Chart Patterns
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 16–17✅ 4-Hour (H4) Trend Analysis
Overall Structure: Post-rally consolidation pullback, trend not reversed
After dipping to the 4271 area intraday, gold rebounded quickly and reached a high near 4334, but failed to hold at elevated levels and subsequently pulled back to the 4290–4300 zone.
Overall, this move still represents a technical pullback following an advance combined with high-level consolidation, rather than a trend reversal.
As long as the 4275–4255 area is not decisively broken, the H4 medium-term bullish structure remains intact.
✅ 1-Hour (H1) Trend Analysis
Short-term structure: Rally rejection, rebound failure
The H1 chart shows that gold found support near 4271 and then surged rapidly to 4334, but the rally failed to extend further, forming a long upper shadow / sharp pullback, clearly indicating strong selling pressure at higher levels.
This has resulted in a spike-and-reversal + failed rebound structure, with the high failing to break above the previous high.
Moving Average System (H1):
MA5 and MA10 have turned downward again
MA20 ≈ 4310–4320, acting as a rebound resistance zone
Price is currently trading below MA20
➡️ All rebounds are still viewed as corrective bounces
🔴 Key Resistance Levels
◾ 4310–4320 (H1 MA20 + prior rebound resistance)
◾ 4330–4340 (Intraday high pullback + strong resistance zone)
🟢 Key Support Levels (Support)
◾ 4290–4285 (Current short-term support zone)
◾ 4275–4255 (H4 Bollinger mid-band + core trend support)
◾ 4210 / 4170 (Trend defense zone — a break below signals structural weakening)
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Sell on Rallies (Primary Strategy | Short-term)
📍 If price shows renewed rejection in the 4310–4320 zone, consider light short positions
🎯 Targets: 4290 / 4275
⛔ Protection: A sustained break above 4340
Reasons:
◽ H1 spike-and-reversal shows exhausted rebound momentum
◽ Clear resistance from MA20
◽ Better risk–reward for shorting within a consolidation range
🔰 Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy | Swing)
📍 After stabilization in the 4275–4255 zone, consider light long positions
🎯 Targets: 4300 / 4330
⛔ Protection: A decisive break below 4245
Reasons:
◽ H4 medium-term bullish structure remains valid
◽ Confluence support from prior lows + Bollinger mid-band + MA20
◽ A classic buy-the-dip approach within a broader uptrend
✅ Trend Summary
🔸 H4: Bullish trend with high-level consolidation pullback
🔸 H1: Spike-and-reversal, short-term weakness
🔸 Short-term bearish bias, medium-term bullish bias
🔸 Trade the range: sell high, buy low — avoid chasing moves
🔸 4290–4275 is the key bull–bear pivot: holding above favors consolidation strength; a break below suggests a deeper pullback.
INFOBEANINFOBEAN gave breakout of the resistance, there was gap up, then price retraced and tapped at the support-20ema.
Now price is contracting near 620 zone, a breakout from here may give a good upside move.
Keep it in your watchlist for paper trading.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :)
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 17-Dec-2025📘 BANK NIFTY Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2025
Key reference levels (from chart):
Opening Resistance: 59,173
Last Intraday Resistance: 59,257
Major Upside Level: 59,416
Opening Support Zone: 58,958 – 59,043
Last Intraday Support (Buyers Must Try): 58,592 – 58,712
Gap consideration: 200+ points
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 59,173, it directly enters the supply region, where sellers may attempt profit-booking.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
A large gap-up suggests overnight optimism. However, immediate breakout trades are risky because:
Early buyers may exit at resistance
Liquidity is low in the first few minutes
Pullback to retest breakout levels is common
Professional traders always wait for structure confirmation, not emotion-driven entries.
Plan of Action:
Above 59,173, wait for a retest and a bullish candle before considering long entries.
Next target becomes 59,257. Watch for reactions here—this is a key supply zone.
Clear breakout above 59,257 with volume may extend toward 59,416.
Price rejection at 59,257 can create a good pullback trade back toward 59,173.
Option buyers should avoid chasing CE at resistance; wait for dips near retest zones.
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
A flat open near 59,066 – 59,100 brings Bank Nifty inside the equilibrium zone, where market direction is decided after observing the early order flow.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
In a flat open, price is not influenced by gap sentiment. This is where Opening Range (ORH/ORL) becomes extremely important.
