SRF Limited – Short Bias DevelopingThe structure is shifting from an earlier uptrend into a distribution + descending channel pattern.
1. Major Trend Structure
Price has broken below the rising green trendline (the major uptrend support).
Now it is trading inside a descending channel marked by the red trendline on top.
Repeated lower highs = seller dominance.
This indicates that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish.
2. Strong Horizontal Support Zone
The ₹2,800 – ₹2,820 zone is acting as a very strong demand area. Price has tested this zone multiple times. Repeated tests of support usually lead to:
➡️ Support exhaustion → Breakdown
3. Breakdown Probability is High
Reasons why the breakdown looks likely:-
✔ Price is unable to stay above 200-day average
✔ Lower highs consistently appearing
✔ Trendline resistance (red) is pushing price down
✔ Volatility contraction near support (classic distribution)
If the ₹2,800 support breaks, short opportunity becomes strong.
4. Once ₹2,800 breaks:-
Supports:- ₹2,720, ₹2,650, ₹2,550 (major swing support)
Chart Patterns
Crude oil mcx still in range buy on dip 5150 amd sell 5420-5450Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Crude Oil MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟢 ₹5,423.00/BBL (Reference: Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement 🟢 Positive (Approx. +0.74% from previous close)
Current Trade 🟢 Expansion Phase (Bullish Breakout) Active
SMC Structure 🟢 Short-term Bullish (Decisive Breakout from Multi-month Descending Trendline and resistance, confirming a structural shift)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Supply/Trap Zone: ₹5,433 - ₹5,480 (Immediate overhead resistance/Short-term liquidity target)
Demand/Liquidity Zone: ₹5,303 - ₹5,350 (Previous Resistance now acting as major support/Order Block)
Probability 🟢 High (70% probability for upward trend continuation towards ₹5,520)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟢 High (Strong confluence of technical breakout and fundamental support)
Max Pain ₹5,400 (Options Max Pain for current weekly expiry)
DEMA Levels 🟢 Bullish (Price has reclaimed and is trading above key DE-MAs)
Supports Pivot: ₹5,362.00, S1: ₹5,326.66, S2: ₹5,305.27 (Key structural support)
Resistances R1: ₹5,433.00, R2: ₹5,520.00, R3: ₹5,602.00
ADX/RSI/DMI ADX (14): 🟢 > 25 (Trend Strength is improving)
+DI (14): 🟢 Dominant (Strong Bullish Direction)
RSI (14): 🟡 ~48.00 (Neutral, but ample room for upside)
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟡 Moderate/High (Price fluctuation expected near breakout levels)
Source Ledger MCX/CME/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (Increased Call & Put OI near ATM suggests active participation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 1.47 (Active Strike PCR) / 0.79 (Overall Dec Expiry OI PCR): (Mixed/Bullish in short-term options, but slightly bearish in overall OI)
VWAP Price is trading above the daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟢 High (High Volume accompanying the breakout)
Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (ATM IV: 10.47%, in line with historical volatility)
Options Skew Implied bullish bias based on Put OI accumulation
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (Global WTI data suggests net long speculative buying)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟡 Weak/Neutral (Decoupled from Nifty/equity indices)
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🟢 Bullish (Sentiment improving post-breakout)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟢 Buy-side pressure (Confirmed by research data)
Delta 🟢 Positive (Overall directional bias is up)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🟢 Positive (Sustaining higher levels)
Market Phase 🟢 Expansion (New bullish move initiated)
Copper buy on dip will continue AI tool data given 1115,1140 comParameter Data Data
Asset Name Copper MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟢 ₹1097.85/KGS (Reference: Dec 8, 2025 Close)
Price Movement 🟢 Positive (+0.41% / ₹4.50 change)
Current Trade 🟢 Expansion Phase (Bullish) Active
SMC Structure 🟢 Bullish Order Flow (Price has demonstrated a strong Break of Structure - BOS above ₹1080.00)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Supply/Trap Zone: ₹1105.00 - ₹1118.00 (Intraday High/Next Fibonacci Target)
Demand/Liquidity Zone: ₹1070.00 - ₹1080.00 (Major Order Block/Previous Swing Low)
Probability 🟢 High (70% probability for continued upward momentum)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟢 High (Strong confluence of price, volume, and ADX/DMI)
Max Pain N/A (Minimal relevance for high-momentum commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟢 Bullish (Price is trading well above 20-DEMA and 50-DEMA)
Supports S1: ₹1088.10 (Intraday Low), S2: ₹1080.00 (Breakout Level), S3: ₹1070.00
Resistances R1: ₹1103.95 (Intraday High), R2: ₹1118.00, R3: ₹1130.00 (All-time High Region)
ADX/RSI/DMI ADX (14): 🟢 26.66 (Strong Trend in place)
+DI (14): 🟢 29.76 (Strong Bullish Direction)
RSI (14): 🟡 67.45 (Nearing Overbought, but supports strong trend)
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟡 Moderate (9-Day Hist. Volatility: 18.86%)
