WTI Crude Oil’s pullback appears elusive beyond $78.00WTI crude oil pares the biggest daily gain in a week while posting mild losses near $79.50 early Tuesday. Even so, the black gold holds onto the previous trading beyond the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from late April. Also keeping the energy buyers hopeful are the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line. It’s worth noting, however, that a 15-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $80.50-81.00 appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Following that, the quote will aim for the late April swing high of around $84.50 before challenging the yearly high marked in April near $87.70.
Alternatively, the WTI crude oil’s further decline could highlight the seven-week-old resistance-turned-support line surrounding $78.50 for sellers. However, the energy bears remain off the table unless witnessing a clear downside break of the 200-SMA support of nearly $77.90. Following that, the previous monthly bottom of $76.15 will try stopping the downside before allowing sellers to challenge the yearly bottom of $72.48 marked earlier in June.
Overall, the WTI Crude Oil price remains on the bull’s radar unless portraying successful trading beyond the 200-SMA. The upside move, however, needs validation from $81.00 and the fundamentals.
CFD
US OIL BULLISH MOMENTUM DETECTEDUS OIL faceing a trendline support on week chat
Hence a good opportunity for all forex and CFD user to grab this one
It will be bullish for more than 1 mongth
Due to week chat analysis
Hence analyse yourself for short-term trade
just buy side only
Market is bullish
So trade only buy side on your trade setup
Long natural gas Natural Gas has broken out from the head and shoulder reversal pattern on the hourly timeframe. On the daily as well it seems to be forming a reversal pattern and hence the longs have a good chance of succeeding in this environment. Moreover it looks like the previous move was more of a correction rather than an impulse move down. Stops below the right shoulder with the target being the depth of the head from the neckline breakout.
Long EUR/CADAfter the breakout from the rectangle on the hourly charts the pair is now testing the support. Stops will be below the range or in this case in the middle of the range. Instead of using the target here we can just use the moving average to ride the trend for as long as possible on the hourly time frame. One can also use the ichimoku for the same
COPPER - Elliot wave countsOverall Elliot wave counts on daily time frame.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Commodity Analysis 09/09/2021Fundamental Analysis:
The reason why you might find fundamental analysis interesting is that it offers help in determining the long-term trend. In other words, it suggests whether the price of an asset will go up or down in the long term. Because of that, fundamental analysis is crucial when you are deciding what to do with your long-term capital.
Please note that fundamental factors (fundamentals), as a whole, do not change from one day to the next (at least not in a visible way). Instead, they tend to evolve gradually and their indications change by degrees. So, if you invest in gold, it is unlikely that the fundamental outlook will change in a day or a week. Such a shift would more likely take months or - more likely - years to materialize.
Fundamentals may change rapidly only when unexpected events of great importance take place. For example, if the U.S. defaulted on its debts, the fundamentals of gold would change almost instantaneously (in this case they would support substantial appreciation of the metal).
On Average, about 2,500 metric tons of gold get produced each year, compared to an estimated 165,000 metric tons of the entire world’s gold supply. Global mine production of gold steadily rose after the 2008 economic crisis. The production of gold was increased, from 2280 metric tons to 3000 metric tons, the U.S. production value of gold has also increased along with the gold production. China is currently leading global gold mining production at 490 metric tons in 2015, while Australia is second, producing about 300 metric tons the same year. There are different processes of mining of Gold which include placer mining, panning, sluicing, and dredging. Panning is a manual technique that uses a shallow pan filled with sand and gravel, that may also contain gold, to sort through the material.
Even though new production might seem modest compared to the total supply, production costs can influence the price of all gold in the world. When production costs rise, miners sell gold for more money to preserve their profits, and those higher costs also get reflected when it comes time to sell coins if they were mined, from gold mined yesterday or thousands of years ago.
The outlook created by the fundamental analysis of the gold market remains strong with the growing uncertainty in the world economy and rapidly expanding money supply. As governments try to cope with financial turbulence, they print more and more fiat money (money that is not backed with material assets). This fuels inflation that eats away government bonds yields. If the yields themselves are lower than the inflation, then you actually lose purchasing power by holding these bonds. In such a situation, investors switch to assets they believe will allow them to preserve their wealth. Gold is precisely one of such assets.
With the demand for gold growing both thanks to the demand for jewelry and thanks to the free exchange of information over the Internet, there is no technical possibility to satisfy the demand with both the existing and the anticipated gold supply. All of this suggests that gold is on its way up for the long term.
