ months) Follow-Through Potential: 7/10 (need confirmation in coming days) Institutional Footprint: 9/10 (clear signs of smart money) Why Not 10/10? Extremely high volume can sometimes be exhaustion Need 2-3 days confirmation for perfect score Lack of multi-day volume buildup (came suddenly) Could use a consolidation period to absorb supply Technical Pattern Recognition Base Formation (Q2FY26 Flag Pattern): - Pattern Type: Strong Q2FY26 Flag Pattern on Weekly Timeframe - Base Duration: Approximately 12 weeks (August 2025 - November 2025) - Base Range: ₹780 - ₹900 - Consolidation Quality: Tight consolidation with reduced volatility - Volume During Base: Steady contraction followed by explosive expansion Breakout Characteristics: - Breakout Level: ₹900 (previous resistance converted to support) - Breakout Style: Gap-up opening with strong follow-through - Volume Confirmation: Exceptional - 1.72M shares with unprecedented institutional buying - Price Action: Strong bullish candle with minimal upper wick - Breakout Validity: Confirmed by both price and volume action Multi-Year Context: - Long-Term Uptrend: Intact since 2022 lows (₹300-350 zone) - Previous Major Resistance: ₹800 (tested multiple times in 2024-2025) - Current Status: Breaking into all-time high territory with conviction Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support Zones: - Immediate Support (S1): ₹900-920 (previous resistance, now support) - Critical Support (S2): ₹850-870 (base bottom / 20-week moving average) - Major Support (S3): ₹780-800 (psychological level and prior consolidation) - Last Line of Defense (S4): ₹650-700 (major demand zone from mid-2025) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance (R1): ₹1,050-1,080 (psychological round number and profit booking zone) - Next Resistance (R2): ₹1,150-1,200 (measured move projection from flag pattern) - Extended Resistance (R3): ₹1,250-1,300 (Fibonacci extension levels) - Long-Term Resistance (R4): ₹1,400+ Risk Factors to Monitor: Technical Risks: - Failure to sustain above ₹900 would negate the breakout - High volatility expected in near term given sharp rally - Overbought conditions on daily timeframe - Potential gap-fill scenario back to ₹900-920 zone Market Risks: - General market correction could impact momentum - Profit booking in mid-cap/small-cap segment - FII selling pressure in Indian markets - Sector rotation away from FMCG stocks Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Overview: - Company: CCL Products (India) Limited - Industry: Tea & Coffee (FMCG Sector) - Market Cap: ₹13,689 Crores (Mid-cap) - Business: World's largest private label instant coffee manufacturer - Global Presence: Exports to 100+ countries with operations in India, Vietnam, and Switzerland Recent Financial Performance (Q2 FY26): Revenue Metrics: - Q2 Revenue: ₹1,127 Crores (52.6% YoY growth) - Q1 Revenue: ₹1,056 Crores (37% YoY growth) - First-ever quarter with ₹1,000+ Crore turnover - Quarterly revenue growth: 6.7% QoQ Profitability Metrics: - Q2 Net Profit: Up 36.4% YoY (beat estimates by 26.4%) - Q2 EBITDA: ₹197.13 Crores (23.9% YoY growth) - EBITDA Margin: 18% (slight compression due to input costs) - Guidance: 15-20% EBITDA growth maintained Key Performance Indicators: - Volume Growth: 9-10% YoY (maintaining 10-20% guidance) - Capacity Utilization: 60% (significant room for expansion) - Domestic Branded Business: ₹150 Crores (strong growth trajectory) - ROE: 17% | ROCE: 13.1% | Debt-to-Equity: 0.78 Balance Sheet Strength: - Net Debt: ₹1,671 Crores (down from ₹1,812 Crores) - Debt Reduction Target: ₹1,350 Crores by December 2025 - Further Target: ₹1,200 Crores by March 2026 - Strong focus on deleveraging while maintaining growth Valuation Parameters: - Current P/E Ratio: 40.5x (premium to industry median of 37.56x) - P/B Ratio: 6.56x (significant premium to peers' 1.55x median) Sectoral Dynamics: Coffee Industry Tailwinds: - Global coffee prices surged 80% in 2024 (benefiting margins with cost-plus model) - India's instant coffee market growing rapidly with urbanization - Rising coffee culture in India, especially among youth - Export opportunities expanding (India coffee exports crossed $1 billion) Company-Specific Strengths: - World's largest private label instant coffee manufacturer - Advanced R&D with 900+ coffee blends customized for global markets - Manufacturing capacity: 60,000 MTPA (Spray Dried) + 11,000 MTPA (Freeze Dried) - Third-largest coffee brand in India (B2C segment) - Strong B2B relationships with major global brands Growth Drivers: - Branded business expansion (Continental, Percol, Rocket Fuel brands) - Increased inquiries from US customers due to