Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [09/12/2025: Tuesday] Top-Down Nifty 50 price structure analysis for 09th December 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red indecisive candle. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is indecisive to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
First day of the week. Today's red candle confirms that last week's red paper umbrella was a hanging man. Clear sign of trend reversal. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
It's kind of a red morubozu with a minor 50 points lower wick. The candle engulfed the last 2 days of green candles. A major resistance zone is formed at the levels 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Two trend reversal patterns are observed. The first pattern is head & shoulder (H&S). The second pattern is a triple top. It's a clear sign of trend reversal. The neck of both the H&S and triple top is formed at the level 25900. A major resistance zone is formed at the zone 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. Every up move should be doubted. The view is bearish.
Events:
Nifty 50 weekly expiry. No other high-impact event. However, a major event is on 12 December - the FED interest rate decision. Thus, volatility is expected.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains below the level 25900 and shows promise of breaking below the level 25850.
(iii) Bearish target is in the zone (25750 - 25700)
Expectations (Hypothesis and Insights from the Trading Plan):
(i) Take a bearish position only. Price must break the level 25900 and show promise of trading below the level 25850.
(ii) Doubt every up move.
(iii) Take no bullish trade until the price starts to trade above the level 26000 - 26100.
(iv) There is a higher probability of breaking down (bearish trend continuation).
(v) After price breaks below the level 25850, there is a higher chance that the price will try to fill the gap in the zone 25750 - 25700.
(vi) Its expiry day. So, expect uncertain price movement in the second half.
(vii) It may happen that bulls might try to expire price above the level 26000 by the end of the day.
(viii) Trade only when bullish/ bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Chart Patterns
Nasdaq currently at avoid zome wait for fed event buy on dip Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Futures (NQ)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟡 25,780.75 (Reference: Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement 🟢 Positive (+48.75 points / +0.19%)
Current Trade 🟡 Contraction/Range-Bound Active
SMC Structure 🟡 Indecisive/Compressing (Price consolidating between major Supply/Demand structures)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Upper Supply Zone: 25,805 - 25,936 (Breakout Area)
Lower Demand/Pivot: 25,560 - 25,677 (Decision Zone)
Probability 🟡 Medium (55% for range continuation, 45% for upside breakout)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟡 Medium (High uncertainty ahead of Fed meeting)
Max Pain Requires specific options data
DEMA Levels 🟡 Neutralizing (Price near key moving averages)
Supports Structural Pivot: 25,560, S1: 25,428, S2: 25,297
Resistances Supply Zone: 25,936, R1: 26,100, R2: 26,400 (ATH)
ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14): 🟡 59.74 (Neutral/Bullish side)
ADX (14): 🔴 < 10 (Very Weak Trend Strength)
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟡 Moderate/Tight (Price compression implies low realized volatility)
Source Ledger CME Group/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (307,182 contracts - indicating strong participation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 0.98 (Near 1.0, indicating balanced/neutral options positioning)
VWAP Price is trading near the daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate (Volume: 28,993 contracts on last available data)
Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (Implied Volatility: 16.73%)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades Needs specific data
COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (Tech sentiment improving)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟢 Positive (S&P 500, Dow futures also up fractionally)
ETF Rotation 🟡 Mixed (Constituent stocks showing mixed signals)
Sentiment Index 🟡 Cautiously Bullish (Rate cut expectations supporting risk appetite)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🟡 Neutral (Net directional bias is balanced)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🟡 Sector Rotation (Potential move from defensive to risk-on tech names)
Market Phase 🟡 Contraction (Price compression/tight range)
