Commodities
Gold price at the end of the session: There is still no new breaGold prices are currently correcting in a narrow range and are testing important support and resistance levels. Trading strategies should be built based on price reactions in these zones, while always considering risk management factors.
Support and Resistance:
Critical support: Area around $2,310,000, shown by light blue area.
Key resistance: Area around $2,345,000, shown by the red area.
Potential Scenarios:
The price may continue to correct and retest the light blue support zone. If this support holds, the price is likely to bounce back and retest the red resistance zone.
In case the price fails to hold support, it may continue to fall deeper.
Trading strategies:
Buy order: Consider at the support zone of 2,310,000 USD if there is a signal of a bullish reversal, with the target being the resistance zone of 2,345,000 USD.
Sell order: Consider if the price fails to overcome the resistance zone of 2,345,000 USD, with the target being the support zone of 2,310,000 USD.
What does gold price change at the end of the session?Yesterday, gold prices found a boost, rebounding from the $2,300 level. However, this rally was short-lived and primarily represented a correction within the broader trend. The precious metal remains constrained below the trendline, with accumulation phases and bearish pressure still prevailing. Currently, the price stands at $2,320, marking a 0.33% decline for the day.
Today, the market is awaiting the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index report. This report is regarded as one of the most significant inflation indicators that can influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, as it is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Given its potential to cause substantial market volatility, it is crucial to monitor this report closely and ensure that your take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels are properly set when trading.
XAUUSD June 28, 2024 Where will the price increase go?Yesterday we had a price increase in the 2295 area.
As I said, if in this zone the price increases beyond 2316.8, we have to count the waves again
- We are still in a downtrend and this increase is just a recovery
- The new wave counting process is denoted as on the graph. The price decline ended at 2295, wave 5 has completed and next we have the ABC correction process.
- Wave A is a 5-wave pattern and currently we see the price is in the wave 4 target area.
- Next we have the price will continue to complete wave 5 to complete wave A
- So with the Buy settings we can set the appropriate TP, you can gradually increase the SL to avoid losing profits.
- We have 2 price zones to complete the wave A target: 2332.9 and 2341.4, these are two potential price zones for the current price increase.
XAUUSD on June 27, 2024, the final decline?
The price has approached the 2295 zone and is currently recovering very weakly in this zone.
- There is a high possibility that the price will continue to break this zone and drop to the 2287 zone.
+ At area 2287, if the price breaks out below this area, the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at price area 2256 or 2210.
+ If the price continues to rebound and surpass the 2315 price range, then we can say that the correction has not ended and the current price is still in a complex correction, then we have to count the waves again ( I will update if this situation happens)
- At this price range, we should only observe or play Scalping because we have two price resistance zones that are quite close to each other, the 2295 zone and the 2287 zone.
Gold strategy today: Should Buy or Sell?Hello everyone, let's explore today's gold prices together!
Yesterday, the gold market seemed relatively calm with minimal fluctuations, and the downward trend continued. Currently, the precious metal is hovering around $2321 and appears to be forming a head and shoulders pattern.
If this pattern completes, we could see the price testing the psychological level of $2300 today. The strategy to sell remains the preferred approach.
Oversold RSI, $2,293 key support challenge Gold sellersGold price remains pressured at the lowest level in a fortnight while justifying the previous day’s downside break of a three-week-old rising support line, now immediate resistance. It’s worth noting, however, that the cautious mood ahead of this week’s key US data/events joins the oversold RSI conditions and an upward-sloping support trend line from early April to challenge bears around $2,2932 of late. Among the key data/events, the US Durable Goods Orders, a debate between the US Presidential Candidate Joe Biden and Donald Trump, as well as the US Core PCE Price Index, also known as the Fed’s preferred inflation, will gain major attention. It should be observed that the XAUUSD’s sustained trading beneath the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and bearish MACD signals join the aforementioned trend line break to help the sellers break the $2,293 key support.
That said, the monthly low of around $2,286, May’s bottom surrounding $2,277 and early April swing lows around $2,267 are additional downside filters to watch during the bullion’s weakness past $2,293. Following that, the 76.8% Fibonacci ratio of the precious metal’s March-May run-up, near $2,210 will act as the final defense of the buyers before directing prices toward March’s monthly low of near $2,146.
Meanwhile, the Gold price recovery needs validation from the catalysts weighing on the US Dollar. Also challenging the XAUUSD bulls is a convergence of the 50-EMA and a three-week-old previous support line, close to $2,324 by the press time. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,324, a descending resistance line from June 07 surrounding $2,364 and the monthly high of near $2,387 will be on the buyer’s radar. Above all, a horizontal area comprising tops marked since April 12, near $2,432-35, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
To sum up, Gold price is likely to stay depressed but the further downside needs support from fundamentals to favour the bears.
Gold price today: Strong decreaseHello everyone, let's find out today's gold price and see what changes!
