USD/CHF Approaching Breakdown from RangeUSD/CHF is moving in a sideways corrective pattern, not a strong trend. The price is forming an A-B-C-D-E structure, which usually happens before the market makes a bigger move. Right now, price is in the last part of this pattern (wave E) and is sitting near a resistance area, where it has failed to move higher and has started to turn down. This behavior often means sellers are becoming stronger. As long as the price stays below 0.795–0.798 , the outlook remains bearish, and the market is expected to move lower toward the 0.782–0.775 support area. If this move happens, it would complete the corrective pattern after a short pause, and then the market can decide its next big direction.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Chart Patterns
BTC Compression Phase: Where Smart Money Builds Positions!Hey guy's, When I look at this chart, I’m not seeing fear or trend failure.
I’m seeing something far more important, controlled compression above demand .
Bitcoin has pulled back, swept liquidity, and is now holding above a clearly defined demand area while volatility keeps contracting.
This kind of behaviour rarely appears during panic.
It usually appears when the market is absorbing supply quietly .
What I’m seeing on the chart:
Price is still respecting the ascending demand structure , which tells me higher-timeframe buyers are active and defending key levels.
The recent move cleaned out weak hands below demand , but price did not accept lower, a classic liquidity sweep, not a breakdown.
Supply is visible above , which explains why price is compressing instead of expanding immediately. Sellers are present, but they are not overpowering buyers.
The range between ascending demand and overhead supply is tightening . This is where impatience builds, and where strong positioning usually happens.
The psychology part (this matters):
This phase feels uncomfortable.
Price isn’t doing much.
Both sides are frustrated.
And that’s usually a clue.
If Bitcoin wanted to break structure, it had a clean opportunity below demand.
It didn’t take it.
That tells me sellers are getting weaker, not stronger.
So my thinking stays simple:
I don’t want to chase upside after expansion.
I don’t want to panic into a sell-off that already swept liquidity.
I want to watch how price reacts around demand, because this is where real decisions are made.
As long as structure holds:
Pullbacks into the 88k–87k demand zone remain high-probability reaction areas.
Compression above demand keeps the door open for a mean-reversion move toward higher levels.
Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below ~84k would invalidate this structure.
Until then, I’m not trying to predict the next candle.
I’m trying to read behaviour .
Markets don’t move when everyone is excited.
They move when most people get bored, confused, or impatient.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and trade according to your own plan.
NSE FINNIFTY - Price Action BreakdownNSE FINIFTY is trading in the value area for more than 43 weeks. The price has overall three excesses at the upper band and three excesses at the lower band. This signals bull dominance. The control line validates itself with 11 touches.
Traders must look at the following scenario:
1. Price is at the control line, and 200 EMa has worked as crucial support. This is a powerful hurdle and can change the trend. This can reach up to 27500 - 28100 .
2. If sellers outnumber buyers by closing below the control line and EMAs, the next support level would be around 25,926.
We will update further information soon.
silver spot crucial update at higher lvlsilver spot support 96$ if market hold abv than next up side 100--105$ than after 120$ expect where if support break or close blow than expect down side 93--91$ in mcx 332000 if mkt hold abv than no worry for bulls soon expect 345--360000++++ only blow 327000 sustain than downside correction 4-5000rs/
Part 5 Advance Trading Strategies Option Trading in Different Market Conditions
A. Trending Market
Buyers get benefit
CE/PE give good returns
B. Sideways Market
Sellers benefit
Strangles, straddles perform well
C. High Volatility
Premium expands
Good for selling post-news
D. Low Volatility
Cheap premiums
Good for buying before breakout
PNBHOUSING at crucial level of 860PNBHOUSING has retraced to a decisive level on the 15-minute timeframe. We are currently seeing a battle at the 860 mark, which has historically acted as a significant pivot point.
🔍 The Game Plan:
The Bearish Case: If the price fails to hold 860 and trades decisively below it, we may see a revisit to the historical support zone around 835–840. A breach there could open the doors toward the 822–825 level.
The Bullish Case: If the stock manages to sustain above 860, it signals a potential trend reversal. In this scenario, the immediate target I’m watching is the 900 psychological barrier.
OR
Stocks goes to support around 840 and then rebounce to 880+
💡 Key Execution Signal: Volume is King
Don't jump the gun. Wait for confirmation:
Long Entry: Price breaks upside and stays above 860 with a surge in volume.
Short Entry: Price breaks down below the support levels with heavy selling volume.