Breakout of ORH = trend strength
Breakdown of ORL = weakness
Avoid guessing direction — let structure form first.
Plan of Action:
If price sustains above 59,100–59,173, buyers may gain control, targeting 59,257.
Rejection from 59,173 can send price back into the Opening Support Zone (58,958–59,043).
If price dips into support and forms bullish rejection (pin bar / engulfing), it becomes a high-probability bounce zone.
Breakdown below 58,958 opens the path to 58,592 – 58,712 support.
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens below 58,900, we enter the fear-zone where sellers may dominate early.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-downs typically trigger panic selling, but smart traders avoid shorting at the open. Why?
Market often gives a mean reversion bounce
Weak sellers exhaust quickly
Reversal from strong support zones is common
Patience > Speed.
Plan of Action:
First reaction zone: 58,712 – 58,592 (Buyers Must Try) — watch for reversal candles.
If price holds here, expect a recovery back to 58,958–59,043.
Breakdown below 58,592 with strong follow-through = trending bearish session. Avoid catching falling knives.
Any pullback toward 58,712 after breakdown becomes a safe shorting opportunity for option sellers.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Option Traders 🛡️
Never buy options within resistance zones—wait for breakout + retest.
For gap openings, avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes; volatility is unnatural.
Keep SL based on structure, not emotions.
Use time-based stop-loss: If your option premium doesn’t move for 15–20 min, exit.
Follow the 1–2% capital rule per trade.
Track IV during gap days—high IV inflates premiums; avoid chasing far OTM options.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Gap-Up: Watch 59,173 → 59,257 → 59,416. Avoid chasing; trade break–retest.
Flat Open: Opening Range decides trend; 58,958–59,043 remains the key support.
Gap-Down: Buyers must watch 58,592–58,712 for reversal setups. Breakdown brings deeper weakness.
Successful trading comes from confirmation-based entries, risk control, and not trading emotional spikes.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any market positions.
SUPREMEIND High-Volume Reversal Attempt💹 Supreme Industries Ltd (NSE: SUPREMEIND)
Sector: Consumer Durables / Plastics | CMP: 3405.8
View: Neutral to Bullish — High-Volume Reversal Attempt
SUPREMEIND has witnessed a sharp corrective phase from its prior swing high near 4739, followed by a decisive reaction from the lower demand zone around the 3180–3320 region. The recent price action is marked by a strong bullish candle supported by exceptionally high volume, signalling aggressive short covering and fresh participation rather than a low-quality bounce. Despite the strength of the reaction, the broader structure remains a recovery attempt within a larger corrective framework, with price still trading below key medium- and long-term moving averages.
From a structural perspective, the stock is attempting to stabilize after a prolonged decline, with RSI at 43.65 recovering from oversold conditions and moving back into a neutral-to-healthy zone. Stochastic has exited oversold territory, while MACD remains negative but shows early signs of deceleration in downside momentum. ADX reflects a strong directional phase, although current behaviour suggests the trend is transitioning rather than fully reversed. Volume participation is notably elevated (Vol-X 3.86), confirming that the recent move is driven by active repositioning rather than passive mean reversion.
Key price references show overhead supply zones clustered near 3456–3592, while immediate structural support remains around 3320–3184, defining the current risk-reward envelope. A sustained hold above the reclaimed short-term averages would be required to improve structural confidence, while failure to hold recent demand may keep the stock range-bound with elevated volatility.
On the derivatives side, the 3400 CALL is used strictly as an analytical reference to understand positioning behaviour. The option reflects LTP near 72 with a delta of 0.55, indicating strong directional sensitivity. OI contraction of approximately 18 percent combined with an explosive volume expansion of over 1300 percent clearly points to short-covering-led participation rather than fresh leveraged longs. IV remains in a moderate zone, suggesting volatility is present but not excessively priced. This configuration typically aligns with sharp reactive moves, though continuation depends on follow-through in the underlying.
Structure quality metrics remain constructive, with an STWP Edge Score near 6.8/10, supported by liquidity proximity to ATM, balanced IV conditions and strong participation. However, directional options remain highly sensitive to time decay and price stalling, reinforcing the importance of momentum persistence in such environments. Smart positioning currently reflects improving sentiment, though confirmation would require sustained price acceptance above near-term resistance bands.
