MONERO XMR GOOD TIME TO GO LONGA. Reasons Supporting a BUY Decision:
1. Breakout from Horizontal Resistance:
The XMR price spent a long period (from approximately October 12th to the beginning of November) moving within a sideways/accumulation range around the $320 - $350 level.
The current price is at $359.78 and has broken out above the peak of this accumulation range ($350 - $355). This breakout, especially if confirmed by high volume, is a strong bullish signal, indicating that selling pressure has decreased and buyers are gaining control.
2. Heikin Ashi Candlestick Structure:
The most recent Heikin Ashi candles (at the time the image was taken, November 2nd) have switched from red (bearish) or small-bodied candles (indecision) to green candles with long bodies and short or no lower wicks. This signals that a strong upward momentum is forming.
3. MA/EMA Bands (Momentum Lines):
The red and green moving averages (MA/EMA) visible on the chart are pointing upwards, and the price is trading above these lines. This confirms that a short-term uptrend is beginning to establish itself.
B.Monero is the leading privacy-focused cryptocurrency, and its main fundamental drivers are:
1. Demand for Privacy:
In the context of increasing global regulation and growing concerns about transaction surveillance, the demand for privacy coins like XMR remains robust.
2. Impossibility of Surveillance:
Monero utilizes technologies like Ring Signatures, Ring Confidential Transactions (RingCT), and Stealth Addresses to obscure the sender, receiver, and transaction amount, making it extremely difficult to track.
3. Community Development and Updates:
The Monero network undergoes regular protocol updates to enhance security and performance (e.g., Hard Forks to increase Ring Size, PoW algorithm updates). An active development community is a good sign for the project's long-term health.
4. ASIC-Resistance:
Monero strives to maintain the ability to be mined with conventional CPU/GPU hardware, which helps decentralize mining power and strengthens the network's decentralization.
Chart Patterns
WeWork India – Range Breakout Setup (Daily Chart)WeWork India is consolidating within a narrow range and is now approaching a potential breakout zone on the daily timeframe. After the recent listing volatility, the stock has formed a short-term base between ₹635–₹650, showing signs of absorption of supply around the resistance zone.
The candles are getting tighter with reduced wicks, and volume activity is stabilizing — often a precursor to a range breakout. Once the price sustains above the ₹650–₹655 entry zone, it could trigger a short-term momentum move toward the upside.
🎯 Key Levels:
CMP: ₹645.50 (−0.13%)
Entry Zone: ₹650 – ₹655
Target: ₹690 – ₹700
Stop-Loss (SL): ₹635 (on daily closing basis)
📈 Technical View:
Price consolidation indicates accumulation after the initial volatility phase.
A breakout above ₹655 with strong volume can confirm bullish momentum.
Risk–reward setup remains favorable with defined SL and clear target zone.
Heikin Ashi candles are showing early signs of trend continuation.
🧠 View:
A sustained move above ₹655 can confirm a breakout from the current range. Traders can look for a move toward ₹690–₹700 while maintaining a stop below ₹635. Price action should be closely monitored for volume confirmation.
APOLLO TYRES – Volatility Contraction Breakout in MotionApollo Tyres is showing some serious strength on the weekly chart. After months of squeezing inside a clean Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), the stock has finally started to break above the neckline zone around ₹500–₹520 — a level that’s acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past.
The structure is textbook — each pullback getting shallower, each base tighter, and now price pushing through resistance with conviction. That gradual reduction in volatility often signals institutional accumulation before a potential expansion move.
Momentum candles are widening, and while volume hasn’t exploded yet, it’s picking up — hinting that buyers are stepping in early. A retest toward the breakout zone wouldn’t be out of place, but as long as it holds above that ₹500 handle, the setup stays healthy.
Overall, it’s one of those quiet, technically strong setups that tend to move sharply once confirmed.
Let’s watch if bulls can keep control in the coming sessions — this chart definitely deserves to stay on the radar.
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Nifty - Weekly Review Nov 3 to Nov 7Nifty in the lower time frame has formed a falling wedge, which is a bullish sign and also price is at the important crucial zone 25700. In the daily time frame, the price is showing bearish strength.
If the price breaks the 25680 - 25720 zone with bearish strength, 25500 can be tested.
Buy above 25740 with the stop loss of 25690 for the targets 25780, 25840, 25900, 25940, 25980, 26040 and 26080.
Sell below 25640 with the stop loss of 25690 for the targets 25600, 25560, 25520, 25460, 25400, 25360 and 25320.
Important levels to watch are 25500, 25700 and 25900 zones.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
INDIA CEMENTS – Powerful Breakout from a Symmetrical TriangleAfter months of coiling price action, India Cements finally broke out of a clean symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour chart. The breakout came with a solid volume expansion, showing that bulls have been waiting for this move. Price surged quickly past the resistance line, followed by a short pullback — a healthy sign that buyers are trying to confirm the breakout zone as new support.
On the fundamentals side, the company recently approved a ₹4.4 billion capex plan for capacity expansion and modernization — a strong statement of growth intent that’s clearly adding fuel to the technical breakout.
Technically, the structure suggests momentum could continue if the stock manages to stay above the triangle’s upper boundary. The recent price compression and expansion rhythm often lead to strong directional moves, especially when backed by improving volume.
Watching how it behaves around the ₹400 zone will be key — hold above it, and the setup stays valid.
Let’s see if bulls can defend this fresh breakout.
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RSR.USDT – Quiet Breakout After a Long DowntrendRSR just slipped out of its falling channel, and it’s starting to look alive again. After weeks of steady decline inside a clean descending channel, price finally managed to close above the upper trendline — a subtle but strong shift in structure. The candles have tightened just above the breakout zone, hinting that accumulation might be happening quietly before the next leg.
Volume on the day sits around 107M, slightly under the 30D average of 867M, which shows this move is still in its early stage — not yet overheated. The recent weekly gain of +2.36% adds to the first signs of momentum recovery, while the higher timeframes (-35% in 6M and -57% YTD) suggest plenty of upside room if this reversal holds.
