Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H chart is currently consolidating near 3,644 after multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) moves, signalling engineered liquidity grabs. Price has formed clear demand footprints around 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is positioned between 3,673–3,680. This suggests a likely retracement into discount demand zones before expansion towards premium liquidity levels.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep zone, offering strong risk-to-reward.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket, likely to trigger short-term liquidity grabs.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium supply.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Suitable for swing traders targeting higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp trade opportunity at premium supply; overall bias remains bullish, so risk should be managed tightly.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
The broader bias is bullish, but smart money may drive price into 3,620 or even 3,593 demand zones before expansion. Cleaner setups favour buying dips, while shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalps with limited scope.
Commodities
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil closed with a small positive candlestick yesterday, rebounding for three consecutive trading days. It appears that the 60.00 support level remains very strong and difficult to break in the short term. If it rebounds near 65.00, continue selling. Crude oil remains bearish. Today's strategy remains unchanged. Yesterday's positive close is somewhat related to the EIA crude oil inventory data.
Fundamental Analysis:
The most important data this week, the CPI, will be released today. The recent surge in gold prices is due to increased market expectations of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This CPI may be the last data the Fed will use as a reference.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 62.00-60.00.
Bulls Pausing, Bears Hopeless? Gold Awaits CPI TriggerGold is currently taking a breather after its strong bull run, just as highlighted in the last couple of updates. On the daily chart, price action is consolidating within the 3620–3650/55 zone, and with CPI data lined up today, a breakout from this range could set the next decisive move.
Sentiment-wise, bulls remain in full control, while bears look like they’re running out of steam. Still, a healthy reset is overdue after such an extended rally. From a price action perspective, there are no clear signs of reversal on any major timeframe yet. The key support to watch remains 3600 on a daily closing basis. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure is safe.
If 3600 gives way, we could see a deeper pullback toward 3589 (Fib 0.236 support) and then into the 3550–55 zone, which stands as the next strong secondary support. Until then, consolidation here should be treated as part of the ongoing bullish cycle rather than a trend reversal.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Entery = 3649.00
Stock Loss = 3657.00
Take profit 1 = 3643.00
Take profit 2 = 3639.00
Take profit 3 = 3634.00
Take profit 4 = 3628.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
Crude oil - Sell around 63.30, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The strategy for crude oil is simple: a rebound is a selling opportunity. Don't dwell on the details. Crude oil has been fluctuating for a long time. If it breaks through, we will adjust our strategy. Today, sell crude oil around 64.30. The key resistance level for crude oil is around 65.60. A break of this level will trigger a strong trend. Sell crude oil in the short term during short-term fluctuations. A break of 60.00 will open up new room for significant declines.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the EIA crude oil inventory data. The CPI will be released tomorrow, and this week's major action will also be tomorrow.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 63.30, target 62.00-60.00
WTI(20250910)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
U.S. employment data was significantly revised downward, with jobs for the 12 months ending in March revised down by 911,000.
Technical Analysis:
Today's buy/sell levels:
62.62
Support and resistance levels:
63.88
63.41
63.10
62.14
61.83
61.36
Trading Strategy:
On a breakout above 63.10, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 63.41.
On a breakout below 62.62, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 62.14
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Update | 15m Outlook🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Structure
On the 15-minute timeframe (M15) , price just formed a Break of Structure (BoS) above the previous accumulation zone → confirming temporary control by the Buy side.
However, the Bearish Order Block (H1 Zone) around 3655 is being tested, marking a key resistance area.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the OB zone 3644 – 3655 , buying pressure may continue to push the ship toward the Weak High 3674 .
Further ahead, the next destination is Storm Breaker Peak (3701 – 3708) – where strong selling reactions are expected.
📉 Captain’s Chart – Bearish Scenario
After sweeping liquidity and touching the Storm Breaker (Sell Zone) , Gold may reverse lower.
