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XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1💛 XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1, AWAITING A NEW BREAKOUT THIS WEEK 🎯 🌤 Overview of the New Week Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 Gold, after a very strong rise from the 3,500 region to above 4,400, is entering a "resting" phase on the D1 frame: the price continuously tests the upward trendline but has not yet broken it to confirm a downtrend. The market is clearly waiting for a real breakout before forming a new medium-term wave. Next week, we have CPI and PPI – important inflation data that could act as a catalyst to push gold out of the current accumulation zone. 💹 Technical Analysis (Daily Triangle) On the D1 frame, when connecting the descending peaks and ascending bottoms, gold is in a narrowing triangle pattern. The upward trendline below is still maintained, indicating that the medium-term trend has not reversed. Below are important zones: ≈ 3,890: if the price closes below this area, it could confirm medium-term weakening. Fibonacci & psychological resistance zone 3,800–3,900: strong support, confluence with old price structure. POC Volume Profile around 3,650: if a deep decline scenario occurs, this will be the next price attraction zone. Above, the old peak zone around 4,300–4,400 remains a large liquidity zone, a natural target if gold breaks the upper edge of the triangle. In summary: the more compressed the triangle, the stronger the breakout – the direction will depend heavily on CPI/PPI data & Fed expectations. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan (Medium-Term) 💖 Scenario 1 – Maintain Uptrend (priority when the trendline is not broken) Observe the reaction at the D1 upward trendline (area around 4,000). If the price continuously bounces from the trendline and stays above the 3,890 area, you can: Prioritize buying according to the trend at support retests on H4–H1. Medium-term targets: 4,150 → 4,250 → 4,300–4,400 if the triangle breaks upwards. 💢 Scenario 2 – Triangle Breaks, Shifts to Medium-Term Decline If D1 closes below 3,890: Consider this a signal confirming medium-term weakening. Prioritize selling at newly formed resistance zones. Step-by-step targets: 3,800 → 3,700 (POC) → 3,500 (strong previous support). In both scenarios, specific entry points should be refined on smaller frames (H4, H1) based on price action/OB/FVG. ⚠️ Note News & Risk Management Next week's CPI & PPI could be the "final blow," pushing gold out of the triangle – volatility can be wide and fast, spreads may widen. Last week's NFP news hardly created big waves for gold after the US government shutdown, indicating the market is holding strength waiting for more important data. 🌷 Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold on D1 is in the final stage of the accumulation triangle – this is a time where patient observation is as important as a beautiful entry point 💛 Next week, I will continue to update daily details on smaller frames so everyone can have more specific entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
STOP SCROLLING: BITCOIN TECHNICAL ALERT (3-Year Support Break)🚨 STOP SCROLLING: BITCOIN TECHNICAL ALERT (3-Year Support Break) 🚨 Bitcoin has broken a long-term support channel that’s been respected since 2022. That multi-year channel support was around $108,000 and I warned there to protect capital and trade safe. Result: Breakdown. ✅ BTC dumped over -25% ✅ Now trading near $83,000 Structure Still Bearish Trend remains bearish unless BTC reclaims the broken channel. A Relief bounce is still possible toward: $93,000 / $98,000 But treat that as corrective unless structure flips. Major Support: $69,000 is a critical level, Last bull-run ATH and strong demand zone. Watch it closely. If This Channel Break Plays Out Fully… As a Technical Analyst, I can’t sugar-coat the math. When a multi-year channel breaks, the natural downside targets usually align with major Fibonacci retracement zones: Deep Retracement Targets (Bear Case) 0.5 Fib: $44,193 (~60% probability) 0.618 Fib: $34,500 (~30% probability) 0.718 Fib: $24,250 (~10% probability) These aren’t fantasies. They’re standard TA outcomes after this type of structural failure. Important: This Is Not Panic I’m not here to spread fear. I’m here to state what the chart is objectively signaling. Markets don’t move on hope, They move on structure, liquidity, and trend mechanics. If price goes into that 0.5–0.718 Fib zone, it would be painful short-term… but also a once-in-cycle accumulation window for long-term holders. CryptoPatel Note: Believe me, I want BTC at $1M+ in the future. But wanting isn’t analysis. My job is to map both paths: bullish and bearish, Before they happen. Save this post. Mark the levels. Trade safe. Because when a 3-year support breaks, the market doesn’t whisper, it screams. NFA & DYOR
Short
by CryptoPatel
