SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 11-Dec-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 11 DEC 2025
Sensex closed around 84,376, sitting just above the Opening Support Zone (84,337–84,400) and below the Opening Resistance (84,631).
Price is at a decision point — a breakout on either side will shape the day’s momentum.
Key Levels from Chart:
• Opening Support Zone: 84,337 – 84,400
• Last Intraday Support: 84,107
• Buyer’s Support Zone: 83,486 – 83,526
• Opening Resistance: 84,631
• Last Intraday Resistance: 84,792
• Major Resistance: 85,209
The opening structure will be crucial in determining the direction.
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (300+ points)
A gap-up above 84,650–84,700 places price close to the Opening Resistance (84,631) or above it, creating immediate bullish pressure.
1. If price opens above 84,631 and retests it
• Avoid chasing the first bullish candle.
• Wait for a retest of 84,631 — confirmation via wick rejection, CHoCH or bullish engulfing.
• If retest holds → Long trade becomes valid.
• Targets: 84,792 → 85,000 → 85,209.
• Book partial profits near 84,792 due to past rejection.
2. If price opens directly inside 84,792 (Last Intraday Resistance)
• Avoid fresh long entries — this is a supply zone.
• Look for rejection patterns.
• Short trades activate only if price falls back below 84,631, indicating a failed breakout.
• Downside targets: 84,500 → 84,400.
3. If breakout sustains above 85,209
• Trend-extension day likely.
• Upside targets: 85,350 → 85,420.
• Trail SL aggressively as volatility rises.
📌 Educational Tip:
A gap-up into resistance is risky — institutions often fade the move. Retest-based entries reduce false signal risk.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (around 84,350–84,450)
Price opens inside or near the Opening Support Zone. This creates both opportunity and risk depending on the breakout direction.
1. If price reclaims 84,631 and sustains
• Indicates early strength.
• Long trades activate after breakout + retest of 84,631.
• Targets: 84,792 → 85,000.
2. If price rejects 84,631
• Lower-high structure signals weakness.
• Short trades valid toward 84,400 → 84,337.
• Break below 84,337 further confirms downside momentum.
3. If price remains inside 84,337–84,400
• Expect choppy action. Avoid taking trades in this range.
• Only trade after price exits this zone with confirmation.
📌 Educational Tip:
Flat opens allow the market to reveal true direction. Wait for early swings to complete before entering.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (300+ points)
A gap-down below 84,150–84,200 puts Sensex near last support levels.
1. If price opens near 84,107 (Last Intraday Support)
• Strong buyer responses often occur here.
• Avoid shorting into support.
• Watch for reversal signals (hammer, bullish engulfing).
• If confirmed → Long toward 84,337 → 84,400.
2. If price opens directly inside Buyer’s Support Zone (83,486–83,526)
• This is a powerful demand zone.
• Ideal for high-probability reversal trades.
• Look for bullish structure → Long toward 84,000 → 84,337.
3. If price opens below 83,486 with momentum
• Trend flips bearish.
• Wait for a retest of 83,486 — if rejected → Short continuation toward 83,300–83,250.
• Strict SL is essential due to volatility.
📌 Educational Tip:
Gap-downs into strong support often produce sharp reversals as smart money absorbs panic selling.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid first 5 minutes of trading, especially on gap days.
2. Never buy far OTM options after big gaps — IV crush destroys premium.
3. Use price-action-based SL, not premium SL.
4. Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
5. High IV → Use option selling (credit spreads).
Low IV → Option buying becomes more effective.
6. Book partial profits at important levels:
84,631 / 84,792 / 85,209.
7. Avoid revenge trading — capital safety > profits.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias only above 84,631, with clean targets at 84,792 → 85,000 → 85,209.
• Choppy Zone: 84,337–84,400 (avoid trading inside this).
• High-probability reversal zones:
– 84,107
– 83,486–83,526
• Breakout + retest is the most reliable trade structure.
• Strict risk management is essential due to expanding volatility.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This trading plan is for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Market conditions can change quickly — always use your own judgment and proper risk controls.