Technically, as long as RSR stays above the $0.0054–$0.0055 zone, the bias remains bullish. Short-term traders watching this breakout are likely eyeing that $0.0060–$0.0066 range as a natural continuation zone.
RSR’s structure is simple but clean — break the trendline, hold the retest, and let momentum do the work.
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Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts Types of Options
There are two main types of options:
Call Option – A call gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before expiration.
Traders buy calls when they expect the price of the underlying asset to rise.
Put Option – A put gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price before expiration.
Traders buy puts when they expect the price of the underlying asset to fall.
Each option can also be American-style (exercisable anytime before expiry) or European-style (exercisable only on the expiry date). In India, most index options like NIFTY or BANKNIFTY are European-style.
Part 11 Trading Master Class With Experts What Are Options?
An option is a financial derivative contract that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset (such as stocks, indices, or commodities) at a predetermined price (called the strike price) before or on a specific date (called the expiry date).
Unlike futures, which obligate both parties to transact, options provide flexibility. The buyer of the option pays a premium to the seller (writer) for this right.
ZEN – 80% Breakout and Still ClimbingZEN has been on absolute fire lately. After breaking out cleanly from a symmetrical triangle, the move didn’t just stop — it exploded. From the $11 breakout zone, price surged all the way to around $21, delivering nearly an 80% gain in just a few sessions. That’s the kind of follow-through breakout traders dream about.
The momentum is backed by solid fundamentals on the tape too — 24h trading volume topping $544M and a market cap now near $353M. The weekly performance is up 77.8%, monthly up 104%, and an insane 6-month run of +142%. This isn’t just a short-term pop — ZEN’s been in a sustained recovery phase after months of underperformance.
Technically, price is still holding strong above the former resistance line, and the breakout structure remains valid. A brief pullback to cool off wouldn’t surprise anyone, but the trend bias is clearly bullish while volume and momentum stay this strong.
ZEN’s breakout is a perfect example of how patience inside compression patterns pays off once the energy releases.
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MITO – Quiet Accumulation Before the Storm?SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:MITO has been bleeding for weeks, but this chart setup looks like it’s quietly loading for something bigger. After the steep drop in early October, price found a base around the 0.09 zone and has been hovering there with tight-bodied candles — a classic sign of accumulation after capitulation.
The green range on the chart highlights a clear breakout box — a move above that short-term resistance could easily trigger a relief rally. What’s interesting is how the downside has started to lose momentum even as overall sentiment stays bearish. That kind of decoupling often precedes sharp mean reversion moves.
Volume has cooled off massively from the highs, which means a fresh wave of buying could move this fast. If bulls manage to reclaim that 0.10 area decisively, the setup opens up room for a sustained move toward the previous liquidity cluster near 0.14 and beyond.
Let’s see if this quiet base turns into a breakout spring.
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Introduction to Option Greeks and Hedging1. Understanding the Concept of Option Greeks
Option Greeks are mathematical measures derived from the Black-Scholes model and other pricing models. Each Greek represents a different dimension of risk associated with holding an option position. Collectively, they help traders understand how their portfolio will behave when market variables change. The main Greeks are Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, and Rho.
These metrics provide traders with a structured approach to assess risk exposure. By interpreting these values, traders can anticipate potential losses or gains when market conditions shift, allowing them to make timely adjustments through hedging.
2. Delta (Δ): Sensitivity to Price Movement
Delta measures how much the price of an option changes in response to a ₹1 (or $1) change in the price of the underlying asset.
For call options, Delta ranges between 0 and +1.
For put options, Delta ranges between 0 and –1.
For example, if a call option has a Delta of 0.6, it means that for every ₹1 increase in the stock price, the option’s price will increase by ₹0.60.
Interpretation:
A Delta close to 1 (or –1) indicates the option behaves almost like the underlying asset.
A Delta near 0 means the option is far out-of-the-money and less responsive to price changes.
Use in Hedging:
Traders use Delta to create Delta-neutral portfolios. This means the portfolio’s overall Delta equals zero, making it immune to small price movements in the underlying asset. For instance, if a trader holds call options with a total Delta of +100, they can short 100 shares of the underlying asset to neutralize price risk.
3. Gamma (Γ): Rate of Change of Delta
While Delta measures how much an option’s price changes with the underlying, Gamma measures how much Delta itself changes with a ₹1 move in the underlying.
Gamma is highest for at-the-money options and lowest for deep in-the-money or out-of-the-money options.
Interpretation:
A high Gamma means the Delta changes rapidly, leading to higher price sensitivity.
A low Gamma means Delta changes slowly, making the position more stable.
Use in Hedging:
Gamma helps traders understand how stable their Delta hedge is. For instance, if you are Delta-neutral but have high Gamma exposure, even a small move in the stock price can make your portfolio Delta-positive or Delta-negative quickly. Active traders monitor Gamma to rebalance their hedges dynamically.
4. Theta (Θ): Time Decay
Theta represents the rate at which the value of an option declines as time passes, assuming other factors remain constant.
Options are wasting assets, meaning their value decreases as expiration approaches. Theta is usually negative for option buyers and positive for option sellers.
For example, if an option has a Theta of –0.05, it will lose ₹0.05 per day due to time decay.
Interpretation:
Short-term, out-of-the-money options have faster time decay.
Long-term options lose value slowly.
Use in Hedging:
Option sellers (like covered call writers) use Theta to their advantage, as they profit from the natural erosion of time value. On the other hand, buyers may hedge against Theta decay by selecting longer-dated options or adjusting their positions as expiration nears.
5. Vega (ν): Sensitivity to Volatility
Vega measures how much an option’s price changes for a 1% change in implied volatility (IV).
Volatility reflects the market’s expectation of how much the underlying asset will fluctuate. An increase in volatility generally raises option premiums, benefiting buyers and hurting sellers.
Example:
If an option has a Vega of 0.10, a 1% rise in implied volatility will increase the option’s price by ₹0.10.
Interpretation:
Options with more time to expiration have higher Vega.