Source Ledger MCX/CME/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (8,322 contracts, up by +4.64% OI Change - indicating fresh long build-up/short covering)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Requires current options data
VWAP Price is trading above the daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate (Volume 7035 contracts, moderate for the session)
Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (IV is generally in line with current RV)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (LME/COMEX data suggests net long speculative positioning)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟢 Positive (Positive correlation with risk assets/Gold is also firm)
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🟢 Bullish (Market breadth is positive)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🟢 Positive (Implied directional bias)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🟢 Positive (Sustaining higher levels)
Market Phase 🟢 Expansion (Bullish Trend in place)
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [09/12/2025: Tuesday] Top-Down Nifty 50 price structure analysis for 09th December 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red indecisive candle. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is indecisive to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
First day of the week. Today's red candle confirms that last week's red paper umbrella was a hanging man. Clear sign of trend reversal. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
It's kind of a red morubozu with a minor 50 points lower wick. The candle engulfed the last 2 days of green candles. A major resistance zone is formed at the levels 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Two trend reversal patterns are observed. The first pattern is head & shoulder (H&S). The second pattern is a triple top. It's a clear sign of trend reversal. The neck of both the H&S and triple top is formed at the level 25900. A major resistance zone is formed at the zone 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. Every up move should be doubted. The view is bearish.
Events:
Nifty 50 weekly expiry. No other high-impact event. However, a major event is on 12 December - the FED interest rate decision. Thus, volatility is expected.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains below the level 25900 and shows promise of breaking below the level 25850.
(iii) Bearish target is in the zone (25750 - 25700)
Expectations (Hypothesis and Insights from the Trading Plan):
(i) Take a bearish position only. Price must break the level 25900 and show promise of trading below the level 25850.
(ii) Doubt every up move.
(iii) Take no bullish trade until the price starts to trade above the level 26000 - 26100.
(iv) There is a higher probability of breaking down (bearish trend continuation).
(v) After price breaks below the level 25850, there is a higher chance that the price will try to fill the gap in the zone 25750 - 25700.
(vi) Its expiry day. So, expect uncertain price movement in the second half.
(vii) It may happen that bulls might try to expire price above the level 26000 by the end of the day.
(viii) Trade only when bullish/ bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nasdaq currently at avoid zome wait for fed event buy on dip Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Futures (NQ)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟡 25,780.75 (Reference: Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement 🟢 Positive (+48.75 points / +0.19%)
Current Trade 🟡 Contraction/Range-Bound Active
SMC Structure 🟡 Indecisive/Compressing (Price consolidating between major Supply/Demand structures)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Upper Supply Zone: 25,805 - 25,936 (Breakout Area)
Lower Demand/Pivot: 25,560 - 25,677 (Decision Zone)
Probability 🟡 Medium (55% for range continuation, 45% for upside breakout)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟡 Medium (High uncertainty ahead of Fed meeting)
Max Pain Requires specific options data
DEMA Levels 🟡 Neutralizing (Price near key moving averages)
Supports Structural Pivot: 25,560, S1: 25,428, S2: 25,297
Resistances Supply Zone: 25,936, R1: 26,100, R2: 26,400 (ATH)
ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14): 🟡 59.74 (Neutral/Bullish side)
ADX (14): 🔴 < 10 (Very Weak Trend Strength)
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟡 Moderate/Tight (Price compression implies low realized volatility)
Source Ledger CME Group/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (307,182 contracts - indicating strong participation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 0.98 (Near 1.0, indicating balanced/neutral options positioning)
VWAP Price is trading near the daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate (Volume: 28,993 contracts on last available data)
Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (Implied Volatility: 16.73%)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades Needs specific data
COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (Tech sentiment improving)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟢 Positive (S&P 500, Dow futures also up fractionally)