Cryptocurrency as a Digital AssetUnderstanding Cryptocurrency as a Digital Asset A digital asset is anything stored electronically that can provide value. Examples include images, documents, software, and digital currencies. Cryptocurrency falls within this category but stands apart because it is programmable, transferable, scarce, and secured through cryptographic algorithms. A cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses blockchain technology and cryptography to secure transactions, verify ownership, and regulate the creation of new units. Unlike traditional money issued by governments (called fiat currency), cryptocurrencies are usually decentralized, meaning no single authority controls them. The idea behind cryptocurrency is to create a trustless system, where people can transact securely without needing banks, payment processors, or intermediaries. Key Features of Cryptocurrency 1. Decentralization Most cryptocurrencies operate on a distributed network of computers (nodes) worldwide. Instead of being stored on one central server, the entire ledger of transactions is shared among thousands of participants. This decentralized nature: Reduces the risk of manipulation Prevents single points of failure Makes the system transparent and censorship-resistant Bitcoin, for example, is maintained by a network of miners and nodes spread across the globe rather than by any government or corporation. 2. Blockchain Technology Blockchain is the underlying technology that makes cryptocurrencies possible. It is a chain of blocks, where each block contains: Transaction data A timestamp A cryptographic hash Once data is added to the blockchain, it becomes nearly impossible to alter, ensuring immutability and security. Blockchain acts as a public ledger. Anyone can view transactions, but identities are hidden behind cryptographic addresses, offering both transparency and privacy. 3. Cryptographic Security Cryptocurrencies use advanced cryptography to secure transactions and control the creation of new units. Public-key cryptography ensures that: You can share your public address safely Only you can spend your funds using your private key The private key acts as a digital signature, proving ownership of the asset. 4. Limited Supply and Scarcity Many cryptocurrencies have a fixed supply, which gives them scarcity—one of the key factors that drive value. For example: Bitcoin has a maximum supply of 21 million coins This scarcity creates a digital form of gold In contrast, fiat currencies can be printed endlessly, causing inflation. Limited supply helps certain cryptocurrencies hold value over time. 5. Peer-to-Peer Transactions Cryptocurrency enables direct transactions between users without intermediaries. This: Reduces transaction fees Speeds up cross-border payments Increases accessibility for the unbanked population A Bitcoin transaction can be sent across continents within minutes, regardless of banking systems or government restrictions. Types of Cryptocurrencies Cryptocurrencies can be classified based on their purpose and technology. 1. Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Gold Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency, introduced in 2009 by the anonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. Its main purpose is to act as: A store of value A medium of exchange A hedge against inflation Bitcoin is often referred to as digital gold due to its scarcity and decentralized nature. 2. Altcoins – Alternatives to Bitcoin Thousands of cryptocurrencies followed Bitcoin, called altcoins. Examples include: Ethereum (ETH): A blockchain that supports smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps) Ripple (XRP): Focused on fast and cheap international payments Litecoin (LTC): Faster and lighter version of Bitcoin Each altcoin has unique features or improvements over Bitcoin. 3. Stablecoins Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is pegged to stable assets like the US Dollar or gold. Examples: USDT (Tether) USDC (USD Coin) They are widely used in trading and decentralized finance because they reduce price volatility. 4. Tokenized Assets and Utility Tokens Many blockchains allow digital assets to be created on top of them. These tokens represent: Access to services (utility tokens) Ownership in projects (security tokens) Real-world assets like real estate or stocks Tokenization expands the use of blockchain beyond currency. How Cryptocurrency Works as a Digital Asset 1. Creation of New Units New cryptocurrency units are created in different ways: Mining: Solving complex mathematical problems (Bitcoin, Litecoin) Staking: Locking cryptocurrency to validate transactions (Ethereum 2.0, Cardano) Algorithmic issuance: Based on demand and supply mechanisms Mining and staking secure the network and process transactions. 2. Storing Cryptocurrency Cryptocurrencies are stored in digital wallets, which can be: Hot wallets: Connected to the internet (mobile or desktop apps) Cold wallets: Offline storage (hardware wallets or paper wallets) Wallets store private keys, not the coins themselves. 