Technical Analysis:
as we can see the commodity is in a retracement phase after making an ATH of 2080$ Mark, now we can have some responsible short position and target them the 61.8% of the bullish waves retracement area and then have our main Long Positions Opened followed by some Scale IN and OUT Strategy from 50% to 61.8% of the same wave and target them the Specified TP levels accordingly.
Does the uptrend continue?If MPP (S1) functions as a support line, think long.
The first limit is 70.00
The second limit is under MPP (P) 70.77
The third limit is under YPP (R2) 72.62
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
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Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
How long will the range of 22000-23000 last?I think that the range of 22000-23000 will not last long.
Following the course,
July 2: It penetrated down 22000 that is the neckline of the blue double bottom.
July 5: It was bounced back by YPP (P) and returned to the range.
July 9th and July 12th: It went up as attacking the short entry on July 2nd while swinging around.
After the movement of attacking while swinging the breakout, the break succeeds after trying it a couple of times.
Therefore, it seems that there will be some move to clearly penetrate the red line or break YPP (P) downward.
Based on that, the latest is as follows.
<< tactics >>
1) MPP (R1) functioned as a resistance after failure to penetrate the red line.
Short entry.
The first limit is above MPP (P) 22441.9.
The second limit is above 22000.
The third limit is above YPP (P) 21488.5.
2) It went through the red line and 23000 upwards.
I will observe to find the next entry point.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Short the upper end of the range?Because my trading can not catch up, please allow me to write it briefly.
<< tactics >>
When judging that 2800.0 functioned as a resistance line, I will short.
The first limit is on MPP (R1)
The second limit is on WePP (S2)
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Is gold conscious of the red trend line?Gold came to see the shape of downtrend.
Gold has not reached YPP (P) 1269.009 and is trying to fall again.
Please look at the weekly,You can also see the red trend line being conscious.
weekly
But I decided not to use this line because of my discipline.
So I will not do anything now.
There is no reliable horizontal line near here.
Therefore, as usual, I wait for the entry since I attracted somewhere to PP.
<< tactics >>
1-1) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It functions as a resistance line.
short.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S1) 1229.533.
1-2) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It penetrated above.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-1)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, which functions as a support line.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-2)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, penetrated downward.
Short entry will be done once it functions as a resistance line.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S2) 1206.045.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Has the uptrend ended?It was a story of five months ago when I made a move towards 2900.0.
Currently, it can be seen from the daily story that 2800.0 acts as a strong resistance, preventing up trend persistence.
Daily
I assume that this symbol is not considered an uptrend already.
However, most recently it is likely to consider trading using a support line from Double Zero 2700.0.
<>
1) Double Zero Judged that 2700.0 functioned as a resistance line.
long entry.
The first limit is under thin horizontal line 2738.6.
The second limit is under WePP (P) 2756.0.
2) It can not be determined that double zero 2700.0 functions as a resistance line.
There is MPP (P) 2678.0 under Double Zero 2700.0, so I do not think of a short. I will observe.
Finally, WePP and MPP will be updated on Monday as weekend and monthend are approaching.
Flexible response is required.
It is a good choice not to enter if you feel difficult.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thickLine: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding double zero
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
How long will the resistance of Double Zero 3.000 last?As last week, I am taking measure of double zero 3.000 to function as a resistance.
However, Please be aware that the low price is rising and it is a price move that has not given up trying to penetrate double zero 3.000 above.
But, at the moment, I consider a short as judging that double zero 3.000 has functioned as a resistance.
<< tactics >>
1) It was judged that double zero 3.000 functioned as resistance
short.
The 1st limit is above the thin trendline which is now reaching around 2.920.
The 2nd limit is thought to break the trend line and is on WePP (S1) 2.863.
However, if it reflect on WePP 2.952,we need to think about escape.
2) It can not be determined that double zero 3.000 functions as resistance
I will observe. Because there is an unknown the strength resistances above the double zero 3.000,MPP (R1) 3.028 and YPP (P) 3.052.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thickLine: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding double zero
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Does MPP (P) 22372.6 work?There is no trend, it is NK225 that goes between 22000 and 23000 range.
However, it is still difficult to understand price movements.
I think that there is no problem by doing both trading and selling.
<< tactics >>
1) MPP (P) 22372.6 can be recognized as functioning.
short.
There is WePP (S1) 22195.6 on the way, but thought to penetrate, it limits above 22000.0.
However, consider exit if it is reflect cleanly in WePP (S1).
2) MPP (P) 22372.6 cannot be recognized as functioning.
Pierce the MPP(P) upwards and recognize the support and consider the long.
I think that double zero 22500.0 is losing its function. But if it works I thinks of exit.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thickLine: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding double zero
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------