Chart Patterns
Natural gas start buy ner 405 -395 SL 385 target 445, 470, 510 Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Natural Gas Futures (MCX) (Dec 2025 Contract)
Price Movement 🟥 Sharp Negative Momentum (LTP \sim ₹404.00/MMBTU / -4.20\% change)
Current Trade 🟥 SHARP SELL / CORRECTION (Testing key demand zone)
SMC Structure 🟨 Correction Phase (Higher High structure challenged; pullback active)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Liquidity Target: Below ₹394.00 / Potential Trap: Aggressive shorting near ₹401.80 (Day's Low/Strong Support)
Probability 🟨 Moderate (60%) for testing the 394.00 level before a bounce.
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Moderate (Weather model changes create high volatility)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Requires latest options data)
DEMA Levels 🟨 Neutral-to-Bearish (Trading near short-term DEMA, but above 200-DEMA)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹401.80 (Day's Low/Immediate Support), S2: ₹394.00 (200-DEMA/Major Structural Support), S3: ₹388.00
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹417.60 (Immediate Pivot/Supply), R2: ₹421.70 (Previous Close), R3: ₹435.00 (Key Weekly Hurdle)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI (14): \sim 45 (Weakening Momentum) / ADX (14): \sim 28 (Trend strength declining)
Market Depth 🟨 N/A (Requires live data feed)
Volatility 🟩 Very High (ATR confirms sharp price swings)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX Futures Data, Dec 10, 2025 Close)
OI 🟥 Long Unwinding (Price decline with a reduction in OI, \sim -5.88\% OI Change in options)
PCR 🟥 Bearish (\sim 0.66) - Calls are dominant, suggesting bearish pressure.
VWAP 🟥 Bearish (Price trading well below short-term VWAP)
Turnover 🟩 High (High volume confirms strong selling pressure)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Focus on weather and storage data)
IV/RV 🟩 Implied Volatility (IV): High (54.78%) / Realized Volatility (RV): High
Options Skew 🟥 Bearish Bias (Calls are trading at higher premiums than Puts)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Block Trades 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish Bias (Long-term positioning still positive, looking for cold weather)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Neutral (Commodity Index-wide selling)
ETF Rotation 🟨 Neutral (Requires specific data)
Sentiment Index 🟥 Fear/Caution (Short-term weather model failure)
OFI 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
Delta 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP Bands 🟥 Bearish (Trading near the lower band)
Rotation Metrics 🟥 Sharp Pullback/Weakness
Market Phase 🟥 Correction/Profit-Booking
Nifty Nifty is sitting at a crucial level once again, taking support near 25,750.
A breakdown below this zone could open the next support area around 25,450–25,350, offering a good short opportunity.
For a long setup, Nifty needs to break above 25,900 with a strong bullish candle.
The first 30-minute candle, followed by a confirming candle, will likely set the direction for the day.
Plan your trades accordingly.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Copper buy on dip given many times now sell for 11 dec fall Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Copper Futures (MCX) (Dec 2025 Contract)
Price Movement 🟥 Negative Momentum (LTP \sim ₹1,079.90/kg / -1.56\% change)
Current Trade 🟨 PULLBACK / BUY ON DIPS (Correction active, trend still up)
SMC Structure 🟨 Corrective Phase (Bullish structure intact, but short-term selling)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Liquidity Target: Below ₹1,070.00 / Potential Trap: Aggressive shorting near ₹1,075.35 (Day's low support)
Probability 🟨 Moderate (60%) for a bounce-back from the ₹1,060 - ₹1,075 range.