Key level to monitor: OB 3644 . If this area breaks, the market could open a deeper bearish leg.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Key Levels
Golden Harbor (Support) : 3644 – 3655 (OB retest zone)
Target (Bullish) : 3674 → 3701 – 3708
Storm Breaker (Sell Zone) : 3701 – 3708
Invalidation : Break below 3644 opens a new bearish journey
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails have just caught new wind after a BoS , showing that the captain and crew still hold a short-term advantage. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3644 – 3655) is the key dock to sustain the bullish trend. If Gold clears the Weak High 3674 , the ship may head straight to Storm Breaker 🌊 (3701 – 3708) , where reversal waves are likely to rise. While the short-term tide remains bullish, Storm Breaker still hides major risks – sailors must sail with strict risk management discipline.”
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025: Gold stabilized after falling from yesterday's new high, the market will focus on US inflation data in the final period of the week from today.
Fundamental news: Investors will now turn their attention to US inflation data, scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. Inflation data will be of particular interest following weak employment data ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement next week.
Technical analysis: After gold prices made a new all-time high at $3,675/ounce, prices corrected to the 362x area and increased again as we predicted earlier. The MA lines still maintain support for the price, however, yesterday's correction has reduced the previous strong increase. We continue to trade according to the main trend: waiting for a trading point at the support area combined between MA and FVG. In addition, the next profit-taking phase may occur unexpectedly, to avoid this risk we must ensure to maintain the trading principle.
Important price zones today: 3615 - 3620, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3615 - 3617
SL 3612
TP 3620 - 3630 - 3650 - 3660.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3595 - 3597
SL 3592
TP 3600 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3365
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3630 - 3600. (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.💯💯💯💯💯
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,634
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,650
TP2: 3,665
TP3: 3,680+
👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,640+
👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,687 – 3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,694
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025: Gold stabilized after falling from yesterday's new high, the market will focus on US inflation data in the final period of the week from today.
Fundamental news: Investors will now turn their attention to US inflation data, scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. Inflation data will be of particular interest following weak employment data ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement next week.
Technical analysis: After gold prices made a new all-time high at $3,675/ounce, prices corrected to the 362x area and increased again as we predicted earlier. The MA lines still maintain support for the price, however, yesterday's correction has reduced the previous strong increase. We continue to trade according to the main trend: waiting for a trading point at the support area combined between MA and FVG. In addition, the next profit-taking phase may occur unexpectedly, to avoid this risk we must ensure to maintain the trading principle.
Important price zones today: 3615 - 3620, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3615 - 3617
SL 3612
TP 3620 - 3630 - 3650 - 3660.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3595 - 3597
SL 3592
TP 3600 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3365
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3630 - 3600. (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.💯💯💯💯💯
Gold Cooling Off After ATH Consolidation or Correction?Gold cooled off a bit after hitting a fresh ATH around 3675, right near the monthly R3 level. This pullback, however, looks more like a healthy breather than any real weakness, since the key 3600 support is still holding strong. Right now, price is taking support around 3620–25, and bulls are doing a good job defending this zone. As long as this area stays intact(H4 close), the higher-high structure remains valid, meaning gold can easily revisit 3650 or even push back toward the highs.
For now, we can say this as a normal pullback within the trend rather than a reversal. To call it a reversal, we need to see a lower high form on the higher timeframes. Until that happens, some sideways consolidation here makes sense, with 3600 being the big level to keep an eye on for any breakdown.
Gold Plan - Waiting for a pullback to Buy safely | New ATH ahead🟡 XAU/USD – 09/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : The probability of a September rate cut is now almost certain, reinforcing confidence that flows will continue moving into Gold.
Dollar : Dropped to a 7-week low due to FED rate cut expectations, adding further support for Gold.
US Economic Data : No major news today, the market focus remains on interest rates.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Gold remains in a strong uptrend. However, Vincent advises waiting for a pullback into support to Buy safely , avoiding chasing price at higher levels.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
Quick Boarding: 3654 – 3656 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3673 – 3675 (Sell zone – potential new ATH)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
Buy Scalp Dock: 3615 – 3617
Main Golden Harbor: 3597 – 3599 (Strong support)
Price structure remains bullish after multiple BOS – Break of Structure. Current highs may trigger short-term profit-taking waves before Gold pulls back to Golden Harbor and then rallies toward ATH 367x .