PREMIERENE at Deciding zone of around 760PREMIERENE has just entered a critical Supply Zone (753 – 769) on the 15-minute chart. Historically, this area has been a "brick wall" where the stock faces heavy selling pressure.
How to Play the "Deciding Zone":
🚀 THE BULL CASE (BUY):
Trigger: Watch for a clean breakout above 769.45.
Confirmation: We need a strong Volume Spike to prove the "big players" are buying the breakout.
Target: 798
📉 THE BEAR CASE (SELL):
Trigger: If the price touches the zone (or the 753 level) and retreats/rejects with high selling volume.
Confirmation: A failure to hold the zone confirms that supply is still in control.
Target: 728
The Golden Rule: Let the market reveal its hand first. No volume, no trade.
PART 3 TECHNNICAL VS. INSTITUTIONALWhy Traders Use Options
Options allow traders to benefit from multiple market views:
Directional trading (up or down)
Non-directional trading (markets stay range-bound)
Volatility trading (IV expansion/contraction)
Hedging (protect portfolios)
Income generation (selling options)
ABLBL | Bullish Divergence Opportunity | Chart Study🔻 Primary Trend
Stock is trading inside a well-defined falling channel (lower highs & lower lows).
Price is currently near the lower channel support, which is a key reaction zone.
🔁 Bullish RSI Divergence
Price: Made a lower low
RSI (14): Formed a higher low
This bullish divergence suggests selling pressure is weakening.
RSI has bounced from oversold zone (~30) and is curling upward.
📉 MACD Observation
MACD remains below zero but:
Histogram selling pressure is reducing
Momentum loss on the downside → early reversal signal (not confirmed yet)
📍 Support Zone
Strong horizontal + channel support around ₹103–105
Multiple reactions from this zone increase its reliability
🎯 Bullish Opportunity Logic (Study only)
Setup favors a technical pullback / relief bounce
Best confirmation would be:
Price holding above support
RSI crossing 40–45
MACD flattening or bullish crossover
📝 Note
This chart is shared purely for educational and technical study purposes.
It is not a recommendation or trading advice. Please do your own analysis.
NIFTY (analysis)NIFTY - Market View
Nifty is back near its recent swing low. The index has broken earlier swing lows and is clearly forming a lower high–lower low (LH–LL) structure on both higher and lower timeframes. This shows that the trend is still weak for now.
Currently, Nifty is trading near the trendline support and also close to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (golden ratio). This zone can act as an important decision area.
If price consolidates here and volatility cools off, there is a probability of a short-term reversal or bounce.
However, if Nifty fails to hold this zone, the next support is likely around 24,580–24,770, which is a deeper Fibonacci retracement area, below that 24330.
At this stage, the market is clearly in wait-and-watch mode.
Aggressively buying small and mid-cap stocks on the first bounce may not work in such conditions.
Let the index stabilise first.
Patience is key.
Follow price, not emotions.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :) in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
PART 2 TECHNNICAL VS. INSTITUTIONALA. Strike Price
The strike price is the predetermined price at which the buyer can buy (CE) or sell (PE) the underlying.
Example:
Nifty Spot = 22,000
You buy Nifty 22,100 CE, meaning you can buy Nifty at 22,100.
B. Premium
Premium is the price you pay (buyer) or receive (seller) to enter the contract. Option prices change based on demand, volatility, time, and underlying movement.
C. Expiry
Options do not last forever. Every option expires:
Weekly (Most popular in Nifty/Bank Nifty)
Monthly
Quarterly (some stocks)
Yearly (LEAPS) in some markets
At expiry, the option will either:
Become In the Money (ITM) → It has intrinsic value.
Become Out of the Money (OTM) → It becomes worthless.
BAJAJCON - This Is What 100 Charts Have Taught MeThis idea is special to me — it marks my 100th idea shared on TradingView.
Over time, charts have taught me one simple truth: price respects structure more than opinions.
BAJAJCON is trading within a well-defined rising channel, a structure that has been respected across multiple market cycles. Each pullback into demand has been followed by recovery, showing controlled participation rather than emotional moves.
The recent move is not random strength. It’s a reaction from the lower trendline, followed by acceptance toward the upper boundary — exactly how healthy trends behave.
This chart reflects my journey as well: fewer predictions, more patience; fewer indicators, more clarity.
Whether price pauses here or expands further, the structure remains intact, and that is what matters most.
