Breakout in Silver (Ag)...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where silver may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Chart Patterns
Nifty 50 PredictionKey Levels to Watch (Critical)
🔴 Resistance Zone
26,100 – 26,300
Multiple rejections
Upper wedge line + horizontal resistance
🟢 Support Zones
25,600 – 25,500 → first breakdown support
25,000 – 24,800 → strong demand zone
24,300 – 24,000 → major structure support (worst case)
🚀 Possible Scenarios (Next Move)
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Less probability but strong if happens)
Daily close above 26,300
Volume expansion required
🎯 Targets:
26,700
27,200
27,800 (extended)
📌 Strategy:
Buy only after confirmation, not inside wedge
❌ Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Higher probability ⚠️)
Breakdown below wedge support (~25,600)
Daily close below support
🎯 Targets:
25,000
24,800
24,300
📌 This will be a healthy correction, not trend reversal
NESTLE -long for 10 %Bullish Technical Points
1️⃣ Weekly Pivot Breakout
Price has broken above a major weekly pivot level
Indicates shift from consolidation to bullish continuation
Prior resistance now acting as support (~₹1,255–1,260 zone)
2️⃣ Breakout Above Previous Week’s High
Strong weekly close above last week’s high
Confirms demand dominance
Validates breakout strength (not a false breakout)
3️⃣ EMA Stack Alignment (Bullish Structure)
Price trading above all key EMAs
EMA order: 3 > 6 > 18 > 50 > 100 > 200
Classic sign of strong trend resumption
Indicates institutional participation
4️⃣ Successful Retest of Breakout Zone
Pullback respected pivot/support zone
Formation of higher low
Confirms support acceptance
5️⃣ MACD Turning Positive
MACD line above signal line
Histogram positive / rising
Suggests fresh bullish momentum
Momentum supporting price expansion
6️⃣ Volume Expansion on Breakout
Increased volume during breakout candle
Confirms conviction buying
Reduces probability of bull trap
7️⃣ Higher High – Higher Low Structure
Clear trend reversal confirmed
Market transitioning from range → trend
8️⃣ FMCG Defensive Strength
Relative strength in FMCG space
Suitable for swing + positional trades
Lower downside volatility vs broader market
MCX getting Ready for Big 50% upmove in coming 10-12 Months.MCX getting Ready for Big 50% upmove in coming 10-12 Months.
On Daily charts we can see the Previous high of 6900 can be broken in 1-2 Months.
Post Consolidation around 6900 we can see MCX may complete H&S Pattern & Breakout above 7000 can push the stock towards 10000+ Zone.
LTP - 6190
Short Term targets - 6900
Long Term Target - 10000+
SL - 5650
Timeframe - 1-1.5 Years for 50% ROI
Happy Investing.
IRCTC on Breakout TrackOn a weekly time frame it has been formed a beautiful pattern respecting the trend line
but it fail to sustain above trendline.
After breaking the trendlines support now it is again regaining the momentum and trying to break out that trendline.
Break out happens then keep an eye on the volume.
If the volume is more than the previous year then one can go long on this.
Keep on radar.
NMDC Breakout from Monthly Flag Pattern - 40% upside possibleNMDC Breakout from Monthly Flag Pattern - 40% upside possible.
Fundamentals:
Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.99%.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 23.6%
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 34.1%
Technical:
Stock has broken from Monthly Consolidation - Flag Pattern breakout.
LTP - 82.6
Targets - 118+
Timeframe - 12-16 Months.
Happy Investing.
Vedanta Weekly Chart suggest 25% upside in next 4-5 MonthsVedanta Weekly Chart suggest 25% upside in next 4-5 Months
LTP - 429
SL - 399
Targets - 535+
Risk Reward Ration 1:4
Vedanta Earning is growing 50% on QOQ basis & company will have 12500 Crore cash income from HZL stake Sale & Dividend.
Company HZL stake itself is worth 1.4 Lakh Crores Vs 80K Crore Debt ... so ideally Company is on Cash of 60K crore irrespective of the Debt picture media is showing.
Long term Targets can go beyond 2500+ in coming 5 Years.
Happy Investing.
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#IMFA trading above Resistance of 1414
Next Resistance is at 1855
Support is at 1008
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H BUY PROJECTION 28.12.25Pair: XAUUSD / Gold
Timeframe: 4H
Bias: Bullish (Buy continuation)
Date: 28-12-2025
Market is in a strong uptrend, respecting a parallel ascending channel.
