Another public sector bank hindsight analysisAll necessary details mentioned on chart itself.
1. Volume patterns
2. Sector tail winds in public sector banks
Chart Patterns
Option Chain Terms – A Comprehensive Explanation1. Underlying Asset
The underlying asset is the security on which the option contract is based. This could be an equity stock (like Reliance or TCS), an index (such as NIFTY or BANKNIFTY), a commodity, or a currency. All option prices in the option chain are derived from the movement of this underlying asset.
2. Expiry Date
The expiry date is the last date on which an option contract remains valid. After this date, the option either expires worthless or is settled (cash or physical settlement, depending on the contract). Option chains usually show multiple expiries—weekly, monthly, and sometimes quarterly—allowing traders to choose contracts based on their time horizon.
3. Strike Price
The strike price is the predetermined price at which the underlying asset can be bought (in the case of a Call option) or sold (in the case of a Put option). Strike prices are arranged vertically in the option chain, with Calls on one side and Puts on the other. The choice of strike price reflects the trader’s market view and risk appetite.
4. Call Option (CE)
A Call option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before or on the expiry date. In the option chain, Call options are typically displayed on the left side. Rising Call premiums often indicate bullish sentiment, while heavy Call writing may signal resistance levels.
5. Put Option (PE)
A Put option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying asset at the strike price before or on expiry. Put options are shown on the right side of the option chain. Increasing Put premiums usually reflect bearish sentiment or demand for downside protection.
6. Option Premium (Last Traded Price – LTP)
The option premium is the price paid by the option buyer to the seller (writer). In the option chain, this is shown as the Last Traded Price (LTP). The premium consists of intrinsic value and time value and fluctuates based on factors like underlying price, volatility, time to expiry, and interest rates.
7. Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic value is the real, in-the-money value of an option.
For a Call option: Intrinsic Value = Underlying Price − Strike Price
For a Put option: Intrinsic Value = Strike Price − Underlying Price
If this value is negative, intrinsic value is considered zero.
8. Time Value
Time value is the portion of the option premium beyond intrinsic value. It represents the possibility that the option may gain value before expiry. Time value decreases as expiry approaches, a phenomenon known as time decay or theta decay.
9. Open Interest (OI)
Open Interest refers to the total number of outstanding option contracts that have not been settled or closed. High OI indicates strong participation and liquidity at that strike price. Traders analyze changes in OI to understand whether new positions are being created or old ones are being unwound.
10. Change in Open Interest (ΔOI)
Change in Open Interest shows the increase or decrease in OI compared to the previous trading session.
Rising OI with rising price suggests strong trend continuation.
Rising OI with falling price indicates bearish buildup.
Falling OI suggests position unwinding.
11. Volume
Volume represents the number of option contracts traded during a particular trading session. High volume signals active trading interest and often precedes strong price movements.
12. Implied Volatility (IV)
Implied Volatility reflects the market’s expectation of future price fluctuations in the underlying asset. Higher IV means higher option premiums, while lower IV results in cheaper options. Traders closely track IV to decide whether options are expensive or cheap.
13. Bid Price and Ask Price
Bid Price: The highest price a buyer is willing to pay for an option.
Ask Price: The lowest price a seller is willing to accept.
The difference between them is called the bid-ask spread, which indicates liquidity.
14. At-the-Money (ATM), In-the-Money (ITM), Out-of-the-Money (OTM)
ATM: Strike price closest to the current underlying price.
ITM: Options with intrinsic value.
OTM: Options with no intrinsic value.
These classifications help traders select appropriate strikes.
15. Greeks in Option Chain
Some option chains also display Option Greeks, which measure sensitivity:
Delta: Sensitivity to underlying price changes
Gamma: Rate of change of Delta
Theta: Time decay
Vega: Sensitivity to volatility
Rho: Sensitivity to interest rates
Conclusion
An option chain is far more than a list of prices—it is a powerful analytical tool that reveals market psychology, support and resistance levels, volatility expectations, and trading opportunities. By understanding option chain terms such as strike price, open interest, implied volatility, and option Greeks, traders can make informed decisions, manage risk effectively, and build well-structured option strategies. Mastery of option chain terminology is a foundational step toward successful options trading.