ETF Rotation 🟡 Mixed (Constituent stocks showing mixed signals)
Sentiment Index 🟡 Cautiously Bullish (Rate cut expectations supporting risk appetite)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🟡 Neutral (Net directional bias is balanced)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🟡 Sector Rotation (Potential move from defensive to risk-on tech names)
Market Phase 🟡 Contraction (Price compression/tight range)
Nifty sell recommended today morning if 25900 break then 25500 Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Nifty 50 (NSEI)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🔴 25,960.55 (Reference: Dec 8, 2025 Close)
Price Movement 🔴 Negative (approx. -0.86% down)
Current Trade 🔴 Expansion Phase (Bearish) Active
SMC Structure 🔴 Bearish Order Flow (26,000 ke neeche decisive daily close, confirming a Break of Structure - BoS)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Demand Zone: 25,700 - 25,800 (Major structural support/Lower channel boundary)
Probability 🔴 High (75% chance of retesting 25,700 in the near term)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🔴 High (Strong technical indicators support the sell-off)
Max Pain 26,100 (For current weekly expiry)
DEMA Levels 🔴 Bearish Cross (Price trading below 20-day and 50-day DE-MA)
Supports S1: 25,900, S2: 25,700, S3: 25,600
Resistances R1: 26,096 (Previous day close), R2: 26,240 (Max Call OI), R3: 26,350
ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14): 🔴 35.37 (Sell/Oversold territory ki taraf)
ADX (14): 🔴 39.94 (Strong Trend Strength - Bearish)
Moving Averages: 🔴 Strong Sell
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟢 High (India VIX: 10.76, up 4.26%)
Source Ledger NSE India/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟡 High (Index futures OI is high)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 1.1924 (OI based, neutral to slightly overbought)
VWAP Price is trading below daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate/High (Volume was higher than average due to selling)
Harmonic Pattern No active pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (IV is rising with VIX)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades Needs specific data
COT Positioning No standard Nifty COT data released by CFTC
Cross-Asset Correlation 🔴 Negative (Negative correlation with USD/INR which is rising - 90.17)
ETF Rotation 🔴 Outflow (Index-linked ETFs mein selling pressure)
Sentiment Index 🔴 Bearish (Market breadth is negative)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🔴 Negative (Overall directional bias is down)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🔴 Sector Rotation (Realty aur IT mein zyada selling)
Market Phase 🔴 Expansion (Bearish Move)
GBPUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Looking for a counter-trend short on GBPUSD. I ultimately want longs around 1.32500, so near-term bias is slightly bearish. On 15m I’ve got a clean liquidity sweep + BOS + FVG, so I’m taking the short as a corrective play. Setup is solid but counter-trend, so it’s a 3-star setup. Let’s see how it unfolds.
Setup Quality ⭐⭐⭐
Natural we avoid buying in Friday upmove today fall done avoid Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Natural Gas MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) ₹448.30/mmBtu (Based on Image/Live Data Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement (Day) 🔴 Highly Negative (-8.14%)
Current Trade 🔴 Strong Correction/Sell Active (Breakdown from highs)
Probability 🟡 Medium (55% for S1 test)
Confidence 🟡 Medium (Extreme Volatility, Indicators are conflicting)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Max Pain Data not available for MCX Futures
OI 🟡 Mixed (Some contracts show decrease in OI, indicating long liquidation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Requires current options data
VWAP Price is likely trading below key VWAP levels due to the sharp fall.
Turnover 🟢 High (High volume accompanies the sharp price drop)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🔴 High (Extreme Price Change -8.14% suggests high volatility)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning NYMEX data still suggests institutional buying, but profit booking is seen.
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟡 Weak/Neutral
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🔴 Bearish (Due to the sharp single-day correction)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🔴 Negative (Implied directional bias due to price fall)
Rotation Metrics 🔴 Negative (Price rotation towards lower supports)
Source Ledger Internal/API Data Aggregate & Image Input
Silver mcx upmove will continue buy on dip new ATH will comeParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver (SILVER1!) MCX Mar 2026 Futures
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH / Buy on Dips (Wait for a clear bounce near S1)
Price Movement 🟨 Consolidation/Slightly Bearish (-0.29% approx. from previous close)
SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish Order Flow / High-level consolidation phase.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Trap Zone: Above ₹1,84,400 (Falsi breakout possibility). Liquidity Target: ₹1,80,600 - ₹1,80,000 (Strong demand zone).