3. Transferring Ownership A cryptocurrency transaction involves: Sending funds from one address to another Verifying the transaction through miners or validators Adding it to the blockchain This digital transfer of ownership is secure, fast, and irreversible. Why Cryptocurrency Has Value Cryptocurrency holds value due to several factors: 1. Scarcity Fixed supply creates demand over time. 2. Utility Smart contracts and decentralized applications give certain cryptocurrencies real-world use cases. 3. Decentralization People value assets not controlled by governments. 4. Trustless System Blockchain eliminates the need for middlemen. 5. Global Acceptance Businesses, investors, and governments are increasingly adopting cryptocurrencies. Advantages of Cryptocurrency as a Digital Asset Borderless transactions Lower fees compared to traditional banking Secure and transparent system 24/7 market accessibility High liquidity in major coins Supports financial inclusion Cryptocurrencies also introduce entirely new industries: Decentralized finance (DeFi) Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) Web3 applications Risks and Challenges Despite advantages, cryptocurrencies face risks: Price volatility Regulatory uncertainties Scams and hacks Loss of private keys leading to loss of funds Awareness and proper risk management are essential. Conclusion Cryptocurrency, as a digital asset, represents a major shift in how value is created, stored, and transferred. Powered by blockchain technology, it enables decentralized trust, global accessibility, and programmable financial systems that challenge traditional banking models. While it offers immense opportunities, it also requires careful understanding due to its risks and evolving regulatory landscape. As technology matures, cryptocurrency is likely to play an even greater role in global finance and digital ownership systems.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Plan your trades and trade your plan1. Why Planning Matters in Trading Trading without a plan is like entering a battlefield without a strategy. Markets are unpredictable, influenced by global events, economic data, institutional activity, and trader psychology. Without a plan, emotions such as fear, greed, and impatience take over, resulting in poor decisions. A well-crafted trading plan helps you: Reduce emotional decision-making Identify high-probability setups Manage risks professionally Improve consistency Evaluate and improve your performance over time Planning creates a roadmap. Instead of reacting impulsively, you follow a set of rules designed specifically for your trading style and risk tolerance. 2. Define Your Trading Goals Every trader must begin with clear goals. Ask yourself: Do you want steady short-term gains or long-term wealth building? Are you trading to supplement income or become a full-time trader? What is your acceptable level of risk? Setting goals helps determine the market you trade, your strategy, time commitment, and expectations. For example: Intraday traders focus on daily volatility and need quick decisions. Swing traders hold trades for days or weeks. Positional traders rely more on long-term charts and fundamental strength. Your trading plan should reflect your goals and lifestyle. If you cannot monitor markets all day, intraday trading is unsuitable; swing or positional trading is better. 3. Choose Your Market and Instruments Planning involves knowing what you will trade: Stocks Indices (Nifty, Bank Nifty) Commodities (Gold, Crude oil) Forex Crypto Futures & Options Each market behaves differently. For example, Bank Nifty is highly volatile and suits active traders, while large-cap stocks suit long-term positional trades. By focusing on a specific market, you develop familiarity and improve accuracy. 4. Develop a Strategy Your trading plan must include a clear strategy with defined rules. A strategy answers: When to enter When to exit How to manage risk How to manage position size For example, a simple breakout strategy may include: Setup: Stock consolidates near resistance Entry: Buy above breakout candle high Stop-loss: Below consolidation zone Target: 1:2 or 1:3 risk–reward ratio Alternatively, a swing strategy might use: Moving averages RSI divergence Candlestick confirmation Support/resistance zones The key is not the complexity of the strategy, but consistency in applying it. 5. Set Clear Entry and Exit Rules No trade should be taken without predefined rules. Entry Rules An entry rule should be objective. Example: Price closes above 20-day high Volume is above average RSI crosses above 50 Trend is supported by higher highs and higher lows Entry should never be based on rumors, tips, or fear of missing out. Exit Rules A disciplined trader exits based on: Pre-set stop-loss Target levels Trail stop-losses Trend reversals Exit rules prevent emotional decisions. Even if the market reverses, you stick to your plan. 6. Risk Management: The Heart of Planning Risk management decides whether you survive in the market. Many traders lose money because they ignore this step. Key Components of Risk Management a) Stop-Loss A stop-loss is mandatory for every trade. It limits the loss when the market moves against you. b) Position Size Never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade. Example: If your capital is ₹1,00,000, risk per trade should be ₹1,000–₹2,000. c) Risk–Reward Ratio A healthy risk–reward ratio (RRR) ensures long-term success. Minimum acceptable ratio: 1:2 Meaning: If you risk ₹100, aim to earn ₹200 Good traders focus on trades with high RRR instead of trying to win every trade. 