Commodities
Gold : Current Price Action FormationGold is currently stuck in sideways move and circling near to weekly pivot (2650) : on H1 we can see that the price action forming a tringle structure and we have to wait for breakout on this structure and we can trade on the side of breakout for Intraday.
For Higher side we have to watch 2685 as resistance and in lower side we have 2630 as support.
Gold remains close to record high Gold remains close to record high and yesterday gold price rallied over 1% and the main reason for this rise is geopolitical uncertainty, driving risk aversion and boosting safe-haven demand for OANDA:XAUUSD
ongoing tensions keep bullish momentum alive for new record highs, An escalation of the Middle East conflict could pave the way for higher prices. Although momentum favors buyers, also daily CPR moving into ascending side and also price trading above weekly pivot: but the Higher Time frame looks like in Sideways (2685-2630).
🔵 For Intra day Buy : Wait for breakout on 2670-72 area towards 2685 or higher level if breakout from recent ATH level.
🔵 For Intra day sell : Very risky to sell as due to geopolitical scenario but technically if price drops below 2,652-50 (breakdown CPR on H1 or H4) , the door opened to testing the recent low around 2630.
🔵 For Swing trade : Buy the dip is still valid
Real Reason of gold spike by 18 $ pre USA news release.As the news broke out by American new agencies, that Iran might be planning to strike down ISRAEL with ballistic missile, this led to investor hussle and seek either hedge their investments or seek alternative investments rather than being invested in dollars.
Also NFP strikes up coming friday... so we need to keep our buy positions in line with current development. currently Gold is very high, so we need to wait for gold for seek a v shape depth fall and we should seek buying at lower lows.
Gold clinched its third consecutive week of gains, reaching a fresh all-time high on Thursday.
If bullish momentum persists, immediately to the upside emerges the $2,700 mark.
Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical tensions continue to support the yellow metal.
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its positive performance this week, hitting all-time tops in levels just shy of the $2,700 mark per ounce troy on Thursday.
The rally in the precious metal remained propped up by, firstly, steady expectations of extra interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the upcoming couple of meetings and well into 2025, and secondly, incessant geopolitical concerns stemming mainly from the Middle East, while the Russia-Ukraine conflict also adds to the matter.
Last but not least, contributing to the uptrend in bullion, also emerged the equally persevering offered stance of the US Dollar (USD).
Next on tap… $3,000?
As the US Dollar approaches its third consecutive week of losses, Gold prices are set to mark their third straight week of gains.
Since late June, traders have continued to shift towards the non-yielding metal pari passu growing expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, which culminated in a significant 50-basis-point (bps) reduction at the Fed’s meeting on September 18.
However, market participants did not seem quite satisfied with the Fed's outsized move. That said, investors still expect around 75 bps of easing by the central bank for the remainder of the year, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Looking at the longer run, investors expect between 100 and 125 bps of interest rate reductions by the end of 2025.
Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that the yellow metal could have already embarked on a probable visit to the key $3,000 level, which will apparently hit sooner rather than later. However, the current overbought market conditions might call for some common sense, allowing some short-term corrective decline.
At this point, and in light of the strong rally observed in Gold prices, a “purge” would be more than welcomed by those afraid of entering the market at current levels, at the same time giving another chance to those part of the fear of missing out (FOMO) space.
Geopolitical effervescence continues to support the uptrend
Another driver of the important move higher in the precious metal is the unabated geopolitical jitters surrounding the Israel-Hamas crisis, as well as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which will likely enter its third year in February.
The flight-to-safety adage comes to the fore every time news hits the wires about the deterioration of any of these scenarios, which unfortunately do not appear to be over any time soon.
And the US Dollar?
The Greenback has been on a firm bearish leg since July, accompanied by increasing speculation of extra monetary policy easing by the Fed. Now that the central bank has started its rate cut cycle, and with inflation kind of firmly navigating towards the 2% target, hopes for a sustained recovery of the US Dollar seem to dim on a daily basis, at least in the near future.
Gold technical outlook
As we mentioned above, Gold’s current overbought conditions, as per the daily RSI around 75, leave the door open for a near-term correction.
However, the constructive outlook appears to be everything but abated. That said, there is an immediate up-barrier at the record peak of $2,685 (Thursday’s high) and the round-level of $2,700. Once this level is surpassed, the Fibonacci extensions of the 2024 uptrend emerge at $2,876, seconded by $2,975 and then $3,119.