How to Boost Trading Performance1. Build a Strong Trading Foundation
The first step in boosting trading performance is developing a solid understanding of the markets you trade. This includes knowing how different asset classes behave—stocks, indices, commodities, forex, or derivatives—and understanding the factors that influence price movement such as macroeconomic data, earnings, interest rates, liquidity, and market sentiment.
A strong foundation also means clarity about market structure: trends, ranges, volatility cycles, and volume behavior. Traders who lack this foundation often jump from one strategy to another, leading to inconsistent results. Consistency begins with depth of understanding, not breadth of indicators.
2. Define a Clear Trading Plan
A written trading plan is one of the most powerful tools for improving performance. It should clearly define:
Market and instruments traded
Timeframes used
Entry criteria
Exit rules (profit targets and stop-losses)
Position sizing method
Risk per trade
A clear plan removes emotional decision-making during live markets. When rules are predefined, execution becomes mechanical rather than reactive. Traders who follow a plan are far more likely to maintain discipline during volatile or stressful periods.
3. Master Risk Management
Risk management is the backbone of long-term trading success. Even the best strategies fail if risk is not controlled. Boosting performance often has more to do with reducing losses than increasing profits.
Key risk management principles include:
Risking only a small percentage of capital per trade (commonly 0.5%–2%)
Always using stop-loss orders
Avoiding over-leverage
Limiting the number of correlated trades
By protecting capital, traders ensure they remain in the game long enough for skill and probability to work in their favor. Capital preservation leads to confidence, and confidence improves execution.
4. Improve Trade Selection Quality
Not every market move needs to be traded. One of the biggest performance boosters is learning when not to trade. High-quality trades typically align with multiple factors such as trend direction, key support/resistance levels, volume confirmation, and favorable risk–reward ratios.
Professional traders focus on A+ setups—trades that clearly fit their strategy. Reducing overtrading helps conserve mental energy and minimizes transaction costs. Fewer, higher-quality trades often produce better results than frequent low-quality trades.
5. Develop Emotional Control and Discipline
Psychology plays a crucial role in trading performance. Fear, greed, impatience, and overconfidence can sabotage even the most technically sound strategy. Emotional mistakes such as revenge trading, holding losses too long, or exiting winners too early are common performance killers.
To improve emotional control:
Accept losses as part of the business
Focus on process, not short-term results
Maintain realistic expectations
Avoid trading during emotional stress
Traders who master their emotions trade their plan, not their feelings. Over time, emotional discipline becomes a competitive advantage.
6. Maintain a Trading Journal
A detailed trading journal is an essential performance-boosting tool. It should include:
Trade rationale
Entry and exit prices
Stop-loss and target
Risk–reward ratio
Outcome (profit/loss)
Emotional state during the trade
Reviewing this journal regularly helps identify recurring mistakes and strengths. Patterns such as poor entries, late exits, or emotional trades become visible only through data. Continuous self-review turns experience into improvement.
7. Focus on Consistent Execution
Even a profitable strategy will fail if executed inconsistently. Slippage, hesitation, early exits, or missed trades all reduce edge. Boosting performance often means refining execution—entering at planned levels, respecting stop-losses, and letting profits run according to the strategy.
Consistency comes from repetition, confidence in the system, and trust in probabilities. The goal is not perfection but disciplined repetition of correct actions.
8. Adapt to Market Conditions
Markets evolve. A strategy that works well in trending markets may struggle in range-bound or highly volatile environments. Traders who boost performance learn to recognize changing conditions and adjust position sizing, trade frequency, or even stay on the sidelines when conditions are unfavorable.
Flexibility does not mean abandoning your system—it means applying it intelligently within the context of the market environment.
9. Manage Time, Energy, and Lifestyle
Trading performance is closely linked to physical and mental well-being. Fatigue, stress, and lack of focus can impair decision-making. Successful traders treat trading like a profession, not a constant screen-watching activity.
Key habits include:
Trading only during optimal hours
Taking regular breaks
Maintaining physical health
Avoiding information overload
A balanced lifestyle supports sharper focus and better judgment in markets.