Nifty sell recommended today morning if 25900 break then 25500 Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Nifty 50 (NSEI)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🔴 25,960.55 (Reference: Dec 8, 2025 Close)
Price Movement 🔴 Negative (approx. -0.86% down)
Current Trade 🔴 Expansion Phase (Bearish) Active
SMC Structure 🔴 Bearish Order Flow (26,000 ke neeche decisive daily close, confirming a Break of Structure - BoS)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Demand Zone: 25,700 - 25,800 (Major structural support/Lower channel boundary)
Probability 🔴 High (75% chance of retesting 25,700 in the near term)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🔴 High (Strong technical indicators support the sell-off)
Max Pain 26,100 (For current weekly expiry)
DEMA Levels 🔴 Bearish Cross (Price trading below 20-day and 50-day DE-MA)
Supports S1: 25,900, S2: 25,700, S3: 25,600
Resistances R1: 26,096 (Previous day close), R2: 26,240 (Max Call OI), R3: 26,350
ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14): 🔴 35.37 (Sell/Oversold territory ki taraf)
ADX (14): 🔴 39.94 (Strong Trend Strength - Bearish)
Moving Averages: 🔴 Strong Sell
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟢 High (India VIX: 10.76, up 4.26%)
Source Ledger NSE India/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟡 High (Index futures OI is high)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 1.1924 (OI based, neutral to slightly overbought)
VWAP Price is trading below daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate/High (Volume was higher than average due to selling)
Harmonic Pattern No active pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (IV is rising with VIX)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades Needs specific data
COT Positioning No standard Nifty COT data released by CFTC
Cross-Asset Correlation 🔴 Negative (Negative correlation with USD/INR which is rising - 90.17)
ETF Rotation 🔴 Outflow (Index-linked ETFs mein selling pressure)
Sentiment Index 🔴 Bearish (Market breadth is negative)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🔴 Negative (Overall directional bias is down)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🔴 Sector Rotation (Realty aur IT mein zyada selling)
Market Phase 🔴 Expansion (Bearish Move)
GBPUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Looking for a counter-trend short on GBPUSD. I ultimately want longs around 1.32500, so near-term bias is slightly bearish. On 15m I’ve got a clean liquidity sweep + BOS + FVG, so I’m taking the short as a corrective play. Setup is solid but counter-trend, so it’s a 3-star setup. Let’s see how it unfolds.
Setup Quality ⭐⭐⭐
Natural we avoid buying in Friday upmove today fall done avoid Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Natural Gas MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) ₹448.30/mmBtu (Based on Image/Live Data Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement (Day) 🔴 Highly Negative (-8.14%)
Current Trade 🔴 Strong Correction/Sell Active (Breakdown from highs)
Probability 🟡 Medium (55% for S1 test)
Confidence 🟡 Medium (Extreme Volatility, Indicators are conflicting)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Max Pain Data not available for MCX Futures
OI 🟡 Mixed (Some contracts show decrease in OI, indicating long liquidation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Requires current options data
VWAP Price is likely trading below key VWAP levels due to the sharp fall.
Turnover 🟢 High (High volume accompanies the sharp price drop)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🔴 High (Extreme Price Change -8.14% suggests high volatility)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning NYMEX data still suggests institutional buying, but profit booking is seen.
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟡 Weak/Neutral
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🔴 Bearish (Due to the sharp single-day correction)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🔴 Negative (Implied directional bias due to price fall)
Rotation Metrics 🔴 Negative (Price rotation towards lower supports)
Source Ledger Internal/API Data Aggregate & Image Input
Silver mcx upmove will continue buy on dip new ATH will comeParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver (SILVER1!) MCX Mar 2026 Futures
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH / Buy on Dips (Wait for a clear bounce near S1)
Price Movement 🟨 Consolidation/Slightly Bearish (-0.29% approx. from previous close)
SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish Order Flow / High-level consolidation phase.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Trap Zone: Above ₹1,84,400 (Falsi breakout possibility). Liquidity Target: ₹1,80,600 - ₹1,80,000 (Strong demand zone).