Overall, SUPREMEIND is exhibiting a high-volume reversal attempt with improving internal momentum, but the broader trend remains in a rebuilding phase. Structural confirmation, moving-average reclaim and contraction-to-expansion behaviour will be critical in determining whether this move evolves into a trend or remains a reactive bounce.
Final Outlook (Educational Snapshot):
Momentum: Strong (Short-Term) | Trend: Recovering / Transitional | Risk: High | Volume: Very High
⚠️ STWP Legal Disclaimer
This document is strictly for educational and informational purposes. All examples, charts, levels, and option structures discussed are illustrative and are not intended as buy, sell, or hold recommendations. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading tips, signals, or personalized financial guidance of any kind, nor is it a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst. The analyses, illustrations, and risk–reward structures included here are generic in nature and based on publicly available data and observed market behaviour, which may change without notice. Financial markets involve significant risk; derivatives in particular carry the potential for substantial losses. Option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other market variables can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably.
Readers are solely responsible for their trading decisions, capital management, and risk assessment. Before making any investment or trading decision, please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor. STWP, its representatives, and affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Historical patterns or past market behaviour do not guarantee future outcomes, nor should any part of this document be interpreted as a promise of performance, accuracy, or returns.
Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India.
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NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 17-Dec-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2025
(Based on key levels: 25,953 – 26,011 – 26,111 (resistances) and 25,874 – 25,747 – 25,771 – 25,647 (supports))
Gap criteria considered: 100+ points
🔵 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens above 25,953, it directly enters the resistance territory visible on the chart, where the market often tests supply zones.
🔍 Educational Logic:
When the index opens significantly higher, early buyers from the previous session tend to book profits. Hence the market may retest the breakout zone before showing a directional move. Understanding this behaviour prevents traders from chasing breakouts blindly.
Plan of Action:
If price opens above 25,953 and sustains for 15-min, look for long entries toward 26,011.
If 26,011 breaks with volume, expect a momentum push toward 26,111, the major intraday resistance.
A rejection wick or bearish Engulfing pattern at 26,011 = ideal for a small pullback trade back to 25,953.
For option buyers: Prefer CE entries only after a retest & confirmation; avoid buying at resistance.
🟠 2. FLAT OPENING
A flat open near the 25,874–25,880 zone places NIFTY exactly at the Opening Support/Resistance line.
🔍 Educational Logic:
Here the market is neutral, and the first 30 minutes typically decide the trend. The concept of "Opening Range" becomes very important—break of ORH/ORL gives a cleaner directional move. Avoid predicting the direction—wait for confirmation.
Plan of Action:
If price holds above 25,874, buyers may take charge and lead a move toward 25,953.
A breakout above 25,953 can extend quickly toward 26,011.
If NIFTY slips below 25,851, that becomes a weak sign → expect a move toward 25,771–25,747 support zone.
Watch for bullish reversal candle at 25,747–25,771 (buyers must try zone).
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 25,771, we enter a sentiment-driven weak zone.
🔍 Educational Logic:
Large gap-downs often occur due to overnight negative cues. The initial volatility is usually created by fear-based reactions. A structured trader waits for stability before entering. Many reversals also begin after a gap-down because early sellers exhaust quickly.
Plan of Action:
First support comes at 25,747–25,771 — monitor for a reversal setup.
If price fails to hold this zone, next downside target becomes 25,647, the major support.
A break below 25,647 with strong candles = trending bearish day; avoid bottom-fishing.
If reversal occurs near 25,747, expect a recovery toward 25,851 and later 25,874.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Option Traders
📌 These principles protect your capital and sustain long-term trading:
Never buy options at major resistance or support — wait for confirmation.
Follow time-stop: if your option doesn't move in 15–20 minutes despite the index moving, exit.
Maintain a fixed risk: reward of at least 1:2 on every directional trade.
Avoid trading in the first 5 minutes during 100+ point gaps — volatility is artificially high.
Define your loss level before entering; never widen your SL emotionally.
Scale-in only after the trade moves in your favour, not before.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
A Gap-Up above 25,953 demands patience for a retest before long entries.
A Flat Open near 25,874 is a neutral scenario — rely on Opening Range breakout.