At-the-money options are more sensitive to volatility changes than deep in/out-of-the-money options.
Use in Hedging:
Traders hedge volatility exposure by taking opposite positions in options with similar Vega but different expirations or strike prices. For example, calendar spreads and straddles are often used to manage Vega risk.
6. Rho (ρ): Sensitivity to Interest Rates
Rho measures how much an option’s price changes for a 1% change in interest rates.
For call options, Rho is positive — higher rates increase their value.
For put options, Rho is negative — higher rates reduce their value.
While Rho is less impactful in short-term trading, it can influence long-term options significantly, especially when central banks alter monetary policy.
7. Combining Greeks for Effective Hedging
A successful options trader doesn’t look at any single Greek in isolation. Each Greek interacts with others, influencing risk and reward simultaneously. For example:
A position may be Delta-neutral but still exposed to Gamma and Vega risks.
Theta decay may offset Vega gains in some situations.
Therefore, professional traders use multi-Greek hedging — balancing Delta, Gamma, and Vega together to minimize exposure to market fluctuations, volatility changes, and time decay.
8. Practical Hedging Strategies Using Option Greeks
Here are some common hedging approaches that rely on understanding and adjusting Greeks:
a. Delta Hedging
The most common form of hedging. Traders adjust their stock or futures positions to offset the Delta of their options portfolio. This ensures that small price moves in the underlying have minimal impact on total portfolio value.
b. Gamma Hedging
Used by professional traders to reduce the rate at which Delta changes. This typically involves adding options positions that balance out the portfolio’s Gamma exposure, keeping Delta more stable as prices move.
c. Vega Hedging
To manage volatility exposure, traders use spreads such as calendar or diagonal spreads. These involve buying and selling options with different expiration dates or strikes to neutralize Vega.
d. Theta Management
For option buyers, Theta is a cost that must be managed by timing trades or using longer expirations. For sellers, it is a profit mechanism — hence, they may hedge Delta exposure but keep Theta positive to benefit from time decay.
9. Real-World Example
Imagine a trader buys a NIFTY call option with a Delta of 0.5, Gamma of 0.03, Vega of 0.08, and Theta of –0.04.
If the NIFTY index rises by 100 points, the option’s price should increase by approximately 50 points due to Delta. However, because of Gamma, Delta itself will rise slightly, amplifying the next move.
If market volatility increases by 1%, the option gains another 8 points from Vega. But as time passes, the option loses 4 points per day due to Theta.
By analyzing these Greeks together, the trader can anticipate how the position will behave and decide whether to hedge using futures or additional options.
10. Importance of Greeks and Hedging in Risk Management
In modern trading, understanding Option Greeks is essential not only for speculation but for risk management. They transform options from gambling instruments into sophisticated financial tools.
Delta helps manage directional exposure.
Gamma ensures stability of hedging.
Theta highlights the cost of holding positions.
Vega monitors volatility risk.
Rho prepares for interest rate shifts.
Through hedging, traders can create positions that align with their risk appetite and market outlook. The goal is not to eliminate risk entirely, but to control and balance it.
Conclusion
Option Greeks are the heartbeat of options pricing and risk management. They allow traders to quantify and predict how market variables—price, time, volatility, and interest rates—affect their positions. Mastering these Greeks is the first step toward becoming a disciplined, professional trader.
By integrating Greeks into hedging strategies, traders can protect their portfolios from adverse movements, stabilize returns, and operate with confidence in volatile markets. In essence, Greeks transform options trading from speculation into a science of probability and precision — where managing risk is as important as chasing profits.
Top Big Tech Stocks Leading the Rebound1. Understanding the Big Tech Rebound
The Big Tech rebound can be attributed to a mix of macroeconomic stability, improving corporate earnings, and renewed investor appetite for growth-oriented stocks. Over the past year, inflation has started cooling, and the U.S. Federal Reserve has signaled a pause or potential cuts in interest rates, which directly benefits technology stocks. Lower interest rates make future earnings more attractive in discounted cash flow models, leading investors to reallocate funds toward growth sectors like technology.
Moreover, strong quarterly earnings and improved forward guidance from top tech firms have reinforced faith in their long-term profitability. The adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and digital transformation across industries has provided these companies with new growth engines that extend beyond their traditional business models.
2. Key Factors Fueling the Rally
Several fundamental and structural factors are driving the Big Tech rebound:
Artificial Intelligence Boom:
AI remains the central growth story. Companies integrating AI tools into their ecosystems — from data analytics to automation — are seeing exponential growth in demand. Nvidia’s dominance in AI chips and Microsoft’s integration of AI into its software suite are prime examples.
Easing Interest Rate Pressure:
With inflation moderating, investors expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to adopt a less aggressive stance on rate hikes. This environment favors high-growth tech firms, as it lowers borrowing costs and supports capital investments.
Resilient Earnings Performance:
Despite macro challenges, Big Tech firms have maintained strong profit margins through cost optimization, efficient operations, and diversification of revenue streams.
Massive Cash Reserves and Buybacks:
Big Tech companies hold enormous cash reserves, allowing them to fund innovation, make acquisitions, and repurchase shares — all of which support stock prices.
Digital Transformation Trends:
Enterprises worldwide continue to migrate to cloud-based systems and AI-enhanced tools, reinforcing demand for services offered by Big Tech leaders.
3. Top Big Tech Stocks Leading the Rebound
Let’s explore the key players spearheading this resurgence:
a. Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Apple remains a cornerstone of the global technology market. Despite slower iPhone sales in certain regions, the company’s growing ecosystem of services — including Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ — has provided stable recurring revenue. The tech giant is also expanding into wearable devices and exploring opportunities in AI and mixed reality through its Vision Pro headset.
Apple’s share repurchase programs and strong brand loyalty continue to attract investors seeking stability and consistent returns. As supply chains normalize and product innovation continues, Apple’s long-term growth outlook remains robust.
b. Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Microsoft is arguably the biggest beneficiary of the AI revolution. Through its partnership with OpenAI, Microsoft has embedded AI capabilities into its Office 365 and Azure Cloud platforms, transforming productivity tools and enterprise software. Azure continues to be a major growth driver, accounting for a significant portion of revenue expansion.
