what is option chain pcr ?Option Chain PCR (Put-Call Ratio) is a popular market sentiment indicator used by traders to gauge the market's overall direction. It measures the relative volume of put options to call options in the options market for a particular stock or index. PCR is used to understand market sentiment and potential trends.
### Here’s how it works:
1. **Put options**: These are options where the buyer has the right to sell the underlying asset at a specified price before a certain date.
2. **Call options**: These are options where the buyer has the right to buy the underlying asset at a specified price before a certain date.
### How PCR is Calculated:
PCR = \(\frac{\text{Total Volume of Puts}}{\text{Total Volume of Calls}}\)
- **PCR > 1**: More puts are being traded than calls, indicating bearish sentiment in the market. Traders might expect the market to go down.
- **PCR < 1**: More calls are being traded than puts, indicating bullish sentiment in the market. Traders might expect the market to go up.
- **PCR = 1**: The market sentiment is neutral, with an equal number of puts and calls being traded.
### Interpretation:
- **High PCR**: A high PCR typically signals fear or bearish sentiment. However, in extreme cases, it can indicate that the market might be oversold, and a reversal could occur.
- **Low PCR**: A low PCR indicates optimism or bullish sentiment. In extreme cases, it could suggest that the market is overbought and a correction might happen.
### Importance:
Traders use PCR to understand the balance of power between bulls and bears in the market. A sudden change in the PCR can give early indications of potential market shifts.
In summary, Option Chain PCR is a tool for assessing the sentiment of traders based on the volume of options traded, helping to predict potential market movements.
Chart Patterns
Why RSI is important and how to use it ?The **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market. Here's why it's important and how to use it:
### **Why RSI is important:**
1. **Identifying Overbought and Oversold Conditions:**
- An **RSI value above 70** suggests that the market may be overbought (price might be too high and could reverse downward).
- An **RSI value below 30** suggests that the market may be oversold (price might be too low and could reverse upward).
2. **Signals for Potential Reversals:**
- **Overbought (Above 70):** When the RSI reaches above 70, it suggests that the asset might have been bought too much in a short period, signaling potential price reversal or pullback.
- **Oversold (Below 30):** When the RSI dips below 30, it suggests that the asset might have been sold too much, indicating that it could rise soon.
3. **Divergences:**
- Divergence occurs when the price of an asset and the RSI move in opposite directions. For example:
- **Bullish Divergence:** If the price is making lower lows, but the RSI is making higher lows, it could indicate a potential upward reversal.
- **Bearish Divergence:** If the price is making higher highs, but the RSI is making lower highs, it could indicate a potential downward reversal.
4. **Trend Confirmation:**
- **RSI between 40-60** indicates a neutral zone, showing that the trend isn't strong either way. Traders can use this to confirm whether a trend is continuing or if there’s a potential reversal.
- **RSI above 50** suggests an uptrend.
- **RSI below 50** suggests a downtrend.
### **How to use RSI:**
1. **Look for Overbought or Oversold Levels:**
- When the RSI moves above 70, consider selling (or entering a short position), anticipating a price reversal.
- When the RSI moves below 30, consider buying (or entering a long position), anticipating a price reversal upward.
2. **Identify Divergence:**
- **Bullish Divergence**: If the price is making lower lows but the RSI is making higher lows, this could be a sign of a potential trend reversal to the upside.
- **Bearish Divergence**: If the price is making higher highs but the RSI is making lower highs, it could indicate a potential reversal to the downside.
3. **Look for RSI Crossovers:**
- **RSI crossing above 30** could signal that a market that was oversold is beginning to recover.
- **RSI crossing below 70** could signal that an overbought market may begin to lose strength.
4. **Combining with Other Indicators:**
- RSI is more powerful when combined with other indicators, such as **moving averages**, **MACD**, or **support and resistance** levels. For example, an RSI reading above 70, coupled with a bearish divergence, may provide a stronger signal for an impending price reversal.
5. **Adjust the RSI Period:**
- Typically, the default period for RSI is **14**. However, adjusting the period can make the RSI more or less sensitive to price movements. For example, using a shorter period (like 7) will make the RSI more sensitive, while a longer period (like 21) will make it smoother.
### **Example Usage:**
- **Example 1**: RSI reaches 85 (overbought). You could consider selling or entering a short position, expecting a price pullback.
- **Example 2**: RSI falls below 25 (oversold). You could consider buying, expecting a price bounce.
RSI is a great tool to enhance your trading strategy, but like any indicator, it works best when used in conjunction with other tools and market analysis.
