XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
Chart Patterns
Bear - Bulls Fight Nifty ExpirySir/Mam,
Last published Idea worked perfectly to all my viewers/followers.
For tomorrow, if Nifty opens below 25900 < then the levels opens for 25700. For safe Trading buy 26150 PE and CE now it is 200.65 + 15.45 = 216.1
That's it !
Tomorrow expiry, Volume timing as follows -
9.15 - 10.00 am - Price flow
10.00 - 1.45 PM - No Trade zone, watch the market support and resistance.
1.45 - 2.00 PM - Choose best strike price (both CE and PE should be -80 to 85% negative)
2.00 PM - 3.00 PM - Buy CE and PE of same strike price and sell with one side profit.
3.00 PM - 3.30 PM - Just watch the Profit !
Hope you have nice trading day tomorrow.
Stay safe and Take care.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Nov-2025📊 BANKNIFTY TRADING PLAN — 25 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15-min structure & intraday zones)
BankNifty closed around 58,731, sitting right inside the No-Trade Zone (58,661–58,838) where volatility, fake breakouts, and whipsaws are highly likely.
As per the chart structure:
🟥 Opening Resistance (Gap-up case): 59,043
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 59,266
🟥 Major Resistance: 59,607
🟩 Opening Support (Gap-down case): 58,482
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 58,294
🟩 Major Support: 57,647
Below is the complete actionable plan for all opening scenarios 👇
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (200+ points)
If BankNifty opens around 58,950–59,150, it directly tests the Opening Resistance (59,043) and approaches the Last Intraday Resistance (59,266).
If price sustains above 59,266 for 10–20 mins with strong bullish candles →
🎯 Upside targets → 59,350 → 59,470 → 59,607
If price rejects 59,043–59,266, expect a pullback toward:
➡️ 58,900 → 58,838
A bullish retest at 58,838 (top of No-Trade Zone) can give a safe long entry.
Avoid chasing a gap-up candle — gap-ups at resistance zones often trigger early reversals.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-ups near previous-day resistance usually generate liquidity hunts. Wait for structure to form — breakout + retest is far safer than impulse entries.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Near 58,660–58,820)
A flat open places price inside the No-Trade Zone (58,661–58,838) — a region made for fake moves.
If price gives a clean breakout above 58,838, then retests →
Targets → 58,950 → 59,043 → 59,266
If price breaks 58,661 convincingly →
Bearish targets → 58,482 → 58,294
Best trades will be only outside the No-Trade Zone:
— Buy above 58,838
— Sell below 58,661
Avoid trading inside 58,661–58,838. Momentum is usually weak and full of noise.
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are where patience pays. Let the first 15-min candle define trend bias before committing capital.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ points)
If BankNifty opens around 58,250–58,450, price enters Opening Support (58,482) and may slide towards the Last Intraday Support (58,294).
If 58,482 holds with long wicks + volume →
Reversal targets → 58,661 → 58,838 → 58,950
If price breaks 58,294 decisively →
Next supports → 58,050 → 57,900 → 57,647
A strong bounce at 57,647 is a very high-quality long setup.
Avoid bottom-fishing immediately after gap-down — wait for confirmation candles.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into strong support generate the cleanest reversals — but only after rejection + higher low formation.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes after the open — let volatility settle.
Use ITM or ATM options for directional trades; avoid far OTM traps.
Place SL based on structure, not on rupee value.
Never average a losing position — protect capital first.
When VIX is high → prefer hedged selling strategies (Spreads / Iron Condor).
When VIX is low → momentum buying works better.
Trail profits if market trends strongly — large moves often come on trending days.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Trade levels, not emotions. Your job is to execute with discipline, not predict every tick.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish above → 58,838**
Upside Targets → 58,950 → 59,043 → 59,266 → 59,470 → 59,607
Bearish below → 58,661**
Downside Targets → 58,482 → 58,294 → 58,050 → 57,900 → 57,647
No-Trade Zone:** 58,661–58,838
(wait for breakout + retest)
🧾 CONCLUSION
BankNifty is positioned at a sensitive zone where directional clarity will emerge only after a breakout from the No-Trade Zone.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout & retest above 58,838
✔️ Rejection-based selling below 58,661
✔️ A reversal bounce from 57,647 in case of sharp gap-down
Trade with patience, wait for confirmation, and protect your capital.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes.