The company’s diversification — spanning gaming (Xbox and Activision Blizzard acquisition), enterprise software, and AI-driven applications — provides resilience against economic cycles. Microsoft’s consistent earnings growth and forward-looking AI strategy have made it a market leader in the current rebound.
c. Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
Alphabet, Google’s parent company, has also staged a strong comeback. Its core advertising business, powered by YouTube and Search, remains highly profitable, while its Google Cloud segment continues to grow rapidly. The company is leveraging AI to enhance ad efficiency, content moderation, and user personalization.
Alphabet’s AI model, Gemini, positions it as a key player in the race for generative AI dominance. Additionally, Alphabet’s investments in autonomous driving (Waymo) and quantum computing illustrate its long-term innovation strategy.
d. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)
Amazon has rebounded strongly on the back of its cloud computing arm, Amazon Web Services (AWS), which remains a market leader. The company’s focus on cost optimization and automation has improved profit margins across its e-commerce operations. Amazon’s AI integration — from logistics and inventory management to Alexa’s generative capabilities — underscores its adaptability.
Additionally, Amazon’s ventures into advertising and streaming (Prime Video) provide new avenues for revenue growth. With the company returning to strong earnings growth, investors see Amazon as a key pillar of the Big Tech rally.
e. Nvidia Corporation (NVDA)
No discussion of the Big Tech rebound is complete without Nvidia. As the world’s leading designer of AI chips and GPUs, Nvidia is the driving force behind the current AI revolution. Its chips power data centers, machine learning models, and autonomous systems globally.
Nvidia’s market capitalization has skyrocketed as demand for AI accelerators from companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon continues to soar. With expanding product lines and leadership in semiconductor innovation, Nvidia is arguably the biggest winner of the current tech boom.
f. Meta Platforms Inc. (META)
Meta has undergone a remarkable transformation. After facing challenges related to advertising slowdown and regulatory scrutiny, the company refocused its strategy under the “Year of Efficiency” initiative. Cost reductions, AI-driven advertising tools, and enhanced engagement on platforms like Instagram and Threads have reignited investor confidence.
While Meta continues to invest heavily in the metaverse and augmented reality, its near-term growth is largely driven by AI-powered ad targeting and short-form video content. The company’s improved margins and strategic execution have made it one of the best-performing Big Tech stocks this year.
g. Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
Tesla’s inclusion in the Big Tech narrative reflects its position at the intersection of technology and mobility. The company’s leadership in electric vehicles (EVs) and advancements in autonomous driving and AI-based energy solutions have made it a market disruptor.
Despite facing margin pressures due to global EV competition, Tesla’s focus on innovation, cost reduction, and energy storage diversification keeps it a critical component of the tech-driven growth story. With new product lines and expansion into energy grids, Tesla remains a vital part of the rebound theme.
4. Broader Market Impact
The Big Tech rally has far-reaching implications. These companies collectively represent over 25% of the S&P 500’s market capitalization, meaning their performance significantly influences the overall index movement. The rebound has restored investor confidence, leading to capital inflows not only into tech ETFs but also into sectors that benefit indirectly — such as semiconductors, software, and digital infrastructure.
Furthermore, global markets are mirroring the U.S. trend, with Asian and European tech firms also witnessing renewed demand as investors bet on the global AI and digitalization wave.
5. Risks and Considerations
While the Big Tech rebound is promising, investors should remain mindful of potential risks:
Regulatory Challenges: Governments worldwide are tightening scrutiny on data privacy, competition, and AI ethics.
Valuation Concerns: Elevated valuations may lead to volatility if earnings growth slows.
Global Supply Chain Risks: Semiconductor supply constraints and geopolitical tensions can impact operations.
Economic Slowdowns: Any resurgence in inflation or aggressive rate hikes could dampen tech valuations.
6. Conclusion
The rebound of Big Tech stocks marks a renewed era of innovation-driven growth. Companies like Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet are not just bouncing back — they are leading the world into the next phase of technological evolution powered by AI, cloud computing, and digital ecosystems.
For investors and learners alike, this rebound offers an important lesson: long-term technological innovation tends to prevail over short-term market fluctuations. As Big Tech continues to shape industries, drive productivity, and redefine the global economy, their leadership in this market rebound underscores their enduring influence in the financial and technological landscape.
Introduction to the US Federal Reserve and Its Monetary Policy1. Introduction
The United States Federal Reserve, commonly referred to as the Fed, is the central bank of the United States. Established in 1913 through the Federal Reserve Act, its creation marked a turning point in American financial history. The primary purpose of the Federal Reserve is to ensure economic stability, financial soundness, and monetary discipline. It manages the nation’s money supply and interest rates to promote sustainable economic growth, control inflation, and reduce unemployment.
Over time, the Fed has evolved into one of the most powerful financial institutions in the world, influencing not only the U.S. economy but also global markets through its monetary policy decisions.
2. Structure of the Federal Reserve System
The Federal Reserve operates through a unique decentralized structure that balances private and public interests. It comprises three key components:
a. The Board of Governors
Located in Washington, D.C., the Board of Governors consists of seven members appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate. Each governor serves a 14-year term. The Board supervises and regulates the operations of the Reserve Banks, formulates monetary policy, and oversees the U.S. financial system.
b. Federal Reserve Banks
There are 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks, each serving a specific district. These banks act as operational arms of the central bank, implementing policies, supervising member banks, and conducting economic research. Examples include the New York Fed, Chicago Fed, and San Francisco Fed.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York is particularly significant because it conducts open market operations and manages U.S. Treasury securities.
c. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
The FOMC is the Fed’s main monetary policy-making body. It includes the seven members of the Board of Governors and five of the twelve regional bank presidents (on a rotating basis). The FOMC meets regularly to decide on interest rates and other policy actions aimed at achieving the Fed’s macroeconomic goals.