10. Commit to Continuous Learning
Markets reward adaptability and punish stagnation. Boosting trading performance requires continuous learning—reviewing past trades, studying market behavior, refining strategies, and learning from mistakes.
However, learning should be structured. Randomly changing strategies after losses is harmful. Instead, traders should test improvements, make incremental changes, and evaluate results objectively.
Conclusion
Boosting trading performance is a gradual, disciplined process rather than a quick fix. It involves building strong market knowledge, following a clear trading plan, managing risk effectively, controlling emotions, and continuously reviewing and improving execution. The most successful traders focus on consistency, patience, and process-driven decision-making. Over time, small improvements across these areas compound into significant performance gains, turning trading from speculation into a structured and sustainable endeavor.
Trading Breakouts and Fakeouts: Capturing Momentum Understanding Breakouts in Trading
A breakout occurs when price moves decisively beyond a well-defined support or resistance level with the potential to start a new trend or accelerate an existing one. These levels usually represent areas where price has previously struggled to move beyond due to a balance between buyers and sellers. When that balance shifts, price breaks out.
Breakouts are powerful because they often reflect a change in market sentiment. For example, when resistance is broken, sellers who were defending that level are overwhelmed, and new buyers enter the market expecting higher prices. At the same time, traders who were short may be forced to cover their positions, adding fuel to the move.
Breakouts commonly occur from chart structures such as consolidation ranges, triangles, flags, head-and-shoulders patterns, and channels. The longer the price consolidates and the more times a level is tested, the more significant the breakout tends to be. Volume often plays a critical role here; a true breakout is usually accompanied by an expansion in volume, signaling strong participation.
Types of Breakouts
Breakouts can be classified in several ways. Range breakouts happen when price moves above resistance or below support after trading sideways for a period. Trendline breakouts occur when price breaks a downward or upward sloping trendline, often indicating a trend reversal or acceleration. Volatility breakouts happen when price exits a low-volatility environment, often after a squeeze, leading to sharp directional moves.
Another important distinction is time-frame based breakouts. Intraday traders focus on breakouts of previous day highs/lows or key intraday levels, while swing and positional traders look for breakouts on daily, weekly, or even monthly charts. Higher time-frame breakouts generally carry more reliability, but they also require wider stop losses and patience.
What Are Fakeouts and Why They Happen
A fakeout, also known as a false breakout, occurs when price briefly moves beyond a key level but fails to sustain the move and quickly reverses back into the prior range. Fakeouts are common because markets are driven by liquidity. Large participants often push price beyond obvious levels to trigger stop losses and breakout orders, then reverse price once sufficient liquidity is collected.
Fakeouts happen for several reasons. One major reason is lack of follow-through buying or selling. Price may break a level, but if volume is weak and broader market sentiment does not support the move, the breakout fails. News-driven volatility can also cause fakeouts, where price reacts sharply to an announcement but then retraces once emotions cool down.
Retail trader behavior plays a role as well. Many traders place stops just beyond obvious support or resistance. When price reaches these areas, stop orders get triggered, causing a brief surge that looks like a breakout. Once those stops are absorbed, price reverses, trapping late breakout traders.
Identifying High-Probability Breakouts
Not all breakouts are equal. High-probability breakouts usually have a few common characteristics. First, the level being broken should be clearly visible and respected in the past. Second, price action before the breakout often shows contraction, such as lower volatility or tighter ranges, indicating pressure buildup. Third, confirmation through volume expansion, strong candle closes, or alignment with the higher-time-frame trend increases reliability.
Context is critical. A breakout in the direction of the broader trend has a much higher success rate than a counter-trend breakout. For example, an upside breakout in a strong bullish market is more likely to succeed than the same breakout during a choppy or bearish environment.
Recognizing and Trading Fakeouts
Fakeouts are frustrating, but experienced traders learn to identify and even trade them. Common signs of a fakeout include weak candle closes beyond the level, long wicks showing rejection, low volume on the breakout attempt, and immediate failure to hold above or below the key level.
One effective approach is the “break and retest” method. Instead of entering immediately on the breakout, traders wait for price to break the level and then retest it from the other side. If the level holds during the retest, the breakout is more likely to be genuine. If price fails quickly and moves back into the range, it signals a potential fakeout.