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,80,647 (Immediate Pivot/Demand) 🟩 S2: ₹1,78,942 (Key Technical Support) 🟩 S3: ₹1,76,894 (Major Structural Support/20 DEMA)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,84,400 (Immediate Resistance/Supply) 🟥 R2: ₹1,86,448 (Strong Supply Zone) 🟥 R3: ₹1,88,153 (Major High/Target)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟨 58% Upside Continuation (Trend is strong, but correction due)
Confidence 🟨 22/30 (High structural conviction, low short-term momentum conviction)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price well above 20/50 DEMA (Strong long-term bullish trend)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14) \approx 70-73 range (Overbought/High Momentum) / ADX \approx 32 (Strong Trend)
Market Depth 🟩 Slightly Bullish (Low volume selling, quick absorption expected at supports)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟥 High/Rising Volatility (Sharp, two-sided moves expected)
Source Ledger MCX, COMEX, Industrial Demand Data, COT Positioning
OI (Open Interest) 🟨 Flat/Minor Contraction (Short-covering ke baad, fresh long buildup ka intezaar hai)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟩 Favorable/Bullish (Options data lower support levels par strong buying dikha raha hai)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading above daily VWAP (Intraday bias positive)
Turnover 🟨 Moderate (Highs par volume kam hai)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong trending market)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral (Options market mein koi extreme panic nahi)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral-to-Positive (Call-side option demand hai)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Advanced Options Greek Data)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Lower levels par buying interest high)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators heavily net long)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive with XAUUSD / 🟥 Strong Inverse with DXY
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Global Silver ETF inflows strong hain)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Bullish sentiment market mein haavi hai)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Positive (Buy-side flow active hai, lekin profit booking bhi)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Upside momentum ka indication)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price VWAP bands ke upper side par trade kar raha hai
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity/Metals leading the rotation
Market Phase 🟩 Mark-Up/Consolidation (Bullish phase mein temporary correction)
Silver XAGUSD buy on dip will continue new ATH will come AI DataParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver COMEX (XAGUSD Spot)
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Trend is Bullish, but price is near R1/ATH. Fresh entry only on breakout or S1 retest)
Price Movement 🟩 Strong Bullish/Consolidation (+0.10% approx.)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (ATH Breakout) / Price testing major supply/resistance zone.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Trap Zone: Above $59.50 (Potential ATH liquidity grab). Liquidity Target: $57.00 - $57.50 (Previous ATH retest zone).
Supports 🟩 S1: $57.07 (Key Pivot/First Support) 🟩 S2: $55.76 (Strong Technical/Pivot) 🟩 S3: $54.63 (Major Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: $59.51 (Immediate Resistance/Pivot) 🟥 R2: $60.64 (2nd Pivot Resistance) 🟥 R3: $61.96 (3rd Pivot Resistance/Short Term Target)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟩 65% Upside Continuation (Strong fundamental/structural factors)
Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Trend and structure both strong; volatility is high)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for spot commodities)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price well above 20/50 DEMA (Structural uptrend intact)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI (14) \approx 70.89 (Overbought). ADX (14) \approx 32 (Strong trending market)
Market Depth 🟩 Skewed Towards Buy-Side (Deep order book at lower levels)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟥 High/Rising Volatility (Sharp swings expected)
Source Ledger COMEX, Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) Inventories, ETF Flows, DXY Correlation
OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Long Buildup (High OI, confirming strong long positions)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟩 N/A - Favorable/Bullish (General options positioning supports trend)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading significantly above VWAP (Very bullish short-term bias)
Turnover 🟩 High (High volume trading due to squeeze/demand)
Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Cup and Handle Pattern (Target \approx 65.00 expected, confirming bullish continuation)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral (No extreme downside protection demand)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral-to-Positive (Call-side option demand slightly higher)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Strong institutional conviction)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators heavily net long, adding to momentum)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive with Gold / 🟥 Strong Inverse with DXY