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,80,647 (Immediate Pivot/Demand) 🟩 S2: ₹1,78,942 (Key Technical Support) 🟩 S3: ₹1,76,894 (Major Structural Support/20 DEMA)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,84,400 (Immediate Resistance/Supply) 🟥 R2: ₹1,86,448 (Strong Supply Zone) 🟥 R3: ₹1,88,153 (Major High/Target)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟨 58% Upside Continuation (Trend is strong, but correction due)
Confidence 🟨 22/30 (High structural conviction, low short-term momentum conviction)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price well above 20/50 DEMA (Strong long-term bullish trend)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14) \approx 70-73 range (Overbought/High Momentum) / ADX \approx 32 (Strong Trend)
Market Depth 🟩 Slightly Bullish (Low volume selling, quick absorption expected at supports)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟥 High/Rising Volatility (Sharp, two-sided moves expected)
Source Ledger MCX, COMEX, Industrial Demand Data, COT Positioning
OI (Open Interest) 🟨 Flat/Minor Contraction (Short-covering ke baad, fresh long buildup ka intezaar hai)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟩 Favorable/Bullish (Options data lower support levels par strong buying dikha raha hai)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading above daily VWAP (Intraday bias positive)
Turnover 🟨 Moderate (Highs par volume kam hai)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong trending market)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral (Options market mein koi extreme panic nahi)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral-to-Positive (Call-side option demand hai)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Advanced Options Greek Data)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Lower levels par buying interest high)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators heavily net long)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive with XAUUSD / 🟥 Strong Inverse with DXY
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Global Silver ETF inflows strong hain)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Bullish sentiment market mein haavi hai)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Positive (Buy-side flow active hai, lekin profit booking bhi)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Upside momentum ka indication)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price VWAP bands ke upper side par trade kar raha hai
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity/Metals leading the rotation
Market Phase 🟩 Mark-Up/Consolidation (Bullish phase mein temporary correction)
Silver XAGUSD buy on dip will continue new ATH will come AI DataParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver COMEX (XAGUSD Spot)
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Trend is Bullish, but price is near R1/ATH. Fresh entry only on breakout or S1 retest)
Price Movement 🟩 Strong Bullish/Consolidation (+0.10% approx.)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (ATH Breakout) / Price testing major supply/resistance zone.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Trap Zone: Above $59.50 (Potential ATH liquidity grab). Liquidity Target: $57.00 - $57.50 (Previous ATH retest zone).
Supports 🟩 S1: $57.07 (Key Pivot/First Support) 🟩 S2: $55.76 (Strong Technical/Pivot) 🟩 S3: $54.63 (Major Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: $59.51 (Immediate Resistance/Pivot) 🟥 R2: $60.64 (2nd Pivot Resistance) 🟥 R3: $61.96 (3rd Pivot Resistance/Short Term Target)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟩 65% Upside Continuation (Strong fundamental/structural factors)
Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Trend and structure both strong; volatility is high)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for spot commodities)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price well above 20/50 DEMA (Structural uptrend intact)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI (14) \approx 70.89 (Overbought). ADX (14) \approx 32 (Strong trending market)
Market Depth 🟩 Skewed Towards Buy-Side (Deep order book at lower levels)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟥 High/Rising Volatility (Sharp swings expected)
Source Ledger COMEX, Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) Inventories, ETF Flows, DXY Correlation
OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Long Buildup (High OI, confirming strong long positions)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟩 N/A - Favorable/Bullish (General options positioning supports trend)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading significantly above VWAP (Very bullish short-term bias)
Turnover 🟩 High (High volume trading due to squeeze/demand)
Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Cup and Handle Pattern (Target \approx 65.00 expected, confirming bullish continuation)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral (No extreme downside protection demand)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral-to-Positive (Call-side option demand slightly higher)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Strong institutional conviction)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators heavily net long, adding to momentum)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive with Gold / 🟥 Strong Inverse with DXY
