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Trading is a waste of time Trading is a waste of time - until you do this! Welcome back for another exciting video, an educational video, and an eye-opening video for a lot of traders, and I have given it a very, very interesting title that is Trading a Waste of Time. Let's find out in this short video. Recently reading a book called The Best Loser Wins. It's written by Tom Hoggard , he goes by the name of Trader Tom on YouTube .And I urge you to check him out. There are some things that I have learned from his book and I'd like to share it with you. The particular data is of 2019 and these brokers are all located in European Union and, by law they are required to post the failure rates , how many clients are losing money in their market in their accounts. Out of a hundred clients, 89 clients were in a loss. And the situation is same for almost each and every broking houses. So eventually the brokers are making money, but the clients are not. Whenever as a beginner or even a seasoned trader, we are looking at these data and we believe that we are not in this statistical data. We are in the winning percentage in the remaining 10%, but it's not like that for the markets. We are just a statistic. Right? And even if you look at the top 10 broking forms in the world, the majority of people are in a loss. So that really makes us ask this question. Is trading really a waste of time? Are we just wasting our time in trading? And a lot of people, it's a very fine detail and a lot of people might agree with me that, in the initial stages it's really hard to be consistent in making money, right? And I'll discuss the reason with you because this particular reason is not discussed. The social media of Twitter, YouTube, it has all created an image where if you're not doubling your money every month, then you are a loser in the market. But in fact, trading is a very tough profession and it's really hard to make money and initial days protecting your money is one of the biggest tasks in surviving in the market. Protecting yourself from ruin is one of the biggest achievements in trading. So whenever we are starting our journey as a trader, where is our focus? What are the questions we are looking for? What are the things we are usually focused on? , we are on the internet looking for strategies, how to do scalping, how to do seing trading, how to use the indicators, the MACD and RSI, and how we can use different types of breakout indicators, right? These are the focal points of. I remember when I started trading, these are the things I was looking for. A hundred percent strategy, no loss strategy. These are the things that I was looking for initially, but these are usually the wrong answers. You know, in an area where 90% people are in a loss, then you need to ask yourself that. Because it has never been easier to trade because you go back 10 to 15 years, it was not easy to trade. You had to call your broker. And now we have an online trading system where we can just buy and sell stocks at an instant, right? That leads to high liquidity. And high liquidity usually means you can enter and. Very fast and you don't have to pay much for it. And you have all the tools available, especially a tool like Trading View, where you get each and every trading charts, indicators without paying a single penny. So it has never ever been easier to trade. So why are we all still losing money? We are only creating brokerage for our broking firm. This takes us to another and final topic is that in the year 2019, one Forex brokerage firm did an analysis of over 25,000 traders. And over a span of 15 months or 16 months. So that is a long period of time and over five crore trades were analyzed. So it was a very big data to analyze and that would give us a clear picture. So in that analysis it was recorded that out of hundred. , the traders were profitable in 60 of them and they lost money in 40 of them. So this is a very good data, right? Your win, your hit ratio is very high in the total amount of trades. So eventually the data is in your favor, but there's a small catch . When the traders are winning, they're winning 40 points. And when they lose, they lose around 75 points. This is a recipe for disaster. This particular thing created a lot of problems for me in the initial trades during my initial career. And this might be creating a lot of problems for people who are trading for the past one or two years in this high VIX environment because, you know, on paper, on week to week basis, you are winning And, and suddenly there's one particular day when you lose it all and that is the day when it drags your capital back to square one. So this is the biggest reason why it's very difficult for people to manage their trades. Cause it all comes down to how much you win when you win, and how much you lose when you lose. This brings us to the concept of risk . right in this modern area, uh, where option selling and creating spreads and selling naked options has been a very famous thing to do for the past couple of years. That is what happens whenever you're selling options, you have a probability of one 68%. That is a one standard deviation, right? So out of hundred trades you are going to win in 68% of them. But what you do and how you come out of the remaining 30 trades when the situation is not going to go in your favor, that is all going to matter. And that is the crux of thing that makes your journey as a successful trader. Our position in the market is very, very small for the market to know that we even exist or not. If you look at the data, if you just reverse the win and the loss points, even if you're winning only 50% of the times, then also your position is going to be in a net profit. So that's it for the guys. That makes this particular question really interesting. Is trading a waste of time? You're wasting of time, or are you smart enough to realize this thing that the other traders are doing and are in a loss? And what are you doing to improve this position and to improve your survival In this market. So that's it for you guys. I hope I have provided some value in this video, and if you found the video helpful, don't forget to follow me @piyushrawtani Trading View. And if you have any queries, feel free to post it in the comments section. Thank you very much and good night.
