Chart Patterns
NQ SENTIMENTAL ANALYSIS 29 SEP 25Market Recap & Trade Insight
After the London open, price showed strong one-sided momentum, which was later swept, fueling a sharp bullish move toward all-time highs. From the ATH, a significant retracement unfolded, breaking 5-minute structure and attracting aggressive sellers.
However, when an asset is in ATH mode, sharp reversals often follow such retracements. These setups are best captured with 1-minute confirmations. Using that framework, we executed a precise long entry aimed at taking out the highs.
BSE FORMING ELLIOT 5TH WAVEIf you look BSE WEEKLY chart on first sight this looks like elliot wave and gatley 222 pattern,
My analysis is also there as gann fan crossing point support and previous high at (A or 1) as well.
I have nothing more to write because all those thing i write is seen in the chart. this is an information not buy/sell call,buying or selling will be your own decision.
Nifty - Monthly Expiry Day Analysis Sep 30The price was holding the support at the 24600 zone and moved within the range of 24600 to 24800 today, forming a descending triangle in the process. 24600 is the trend direction deciding zone now.
Buy above 24660 with the stop loss of 24610 for the targets 24700, 24740, 24800, 24840, and 24880.
Sell below 24580 with the stop loss of 24620 for the targets 24540, 24500, 24460, 24420, and 24380.
Nearby support is at 24500, and resistance is at 24800. If the price does not gain strength, it will remain within this range of 24500 to 24800.
Expected expiry day range is 24400 to 24900.
NYKAA - Cup with handle pattern📈 Pattern Analysis: Nykaa recently completed a "Cup-with-Handle Breakout" , which is a strong bullish continuation pattern. However, the breakout targets have not yet been achieved. In the past few sessions, the stock has witnessed selling pressure, forming a double-top bearish pattern on the chart.
📊 Key Levels & Structure: The price is currently in a corrective phase and may move lower to retest the breakout zone of the cup-with-handle pattern. This zone is expected to act as a strong support level and could provide a fresh opportunity for accumulation if the structure holds.
🔎 Momentum Indicators:
RSI has cooled off from overbought levels, creating room for the next leg of upside.
Volumes during the recent dip are lower compared to the breakout volumes, suggesting the decline is corrective rather than a trend reversal.
🎯 Projection & Outlook:
A successful retest of the breakout zone could resume the uptrend with upside targets around ₹ .... levels in the medium term. Failure to hold the support could, however, lead to extended consolidation.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a technical projection, not an investment recommendation. Traders should manage risk carefully and align strategies with their financial objectives.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Support in LUMAXIND
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in RACLGEAR
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Round Bottom Breakout in ASAL
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Part 1 Support and Resistance Part 1: Introduction to Options
Options are a derivative financial instrument, meaning their value is derived from an underlying asset like a stock, commodity, index, or currency. Unlike buying the actual asset, options give you the right—but not the obligation—to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) before or on a specific date (expiry).
The core advantage of options lies in their flexibility and leverage. A trader can control a large amount of stock with a relatively small investment—the premium paid. Options are widely used for three main purposes:
Speculation: Traders bet on price movement of the underlying asset.
Hedging: Investors protect their portfolios against adverse price moves.
Income Generation: Selling options can provide regular premium income.
Options are classified based on exercise style:
American options: Can be exercised any time before expiry.
European options: Can only be exercised at expiry.
Example: Suppose a stock trades at ₹100, and you expect it to rise. You could buy a call option with a strike price of ₹105. This option allows you to buy the stock at ₹105, even if it rises to ₹120. If the stock never crosses ₹105, you only lose the premium paid.
Options are highly versatile. They can be used to profit in bullish, bearish, or sideways markets, making them more dynamic than regular stock trading. However, they are also riskier because the time-sensitive nature of options (time decay) can erode profits if the market doesn’t move as expected.
Part 2: Types of Options
Options come in two basic types:
1. Call Option
A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Buyers benefit if the asset price rises above the strike price plus premium. Sellers, called writers, have the obligation to sell if the buyer exercises the option.