A Gap-Down below 25,771 invites caution; watch for reversal patterns at support zones.
Market structure is more important than prediction. Stick to confirmation-based entries and disciplined exits.
For option buyers, momentum zones and retest confirmations are crucial for high-quality trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BTCUSDT at a Critical Crossroad: 84,670 Breakdown Could Trigger BTCUSDT Price Analysis: Is a Major Breakdown Coming?
🚨 Crypto traders, this is a level you cannot ignore.
BTCUSDT is hovering near a crucial support at 84,670 — and the market is showing signs of stress.
🔑 Why 84,670 Is So Important
This level is acting as a decision zone for Bitcoin.
If BTC holds this support, we may see short-term consolidation or a relief bounce.
But if BTC fails to take support here and breaks down decisively, a sharp fall is highly likely.
📉 Bearish Scenario: Key Downside Targets
🔻 First Breakdown Target:
➡️ 75,000 – 78,000 zone
This area is expected to act as the next major demand zone. Increased volatility and panic selling may appear here.
🔻 If 75,000 fails to hold:
➡️ 67,500 – 68,000 becomes the next bearish target
A break of this zone would indicate a trend structure failure, potentially shifting Bitcoin into a deeper corrective phase.
🧠 What Traders Should Watch Now
✔️ Price reaction around 84,670
✔️ Volume expansion during breakdown
✔️ Strong bearish candles on higher timeframes
✔️ Avoid over-leveraging during high volatility
⚠️ Risk management is critical at this stage. Sharp moves often come with fake bounces and liquidation wicks.
🔮 Market Psychology
When key supports break without consolidation, markets tend to move fast and emotionally. This is where smart money waits patiently while retail traders panic.
📌 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is standing at a make-or-break moment.
If 84,670 does not hold, the path toward 78k and possibly 68k opens up.
👉 Stay alert. Trade with a plan. Respect the trend.
💬 What’s your view?
Do you think BTC will hold 84,670 or are we heading toward 75k?
Comment below and join the discussion 👇
#BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoMarket #BitcoinPrice #BTCBreakdown #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BitcoinCrash #CryptoOutlook
NIFTY FUTURES ALERT: 25,860 Is the Key Level Traders Must Watch!🚨 Attention NIFTY Futures Traders! 🚨
The next critical target for NIFTY Futures is 25,860.
This level is acting as a make-or-break zone for the market.
🔻 If 25,860 breaks decisively, we could witness a sharp move down towards 25,500–25,450 in the near term.
This zone may invite panic selling as well as fresh short positions.
📊 What does this mean for traders?
Short-term sentiment remains weak below 25,860
High volatility expected after the breakdown
Risk management and strict stop-loss are crucial
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical view based on price action. Please manage your risk accordingly.
👉 Follow this space for real-time market insights, NIFTY analysis, and professional trading updates.
#NiftyFutures #StockMarketIndia #NiftyAnalysis #IndexTrading #FuturesTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #IndianStockMarket
Belrise Inds cmp 157.70 by Daily Chart view since listedBelrise Inds cmp 157.70 by Daily Chart view since listed
- Support Zone 150 to 157 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 166.50 to ATH 172.68 Price Band
- Price traversing within Rising Price Channel since listed
- Volumes need to increase for sustained upside movement
- Support Zone been tested retested since mid of November 2025
- Bullish Rounding Bottoms retracing at Resistance Zone inclusive of ATH 172.68
ETH Next Prediction || CRYPTOETH is in a macro downtrend after rejection from the 4,700–4,800 zone. Price is trading below the weekly trendline and inside a descending channel.
RSI (Weekly):
RSI has rolled over from mid-range and is heading down → weak momentum No bullish divergence visible yet.
ETH broke down from a descending channel. Price is below key Fibonacci levels (0.5 and 0.618 failed). Current price ~ 2,930–2,950 is acting as weak support, not strong demand.
Support:
2,800
2,500
2,100 (major demand)
Price is making lower highs Rejected again from descending trendline Consolidation = bear flag structure
RSI (4H):
RSI stuck between 40–50 → weak recovery, Momentum favors sellers
Disclaimer- This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and involve significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Clean Trendline Respect on Weekly Chart – 500 DaysPattern Context
Price has been respecting a well-defined descending trendline on the weekly timeframe, with each rally stalling below the previous swing high and reinforcing the broader lower‑high, lower‑low sequence.