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Silver ETFs mein record inflows)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed (High market optimism)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Strongly Positive (Buy-side flow dominant)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Market momentum ki confirmation)
VWAP Bands 🟥 Price Upper Band ke aas-paas hai (Sign of over-extension)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity/Metals leading the rotation
Market Phase 🟩 Mark-Up (Strong uptrend, pullbacks are buying opportunities)
Gold mcx buy on dip will continue until 129200 not break AI dataParameter Data Data
Asset Name Gold (GC) MCX Dec 2025 Futures
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Breakout/Breakdown Strategy)
Price Movement 🟨 Consolidation/Slightly Bullish (+0.21% up at 11:37 AM IST)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow / Currently in Distribution/Consolidation at resistance.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Liquidity: Above ₹1,31,000. Bearish Trap: Below ₹1,29,500.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,29,800 (Psychological/Technical) 🟩 S2: ₹1,29,450 (Key Support/21-day EMA area) 🟩 S3: ₹1,28,750 (Major Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,30,950 (Immediate Resistance/Supply) 🟥 R2: ₹1,31,450 (Strong Supply Zone) 🟥 R3: ₹1,31,700 (High-side Target/Major Resistance)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟨 55% Continuation Upside (Macro trend is stronger, but short-term correction risk)
Confidence 🟨 18/30 (Fed uncertainty ke kaaran short-term conviction moderate hai)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price above 21/50 DEMA (Short & Mid-term bullish)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14) \approx 50-60 range (Neutral/Positive). ADX \approx 23 (Trend strength moderate)
Market Depth 🟨 Balanced (Buying pressure lower levels par active hai)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟨 Rising Volatility (High volatility expected due to FOMC meeting)
Source Ledger MCX, COMEX, US Fed Rate Cut Expectations, DXY Movement
OI (Open Interest) 🟨 Flat/Minor Decrease (Traders are cautious at highs)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟨 Neutral-to-Bullish (Options data suggests support)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading above daily VWAP (Intraday bias positive)
Turnover 🟨 Moderate/Tepid (Highs par volume kam hai)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong uptrend, no immediate reversal pattern)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral-to-Positive (Upside protection demand normal)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral (No extreme bias)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Advanced Options Greek Data)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Lower levels par strong buying interest)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators maintain bullish positioning)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Inverse with USD Index (DXY) is active
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows Continuing (Global ETFs mein gold buying jaari hai)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed/Optimistic (Bullish sentiment market mein haavi hai)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Slightly Positive (Buy-side flow active hai)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Upside move ki tayyari)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price Upper Band ke aas-paas hai (Minor consolidation expected)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity Complex Strong (Risk-on rotation commodities mein hai)
Market Phase 🟨 Mark-Up/Consolidation (Bullish phase mein temporary rest)
Good XAUUSD buy on dip until 4185 not break 4245,70,4310 target Parameter Data
Reason 🟨 Structural Highs & Range Trade: Price ek ajeeb (unusual) range ya structural high par trade kar raha hai. Major breakout ya breakdown ke liye confirmation ka intezaar hai.
Asset Name Gold Comex (XAUUSD, Spot) 4,203.00
Price Movement Neutral/Avoid: R1: 4,215.00, R2: 4,230.00, R3: 4,250.00. S1: 4,200.00 break hone par downside possible towards S2: 4,185.00, S3: 4,150.00.
Current Trade 🟨 AVOID: Price 4,200 ke psychological level ke aas-paas hai. Wait for a clear conviction above R1 or below S1.
SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation: Price 4200-4215 ki choti range mein hai. FVG (Fair Value Gap) near 4190.
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟨 Trap Zone: Small retail long positions above 4205. Liquidity Target: Above 4215.
Probability 48% (Low conviction due to tight range).
Risk Reward 🟨 1 : 1.2
Confidence 🟨 12/30 (40%) (Momentum aur Flow dono kamzor hain).
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance).
DEMA Levels 🟨 DEMA 20/50: Price inke bahut kareeb trade kar raha hai, koi clear directional bias nahi hai.
Supports 🟨 S1: 4,200.00 (Psychological), 🟨 S2: 4,185.00, 🟩 S3: 4,150.00.
Resistances 🟥 R1: 4,215.00 (Immediate barrier), 🟥 R2: 4,230.00, 🟥 R3: 4,250.00.
