Chartanalysis
NH (1D TF) - Swing Trade Analysis given on 7th Jan, 2024NH (1D TF) - Swing Trade Analysis given on 7th Jan, 2024
Pattern: FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT
- Triple Bottom - Done ✓
- Volume Spike at Resistance - Done ✓
- Retracement & Consolidation - Done ✓
#stocks #swingtrade #chartanalysis #priceaction #traderyte #narayanahrudayala
NIFTY 50 - MONDAY 20-03-23In the last few days, the Nifty50 has found support near 16800 and has risen to 17123. The hourly chart shows that Nifty's support level is around 16985-86. So, I'll keep my long position until the Nifty crosses 17000. According to my forecast, the index will reach 17250 within the next few days.
The SGX Nifty is down significantly on Friday. The market is expected to open lower on Monday. However, it is an opportunity for swing traders to open a new long position.
This video is for educational purposes only. Please make any investment decisions after consulting with your SEBI Registered Analyst or advisor.
Zydus Wellness Ltd LongWe have observed formation of bullish pattern in daily time frame. Even though , Market is showing bearishness, in shorter time frame ; stock straight goes from 1396 to 1511.
I am suggesting buy on dip strategy in this stock. The buying range is around 1400-1500. The immediate target is 1750. The stock is having strength to go much higher than 1750.
Due to weak global cues, anyone can buy this stock with at least six month time frame horizon.
Russel 2000 Be watchful. Index is severally fall. Hourly time frame is showing mild recovery. Don't make any long position unless and until Index closed above 1794 aka 1800 level on daily closing basis.
For newbies , don't enter in the market. As, Market may not fall immediately from this level ( psychological level of 1700) and market may not sustain at higher level too.
This is only for education purpose.
Crude Oil 5min TF analysisHey guys welcome back to Nifty Scalper. here in this video we will be talking about crude oil which is nothing but us oil . I have a 5 minute timeframe analysis on crude oil . You can trade as per our plan but remember you have to use stop losses on every trade.
I hope you like my analysis and if you like you can follow me. I will be updating charts like same for crude oil gold and even for Indian index charts thank you guys see you in the next video.
Trading is a waste of time Trading is a waste of time - until you do this!
Welcome back for another exciting video, an educational video, and an eye-opening video for a lot of traders, and I have given it a very, very interesting title that is Trading a Waste of Time.
Let's find out in this short video. Recently reading a book called The Best Loser Wins.
It's written by Tom Hoggard , he goes by the name of Trader Tom on YouTube .And I urge you to check him out. There are some things that I have learned from his book and I'd like to share it with you.
The particular data is of 2019 and these brokers are all located in European Union and, by law they are required to post the failure rates , how many clients are losing money in their market in their accounts.
Out of a hundred clients, 89 clients were in a loss. And the situation is same for almost each and every broking houses.
So eventually the brokers are making money, but the clients are not.
Whenever as a beginner or even a seasoned trader, we are looking at these data and we believe that we are not in this statistical data. We are in the winning percentage in the remaining 10%, but it's not like that for the markets. We are just a statistic. Right? And even if you look at the top 10 broking forms in the world, the majority of people are in a loss.
So that really makes us ask this question. Is trading really a waste of time? Are we just wasting our time in trading? And a lot of people, it's a very fine detail and a lot of people might agree with me that, in the initial stages it's really hard to be consistent in making money, right?
And I'll discuss the reason with you because this particular reason is not discussed.
The social media of Twitter, YouTube, it has all created an image where if you're not doubling your money every month, then you are a loser in the market.
But in fact, trading is a very tough profession and it's really hard to make money and initial days protecting your money is one of the biggest tasks in surviving in the market.
Protecting yourself from ruin is one of the biggest achievements in trading.
So whenever we are starting our journey as a trader, where is our focus? What are the questions we are looking for? What are the things we are usually focused on? , we are on the internet looking for strategies, how to do scalping, how to do seing trading, how to use the indicators, the MACD and RSI, and how we can use different types of breakout indicators, right?
These are the focal points of. I remember when I started trading, these are the things I was looking for. A hundred percent strategy, no loss strategy. These are the things that I was looking for initially, but these are usually the wrong answers.
You know, in an area where 90% people are in a loss, then you need to ask yourself that.
Because it has never been easier to trade because you go back 10 to 15 years, it was not easy to trade. You had to call your broker. And now we have an online trading system where we can just buy and sell stocks at an instant, right?
That leads to high liquidity. And high liquidity usually means you can enter and. Very fast and you don't have to pay much for it. And you have all the tools available, especially a tool like Trading View, where you get each and every trading charts, indicators without paying a single penny.
So it has never ever been easier to trade. So why are we all still losing money? We are only creating brokerage for our broking firm.
This takes us to another and final topic is that in the year 2019, one Forex brokerage firm did an analysis of over 25,000 traders.