3. The Federal Reserve’s Primary Goals
The Federal Reserve’s actions are guided by a dual mandate, though many experts refer to it as a triple mandate due to its broader scope:
Maximum Employment – ensuring that as many people as possible have jobs without sparking excessive inflation.
Stable Prices – maintaining inflation around a target of 2%, which supports purchasing power and economic stability.
Moderate Long-term Interest Rates – promoting sustainable economic growth by ensuring borrowing costs remain balanced over time.
These goals aim to create a stable financial environment where businesses can invest, consumers can spend confidently, and the economy can grow steadily.
4. Tools of Monetary Policy
The Federal Reserve uses several instruments to implement its monetary policy. These tools influence liquidity, credit availability, and overall economic activity.
a. Open Market Operations (OMOs)
This is the most frequently used tool. The Fed buys or sells U.S. Treasury securities in the open market to regulate the supply of money.
When the Fed buys securities, it injects money into the economy, lowering interest rates (an expansionary move).
When it sells securities, it pulls money out, increasing rates (a contractionary move).
Through OMOs, the Fed maintains its federal funds rate target — the interest rate at which banks lend reserves to each other overnight.
b. Discount Rate
The discount rate is the interest rate the Fed charges commercial banks for borrowing funds directly from the Federal Reserve.
A lower discount rate encourages banks to borrow more, increasing the money supply.
A higher discount rate discourages borrowing, tightening liquidity.
This tool signals the Fed’s stance — whether it wants to stimulate or cool down the economy.
c. Reserve Requirements
Banks must hold a portion of deposits as reserves with the Fed. Adjusting these requirements directly affects how much banks can lend.
Lower reserve requirements increase lending capacity and money supply.
Higher reserve requirements restrict lending and reduce liquidity.
Although rarely changed today, this tool remains a powerful instrument in theory.
d. Interest on Reserves
Since 2008, the Fed has paid interest on excess reserves (IOER) held by banks. This gives the Fed another way to control short-term interest rates. By changing the IOER, the Fed can influence how attractive it is for banks to lend versus keeping reserves parked with the Fed.
5. Types of Monetary Policy
The Federal Reserve adopts different policy stances based on economic conditions.
a. Expansionary Monetary Policy
When the economy is slowing or unemployment is rising, the Fed lowers interest rates and increases money supply. The goal is to stimulate borrowing, spending, and investment.
Example: During the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed used aggressive expansionary measures, including near-zero interest rates and large-scale asset purchases (quantitative easing).
b. Contractionary Monetary Policy
When inflation is high or the economy is overheating, the Fed raises interest rates and tightens the money supply. This discourages borrowing and reduces spending, helping stabilize prices.
Example: In 2022–2023, the Fed increased rates rapidly to control inflation that had spiked due to pandemic-related disruptions and geopolitical tensions.
6. Quantitative Easing and Unconventional Policies
In extraordinary times when traditional tools lose effectiveness (like when rates are near zero), the Fed uses unconventional measures, mainly:
Quantitative Easing (QE): Large-scale purchases of long-term securities to inject liquidity and lower long-term interest rates.
Forward Guidance: Communicating future policy intentions to influence market expectations.
Operation Twist: Buying long-term bonds and selling short-term ones to flatten the yield curve.
These tools help maintain market confidence and encourage investment when the economy faces deep recessions.
7. Impact of Federal Reserve Policies
The Fed’s actions ripple through every corner of the economy and global markets.
On Consumers: Lower interest rates make mortgages, auto loans, and credit cheaper, encouraging spending.
On Businesses: Easier access to credit supports investment and expansion.
On Financial Markets: Fed rate cuts usually boost stock markets, while hikes can cause corrections.
On Currency: Higher interest rates attract foreign capital, strengthening the U.S. dollar; lower rates can weaken it.
On Global Economy: Since the dollar is a global reserve currency, Fed decisions affect capital flows, inflation, and growth worldwide.
For instance, when the Fed tightens policy, emerging markets often experience capital outflows, weaker currencies, and inflationary pressure.
8. Challenges Faced by the Federal Reserve
Despite its influence, the Fed faces significant challenges:
Balancing Inflation and Growth: Raising rates to control inflation may slow growth and increase unemployment.
Global Interdependence: Global shocks (like oil prices or wars) can limit the Fed’s control over domestic inflation.
Market Expectations: Investors often react sharply to Fed communications, making it vital for the Fed to manage expectations carefully.
Fiscal Policy Coordination: The Fed’s monetary actions must often align with government fiscal policy to achieve stable outcomes.
9. The Federal Reserve and Transparency
Modern central banking emphasizes communication and transparency. The Fed now releases meeting minutes, forecasts, and press conferences to explain its decisions. This approach enhances public trust and helps financial markets anticipate future moves.
The “dot plot”, for example, shows policymakers’ interest rate projections, guiding investors and economists about the Fed’s outlook.
10. Conclusion
The U.S. Federal Reserve stands at the heart of the American and global financial systems. Its decisions shape the flow of credit, influence inflation, guide employment levels, and impact global capital markets. Through its monetary policy tools, the Fed seeks to balance growth with stability — a complex task that requires constant adaptation to changing economic realities.
In essence, the Federal Reserve is not merely a financial regulator; it is the guardian of monetary confidence. By carefully calibrating interest rates and liquidity, it strives to maintain a stable economy where growth, employment, and price stability coexist — not just for the United States but for the interconnected global economy as a whole.
Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis for Traders1. Introduction to Market Analysis
Market analysis helps traders evaluate the future price movements of assets like stocks, commodities, or currencies. The goal is to determine whether to buy, sell, or hold a security.
Fundamental Analysis focuses on intrinsic value — the “true worth” of a company or asset based on its financial and economic data.
Technical Analysis focuses on market behavior — analyzing charts, price movements, and patterns to predict future trends.
Both methods are valuable, and many professional traders use a blend of the two to confirm their strategies.