Let’s say sellers regain some initiative. In this scenario, there is an initial contention at the weekly low of $2,546 (September 18), which comes ahead of the September low of $2,471 (September 4) and precedes the transitory 100-day SMA at $2,428.
From a technical perspective, the metal’s positive outlook should remain unchanged as long as it trades above the key 200-day SMA at $2,288.
Economic Indicator
Nonfarm Payrolls
The Nonfarm Payrolls release presents the number of new jobs created in the US during the previous month in all non-agricultural businesses; it is released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile. The number is also subject to strong reviews, which can also trigger volatility in the Forex board. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish, although previous months' reviews and the Unemployment Rate are as relevant as the headline figure. The market's reaction, therefore, depends on how the market assesses all the data contained in the BLS report as a whole.
Next release: Fri Oct 04, 2024 12:30
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: 145K
Previous: 142K
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Gold Still Holding the Ground Gold return/Bounced from the first Re-loading area that I Marked in Monday update , the recent bounce also triggered due to war news: In today's morning update I was expecting more correction but bulls getting help from ongoing war news: Now if we watch the H4 timeframe we can see that the current correction is turning the chart into sideways range (2685-2630) and we have to wait for breakout from this range for clear direction : Shorting on war news can be dangerous so we have to wait for a breakout from support area or resistance area for next move.
NMDC - The Fifth Can be Juicer then ThirdNMDC is very similar in chart structure with PNB only difference is NMDC has broken out of falling channel of wave 4 & has given confirmation of wave 5 which can head towards 360-390 levels.
NMDC is a good chart to study patterns (Not shown in this chart) but if you look carefully can spot 2 inverted H&S from where pattern has also played very well classical text book pattern & playing as per book is something which makes you conviction in charts very strong.
Gold Price Drops as Investors Take ProfitsThe XAU/USD chart presents an interesting market scenario, with gold currently hovering around $2,636.120.
Key support levels at $2,613.983 and $2,607.217 act as a "shield" for buyers, preventing deeper declines.
The strong resistance at $2,677.741 has become the primary target. If gold surpasses this level, a continued upward momentum could occur, aiming for new highs.
The breakdown of Middle East peace talks, weakening U.S. job market, a potential 0.5% rate cut by the Fed, and China's stimulus boost – these factors may drive gold prices higher in the future.
Gold : More room for correction/ DeclineSo finally gold entered into correction phase and seems like there is more room for decline in this correction cycle :
Today CPR is descending and the last day candle is a good bearish candle and as discussed in yesterdays update the area around 2620-30 is a support zone with high volume and price is currently tested this zone and bouncing on Intra day but in Higher side we have descending CPR + Dynamic Trend Line resistance + FIB Resistance zone (2655-2662 for current cycle till last day), so under these resistance we can still look for sell opportunities towards weekly S1(2616) or low near 2600.
Currently I am watching chart on FXCM data feed and there maybe difference in levels that I am sharing : Let me know in if you see some changes /difference.
SHREE RENUKA SUGARAll important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
XAU/USD: Break Through $2,683 or Correct Down to $2,644?The XAU/USD chart reveals a critical situation as gold prices hover around $2,659.915.
Currently, strong support at $2,644.626 is helping to prevent a deeper decline. The EMA 34 and 89 lines at $2,652.357 and $2,618.574, respectively, are also playing a role in supporting the uptrend.
The key resistance level to break is $2,683.746. If the price can breach this level, the potential for continued upward momentum to higher levels will open up. However, if it fails, the likelihood of a downward correction becomes clearer, with the target being the lower support zone.
Additionally, hot economic news from the U.S. and significant updates from the Fed could strongly influence gold price movements in the near future.
Gold due for correctionGold price is currently due for correction , Friday closing was bearish but still need more confirmation to see possible correction (Need one more day to close under PDL (2658 ) , On price action it is clear that price is currently forming head and shoulder pattern and to validated this pattern price need to breakdown at least 2650 level , In Higher side price also facing resistance on trend line ; CPR is also in descending formation compared to last day; In lower side we have to watch weekly Support (2616.18); As everyone knows that the current bullish rally is supported by the middle east war so we have to keep eye on the development of any war related news, if we consider the war factor and higher TF then overall the price is still maintaining the bullish structure so correction side is limited but we can consider this correction as per current PA .