Example:
Stock Price: ₹100
Strike Price: ₹105
Premium: ₹5
Break-even for buyer = Strike + Premium = 105 + 5 = ₹110. Profit starts above ₹110.
Profit Calculation for Call Buyer:
Profit = Max(0, Stock Price – Strike) – Premium
2. Put Option
A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Buyers profit if the asset price falls below the strike price minus premium. Sellers have the obligation to buy if the buyer exercises.
Example:
Stock Price: ₹100
Strike Price: ₹95
Premium: ₹3
Break-even = Strike – Premium = 95 – 3 = ₹92. Profit starts below ₹92.
Profit Calculation for Put Buyer:
Profit = Max(0, Strike – Stock Price) – Premium
Part 3: Option Terminology
To trade options effectively, understanding terminology is crucial:
Strike Price (Exercise Price): Price at which the option can be exercised.
Premium: Cost of buying the option. It depends on intrinsic value, time value, volatility, and interest rates.
Expiration Date: Last date an option can be exercised.
In-the-Money (ITM): Call: Stock > Strike, Put: Stock < Strike. Profitable if exercised immediately.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Call: Stock < Strike, Put: Stock > Strike. Not profitable if exercised immediately.
At-the-Money (ATM): Stock ≈ Strike Price. Usually has highest time value.
Intrinsic Value: Value if exercised now (Stock – Strike for calls, Strike – Stock for puts).
Time Value: Additional premium due to remaining time until expiry.
Premium Formula:
Premium = Intrinsic Value + Time Value
Example:
Stock = ₹120, Call Strike = ₹100, Premium = ₹25
Intrinsic Value = 120 – 100 = ₹20
Time Value = Premium – Intrinsic Value = 25 – 20 = ₹5
Time decay reduces this value daily, especially for options close to expiry.
Part 4: How Options Work
Options trading involves buying and selling contracts:
Buying a Call Option
Expectation: Stock price will rise.
Loss is limited to the premium.
Profit is unlimited if the stock keeps rising.
Example: Buy call with strike ₹105, premium ₹5, stock rises to ₹120.
Profit = 120 – 105 – 5 = ₹10
Buying a Put Option
Expectation: Stock price will fall.
Loss is limited to the premium.
Profit = Strike – Stock – Premium
Example: Buy put with strike ₹95, premium ₹3, stock falls to ₹85.
Profit = 95 – 85 – 3 = ₹7
Writing Options
Writing calls: Seller gets premium, but risk is unlimited if stock rises sharply.
Writing puts: Seller gets premium, but risk is significant if stock falls.
Options are exercised or expired:
Exercise: Buyer uses the right to buy/sell.
Assignment: Seller fulfills the obligation.
Divergence SecretsPart 1: Factors Affecting Option Pricing
Option pricing is dynamic, influenced by multiple factors:
1. Intrinsic Value
Difference between underlying price and strike price.
2. Time Value
Longer time to expiry = higher premium due to uncertainty.
3. Volatility
Higher volatility increases probability of profit → higher premium.
4. Interest Rates
Affects call and put pricing slightly, more relevant in long-term options.
5. Dividends
Expected dividend reduces call price but increases put price.
Popular Models:
Black-Scholes Model: Pricing for European options.
Binomial Model: Pricing for American options.
Part 2: Option Strategies for Beginners
Beginners can start with simple strategies:
Long Call: Buy call, bullish view, limited risk.
Long Put: Buy put, bearish view, limited risk.
Covered Call: Own stock + sell call → generate income, moderate risk.
Protective Put: Own stock + buy put → hedge downside.
Tip: Always define your risk and target before trading.
Part 3: Advanced Option Strategies
For experienced traders, multi-leg strategies can maximize returns:
Straddle: Buy call + buy put (same strike & expiry) → profit from volatility.
Strangle: Buy OTM call + OTM put → cheaper than straddle, still bets on volatility.
Vertical Spread: Buy & sell calls (or puts) at different strikes → limit risk & reward.