Some advanced traders deliberately trade fakeouts by entering in the opposite direction once price reclaims the broken level. These trades can be powerful because trapped breakout traders are forced to exit, accelerating the reversal move.
Risk Management in Breakout and Fakeout Trading
Risk management is the backbone of trading breakouts and fakeouts. Breakout trades should have clearly defined stop losses, usually just inside the broken level or below the breakout candle’s low in bullish setups. Because fakeouts are common, position sizing should be conservative, especially in volatile markets.
For fakeout trades, stops are typically placed beyond the extreme of the false breakout. Since reversals can be sharp, reward-to-risk ratios are often favorable, but discipline is essential. Overtrading every breakout or fakeout leads to emotional decisions and inconsistent results.
Psychology and Discipline
The psychology of breakout trading is intense. Fear of missing out (FOMO) often pushes traders to chase breakouts late, increasing the chance of getting trapped in a fakeout. Successful traders stay patient, wait for confirmation, and accept that missing a trade is better than taking a low-quality setup.
Equally important is accepting losses. Even the best breakout traders experience fakeouts regularly. The key is to keep losses small and let successful breakouts run. Over time, consistency and discipline matter more than predicting every move correctly.
Conclusion
Trading breakouts and fakeouts is about understanding market structure, liquidity, and trader behavior. Breakouts offer opportunities to ride strong momentum, while fakeouts remind traders of the market’s deceptive nature. By combining technical analysis with volume, context, and disciplined risk management, traders can improve their ability to capture genuine breakouts and avoid or even profit from fakeouts. Mastery of this approach does not come from avoiding losses entirely, but from managing them wisely while staying aligned with high-probability market conditions.
Bhel - LongThis is a daily chart of BHEL. Earlier, the stock faced strong resistance at the marked level, where price failed to move higher in the past. When the price approached this area again, it broke above the resistance with a sharp upward move, showing strength and strong buying interest. After this breakout, the price is now trading above the resistance zone, which is a positive sign for the overall trend.
The same resistance level has now turned into support. You can see that whenever the price comes down near this support area, buyers step in and the price holds above it. This shows that the breakout level is being respected and sellers are not able to push the stock back below this zone. As long as the price stays above this support, the trend remains bullish.
One important point highlighted on the chart is that volumes are missing. After a strong breakout, ideally volumes should remain high to support further upside. Here, volumes have reduced during consolidation, which means aggressive buying is not visible at the moment. This does not make the structure weak, but it suggests that the next big move may need fresh volume confirmation.
Looking at the MACD indicator, the earlier up move is followed by cooling momentum. The MACD lines are close to each other and trying to stabilize near the zero line. This indicates that selling pressure is reducing and momentum is trying to shift again. If MACD turns up along with an increase in volume, it can support another upward move.
Overall, the chart shows a strong breakout structure with price holding above support, but volumes need to improve for a confident continuation. For learners, this is a good example of how breakout, support, volume behavior, and momentum should be read together before expecting the next move.
Hindustan Zinc - Weekly (Long)On the weekly chart, the recent candles of Hindustan Zinc show strong bullish intent. After a long consolidation phase, price has formed higher lows and now a strong green candle is visible near the resistance zone around 700–705. This kind of candle after a rounded base often signals accumulation and the start of a fresh upward leg. The absence of long upper wicks suggests that sellers are not very active at current levels.
The overall trend is turning positive. For many months the stock moved sideways, but now price is clearly making higher highs and higher lows. The dotted trend line is curving upward, showing that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. A sustained move above the 705–710 zone can confirm a trend reversal on the higher timeframe and open the door for a medium-term rally.
RSI is around the mid-70s, which shows strong momentum. It has moved from a neutral zone to a bullish zone and is holding above 60. This tells us that buyers are in control. Even though RSI is slightly high, in trending markets RSI can stay elevated for a long time. This supports continuation rather than immediate reversal.
Volume is expanding during the recent rise. Rising price with rising volume is a healthy sign and indicates genuine participation from market players. This confirms that the breakout attempt is backed by demand and not just a short-term spike.