2. Understanding Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental Analysis is based on the belief that every asset has an intrinsic value determined by underlying financial and economic factors. If the market price is below this value, the asset is considered undervalued (a buy signal). If it’s above, it’s overvalued (a sell signal).
a. Purpose of Fundamental Analysis
The main goal is to determine whether a security is trading at a fair price. It answers the question: “Is this asset worth investing in for the long term?”
b. Key Components of Fundamental Analysis
Economic Analysis
Traders study macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, employment levels, and fiscal policies. For example, lower interest rates often encourage borrowing and investment, boosting corporate earnings and stock prices.
Industry Analysis
Each company operates within an industry that affects its performance. Analysts evaluate industry trends, competition, growth potential, and regulatory environment. For example, the renewable energy sector may have strong prospects due to global sustainability trends.
Company Analysis
This involves studying a company’s financial health, management efficiency, and competitive position. Key financial statements used include:
Income Statement – reveals profitability.
Balance Sheet – shows assets, liabilities, and equity.
Cash Flow Statement – measures cash generation and spending.
c. Key Ratios Used in Fundamental Analysis
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Compares a company’s current price to its earnings per share.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Measures profit allocated to each share.
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Compares market value to book value.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Indicates financial leverage and risk.
Return on Equity (ROE): Measures profitability relative to shareholder equity.
By combining these indicators, traders estimate whether the stock’s current price reflects its actual performance and growth potential.
3. Understanding Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis focuses on studying price action and market psychology through charts and indicators. The key belief is that “price discounts everything” — meaning all fundamental factors are already reflected in the market price.
a. Purpose of Technical Analysis
TA helps traders identify trends, entry and exit points, and potential reversals. It answers the question: “When should I buy or sell?”
b. Core Principles of Technical Analysis
Price Discounts Everything:
All news, earnings, and expectations are already factored into the price.
Prices Move in Trends:
Markets tend to move in identifiable trends — upward (bullish), downward (bearish), or sideways (consolidation).
History Repeats Itself:
Market behavior is influenced by human psychology, and price patterns often repeat over time.
c. Tools and Techniques in Technical Analysis
Charts and Patterns
Line Charts: Simplest form, showing closing prices.
Bar Charts: Show open, high, low, and close (OHLC).
Candlestick Charts: Visual representation of price action using candles.
Common patterns include:
Head and Shoulders: Indicates a reversal trend.
Triangles: Signal continuation or breakout.
Double Top/Bottom: Suggest trend reversal.
Indicators and Oscillators
Moving Averages (MA): Smooth out price data to identify trends.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures overbought or oversold conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Detects momentum and trend reversals.
Bollinger Bands: Measure market volatility.
Volume Profile: Shows traded volumes at different price levels, identifying strong support and resistance zones.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support is where the price tends to stop falling; resistance is where it tends to stop rising. These levels guide traders in planning entries and exits.
4. Comparison Between Fundamental and Technical Analysis
Aspect Fundamental Analysis Technical Analysis
Objective Determines intrinsic value Identifies price trends
Approach Based on financial & economic data Based on charts & indicators
Time Horizon Long-term Short-term to medium-term
Data Used Earnings, assets, economic growth Price, volume, patterns
Focus “Why” the price moves “When” the price moves
Best for Investors Traders
Drawback Slow to react to market moves Can ignore fundamentals
Both methods complement each other. For example, a trader might use fundamental analysis to choose a strong stock and technical analysis to time the entry and exit.
5. How Traders Combine Both Approaches
Many professional traders use a hybrid approach, combining the best of both worlds:
Step 1: Use Fundamental Analysis to select fundamentally strong stocks or currencies with good long-term prospects.
Step 2: Apply Technical Analysis to find the right time to enter or exit trades.
For example, if a company reports rising profits and strong guidance (fundamental strength), but the stock price is currently in a consolidation phase, a trader may wait for a breakout above resistance (technical signal) before buying.
6. Advantages and Limitations
a. Fundamental Analysis
Advantages:
Ideal for long-term investors.
Helps identify undervalued or overvalued assets.
Focuses on financial strength and future potential.
Limitations:
Not effective for short-term trading.
Market prices can remain irrational despite strong fundamentals.
Time-consuming data collection.
b. Technical Analysis
Advantages:
Useful for short-term trading decisions.
Provides clear entry and exit signals.
Reflects real-time market sentiment.
Limitations:
Can give false signals in volatile markets.
Ignores fundamental value.
Requires discipline and experience to interpret correctly.
7. Practical Example
Imagine two traders analyzing Infosys Ltd.
Trader A (Fundamental Analyst): Examines the company’s quarterly earnings, strong IT sector growth, and healthy balance sheet. He believes the stock is undervalued and buys it for the long term.
Trader B (Technical Analyst): Studies price charts, notes a bullish crossover in the MACD, and buys for a short-term rally.
Both traders are profitable but have different objectives and strategies. This shows how FA and TA can coexist effectively.
8. Conclusion
Fundamental and Technical Analysis are two powerful yet distinct methods for understanding market movements.
Fundamental Analysis helps you understand what to buy by identifying assets with strong financial potential.
Technical Analysis helps you decide when to buy or sell by tracking market behavior and sentiment.
In essence, fundamentals tell the story, and technicals tell the timing. Successful traders often combine both — using fundamentals to choose quality assets and technicals to manage entry, exit, and risk. In today’s fast-moving markets, mastering both approaches gives traders a strategic edge and helps them make well-informed, confident trading decisions.
Market Structure and Price Action1. Introduction
In trading, understanding market structure and price action is like learning the grammar and vocabulary of the market’s language. Market structure defines the overall framework of how prices move — the trend, swing highs and lows, and turning points. Price action, on the other hand, tells the story of how buyers and sellers interact within that structure. Together, they form the foundation of technical trading and are essential for making informed decisions without relying solely on indicators.
2. What Is Market Structure?
Market structure is the framework that shows how price behaves over time. It represents the sequence of highs and lows that reveal whether a market is trending upward, downward, or moving sideways.
At its core, market structure is built on three phases:
Uptrend (Bullish Structure):
Characterized by Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Each swing high surpasses the previous one, and each retracement forms a higher low, showing strong buying pressure.