Iron Condor: Sell OTM call + buy further OTM call, sell OTM put + buy further OTM put → profits in range-bound markets.
Butterfly Spread: Combine calls or puts to profit near a strike price with limited risk.
Key: Advanced strategies reduce risk or cost but require precise market view.
Part 4: Risk Management in Option Trading
Options are powerful but risky. Effective risk management is critical:
Limited vs Unlimited Risk: Buyers have limited loss (premium), sellers can face unlimited loss.
Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1–2% of trading capital on a single trade.
Hedging: Use protective puts or spreads to reduce downside.
Stop Loss: Predefine maximum loss.
Volatility Awareness: High IV → expensive options; low IV → cheap options.
Part 5: Option Trading in Indian Markets
In India, NSE (National Stock Exchange) is the primary platform. Key points:
Instruments: Nifty, Bank Nifty, Stocks (F&O).
Lot Size: Defined per contract; standard for indices & stocks.
Expiry: Weekly, monthly, quarterly.
Regulation: SEBI regulates, ensures margin & settlement rules.
Example:
Nifty current level: 25,000
Buy Nifty 25,100 CE (call)
Lot size: 50 → Pay premium × 50
Settlement:
Cash-settled for indices.
Physical delivery possible for stock options.
Part 6: Tips for Success in Option Trading
To trade options successfully:
Learn Before Trading: Understand Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, Rho).
Start Small: Focus on a few stocks or indices.
Track Volatility: Higher IV → cautious buying.
Plan Exits: Define profit and loss targets.
Diversify Strategies: Mix spreads, protective puts, and hedges.
Stay Updated: News, earnings, and macro events affect premiums.
Paper Trade: Practice virtual trading before risking real capital.
Mindset: Option trading is about probability, not certainty. Patience and discipline are key.
PCR Trading StrategiesPart 1: Introduction to Options
Options are a type of derivative instrument that derive their value from an underlying asset like stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies. Unlike buying the asset itself, options give you the right—but not the obligation—to buy or sell the asset at a predetermined price (strike price) before or on a specific date (expiration).
Key Points:
Options are contracts between two parties: the buyer (who has the right) and the seller/writer (who has the obligation).
They are flexible instruments used for hedging, speculation, and income generation.
Options can be American style (exercisable any time before expiry) or European style (exercisable only at expiry).
Why options are popular:
Leverage: Small investment can control large positions.
Risk Management: Can hedge existing positions.
Versatility: Can profit in bullish, bearish, or sideways markets.
Part 2: Types of Options
There are two primary types of options:
1. Call Option
Gives the buyer the right to buy an underlying asset at the strike price.
Buyers of calls profit when the asset price rises above the strike price plus premium paid.
Example: If a stock is at ₹100, and you buy a call with strike ₹105 for a premium of ₹5, you make money if stock > ₹110 (105 + 5) at expiry.
2. Put Option
Gives the buyer the right to sell an underlying asset at the strike price.
Buyers of puts profit when the asset price falls below the strike price minus premium paid.
Example: If a stock is at ₹100, and you buy a put with strike ₹95 for a premium of ₹3, you profit if stock < ₹92 (95 – 3) at expiry.
Part 3: Option Terminology
Understanding the language of options is crucial:
Strike Price (Exercise Price): Price at which the option can be exercised.
Premium: Price paid to buy the option.
Expiration Date: Date on which the option expires.
In-the-Money (ITM): Call: Stock > Strike, Put: Stock < Strike.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Call: Stock < Strike, Put: Stock > Strike.
At-the-Money (ATM): Stock ≈ Strike Price.
Intrinsic Value: Difference between current stock price and strike price (if profitable).
Time Value: Extra value reflecting remaining time until expiry.
Note: Premium = Intrinsic Value + Time Value
Part 4: How Options Work
Option trading revolves around buying and selling contracts. Let’s break down the process:
Buying a Call:
Expectation: Stock price will rise.
Profit: Stock price > Strike + Premium.
Loss: Limited to premium paid.
Buying a Put:
Expectation: Stock price will fall.
Profit: Stock price < Strike – Premium.