Brazil tariff changes - Capacity expansion with significant headroom (40% unutilized) - International market penetration (UK acquisition, targeting Indian diaspora) - Diversification into premium products (Freeze Dried Coffee, premixes) Challenges and Headwinds: Input Cost Pressure: - Green coffee prices remain volatile despite recent 20-30% correction - High GST rate of 18% on coffee impacting domestic demand - Interest and depreciation costs rising with capacity expansion Demand Concerns: - Urban FMCG consumption showing signs of slowdown - Rural demand growth remains sluggish - Competition from organized café chains for out-of-home consumption Policy and Regulatory: - Company seeking tax benefits and GST rate reduction to boost consumption - Need for supportive policies for sustainable coffee cultivation - Currency fluctuation risks in exports Management and Corporate Governance: - Promoter Holding: 46.11% (strong skin in the game) - FII Holding: 10.52% (increased institutional interest) - DII Holding: 21.83% (domestic institutional confidence) - Chairman: C. Rajendra Prasad (Founder with 35+ years coffee industry experience) - CEO: Praveen Jaipuriar (driving branded business expansion) - MD: Challa Srishant (focusing on innovation and market expansion) Strategic Initiatives: - Debt reduction plan to improve financial flexibility - Brand development focusing on region-specific products - International expansion in B2C segment (UK, targeting US market) - Sustainability initiatives across operations - Product diversification (recently launched iced tea range) Competitive Position: - Market leader in private label instant coffee globally - Key competitor: Tata Coffee - Competitive advantages: Scale, R&D capabilities, global distribution, cost-plus pricing model - Differentiation: Ability to create customized blends for diverse global palates Why This Makes Sense? Technical Factors: - Clean breakout from multi-month consolidation with exceptional volume - Trading above all major moving averages with strong momentum - Prior resistance at ₹800-900 now acting as robust support - Volume profile suggests institutional accumulation Fundamental Factors: - Strong revenue growth (37-52% YoY) with consistent quarterly performance - Improving profitability with EBITDA growth of 23-24% YoY - Proactive debt reduction improving balance sheet strength - Global market leader position with significant competitive moats Sectoral Factors: - Coffee consumption growing in India with changing lifestyle preferences - Export opportunities expanding with global supply chain shifts - Company well-positioned to capture both B2B and B2C growth - Capacity headroom provides growth visibility What to Track? Immediate Action Items: - Monitor price behavior at current levels (₹1,000-1,050) - Wait and Look for consolidation/pullback - Set price alerts at key levels: ₹950, ₹900, ₹870 - Review quarterly results and management commentary Ongoing Monitoring: - Track weekly closes - should remain above ₹900 - Monitor volume patterns - sustained above-average volume bullish - Watch for management updates on debt reduction progress - Keep eye on green coffee prices and margin trends - Assess broader market sentiment and FMCG sector performance Review Triggers: - Quarterly earnings announcements (next due February 2026) - Any major change in promoter/institutional holdings - Significant deviation from volume guidance (10-20%) - Breach of critical support at ₹850 My 2 Cents: The stock presents a compelling opportunity based on: - Strong technical breakout with exceptional volume confirmation - Robust fundamental performance with 37-52% revenue growth - Industry leadership position as world's largest private label coffee manufacturer - Improving balance sheet with proactive debt reduction - Analysis Valid Until: Next quarterly results or significant technical breakdown below ₹870 Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:CCLLong
by Karanshah137
11
CCL ProductsCCL Products is a global leader in private-label coffee manufacturing. It has a diversified client base across 90+ countries, strong R&D, and efficient operations. For FY24, revenue grew 10% YoY , and PAT rose 21% . The company maintains healthy EBITDA margins (20%) and a strong ROE (18%). Expansion into premium segments and freeze-dried coffee, plus capacity additions in Vietnam and India, support long-term growth. The balance sheet has moderate debt and steady cash flows. Breakout was witnessed today above a consolidation zone, indicating potential for further upside. Strong fundamentals backed by technical bullishness make CCL Products a good long-term and swing-trade candidate.