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Moderate (Global bullishness vs. short-term profit booking)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish (Price is still over 20/50/100-DEMA, confirming long-term trend)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,075.35 (Day's Low/Immediate Support), S2: ₹1,066.00 (Accumulation Zone), S3: ₹1,055.00 (Key Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,085.97 (Immediate Pivot/Supply), R2: ₹1,093.85 (Previous Day's High), R3: ₹1,103.95 (Current Month High)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14): \sim 65 (Strong, but cooling off) / ADX (14): \sim 35+ (Trend Strength is high)
Market Depth 🟨 N/A (Requires live data feed)
Volatility 🟩 High (ATR is elevated, common during strong trends/corrections)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX Futures Data, Dec 10, 2025 Close)
OI 🟥 Long Unwinding (Price decline with a reduction in OI, \sim -1.62\% OI Change)
PCR 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP 🟥 Bearish (Price trading below short-term VWAP)
Turnover 🟩 High (Active participation in both directions)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Focus on breakout/pullback structure)
IV/RV 🟨 Implied Volatility (IV): High / Realized Volatility (RV): High
Options Skew 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Block Trades 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish Bias (Non-Commercials globally remain net long)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Mixed (Slightly pressured by flat US Dollar, but fundamentally strong)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Bullish (Strong YTD gains and inflows)
Sentiment Index 🟨 Caution (Short-term profit booking)
OFI 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
Delta 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Neutral-to-Bearish (Trading near the lower band)
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Corrective/Profit-Booking
Market Phase 🟨 Pullback/Consolidation
Silver buy given continuesly from 151500 now sell for 11 dec falParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver Futures (MCX) (Mar 2026 Contract)
Price Movement 🟩 Explosive Positive Momentum (LTP \sim ₹1,88,064/kg / +3.48\% change)
Current Trade 🟩 STRONG BUY / PARABOLIC (Trading near All-Time Highs)
SMC Structure 🟩 Explosive/Parabolic Move (Historic breakout above ₹1,90,000)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Liquidity Target: Above ₹1,92,400 / Potential Trap: Aggressive shorting below ₹1,86,600 (Major Support Failure)
Probability 🟩 Very High (85%) for testing ₹1,92,400 - ₹1,95,000.
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 High (Strong technical and fundamental support)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Requires latest options data)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Extreme Bullish (Price is significantly above all major DEMAs)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,86,600 (Immediate Pivot/Key Support), S2: ₹1,85,000 (Psychological Support), S3: ₹1,83,000 (Crucial Short-Term Base)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,90,000 (Psychological/Recent High), R2: ₹1,92,400 (Next Target Zone), R3: ₹1,95,000
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): \sim 75+ (Overbought/Extreme Strength) / ADX (14): \sim 45+ (Extreme Trend Strength)
Market Depth 🟨 N/A (Requires live data feed)
Volatility 🟩 Extremely High (ATR confirms a massive expansion phase)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX Futures Data, Dec 10, 2025 Close)
OI 🟩 High (Long positions are aggressively being built)
PCR 🟥 Extremely Bullish/Overbought (\sim 2.21 - Dec 23 Expiry) - Indicates high Put writing, suggesting traders are heavily positioned for no drop.
VWAP 🟩 Strong Bullish (Price trading significantly above VWAP)
Turnover 🟩 Exceptional (Volume confirms the breakout's validity)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong momentum wave)
IV/RV 🟩 Implied Volatility (IV): Extremely High / Realized Volatility (RV): Record High
Options Skew 🟩 Bullish Bias (Call premiums are high)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Block Trades 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
COT Positioning 🟩 Strong Bullish (Global COT supports long-term structural demand)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive (Inverse correlation with weakening USD Index)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Bullish (Massive ETF inflows)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Euphoria/Greed (Driven by the record breakout)
OFI 🟩 Strong Positive (Institutional Order Flow is positive)
Delta 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP Bands 🟩 Extreme Bullish (Price trading outside the upper band)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Strong Momentum (Highest tier of rotational strength)
Market Phase 🟩 Expansion/Parabolic Uptrend
Gold mcx buy given 121600 now sell for tomorrow 11 dec fall Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Gold Futures (MCX) (Feb 2026 Contract)
Price Movement 🟨 Neutral/Slightly Weak (LTP \sim ₹1,29,760/10g / -0.24\% change)
Current Trade 🟨 BUY ON DIPS / RANGEBOUND (Awaiting global cues)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (Higher Lows ban rahe hain, dip par buying)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Liquidity Target: Below ₹1,29,200 / Potential Trap: Aggressive shorting near ₹1,29,800 (Key Demand Zone)
Probability 🟨 Moderate (65%) for range-bound to positive closing.