7. Market Analysis Before Entering Before you take a trade, analyze: a) Trend Trade with the trend: Uptrend → Look for long positions Downtrend → Look for shorts or avoid longs b) Support and Resistance Identify levels where price is likely to react. c) Volume Analysis Volume confirms the strength of the move. d) Chart Patterns Double bottoms, flags, triangles, and head & shoulders provide high-probability setups. e) Candlestick Patterns Hammers, engulfing candles, and dojis offer confirmation signals. 8. Maintain a Trading Journal A trading plan is incomplete without a trading journal. Record: Date and time Entry and exit Stop-loss and targets Reason for trade Emotions before and after Outcome and learnings A journal reveals patterns in your behaviour—emotional trades, overtrading, revenge trading—and helps improve performance. 9. Avoid Emotional Trading Emotions destroy consistency. Common emotional mistakes include: Fear of missing out (FOMO) Greed (holding too long) Fear (exiting too early) Revenge trading Overconfidence after a winning streak Your goal is to follow your plan, not your feelings. With a plan, you avoid impulse trades and maintain discipline. 10. Backtest and Practise Your Trading Plan Before using real money, test your strategy on historical data. Backtesting helps determine: Profitability Accuracy Maximum drawdown Risk–reward performance Paper trading (demo trading) strengthens confidence and skill before risking capital. 11. Review and Improve Your Plan Regularly Markets evolve. A trading plan should be dynamic. Review monthly or quarterly: Win-loss ratio Average return Maximum loss Psychological mistakes Strategy performance Adjust your plan when necessary. Improvements may include: Better entries Tighter stop-loss Reduced position size Using trailing stops Focusing on fewer, higher-quality setups 12. Final Thoughts: Discipline Creates Success A well-crafted trading plan is your foundation. Everything else—charts, indicators, and setups—comes secondary. A plan helps you stay consistent, disciplined, and focused. Remember: You cannot control the market You can control your behaviour The most successful traders are not those with the most complex indicators, but those who follow their plan with discipline every single day.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Indian Brokerage Explained1. Role of a Brokerage Firm in India A brokerage firm acts as a bridge between retail or institutional investors and stock exchanges like NSE (National Stock Exchange) and BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange). Because individuals cannot directly trade on these exchanges, brokers are required. Their core functions include: a) Trade Execution They execute buy and sell orders in the equity cash market and derivatives market. They provide order types like market orders, limit orders, stop-loss, and bracket orders. b) Providing Trading Platforms Today's Indian brokers provide high-speed, user-friendly trading platforms accessible through: Mobile apps Desktop software Web-based trading interfaces Advanced brokers also offer: Algo trading APIs Charting tools Option chain and strategy builders c) Acting as Depository Participants (DPs) Most brokers partner with NSDL or CDSL to manage Demat accounts, where shares are held electronically. They handle: Share allocation Dematerialization Pay-in and pay-out of securities d) Providing Research and Advisory Traditional brokers offer: Equity research Stock recommendations Trading calls IPO analysis Discount brokers usually offer minimal research but strong tools. e) Risk Management & Margin Brokers monitor: Margin requirements Exposure Leverage Intraday positions Overnight risk They ensure compliance with SEBI and exchange rules to protect investors. 