Downtrend (Bearish Structure):
Characterized by Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
Prices fail to make new highs, and sellers dominate, pushing the market downward.
Range (Consolidation):
Occurs when price moves sideways within a fixed zone of support and resistance.
Buyers and sellers are in balance, often leading to accumulation or distribution before a breakout.
3. Phases of Market Structure
Markets typically move through repeating cycles. Understanding these helps traders anticipate potential trend reversals.
A. Accumulation Phase
Happens after a downtrend when price begins to stabilize.
Institutional traders start buying gradually without causing big price spikes.
Price moves sideways, forming a base or range.
Volume often increases slightly during this phase.
B. Mark-Up Phase
The market breaks above resistance, confirming an uptrend.
Retail traders begin to notice the strength, and buying accelerates.
Higher highs and higher lows form clearly.
Corrections are shallow as demand outweighs supply.
C. Distribution Phase
After a strong uptrend, large players start offloading positions.
Price forms a top or range — similar to accumulation but at higher levels.
Market shows exhaustion; volume may decline.
Often followed by a breakdown below support.
D. Mark-Down Phase
Price breaks below key support levels.
Sellers take control, leading to lower highs and lower lows.
Panic selling and bearish sentiment dominate.
The phase often ends when buyers start reaccumulating again — completing the cycle.
4. How to Identify Market Structure
To read market structure effectively:
Identify swing highs and swing lows.
Label the structure: HH, HL (uptrend) or LH, LL (downtrend).
Mark key zones: support, resistance, and break of structure (BOS).
Look for structural shifts: When a higher low breaks below a previous low, it signals a potential reversal.
Example:
If the market has been forming HH and HL but suddenly forms a Lower Low (LL) followed by a Lower High (LH) — that’s a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
5. What Is Price Action?
Price action is the study of price movement on a chart without using lagging indicators. It shows how market participants react to various price levels in real time.
Traders use candlestick patterns, support-resistance zones, and trendlines to interpret price action and anticipate future movement.
In essence, price action reflects market psychology — how greed, fear, and expectations manifest in price.
6. Key Elements of Price Action
A. Candlestick Behavior
Candlestick charts are the foundation of price action analysis.
Each candle shows the battle between buyers and sellers in a given period:
Bullish Candle: Buyers are stronger (close > open).
Bearish Candle: Sellers are stronger (close < open).
Important candle signals:
Pin Bar / Hammer: Reversal signal showing rejection of lower prices.
Engulfing Candle: Strong reversal sign where one candle engulfs the previous one.
Doji: Indecision or potential reversal area.
B. Support and Resistance
Price tends to react repeatedly at certain zones:
Support: A level where demand pushes prices up.
Resistance: A level where supply pushes prices down.
Price action traders look for breakouts, retests, and false breaks around these levels to find trade entries.
C. Trendlines and Channels
Drawing trendlines connecting swing highs or lows helps visualize structure.
A series of higher lows connected by a trendline confirms bullish control.
Similarly, parallel channels help identify overbought or oversold zones within a trend.
D. Market Rejection and Imbalance
When price moves sharply in one direction leaving a “gap” or imbalance, it signals strong institutional activity.
Traders often look for price to retrace to fill these imbalances before continuing the main trend.
7. Relationship Between Market Structure and Price Action
Price action and market structure are inseparable. Market structure provides the macro context — the overall direction — while price action gives the micro details for timing entries and exits.
For example:
In an uptrend, traders use price action to buy during pullbacks (at HLs).
In a downtrend, traders use price action to sell rallies (at LHs).
During range markets, price action helps identify breakouts or reversals at boundaries.
A price action setup has higher probability when it aligns with the market structure trend.
For instance, a bullish engulfing candle at a higher low within a bullish structure is more reliable than one forming randomly.
8. Tools and Techniques for Price Action Traders
Though price action trading avoids heavy indicators, some tools can enhance clarity:
Volume Profile: Reveals where most trading occurred — key areas of interest.
Order Blocks: Institutional zones where large orders were previously placed.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Gaps showing inefficiency between buyers and sellers.
Liquidity Zones: Areas above highs or below lows where stop losses are accumulated.
These concepts, part of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), integrate price action with institutional market structure understanding.
9. Common Price Action Strategies
A. Break of Structure (BOS) Entry
When price breaks a previous high or low, traders wait for a retest to enter in the direction of the breakout.
B. Rejection from Key Zones
Look for reversal candlesticks (like pin bars) near support/resistance or order blocks.
C. Trend Continuation
After a pullback to a higher low (in an uptrend), wait for bullish confirmation candles to rejoin the trend.
D. Fakeout Strategy
When price briefly breaks support/resistance but fails to sustain, it traps traders and reverses sharply — an opportunity for contrarian entries.
10. The Psychology Behind Market Structure and Price Action
Every candle and structure shift represents the emotion of market participants.
Uptrends show confidence and optimism.
Downtrends reflect fear and panic.
Consolidations show indecision or accumulation.
Recognizing these emotional patterns helps traders align themselves with the smart money rather than reacting impulsively.
11. Importance for Traders
Mastering market structure and price action:
Eliminates dependence on lagging indicators.
Improves timing and accuracy of trades.
Provides clarity on trend direction and key zones.
Builds confidence through understanding why price moves.
Professional traders, institutional desks, and even algorithmic systems rely on structure and price movement — not random signals — because they reflect real market intent.
12. Conclusion
Market structure and price action form the core foundation of technical trading. Market structure shows the skeleton — the trend, phases, and key levels — while price action gives the heartbeat — how buyers and sellers interact within that framework.
By studying swing points, candlestick behavior, and the rhythm of higher highs and lows, traders can interpret the market’s language without confusion. Whether you trade intraday, swing, or positional setups, understanding structure and price action ensures you’re trading with the flow, not against it.
SYN – Quiet Accumulation Before the Pop?LSE:SYN has been grinding sideways near a key multi-month support zone around the $0.07–$0.08 range after an extended downtrend. This level has acted as a solid demand base before, and price has once again respected it - forming a clear accumulation range.