📈 Technical Structure Explained
1️⃣ Trend & Pattern
Price is moving inside a Parallel Uptrend Channel
A Bullish Flag formed after a strong impulsive move
Then price formed a V-Continuation Pattern → strong bullish sign
Breakout happened with momentum candles
👉 This confirms trend continuation, not reversal
2️⃣ Key Levels Marked
🟦 Supports
Support S1: ~4520
Support S2: ~4500
These are dip-buy zones if price retraces.
🟥 Resistance / Breakout Area
Immediate Resistance: ~4530
Price broke & retested this zone
Also aligns with Fibonacci retracement + structure break
👉 This level is now acting as support
3️⃣ Entry Logic (Buy Setup)
✅ Buy Confirmation Zone
After breakout + retest
Strong bullish candle close above 4530
Momentum continuation (higher highs & higher lows)
🟩 Safe Buy Area:
4525 – 4535 (retest zone)
4️⃣ Targets (Upside Projection)
🎯 Target 1 (R1 / Previous High): ~4560
🎯 Target 2 (Expected ATH): ~4620
🎯 Extended Target: ~4660 – 4680
(Top of the channel / projected ATH)
5️⃣ Stop Loss (Risk Management)
🛑 SL Options:
Conservative SL: below 4500
Aggressive SL: below 4510
ATR-based SL preferred for volatility control
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Options are risky: True if misused, but disciplined traders use them for hedging and risk management.
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Regulatory and Market Structure
Options are traded on exchanges (e.g., NSE, CBOE) or over-the-counter (OTC). Exchange-traded options are standardized in terms of strike prices, expiry dates, and contract size, reducing counterparty risk. Traders need margin accounts and must comply with regulatory requirements. Option trading in many countries is also subject to taxation on capital gains.
XAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with LiquidityXAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with Liquidity and Volume Profile
Gold remains bullish on the H4 timeframe and continues to respect a well-defined rising channel. With price approaching extended areas, the higher-probability approach is to buy pullbacks at value zones and treat the upper boundary as a short-term profit-taking area rather than chasing momentum.
TECHNICAL CONTEXT
The uptrend structure is still intact, with price forming higher lows inside the channel.
After a strong impulsive leg, the market is now consolidating and rebalancing, which favours execution around Volume Profile and FVG zones.
The upper channel boundary often acts as a short-term exhaustion area, while value zones below offer better risk-to-reward long entries.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN
Buy the pullback at key value and liquidity zones
Buy POC: around 4485
Buy zone FVG support: around 4368
Rationale:
The 4485 POC is a high-volume area where price frequently reacts during pullbacks.
The 4368 FVG aligns with channel support and represents an imbalance area that price often revisits before continuation.
Expected behaviour:
A pullback into POC or the FVG zone, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN
Short-term sell scalp near the upper boundary
Sell scalping zone: around 4600
Note:
This is strictly a short-term scalp if price reaches the upper channel boundary and shows clear rejection. It is not a trend reversal thesis.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The H4 trend remains bullish, but the channel range is wide, making chasing price riskier.
Volume Profile and FVG zones define higher-probability execution areas.
The best edge comes from buying pullbacks at value, while treating 4600 as a potential short-term reaction zone.
PARADEEP
Price has corrected 36% from its all time high, which is in line with past major corrections.
Weekly RSI has reached its Oversold zone.
Key Support is placed at Rs.140 (61.8% FR level).
Confluence of these parameters indicate that the stock could bottom out and resume its long term up-move soon.
Part 9 Trading Master Class With Experts Risk Management in Options
Options carry inherent risks due to leverage and time decay:
Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value as expiry approaches, especially OTM options.
Volatility Risk (Vega): Changes in market volatility can dramatically affect option premiums.
Delta Risk: Directional exposure; delta measures how much the option price moves relative to the underlying.
Liquidity Risk: Illiquid options can have wide bid-ask spreads, increasing trading costs.
Effective risk management involves:
Position sizing – limiting exposure to a fraction of capital.
Diversifying strategies – combining hedges and directional trades.
Monitoring Greeks – delta, gamma, theta, vega, rho help quantify risk.