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Moderate (High event risk due to US Fed decision)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,27,500 (Current data; Spot se neeche shift, jo Bullish bias confirm karta hai)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish (Price above 50-DEMA and 100-DEMA)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,29,450 (Key Support), S2: ₹1,29,200 (Lower Bollinger/Major Pivot), S3: ₹1,28,750 (Major Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,30,369 (Immediate High/Pivot), R2: ₹1,30,750 (Supply Zone), R3: ₹1,31,450 (Strong Resistance)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14): \sim 50 (Neutral/Sideways Momentum) / ADX (14): \sim 20 (Trend Strength is low)
Market Depth 🟨 N/A (Requires live data feed)
Volatility 🟩 Moderate (ATR steady, but expected volatility high post-Fed)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX Futures Data, Dec 10, 2025)
OI 🟩 Long Build-up (Price & OI dono rise ho rahe hain, Bullish confirmation)
PCR 🟨 Neutral-to-Bullish (\sim 1.05) - Indicates a balanced options market, not overbought.
VWAP 🟨 Neutral (Price trading near/above VWAP)
Turnover 🟩 Very High (High activity confirms strong institutional participation)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong impulse wave, pattern generally ignored)
IV/RV 🟨 Implied Volatility (IV): Firm / Realized Volatility (RV): Moderate
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral-to-Bullish (Requires dedicated data feed)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Block Trades 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish Bias (Global COT data long-term positive)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive (Inverse correlation with USD, Direct with Silver)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Bullish (Global Gold ETF inflows positive)
Sentiment Index 🟨 Caution/Greed (Pre-Fed anxiety, but bullish structural move)
OFI 🟩 Strong Positive (Order Flow indicates accumulation at lower levels)
Delta 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Neutral (Trading within the bands)
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Sideways/Consolidation
Market Phase 🟨 Consolidation/Anticipation
Gold buy dip given now book profit and sell for 11 dec fall Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Gold Futures (GC) (Dec 2025 Contract)
Price Movement 🟨 Neutral-to-Weak (LTP \sim \$4,197.6/oz / -0.22\% change)
Current Trade 🟨 CONSOLIDATION/WAIT (Rangebound near 4,200)
SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation/Higher Lows (Long-term trend intact, short-term chop)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Liquidity Target: Below 4,183.0 / Potential Trap: Aggressive shorting near 4,180 (Strong support zone)
Probability 🟨 Neutral (60%) for a range-bound trade until the Fed announcement.
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Moderate (High uncertainty from upcoming economic event)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Requires latest options data)
DEMA Levels 🟨 Neutral-to-Bullish (Price is above 50-DEMA, but below 5-DEMA)
Supports 🟩 S1: 4,183.0 (Immediate Pivot), S2: 4,159.4 (Key Technical Support), S3: 4,141.0
Resistances 🟥 R1: 4,225.0 (Pivot Resistance), R2: 4,243.4 (Supply Zone), R3: 4,267.0 (Recent Swing High)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14): \sim 57.76 (Neutral) / ADX (14): \sim 23.5 (Low Trend Strength)
Market Depth 🟨 N/A (Live Depth Data Unavailable)
Volatility 🟩 Moderate (ATR is steady, but expected to spike post-Fed)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (COMEX Futures Data, Dec 10, 2025)
OI 🟨 Low (Dec contract OI is 946 units, most volume has shifted to Feb/Mar contracts)
PCR 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP 🟥 Bearish (Price trading below short-term VWAP)
Turnover 🟨 Low (Dec contract Volume is 210 units, volume shifted to further months)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (No clear high-probability pattern active)
IV/RV 🟨 Implied Volatility (IV): High (Reflecting event risk) / Realized Volatility (RV): Moderate
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Block Trades 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish Bias (Non-Commercials remain net long)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Neutral (USD Index flat, but Silver is very strong)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Bullish (Gold ETFs show consistent YTD inflows)
Sentiment Index 🟨 Caution (Pre-Fed anxiety dominates)
OFI 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
Delta 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Neutral (Trading near the center band)
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Sideways (Momentum is flat)
Market Phase 🟨 Consolidation/Uncertainty
Silver buy on dip given now book profit and sell for 11 dec fallParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver Futures (SI) (Mar 2026 Contract)
Price Movement 🟩 Explosive Positive Momentum (LTP \sim \$61.925/oz / +1.78\% change)
Current Trade 🟩 STRONG BUY / EXPANSION (Trading near 52-Week High)
SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish Order Flow (Decisive Breakout and Price Discovery)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Liquidity Target: Above 62.00 / Potential Trap: Aggressive shorting below 61.00 (Breakout Failure)
Probability 🟩 Very High (80%) for testing $62.50 - 63.00 in the near term.