2. Types of Brokers in India Indian brokerage houses can broadly be classified into discount brokers and full-service brokers. A. Discount Brokers Discount brokers provide low-cost execution with minimal advisory. They became extremely popular post-2015 due to companies like Zerodha, Upstox, Groww, and Angel One (new model). Key features: Lowest brokerage costs Fast, stable trading platforms DIY (Do-It-Yourself) investing No personal advisory High focus on technology and analytics Best for: Intraday traders F&O traders Tech-savvy investors Cost-conscious investors Examples: Zerodha, Upstox, Groww, 5Paisa, Angel One (modified model). B. Full-Service Brokers Full-service brokers offer research, advisory, RM support, branch presence, and wealth management. Examples include: ICICI Direct HDFC Securities Kotak Securities Sharekhan Motilal Oswal Key features: High-quality research reports Relationship managers Portfolio management services Offline and online support Best for: Long-term investors High-net-worth individuals Investors who need guidance Full-service brokers charge higher fees, often a percentage of the traded value. 3. Brokerage Charges & Revenue Model Brokerage firms in India earn through various charges: 1) Brokerage Fees This is the primary earning method. Discount brokers: Typically charge ₹0 on delivery and ₹20 per executed order on intraday or F&O. Full-service brokers: Charge 0.25% to 0.50% on equity delivery and 0.03% to 0.05% on intraday. 2) Account Opening & AMC Most brokers charge: Demat AMC: ₹300–₹700/year Trading account opening: ₹0–₹500 Some waive these charges for promotions. 3) Margin/Interest Income Brokers earn interest on: Margin funding Pledging shares for collateral Short-term borrowing for leverage Margin funding is a major revenue stream. 4) Platform Fees Some brokers charge for: Advanced charting (optional) Algo APIs Add-on research packages 5) Distribution Fees Full-service brokers earn commissions by selling: Mutual funds Insurance products Bonds and NPS PMS/AIF products 4. Trading Platforms in Indian Brokerage Modern Indian brokers focus heavily on technology. Good trading platforms must offer stability, speed, and analytics. Common features: Real-time market data Advanced charting (candlestick, indicators) Option chain & Greek analysis Margin calculators Backtesting tools Algo trading APIs Portfolio analytics Leading platforms include: Zerodha Kite Upstox Pro Groww App Angel One App ICICI Direct Neo Sharekhan TradeTiger These platforms have revolutionized retail participation. 5. Key Accounts You Need for Trading To trade in the Indian market, three accounts are required: 1) Bank Account For adding and withdrawing funds. 2) Trading Account Used to place buy/sell orders. 3) Demat Account Used to store shares electronically. Most brokers offer a combined 2-in-1 or 3-in-1 account structure. 6. Regulators and Compliance Indian brokerage firms operate under strict regulations to protect investors. Key Regulators: 1) SEBI Securities and Exchange Board of India ensures: Fair trading practices Capital adequacy of brokers Fraud prevention Investor protection 2) Stock Exchanges (NSE & BSE) Ensure order execution, real-time monitoring, and compliance. 3) Depositories (NSDL & CDSL) Manage electronic share holding and transfer. Broker Safety Measures (Mandatory): Segregation of client funds and broker funds Daily margin reporting Pledge-repledge system Surveillance and risk management Investor complaint mechanisms 7. How Trading Works Through a Broker (Step-by-Step) Here is the complete flow of a trade in the Indian market: Trader places order on the app. Broker sends order to exchange. Exchange matches order with a counterparty. Trade is executed; confirmation sent to broker and trader. Funds or shares are blocked immediately. At end of day, settlement happens (T+1) Shares move to Demat account Funds move from bank Contract note sent to investor. Brokers upload data to CDSL/NSDL. This system ensures transparency and security. 8. Evolution of Indian Brokerage In the last decade, the Indian brokerage market has undergone massive transformation: Earlier Era (Before 2010) High brokerage charges Offline trading through call & trade Low retail participation Tech Era (2015–Present) Zero-brokerage delivery Mobile apps & APIs Algo trading for retail Massive growth in F&O trading Millions of new traders The competition has forced brokers to continuously innovate, improving user experience and reducing fees. 9. Choosing the Right Broker in India When selecting a broker, consider: A. Charges Low brokerage matters for active traders. B. Platform Quality Stable apps reduce slippage and errors. C. Customer Support Quick issue resolution is crucial. D. Margin & Leverage Different brokers offer varying margin requirements. E. Product Variety Stocks F&O Commodities Currency Mutual funds F. Safety & Reputation Select SEBI-registered brokers with strong track records. Conclusion The Indian brokerage ecosystem is robust, transparent, and technologically advanced. With discount brokers reducing costs and full-service brokers offering strong research, investors have ample choices. Regulatory bodies like SEBI and exchanges maintain strict controls to ensure safety and fairness. Whether you are a beginner or a seasoned trader, understanding how brokers work helps you navigate the financial markets effectively and make better trading decisions.