RETESTING THE FLASH CRASH LEVEL BINANCE:BTCUSDT 4H
1. On the price chart, we can see the range formed after the February 2 drop.
2. On the OBV chart, we can see the seller's efforts to break out of the range downwards. However, these efforts are not equivalent to the price chart and a bullish divergence is forming
3. Altcoins react with a stronger drop than Bitcoin
Expectations: Given the non-equivalent movement of the volume and price of bitcoin, I expect a retest of the 92600 level with an upward reversal (a liquidation squeeze below this level is possible to remove stops on long positions)
Nifty!Nifty Simple Explanation
Falling Wedge Formation: The chart shows a falling wedge pattern, which often signals a potential bullish reversal if the price breaks above the upper trendline.
Order Block (₹24,500–₹25,000): This zone represents strong supply or resistance. If the stock rallies, it may face selling pressure here, but reaching this area could mean a gain of about 28–30% from current levels.
Breakout vs Breakdown:
Breakout above the wedge indicates renewed buying interest and could drive the price into the order block.
Breakdown below the wedge suggests the downtrend remains in control.
Overall, watch for a wedge breakout for a bullish move, but be cautious of strong resistance in the ₹24,500–₹25,000 range.
Banknifty long term levels read description for trades How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
XAUUSD|US session trading strategy
📊From the daily structure, EMA5/10 maintains a golden cross slope of 45 degrees upward, the price runs along the upper Bollinger track, the ADX indicator>35 confirms the strength of the unilateral trend, and the K-line pattern shows an accelerated N-shaped structure.
📊From the 4-hour chart, it successfully stood at the 2906 Fibonacci extension level (161.8%), which is also the upper edge of the previous wave energy accumulation area, completing the technical transformation from resistance to support.
📊Wave structure: From the low point of 2877, the impulse wave structure (i-ii-iii-iv-v) is formed. It is currently in the extension stage of the iiith wave, which is in line with the positive momentum diffusion characteristics of MACD.
🔴Upper resistance level:
-First: 2940-2942
-Second: 2950-2958
🟢Lower support level:
-First: 2906-2915
-Second: 2890-2895
✅Long strategy
-Entry conditions: Stabilize after falling back to 2906-2915 (RSI>50 and golden cross of stochastic indicator required)
-Stop loss setting: Stop loss after breaking below 2895 (Daily EMA20)
-Target space: Gradually look up to 2940-2950-2958, risk-return ratio>1:3
Nifty long term levels, read description for trades How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Crude OiL long term levels, 6080-5985 strong support zoneHow to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Natural gas long term chart read description for trades How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Bank Nifty Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025!🚀 Unlock the potential with my Bank Nifty Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025!
✨ Boost, follow, and engage for updates. Your support means a lot! 🚀❤️
📍 Day Range Trigger Point (DRTP): 49087
📅 Expected Day Range: 514
📈 Long Position
🔹 Buy Above: 49132
🎯 Target 1: 49405
🎯 Target 2: 49601
⛔ Stoploss: 48961
📉 Short Position
🔹 Sell Below: 49011
🎯 Target 1: 48770
🎯 Target 2: 48574
⛔ Stoploss: 49182
✨ My strategies are backed by 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices, commodities, and more. Connect to know more for Intraday Levels and Live Market Confirmations. 📈
#BankNifty #IntradayTrading #NumroTrader 🚀
Silver mcx long term levels read description for trades How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Nifty 50 Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025!🚀 Unlock the potential with my Nifty 50 Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025!
✨ Boost, follow, and engage for updates. Your support means a lot! 🚀❤️
📍 Day Range Trigger Point (DRTP): 22945
📅 Expected Day Range: 191
📈 Long Position
🔹 Buy Above: 22920
🎯 Target 1: 23063
🎯 Target 2: 23136
⛔ Stoploss: 22856
📉 Short Position
🔹 Sell Below: 22874
🎯 Target 1: 22827
🎯 Target 2: 22754
⛔ Stoploss: 22938
✨ My strategies are backed by 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices, commodities, and more. Connect to know more for Intraday Levels and Live Market Confirmations. 📈
#Nifty50 #IntradayTrading #NumroTrader 🚀
Silver XAUUSD daily time frame Long Term levels How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Gold XAUUSD long term daily time frame levels read description How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
GLAXO Price action analysisBased on the recent price action, GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd (GLAXO) is showing a strong bullish trend:
1. The stock surged 11.82% on February 18, 2025, closing at ₹2,608 after touching an intraday high of ₹2,744.95.
2. GLAXO has experienced a remarkable 29% gain over two consecutive trading sessions.
3. The stock is trading significantly above its key moving averages:
- 50-day SMA: ₹1,369.16
- 100-day SMA: ₹1,388.45
- 100-day EMA: ₹1,409.88
4. Technical indicators are predominantly bullish:
- RSI (14) at 56.81 indicates neutral to bullish momentum
- MACD at 25.06 suggests strong upward momentum
- Williams %R at -48.11 and ADX at 16.10 both indicate a buy signal
5. The stock has formed a bullish breakout pattern, surpassing its Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channel, and MA Envelope Band.