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 High (Strong technicals supported by a weak Dollar)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Strong Bullish (Price comfortably above all short-term DEMAs)
Supports 🟩 S1: 61.130 (Previous 52W High/Pivot), S2: 60.570 (Previous Open), S3: 60.00 (Strong Psychological Demand)
Resistances 🟥 R1: 62.00 (Psychological Barrier), R2: 62.50 (Next Target Zone), R3: 65.00 (Long-Term Technical Target)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): \sim 65-70 (Strong Momentum, approaching Overbought) / ADX (14): \sim 39.492 (Strong Trend Strength)
Market Depth 🟨 N/A (Live Depth Data Unavailable)
Volatility 🟩 High (ATR is elevated, confirming expansion)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (COMEX Futures Data, Updated Dec 10, 2025)
OI 🟨 Neutral (Volume is High, \sim 19,231 contracts, OI data not latest)
PCR 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP 🟩 Bullish (Price trading significantly above VWAP)
Turnover 🟩 High (Active participation in the rally)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (No clear high-probability pattern active)
IV/RV 🟩 Implied Volatility (IV): High (41.85%) / Realized Volatility (RV): High
Options Skew 🟨 Bullish Bias (Call premium total is much higher than Put premium)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
Block Trades 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish Bias (Long positioning still dominates, supporting the move)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive (Inverse correlation with weakening USD Index)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Bullish (Silver ETFs like SLV are showing strong performance: +48.39\% in 3M)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Extremely Optimistic (Breakout fuels euphoria)
OFI 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated institutional data feed)
Delta 🟨 N/A (Requires dedicated options data feed)
VWAP Bands 🟩 Bullish (Price trading outside the upper band, signalling strong move)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Strong Momentum (Impulsive move up)
Market Phase 🟩 Uptrend / Expansion
BALUFORGE – Falling Channel Reversal SetupTimeframe: Daily
Price has been moving in a falling channel for months
Every time it touched the upper trendline, sellers became aggressive 😡
Every time it hit the lower trendline, buyers stepped in with confidence 😊
A strong bullish reversal right at the support line — and volume exploded.
This is the first sign that buyers are gaining strength again.
Break of Structure in Index BANKNIFTYFriends, we have mentioned many times before that when there is a Break of Structure in the index, and if the high and low of the candle that breaks that structure are considered, then if the market moves upwards, approx 3% upside move is observed in the index, and if it breaks downwards, approx 3% downside move is seen.
And this is indicated by the blue line in the chart.This is a standard move that you will frequently see on the index during a break of structure.
Adani Poweronce a beauty , it always is.. or beauty = money maker.
i thought its 120 - 125 zone was or is a sweet spot to enter. somehow i didnt come looking for my chart , but that touch points (135) is worth initiating 1st position.
anyway... 180 is whats going to give it a mega run ! may be a quarter away ? who knows !
Break of Structure & Time Cycle combination in NiftyFriends, we have mentioned many times before that when there is a Break of Structure in the index, and if the high and low of the candle that breaks that structure are considered, then if the market moves upwards, a 3% upside move is observed in the index, and if it breaks downwards, a 3% downside move is seen.
And this is indicated by the blue line in the chart.
And at the same time, you can see its 63- trading days cycle plotted here as well (black lines). By now, you must have understood that the candles of the time cycle, along with their highs and lows, act as support and resistance levels, and we have previously seen the market taking support around this area.
November 17th – this candle's high and low are very vital. The market has not yet broken the low of this candle, and if the market goes down, it might see a reversal near the low of that candle because the 3% move is around 25300.
And you can see we have also plotted the previous swing low here in the preview.
Whether we will see the support levels around 25300 in this area in the coming days, only time will tell. Until then, goodbye, take care, manage your risk while trading, and our main objective is to protect our funds.
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Liquidity Trigger Reversal or 4188 Hold Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (10/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold trades inside a politically-driven liquidity landscape after former U.S. President Donald Trump signaled that rate-cut willingness will be his litmus test for selecting a new Fed Chair.
This comment injects uncertainty into interest-rate expectations, making markets sensitive to any shifts in forward guidance.