ADX is rising and moving above the lower range, which indicates that a new trend is developing. When ADX starts rising after a long flat phase, it usually marks the beginning of a strong directional move. This aligns well with the price structure and volume behavior.
Best entry can be on a weekly close above 710, or on a small pullback towards 680–690 if price holds above this zone. This allows better risk management. Stop loss can be placed below 640 on a closing basis, which is below the recent swing low and trend support. The first target comes near 820, which is the next major supply area. If momentum continues, a higher target near 1000–1020 is possible over the medium term.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not a buy or sell recommendation. Stock market investments involve risk. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before taking any trading or investment decision.
DIXON Monthly chart Suggest 5x ROI Possible in next 7-8 yearsDIXON Monthly chart Suggest 5x ROI Possible in next 7-8 years.
Fundamentals:
Company has delivered good profit growth of 45% CAGR over last 5 years
3 Years ROE 28.1%
Sales growth is 45% of last 10 years.
Technical:
DIXON is following Monthly cycle of 22 months. It may still correct a bit but upside potentials is huge so time to accumulate on all dips.
LTP - 10360
Targets - 52000+
Timeframe - 7-8 Years
Happy Investing.
Chart Nobody Is Watching: BTC.D Could Trigger Biggest AltseasonThe Chart Nobody Is Watching: BTC.D Could Trigger The Biggest Altseason
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently trading at a major HTF distribution zone after printing a cycle high near 66%. Price faced a strong rejection from a Bearish Order Block + Fair Value Gap, confirming supply presence and bearish structural shift.
Technical Structure (HTF):
Cycle high formed at 66% (HTF supply zone)
Clear rejection from Bearish OB + FVG
Support trendline broken
Bearish retest completed near 60%
Structure remains bearish below 60–62%
BTC.D Downside Projection:
50–48% (first expansion zone)
44% (major HTF support)
40% (historical altseason peak zone)
A sustained move toward the 44–40% region has historically aligned with aggressive capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins, often marking the beginning of major altcoin expansion phases.
Invalidation: HTF close above 66%
This analysis is based purely on market structure and HTF supply/demand dynamics.
Just my personal view. Not financial or investment advice. Always do your own research.
Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd – Weekly Chart ViewPrice reacting from deep discount zone with volume support.
🔹 Stock respected 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci retracement zone
🔹 Strong bullish candles emerging from ~428–445 demand area
🔹 Noticeable volume expansion, indicating institutional participation
🔹 Price currently testing the descending trendline resistance
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: 570–580
Major Supply / Gap Zone: 733–780
Support Zone: 445–428
Invalidation: Weekly close below 427
Expectation (Not Prediction)
Acceptance above trendline → scope for mean reversion towards gap zone
Rejection from trendline → range continuation with higher lows
📌 No indicators. No noise.
Structure + Levels + Volume = Clarity
Note: Educational view only. Not investment advice.
Regards
Bull Man
#PriceAction
#TechnicalAnalysis
#SwingTrading
#IndianStocks
#WeeklyChart
#SupportAndResistance
#FibonacciRetracement
#VolumeAnalysis
#Trendline
#TradingEducation
A New World without the US Dollar at the helm?Civilizations halt.
Empires fall.
New worlds and new world orders are built on the ruins of older greats.
Is this the slow decline of the largest empire known to mankind?
Whatever happens, I wish it happens over the next 50 years so I can be here to witness the shift in awe.
Technically speaking, US Dollar has been in a long term uptrend channel since 2008 and this channel is now seriously being tested and is at a risk of being violated. What is interesting is this isn't just a technical move, this is a move backed by a fundamental shift in Global order.
How will the world look like if US is not at the helm? Only time will tell.
see you later—ciao!
Silver - 106Silvers next target in my views 106-107. Then we could see some profit bookings also, might came down to test 100 also. If sustained by sept i see silver@150.
Advanced Intraday Institution Option TradingAdvanced Intraday Institutional Option Trading
Institutional intraday option trading focuses on order flow, volatility expansion, and hedging behavior, not prediction. Institutions deploy capital where liquidity, gamma, and vega sensitivity allow fast risk adjustment—usually in near-expiry (0DTE–3DTE) index options.