Loss: Limited to premium paid.
Writing (Selling) Options:
Involves taking obligation to buy/sell if the buyer exercises.
Generates premium income but comes with unlimited risk (especially for uncovered calls).
Exercise and Assignment:
Exercising: Buyer uses the right to buy/sell.
Assignment: Seller is notified they must fulfill the contract.
Shipping Corporation of India - Forming Bullish Head & Shoulder📈 Chart Analysis: On the weekly chart, Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) is showing signs of forming a "Bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern" , which is typically a reversal structure that signals the resumption of an uptrend. The neckline resistance is placed near ₹245–₹250 levels, and a decisive breakout above this zone could unlock strong upside momentum.
📊 Trend & Support: The stock is trading along an established uptrend line, which acts as a "Dynamic Support Level" . This trendline has been respected multiple times, reinforcing its validity. As long as the price sustains above this trendline, the bullish structure remains intact.
🔎 Momentum Indicators: RSI (Weekly) is currently around 56, showing neutral-to-positive momentum with room for further upside. Volumes have shown accumulation on upward moves, suggesting buying interest on rallies.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a technical projection, not an investment recommendation. Any trading strategy should be established based on risk appetite, confirmation signals, and individual financial goals.
✍️ Prepared by: SEBI Certified Research Analyst (Not Registered)
Daily Gold Trading Plan – London & New York Sessions🏆 Market Overview
Gold continues to hold within the upward channel, with active buying emerging whenever prices adjust to the trendline. The daily fluctuation range is identified around 3,795 – 3,820, suitable for short-term trading strategies based on price action.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 3,819 – 3,826 → upper edge of the upward channel, potential short-term sell zone.
Near Support: 3,790 – 3,793 → upward trendline, favourable buy zone in line with the trend.
Deep Support: 3,760 – 3,752 (EMA200) → critical defence if near support is breached.
⚖️ Intraday Trading Scenarios
Scenario A – Buy on Correction (Main Priority)
Entry Point: 3,790 – 3,793
Stop Loss: below liquidity candle (around 3,785)
Take Profit: 3,820 → 3,835 → extend to 3,840+
👉 Reason: Uptrend dominance, strong buying at trendline, suitable for trend-following.
Scenario B – Sell at Upper Edge (Short-term Scalp)
Entry Point: 3,820 – 3,826 (when price reacts at resistance)
Stop Loss: approximately 6 points (around 3,832)
Take Profit: 3,795 – 3,793 (back to support zone)
👉 Reason: RSI has entered overbought territory, favourable for quick sell orders at the upper band.
📊 Daily Fluctuation Range
Main Range: 3,795 – 3,820
If resistance breaks: 3,826+ → 3,840 – 3,845
If support is lost: 3,790 → 3,760
💡 Session Notes
London: High likelihood of price testing the 3,790 support zone before recovery.
New York: Strong volatility may occur when US data is released, with 3,820 being a critical test point.
🧭 Risk Management
Prioritise buying on corrections, selling should only be short-term scalping.
Maintain stop-loss discipline below 3,785 for buy scenarios.
If price breaks below 3,750, cease buying and wait for a new structure to form.
📌 Conclusion: Throughout the day, gold is likely to continue fluctuating within the upward channel. The main strategy is to buy at support – take profit at resistance, while sell orders should only be executed when price touches the upper edge and should be exited quickly.
Ashok Leyland – Technical Research ReportAshok Leyland continues to maintain a strong uptrend across all time frames, forming higher tops and bottoms. The weekly chart confirms a "Rounding Bottom Breakout" above ₹134, backed by strong volume participation, which indicates sustained bullish interest.
The stock is comfortably trading above key moving averages (20, 50, 100, 200 SMA), adding further confirmation to the trend strength. A margin of safety zone has been identified near ₹134–₹136 levels, where value buying is likely to emerge in case of dips.
Strategy: Buy on dips towards support levels.
Targets: As per measurement rule
Stop-Loss: As per classic chart pattern rule
Overall outlook remains bullish with momentum indicators like RSI supporting continued upside.