BSE:BANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
NIFTY- VCP BreakoutThe Setup: Low-Risk Launchpad The Nifty 50 Index has formed the Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) at its all-time high. A strong close above the pivot is required for further trend confirmation. VCP Structure: The index formed a large base (similar to a Cup-with-Handle) that demonstrated several phases of tightening volatility, culminating in a very tight, low-risk consolidation (the final VCP/Handle) just below the ₹26,282 pivot. Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively cleared the ₹26,000 resistance, and the subsequent minor consolidation is occurring above this pivot, confirming the former resistance as new strong support. Structural Health: The index remains above all rising major moving averages, indicating exceptional underlying strength and institutional control. The Strategy The primary strategy is to maintain a bullish bias and use minor pullbacks as opportunities to add to leading stocks. Actionable Zone: The current consolidation area, just above the ₹26,282 breakout level, is the re-entry window. Continuation Pivot: A decisive weekly close above ₹26,068 (the recent high) would signal the acceleration of the momentum. Risk Management: The immediate risk point is the breakdown of the former pivot. Place a structural stop for market hedges or portfolio risk management below ₹25,250 - ₹25,500. Conclusion The Nifty 50 is technically poised for sustained upside into new price discovery territory, with the VCP breakout providing strong conviction in the continuation of the primary trend.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sudhi4488
EURUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Weekly bias: Bearish Daily bias: Bearish 4H intraday trend: Bearish I’ll wait for price to reject from my marked zone. If the rejection holds, I’ll position myself for a short.
Short
by okako_trading
weekly candle relief || BTCThe market is correcting, not crashing, and is currently positioned at a critical decision zone. As long as $70K holds, the bull market structure remains intact, with a potential upside resumption expected in 2025, provided the support continues to hold. The EMA 100 (Weekly) is currently around $85,400, with price sitting just below it—indicating short-term weakness. A reclaim of this level would be strongly bullish. We can also observe a long weekly hammer candle forming over the past couple of weeks, with its low testing the $70K level. If this support fails, the market may continue to experience extended downside pressure, with no clear end to the current bearish phase Disclaimer- This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making any trading or investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by nikhilvishwakarma322
BITCOIN NEED BREATHE CRYPTO:BTCUSD BTC need take relief of selling because selling is continuously happened so one little bounce is possible and that bounce works as retest of channel breakdown. Reverse Scenario: Formation of any bottom pattern V shape recovery Long consolidation after with volume brake out. All chances is possible but there are low possibility 🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) ⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion 👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀” 💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Jatin109
Gold is compressed; next week’s US data will pick a side.Gold is being compressed, the upcoming US data week will determine which side is squeezed. Good evening everyone, Brian here with a view on XAUUSD on the H2 and H4 frames for the upcoming week. Fundamental Analysis – a "tailor-made" week for the USD Next week is packed with US data, meaning gold will react more to numbers than narratives: Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales Initial Unemployment Claims Prelim GDP q/q Core PCE Price Index m/m – the Fed's preferred inflation measure If inflation and growth come out weak, the market will lean more towards the slow growth / easing policy narrative. This usually puts pressure on the USD and supports gold, especially when real yields gradually decrease. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data will strengthen the USD, increase yields, and create short-term downward pressure on gold. In such a context, price and liquidity areas around news release times will be more important than usual – typically, fading emotional spikes back to structural areas is safer than chasing the initial move. Technical Analysis – triangle, FVG, and key support areas On the H4 frame, gold is still trading within a broad triangle structure. The previous decline has stalled, with prices continuously reacting at the upward support line and around 4,000, but there has yet to be a clear breakout from the pattern. When zooming into H1–H2: The price has broken a short-term downtrend line and closed strongly above – this is an early signal that selling pressure in this move is weakening. The nearest support is around 4050–4040, deeper is the 4000–3998 support band (marked on the chart as important support). As long as it holds above 4,000, the structure remains positive. Above, we have a very important confluence area around 4135–4160 including: Fibo 0.382 of the most recent main decline An old fair value gap (FVG) and resistance block Chart note: "Gold will go strong if it passes this price range" – aligns with my view: if the price accepts above this area, the potential for a stronger upward move will open up. Around 4100 is an area prone to "large liquidity response" – expect strong profit-taking