Candlestick Behavior
Showing how supply continues to respond at the same diagonal zone. This reaction visually confirms how aggressively the market has been defending the pattern’s upper boundary without implying what comes next, keeping the focus strictly on how price has behaved historically around this line.
Observational Takeaway
This chart serves as a clear example of how a simple, clean trendline can organize price behavior over multiple months and frame where participation repeatedly shifts. The emphasis here is on observing how consistently the structure has been respected and how each touch has shaped the ongoing sequence, allowing traders to study price interaction with a dominant trend rather than anticipate future outcomes.
Disclaimer
This post is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice, stock tips, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Readers should do their own research, consider their personal risk tolerance, and consult a registered financial professional if needed before making any trading or investment decisions.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 17th December 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25874 above this bullish however actual bullish movement may come if sustains above 25944/48
If NIFTY sustain below 25856 below this bearish then 25839/29/14 below this more bearish then 25799/92 then last hope 25716/48/16/05 below this wait more levels marked on chart
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty (bearish tactical approach: sell on rise)
As mentioned in my 15th dec analysis if day closing below 25863 will be considered bearish, todays closing is just below this level.
**Critical labor market and consumer spending data were released today (Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025) by which are not looking promising,
Retail Sales: Advance monthly figures were also released today; however, the more comprehensive retail sales report is due tomorrow, Wednesday, Dec 17, this sales will be the "tie-breaker"—if consumer spending remains strong (forecasted at +4.5% year-over-year), it may offset the negative jobs data**
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [17/12/2025: Wednesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 17th of December 2025. The day is Wednesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red piercing candle. Sign of weakness. There is also a sign of trend reversal. Every up move should be doubted. Major resistance is 26000. Minor support is 25800. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
It's a 3rd week red candle/ Body is red, plus there is sharp selling pressure from 26100 and 26000. Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. Every up move should be doubted. Take no bullish trade till price sustains above level 26000 at least for 1 day. Sell on every rise is the demand of the present price structure. Very strong resistance is at 26000. Minor support is at 25800. Major support is at 25700. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
From 1st December 2025, a lower lows and lower highs structure continues. Level 25900, a major support, is broken today. No,w 25900 will also act as a major resistance. No bullish trade till the price starts to trade above the level 26000. The present scenario demands to sell on every rise. Minor support is at level 25800, and major support is at level 25700. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The complex correction continues. There is no steady trend. The market is broken. A complex head and shoulder (H&S) pattern is formed. Today, the market broke level 25900 (the neckline of the H&S) again. The Bulls lost hope. Thus, the H&S hypothesis is again activated. Major resistance is at 26000. Every up move should be doubted. Minor support is 25800. Major support is at level 25700. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000.
(iii) There is a lower probability of a bullish scenario.
Beairsh Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price remains below the level 25900.
(iii) There is a higher probability of a bearish scenario.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25850).
Events: No expiry on Wednesday. No high-impact event.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The complex correction is on with the indication of bearish bias.
(ii) After breaking down 25900, the H&S hypothesis is again activated. It means the market is moving towards more bearishness.
(iii) Every up move should be doubted.
(iv) Major resistance zone (26000 - 25950). Take no bullish trade unless the price sustains above this zone.
(v) Look for bearish trades only.
(vi) Minor support is at 25800. Major support is at level 25700. There is a higher probability of the price reaching level 25700.
(vii) Trade only if there is either a bullish/bearish scenario. Else, don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Gold 1H – NFP in Control: 4355 Cap or 4260 Hold?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a high-volatility liquidity environment as markets digest the NFP Preview: Rate Path Divergence & Implications for DXY and Gold.
With the upcoming U.S. labor data set to shape expectations for the Fed’s 2026 rate path, USD flows remain unstable. Any surprise in employment or wage components could trigger sharp repricing in rate-cut expectations, directly impacting gold through DXY volatility.