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14): 50.5 (Dead Neutral). ADX (14): 15.1 (Non-trending/Weak).
Market Depth 🟨 Level 3 (20-Depth): Order book tight hai, high liquidity entry points missing hain.
Volatility 🟥 IV/RV: Volatility bahut kam hai; market flat rehne ki ummeed hai.
Source Ledger 🟨 Verified: CME Group Feeds, LSEG/Refinitiv. Latency Guard enforced. (User provided Override/Price).
OI 🟨 Open Interest: Flat/Minor decrease, suggesting traders are waiting.
PCR 🟨 Put Call Ratio (OI): 1.05 (Slightly neutral-to-bullish, but flat).
VWAP 🟨 Current Price is exactly near VWAP (4,203.50).
Turnover 🟥 Low: Aaj turnover kam hai.
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A: No immediate pattern detected.
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Flat.
Options Skew 🟨 Options Skew: Neutral.
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral).
Block Trades 🟨 Block Trades: Last 6 hours mein koi significant block trade nahi hua.
COT Positioning 🟨 COT Positioning: Net Long positions stable hain.
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Correlation: Inverse correlation with DXY (Dollar Index) weak hai.
ETF Rotation 🟨 ETF Rotation: Neutral inflows.
Sentiment Index 🟨 Sentiment Index: 51 (Neutral).
OFI 🟨 Order Flow Index: Balanced buy/sell pressure.
Delta 🟨 Cumulative Delta: Neutral.
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price VWAP bands ke center mein hai.
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Rotation: No clear sector/asset rotation impacting Gold.
Market Phase 🟨 Contraction: Tight consolidation expected.
Gap-Up Premium Continuation Observation | Intraday OptionsThis idea is based on a simple price behavior observation in option premium. When the option premium opens with a gap-up and continues to trade above the initial range with higher highs, it often shows bullish strength in that premium for the session.
In this setup, after the gap-up opening, the premium respected an upward trend structure and maintained strength throughout the day. This indicates sustained buying interest, which traders can observe for intraday momentum opportunities.
⚠️ This chart is shared only for educational and observational purposes.
It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Options trading involves high risk. Always use proper risk management and confirmation from your own analysis before taking any trade.
✅ Short Caption for Chart (Safe & Professional)
You can use any ONE of these directly on the chart:
“Gap-Up Premium with Intraday Strength – Bullish Continuation Observation”
“When Premium Gaps Up and Maintains Higher Structure, Strength Often Persists”
“Gap-Up + Trend Hold = Intraday Premium Momentum (Observational Setup)”
“Educational View: Gap-Up Premium Showing Sustained Buying Pressure”
✅ Disclaimer
“For educational purposes only”
“No guaranteed outcome”
“Use your own confirmation”
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in LATENTVIEW
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 9The price broke the channel and fall down towards the double bottom support at the 25900 zone. The price can move in this range 25800 to 26200 as per the higher(daily) and lower(15 minutes) chart analysis.
As per the daily chart, we can see a strong support at the 25850 zone.
Buy above 25900 with the stop loss of 25840 for the targets 25940, 25980, 26020, 26100, 26160 and 26200.
Sell below 25780 with the stop loss of 25840 for the targets 25740, 25700, 25640, 25600 and 25540.
Expected expiry day range is 25700 to 26100.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
CDSL – Bounce Zone Inside an Up ChannelCDSL has been moving inside a rising channel — higher highs and higher lows.
This means buyers are slowly pushing the stock up over time.
Right now, price has come back to the bottom support line of this channel.
Every time price touched this line earlier, it reversed upward strongly.
So the idea is simple:
📍 Price is near channel support
💪 Buyers have defended this level before
📈 Another upward swing inside the channel may start from here
As long as price stays above the lower trendline,
the stock can continue its up-trend toward the upper channel.
Part 8 Trading Master Class Option Buyer vs Option Seller
Option Buyer
Pays premium
Risk is limited to premium
Profit potential is unlimited (for call) or large (for put)
Needs a strong directional move
Time decay works against the buyer
Option Seller
Receives premium
Risk can be unlimited (if market moves sharply)
Profit is limited to premium received
Benefits from sideways market
Time decay works in seller’s favour
Option sellers usually need more capital because of higher risk.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis December 4Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
It's not visible on the screen due to limited space,
but at the bottom, it touched the long position entry point of $83,495.4 on December 1st,
and continues to rise.