and position restructuring if the price returns to this area. Currently, I consider the market to be accumulating above 4,000 in a corrective pattern, with a slight upward bias as long as 4,000 is maintained. Key Price Areas Resistance: 4100 – first liquidity area 4135–4160 – Fibo 0.382 + FVG + strong resistance Support: 4050–4040 – nearest intraday support 4000–3998 – large frame support; if broken, the picture changes 3940 area – stronger support if 4k is breached Trading Scenarios for Next Week (All are for reference only, not investment advice.) Scenario 1 – Buy when price corrects above 4,000 (foundation for the next upward wave) Idea: follow the forming upward bias as the price respects the triangle support and the 4,000 mark. Entry area: 4050–4040 or any clean retest of the broken downtrend line on smaller frames Cautious position addition area: 4025–4005 if there is a deep sweep to 4,000 with a strong bounce reaction Stop loss: below 3990–3988 depending on risk appetite Targets: First: 4100 (liquidity area) Second: 4135–4140 (lower edge of FVG/resistance) Extended: 4155–4160 if a strong continuation move appears Signals to wait for: wick rejections from support, bullish engulfing candles, or clear intraday structural phase shifts to higher highs and lows. Scenario 2 – Break & Retest Long above 4135–4140 If the price doesn't give a deep correction and runs straight up: Condition: H2/H4 candle closes clearly above 4135–4140 and holds on retest Entry: when price pulls back in a controlled manner to the 4135–4140 area, turning this area from resistance to support SL: below 4120 TP: 4180 → 4200+ depending on momentum strength This is the "gold goes strong" scenario as noted on the chart – viewing the FVG/0.382 area as a launchpad for a larger impulsive upward wave. Scenario 3 – Bearish scenario if 4,000 is broken If fundamentals and flows turn against gold, decisively pushing the price below 4,000, the bullish view needs to be set aside. Condition: daily candle closes clearly below 4000–3998 Plan: wait for the price to retrace up to retest 4000–4020 from below Entry: short when rejection signals appear at that retest area TP: 3960 → 3940, then reassess the structure When below 4,000, the triangle will break down, and the market is likely to hunt deeper liquidity areas before potentially forming a new medium-term upward wave. In summary: as long as 4,000 holds, I prioritize the buy scenario on corrections, respecting the upward potential to 4135–4160 and beyond. If there is a decisive break below 4,000, the picture will reverse – then retracements up will be opportunities to look for shorts. Trade according to what the structure shows, not what I hope for. Manage risk tightly around next week's data points and let the major price areas "do the heavy lifting." If this perspective helps you plan better, don't forget to follow Brian for weekly gold analysis and share your scenarios in the comments to compare.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Inverted Head and Shoulders - Bullish Setup🔎 Overview The Inverted Head & Shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It signals that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are gradually gaining control. The structure has three major lows: Left Shoulder, Head (deepest low), and Right Shoulder — followed by a breakout above the Neckline, confirming a trend shift to the upside. ────────────────────────────────────────── 🛠 How the Pattern Forms 1️⃣ Left Shoulder • Price creates a swing low, then bounces. • This marks the first buyer reaction in the downtrend. 2️⃣ Head (Deepest Low) • Price drops below the Left Shoulder to form a deeper low. • Sellers try to extend the downtrend, but strong buying absorbs the pressure. • This creates the “Head” — the lowest point in the structure. 3️⃣ Right Shoulder • Price rises from the Head, pulls back again, but forms a higher low • This higher low signals seller weakness and early buyer dominance. 4️⃣ Neckline Formation • Draw a line connecting the highs of the Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder. • This Neckline acts as the main breakout level confirming the reversal. ────────────────────────────────────────── 🛠 How to Use the Pattern ✔ Validation (Breakout Confirmation) • The pattern is confirmed only when a Successive candles closes above the Neckline / Validation Line. • This breakout indicates momentum shift → buyers take control. • Entries can be taken on breakout or retest. ✔ Devalidation (Failure Protection) • If price closes below the Devalidation Line , the pattern becomes invalid. • This protects traders from false breakouts or premature entries. ────────────────────────────────────────── 📊 Chart Explanation Left Shoulder (0.45101) → First swing low where buyers responded. Head (0.44742) → Deepest low where strong accumulation occurred. Right Shoulder (0.44966) → Higher low showing seller exhaustion. Neckline → Connects highs of both shoulders; main breakout resistance. Validation Line → Breakout zone; closing above confirms bullish pattern. Devalidation Line → Close below invalidates the pattern and stops the setup. ────────────────────────────────────────── 🟢 Summary • Classic bullish reversal structure after a downtrend. • Head forms the deepest low → buyers accumulate heavily. • Right Shoulder forms higher low → sellers lose steam. • Breakout above Neckline confirms shift from sellers → buyers. • Devalidation line protects against false signals. ────────────────────────────────────────── ⚠️ Disclaimer 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation. 🧠 Purely a learning resource. 📊 Not Financial Advice.