6. Volume analysis shows significantly higher trading activity, with the latest volume (2,465,000 shares) far exceeding the 5-period average volume (778,000 shares).
7. The Awesome Oscillator indicates a bullish reversal with a weaker twin peak formation.
Key factors driving the bullish trend:
1. Strong Q3 FY25 results with a 400% increase in net profit and 18% revenue growth.
2. Market share gains in the general medicines portfolio and strong growth in the respiratory portfolio.
3. Positive outlook from brokerages, with Motilal Oswal and ICICI Securities maintaining bullish stances.
However, traders should note:
1. The stock is currently trading about 19% below its 52-week high of ₹3,087.95 reached on August 22, 2024.
2. The 200-day SMA at ₹1,487.17 is below the current price, which could act as support in case of a pullback.
Given the strong momentum and positive fundamentals, the short-term outlook for GLAXO remains bullish. Traders should watch for potential profit-taking at these elevated levels and monitor key support levels for any signs of trend reversal.
TIMETECHNO Trade Set upBased on the latest available data, the price action analysis for Time Technoplast Ltd (TIMETECHNO) indicates a bearish trend in the short to medium term:
1. The stock closed at ₹364.05 on February 14, 2025, showing a significant decline of 5.58% from the previous day's close.
2. TIMETECHNO is trading below its key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, suggesting a strong bearish trend.
3. The stock has experienced a substantial drop of 14.85% over the past month, significantly underperforming the broader market (Sensex) which only declined by 1.19%.
4. Technical indicators are predominantly bearish:
- RSI (14) is at 43.459, indicating selling pressure.
- MACD (-6.03) is showing a sell signal.
- Stochastic (28.399) and Williams %R (-76.223) are both in the selling zone.
5. The stock reached an intraday low of ₹362.15 on February 14, 2025, reflecting continued selling pressure.
6. Volume analysis shows that the latest trading volume (2,470,000 shares) is above the 5-period average volume (2,301,000 shares), suggesting increased selling activity.
7. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows a bullish trend reversal, which could potentially signal a change in the current bearish momentum.
However, there are a few potential positive signals to consider:
1. The Awesome Oscillator indicates a bullish reversal with a weaker twin peak formation.
2. The stock is trading near its recent lows, which might attract value investors or lead to a potential bounce.
3. The RSI (Fast) on February 18, 2025, is at 92.53, indicating overbought conditions but also suggesting strong upward momentum.
Given these mixed signals, traders should closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals or continuation of the current bearish trend. The overall price action suggests caution, with a bearish bias in the short term.
nifty tgt 350002003-2008 Rally as per Elliot Wave Theory was in 3 Waves - Wave A, B and C with all tops and bottoms on a single trend line, Same happened in 2009-2020, now in current Bull run from 2020 till date we have already seen 2 sharp rallies, 8000-18000 wave A, then 17000 to 26300 ie Wave B, both waves followed by sharp corrections;
Soon we will start final and most fierce leg C for 18-20 months ending at 34000—37000 in late 2026 —- after that will be real bear correction of over 30%!
In mid or end of Fy27 we will find Fy26A EPS as 1205-1250 and Fy27E as 1400-1500; at 25-27 PE fy27EPS the value of Nifty will reach 34000-37000 and thereafter there will be a huge fall till 24000;
I had accurately predicted in 2023 Diwali for Diwali 2024 tgt as 26700 (actual was 26300)
I had in April 2020 said that correction will be over in 3-6 months only;
Now at 23000 I think if we haven’t made bottom already may be at max another 1-2% on Nifty correction but from 22700-800 we will go to 34000-37000 in next 15-24 months and then crash back again to 24000!
Sell Trade - EUR/AUDPlace a Sell Trade on EUR/AUD :)
Check out my chart for the ideal sell entry, stop-loss placement, and target level (Blue line).
Remember --
Move SL to breakeven once the trade reaches 1:1.5 R.
Aim for a minimum reward of 1:2 R.
Don't risk more than 2.2% of your total margin.
Let's execute this trade smartly! 🚀