Currently, gold has just undergone a fairly strong price correction at the end of yesterday. Accordingly, the precious metal quickly plummeted from 2320 USD to the psychological level of 2300 USD and is currently trading around the threshold of 2297 USD.
Accordingly, gold is receiving support around this support level but it is still controlled by the bears. Technical indicators and trend factors are still in favor of sellers and according to DOW theory, gold's target is to find the fibonacci take-profit level of 1.618.
Let's wait for gold's downward move after it breaks out of the current support level!
XAUUSD June 25, 2024 Is the rally over?Yesterday the price touched the wave 4 target zone that we predict is the 2329 zone.
- Currently, the price is reacting at the 2334 area. Looking at the current H1 candlestick model, we see withdrawal candles appearing in this area, proving that there is very strong selling force blocking the price increase in this area.
- The ending target of this correction is around the 2334 zone. It is important that we wait for a reversal confirmation signal in this zone to be able to set up a Sell trade.
- Note that currently on the H1 frame, I am seeing a momentum signal entering the oversold area. This indicates a high possibility that a small price increase will occur. This is a very good opportunity to confirm a reversal. We need to pay attention. close
+ If this increase does not break through 2334.2, then we will have a reversal signal at the 2334.2 price range. So the entry point is when the price breaks to the previous bottom.
+ If the price breaks through 2334.2, then we will continue to observe that the price may approach the 2340 to 2342 range. Then we wait for a reversal confirmation to find a point to enter a sell order.
The market is always fluctuating and nothing is certain, so Deekop wants his analysis to help you strengthen your trading strategy. I will update more when there are fluctuations in the market. Thank you everyone for following
XAUUSD June 24, 2024 Will the downward wave continue?
Prices are recovering after a sharp drop on Friday.
- According to the Elliot wave principle, a sharp wave moving quickly is wave 3 in a series of 5 waves.
- So it is possible that the current increase is a correction in wave 4, so we will continue to have wave 5 continuing to decrease after wave 4 correction is completed.
- The nearest resistance zone is the 2330 zone. We will monitor this zone and it may be the target of wave 4.
- The target zone for wave 5 from the current forecasts is estimated at 2309. After reaching this zone, we will have the completion of the orange wave 1 in the larger wave.
- Then the price recovered to complete the 2 orange correction wave. We predict wave 2 target at 2343.59
Trading plan
- The main trend is downtrend, so for long-term transactions we prioritize sell orders. The best price zone to enter an order is the price zone that completes the orange wave 2, which is the 2343.59 zone. When the price reaches this zone, look for a confirmation reversal signal to enter the order.
- With SCalping trades, we wait for the price to react at the support and resistance zones to enter orders. Note that Scalping trading is a short wave trade, so the TP is usually from 30 pips to 100 pips, so you should focus on managing the trade. Translation to limit risks
Impending “Death Cross” lures Crude Oil sellersCrude Oil struggles to defend the previous two-week uptrend early Monday, after reversing from a seven-week high on Friday. Even so, a 13-day-old rising support line restricts the black gold’s immediate downside to around $80.30. Also challenging the energy sellers are the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) conditions, not overbought. However, the looming “Death Cross”, a moving average crossover of the 200-SMA to the 50-SMA suggesting a sell-off, joins the firmer US Dollar to lure the WTI crude oil bears. It’s worth noting, however, that the $80.00 threshold and the SMA convergence of around $79.30 will act as the final defenses of the Oil buyers before giving control to the sellers who can aim for the previous monthly low of nearly $76.20 and then the monthly bottom surrounding $72.40.
On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the latest peak of $81.75 will aim for the mid-March swing high near $83.10. Following that, late April’s top close to 84.42 and multiple hurdles near $85.00 could test the WTI crude oil buyers before directing them to the yearly high of $87.60. In a case where the energy buyers occupy the driver’s seat past $87.60, the $90.00 psychological magnet and last annual high of $95.00 should gain the attention.
To sum up, Crude Oil buyers should wait for a fresh monthly high before adding new positions while the sellers are likely to enter beneath $80.00 and can portray a short-term downside.
Suzlon is ready to DOUBLE from here !Suzlon has created a double positive chart pattern
1. Flag Pattern - Breakout Done
2. Rounding Bottom - At Breakout area.
Flag pattern has a pole of 40 points which make the target of 94 - It has already broken out from the Flag pattern.
Rounding Bottom its almost there breakout is above 56. Once this is crossed it will start its journey towards 104 level.
Long term View!!
XAUUSD trading plan for the week of June 4, 2024
So after Friday's sharp drop, we had a profit of 500 pips. This decrease also confirmed the completion of orange wave C in the ABC correction.
After the ABC correction is completed, we bet that the previous downtrend wave will continue.
- With Friday's decline, we see that the momentum has entered the oversold zone, showing that sellers are showing signs of exhaustion. So in the immediate future there will need to be a short-term correction for sellers to regain their strength.