Education
by MarketAlgoBot
1
Possibility Due To Weak TrendTrend Started Became Weak I already for daytime frame this 4h time frame channel breakdown already happened may take support from fib level 0.6 but possible to maybe price come to 0.7 level easily. Reverse Scenario: Break his channel high price level 🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) ⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion 👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀” 💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free) BINANCE:STRKUSDT
CRYPTO:STRKSUSDShort
by Jatin109
STRK Wait & Watch Situation BINANCE:STRKUSDT Trend after retracement but retracement looks weak because price break already breaks major support, but candle is not closed so, confirmation is still pending. 4H chart show channel breaks down. That also show negativity but still day time frame is running 🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) ⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion 👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀” 💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
CRYPTO:STRKSUSD
by Jatin109
Gold is stuck in a wide range, ready for a decisive break.Good evening traders, Brian here with a fresh look at gold on the 2-hour chart. Price is compressing in a broad sideways range, building energy for the next leg – the break from this structure will set the tone for the coming sessions. Fundamental analysis The core driver remains the Fed’s December decision. The market is effectively split on whether we see a cut or a delay: A camp of institutions argues that rising unemployment and softer data could still justify a 25-basis-point cut in December, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting gold on dips. Others point out that the Fed is short of clean, up-to-date data and may prefer to wait until next year before committing to an easing cycle. As a result, pricing for a December cut is roughly “fifty–fifty” and highly sensitive to the next run of labour-market and activity data. In short: the macro backdrop is undecided, so intraday direction will be driven mainly by levels and liquidity until the next data catalyst hits. Technical analysis On the H2 chart, gold is in a broad consolidation after the recent sell-off: Price is trading inside a descending structure, repeatedly respecting the short-term trendline from the recent high. The Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulse shows the 0.382 level lining up with a prior fair-value gap and horizontal resistance – this forms a key rejection zone overhead. Below price, there is a confluence of support where the rising trendline meets a small bullish FVG around 4027–4029, followed by a more important horizontal support band near 3998. The volume profile highlights a Value Area High (VAH) around 4075–4080, which is likely to act as a reaction zone if price rotates back into it. Until we break convincingly out of this structure, I treat it as a large accumulation range with a slight downside bias: sellers are still defending lower highs, but buyers are stepping in aggressively at trendline support. Key levels Resistance zones: 4080–4085 (VAH / short-term supply) 4135–4145 (Fibonacci 0.382 + FVG + structural resistance) Support zones: 4027–4029 (trendline + FVG confluence buy area) 3995–4000 (important horizontal support) 3940 region (deeper support if the range finally breaks down) Trade scenarios 1. Primary long – buy the trendline/FVG confluence Entry: 4027–4029 Stop: 4023 Targets: 4035 – 4050 – 4068 – 4080 Idea: look for price to react at the rising trendline where it overlaps with the small FVG. A clean rejection candle or shift in intraday order flow from that zone sets up a rotation back towards the VAH and potentially the upper boundary of the range. 2. Break-and-retest short – if the trendline fails Trigger: clear H1/H2 close below the rising trendline and the 4027 area Plan: wait for price to retest the underside of the broken trendline / prior support Entry: on rejection of that retest Initial targets: 4000, then 3940 if momentum accelerates This scenario treats any breakdown as a structural shift, using the retest as a lower-risk point to join the move rather than chasing the first leg. 3. Intraday scalp zones These are discretionary, short-term opportunities for active traders: Reaction sells: around 4085, and higher up if we spike into the 4135–4145 resistance band. Look for exhaustion or rejection patterns back into the range (potential targets 4060 then 4033). Reaction buys: into 3998–4000 if we see a liquidity sweep below the current range, with tight stops and quick profit-taking back towards the mid-range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Venus Remedies Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#VENUSREM trading above Resistance of 638 Next Resistance is at 1182 Support is at 424 Here is previous chart: Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:VENUSREMLong
by MandeepSinghKohli