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Silver ETFs mein record inflows)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed (High market optimism)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Strongly Positive (Buy-side flow dominant)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Market momentum ki confirmation)
VWAP Bands 🟥 Price Upper Band ke aas-paas hai (Sign of over-extension)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity/Metals leading the rotation
Market Phase 🟩 Mark-Up (Strong uptrend, pullbacks are buying opportunities)
Gold mcx buy on dip will continue until 129200 not break AI dataParameter Data Data
Asset Name Gold (GC) MCX Dec 2025 Futures
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Breakout/Breakdown Strategy)
Price Movement 🟨 Consolidation/Slightly Bullish (+0.21% up at 11:37 AM IST)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow / Currently in Distribution/Consolidation at resistance.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Liquidity: Above ₹1,31,000. Bearish Trap: Below ₹1,29,500.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,29,800 (Psychological/Technical) 🟩 S2: ₹1,29,450 (Key Support/21-day EMA area) 🟩 S3: ₹1,28,750 (Major Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,30,950 (Immediate Resistance/Supply) 🟥 R2: ₹1,31,450 (Strong Supply Zone) 🟥 R3: ₹1,31,700 (High-side Target/Major Resistance)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟨 55% Continuation Upside (Macro trend is stronger, but short-term correction risk)
Confidence 🟨 18/30 (Fed uncertainty ke kaaran short-term conviction moderate hai)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price above 21/50 DEMA (Short & Mid-term bullish)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14) \approx 50-60 range (Neutral/Positive). ADX \approx 23 (Trend strength moderate)
Market Depth 🟨 Balanced (Buying pressure lower levels par active hai)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟨 Rising Volatility (High volatility expected due to FOMC meeting)
Source Ledger MCX, COMEX, US Fed Rate Cut Expectations, DXY Movement
OI (Open Interest) 🟨 Flat/Minor Decrease (Traders are cautious at highs)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟨 Neutral-to-Bullish (Options data suggests support)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading above daily VWAP (Intraday bias positive)
Turnover 🟨 Moderate/Tepid (Highs par volume kam hai)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong uptrend, no immediate reversal pattern)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral-to-Positive (Upside protection demand normal)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral (No extreme bias)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Advanced Options Greek Data)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Lower levels par strong buying interest)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators maintain bullish positioning)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Inverse with USD Index (DXY) is active
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows Continuing (Global ETFs mein gold buying jaari hai)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed/Optimistic (Bullish sentiment market mein haavi hai)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Slightly Positive (Buy-side flow active hai)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Upside move ki tayyari)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price Upper Band ke aas-paas hai (Minor consolidation expected)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity Complex Strong (Risk-on rotation commodities mein hai)
Market Phase 🟨 Mark-Up/Consolidation (Bullish phase mein temporary rest)
Good XAUUSD buy on dip until 4185 not break 4245,70,4310 target Parameter Data
Reason 🟨 Structural Highs & Range Trade: Price ek ajeeb (unusual) range ya structural high par trade kar raha hai. Major breakout ya breakdown ke liye confirmation ka intezaar hai.
Asset Name Gold Comex (XAUUSD, Spot) 4,203.00
Price Movement Neutral/Avoid: R1: 4,215.00, R2: 4,230.00, R3: 4,250.00. S1: 4,200.00 break hone par downside possible towards S2: 4,185.00, S3: 4,150.00.
Current Trade 🟨 AVOID: Price 4,200 ke psychological level ke aas-paas hai. Wait for a clear conviction above R1 or below S1.
SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation: Price 4200-4215 ki choti range mein hai. FVG (Fair Value Gap) near 4190.
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟨 Trap Zone: Small retail long positions above 4205. Liquidity Target: Above 4215.
Probability 48% (Low conviction due to tight range).
Risk Reward 🟨 1 : 1.2
Confidence 🟨 12/30 (40%) (Momentum aur Flow dono kamzor hain).
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance).
DEMA Levels 🟨 DEMA 20/50: Price inke bahut kareeb trade kar raha hai, koi clear directional bias nahi hai.
Supports 🟨 S1: 4,200.00 (Psychological), 🟨 S2: 4,185.00, 🟩 S3: 4,150.00.
Resistances 🟥 R1: 4,215.00 (Immediate barrier), 🟥 R2: 4,230.00, 🟥 R3: 4,250.00.
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14): 50.5 (Dead Neutral). ADX (14): 15.1 (Non-trending/Weak).
Market Depth 🟨 Level 3 (20-Depth): Order book tight hai, high liquidity entry points missing hain.
Volatility 🟥 IV/RV: Volatility bahut kam hai; market flat rehne ki ummeed hai.