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority with trend)
Buy Scalp: 3615 – 3617 | SL: 3598 | TP: 3620 → 3623 → 3626 → 3630 → 36xx
Main Buy Zone: 3597 – 3599 | SL: 3589 | TP: 3660 → 3663 → 3666 → 3670 → 36xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Only at resistance)
Sell Zone 1: 3654 – 3656 | SL: 3662 | TP: 3650 → 3647 → 3644 → 3640 → 36xx
Sell Zone 2 – Storm Breaker Peak (ATH test): 3673 – 3675 | SL: 3682 | TP: 3670 → 3667 → 3664 → 3660 → 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The interest rate winds from the FED continue to power the Golden sails. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3597 – 3599) is the safe haven for sailors trusting the bullish tide. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3615 – 3617) is just a short ride before the voyage resumes. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3675) may bring big waves, but it’s only suitable for technical scalps – as the main current still carries Gold toward new highs.”
Crude oil - Sell near 63.50, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently been recovering on the daily chart, with the focus of the recovery shifting downward. Weak inventory data is also the primary reason for the continued decline in crude oil prices. Today, we maintain a bearish outlook and focus on sell orders near 63.50. Don't chase crude oil today; wait for a small rebound before selling. It's been volatile, and the buying and selling game has been going on for a long time.
Fundamental Analysis:
The previous sharp drop in non-farm payroll data led to a surge in gold prices. This week, we will monitor CPI data.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell near 63.50, target 62.00-60.00
Gold Stretched but Strong Waiting for PullbackGold is moving aggressively and relentlessly, day by day, with no signs of exhaustion. The price has once again printed a fresh all-time high and is now trading around 3650, pushing higher without any meaningful rejection on the daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Momentum remains strong, but the rally is clearly stretched, and chasing buys at these levels looks more like FOMO than a high-probability setup. On the Fibonacci extension, the next major resistance is seen at 3681, which also aligns with the monthly R3 level, making it a critical zone to watch. Buying directly into this resistance is risky, and the better approach is to wait for a healthy pullback before looking for new longs. On the downside, 3600 now acts as immediate support, followed by 3550 as the secondary support level. As long as these supports hold, the broader structure remains bullish, but patience will be key for catching the next move.
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,565 – 3,563
• Stop Loss: 3,560
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,600+
👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,596
• Stop Loss: 3,601
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,592
o TP2: 3,590
o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560
👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,630 – 3,628
• Stop Loss: 3,637
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,610
o TP2: 3,600
o TP3: 3,590
👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
Gold Marks New ATH at 3600 – Bulls Still in ControlGold closed last week on a very strong note, posting its highest daily and weekly close and also printing a new all-time high at 3600, which now stands as an important psychological resistance Level. The overall price action structure continues to favor the bulls, with no major signs of reversal visible on any time frame.
For this week, the weekly pivot at 3541 will be going to act as the first line of support, followed by the previous ATH at 3500 as the secondary and more critical level to hold. While some consolidation or pullback from current levels cannot be ruled out given the stretched rally and overbought conditions (daily,H4) these dips can be viewed as healthy rather than bearish. As long as gold holds above 3500 on a closing basis, the broader trend remains bullish, and any corrective moves are likely to attract buying interest.
In short, unless bears can force a decisive break below 3500 (Daily close or week), gold bullish momentum remains intact, with scope for continuation above 3600 once consolidation is done.
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, with a target range of 62.00-60.0Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently begun to move slowly, with the daily chart beginning to decline. This week, we will focus on gains and losses around 60.00. If this level is broken, further downside is possible. We remain bearish on crude oil and continue to sell on rebounds. Every rebound presents an opportunity to sell again. Today, we are focusing on sell opportunities near 64.00. The recently released crude oil inventories are essentially flat, with no significant gap to support buying.
Fundamental Analysis:
Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a figure of 22,000, compared to expectations of 75,000 and a previous estimate of 79,000. This result is quite disappointing. In short, fewer US jobs, a weaker economy, and therefore a stronger gold price. This week, we will monitor the CPI.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, with a target range of 62.00-60.00.