Higher-for-longer fears remain intact intraday, keeping gold capped below premium zones while liquidity builds on both edges.
On H1, price is compressing around mid-range with clean liquidity resting at 4232 above and 4188–4190 below—ideal sweep conditions before institutions commit to direction.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Sideways compression after BOS + CHoCH sequence
Key Idea: Expect a sweep above 4230–4232 or below 4190–4188 before true displacement
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180
Institutional Flow Expectation:
sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240
Rules:
✔ Price sweeps the liquidity cluster above 4230
✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Downside BOS + clean bearish displacement
✔ Entry via FVG refill or refined OB retest
Targets:
1. 4212
2. 4200
3. 4190
🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab under 4190–4188
✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH confirms demand takeover
✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4205
2. 4220
3. 4230–4232
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Trump’s remarks may spark abrupt shifts in expectations → avoid entries without BOS + displacement
• Don’t chase candles inside the compression channel
• SL placement must respect structural invalidation
• Reduce exposure if volatility spikes during Fed-related headlines
📍 Summary
Today’s play revolves around two liquidity-driven scenarios:
• A 4232 sweep triggers bearish structure, delivering into 4200 → 4190
or
• A 4188 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS, expanding toward 4220 → 4232
Let structure confirm—SMC is reaction, not prediction. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money breakdowns.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [11/12/2025: Thursday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 11th December 2025. The day is Thursday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red marubozu. Red piercing candle. The green body of the previous month is almost engulfed. It is an inside month so far with a bearish bias. Clear signs of trend reversal. No sign of bullishness. Major resistance is at level 25900. Minor support is at level 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Perfect red marubozu after a red hanging man candle. It's a start of a lower lows and lower highs price structure. A clear breakdown of level 25900 confirms a breakdown from 3 weeks of consolidation. Super strong resistance is at level 25900. A minor support is at level 25700. There is no sign of bullishness. There is a high probability of dropping down to the level 25600 and further below. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
A clear price structure of lower lows and lower highs is visible. Back-2-back 3 days red candle. Today's candle is an improvisation of red marubozu with a long upper wick. A clear sign of heavy selling pressure. Thus, the market is weak. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). A minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is a high probability of the price breaking through the level 25700 to reach the level 25600. There is no sign of bullishness. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
A perfect breakdown from a head and shoulder (H&S) pattern. Price structure has also completed a minor pullback structure after breaking the H&S neck by touching the level 25900. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). Minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, there is a high probability of the price breaking down level 25700 to reach level 25600. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price constructs a higher highs and lower lows structure above the zone (25950 - 25900).
(iii) There is a very low probability of a bullish scenario.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively breaks down level 25700 with a motive of approaching the 25600 level.
(iii) There is a very high probability of a bearish scenario.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800)
Event:
SENSEX weekly expiry plus a high-impact event - FED interest rate decision is on 11/12/2025 (Thursday). Price structure uncertainty is expected.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insight):
(i) The market is clearly bearish. There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, every up move should be doubted. Execute only bearish trades.
(ii) SENSEX weekly expiry and the FED interest rate decision might create high price structure uncertainty. The best time to trade is in the second half or the last hour of the day.
(iii) A very strong resistance zone is (25950 - 25900). Think of bullish trades only when the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the resistance zone. However, the probability is very low.
(iv) Minor support zone is (25750 - 25700). Once price breaks down the level 25700, take bearish trades with the first target to 25600. If the price falls deepens, then the next probable target is 25500.
(v) No trading zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800).
(vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty Defence: Watch for Breakout or Pullback📈 Uptrend still intact but price is consolidating near highs.
📊 Testing key trendline support—will it hold or break? 🤔
🔺 Resistance: 7,634 | 8,135-8,302 | 8,870-9,195
🔻 Support: 7,369 | 6,347-6,707 | 5,025-5,132
🔝 Breakout to 9,195? Or pullback to 6,347? Eyes on the trendline! 👀
#NiftyDefence #IndexAnalysis #Trendline #BreakoutOrBreakdown #Investing #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
The Most Important Bitcoin Level of This Cycle — Don’t Miss It.Bitcoin is once again testing its multi-year rising support trendline, the same zone that has triggered every major rally since 2020. Price has repeatedly formed higher lows, showing that long-term buyers are still defending this structure.