Source Ledger 🟨 Verified: CME Group Feeds, LSEG/Refinitiv. Latency Guard enforced. (User provided Override/Price).
OI 🟨 Open Interest: Flat/Minor decrease, suggesting traders are waiting.
PCR 🟨 Put Call Ratio (OI): 1.05 (Slightly neutral-to-bullish, but flat).
VWAP 🟨 Current Price is exactly near VWAP (4,203.50).
Turnover 🟥 Low: Aaj turnover kam hai.
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A: No immediate pattern detected.
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Flat.
Options Skew 🟨 Options Skew: Neutral.
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral).
Block Trades 🟨 Block Trades: Last 6 hours mein koi significant block trade nahi hua.
COT Positioning 🟨 COT Positioning: Net Long positions stable hain.
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Correlation: Inverse correlation with DXY (Dollar Index) weak hai.
ETF Rotation 🟨 ETF Rotation: Neutral inflows.
Sentiment Index 🟨 Sentiment Index: 51 (Neutral).
OFI 🟨 Order Flow Index: Balanced buy/sell pressure.
Delta 🟨 Cumulative Delta: Neutral.
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price VWAP bands ke center mein hai.
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Rotation: No clear sector/asset rotation impacting Gold.
Market Phase 🟨 Contraction: Tight consolidation expected.
Gap-Up Premium Continuation Observation | Intraday OptionsThis idea is based on a simple price behavior observation in option premium. When the option premium opens with a gap-up and continues to trade above the initial range with higher highs, it often shows bullish strength in that premium for the session.
In this setup, after the gap-up opening, the premium respected an upward trend structure and maintained strength throughout the day. This indicates sustained buying interest, which traders can observe for intraday momentum opportunities.
⚠️ This chart is shared only for educational and observational purposes.
It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Options trading involves high risk. Always use proper risk management and confirmation from your own analysis before taking any trade.
✅ Short Caption for Chart (Safe & Professional)
You can use any ONE of these directly on the chart:
“Gap-Up Premium with Intraday Strength – Bullish Continuation Observation”
“When Premium Gaps Up and Maintains Higher Structure, Strength Often Persists”
“Gap-Up + Trend Hold = Intraday Premium Momentum (Observational Setup)”
“Educational View: Gap-Up Premium Showing Sustained Buying Pressure”
✅ Disclaimer
“For educational purposes only”
“No guaranteed outcome”
“Use your own confirmation”
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in LATENTVIEW
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 9The price broke the channel and fall down towards the double bottom support at the 25900 zone. The price can move in this range 25800 to 26200 as per the higher(daily) and lower(15 minutes) chart analysis.
As per the daily chart, we can see a strong support at the 25850 zone.
Buy above 25900 with the stop loss of 25840 for the targets 25940, 25980, 26020, 26100, 26160 and 26200.
Sell below 25780 with the stop loss of 25840 for the targets 25740, 25700, 25640, 25600 and 25540.
Expected expiry day range is 25700 to 26100.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
CDSL – Bounce Zone Inside an Up ChannelCDSL has been moving inside a rising channel — higher highs and higher lows.
This means buyers are slowly pushing the stock up over time.
Right now, price has come back to the bottom support line of this channel.
Every time price touched this line earlier, it reversed upward strongly.
So the idea is simple:
📍 Price is near channel support
💪 Buyers have defended this level before
📈 Another upward swing inside the channel may start from here
As long as price stays above the lower trendline,
the stock can continue its up-trend toward the upper channel.
Part 8 Trading Master Class Option Buyer vs Option Seller
Option Buyer
Pays premium
Risk is limited to premium
Profit potential is unlimited (for call) or large (for put)
Needs a strong directional move
Time decay works against the buyer
Option Seller
Receives premium
Risk can be unlimited (if market moves sharply)
Profit is limited to premium received
Benefits from sideways market
Time decay works in seller’s favour
Option sellers usually need more capital because of higher risk.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis December 4Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
It's not visible on the screen due to limited space,
but at the bottom, it touched the long position entry point of $83,495.4 on December 1st,
and continues to rise.