Please consult a registered financial advisor before trading or investing.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Nov-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 25 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15-min structure & intraday reaction zones)
Nifty closed near 25,943, slipping into the Opening Support Zone (25,931–25,950) after a sharp late-day decline. The structure has shifted into a short-term bearish bias, but the first 15–20 minutes of the session will decide whether a reversal or continuation unfolds.
🔑 Key Levels to Track
🟥 Opening Resistance (Gap-up Case): 26,050 – 26,079
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,175
🟥 Major Upside Level: 26,307
🟧 Opening Support: 25,931 – 25,950
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,750 – 25,807
🟩 Major Downside Support: 25,516
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens around 26,050+, price immediately enters the Opening Resistance Zone (26,050 – 26,079), a zone known for trapping early buyers.
If price sustains above 26,079 for 15–20 minutes →
📈 Targets: 26,120 → 26,175 → 26,225 → 26,307
If price rejects 26,079, expect pullback toward:
➡️ 26,020 → 25,970 → 25,950
The safest long trade is a retest–reclaim of 26,050 after rejection wicks.
Avoid aggressive buying directly at the open — resistance gaps often fade.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-ups into resistance require confirmation via higher lows. A flat or weak breakout candle usually signals exhaustion, not strength.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Around 25,930–25,960)
A flat open keeps Nifty inside the Opening Support Zone (25,931–25,950) — a decision-making region.
Breakout above 25,970 →
Targets: 26,020 → 26,050 → 26,079
Failure to hold 25,931 →
Decline toward 25,807 → 25,750
Avoid trading inside the 25,930–25,970 region until direction is clear.
Best trades:
✔️ Breakout–retest above 25,970
✔️ Support bounce at 25,807–25,750
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat openings reveal trend direction quickly — wait for the first candle to close before acting.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
A gap-down below 25,880 pushes price rapidly toward the Last Intraday Support Zone (25,750 – 25,807).
If 25,807–25,750 holds with bullish wicks →
📈 Reversal targets: 25,900 → 25,950 → 26,020
If 25,750 breaks →
Next downside targets: 25,640 → 25,580 → 25,516
A sharp bounce from 25,516 provides a low-risk reversal trade setup.
Avoid picking bottoms blindly — wait for structure (HH/HL) to form.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into strong support often offer the best risk-to-reward if reversal signs appear — but only after confirmation.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading during first 5–10 minutes after open.
Prefer ATM or ITM options for directional momentum.
Never widen your stop-loss under emotional pressure.
Avoid averaging losers — compound losses destroy accounts.
When VIX is low → option buying works better.
When VIX is high → use spreads or hedged selling.
Book partial profits to secure gains during volatility.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Focus on capital preservation first — opportunities come daily, capital does not.
📌 SUMMARY
🔼 Bullish Above → 26,020 / 26,079
Targets: 26,120 → 26,175 → 26,225 → 26,307
🔽 Bearish Below → 25,931 / 25,807
Targets: 25,750 → 25,640 → 25,580 → 25,516
🚫 No-Trade Zone
25,930 – 25,970 (Flat opening zone — high noise, low clarity)
🧾 CONCLUSION
Nifty is approaching a high-volatility reversal area with both upside and downside swings possible. The reaction to the 25,931 support and 26,050 resistance will decide the trend for the day.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout–retest above 26,020/26,079
✔️ Reversal confirmation at 25,807–25,750
✔️ Continuation trades after breakdown below 25,750
Patience and discipline are essential — avoid chasing.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Please consult a certified financial advisor before trading or investing.
Nifty 50 Structure Analysis [25/11/2025: Tuesday]Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 25th November 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(i) Monthly Timeframe:
Green spinning top. The view is bullish to indecisive. Level 25700 is still a strong support. Level 26100 is a strong resistance.
(ii) Weekly Timeframe:
It is the last week of the month. Price got rejected from 26100. Price also breaks down level 26000. First day of the week. It is a red candle and an inside week. No bullish trade till price decisively sustains above 26050. Level 25900 is a major support. If level 25900 is broken down, then bearishness will increase. The view is indecisive to bearish. Strong resistance level formed at 26100 - 26050.
(iii) Daily Timeframe:
First day of the week. It's kind of red morubozu due to its large body. But there are wicks at the top and bottom. Strong support at 25900. Strong resistance at the level 26100 - 26050. No bullish trade till price decisively sustains above level 26100. Bearishness might increase if level 25900 is breached. The view is bearish.
(iv) 30-Minute Timeframe:
Strong selling is visible. Any upmove should be doubted. No bullish trade till price decisively trades above 26050 - 26100. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to make a higher highs and higher lows structure above the 26050 - 26100 zone.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price remains below 26050.