Part 8 Trading Master Class With Experts Factors Affecting Option Pricing
Option pricing is influenced by several factors, often modeled using the Black-Scholes formula or Binomial models:
1. Underlying Asset Price: Directly affects intrinsic value.
2. Strike Price: Determines the ITM, ATM, or OTM status.
3. Time to Expiry: More time increases extrinsic value due to uncertainty.
4. Volatility: Higher volatility increases the likelihood of significant price movements, raising premiums.
5. Interest Rates: Influence cost-of-carry in options.
6. Dividends: Expected dividends reduce call option value and increase put value for stock options.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [29/12/2025: Monday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 29th of December 2025. The day is Monday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
The candle is a red paper umbrella or a hanging man. Also, the candle is inside the previous month's candle. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is indecisive. Major resistance is 26200. Minor support is 26000. Major support is 25800. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Nifty has successfully wasted 10 weeks in the same range (25700 - 26300). A 600-point range-bound consolidation is painful for directional traders. It is a good market for non-directional traders. Presently, the candle is a red gravestone doji. There is huge selling pressure in the zone of 26200. Major resistance is 26150. Take no bullish trades until price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26150. Every up move should be doubted. Level 26000 is a weak support. Price sustaining below the level 26000 can pull the price down to the level 25900. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Structurally, the bulls are tired. In the daily time frame, the price is forming a complex triple top or head and shoulder (H&S) pattern. The price got multiple rejections from the levels - 26200, 26150, and 26100. Every up move should be doubted. Do not think of taking bullish trades unless the price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26150. Weak support is 26000. If level 26000 is decisively broken, then there is a higher chance of the price reaching down to level 25900. Additionally, if level 25900 is decisively broken, then level 25800 would be a high probability target. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
There is a clear sign of weakness. The major resistance zone is (26150 - 26100). Weak support is 26000. Major support is at level 25900. There are multiple unfilled gaps below the level 26000. Take no bullish trades unless the price decisively starts to trade above level 26150. Initiate bearish trade the moment level 26000 is broken. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to decisively sustain above the level 26150.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to decisively sustain below the level 26000.
(iii) If level 26000 is broken, then level 25900 will be a high probability target.
(iv) If level 25900 is also broken, then level 25800 will be a high probability target.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26150 - 26000)
Event: No expiry. But the day after is the Nifty 50 monthly expiry.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) Weekly TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(iii) Daily TF bias is bearish.
(iv) 30-Minute TF bias is bearish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) The market is in a complex range-bound consolidation for 10 weeks. Thus, market structure is cracked, non-directional, and indecisive.
(vii) Bulls are tired while bears are slowly gaining strength. Technical patterns like complex triple top and head and shoulder (H&S) are visible.
(viii) Every up move should be doubted. Presently, a bearish bias is the path of least resistance for the market.
(ix) Think of bullish trades only when the price sustains above level 26150.
(x) Initiate bearish trades when level 26000 is decisively broken. Level 25900 is a high probability target.
(xi) If level 25900 is also broken, then level 25800 is a high probability target.
(xii) Major resistance (supply) zone: (26150 - 26100).
(xiii) Major support (demand) zone: (25850 - 25800).
(xiv) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26150 - 26000).
(xv) Monthly expiry is near. Also, the quarter (the 3rd quarter of the financial year) is ending. Thus, we can expect major price anomalies and chaos.
(xvi) Trade only when bullish/ bearish conditions are fulfilled. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
PhysicsWallah Price Action Analysis for Jan 2026Analysis Date: 28-Dec-25
Price is at 131
As per the analysis 151 to 121 seems to be the range buyers and sellers are interested. Price has formed upward channel where sellers have sold the 139 to 143 level and bought the 129 to 125 level.
Sellers seem to be getting weaker.
If overall market sentiment improves PWL is likely to bounce too.
Buying & take profit levels are shown on the chart.
Wishing you all a Happy, Healthy & Prosperous New Year 2026!
Happy Trading!
#USDJPY #FOREX #USDJPY
According to recent analysis, the pair has reached a local target of 157.77$ and is currently consolidating. There's a possibility of a corrective move towards 154.90$ before resuming the uptrend, with potential targets at 158.00$ and 161.00$
However, expecting a big breakout below 140$, which could indicate a shift in the trend. The technical analysis suggests that if the pair breaks below 154.90$, it could signal another move in the corrective wave, potentially targeting 151.90$ / 141$
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Options provide leverage. For a fraction of the underlying asset's price, traders can control a large position. For example, buying 100 shares of a stock directly may cost $10,000, but buying a call option on those shares could cost $500, offering similar profit potential if the stock rises.
Profit Scenarios
Call Option Buyer: Gains when the underlying price rises above strike + premium paid.
Put Option Buyer: Gains when the underlying price falls below strike - premium paid.
Seller (Writer) of Options: Receives the premium upfront but assumes the risk of adverse price movement.






















