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Crude Oil - Lets Wait for a DirectionCrude Oil. Bearish Case :-
Narrow Weekly Bar. Weekly MA Resistance. Daily RSI Resistance Zone. Weekly TL Resistance
Bullish Case :
COT reports JUST Started turning Bullish. Bullish Daily and Weekly Momentum.
So overall scenario is still confusing.
Ideal case will be to attempt ONE more Leg down and then UP. But, that is not a necessity. So waiting for a concrete resolution of direction.
Daily Close above 81.25 may be helpful for bullish case
Does the uptrend continue?If MPP (S1) functions as a support line, think long.
The first limit is 70.00
The second limit is under MPP (P) 70.77
The third limit is under YPP (R2) 72.62
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
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Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
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Crude OilLet It Break decisively.
Till then you can take advantages of intra-day short ranges.
But do that with strict risk management.
Finally the pattern at present looks Bullish, BUT it can go either way.
Because on the flip side of it - COT reports are Bearish, open interest is at record high and Commercials are record short(more than they were at 2014 drop from $108).
I personally will like to side by COT reports.
Lets SEE!!!
Crude Oil - Struggling to BreakCrude Oil Again Testing the Crucial 50-52 Zone/Area.
If it fails to break UP here, it could well be formation of Triple TOP.
With COT Commercials Starting to turn Weak this may well happen.
But i am not in a hurry to Jump to Conclusions.
I will be interested in this market ONLY if
Either it starts closing above 52 on Daily Charts (For LONG) OR
it Starts closing below 46.50 on Daily Charts (For SHORT).
Until then keep watching CRUDE.
Crude oil - In depth Elliott wave analysisGreetings oil traders,
As you can see from the chart which is in weekly time frame, the move (INTERIM rally) is just a correction for the down trend; say for the super cycle wave (Y)
Therefore, we sure say that the current move is merely a retracement for the Super cycle wave (Y)
and the initial move (X) has been stagnated for some time at the areas of 23.6% and been resuming its move higher now.
the further resistance are offered by two factors - trend line (LONG TERM) & the Fibonacci Resistance as it is given in the chart,
The wave (X) in super cycle degree has been subdivided into triple three correction, within which wave W & X are completed and after which wave Y is currently being traded in cycle degree.
For folks who find it difficult to follow, check our website where we have a shot a video presentation explaining the whole process from 2008 to till date - a really detailed analysis for free, check it out here
www.mytradingcourses.com
P.S
You are welcome to seek any clarification on this & any of our past analysis
Thank you