Institutional Interpretation
Max Call OI at 21,500 → Heavy call writing → Resistance
Rising Put OI at 21,400 → Strong downside hedge → Support
IV spike on Calls above 21,500 → Short covering risk → Breakout fuel
Balanced IV at ATM → Volatility expansion likely
High-Probability Intraday Trades
Gamma Scalping: Buy ATM options when IV expands + price holds VWAP
Directional Break: Long calls above call-writer resistance with OI unwinding
Volatility Fade: Sell options after IV spikes near key levels
Key Rule
Institutions trade structure, not direction.
Retail trades candles. Smart money trades the option chain.
GoldSure 👍
Here’s the article in English:
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Will Gold Reach $5,000? A Deep Analysis
Over the past few years, gold has once again proven why it is considered the safest investment during uncertain times. Now a big question is circulating in the market: Can gold reach $5,000 per ounce in the future?
1. Global Economic Uncertainty
Major economies around the world are struggling with slowing growth, rising debt, and geopolitical tensions. Whenever stock markets and currencies become unstable, investors move toward safe-haven assets like gold. This shift in sentiment strongly supports higher gold prices in the long term.
2. Weakening US Dollar
Gold and the US dollar share an inverse relationship. When the dollar weakens, gold prices usually rise. If pressure on the dollar continues in the coming years, gold moving toward the $5,000 level cannot be ruled out.
3. Strong Central Bank Buying
Countries like India, China, and Russia are consistently increasing their gold reserves. This aggressive buying by central banks reflects long-term confidence in gold and increases overall demand, which can push prices higher.
4. Protection Against Inflation
Gold has always been considered a hedge against inflation. If global inflation remains high or becomes uncontrollable, gold could witness a strong rally as investors look to protect their purchasing power.
5. Limited Supply
Gold mining is expensive and time-consuming, and new supply is limited. When demand rises while supply remains constrained, prices naturally move upward.
Conclusion
Gold reaching $5,000 per ounce is not just speculation—it represents a realistic long-term possibility. While it may not happen immediately, over the next 5–10 years, given continued economic uncertainty and monetary expansion, such levels are achievable.
👉 The smart approach is to view gold as a long-term investment, not just a short-term trade.
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If you want, I can also rewrite this as:
• a news-style article,
• MCX Gold analysis in INR, or
• a short social media / Telegram post.
Hanging Man at the Highs: A Risk-Management LessonIntel Corporation had already started showing early warning signals after a strong, extended rally .
A Hanging Man candlestick near the highs signaled potential exhaustion , indicating that the risk–reward for fresh longs was no longer favorable . Such signals often emerge before momentum shifts , acting as a cautionary hint rather than an immediate reversal call .
Today’s ~17% decline (still unfolding) reinforces the view that price has likely entered a corrective phase . From a structural perspective, corrections tend to unfold in at least three waves , suggesting that further consolidation or downside cannot be ruled out .
Key takeaway: markets rarely reverse without notice — they usually signal first . Reading these signals helps manage risk before volatility expands .
NIFTY 4H TFICT patterns worked really well. Market gave clean and easy setups just by following Market Structure (BOS/CHoCH) and liquidity logic.
✅ Once the structure shifted, entries became simple:
• Break of Structure → pullback → continuation
• Clear lower highs / higher lows confirmation
• Smooth long & short opportunities with controlled risk
No overthinking, no indicators needed — just pure price action + structure.
Sharing this for the TradingView community so everyone can focus more on patience, confirmation, and execution.
#ICT #MarketStructure #BOS #CHoCH #NIFTY #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingViewIndia
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 23-24✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold is still trading within an overall bullish trend. Price remains firmly above the MA20 and MA50, with moving averages aligned to the upside and higher lows continuing to form, indicating that the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. However, it is important to note that price has now entered a high-resistance zone near previous highs and the upper Bollinger Band. As a result, upside momentum has slowed, and the market has shifted from a one-sided rally into high-level consolidation.
✅ On the 1-hour timeframe, short-term price action remains biased to the upside, but consolidation is clearly visible. The moving average system is trending higher, yet price continues to rally and pull back repeatedly near resistance, showing a typical institutional shakeout pattern. Yesterday, price consolidated for an extended period around 4880 before breaking higher, and today’s structure closely mirrors that behavior, suggesting the market is once again waiting for a directional decision at key resistance.