The Nasdaq indicators will be released shortly at 10:30 AM,
and I developed today's strategy based on the Nasdaq and Tether dominance patterns.
*Conditional long position strategy based on the red finger's path
1. After touching the purple section once at the top (autonomous short)
Switch to a long position at the red finger at the bottom at $93,101.8
/Stop-loss price if the green support line is broken
2. First target for a long position at the top section at $96,923.6 -> Target prices in the order of Good and Great
Before tomorrow's daily candlestick is created,
if the top section is touched alone,
since it is a resistance line on the Bollinger Band daily chart,
a strong correction is likely.
If the Good section is touched at once,
it is highly likely to be ignored and continue to rise.
If the price drops immediately without touching the first section at the top,
it's a final long strategy in the second section,
and the stop-loss price remains the same.
The third section below is a sideways movement.
If the green support line holds today, a vertical rise is possible after tomorrow.
If the price holds today's light blue support line,
it could lead to a strong upward movement after tomorrow.
Below the bottom, the price is open to 88.6K, the lowest point today.
Please note this.
Please use my analysis to this point for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, adhering to principled trading and a stop-loss price.
Thank you.
Part 7 Trading Master Class How Option Pricing Works
The price of an option (premium) depends on many factors:
1. Underlying Price
If the market moves in the option’s direction (up for call, down for put), the premium rises.
2. Strike Price
Closer the strike to current price, higher the premium.
3. Time to Expiry
More time → higher premium (more chances of movement)
4. Volatility
Higher volatility → higher premium.
5. Interest rates and dividends
These have minor effects but still influence pricing models.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Types of Option Based on Moneyness
In-The-Money (ITM)
Call Option: Strike < Market Price
Put Option: Strike > Market Price
At-The-Money (ATM)
Strike = Market Price (closest)
Out-Of-The-Money (OTM)
Call Option: Strike > Market Price
Put Option: Strike < Market Price
OTM options are cheaper but riskier.
BEL – Trendline Breakdown & Supply Zone Rejection | Bearish SetuBEL has rejected strongly from the higher-timeframe supply zone around ₹425–₹430, followed by a clean trendline breakdown. This breakdown signals weakening bullish momentum and opens the door for a deeper correction.
📌 Key Highlights
Strong rejection from the major supply zone.
Clear trendline break, indicating a shift in structure.
Price currently hovering near ₹408–₹410 support.
Expecting a pullback before continuation.
🎯 Entry Plan (Breakdown + Retest)
🔽 Preferred Entry Model
1. Breakdown:
Price breaks below the minor structure at ₹406–₹408 with a strong bearish candle.
2. Retest:
Wait for price to pull back toward ₹408–₹410 (previous support → now resistance) OR a retest of the broken trendline.
3. Entry Trigger:
Enter short only after a bearish rejection (wick rejections / bearish engulfing / breakdown of retest low).
📍 Ideal Entry Zone:
₹400 – ₹403
🎯 Targets
TP1: ₹395
TP2: ₹382
Final Target (HTF Demand): ₹360 – ₹365
❌ Invalidation
Setup invalid if BEL reclaims ₹425 and sustains above the supply zone.
📈 Bias
Bearish as long as the price stays below the breakdown zone and the trendline.
TCS – Supply Zone + Channel Resistance | Short Idea (4H)Price has reached a major supply zone aligned with the upper channel resistance, creating a high-probability rejection zone.
The confluence of:
Horizontal resistance
Supply zone
Rising channel top
makes this area a strong rejection point.
🔵 Reason for Short Setup
Price is reacting at a previous rejection zone
Clear bearish wick activity near resistance
Channel structure shows exhaustion at the top
Risk:Reward remains favorable
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Around current rejection zone
Stop-Loss: Above supply zone + channel breakout
Target 1: Mid-channel
Target 2: Lower channel support
🔍 Market Structure
4H trend is still forming higher lows, but momentum weakens at resistance
If price closes above the blue zone, setup becomes invalid
Watching for confirmation candle (bearish engulfing / rejection wick)
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong 4H close above the blue resistance breaks the idea.