- We measure that this decrease is likely to end at 2 price zones: 2309 or 2395.
- With the assumption that the price range ends at 2309, we measure the target of this temporary upward adjustment ending at 2340.
- Then the price continues to decrease to complete the big wave 5 at the target price areas that we measured before, which are 2256 and 2210.
- When does our wave counting process fail? That's when this rally price broke through the 2374 area, then confirmed that we have to do the wave count again, then I will update later if it happens.
- On the H4 chart, I have drawn important resistance and support zones, which we can rely on to plan Scalping when the price approaches these zones.
- I will update specific price developments every day.
XAUUSD June 21, 2024 Is the rising wave over?Our wave C target has been achieved, looking at the price we see
- Yesterday after the news of unemployment benefits was announced, the price increased sharply to our target area of 2364 and is currently correcting. So the price increased sharply and quickly, which is the characteristic of wave 3, then the price decreased and adjusted until now, so it is likely that the price is in wave 4.
- So we may have wave 5 to end this wave C and from current price data we can measure the target area for this wave C from 2364 to 2374.
We will consider the price range from 2364 to 2374, this is a very good price range to sell down.
After the price reaches the target of wave C as above, if the price breaks the 2387.5 zone, then our trading plan must change.
In case the price drops, we have the goal of completing the big wave 5 as shown on the chart at area 2256 and area 2210.
Evaluate the strategy and outlook for gold prices today!Current Trend: The 4-hour chart shows gold in a short-term uptrend. The price is above the EMA 34 and EMA 89, showing that the upward momentum is still strong.
Critical Support Zone: 2,335 USD - 2,333 USD, coincident with the EMAs, acting as a strong support zone.
Key Resistance: $2,387 is the resistance to watch out for. If the price breaks this level, the uptrend could be further strengthened.
Trading strategies:
Buy: When the price adjusts to the support area around 2,335 USD and shows signs of rebounding.
Sell: When the price approaches the resistance level of 2,387 USD and shows signs of strong rejection.
Gold price creates new breakthrough!At the start of the trading session on June 21st, gold prices saw an uptick, spurred by market anticipations of an impending rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve, following weaker-than-expected retail sales data earlier in the week.
While gold may have lost some of its upward momentum, the overall market sentiment remains largely optimistic. Numerous hedge funds have pivoted towards gold, which has helped maintain a solid support level at $2,300 per ounce.
A significant pillar bolstering the gold market is its status as a safe-haven asset, providing a hedge against risk amid ongoing global geopolitical instability.
Gold Price Forecast
The gold market is poised for a resurgence as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy becomes more defined. With an expected shift in policy direction, investment demand from the West is likely to increase, potentially setting the stage for gold to soar.
XAUUSD 21 juin 2024 La vague montante est-elle terminée ?Notre objectif de vague C a été atteint, au vu du prix que nous observons
- Hier, après l'annonce de la nouvelle des allocations de chômage, le prix a fortement augmenté jusqu'à notre zone cible de 2364 et est actuellement en train de se corriger. Le prix a donc augmenté fortement et rapidement, ce qui est la caractéristique de la vague 3, puis le prix a diminué et s'est ajusté jusqu'à présent, il est donc probable que le prix soit dans la vague 4.
- Nous pourrions donc avoir la vague 5 pour mettre fin à cette vague C et à partir des données de prix actuelles, nous pouvons mesurer la zone cible de cette vague C de 2364 à 2374.
Nous considérerons la fourchette de prix de 2364 à 2374, c'est une très bonne fourchette de prix à vendre.
Une fois que le prix a atteint l'objectif de la vague C comme ci-dessus, si le prix franchit la zone 2387,5, alors notre plan de trading doit changer.
En cas de baisse des prix, nous avons pour objectif de compléter la grande vague 5 comme indiqué sur le graphique dans les zones 2256 et 2210.
Gold braces for consecutive second weekly gain, focus on $2,390Gold price seesaws at the highest level in a fortnight early Friday, after rising the most in five weeks the previous day. That said, a successful breakout of the 50-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from May 20 backed the precious metal’s run-up on Thursday. Apart from that, upbeat RSI and bullish MACD signals also keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful of witnessing the second consecutive weekly gain. With this, a two-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $2,390 gains major attention, a break of which will allow bulls to aim for the $2,400 and the $2,410 levels ahead of challenging the record high of around $2,450.
Meanwhile, a convergence of the 50-SMA and aforementioned trend line stretched from May, close to $2,344 at the latest, appears the key support to watch during the Gold price decline. Following that, the $2,300 threshold and an 11-week-long rising support line of near $2,293 will be the last defense of the XAUUSD buyers. It’s worth noting that the monthly of $2,286 and May’s low surrounding $2,277 will act as additional downside filters before giving control to the bears.
To sum up, the Gold buyers are well in control but the upside room appears limited.