In this context, institutions are unlikely to commit direction early. Instead, liquidity engineering and stop-hunts around key premium/discount zones are favored ahead of true displacement.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Post-expansion, now rotating inside a rising channel and pausing near equilibrium
Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4353–4355) or discount (4262–4260) before the next impulsive move
Structural Notes:
• Prior BOS confirms bullish higher-timeframe context
• Recent pullback signals profit-taking, not full reversal
• Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4260 are clearly exposed
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272
Institutional Flow Expectation:
sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363
Rules:
✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4325
2. 4300
3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates
🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / channel support
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover
✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4280
2. 4310
3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data
⚠️ Risk Notes
• NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike
• Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect spreads and volatility to expand during U.S. sessions
• Reduce risk if entering close to news releases
📍 Summary
Today’s gold narrative is driven by NFP-led rate path uncertainty:
• A sweep into 4355 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285
or
• A liquidity grab near 4260 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350
Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
Candle Patterns The Power of Context: Where Patterns Truly Work
Patterns are not standalone signals. Their effectiveness depends on context:
Trend Direction: Patterns aligned with the higher-timeframe trend have higher probability.
Support and Resistance: Patterns near key levels carry more weight.
Volume: Breakouts with volume confirm participation.
Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows validate bullish patterns; lower highs and lower lows validate bearish ones.
A bullish engulfing in the middle of nowhere is noise. The same pattern at a weekly support level is opportunity.
Chart Patterns Financial markets speak a language of price. Every movement on a chart represents the collective psychology of millions of participants—institutions, traders, investors, algorithms, and speculators. Chart patterns and candlestick patterns are the visual translation of this psychology. They do not predict the future with certainty, but they provide probabilistic insights into market behavior, trend continuation, reversals, and momentum shifts. Mastering them allows traders to read price action with clarity, discipline, and confidence.
EARLY REVERSAL TRADE IDEA : DALBHARATLatest Corporate & Market News
Quarterly Results – Profit Surge
-Dalmia Bharat reported strong Q4 FY25 financials, with profit rising ~37% to ₹439 crore compared to last year.
-Achieved installed cement capacity milestone of 49.5 MTPA and announced 6 MTPA capacity expansion mainly for West India markets.
Cement firms including Dalmia are seeing moderate volume growth in Q2 FY26, supported by housing and infrastructure demand.
Fundamental Insight
Long-term fundamentals show mixed performance with modest sales growth and lower return on equity, though dividend payout remains relatively steady.
Quick Market Snapshot
Share price: ~₹2090–₹2100 (Dec 2025)
52-week range: ~₹1601 – ₹2496
Market cap: ~₹38,000–₹39,000 Cr
Analyst price targets: Mixed, generally positive bias in medium term
Implication for Traders/Investors
-Bullish catalysts:
Strong recent earnings beat
Capacity expansion
Dividend payouts & analyst target upgrades
Primary Entry: Buy in 2060–2000
Stop Loss: 1894
Targets: 2315 then 2491
KEY LEVELS
Demand Zone
1964 to 2000
Retest / FVG Zone
2060 to 1989
Invalidation (Stop Loss)
Below 1894 (daily close)
Upside Targets
Initial Target – 2315
Full Target – 2491
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Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Spread Strategies (Risk-Defined Trades)
Spread strategies reduce risk by combining buy and sell options.
Bull Call Spread
Concept: Buy lower strike call + Sell higher strike call.
Profit: Limited
Risk: Limited
Best Market Condition: Moderate uptrend
Benefit:
Lower cost than buying a naked call.
BANK NIFTY Holding Key Base – Expansion Phase AheadBank Nifty is trading within a well-defined rising channel on the daily timeframe, showing strong structural strength. After a sharp rally from the lower channel support, the index is now consolidating near the mid-to-upper zone of the channel, which is a healthy sign in an ongoing uptrend.
The recent price action indicates range-bound consolidation above a horizontal support, suggesting that smart money is holding positions rather than exiting. This sideways movement after an upmove often acts as a base formation before the next leg higher.
As long as Bank Nifty holds above the immediate support zone near the consolidation base, the broader trend remains bullish. A decisive breakout from this tight range can trigger momentum expansion, opening the path towards the upper channel resistance in the coming sessions.
RSI is placed near the neutral zone, cooling off after the previous rally. This reset in momentum without major price damage increases the probability of a fresh directional move.
Overall, Bank Nifty is in a strong positional structure, and this pause looks more like accumulation rather than distribution, keeping the bullish bias intact unless key supports are broken.






