Expectation : For the monthly expiry, the price might expire below 26100.
Event : No major event. However, the Nifty 50 Monthly expiry is there. Volatility is expected.
Note:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading.
Bitcoin Monthly Support Test — Next Target $58,419 ?Key support sits at $81,933. A clean break and close below this zone could expose Bitcoin to a deeper retracement toward the next major support around $58,419.
However, $81,933 is also a strong monthly support level, so the market’s reaction here is critical.
Keep an eye on whether this level holds or fails — it will likely dictate the next major move.
Share your view in the comments: Do you think BTC will defend this monthly support, or are we heading lower?
Something is cooking big than patternNSE:NIFTY
Nifty make continuously cup pattern smaller than previous cup . this is good sign for uptrend. but here also some negative points like all time resistance, negative pattern at all time resistance also another trend line resistance. global uncertainty here is big role. these are negative point.
you think i make confusion right but only half.
every analysis has two side
1. if analysis will right than we are ready for plan of action.
2. if analysis will wrong than we also ready for plan of action.
So, be prepared for both side.
Here is another 3 side if nifty make another cup 😅
hahahhaha
Brian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session TodayBrian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session Today
Technical analysis – trendline, FVG, and two clear scenarios
On H4, gold is still maintaining a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the end of October. The decline in the Asian session this morning was not strong enough to break the structure; the price touched the trendline and then bounced up, indicating that the sellers have not yet "crushed" this support area.
Current structure: The price is accumulating around the 4,050–4,080 area in a sideways candle cluster, lying on the uptrend line and above the 4,000 support.
Above, the 4,120–4,170 area is an FVG + important supply zone; higher is a larger FVG around 4,280–4,330 – if "filled," it is a potential area for a strong profit-taking move.
Below, the 4,000 mark is a key support; losing this mark, the price could quickly slide to the 3,884 area – marked on the chart as the level confirming a medium-term downtrend if breached.
Until 4,000 is broken, I consider this an accumulation area with a high possibility of "fake breaks" on both sides – so prioritize trading according to the trendline, not guessing tops and bottoms in the noise area.
Key levels
Resistance / sell zone: 4,100–4,110: buy confirmation zone, if rejected will become short-term supply
4,170–4,173: FVG / supply, medium-term short zone
4,280–4,330: large FVG above
Support: 4,048–4,050: trendline + intraday breakout zone
4,022–4,005: next support if the price slides off 4,040
4,000: psychological and structural support
3,884: final support; breaking down will confirm a medium-term downtrend
Trade scenarios (for reference, not investment advice)
1. Sell break intraday – follow the trend if the trendline breaks
Entry: sell when the price breaks the short trend at 4,048–4,050
SL: 4,056
TP: 4,040 → 4,022 → 4,005
Idea: if the price breaks below the current accumulation cluster and short trendline, I want to follow the initial selling force, targeting the adjacent support area 4,022–4,005. When the order goes right, SL can be moved to BE around 4,040.
2. Sell “premium” – short at the upper FVG zone
Entry: 4,170–4,173
SL: 4,178
TP: 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,122 → 4,100
This is a price zone I consider "beautiful" for medium-term trading if the market gives a deep retracement. FVG + H4 resistance converge; if the price is strongly rejected here, the TPs are successively the lower demand zone and the current range bottom.
3. Buy only after clean breakout – do not rush to catch the bottom
I am only interested in buy orders when the market structure truly confirms:
Trigger: H1/H2 candle closes clearly above 4,100
Entry: buy right around 4,100 after breakout
SL: 4,092
TP: medium-term towards the 4,145 → 4,170 → 4,230+ depending on momentum
This scenario considers 4,100 as the "exit door" from the current accumulation area. If this area holds as new support, buyers will have a clearer advantage and the money flow could push the price up to gradually fill the upper FVGs.
GOLD (XAUUSD): FINAL SQUEEZE! TRADE ZONES READY!Timeframe: 1H | Gold is tightly consolidated between 4,040 - 4,085 (Symmetrical Triangle).
1. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA) & ACTIONABLE ZONES
The market is coiled like a spring. We have identified specific zones for high-probability setups.
🔥 BUY ZONE (Reversal Play):
Entry: 4,044 - 4,046
Stop Loss (SL): 4,038
Strategy: This is our Strong Support confluence area. A golden opportunity for a bounce play.