💬 Note
This is a pure price-action confluence setup. Will update once price reaches mid-channel target or shows breakdown signals.
NESTLEIND – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup (1D Chart)I’m watching Nestle India for a potential bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe. Price has been consolidating after a strong impulsive move, and it is now respecting both trendline support and triangle resistance.
🔍 What I'm Seeing
Price created a strong rally, followed by a healthy consolidation.
A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed — showing tight price compression.
Price is currently sitting near the trendline support, indicating buyers are still active.
A breakout above the triangle could trigger the next bullish leg.
📈 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: Around current levels near the triangle breakout
Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline + recent swing lows
Target: Previous strong resistance zone near ₹1383
This gives a clean risk-to-reward setup with a logical structure: risk below support, target at the next major supply zone.
🎯 Why This Setup Makes Sense
Triangle breakout often leads to strong directional moves.
Trendline support confirms buyer strength.
Market structure is shifting bullish after breaking the downtrend earlier.
⚠️ Risk Note
This is not financial advice. Always manage risk properly and wait for a confirmed breakout candle before entering.
#DREDGECORP - VCP + Large Base BreakOut Script: DREDGECORP
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 Large Base BreakOut
📈 MACD Crossover
BUY ONLY ABOVE 970 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 968
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 22%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 11%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Okish, Position size 25% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅ Boost and Follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Not a BUY or SELL recommendation.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed WeekXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed Week: prioritize Sell at VAH, Buy only when reaching discount price area
1. Market snapshot
On H1, gold retested last week's peak and then dropped immediately, indicating that buying pressure at high price levels remains cautious – investors are not ready to "chase the price."
The current structure does not clearly show a long-term trend, but in the short term, there are signs of distribution around high price levels, favorable for selling scenarios according to Volume Profile.
Today, Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell after the price fills the FVG and touches the VAH, while also preparing a Buy scenario at a lower area if the market sweeps liquidity strongly.
2. Volume Profile & price structure
The VAH area around 4,233–4,235 coincides with the FVG area above:
This is where large volumes were previously traded, making it easy for profit-taking/sell-off forces to appear.
Below, the sell-side liquidity levels are spread around 4,200 – 4,175 – 4,140, coinciding with the lows of previous sessions.
The area 4,172–4,175 is a good balance zone for the Buy scenario: below it is a cluster of liquidity and just above a broader Buy zone around 4,140 on the chart.
3. Trading plan for this week
Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority)
Entry Sell: 4,233–4,235 (VAH + FVG)
SL: 4,241
TP1: 4,215
TP2: 4,200
TP3: 4,175
TP4: 4,140
Idea: wait for the price to fill the FVG and touch the VAH, observe the H1/M15 candle reaction. If there is a clear rejection signal (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…), activate the Sell order. This is a short-term play, based on volume & liquidity, not a chase sell when the price is in the middle of the zone.
Scenario 2 – Buy when the price reaches the discount area
Entry Buy: 4,172–4,175
SL: 4,165
TP1: 4,195
TP2: 4,220
TP3: 4,245
TP4: 4,290
Idea: if the price is strongly sold off sweeping through the sell-side liquidity areas, the area 4,172–4,175 can become a good demand zone to catch the rebound, especially when a nice candle reaction appears on H1. This is a "catch the rebound" buy position in the context of this Fed week, requiring disciplined SL.
4. Macro context – Why is the market hesitant?
Last Friday, gold jumped to 4,260 USD and then quickly fell to 4,200 USD, mainly due to the sharp rise in US bond yields as the market awaited the Fed meeting.
Although the market still prices in a high probability of the Fed cutting 25 bps, sentiment is divided by the "hawkish rate cut" scenario:
The Fed cuts but maintains a tough tone on inflation → yields are unlikely to fall deeply, gold is easily sold at high levels.
USD maintains its range, US economic data is relatively stable, causing money flows to "not dare to all-in" on gold before the dot-plot and Powell's speech.
Therefore, this week is the Fed's week: the short-term direction of gold will depend heavily on the policy message, especially the expected reduction path for next year.
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