NSE:CCLLong
by CannySunny
CCL PRODUCTS (INDIA) LIMITED EQUITY RESEARCH REPORTRecommendation: BUY Target Price: ₹1,050 (12-month horizon) Stop Loss: ₹850 Rationale CCL Products represents a compelling investment opportunity in India's food processing sector. The company's strong financial performance, market leadership position, and strategic expansion plans provide solid fundamentals for continued growth. Strong Q4 FY25 results with 50.38% PBT growth and 15.02% revenue growth demonstrate operational excellence and market demand strength. Catalyst Timeline Near-term (3-6 months): Q1 FY26 results and capacity utilization updates Medium-term (6-12 months): Specialty coffee segment scaling and Vietnam facility ramp-up Long-term (12-24 months): Achievement of 100,000 MT capacity target Risk-Reward Assessment Upside Potential: 14.1% to target price Risk Level: Moderate to High (commodity exposure) Investment Horizon: Medium to long-term (12-18 months)
NSE:CCLLong
by rmhetre15
CCL Products: Inverted Head & Shoulders Breakout with StrengthStock: CCL Products (India) Ltd. (CCL) Analysis: CCL Products has completed an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal setup, and has confirmed a breakout from the final leg with strong volume. Institutional confidence adds further credibility to the stock's bullish outlook: FII/FPI Holdings: Increased from 9.76% to 10.17% (Sep 2024 quarter), with the number of investors rising from 162 to 178. Mutual Fund Holdings: Increased from 18.84% to 18.99%, with the number of MF schemes holding the stock growing from 52 to 58. The breakout aligns with improving fundamentals, making this stock well-positioned for an upside move. The near-term target is around ₹807. Technical Setup: Pattern: Inverted Head and Shoulders Volume: Breakout supported by strong volume confirmation Institutional Support: Increased holdings by FII/FPI and Mutual Funds Trade Plan: Entry: On sustained trade above breakout level Target: Near-term at ₹807 and long term target as per the Head and shoulder pattern Stop Loss: Below the neckline or breakout level Note: Institutional accumulation and technical breakout complement each other, making this a compelling swing trade opportunity. 🔒 Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. We hold no liability for any profit or loss incurred from trading or investing based on this information. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor.
NSE:CCLLong
by ImranulHaqueNoor
CCL : Swing Trade#CCL #swingtrade #breakout #trendingstock CCL : High Probability Trade >> Trending Setup >> Good Base Candles at 10 EMA >> Volume Dry Setup >> 1:3 Risk Reward Trade >> Good Strength in Stock Swing Traders can lock 10% profit & keep trailing Note : In the current Market Scenario even the best of Trading setup's can fail so Trade only Good setup's with proper Risk Management, set of rules for Stop-loss & proper position sizing. Please give a Boost or comment if u r Liking the analysis & Learning from it. Keep showing ur Love by following Disclaimer : This is not a Trade Recommendations & Charts stocks Mentioned are for Learning/Educational Purpose. Do your Own Analysis before Taking positions.
NSE:CCLLong
by moneyfesttrading
1
CCL - Bullish Swing Reversal with VolumesNSE: CCL is closing with a bullish swing reversal candle supported with volumes. Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days. The stock has been moving along the horizontal support for the past few days which is indicating demand. One can look for a 8% to 12% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade. The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low. #NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
NSE:CCLLong
by BrahmaBull31
CCL - Ichimoku Bullish Breakout Stock Name - Ccl Products (india) Limited Ichimoku Cloud Setup : 1). Today's close is above the Conversion Line 2). Future Kumo is Turning Bullish 3). Chikou span is slanting upwards All these parameters are showing bullishness at Current Market Price and more bullishness AFTER crossing 477. #This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market. # Cloud Trading # Ichimoku Cloud # Ichimoku Followers I hope you all like my analysis. Please do share your thoughts into comment section. Please give a like, it motivates me to do analysis.
NSE:CCLLong
by nikunjbhadja
FY21-22 Swing Trade Idea #149: Long on CCL This is a public swing trade idea (other private ideas accessible through website) and is only for Learning and observational purpose. Please understand your risk and take full responsibility of your actions. We would comment on any further updates on our entry, targets and stop-loss on this idea, so make sure to follow if you want to get further updates. Our objective to help anyone who wants to learn technical analysis using charts. You can post your queries in comment section here and we will try to answer asap.
NSE:CCLLong
by onerighttrade
4