Despite the rough YTD drawdown, the structure looks like it’s tightening. Volume remains light, but that’s often how reversals begin - quiet, with smart money positioning early before a sharp leg higher. A clean break above $0.10 could flip the short-term sentiment quickly, considering how compressed the range has become.
The chart’s risk-to-reward profile also stands out: downside seems limited as long as support holds, while upside room extends toward prior resistance levels around $0.15 and beyond. Even a small shift in volume could trigger an outsized move given how much liquidity dried up here.
Watching for confirmation candles and follow-through above resistance will be key — if momentum kicks in, this could turn into one of those fast catch-up plays that traders love to ride.
Let’s see if bulls can finally take control from this base.
👉 Check out my profile and follow for more setups like this, I post these kinds of accumulation-to-breakout plays regularly.
Bank of India Signals Bullish Continuation on Monthly ChartBank of India (NSE: BANKINDIA) is currently trading at ₹139.88 and presents a technically strong setup for bullish trend continuation. A closer look at the monthly chart reveals several key developments that reinforce this outlook.
🔍 Technical Highlights
✅ Intermediate Downtrend Reversal
The stock has completed an intermediate downtrend reversal, marked by a higher high at ₹107.00. This level sits above the neckline of the previous consolidation pattern, confirming a shift in momentum and signaling renewed strength in the trend.
📊 Moving Average Alignment
Price action is currently above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages. This positioning reflects underlying bullish sentiment and sustained buying interest. Moreover, the 50 DMA has crossed above the 100 DMA—a classic bullish crossover that often precedes further upward movement.
📈 Long-Term Uptrend Intact
The broader trend remains upward, supported by consistent higher lows and higher highs. The recent price behavior aligns with this long-term trajectory, suggesting that the stock is well-positioned for continued gains.
💪 RSI Above 50
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is comfortably above the 50 level, indicating strong buyer strength and confirming the bullish momentum.
📌 Learners Takeaway
With the intermediate downtrend reversal, bullish moving average crossover, and RSI strength, Bank of India shows a textbook setup for trend continuation. Traders and investors may find this an opportune moment to align with the prevailing uptrend, while keeping an eye on price action near key support and resistance zonesfor validation.
Live chart Example
HEGDrying volume during the pullback, tight contraction in the stock, EMAs are aligned.
There is probability of an upside move.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
StevenTrading - $XAUUSD$: New Week's Perspective – Prioritise...StevenTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: New Week's Perspective – Prioritise BUYING UP According to Elliott Wave 5, Awaiting Range $3961$
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with the Gold scenario for the new trading week!
After a period of strong fluctuations, I am leaning more towards buying scenarios according to Elliott Wave 5.
Although retesting deeper support levels is possible, the technical structure indicates that the potential for price increase remains.
For now, the structure on H1 shows that the price is moving sideways within a wide range.
We will watch the price range to trade before Gold officially breaks the barrier!1.
📊 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
Elliott Wave: Prioritise the development scenario of Wave 5. This reinforces the medium-term uptrend.
H1 Structure: The price is fluctuating within a wide range, creating opportunities for Scalping/Day Trade transactions at the upper/lower boundaries.2.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
Our trading strategy this week is to proactively buy at the lower boundary and defensively sell at the upper boundary to maximise the price range.
Primary BUY Scenario (BUY Primary):
We will patiently wait for Gold to adjust to the $3961$ area, a key liquidity support zone (near the Buy Liquidity/Buy Zone on charts).
This is an ideal entry point to participate in the upward movement according to Elliott Wave 5.
The Buy order will be activated at $3961$ with a stop loss SL $3950$ (placed below the $3954$ support) to preserve capital.
Profit targets are divided into increasing levels: TP1 $3975$, TP2 $3990$, TP3 $4012$, and the final target is $4035$ when the price approaches the upper boundary.
SELL Scalping Scenario: To defend and take advantage of the adjustment phase, we will look to Sell just below the strong resistance area at $4050$ (near old resistances and barriers). The Sell order will be placed with a tight stop loss SL $4060$. Profit targets will be prioritised short-term (Scalping) to quickly secure profits.3.
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)The goal is to patiently wait for $3961$ to execute the BUY position with the lowest risk, pursuing the Elliott Wave 5 target. Capital management discipline and adherence to SL are mandatory in this wide-range trading phase.
Are you ready to take advantage of this price range?
NBCC cmp 117.41 by Daily Chart viewNBCC cmp 117.41 by Daily Chart view
* Support Zone 109 to 114 Price Band
* Resistance Zone 125 to 130 Price Band then 137 to ATH 139.83
* Bullish Cup and Handle pattern is made around the Support Zone
* Symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout seems to be in making process
* Volumes in good sync with avg traded quantity and spiking above it too
* Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout with Rising Support Trendline well respected
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 3rd November 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25779/85 above this bullish then around 25811/17 then 25833/39 above this more bullish 25849/54/77 then above this wait
If NIFTY sustain below 25714/25691/86 below this bearish then around 25644/39/29/26 strong level then 25607/03/01 very very strong level day closing below this will indicate more seeling pressure however I'm hoping the market to make a bottom at this level ?? then 25592/89 below this more bearish then 25556/52 below this wait
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, is that the market will exhibit volatility with movement in both directions as it seeks a bottom for this expiration cycle. The trading thesis is: Nifty (bearish tactical approach: sell on rise) and Bank Nifty (bullish tactical approach: buy on dip). This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Complex Pattern ( Pattern Inside Pattern ) This is Classic complex Pattern , which may lead to many misleading trend direction
One of the Reason for this kind complexity is involvement of Institutions more then 3
Institutions which are having Good amount of Investment usually will have disagreements
which results in creating ideal patterns this is different its so complex that patterns are formed
inside a larger pattern , indication the institutions more then 2 or minimum 3
Ideally this will result in sharp decline after an brief disagreements of Major Market
Participants
The above description is based on my personal experience
One should consider this an education content
Good luck






