What makes this zone special is the confluence:
A macro rising support trendline that has held for nearly 4 years.
A fresh institutional demand zone between 88k–92k.
Volume spike indicating renewed accumulation.
Rejection from macro rising resistance , resetting liquidity below.
This type of setup usually appears before expansion moves. As long as BTC holds above this macro support, the market continues to favor upside targets:
1st Target: 106,770 (conservative)
2nd Target: 124,250 (mid-term)
3rd Target: 135,800+ (macro breakout zone)
But here’s the key point:
A clean breakdown below the structure would delay the bullish cycle, until then, dips into the demand zone remain high-probability accumulation opportunities for long-term traders.
History rarely repeats perfectly…
but it often rhymes, and BTC is back at the same place where big moves begin.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Markets can change quickly always manage risk, do your own research, and trade according to your plan.
Simple Triangle Pattern on a Monthly Time FrameOverview -
This monthly chart illustrates a symmetrical triangle pattern defined by a series of higher lows and relatively stable swing highs, framed by a green ascending trendline and a red counter-trendline. The structure is presented in an observational manner to highlight how price has evolved within these converging boundaries over an extended period.
Triangle structure -
1.The green line represents the primary trendline, drawn from successive higher swing lows where price has repeatedly found support and turned back up. Each time price touches or approaches this green line, the contact is marked with a blue upward arrow box to emphasize how buyers have consistently responded around this rising level. Together, these points of contact visually document the stepping pattern of higher lows that contributes to the lower boundary of the triangle.
2.The red line acts as the counter-trendline, connecting multiple prominent swing highs where upward movement has stalled and reversed. Blue downward arrow boxes are placed at these touchpoints to highlight how price has respected this sloping resistance zone over time. The repeated interaction with the red line shows how sellers have been active around this upper boundary, creating a series of contained pushes to the upside.
Understanding -
The overall construction emphasizes how multiple touches on both the trendline (T) and counter-trendline (CT) are used to validate the presence of this symmetrical triangle. Rather than focusing on any single candle, the chart showcases the cumulative behaviour of price over many months, making it a useful visual example for studying how support and resistance can evolve into a geometric pattern on a higher time frame.
Disclaimer: This description is purely educational and observational, intended to explain chart structure and pattern formation. It does not constitute investment advice, trade recommendations, or any suggestion to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
Inverse head and shoulder formed in reddington1. Inverse head and shoulder formation on Support levels showing buyers will take control from here
2. With minimum downside one can watch for long upside movement shown as target zone on charts
3. The strong movement has shown after result which tells us if movement continues then target may come soon
4. SL is strict as if move fails then not giving chance to get trapped
BTC: Liquidity Sweep SetupBTC: Liquidity Sweep Setup
Bitcoin continues to operate inside a broad equilibrium zone after completing a prolonged downward phase earlier in the month. The decline lost momentum as price entered a high-participation area, where trading activity became increasingly balanced and rotational. Since then, the market has developed a wide consolidation band, signaling a temporary standoff between directional conviction and liquidity accumulation.
Recent sessions show price repeatedly rotating through the center of this zone, forming alternating impulses that lack continuation. This pattern reflects a market focused on collecting orders rather than trending. Each short-lived push quickly transitions back into the range, indicating absorption on both sides and limited willingness from participants to sustain directional movement.
The lower portion of the range has begun attracting more activity, suggesting interest from larger players seeking efficient fill zones before any expansion. Price behaviour here is characterized by controlled sweeps, shallow recoveries, and frequent re-tests of the mid-band — signs of liquidity harvesting rather than aggressive distribution.
Forward behaviour on the chart implies that the market may first dip into the lower liquidity pocket to finalize order collection. Once this pocket is satisfied, conditions become favourable for a transition into an expansion phase targeting the upper boundary of the current equilibrium. This type of structure is common before major repricing, as it reflects the buildup of untriggered positions awaiting execution.
Overall, Bitcoin is in a preparation phase where energy is being stored, volatility is compressing, and liquidity is reorganizing. The next significant development is likely to emerge once the market completes its sweep of inefficient areas inside the range and finds a stable base for expansion.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in DOLATALGO
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%






