XAU/USD – Market awaits JOLTS, Gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent – XAU/USD: US–Venezuela tensions push Gold as safe haven
1. Market News 🌍
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that the US military attacked a drug ship departing from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on the Maduro government.
Earlier, Trump offered a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s President out of power, while deploying military forces near the Caribbean coast.
👉 These moves raise fears of a potential regional conflict, making Gold the top safe-haven asset. The strong rally this morning reflects safe-haven flows returning to GOLD.
📌 Tonight’s focus (3/9 – 21:00): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of US labour market health.
If the data comes weaker than expected → USD may face more pressure → Gold could accelerate higher.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On the H1 chart, Gold has formed multiple BOS (Break of Structure), showing the bullish trend remains in control.
Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480: Aligns with a major Order Block, strong support for pullback entries.
Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579: Near fib extension 1.618, potential resistance where profit-taking may appear.
Key Support – Resistance zones:
Support: 3,528 – 3,507
Resistance: 3,562 – 3,585
3. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 BUY Zone (Priority)
Entry: 3,478 – 3,480
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx
🔻 SELL Zone (Resistance)
Entry: 3,577 – 3,579
SL: 3,586
TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx
4. Conclusion ⚓
Gold continues to benefit from US–Venezuela geopolitical tensions, while maintaining a bullish structure with consecutive BOS signals.
In the short term, traders may:
Look to BUY around 3,478 – 3,480 to follow the main trend.
Watch for short-term SELL at 3,577 – 3,579 if price retests strong resistance.
👉 With geopolitical risks rising and US economic data (JOLTS) due tonight, Gold remains the No.1 safe-haven asset.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025: Gold rebounds after correction, market eyes on NFP data and Donald Trump's surprise statement for the week.
Fundamentals: Spot gold prices experienced extreme volatility on Thursday, with intraday swings reaching $53 before closing lower, currently trading at $3,557/oz, representing a gain of about $11 on the day. Gold's slight decline also reflects traders taking profits from the recent incredible rally. Investor focus now shifts to today's Non-Farm Payrolls report, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's strong decline showed investors' short-term profit-taking, but the current gold price is still trading above 3500. We continue to trade according to the main trend, waiting for support areas for long-term trading.
Important price zones today: 3525 - 3520 and 3495- 3500.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3515 - 3517
SL 3512
TP 3520 - 3530 - 3550 - 3580.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3498 - 3500
SL 3495
TP 3503 - 3513 - 3530 - 3550.
Wishing you a safe, effective and profitable weekend trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expect price to pull lower towards demand areas before the next bullish leg.
📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
FED dovish, Gold stays bullish; SELL only for scalps⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Wave 🌍
The probability of a FED rate cut in September surged to 96.6% (vs 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects.
Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, shifted dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance with a scenario of just one cut.
👉 Result: Capital flows returned to Gold as the No.1 safe haven, pushing prices strongly higher overnight.
📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time):
ADP Nonfarm (7:15)
Jobless Claims (7:30)
ISM Services PMI (9:00)
➡️ This trio of data will be crucial catalysts for GOLD volatility.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On M30/H1, Gold continues to form bullish BOS, keeping the main trend upward.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): Old Order Block, strong support if price pulls back.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): Only for short-term scalps.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): Aligned with Fibo 0.618–0.786, strong resistance with potential selling pressure.
Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,477 – 3,479
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx
🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short Ride)
Entry: 3,561 – 3,563
SL: 3,569
TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Strong Resistance)
Entry: 3,573 – 3,575
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
"The golden sail is filled with wind as the FED turns dovish. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3477) remains the safe haven to align with the bullish trend. SELLs are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages."
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil is still experiencing a recent correction in daily price action. We should consider continuing to sell on any rebounds. Previous crude oil contracts and inventories haven't changed the trend, and recent data doesn't support it. I predict it will be difficult to reverse the weak selling trend in the short term. Today, we're considering selling around 64.00.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent fundamentals haven't significantly stimulated the market. Today, we'll focus on the US non-farm payroll data.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00






