Gold due for correctionGold price is currently due for correction , Friday closing was bearish but still need more confirmation to see possible correction (Need one more day to close under PDL (2658 ) , On price action it is clear that price is currently forming head and shoulder pattern and to validated this pattern price need to breakdown at least 2650 level , In Higher side price also facing resistance on trend line ; CPR is also in descending formation compared to last day; In lower side if we have watch weekly Support (2616.18); As everyone knows that the current bullish rally is supported by the middle east war so we have to keep eye on the development of any war related news, if we consider the war factor and higher TF then overall the price is still maintaining the bullish structure so correction side is limited but we can consider this correction as per current PA .
XAU/USD: Break Resistance at $2,680 or Correct to $2,645?The analysis of the XAU/USD chart shows that gold is currently priced at $2,658.550, with strong support at $2,645.331. From the chart, it is clear that the upward trend is still being maintained, thanks to the support of the EMA 34 and EMA 89 levels at $2,658 and $2,633.502, respectively.
The key resistance at $2,680.809 is the barrier that the price needs to break through if it is to continue reaching higher levels, with the next target at $2,697.070.
However, if the price fails to maintain its upward momentum and drops below the $2,645.331 support level, a deeper correction may occur.
In the current market context, important economic news from the U.S. and statements from Fed officials will be key factors that could significantly impact gold price movements in the coming days.
XAU/USD: Ready for a Breakout or Awaiting a Pullback?The XAU/USD chart is revealing a dramatic story. Gold prices are currently fluctuating around $2,669.635 after touching a strong resistance at $2,685.180.
The bulls are defending the critical support level at $2,649.955, with two solid defensive shields — the EMA 34 and EMA 89 positioned at $2,639.497 and $2,594.206 — keeping the upward momentum intact for gold.
However, the real challenge lies at the $2,685.180 resistance level. Should the price break through, the door will open to new highs, with the next target set at $2,699.470 — a crucial resistance zone.
As waves of economic news from the U.S. and key statements from the Fed roll in, this is the moment for savvy and alert traders to take action.
BPCLAll important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
IOCAll important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
TATA POWERAll important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
Technical Analysis of LME INDEX Based on Elliott WavesTechnical Analysis of LME INDEX Based on Elliott Waves
The information provided in this response is based on the analysis of the Elliott Wave chart and does not constitute financial advice. The author is not responsible for any investment gains or losses incurred by individuals who rely on this information.
Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that identifies recurring patterns in financial markets. These patterns, known as Elliott Waves, are based on the idea that human psychology and behavior drive market movements.
Key Elliott Wave Principles:
Five-Wave Impulse: A five-wave pattern that represents an uptrend or downtrend.
Three-Wave Correction: A three-wave pattern that represents a pause or reversal in the trend.
Fibonacci Relationships: Numerical relationships between different waves, often expressed as ratios (e.g., 0.618, 1.618).
Analysis of the LME INDEX Chart:
Based on the provided Elliott Wave chart, it appears that the LME INDEX is currently in the early stages of an impulse wave structure. This suggests a strong uptrend is underway.
Specific Observations:
Wave 1: The initial upwave has likely been completed.
Wave 2: A corrective pullback also looking done.
Wave 3: The next wave is expected to be a powerful extension of the uptrend.
Impact on Commodities and Indian Metal Stocks:
The LME INDEX is a crucial benchmark for the metals market. Its price movements can significantly impact the prices of individual metals and related commodities. Indian metal stocks, such as Vedanta, NALCO, and Hindustan Zinc, are directly influenced by the LME INDEX.
Educational Purpose:
It's important to emphasize that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. The financial markets are volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions.
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
GOLD - LongThe chart analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, US$/Oz) shows a breakout pattern indicating a strong upward movement. Key observations include:
Long-term Ascending Triangle: The chart depicts a long-term ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern, indicating a potential further rise.
Breakout and Target: A breakout from the triangle suggests a target price of approximately $3,142.47, which represents a move of about 45.60% from the recent level of $2,648.66.
Support Levels: Historical support levels are clearly visible, with $720.67 and $250.23 as key areas where price consolidated in past decades.
This suggests that gold is in a strong upward trend with bullish sentiment, especially following the breakout from the long-term triangle. The price target and volume indicate possible further gains.
For deeper analysis, one could evaluate macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, central bank policies, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
SONACOMS (TF|W|) Bullish view .SONACOMS stock analysis Potential breakout opportunity
Chart Analysis : SONACOMS is displaying a strong breakout chart , indicating the upward movement in it's stock price.
CUP & HANDLE Pattern : The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks. A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
VOLUME BUILDUP: volume buildup near the breakout zone . Increased trading volume is a positive indicator, suggesting more interest in stock and potential momentum