🔴 Resistance levels: 4960–4980 / 4995–5000
🟢 Support levels: 4900–4910 / 4880-4865
✅ Gold Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Strategy 1 — Buy on Pullbacks (Main Strategy)
📍 Buy Zone 1: 4900–4910
📍 Buy Zone 2: 4880-4865
🎯 Targets: 4960 / 4980 /4995
🔰 Strategy 2 — Short-Term Breakout Follow (Aggressive)
📍Sell Zone1 : 4980-4988
📍Sell Zone2 : 4995-5000
🎯 Targets: 4960 / 4950 / 4910
✅ Trend Summary
👉Medium-term: Bullish trend remains intact
👉Short-term: High-level consolidation; not suitable for aggressive chasing
👉Below 4965 → treat the market as range-bound
👉Hold above 4965 → upside potential opens toward 5000
👉Break below 4905 → expect a pullback
👉As long as 4880 holds → pullbacks remain buying opportunities
👉If 4880 is decisively broken → structure weakens, caution requir
Leading Diagonal to Double Zigzag – Jio Financial’s Full CycleFrom the lows of ₹198.65 , the stock kicked off with a classic leading diagonal — an overlapping structure, exactly how impulsive moves often begin when sentiment is still uncertain. This marked the start of a larger impulsive advance.
Post the Wave 2 low at ₹203.10 , price surged into a powerful Wave 3 rally toward ₹338.30 . Momentum confirmed the strength of this move, with RSI overshooting well into the overbought zone , validating the impulsive nature of the advance.
The rally ended with Wave 5 topping marginally above Wave 3 , but momentum failed to confirm the new high. A clear bearish RSI divergence signaled exhaustion near the top.
Since then, price has transitioned into a W–X–Y double zigzag correction , unfolding neatly within a well-aligned descending channel . Typically, such structures resolve with an upside breakout, but markets don’t always follow the textbook.
Instead, price has broken below the channel and is now sitting exactly at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire impulse near ₹252 .
From a momentum perspective, RSI is deeply stretched and hints at a possible relief bounce . If that bounce materializes, it is likely to be corrective in nature — potentially a retest of the broken channel — before one final leg lower.
The ideal structural path would be:
A short-term bounce to cool off RSI
Followed by a final Wave (v) decline below ₹252.25
Ideally accompanied by bullish RSI divergence or a clear bullish reversal candlestick
Such a move would complete Wave (c) of Y , thereby finishing the broader W–X–Y corrective structure . The correction is expected to terminate near the major pivot support zone between ₹236 and ₹228 , just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement .
For now, this remains a wait-and-watch setup .
Patience is key rather than bottom fishing . Let price action confirm strength — meaningful reversals usually come with clear signals, not guesses.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
“GOLD MEGA RALLY: Road to $6,500 — Super-Cycle in Full Power
Gold has broken above $4,200/oz, confirming that a super-cycle has officially started. The breakout is not just technical — it is backed by global liquidity, record central-bank demand, and collapsing real yields.
My view: Gold is preparing for a parabolic rally toward $6,500 next year, where a major cycle top is likely to form.
🔥 Why Gold Can Hit $6,500
* Liquidity Cycle Turning Up
Fed QT slowdown + rising expectations of QE → strongest setup for commodities in a decade.
* Historic Central Bank Buying
China, India, Middle East are accumulating gold aggressively → long-term supply squeeze.
* Inflation Pressure Still Alive
Sticky inflation + slowing growth = real yields trending lower → ultra-bullish for gold.
* Geopolitical Premium
Safe-haven flows accelerating with every global conflict headline
INFY (Infosys)INFY gave a breakout above its old resistance near 1625 and successfully retested the level. Price is now moving closer to the next resistance zone around 1682.
The EMA structure is well aligned, indicating underlying strength. If the stock manages to break and sustain above the current resistance, there is a probability of further upside.
On the broader front, the IT index is holding its ground , even as Nifty has slipped below its 200 EMA on the daily timeframe. This relative strength in the sector is worth tracking.