XAUUSD – Gold Bulls Eye New Highs | Francis FiboMatrix Plan📊 Market Outlook
Gold keeps climbing with momentum, now approaching the 3,800$ zone. The market is fuelled by expectations of more Fed rate cuts and rising demand for safe-haven assets as global uncertainties stay elevated.
Silver is also breaking higher, heading toward its historic $50 target, confirming the broader strength in precious metals.
📍 Trading Levels
✅ BUY Zone: 3782 – 3780
🛑 Stop Loss: 3772
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1 → 3800
TP2 → 3829
TP3 → 3848
TP4 → 3885+ (long-term hold if 377x holds support)
⚡ Trading Plan
Only look for BUY setups on dips – no shorting in this phase.
Keep position sizing balanced; trail stops once price moves past 3829.
Bias remains bullish as long as gold holds above 377x support.
💡 Francis Note
This is not just a trade – it’s part of the bigger wave. Play the retracements smart, respect risk, and let the trend do the heavy lifting.
💬 Your View?
Is gold ready to break beyond 3,885 → 3,900, or will we get a quick pullback first? Drop your charts and setups below 👇
LiamTrading – Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet...Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet, awaiting ABC corrective wave
According to Elliott Wave perspective, gold is currently in wave 5 and no clear reversal signals have appeared. Once wave 5 is completed, a reasonable scenario would be entering the ABC corrective phase.
Technical Analysis
The current price range remains in an uptrend, supported by the medium-term trendline.
Key resistance – support zones are identified based on Fibonacci, Volume Profile, and strong psychological levels.
RSI indicates gold is approaching the overbought region, hence short-term Sell orders (scalping) around the peak area might offer an advantage.
Trading Plan Reference
Sell: 3840 – 3842, SL 3846. This is a strong resistance zone, prioritise scalping if the downward reaction lacks strength.
Buy: 3783 – 3785, SL 3779, TP 3800 – 3818 – 3838.
Large liquidity Buy: 3740, SL 3733, expecting a strong reaction from this area due to previous accumulation volume.
Important Note
Early in the week, there are often numerous political – economic news causing noise, which might unexpectedly push gold up.
The resistance zones 3840–3850 are strong psychological levels, observe reactions before making decisions.
For short-term trading, adhere closely to the plan, while flexibly adjusting when price paths change to maintain an advantage.
In summary, wave 5 is still developing and trading opportunities mainly focus on key resistance – support zones. Traders need to manage risks well, patiently wait for confirmation, and remain flexible to adapt to fluctuations.
The DXY index fell around 97.95 on Monday, extending the decline into the second session as the risk of a US government shutdown weakens market sentiment and investors await a series of important economic data to be released this week.
Wishing you successful trading, follow me and the trading community!
ADANIPORTS 1 Hour View📊 1-Hour Timeframe Technical Overview
Current Price: ₹1,392.00
Day’s Range: ₹1,390.30 – ₹1,416.70
Volume: ~1.9 million shares
Price Change: -1.08%
Technical Strength Index: Mild Bearish
📈 Key Indicators
Supertrend: 1460.9 (Mild Bearish)
Parabolic SAR: 1458.77 (Mild Bearish)
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Data not specified
MACD: Data not specified
ADX (Average Directional Index): Data not specified
Stochastic Oscillator: Data not specified
Rate of Change (ROC): Data not specified
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.05 (Bearish)
Williams %R: Data not specified
Pivot Levels: Data not specified
📌 Intraday Price Targets
Support Level: ₹1,377.95
Resistance Level: ₹1,404.35
🔍 Summary
Adani Ports is currently exhibiting a mild bearish trend on the 1-hour chart, with key indicators such as the Supertrend and Parabolic SAR suggesting downward momentum. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is also negative, indicating potential selling pressure.
Intraday traders should monitor the support level at ₹1,377.95 and the resistance at ₹1,404.35. A break below support could signal further downside, while a move above resistance may indicate a reversal or continuation of the uptrend.
Please note that technical analysis is subject to market conditions and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management strategies.