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NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by piyushrawtani
13
#crudeEducational video as how to identify a double top pattern. A double top is a bearish technical reversal pattern which is not so easy to spot as one needs a confirmation of a break down point. Question comes, How to identify the target of Double top pattern! After the confirmation of the pattern, your minimum target is equal to the size of the formation. In other words, when a stock breaks out of a double top formation, the price target is the range of the formation added to the breakout level.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by CA_Chetanbhasin
Gap up / gap down intraday strategy with simple entry / exitI get queries from a lot of people who don't want to study technical analysis much. They're just focused on getting a predefined trading strategy, which they can use effectively in the market without looking much at the charts . So, in this video, I share a strategy which has been given really good results and it works a lot of times and I believe the probability of this particular strategy is close to around 65 to 70%. It has simple entry and exit rules, and you can only apply this particular strategy when the market opens gap up or gap down. See, whenever the market opens gap up or gap down, there is high volatile period of the market during the beginning half an hour or an hour. And in that period of time,if you place a trade, then you have a good probability if market moves as per expectation. As you can see these days, nifty and back nifty have been creating gap up and gap down opening almost on a daily basis. In this case, the first rule is that if the market opens gap up by more than half a percent. So for example, if bank nifty opens gap up by more then 200 points. , then only you can apply this strategy. And on the other hand, if nifty opens gap up or gap down by more than 50 or 60 points, then only you should think of applying this particular strategy. Small gaps do not count in this strategy. So if bank nifty gaps down or gaps up by only 50- 60 points, then avoid this strategy altogether. See, whenever the market is opening gap up or gap down, there are two possibilities. The market might continue the current trend. For example, if the market opens gap up, the chances are that the market might move higher, or the other possibility is that the market might go sideways the whole day. So ,in this case, whenever you see the market opening gap up or gap down by more than half a percent, just have to follow this simple procedure. Just plot the 15 minute chart with a 20 exponential moving average. Why 20 exponential moving average because the market usually gets good support and resistance around the 20 moving average. You can expect the market to stall around the moving average for a lot of times if you take a trade. So ,you just have to plot the 15 minute chart, and if the market gaps up or gaps down, you just have to watch the first 15 minute candle. So if the market opens gap up and it forms a bullish candle. Then , what you can do is you can sell puts if price breaks the first 15M candle high. You can sell puts with the stop loss at the low of the candle. If the market comes below the low of the candlestick the first 15 minute bar, then you exit your position and book the loss. Why sell puts? The idea behind selling puts is that during the first 15-30 minutes, the volatility is on a very higher side during that period. And if at that point of time you start to sell options, then with the passage of time, as the market starts to move sideways, the volatility reduces. And, what occurs is a concept called IV Crush. The volatility starts to reduce very quickly and that will give you a benefit if you sell a put, even if the market goes sideways. So for example, the market formed a very big bullish candle, and the criteria is if it crosses the high of the candle ,sell puts . So, the whole day, if the market is moving sideways/upwards , the volatility crush will start to happen. And with the passage of time, you'll start to see the benefit of the IV Crush and the time decay. So this is a very handy strategy which you can apply. Always remember, keep the stop loss below of the first 15M candle. It's a very effective technique, and it's based upon gap openings. And ,the first 15 minutes usually tell us who is on the stronger side, who's winning , buyers or sellers. So make sure the gap is big and whatever bar is being formed in the first 15 minutes. If the bar is bullish, you sell a put If the price crosses the high of that candle stick, and stop plus below the low of that candlestick. It's an effective rule based strategy and you can back test it on nifty and bank nifty. And you can also check its reliability, its effectiveness, you can also add this particular strategy in your tool kit. So I hope this strategy will provide some sort of value to you in your trading. And if you find the video helpful, don't forget to like this and share it and also comment your thoughts. Thank you very much and take care.
Editors' picks
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by piyushrawtani
26
Intraday Consolidation Breakout ExplainedOK let's get started , A Day Trading (Intraday) Consolidation Breakout Indication Strategy that explains time condition for Indian Markets . The commission is also included in the strategy . The basic idea is , 1) Price crosses above upper band , indicated by a color change (green) is the Long condition 2) Price crosses below lower band , indicated by a color change (red) is the Short condition 3) ATR is used for trailing after entry // ═══════════════════════════════// // ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— // // ═══════════════════════════════// The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm. The time_condition specifies the time at which Entries should happen . "Close All" function closes all the trades at 2:57pm. All open trades get closed at 2:57pm , because some brokers dont allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm . NSE:NIFTY1! // ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ // // ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 114 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— // // ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ // LENGTH , MULT (factor) and ATR can be changed for better backtest results . The strategy applied to NIFTY ( 3 min Time-Frame and contract size 5) gives us 60% profitability , as shown below It was tested for a period a 8 months with a Profit Factor of 2.2 , avg Trade of 6000Rs profit Sharpe Ratio : 0.67 The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits. NSE:NIFTY1! // ═════════════════════════// // ————————> INPUTS <————————— // // ═════════════════════════// For the Back-Tested results : LENGTH ————————> 30 MULT_STDEV ——————> 3 ATR TRAIL ————————> 2 Save it favorites. Apply it to your charts Now !! Thank me later ;)
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by The_Algo_Engineer
Symmetrical TriangleA symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. How to identify a Symmetrical Triangle correctly 1.The sides of the triangle slope equally (that's why it's symmetrical) 2.The triangle has lower highs AND higher lows – at least two of each. 3.It looks like a funnel, with the price “squeezing” from the left towards the right.
NSE:SHAKTIPUMPEducation
by adityagupta1
How to Draw Trend lines In a ChartSteps To Follow - 1- Open The Chart In DTF (Daily Time Frame) 2- Switch To Line Graph To Capture CLOSING PRICE Of Stock 3- Now Take Trend Line From Your TOOLS and Construct A Trend Line (Joinig the CLOSING PRICE of Stock) 4- After Constructing The Trend Line ( SEE ALL POSSIBLE CLOSSING PRICES IN THE CHART ) 5- Now Switch to CANDLESTICK CHART 6 Now see where your stock price moving ( IF IT IS AT GOOD TRADE ABLE LEVELS THEN INITIATE YOUR TRADE AS PER YOUR SETUP ) NSE:DYNAMATECH
NSE:DYNAMATECHEducation
by adityagupta1