XAUUSD (Gold) | Bullish vs Bearish SetupS | 23rd Jan'2026XAU/USD – Key Levels (23 Jan 2026)
Resistance:
* R1: 4975–4985 → Near-term supply
* R2: 5000–5015 → Psychological breakout zone
Support:
* Pivot / Demand Zone: 4940–4955 → Intraday balance
* Primary Support: 4920–4940 → Trend bullish above
* Secondary Support: 4880–4900 → Strong swing support
* Trend Invalidation: 4850 → Break weakens bullish trend
Bullish Swing Setup
* Buy on Dip: 4920–4940 | SL: 4900 | Targets: 4975 → 5000 → 5015
* Breakout Buy: Above 4985 | SL: 4955 | Targets: 5000 → 5030 → 5050
Bearish Swing Setup (Corrective)
* Pullback Sell: Below 4920 | SL: 4940 | Targets: 4880 → 4850 → 4820
* Trend Shift Sell: Break below 4850 | SL: 4880 | Targets: 4800 → 4760
PART 1 TECHNNICAL VS. INSTITUTIONAL What Are Options?
Options are financial derivatives—meaning their value is derived from an underlying asset such as stock, index, commodity, etc. They are contracts between two parties: the option buyer and the option seller (writer).
There are two types of options:
Call Option (CE) – Right to buy the asset at a fixed price.
Put Option (PE) – Right to sell the asset at a fixed price.
The key point:
The buyer has a right but no obligation. The seller has an obligation but no rights.
APLAPOLLO : VCP Breakout with Fundamental ConfirmationInitiated a long position in APLAPOLLO following a high-conviction breakout from a multi-month Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP). Although the price is currently extended from the 20- and 50-day EMAs, the structural strength of the breakout suggests the beginning of a fresh leg in the uptrend.
From a fundamentals perspective, the company continues to deliver strong and consistent sales and EPS growth, reinforcing its positioning as a proxy for India’s infrastructure-led growth cycle.
To manage the risk associated with being extended from the moving averages, I’ve opted for a wider stop-loss, allowing room for short-term volatility or a potential retest of the breakout zone. This approach gives the trade sufficient breathing space while the moving averages gradually catch up to price.
From a broader market standpoint, the recent ~10% correction in ITC following the government’s cigarette tax announcement has created temporary index-level pressure on the Nifty 50. However, this has triggered a clear sectoral rotation rather than broad-based weakness. Capital is rotating out of regulatory-impacted FMCG names and into high-growth industrial leaders like APL Apollo.
Given its insulation from regulatory shocks and its direct linkage to domestic capex growth, APL Apollo is exhibiting strong relative strength even as the broader market remains range-bound.
Initiated the position with 1% risk.
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
BTCUSD – Let the Structure DecidePrice is currently trading inside a well-defined rising channel, where both demand and supply are clearly respected.
This is not random volatility — it’s organized price movement.
After a strong impulsive move, Bitcoin has shifted into a controlled consolidation, allowing the market to absorb supply and reset sentiment. Such phases are essential for any sustainable trend.
At this stage, two scenarios matter:
If price holds the lower channel support, it keeps the structure intact and opens the door for a continuation toward the upper trendline.
If support fails decisively, the next logical area lies at the broader horizontal demand zone below, where higher-timeframe buyers previously stepped in.
This is a wait-and-watch zone, where price behavior near support will decide the next leg — not opinions, news, or emotions.
INDIANB : rear Broadening Wedge Pattern Breakout @ ATHIndian Bank stock is showing a very rear Broadening Wedge Pattern Breakout @ ATH good sign to the stock.. and the noted thing is it's happening on monthly chart ...
All data is available in public domain..
CMP : 646
TG : 890
SL : close Below 9 EMA
Stock's selection based on 5 Point Analysis:
1: Idea : Breakout.
2: Support : Volume, Delivery .
3: Technical : 21/55/200-EMA, Super trend up, RS>0 RSI.
4: Fundamental : PE, PAT, Industry & peer PE and sector performance.
5: Timing : Entry Timing on Daily chart.
Disclaimer : It is my personal view as a trader and for educational purpose only. Equity market involves risk .
Please consult your financial adviser before taking any decision.
SILVER - HEALTHY CONSOLIDATION LONGSSilver doing a healthy consolidation - momentum intact.
very strong support for momentum to continue is $90, belov that momentum vill be lost.
small resistance at $93.50
major resistance at $95.50 - $96
above $96 v should likely test 3digits - $100.
above that vill be a price discovery one can trail at ST 1.5 on 75m chart.






