Overall, the structure remains constructive.
Keep it in your watchlist.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :) in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
BEL in a Contracting Triangle — Wave 5 Loading?From the ₹240.25 low , Bharat Electronics Limited delivered a powerful upside rally , completing a higher-degree Wave 3 near ₹436 . The advance was strong, extended, and impulsive , clearly establishing the larger bullish trend.
Post the Wave 3 peak, price did not reverse impulsively . Instead, it shifted into sideways consolidation , suggesting a time-wise correction rather than price-wise damage . This behavior fits well with a Wave 4 contracting triangle , a common pause before the final leg of an impulse.
Structurally, the consolidation aligns with an A–B–C–D–E triangle , with price now appearing to be in the final leg — Wave (E) . This leg is expected to unfold as a 3-wave corrective decline (A–B–C) , terminating near the rising A–C–E trendline . A brief throw-under below this trendline remains structurally acceptable and should not be mistaken for a breakdown.
Trade Structure (Execution Focus)
The preferred entry lies near the A–C–E trendline , only if price prints a bullish candlestick pattern , indicating completion of Wave (E).
Invalidation is clearly defined below the low of Wave (C) .
If the triangle resolves as expected, a breakout would signal the start of a higher-degree Wave 5 , with upside potential beyond the Wave 3 high near ₹436 .
Fundamentally, recent order inflows support the broader bullish context , but this remains a structure-led setup , where price confirmation matters more than headlines .
In summary , Wave 3 is complete , Wave 4 is maturing , and Wave (E) completion is the final checkpoint before the next directional move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
USD/CHF Approaching Breakdown from RangeUSD/CHF is moving in a sideways corrective pattern, not a strong trend. The price is forming an A-B-C-D-E structure, which usually happens before the market makes a bigger move. Right now, price is in the last part of this pattern (wave E) and is sitting near a resistance area, where it has failed to move higher and has started to turn down. This behavior often means sellers are becoming stronger. As long as the price stays below 0.795–0.798 , the outlook remains bearish, and the market is expected to move lower toward the 0.782–0.775 support area. If this move happens, it would complete the corrective pattern after a short pause, and then the market can decide its next big direction.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
BTC Compression Phase: Where Smart Money Builds Positions!Hey guy's, When I look at this chart, I’m not seeing fear or trend failure.
I’m seeing something far more important, controlled compression above demand .
Bitcoin has pulled back, swept liquidity, and is now holding above a clearly defined demand area while volatility keeps contracting.
This kind of behaviour rarely appears during panic.
It usually appears when the market is absorbing supply quietly .
What I’m seeing on the chart:
Price is still respecting the ascending demand structure , which tells me higher-timeframe buyers are active and defending key levels.
The recent move cleaned out weak hands below demand , but price did not accept lower, a classic liquidity sweep, not a breakdown.
Supply is visible above , which explains why price is compressing instead of expanding immediately. Sellers are present, but they are not overpowering buyers.
The range between ascending demand and overhead supply is tightening . This is where impatience builds, and where strong positioning usually happens.
The psychology part (this matters):
This phase feels uncomfortable.
Price isn’t doing much.
Both sides are frustrated.
And that’s usually a clue.
If Bitcoin wanted to break structure, it had a clean opportunity below demand.
It didn’t take it.
That tells me sellers are getting weaker, not stronger.
So my thinking stays simple:
I don’t want to chase upside after expansion.
I don’t want to panic into a sell-off that already swept liquidity.
I want to watch how price reacts around demand, because this is where real decisions are made.
As long as structure holds:
Pullbacks into the 88k–87k demand zone remain high-probability reaction areas.
Compression above demand keeps the door open for a mean-reversion move toward higher levels.
Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below ~84k would invalidate this structure.
Until then, I’m not trying to predict the next candle.
I’m trying to read behaviour .
Markets don’t move when everyone is excited.
They move when most people get bored, confused, or impatient.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and trade according to your own plan.
TCS GOING TO REACH THE TOP SOONI am expecting TCS to retest the top soon.
Good quaterly result, great orders, everyone is expecting AI boom
Reasonably priced, good move up from bottom, expecting the small correction is over.
Time to go up
Trade with care