⚠️ SELL Scalp (Intra-range):
Entry: 4,071 - 4,073
Stop Loss (SL): 4,077
Strategy: Near-term resistance. Quick profit booking expected here.
🚨 SELL ZONE (Strong Resistance):
Entry: 4,097 - 4,099
Stop Loss (SL): 4,107
Strategy: A major supply zone. Excellent spot to short if the initial Long move fizzles out.
⚡ MEGA BREAKOUT SCENARIO
LONG Breakout: Above 4,085 to TP: 4,110 to 4,130.
SHORT Breakout: Below 4,040 to TP: 4,020 to 4,000.
2. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA)
The market is waiting for Major US Data (Jobs report, PCE Inflation) and Fed sentiment. This data will be the ultimate catalyst for the breakout
Weak Data: Supports Gold (Long) due to a weaker USD.
Strong Data: Pressurizes Gold (Short) due to a stronger USD.
💡 THE GOLDEN STRATEGY
Patience is key! Do not jump the gun inside the triangle. Set strict SLs for all trades. Act only on a confirmed technical breakout backed by the Fundamental news flow.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #IndianTraders #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #BreakoutTrade #GoldAnalysis #TradingSetup
Part 1 Introduction to Candlestick PatternsThe Greeks: Heart of Option Trading
The Greeks measure how options change with market conditions.
1. Delta
Measures how much the premium moves compared to the underlying.
Call delta = +ve
Put delta = –ve
2. Theta
Measures time decay.
Always negative for buyers
Positive for sellers
3. Vega
Measures sensitivity to volatility.
High volatility = expensive options.
4. Gamma
Shows how Delta changes.
High Gamma = fast premium movement.
Part 12 Trading Master ClassOption Premium and Its Components
The premium is the price you pay to buy an option. Premium has two parts:
A. Intrinsic Value
The real value of the option.
Example:
If Nifty is at 22,000 and you have a Call option of 21,800
Intrinsic value = 22,000 – 21,800 = 200 points
B. Time Value
The extra value due to remaining time to expiry.
As expiry nears, time value decays, and premium falls. This is called Theta Decay.
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart
Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown:
1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side)
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent.
CHoCH followed by accumulation zones.
Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points).
Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation.
2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation
Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength.
Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible.
Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone.
3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right)
Market reaches Premium Ceiling Zone.
Signs of exhaustion appear:
Lower high formations
Reversal zone highlighted
Shift in character from expansion → distribution
4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming
The chart shows:
A potential descending structure
Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline
First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902
Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700
These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing.
5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart
Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached
Smart money distributing positions
Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas
Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD:Likely Cup&Saucer Break OutRELIANCE: Trading at 1530-1540.
Trading above all its Critical moving averages even in weekly chart .
Moreover DEMA has given a golden cross over of 20DEMA in weekly chart shows the strength in the stock.
Reliance has for med a Cup& Handle pattern in weekly chart and RIL holding above 1540-1550 on closing basis likely to test 1650+(For educational purpose only)
Part 11 Trading Master Class Why Options Are Popular
Option trading has exploded in popularity due to several advantages:
✔ Lower Capital
You can control a large position with a small premium.
✔ Limited Risk (For Buyers)
You can’t lose more than the premium you paid.
✔ High Reward Potential
Options magnify gains during strong market moves.
✔ Flexibility
You can create strategies for:
bullish markets
bearish markets
range-bound markets
highly volatile markets
extremely calm markets
Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Setup) | Re-Opportunityit did give an opportunity last week, then fell, and is again at an opportunity zone now.
RSI Analysis
Your RSI shows:
RSI near 37–38
This is close to oversold, which is usually where reversals happen
Earlier, RSI bounced from similar levels
➡️ Supports a bounce possibility.
MACD Analysis
MACD is:
Below zero
Weak
But histogram shows reducing red bars (selling pressure slowing down)
➡️ MACD is not bullish yet, but weakening selling often comes before reversal.
It is again touching that same support, which means:
✔ Another opportunity is forming
✔ A bounce is possible
✔ Risk is low because stop-loss is nearby
❗ But downside risk is also real if support breaks
Entry Zone:
₹124–128 (exactly where price is now)
Stop-Loss:
A daily close below ₹122
If wedge breaks → downside can be sharp.
Targets:
If bounce happens:
T1: ₹135
T2: ₹142
T3: ₹150 (massive trendline resistance)
📌 Note
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not a buy or sell recommendation. Always do your own research and analysis before taking any trade. The stock market involves risk — trade carefully and use proper risk management.






