The Nasdaq indicators will be released shortly at 10:30 AM,
and I developed today's strategy based on the Nasdaq and Tether dominance patterns.
*Conditional long position strategy based on the red finger's path
1. After touching the purple section once at the top (autonomous short)
Switch to a long position at the red finger at the bottom at $93,101.8
/Stop-loss price if the green support line is broken
2. First target for a long position at the top section at $96,923.6 -> Target prices in the order of Good and Great
Before tomorrow's daily candlestick is created,
if the top section is touched alone,
since it is a resistance line on the Bollinger Band daily chart,
a strong correction is likely.
If the Good section is touched at once,
it is highly likely to be ignored and continue to rise.
If the price drops immediately without touching the first section at the top,
it's a final long strategy in the second section,
and the stop-loss price remains the same.
The third section below is a sideways movement.
If the green support line holds today, a vertical rise is possible after tomorrow.
If the price holds today's light blue support line,
it could lead to a strong upward movement after tomorrow.
Below the bottom, the price is open to 88.6K, the lowest point today.
Please note this.
Please use my analysis to this point for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, adhering to principled trading and a stop-loss price.
Thank you.
Part 7 Trading Master Class How Option Pricing Works
The price of an option (premium) depends on many factors:
1. Underlying Price
If the market moves in the option’s direction (up for call, down for put), the premium rises.
2. Strike Price
Closer the strike to current price, higher the premium.
3. Time to Expiry
More time → higher premium (more chances of movement)
4. Volatility
Higher volatility → higher premium.
5. Interest rates and dividends
These have minor effects but still influence pricing models.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Types of Option Based on Moneyness
In-The-Money (ITM)
Call Option: Strike < Market Price
Put Option: Strike > Market Price
At-The-Money (ATM)
Strike = Market Price (closest)
Out-Of-The-Money (OTM)
Call Option: Strike > Market Price
Put Option: Strike < Market Price
OTM options are cheaper but riskier.
BEL – Trendline Breakdown & Supply Zone Rejection | Bearish SetuBEL has rejected strongly from the higher-timeframe supply zone around ₹425–₹430, followed by a clean trendline breakdown. This breakdown signals weakening bullish momentum and opens the door for a deeper correction.
📌 Key Highlights
Strong rejection from the major supply zone.
Clear trendline break, indicating a shift in structure.
Price currently hovering near ₹408–₹410 support.
Expecting a pullback before continuation.
🎯 Entry Plan (Breakdown + Retest)
🔽 Preferred Entry Model
1. Breakdown:
Price breaks below the minor structure at ₹406–₹408 with a strong bearish candle.
2. Retest:
Wait for price to pull back toward ₹408–₹410 (previous support → now resistance) OR a retest of the broken trendline.
3. Entry Trigger:
Enter short only after a bearish rejection (wick rejections / bearish engulfing / breakdown of retest low).
📍 Ideal Entry Zone:
₹400 – ₹403
🎯 Targets
TP1: ₹395
TP2: ₹382
Final Target (HTF Demand): ₹360 – ₹365
❌ Invalidation
Setup invalid if BEL reclaims ₹425 and sustains above the supply zone.
📈 Bias
Bearish as long as the price stays below the breakdown zone and the trendline.
TCS – Supply Zone + Channel Resistance | Short Idea (4H)Price has reached a major supply zone aligned with the upper channel resistance, creating a high-probability rejection zone.
The confluence of:
Horizontal resistance
Supply zone
Rising channel top
makes this area a strong rejection point.
🔵 Reason for Short Setup
Price is reacting at a previous rejection zone
Clear bearish wick activity near resistance
Channel structure shows exhaustion at the top
Risk:Reward remains favorable
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Around current rejection zone
Stop-Loss: Above supply zone + channel breakout
Target 1: Mid-channel
Target 2: Lower channel support
🔍 Market Structure
4H trend is still forming higher lows, but momentum weakens at resistance
If price closes above the blue zone, setup becomes invalid
Watching for confirmation candle (bearish engulfing / rejection wick)
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong 4H close above the blue resistance breaks the idea.
💬 Note
This is a pure price-action confluence setup. Will update once price reaches mid-channel target or shows breakdown signals.






