And over a span of 15 months or 16 months.
So that is a long period of time and over five crore trades were analyzed.
So it was a very big data to analyze and that would give us a clear picture.
So in that analysis it was recorded that out of hundred. , the traders were profitable in 60 of them and they lost money in 40 of them.
So this is a very good data, right? Your win, your hit ratio is very high in the total amount of trades.
So eventually the data is in your favor, but there's a small catch . When the traders are winning, they're winning 40 points.
And when they lose, they lose around 75 points. This is a recipe for disaster. This particular thing created a lot of problems for me in the initial trades during my initial career.
And this might be creating a lot of problems for people who are trading for the past one or two years in this high VIX environment because, you know, on paper, on week to week basis, you are winning And, and suddenly there's one particular day when you lose it all and that is the day when it drags your capital back to square one.
So this is the biggest reason why it's very difficult for people to manage their trades.
Cause it all comes down to how much you win when you win, and how much you lose when you lose.
This brings us to the concept of risk . right in this modern area, uh, where option selling and creating spreads and selling naked options has been a very famous thing to do for the past couple of years. That is what happens whenever you're selling options, you have a probability of one 68%.
That is a one standard deviation, right?
So out of hundred trades you are going to win in 68% of them. But what you do and how you come out of the remaining 30 trades when the situation is not going to go in your favor, that is all going to matter.
And that is the crux of thing that makes your journey as a successful trader.
Our position in the market is very, very small for the market to know that we even exist or not.
If you look at the data, if you just reverse the win and the loss points, even if you're winning only 50% of the times, then also your position is going to be in a net profit.
So that's it for the guys.
That makes this particular question really interesting. Is trading a waste of time?
You're wasting of time, or are you smart enough to realize this thing that the other traders are doing and are in a loss?
And what are you doing to improve this position and to improve your survival In this market.
So that's it for you guys. I hope I have provided some value in this video, and if you found the video helpful, don't forget to follow me @piyushrawtani Trading View. And if you have any queries, feel free to post it in the comments section.
Thank you very much and good night.
Shree Cement Inverted Head & Shoulder and Wedge PatternShree Cement Inverted Head & Shoulder and Wedge Pattern
How to find the next target and how to analysis near resistance Zone
How to Draw a Trend Line for useful position
How to set target (Resistance) or Support by using Technical indicator
How to use indicator In trading season like Pivot VWAP simple Price Action Theory
#stock #cement #indianstockmarket
Banknifty Chart Pattern Analysis and PredictionBanknifty Chart Pattern Analysis and Prediction
Rising wedge pattern created in bank nifty
Very interesting to find the chart pattern during trading season
Earn the very much suitable position only one trade can help you to more welthy.
Greed and fear always in our mind
do whatever you want but dont lost your money power
#banknifty #livechartanalysis
Hope you enjoy the analysis
BACKTESTED PIVOT INTRADAY STARTEGY [INDIA MARKET TIMING]A Back-tested Profitable Strategy for Free!!
A PIVOT INTRADAY STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that also explains the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above ema1 ,indicated by pivot high line in green color .
2) Price crosses below ema1 ,indicated by pivot low line in red color .
3) Candle high crosses above pivot high , is the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below pivot low , is the Short condition .
5) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
6) Default_qty_size is set to 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size .
7) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
Leftbars ——————————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Rightbars —————————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition
ATR LONG —————————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions
ATR SHORT ————————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions
RISK ————————————> Maximum Risk per trade for the day
The strategy was back-tested on RELIANCE ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below .
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 60 contracts , which can be changed under
Settings
↓
Properties
↓
Order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 25 .
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm .
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm , at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 103 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:RELIANCE
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 128 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better back-test results.
The strategy applied to NSE:RELIANCE ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 60) gives us 61% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.45 , Net Profit of 21,500Rs .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.311
Sortino Ratio : 0.727
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits.
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) Leftbars ————————> 3
2) Rightbars ——————— > 5
3) Price Cross Ema ———> 150
4) ATR LONG ——————> 2.7
5) ATR SHORT —————> 2.9
6) RISK —————————> 2500
7) Default qty size ——> 60
NSE:RELIANCE
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Symmetrical TriangleA symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope.
How to identify a Symmetrical Triangle correctly
1.The sides of the triangle slope equally (that's why it's symmetrical)
2.The triangle has lower highs AND higher lows – at least two of each.
3.It looks like a funnel, with the price “squeezing” from the left towards the right.
PREVIOUS ALL TIME HIGHSThe stock trading at its previous years all time highs of october 2017
On weekly time frame WTF
If the stock break its levels of 128 at closes it above on WTF
then we have to wait for some consolidation on that level and breakout
then there was a good entry point in this stock
ALWAYS FOLLOW YOUR TRADING & R:R RATIO
HAPPY TRADING NSE:FEDERALBNK